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    Last month, Achmed E. Newman left a comment in Bugs/Suggestions: Soon afterwards, I replied: A couple of days later, I included this exchange in the most recent Steve Sailer thread, and seemed to generally got a very positive reaction. Since it's now been more than a couple of weeks since Steve's last post, and the...
  • @res
    @ic1000

    Thanks. Did you get a sense of whether (or not) Hartog was a true believer with an agenda? Many nice people are IMHO.

    Hopefully they will find a way to rehire the people who are competent at designing and analyzing tests while getting rid of the true believers and deadweight. But I am less than optimistic.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > Was Dept. of Education contract researcher Jacob Hartog a true believer?

    Assuming Hartog was sharing genuine experiences and opinions, he is far from woke. Probably to the left of Sailer, but not too distant. Apparently he reached out to Razib, not something that very many true believers would have done.

  • @res
    I liked this recent comment from nebulafox and think it would be a shame for it to go unread at the end of a post which has been off the front page for a while now.
    https://www.unz.com/isteve/my-substack-stevesailer-net/#comment-7027513

    And Corvinus posted a very iSteve relevant link about NAEP recently (at the end of a thread with comments now closed) which might be worth discussion. Thanks, Corvinus.
    https://www.unz.com/isteve/the-rights-weird-new-age/#comment-7034326

    You said “It’s easy to rank states by their raw scores on the federal government’s National Assessment of Educational Progress test”

    Well, your days of data analysis are numbered here. Thanks Trump.

    https://abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/education-department-cuts-agency-compiles-nations-report-card/story?id=119735831
     
    From that link.

    It issues a congressionally mandated test called the National Assessment of Education Progress -- better known as the "Nation's Report Card" -- which, since 1969, has been considered the gold standard of testing to compare the academic performance and progress of students across all 50 states in math and reading across several grades.

    But as of this week, nearly all of the agency's 130 staffers have been fired, according to the former employees, gutting the agency and raising questions about how it can continue its work to measure the performance of the country's 18,000 school districts and efficacy of any policy changes.

    "We are baffled, because thought that we would be spared, that we would be moved, because our work is mandated by law," one statistician with more than a decade of experience at the agency told ABC News. "We thought any administration would want to measure how successful their policies are."
    ...
    It also coordinates the country's participation in the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), which measures the performance of American students against others around the world.

    The cancellation of agency contracts has also frozen essential data collection for the agency, former employees told ABC News. That, together with mass layoffs, could jeopardize the quality and value of future reports the agency -- in whatever shape it is left in -- is required by Congress to produce.
    ...
    While it's not clear what will happen to the agency, former employees speculated that the Trump administration could follow the recommendations of the Heritage Foundation's Project 2025 proposal and merge NCES with the Commerce Department's Census Bureau.

    "If things get handed over, it won't be a great host," Weko said. "Do they have good statisticians and survey methodologists? Yes. Do they have a deep understanding of the policy and practice of education in the United States? No."
     
    I hope they manage to retain the good parts of the testing regimen. It seems a decent test of the Trump/Musk chainsaw approach to cost cutting.

    Here is a 2021 iSteve piece using the NAEP data.
    https://www.unz.com/isteve/whats-the-long-term-impact-of-crt-in-schools/

    Here is the Nation's Report Card site. The 2024 results were released in January.
    https://www.nationsreportcard.gov/

    Scott Alexander discusses the 2024 results here. With 27 comments from iSteve.
    https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/what-happened-to-naep-scores

    Here is Steve's own piece a few days later. Paywalled.
    https://www.stevesailer.net/p/naep-test-scores-mississippi-miracle

    Replies: @Ralph L, @ic1000

    Re: Trump/Musk chainsaw clearcutting at the Dept. of Education

    Podcasts aren’t terribly efficient, but fortunately for my fellow commuters, I don’t read and drive. On 3/16/25, Josiah Neely and Razib Khan interviewed (now former) DoEd contract researcher Jacob Hartog for an hour, Khanversation #33.

    tl;dr, Hartog seems nice. Absent an absent 4D chess strategy, DOGE’s sweep of people like him will disrupt the time series of studies like NAEP, making it much more difficult to distinguish good from bad and ugly in educational policy.

    • Replies: @res
    @ic1000

    Thanks. Did you get a sense of whether (or not) Hartog was a true believer with an agenda? Many nice people are IMHO.

    Hopefully they will find a way to rehire the people who are competent at designing and analyzing tests while getting rid of the true believers and deadweight. But I am less than optimistic.

    Replies: @ic1000

  • I don't really get the RFK Jr. cult. Sure, he's got a following who probably helped in the election, but that doesn't mean Trump can't stab him in the back afterward. So why the loyalty to a guy who is obviously bad news?
  • @Jonathan Mason
    @Happy Tapir


    Sometimes in medicine when the benefit of a therapy or practice is massive and immediately obvious, you don’t do elaborate statistical trials.
     
    Jenner (Edward, not Bruce) did a trial of precisely one subject, an 8-year-old boy called James Phipps. He later injected Phipps with pus taken from the sores of a smallpox sufferer, and lo and behold, he was immune. Use of the vaccine then went viral.

    Many years later Jenner gifted Phipps a cottage to live in.

    Pasteur developed the rabies vaccine by weakening the virus in rabbits and then using it to inoculate humans.

    His first successful human trial was on a 9-year-old boy, Joseph Meister, who had been bitten by a rabid dog. The vaccine saved the boy’s life, proving its effectiveness.

    As Jenner later said, "thank heaven for little boys!"

    Replies: @ic1000

    > [Edward] Jenner did a trial of precisely one subject, an 8-year-old boy called James Phipps. He later injected Phipps with pus taken from the sores of a smallpox sufferer, and lo and behold, he was immune.

    Jenner didn’t apply statistics to his trial, because they wouldn’t be invented for another century or so.

    Jenner chose the son of his gardener to be the subject of the cowpox vaccine trial, exposing Phipps to smallpox from multiple sources to gauge its performance. Two of Jenner’s own children were about the same age as Phipps. It would be interesting to read Jenner’s explanation of why he favored enrolling Phipps instead of them for the experiment, if he wrote one.

    The past is another country.

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • OT, but a developing example of a longstanding iSteve theme.

    Twitter, Jan. 26, 2025 at 5:21 PM:

    So, Biden’s staff didn’t double check the ACLU’s list of “nonviolent drug offenders” and gave clemency to a drug lord in Connecticut who murdered an 8 year old boy and his mother to stop them from testifying.

    CT Sen. Blumenthal : “someone dropped the ball… This was a really vicious murder that changed our laws.”

    Just now:

    [MORE]

    Me: Tell me about Adrian Peeler of Connecticut

    ChatGPT 4o: Adrian Peeler, a Connecticut resident, was convicted in connection with the 1999 murders of Karen Clarke and her 8-year-old son, Leroy “B.J.” Brown, in Bridgeport. Prosecutors asserted that Peeler, under the direction of his brother, Russell Peeler, carried out the killings to prevent B.J. from testifying against Russell in another murder case. In 2001, Adrian was acquitted of murder and capital felony charges but was found guilty of conspiracy to commit murder, resulting in a 25-year state prison sentence.

    After completing his state sentence in 2021, Adrian began serving a consecutive 35-year federal prison term for cocaine distribution. In January 2025, President Joe Biden commuted Adrian’s federal sentence as part of a broader initiative to reduce sentences for nonviolent drug offenders. This decision has been met with significant criticism from the victims’ family and Connecticut political leaders, who highlight Adrian’s involvement in the 1999 murders.

    Russell Peeler, Adrian’s brother, was initially sentenced to death for ordering the murders of Clarke and Brown. However, following Connecticut’s abolition of the death penalty, his sentence was commuted to life imprisonment without the possibility of release.

    Controversy Surrounding Clemency for Connecticut Convict

    AP News, Jan. 22, 2025: “Family outraged after man convicted in Connecticut killings gets clemency from Biden in drug case.”

    Search of the New York Times website (01/21/2025 – 01/27/2025): “Showing 0 results for Adrian Peeler

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @ic1000

    Gosh, things must be bad when a battle-hardened Green Beret like Blumenthal drops the ball.

  • @jb
    Steve, I still think you are sabotaging yourself by paywalling so many of your Substack posts. I notice you remain stuck at 5-6,000 subscribers. But why would you expect otherwise when you insist on hiding your light under a bushel? If people who are unfamiliar with you can't read your best stuff, why would they subscribe? Where are your new subscribers going to come from? But if you work on maximizing the number of your readers (as opposed to subscribers), and impressing them with your insights, many would be willing to pay for the privilege of commenting, or seeing occasional hidden posts, or just to support you, and there would be the potential for growth. Other bloggers do it that way, so it's a viable model. At minimum you should unpaywall posts after some period of time.

    I've contributed maybe $500 to your panhandling drives over the years, but making occasional voluntary donations is different from autopay. I haven't subscribed to your Substack, because there are so many worthwhile sites out there demanding monthly payment. I can't pay for all of them, and I'm unwilling to start down that road, so I don't pay for any. So yes, it's a little frustrating for me personally that I can't read your paywalled posts.

    But what bothers me more is that you are limiting your reach. When you came up with the Sailer Strategy your posts were easily accessible to influential public figures, and you had an impact. Do you really think those same people are going to reach into their pockets and commit to monthly subscription fees so they can read you on a regular basis? Even the ones who've read you in the past probably aren't going to do that, they've got a lot on their plates. (Plus they might worry about being doxxed contributing to a crimethinker). No, these are people who regularly get emails saying "hey, you should read this, it's good", and if they click on the link and it's paywalled they are going to just move on. So, do you want them to be able to read your "this is good" posts or not?

    Replies: @Old Prude, @JMcG, @ic1000

    > No, these [influential public figures] are people who regularly get emails saying “hey, you should read this, it’s good”, and if they click on the link and it’s paywalled they are going to just move on.

    One point to consider is that Substack subscribers get (or can opt in to getting) paywalled posts sent to them as emails. These can be forwarded. Your points are valid, presumably this is an effort by Substack to straddle the “freemium” line.

  • With lots of discussions about H-1B visas and the like, that raises the question of immigration to American brain-draining competence from foreign countries. That likely happens at, say, the theoretical physicist level but most poor countries don't really need theoretical physicists. What they do need is to keep the lights on. Are there places that...
  • WaPo:

    Hurricane Maria ravaged the island in 2017, creating the longest and largest major power outage in modern U.S. history. The storm and its aftermath caused nearly 3,000 deaths, including from disease, lack of access to health care and water insecurity.

    Not really on topic, but I recall that “3,000” figure as being suspect, even fabricated. Racist mainland WASPs oppressing hapless angelic Brown victims etc. PR must be a heck of a desert if droves of Boriquas are keeling over from water insecurity.

  • Well, it's been a fun year for me. Here's a question: Since the election, there seems to have begun a general cultural shift within institutions away from wokeness. The opposite happened the previous time Trump won in 2016. How come? And what's next?
  • @Mark G.
    Wokeness was a form of hysteria that finally went too far, like the Jacobins in the French Revolution, followed by a rejection of it. You saw more moderate liberals like Tulsi Gabbard, Glenn Greenwald, Elon Musk, RFK Jr., Alex Berenson and Joe Rogan go over to the other side. After the election, the Democrats said they needed their own Joe Rogan and Rogan pointed out they already had him and lost him.

    Trump will reduce immigration and curb the worst excesses of DEI. Where he will fail is in reducing inflation and balancing the budget. The economic situation is getting worse but is not quite bad enough the voters will accept big cuts in government spending. Trump has said he will not cut Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and the Defense budget. If you add interest payments, which are not going down, that is seventy percent of the federal budget off limits to cuts.

    Voters will think they can keep kicking the can down the road a while longer when it comes to making the needed reforms. The situation will continue to deteriorate until things get so bad voters will put in someone like Milei in Argentina. Milei has reduced inflation and balanced the budget in his country. It is too early, though, to see if he will have a long term success there.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Achmed E. Newman, @Hail

    Where he will fail is in reducing inflation and balancing the budget.

    You got it, Mark. It could be Ron Paul as President right now – same thing. It’s too late and, this is baked into the numbers, as Peak Stupidity explained (just getting started) in Will the DOGE save our economy? . (Pretty much the same budget explanation you gave.)

    I know our host and all but a couple of commenters here can do a lot higher math than arithmetic, but people generally don’t seem to want to. How about that – to keep it simple – the ~$1 Trillion interest payments last fiscal year were paid on (call it) ~$34 Trillion of debt? You don’t need a calculator – that’s about a 3% rate. How’d they get that great deal? I take it many of the older, lower-interest-bearing bonds were paid out. What happens when the net interest rate paid is 7%?

    Interest payments will be take up half the revenue, the deficits will be that much bigger, and that debt total (now, ~ $36 and 1/4 Trillion) will go up that much quicker. As the man said in the movie “Boys, we’re in a tight spot.”

    This cannot NOT end in major financial pain, I don’t care who ya’ are, and Donald Trump is not the kind of guy to want to understand this or hear about it. It’s gonna be a Golden Age, I tells ya’!

    That said, enjoy your eggnog and the time with your families. Don’t mind the arithmetic today.

    • Agree: ic1000
    • Replies: @AnotherDad
    @Achmed E. Newman


    Interest payments will be take up half the revenue, the deficits will be that much bigger, and that debt total (now, ~ $36 and 1/4 Trillion) will go up that much quicker. As the man said in the movie “Boys, we’re in a tight spot.”
     
    This is not even the heart of the problem. (And note the Fed owns 20-25% of that debt. Bing says 6.9 trillion. That part's just accounting, we could cancel it this afternoon.)

    The core of the economic problem that Americans consume about 5% more than they produce--year, after year, after year. And more like 15% in real goods. And we make it up by selling assets--stocks, corporate bonds, farmland and of course, the federal government's ever increasing debt--to foreigners. The Wall Street money changers think this is just peachy--a big bite of all the loot flowing by. But trying to squeeze down people's living standards and bring production and consumption back into balance, while inflating away the value of foreigners' debt--and in the process people's cash savings--is not going to be popular.

    And, of course, the economic problem is not even the core problem. That's demographics, centered on the immivasion. Which itself feeds back into the issue of economic productivity.

    There will be higher taxes and spending cuts/squeezing. But the one certainty is inflation. My set of polices would be way better--and less painful--than what the establishment will do. But no one's going to muddle through this without inflating down the value of our debt.

    This economic mismanagement is just another example of the general paradigm of our age: The STEM folks--the scientists, engineers and producers have continued to--in some cases impressively--deliver the goods. But our parasitic verbalist overclass elites, spewing absolute nonsense have been an utter disaster across culture, academia, media, politics, policy.

    Replies: @epebble, @Adam Smith, @Nodak, @Achmed E. Newman, @Achmed E. Newman

  • A handful of dedicated culture warriors took up the cause: Joe Rogan, Robby Starbuck, Elon Musk, etc. Robby Starbuck organized boycotts against woke businesses – especially businesses that primarily cater to square, flyover America. And I think Elon Musk really got pissed off when the tranny-insanity claimed his own son.

    Just the fact that Trump won, and with a decisive majority, took the wind out of the sails of the Democratic Party. When Trump won, after all they tried to do to him, they just gave up.

    For now, that is. It isn’t over. The left is down, but not out. The election was still relatively close, it turned on just under 3 million votes out of over 150 million cast. About half the country kind of believes a bunch of twaddle that I consider to be anywhere from stupid to totally bats**t insane. About a quarter to a third of the country really believes it. That isn’t a recipe for the long term stability of this country.

    • Agree: Achmed E. Newman, ic1000
    • Replies: @AnotherDad
    @Mr. Anon


    For now, that is. It isn’t over. The left is down, but not out. The election was still relatively close, it turned on just under 3 million votes out of over 150 million cast. About half the country kind of believes a bunch of twaddle that I consider to be anywhere from stupid to totally bats**t insane. About a quarter to a third of the country really believes it. That isn’t a recipe for the long term stability of this country.
     
    Bingo. Well said Mr. Anon.
    , @Patrick McNally
    @Mr. Anon

    If by "3 million" you mean the popular vote, Trump won that by a little under 2.29 million (77,302,169 Trump, 75,015,834 Harris). But the real key states were Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. In these states Trump won by 3,543,308/3,423,042, 2,816,636/2,736,533 and 1,697,626/1,668,229. If those 3 states had gone the other way, Harris would have had 270 electoral votes.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    , @RadicalCenter
    @Mr. Anon

    AGREE with you.

    Not a resounding win at all. Trump’s margin was only 2.2 million out of more than 152 million votes cast nationwide.

    The left is not down.

    The massive legal immivasion will continue under Trump, as he has always said anyone would listen.

    The overspending on the military and its aggressive wars thousands of miles from our borders, will continue under Trump, as will the rampant borrowing and money printing to pay for it, as he has done before and said he will do again.

    TRUMPTARDS: let’s see how massive the war budget is two years after trump takes office and signs federal budgets. Let’s see how massive the annual federal government deficit is after two years. He doesn’t give a damn about us, about our kids, about the government debt, etc.

    Guaranteed that Trump will not even propose reductions in war spending, let alone the 75% reduction that is overdue. Rather, he will propose cutting our parents’ hard earned and sorely needed social security benefits, and their already inadequate medicare coverage, while enriching pharmaceutical corporations and military manufacturers even more, and sending more tens of billions of taxpayer dollars in the form of bombs and equipment to “israel” for its ongoing extermination of children, women, and all palestinians in their own homes, on their own land.

    Fuck Trump and people too stupid or frightened to acknowledge, the guy is a fucking obvious fraud: he has never pushed for an immigration moratorium or strict lower cap, and he has never even proposed federal budgets and deficits that decline even $1 per year.

  • It's pretty amazing that there are a few ski hills within a 90 minute drive of the ten million residents of Los Angeles County. Then again, they aren't good ski resorts and are barely in business. I have no idea how they get employees to show up on the rare days when they are open....
  • Anonymous[349] • Disclaimer says:
    @Anonymous
    Anyone have a good, but unauthorized summary of the Abundant Life shooting, with info on the shooter?

    Wikipedia and the MSM are keeping mum so far. It's obvious that the police know since they identified her as a student.

    Bunch of random stuff on the net that she was trans or just female. Unclear, what. Like to get the straight scoop and don't trust the idiots on the net. But then there's no good stories out. Maybe Daily Mail or something like that, that will break the embargo.

    The name I've read (again from low credibility people on Twitter) is Natalie ("Samantha") Lynn Rupnow.

    Replies: @Anonymous

    This is the best I was able to find, read various posts:

    https://twitter.com/Slatzism/with_replies

    Whole thing has way more the feel of reality than a LARPer. More detail. No tease. And references pictures of shooter as child and infant. (Facebook of father is still up.) So I’m inclined to trust Slatzism.

    TLDR:

    *15yo female (not trans, always female).
    *Manifesto shared (unreadable rant, confusing).
    *Gun was stolen from father.
    *Had an online e-bf from Germany.
    *Lots of electronic trail of fascination with school shooting nihilism.
    *No info yet from classmates or teachers on her personality. E-bf said she was sweet.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Moshe Def
    @Anonymous

    A /pol/ thread on the matter, for those interested. Slatzism may not be good to trust. Lots of crazies in this deal, it appears.

    https://archive.is/r2STd

    Replies: @Anonymous

    , @AnotherDad
    @Anonymous

    Turn off their phones.

  • I would have been okay with Trump pardoning Hunter as a gesture of reconciliation.
  • @Not Raul
    @Mr. Anon


    Republicans were making a big stink about Hunter and his shady business dealings, which included his father. Biden’s DoJ had to do something to appear impartial, even though they aren’t.
     
    They’re still making a big stink.

    The charges against Hunter didn’t stop any Republicans from calling Biden corrupt.

    They’re still doing it. But they still don’t have any solid evidence of this corruption. Where’s the smoking gun? There isn’t one.

    If the charges (brought by a Trump-appointed special counsel) were a ruse to distract from anything, it was to distract from the lack of solid evidence of corruption.

    If the special counsel had such evidence, there would have been corruption charges.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    They’re still doing it. But they still don’t have any solid evidence of this corruption. Where’s the smoking gun? There isn’t one.

    There was. It’s even on video-tape. Here’s Smilin’ Joe Biden bragging ab0ut forcing the government of Ukraine to fire the prosecutor who was investigating Burisma, the natural gas company his son represented – the company his son only started representing after Biden was given the “Ukraine portfolio” – the son who didn’t speak Ukrainian or any foreign language for that matter, who knew nnothing about Ukraine, who had no experience in the natural gas business or the energy business at all, and who was a raging drug-addict, whore-monger, and generally just a degenerate scum-bag f**k-up.

    Then there are the payments to various Biden family members, amounting to several million dollars, shuffled around and filtered by numerous shell-companies, that were uncovered by James Comer’s committee.

    Tell us, just what does Hunter Biden do? What is his talent – his unique skill that allows him to command multi-million dollar fees for brokering deals? What are the nature of these deals? Why was Hunter Biden invoking his father to extort a payment from a Chinese businessman, telling him in an E-mail that his father was sitting right next to him and would be displeased if the payment was not forthcoming.

    You want a smoking gun for rampant corruption? It’s all on Hunter Biden’s own laptop, which the Feds pretended didn’t exist and then sat on.

    If the charges (brought by a Trump-appointed special counsel) were a ruse to distract from anything, it was to distract from the lack of solid evidence of corruption.

    No, that isn’t true. He was a Trump appointed attorney (from Delaware – Joe Biden’s stomping ground). But it was Merrick Garland who appointed him special counsel to “investigate” Hunter Biden (and – more importantly – not investigate Joe Biden).

    If the special counsel had such evidence, there would have been corruption charges.

    Sure, Merrick Garland just follows the law without fear or favor, as he always says. If you believe that – that Biden’s AG, a long time Democratic Party hack, was going to allow an investigation to get anywhere near “The Big Guy”, then you are a fool.

    • Agree: ic1000, TWS
    • Thanks: deep anonymous, JMcG, MEH 0910
    • Replies: @Not Raul
    @Mr. Anon


    Here’s Smilin’ Joe Biden bragging ab0ut forcing the government of Ukraine to fire the prosecutor who was investigating Burisma
     
    You have it backwards. The prosecutor was fired because he WASN’T aggressively investigating corruption.

    https://www.congress.gov/116/meeting/house/110331/documents/HMKP-116-JU00-20191211-SD440.pdf

    Then there are the payments to various Biden family members, amounting to several million dollars, shuffled around and filtered by numerous shell-companies, that were uncovered by James Comer’s committee.
     
    If that clown Comer had actually found anything illegal, there would have been charges.

    You want a smoking gun for rampant corruption? It’s all on Hunter Biden’s own laptop, which the Feds pretended didn’t exist and then sat on.
     
    The only smoking gun you guys found on Hunter’s laptop is his dick.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/willskipworth/2023/07/21/hunter-bidens-lawyer-files-ethics-complaint-against-marjorie-taylor-greene-for-showing-sexually-explicit-photos/

    He was a Trump appointed attorney
     
    Indeed. And you’d have to be pretty stupid to think that a Republican attorney would be doing any favors for Biden, when destroying the Biden family would be so great for an ambitious Republican’s career.
  • @Mustela Mendax
    How can the public be so easily diverted from the central issue surrounding young Biden's legal problems? No one should care about the petty problem about owning a gun while drug addicted. If anything, focussing on that creates sympathy, because it smacks of striking at Joe Biden by damaging a family member, which is contemptible. What matters, to my mind, is the obstruction of justice that obviously occurred when a substantial income tax case against young Biden was slow-walked to allow a statute of limitations to expire. I read the long testimony that IRS Agent Gary Shapley gave to a House Committee in July of 2023 - about a hundred double-spaced pages including questions asked by committee members - and I remember there were only about three people who seemed to be in a position to commit the obstruction - one was David Weiss, and I forget the two others. Thus I was astonished when AG Merrick Garland named David Weiss as Special Counsel to investigate. I wondered - had an arrogant, contemptuous middle finger just been raised in the public's face? In any case, even if Weiss is totally innocent - is that the norm, for an investigator to himself have involvement in the situation being investigated?
    The press has pointed out that young Biden's pardon may further the cause of justice, in that he becomes stripped of protection from self-incrimination. That being the case, I suggest that newly-inaugurated President Trump issue pardons to a number of officials with potential involvement in this and related obstructions - numbering possibly dozens, up to but not including the level of Merrick Garland - and then proceed with an aggressive, truly independent investigation.
    Here's a link to Gary Shapley's opening address:
    https://oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Shapley-Testimony.pdf
    Finally, I apologize for not reading this whole thread, and possibly rehashing subject matter already addressed. It's late, I'm lazy - you know how that works.

    Replies: @ic1000

    One of the many contemptible aspects of the Garland/Biden Department of Justice has been the normalization of punishing whistleblowers. I don’t know if this apples to Agent Shapley; I am most familiar with the case of Eithan Haim, a surgical resident who worked at Texas Children’s Hospital. Haim became aware that TCH continued to perform transgender interventions on minors once it became illegal in Texas. And that TCH’s leadership was lying when they announced that they had desisted from these practices.

    In leaking the information to Chris Rufo, it appears that Haim was scrupulous about maintaining patient confidentiality and following HIPAA. That was irrelevant to the DOJ, who has been engaging in a jihad to ruin the gender heretic’s life in every way they can.

    From this past summer, the US Attorney’s press release. And a defense of Haim at the National Review.

    Haim continues to discuss his experiences on Twitter, which unsurprisingly now include motions to gag him. Public awareness of DOJ/FBI lawfare could diminish trust in these institutions.

    • Thanks: Ministry Of Tongues
  • How can the public be so easily diverted from the central issue surrounding young Biden’s legal problems? No one should care about the petty problem about owning a gun while drug addicted. If anything, focussing on that creates sympathy, because it smacks of striking at Joe Biden by damaging a family member, which is contemptible. What matters, to my mind, is the obstruction of justice that obviously occurred when a substantial income tax case against young Biden was slow-walked to allow a statute of limitations to expire. I read the long testimony that IRS Agent Gary Shapley gave to a House Committee in July of 2023 – about a hundred double-spaced pages including questions asked by committee members – and I remember there were only about three people who seemed to be in a position to commit the obstruction – one was David Weiss, and I forget the two others. Thus I was astonished when AG Merrick Garland named David Weiss as Special Counsel to investigate. I wondered – had an arrogant, contemptuous middle finger just been raised in the public’s face? In any case, even if Weiss is totally innocent – is that the norm, for an investigator to himself have involvement in the situation being investigated?
    The press has pointed out that young Biden’s pardon may further the cause of justice, in that he becomes stripped of protection from self-incrimination. That being the case, I suggest that newly-inaugurated President Trump issue pardons to a number of officials with potential involvement in this and related obstructions – numbering possibly dozens, up to but not including the level of Merrick Garland – and then proceed with an aggressive, truly independent investigation.
    Here’s a link to Gary Shapley’s opening address:
    https://oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Shapley-Testimony.pdf
    Finally, I apologize for not reading this whole thread, and possibly rehashing subject matter already addressed. It’s late, I’m lazy – you know how that works.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @ic1000
    @Mustela Mendax

    One of the many contemptible aspects of the Garland/Biden Department of Justice has been the normalization of punishing whistleblowers. I don't know if this apples to Agent Shapley; I am most familiar with the case of Eithan Haim, a surgical resident who worked at Texas Children's Hospital. Haim became aware that TCH continued to perform transgender interventions on minors once it became illegal in Texas. And that TCH's leadership was lying when they announced that they had desisted from these practices.

    In leaking the information to Chris Rufo, it appears that Haim was scrupulous about maintaining patient confidentiality and following HIPAA. That was irrelevant to the DOJ, who has been engaging in a jihad to ruin the gender heretic's life in every way they can.

    From this past summer, the US Attorney's press release. And a defense of Haim at the National Review.

    Haim continues to discuss his experiences on Twitter, which unsurprisingly now include motions to gag him. Public awareness of DOJ/FBI lawfare could diminish trust in these institutions.

  • @ic1000
    @Buzz Mohawk

    > no matter how much of a “bad boy” I have become here

    Bad boy with good taste in music ;-)

    Replies: @Buzz Mohawk

    Thanks. I try, and I continue to discover musical artists that I did not know about. We all have our tastes.

    One of my philosophy professors in college liked to say, with regard to relativism, “Everything is a matter of taste, but some tastes are better than others.”

    He had worked as a carpenter building apartments in San Francisco before he earned his Ph.D. in philosophy.

    On Christmas Day this year, my godson will give a performance on the organ in the same church in Transylvania where I became his godfather at his christening that I attended 14 years ago. We have pictures of me holding him there in the church in his little, white, christening outfit.

    He cried when the priest put the water on him.

    The organ he will play is so old that the bellows were powered mechanically by men in the days before electricity.

    He is gifted, like my wife. He loves music and music theory. We have had detailed conversations about this. He speaks English fluently, which he learned entirely on his own, via the internet, by communicating with other young people around the world. He is 14 years old, and his parents are always amazed when he converses with me, very adroitly, in my native language.

    He will play the organ in that old church in his hometown in Transylvania on Christmas Day.

    Tears are welling up in my eyes now…

  • @Buzz Mohawk
    @Reg Cæsar

    Indeed! And he wasn't even the first president, as you know. There were presidents of the Continental Congress during the Revolution, particularly one John Hancock.

    John got married at an estate that still stands within walking distance of my previous home:

    https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52587255492_8d560e5011_b.jpg

    August 28, 1775, John Hancock Gets Married in Fairfield

    (I know you find interesting the history where I live, and I know you have referred me to it here, and I just want YOU to know that I appreciate that -- no matter how much of a "bad boy" I have become here -- i.e. already was before you knew I was.)

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @ic1000

    > no matter how much of a “bad boy” I have become here

    Bad boy with good taste in music 😉

    • Replies: @Buzz Mohawk
    @ic1000

    Thanks. I try, and I continue to discover musical artists that I did not know about. We all have our tastes.

    One of my philosophy professors in college liked to say, with regard to relativism, "Everything is a matter of taste, but some tastes are better than others."

    He had worked as a carpenter building apartments in San Francisco before he earned his Ph.D. in philosophy.

    On Christmas Day this year, my godson will give a performance on the organ in the same church in Transylvania where I became his godfather at his christening that I attended 14 years ago. We have pictures of me holding him there in the church in his little, white, christening outfit.

    He cried when the priest put the water on him.

    The organ he will play is so old that the bellows were powered mechanically by men in the days before electricity.

    He is gifted, like my wife. He loves music and music theory. We have had detailed conversations about this. He speaks English fluently, which he learned entirely on his own, via the internet, by communicating with other young people around the world. He is 14 years old, and his parents are always amazed when he converses with me, very adroitly, in my native language.

    He will play the organ in that old church in his hometown in Transylvania on Christmas Day.

    Tears are welling up in my eyes now...

  • @prime noticer
    can anybody speak to the mechanics here? i was definitely not under the impression any legal language of this nature was even possible.

    1) don't you have to specify an existing conviction or convictions, or at least an existing indictment, to strike from the record? since when can a Presidential Pardon can be completely open ended like a reverse fishing expedition, granting a person a reverse indictment forcefield? huh?

    2) what are the limitations or maximum duration of this new ability which i never heard about before? so if i'm President, can i just say, Person X is exempt from any crime he ever did since the time he was born until today?

    3) so the only rule that we're keeping is that the pardon cannot extend into the future, and is good for any action taken in the past, up and until the end of the calendar day today?

    so does this mean the President can do a 1 day pre-emptive pardon for person X? "Person X is pardoned for anything they do on calendar day today." huh? so i can pre-emptively pardon a couple guys at 9am, then at 10am they can start going around killing people, until midnight, and they're good to go? how does it all work, exactly?

    4) can't i just automate this so the ENTIRE NATIONAL Democrat voter roll in 2024 is granted a Presidential Pardon from literally the day they were born until the day I leave office? if not, why not? how could there be any limitation on me retroactively pardoning every single Democrat voter by mechanizing the process? hand signatures are the only limitation? why keep that rule? why not just kill all your political enemies then pardon the guys who did it?

    5) why did Biden do the pardon now, and not on his final day in office as is customary? because a crazy Indian guy was nominated to run FBI and Biden decided that was his trigger event? "Oh snap, this Indian guy might get us, I'm not gonna even wait, and hell, I might even forget to pardon him in 2 months."

    Replies: @ic1000, @Jack D

    Ford’s 1974 pardon of Nixon speaks to some of your points.

    …As a result of certain acts or omissions occurring before his resignation from the Office of President, Richard Nixon has become liable to possible indictment and trial for offenses against the United States. Whether or not he shall be so prosecuted depends on findings of the appropriate grand jury and on the discretion of the authorized prosecutor…

    Now, THEREFORE, I, GERALD R. FORD, President of the United States, pursuant to the pardon power conferred upon me by Article II, Section 2, of the Constitution, have granted and by these presents do grant a full, free, and absolute pardon unto Richard Nixon for all offenses against the United States which he, Richard Nixon, has committed or may have committed or taken part in during the period from January 20, 1969 through August 9, 1974.

    • Replies: @MM
    @ic1000

    Ford pardoned Nixon for things within Nixon's term as president.

    Likely because prosecuting him would have run into problems with presidential immunity and they didn't want to do that.

    Unlike the Democrats recently.

  • @John Johnson
    Hunter is on video smoking crack and hanging out with a prostitute.

    Not sure how much you can redeem his image at this point.

    Everyone views him as the loser of the family.

    I really doubt he would have done hard time. Maybe a few months in a country club prison.

    Not okay with it but it really doesn't change anything.

    Replies: @ic1000

    The felonies Hunter were convicted of speak to his poor character (crack, handgun violations, etc.). But so what, many such cases. He was never indicted on the charges that were serious in terms of his celebrity parent — influence peddling in Ukraine, accepting/extorting payoffs from front organizations for the CCP. And, if the [sarc] Russian disinformation [/sarc] laptop hard drive is to be believed, distribution of the ill-gotten gains to family members. Including to his celebrity parent.

    • Replies: @John Johnson
    @ic1000

    Look I would give both the Bidens 10 years of hard labor in Haiti if I could. Heck I would give his wife a year for pushing her husband into office. That is felony reckless endangerment.

    I just don't care at this point.

    His crackhead son blew all of his Ukraine board cash.

    A loser like that is his own worst enemy. He couldn't even sit on a fake board job that paid six figures and required him to do absolutely nothing.

    The Bidens were a mistake and everyone knows it. The Democrats are kicking themselves for not holding him to his promise of one term. If they held an actual primary then Harris would have been defeated and a better candidate would have gone against Trump.

    The left never even liked the Bidens. They only rallied around him after he was saved by Blacks in the primary. They didn't want a White man and even Obama only endorsed him at the very end.

  • @Michael Droy
    Biden talks loudly about 2 minor charges that Hunter has been charged with. Sure they are insignificant. Then he pardons him for a 10 year period of all crimes.

    We all know that includes serious corruption charges involving Joe Biden. Only no one dare say it.
    It isn't Hunter he is pardoning, it is the FBI investigation he is cancelling.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > Biden talks loudly about 2 minor charges that Hunter has been charged with… Then he pardons him for a 10-year period of all crimes.

    Yes. More significant than the pardon was the timing of the Justice Department’s handling of Hunter Biden’s serious wrongdoing. Specifically, the slow-walking of his Burisma board lucre, his consulting jackpots from PLA-owned Chinese companies, and his tax evasion. (If Hunter had evaded paying taxes on unreported foreign income, then so had the other members of the Biden family who had profited through Hunter from those cozy relationships.)

    Oh, darn. If the belatedly-appointed Special Prosecutor doesn’t rush to indict Hunter on those major crimes, the statute of limitations will pass.

    Oh, darn.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: So, What Happened? Steve Sailer November 13, 2024 ... One striking development is that the trend of Hispanics, especially Latino men, voting more for Trump that emerged in the poverty-stricken Rio Grande Valley of Texas in 2020 seems to have spread cross-country in 2024. Exit polls are inherently...
  • Steve, Here is an on-topic tweet that should be of great interest to you and your readership.
    Correlation = 0.91!
    https://twitter.com/JayMan471/status/1856645644833665067
    I explained the background to Mrs. ic1000 — how an obstacle to insight among academicians and legacy-media journalists/pundits is that Sailer/Voldemort must not be mentioned.
    She doesn’t believe me: no way that the Current Year’s public intellectuals could be so enstupidated.

    • Thanks: JohnnyWalker123
    • Replies: @epebble
    @ic1000

    I think you may be restating the statistic that most of the college educated (especially women) voted for Harris while the non-college voted for Trump. That may be further correlated with economic anxieties as our economy has become less hospitable to the non-college educated, especially for White women.

    Replies: @prosa123

  • Here's a pretty funny Reddit: Oak Park, IL is a very liberal, quite gay, still quite white suburb of Chicago just over the city line from the bleak Austin 'hood within Chicago. When Martin Luther King came to Chicago and demanded integrated neighborhoods, Austin was one of the first to tip. Middle class blacks moved...
  • In the ’90s and oughts, Rust Belt City had a hip, lefty weekly, modeled on NYC’s Village Voice, but available free from sidewalk newspaper racks. It was (obviously) supported by ad revenue, especially of the spicy Personal Services variety. In retrospect, the rise of Craigslist was its death knell.

    Most articles were as regime-compliant as one would expect — understanding their actual topics required the Pravda-reading skills that are oft-discussed in this comment section.

    But now and again they would publish bangers. One on the politics of the City’s schools (“We don’t care about students, this is our turn at the trough,” to paraphrase one African-American teachers-union official). Another on a taxi-unavailability crisis in bad black neighborhoods (“No-go zones because we’re fed up with being serial victims of casual armed robberies and shootings,” explained a Nigeria-born cabbie).

    Relevant to Austin/Oak Park, a third expose that dissected one rowhouse neighborhood’s transformation from working-class ethnic to ghetto hellhole. The reporter quoted real estate agents of that time and place, detailed how flipping led to fortunes, and bared the connections of these unsavory activities to the origin stories of many of Rust Belt City’s eminent patron-of-the-arts philanthropies.

    All this from memory. At the internet’s archives… nothing. Brittle newsprint in the public library’s basement? Nope. Microfiche? A deprecated storage technology.

    It’s like it never happened.

    • Replies: @Stan Adams
    @ic1000

    Was it the Chicago Reader?
    https://chicagoreader.com/news-politics/on-the-streets-where-i-lived/

    , @Almost Missouri
    @ic1000


    The reporter quoted real estate agents of that time and place, detailed how flipping led to fortunes, and bared the connections of these unsavory activities to the origin stories of many of Rust Belt City’s eminent patron-of-the-arts philanthropies.
     
    Thanks.

    At the internet’s archives… nothing. Brittle newsprint in the public library’s basement? Nope. Microfiche? A deprecated storage technology.

    It’s like it never happened.
     
    If it's from before 2000, the Newberry Library might be helpful.
    , @Reg Cæsar
    @ic1000


    It was (obviously) supported by ad revenue, especially of the spicy Personal Services variety.
     
    Which were nearly all race-specific. In my city, and probably every city. They all had these papers.
  • From The Guardian: Florida university to host extremist after DeSantis-led lurch to right Next month, New College of Florida will welcome activist and writer Steve Sailer, a ‘proponent of scientific racism’ Jason Wilson Sat 28 Sep 2024 08.00 EDT ... Sailer, 65, of Los Angeles, California, has no known academic qualifications in biology or any...
  • @Ralph L
    @ic1000

    I finished watching Walsh's interview of Reilly. He doesn't seem aware of the massive adverse reaction to The Bell Curve and Murray (he was just a kid then) and how it led to suppression, nor does he seem aware of Steve's statistics, but he did measure hate crime hoaxes, which is up Steve's alley. Could be an interesting evening for him and the audience. I hope it gets to youtube.

    Replies: @ic1000

    Thanks for the followup.

  • @SafeNow
    Ron DeSantis recently proclaimed victory - - asserted that the politics of New College had been successfully wrested away from the left. I would guess that DeSantis will take very effective action to demonstrate that his wresting has succeeded.

    I was curious whether Wilfred Reilly will be an effective “interlocutor” for Steve. My initial impression was that he would be a lightweight. But shame on me for having assumed this based solely upon the unprepossessing beard. After drawing my conclusion based upon the beard, I briefly checked-out a video of Reilly being interviewed, and lo, he struck me as articulate, smart, measured and good-natured. Steve should of course familiarize himself with Reilly’s principal talking points, and not underestimate him.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > [Reilly] struck me as articulate, smart, measured and good-natured.

    He is on Team Reality.

    For those with a commute, here is Razib Khan’s February 2024 podcast interview, Wilfred Reilly: a social scientist in the culture wars.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
  • @AnotherDad
    This Jason Wilson clown--I guess "the racists are coming!" is his beat--starts off ok, with the usual "racists", "eugenics", "Nazis" stuff, plus the standard credentialism. (Credentials are fine, but they are no substitute for empirical data and solid reasoning--for truth. Credentialed "experts" lie and say dumb shit all the time--in the social sciences, most of the time.)

    But after that solid "round up the usual suspects" start, Wilson's quote mongering doesn't go so well:

    Joseph L Graves Jr is an evolutionary biologist and geneticist, a professor of biology at North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University.

    In 2021, he and Alan Goodman, the Hampshire College biological anthropologist, published Racism, Not Race, a book-length refutation of the “myth” that there is a “link between socially defined races and genetic variation”.
     
    Huh? No link? None? How did people ever come up with this "race" idea in the first place? This sort of nonsense is just plain stupid, and would just make anyone not just nodding along for virtue assurance but with braincells turned on, go "huh?"

    BTW, now you have to run out to some backwater historically black college to get an authentically black biologist to denounce biological reality? That's your appeal to authority these days?


    Then he trudges on and actually quotes Steve ... oops:

    “It’s impossible to blame the African American homicide problem wholly on genetic differences because there was a huge explosions in the black-on-black murder rate in the days following the death of George Floyd on May 25, 2020, when America’s progressive establishment declared it was time for the ‘racial reckoning’ and prudent police retreated to the donut shop.”
     

    “The Grand Strategy of the Democratic Party is to be the Party of Diversity and thus to profit from America’s increasing diversity, such as by promoting DEI affirmative action for blacks, amnesty and more open borders to increase the number of Democratic-leaning Hispanics and Asians, and sponsoring new forms of identity such as the transgender frenzy of the last decade,”
     
    I guess these get old Jason all hot and bothered. But to a normal person giving them any kind of fair read, this Sailer fellow sounds like a font of--yes, establishment narrative skeptical--straight shooting truth telling. Certainly, more compelling and interesting than the laughable "no biological basis to race" pablum.

    Replies: @anonymous, @astrolabe, @Oleg Panczenko, @bomag, @ic1000

    > I guess these [quotes of Sailer’s] get old Jason all hot and bothered. But to a normal person giving them any kind of fair read, this Sailer fellow sounds [a strait shooter].

    Yeah. Reading the text, I saw plenty of “get me rewrite” instances. But… overall… I would have sent the article to typesetting as-is. Woke Jason and his woke editors can’t sense the water they swim in, and thus don’t recognize how the published quotes undermine their Antifa-adjacent narrative.

    To normie readers, that is.

  • @Ralph L
    Is Wilfred Reilly your foil?
    Wilson couldn't find someone with more prestige than a prof at A&T? His rolodex must be pretty thin.

    Replies: @ic1000, @mc23

    > Is Wilfred Reilly your foil?

    Please read a couple of Reilly’s essays (or follow him on Twitter), then Reply to this comment with an update on (or restatement of) your opinion. Judging books by covers, all that stuff.

    • Replies: @Ralph L
    @ic1000

    I didn't give an opinion. I wanted to know if it is going to be an adversarial discussion, which doesn't sound like Steve's kind of event. From the few tweets I read, Reilly sounds sensible, but why two speakers if they agree?

    , @Ralph L
    @ic1000

    I finished watching Walsh's interview of Reilly. He doesn't seem aware of the massive adverse reaction to The Bell Curve and Murray (he was just a kid then) and how it led to suppression, nor does he seem aware of Steve's statistics, but he did measure hate crime hoaxes, which is up Steve's alley. Could be an interesting evening for him and the audience. I hope it gets to youtube.

    Replies: @ic1000

  • Back in January 2016, I thought to myself, "Wow, the first 7 months of Trump's campaign sure were fun. You know, he might even win the nomination and be around for all of 2016. Heck, he might even win the election be around for 5 more years. At some point, though, the fun is gonna...
  • @Frau Katze
    @AnotherDad

    Yes it’s disappointing that Trump was so disappointing.

    Harris got really lucky. She doesn’t seem to have earned this. She just lucked into this. I think she’ll be a terrible president. Look for the open border to continue.

    One thing that amazes me at other sites is how few people care about the flood of illegal migrants.

    Replies: @bomag, @Colin Wright, @Jack D

    She hasn’t won yet.

    The MSM is ecstatic at Kamala’s performance but what excites DC pundits is not the same thing as what excites swing voters in Wisconsin.

    I don’t think that either candidate scored a knockout punch. There’s not even a good soundbite that can be played in campaign commercials, no gotcha, no “we beat Medicare”. It wasn’t like the last debate where senile Joe was left on the canvas. I don’t see this debate as decisively swinging the election and the race is going to remain close. There might be some temporary bump in the polls but in a week or two everyone will have forgotten this debate. Either candidate may squeak thru.

    Frankly they both suck as debaters (and the moderators were awful and biased) but they are not running a debating championship.

    • Agree: Goddard, ic1000
    • Replies: @Frau Katze
    @Jack D

    True. The MSM is so biased.

    , @Goddard
    @Jack D

    I’m curious, Jack— who are you voting for?

  • https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1833708735165841744

    Pollster Nate Silver’s analysis.

    Tonight was the first and perhaps only debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Thanks to all of you who joined us in the subscriber chat. It’s been a busy couple of weeks with travel and a lot of long newsletter pieces, so I’m going to prioritize speed rather than depth here with a series of bullet points based on notes I took while the debate was underway.

    There is a strong consensus that Harris won the night. Polymarket predicts there’s a 97 percent chance that Harris is judged the winner of debate in snap polls, and also has the overall race drawing to 50/50 after having shown a Trump lead at the start of the night. Bitcoin prices are down, which also implies a loss for Trump. Even the Fox News panel that I caught at the tail end of the evening seemed to concede that it was a win for Harris.

    Harris is a good tactician, and I imagine her campaign couldn’t have been more pleased with Trump repeatedly taking the bait literally every time that she offered it.

    Trump didn’t seem to know to do with the long 2-minute blocks and microphones muted. He’d have coherent and occasionally even fairly effective sections for 30 seconds at a time, but then he’d veer off into another direction. You’ll probably see some process stories complaining that Trump wasn’t well prepared for the evening.

    And Trump also was very much in “campaign rally” mode, speaking in terminology that was more coded toward the GOP base and name-dropping people like Sean Hannity and Laura Ingram.

    Lots of GOP complaining on Twitter about the biased moderation, which whether you agree or not, is almost always a bearish indicator.

    But to be fair, the set of questions was pretty friendly to Harris. Nothing about Biden’s fitness for office, for instance, even though his catastrophic failure in the first debate is the reason she rather than Biden was standing on stage tonight. And ABC News also doing basically real-time fact checking played well for Harris. Maybe some of the constant Democratic ref-working of the mainstream media played dividends.

    Trump was more effective on the economy than on other topics, sticking to simpler rhetoric that an economist might not approve of (e.g. on tariffs) but which will probably play reasonably well with the median undecided voter. I thought the first 10 minutes or so, focused on the economy, were actually pretty good for Trump — but there may be a fatigue issue, as there was with Biden. We didn’t see much “A-game” after that.

    Sustained debate early in the evening on abortion very bullish for Harris, both in terms of the substance and the subject matter — it’s probably Democrats’ best single topic. In particular, Trump couldn’t really land the point about the Supreme Court throwing it to the states as being a good thing. What happens in the first 15-30 minutes almost always matters disproportionately relative to the rest of the evening.

    Style-wise, Harris seemed quite canned at times, like in invoking Camp David.

    And the stature gap in terms of physical size was also notable, especially with Harris having a shorter podium. Sometimes you’ll hear people say that you should watch the debate with the sound off, and by that measure it was much closer than with the sound on.

    The most meme-able moment of the evening — Trump saying he had “concepts of a plan” on Obamacare but not articulating any details — also clearly favorable for Harris.

    Harris was repeatedly trying to recycle themes from convention speech, like American competitiveness against China and the military having a “lethal” fighting force. I thought Harris’s convention speech was very good, but this was interesting in light of her not getting a sustained convention bounce.

    Trump seemed more like the incumbent, which is bullish for Harris. He had some effective moments in attributing blame to Harris for the Biden-Trump administration — like in his closing statement where he asked what she’d been doing for the past three-and-a-half years — but he wasn’t focused enough to build these to a crescendo.

    I wrote yesterday that I thought there wouldn’t be a second debate, but if Harris gains in the polls, this might actually wind up being in the zone where both candidates have an incentive to debate again, with the race coverging fairly close to 50/50.

    But there’s also some chance that the Twitter/pundit buzz is getting a little carried away and underrating the impact of things like Harris’s gender. It would be surprising if this had an impact on the scale of the Biden-Trump debate, for instance.

    In closing, Harris got the debate she wanted. If she isn’t able to move the needle in the polls at least a little bit, maybe that means the country just isn’t buying what she’s selling.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @bomag
    @JohnnyWalker123


    Sustained debate early in the evening on abortion very bullish for Harris, both in terms of the substance and the subject matter — it’s probably Democrats’ best single topic.
     
    I've been getting plenty of pro-abortion political ads on my feed.

    Might be some political mileage had by tagging the Dems as the party of abortion, just on the ick factor alone.

    Replies: @guest007

    , @Anon
    @JohnnyWalker123

    "Lots of GOP complaining on Twitter about the biased moderation"
    .
    Poor Donald Trump ... the man who will single-handedly make Putin, North Korea, Israel, Palestine, et al bow to his will, was defeated by two pathetic TV talking head moderators?
    .
    Are these GOP complainers lying, or just stupid?

  • @John Johnson
    @William Badwhite

    Someone who passionately hates Trump has been brainwashed. He’s not my favorite, but as you say hate? His positions just aren’t that controversial.

    People that love or hate him creep me out.

    I get voting for him over Harris. Pick your poison.

    But wearing the stupid hat and cheering as he brings a wrestler to the stage? Or trying to believe that ALL of his criminal accusations are a liberal conspiracy? The guy is a scummy NYC real estate baron who not only enjoys crass reality tv shows but took part it one. Of course he has broken the law in his business dealings. He was breaking the law as a billionaire for petty reasons. It just shows that he thinks he is above the law.

    Gushing over Trump is just as creepy as the libs that think about him all day.

    Replies: @Goddard, @Mr. Anon

    People that love or hate him creep me out.

    I get voting for him over Harris. Pick your poison.

    But wearing the stupid hat and cheering as he brings a wrestler to the stage? Or trying to believe that ALL of his criminal accusations are a liberal conspiracy?

    I also don’t get the Trump cult – especially now, after his dismal track record. The hats, the enormous “Trump” banners on trucks, the child-like belief that he cares about the common man. I find it off-putting and silly. Creepy, as you say.

    But I also believe that none of the current prosecutions and suits against him are legitimate. They are indeed all a liberal conspiracy – lawfare designed to torpedo his campaign. The fact that most of the cases weren’t even brought until he announced he was running again is strong evidence of that. And even that sexual assault charge by that one loopy woman is bogus.

    Trump is kind of a slimy creep and probably has bent/broke some laws during his long career, but probably no more so than any other person in his league. The piling on him clearly is an attempt to utterly crush, not just him personally, but any movement he might (admittedly, badly) represent.

    • Agree: Cagey Beast, bomag, ic1000
    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @Mr. Anon


    'I also don’t get the Trump cult – especially now, after his dismal track record. The hats, the enormous “Trump” banners on trucks, the child-like belief that he cares about the common man. I find it off-putting and silly. Creepy, as you say...'
     
    We're desperate. It's distressing living in a collapsing civilization.
  • Earlier this year, I covered the black San Francisco dog walker who kept announcing he was the victim of racist hate crimes, such as graffiti and then his house being set on fire in "Wouldn't It be Crazy if This One Turned Out Not to be a Hate Hoax?" This was a big story in...
  • Proof that Joe Biden was right when he said white supremacy is the greatest threat to America. If even Ms. Chartrand can fall for this ideology, America is in big trouble.

    • Thanks: Adam Smith
    • Replies: @Currahee
    @NJ Transit Commuter

    It's the lack of positive black role models in media which leads to this.

  • From Mother Jones magazine, here's a video guest-starring Will Stancil about how Elon Musk has liberated evil Race Scientists like me. The evil tweet of mine they chose to display (at 1:06) is particularly funny because in it I'm arguing for the positive effects of better nurture on raising black IQ:
  • These days, “debunked” just means they don’t want to believe a claim and don’t actually have any data to buttress their beliefs. People like Stancil and whoever this guy is fall back on “systemic racism” as having altered what would otherwise be impressive black progress and achievements but they never, ever, have any actual data with a clear link to that.

    The Mother Jones reporter I can actually sympathize with to an extent. Although wrong on this and no doubt many other political issues, he’s clearly reasonably intelligent and no one with any sense of pride in their ancestry wants to believe that they are a major outlier rather than representative of what is possible for most of one’s co-ethnics. You can see this with Glenn Loury and John McWhorter as well, although they are far more honest about at least the cultural aspects that keep blacks dead last when it comes to every single positive socio-economic indicator. To Loury’s credit, he at least has a ‘let the chips fall where they may’ view rather than demanding interventions to artificially boost the appearance of achievement. McWhorter clearly understands the genetic piece as well but is so uncomfortable with it and the implications he clings to a sort of old school liberalism that is all but extinct with the actual left that holds power in academia and elsewhere as a kind of intellectual safe harbor.

    Stancil, on the other hand, is pond scum. Earnest prog whites who construct increasingly absurd political theories and actual policy that supposedly will put blacks (or other supposedly marginalized people) in their rightful societal place have wrought more political, cultural, and economic damage on the United States than anyone else and it’s not close. I think some people look at him with bemusement due to his low-T and nerdy demeanor, but he and his fellow travelers are truly the biggest enemies of a well-functioning and cohesive society that exist and they deserve be utterly destroyed in the professional and political realm.

    • Thanks: ic1000, bomag
    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Arclight


    These days, “debunked” just means they don’t want to believe a claim and don’t actually have any data to buttress their beliefs.
     
    In a similar vein, the "Press" will declare that this or that belief or claim held by someone is "baseless", when they - the media - refuse to ever investigate the claim in question. Their attitude seems to be:

    We declare this thing to be baseless, as nobody in the media has found evidence for it, because we in the media refuse to ever look for any such evidence.
    , @R.G. Camara
    @Arclight

    IQ is only half the problem with blacks. The other half is anti-social behavior.

    I've known people with well below-normal IQ but, because they are civilized in their behavior, can be productive members of society. Think kids with Down syndrome, or the Forrest Gump types. Plenty of low-IQ blacks historically also were as well, such as butlers, maids, chauffeurs, janitors, etc. The "loyal negro servant" trope existed for a reason--- there was a large percentage of blacks who could be good at lesser-intellectual activities and be sociable and pleasant to be around.

    The problem is the bottom 20-30% of blacks. Not only low-IQ, but anti-social in behavior. They want to rob, rape, molest, fight, steal, bother, harass, and threaten. And the upper 70% of blacks refuse to group punish them into oblivion (out of both shame and fear; the bottom 20-30% are extremely aggressive and violent), and so we get this continuous cycle of black bad behavior, crime, followed by a revolt of whites, either through strict criminal penalties or a mass riot (Tulsa Riots) to put the bad blacks in their place.

    Replies: @Bardon Kaldian, @Arclight

    , @Bumpkin
    @Arclight


    Stancil, on the other hand, is pond scum. Earnest prog whites who construct increasingly absurd political theories and actual policy that supposedly will put blacks (or other supposedly marginalized people) in their rightful societal place have wrought more political, cultural, and economic damage on the United States than anyone else and it’s not close. I think some people look at him with bemusement due to his low-T and nerdy demeanor, but he and his fellow travelers are truly the biggest enemies of a well-functioning and cohesive society that exist and they deserve be utterly destroyed in the professional and political realm.
     
    I disagree. As much as I loathe the progs and their new "woke" manifestation on most matters, they are mere foot soldiers, mostly gullible and easily deluded about human nature because they are not very observant or bright. That doesn't excuse their idiocy in pushing dumb policy, but it does explain it and they do have to live with the consequences of post-Floyd Minneapolis or NYC, ie their moronic decisions.

    I think "the biggest enemies" instead are the Neocons and other jews who will stop at nothing to achieve their goals, whether pulling the US into a disastrous war with Putin's Russia, China, or Iran or Soros's funding of midwits like Stancil and more illegal immigration. These jews are unfortunately so powerful today that even a "noticer" like Steve takes pains to shield his eyes from their malign power, staying very quiet about their malign actions in his writing.

    Keep your eyes on the ringmasters, Stancil and the progs are just useful idiots.

    Replies: @Corvinus

  • As Sailer’s tweet flashes on screen, Stancil says he’s arguing against race scientists [sic] whose claim is that American blacks have a genetically-determined IQ of 70.

    Would Mother Jones’ fact-checkers permit Sailer to rebut that he disagreed with Progressive Twitter personalities who run for state office, when they urged George Floyd to pass more counterfeit $20s?

    Kind of a one-way street you’ve got there.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    Where is res, your alter ego on this fine opinion webzine, to offer their commentary here?

    , @bomag
    @ic1000


    Kind of a one-way street you’ve got there.
     
    Good point. They can say anything with no push back from the interviewer/moderator.

    Caught an interview segment with hoaxer Jussie Smollet; has some current project the Good people must acknowledge. When asked about the hoax, he launched into a tirade about his "innocence." Interviewer said nothing, and I thought how today's rules of engagement forbid any disagreement: gay Black man involved with the racist criminal justice system; only avenue of engagement is abject agreement.

    Same with intelligence testing. We are more and more surrounded by the obvious: Black non-performance; Asians soaring higher; etc., so more effort goes into the bulwark of not noticing.

  • The evil tweet of mine they chose to display (at 1:06) is particularly funny because in it I’m arguing for the positive effects of better nurture on raising black IQ

    Yeah, that’s true, but they’re not interested. They’re never going to allow a good faith debate against people they deem anathema. They just wanna hold up a few designated sinners to ridicule before they bring on Sasha “Prelate of The Science” Gusev to declaim the catechism to the true believers.

    I notice the Voice Of Moderation™ black guy host did your favorite maneuver of claiming it’s all been debunked without actually saying what the debunking was (0:24), but who are ya gonna believe, logic or the Moderate™ host? He’s black, if you disagree with him that makes you racist.

    The part of that short video that was most surprising wasn’t that the designated evil Emmanuel Goldstein tweets were just anodyne, rational social science commentary, but that Will Stancil, whom I’ve never seen on video before, is almost incomprehensible when speaking. Even reading the (machine generated?) captions, it’s still hard to parse what he is saying. He seems to combine a facial tic (subclinical Tourette’s?) with a stilted mental model that results in syntactically awkward declarations delivered in mushy nasal enunciations. No wonder not even liberals would vote for him.

    • Agree: Frau Katze, ic1000
    • Thanks: bomag
    • Replies: @Bumpkin
    @Almost Missouri


    Will Stancil, whom I’ve never seen on video before, is almost incomprehensible when speaking. Even reading the (machine generated?) captions, it’s still hard to parse what he is saying. He seems to combine a facial tic (subclinical Tourette’s?) with a stilted mental model that results in syntactically awkward declarations delivered in mushy nasal enunciations. No wonder not even liberals would vote for him.
     
    You're not missing anything. Why do blacks get lower IQ test scores than whites? According to 38 year-old "Minnesota policy wonk" Will Stancil- have we found the white equivalent of "aspiring Florida rapper"? ;) - "Correlation doesn't equal causation"! So the fact the racial scores correlate doesn't imply race is the cause? I'd love to hear what Stancil believes the true cause for that racial disparity is, but I suspect all he knows about statistics and social science is to spit out that slogan.

    I was shocked this was the middle-aged Stancil that took Steve on and ran for office, as he looks and talks like he's in his 20s. Is this the Minnesota-cold white equivalent of "black don't crack"? :D

    He strikes me as Steve's Biden, who was the retarded mirror image of Trump, as Stancil mouths every catechism of woke dogma, seemingly too dumb to know any better.
    , @Currahee
    @Almost Missouri

    "It is debunked....DEBUNKED!!!"
    And....poof.

  • Temporarily lacking in U. of Virginia fraternity boys to defame with gang-rape-on-broken-glass fantasies, Rolling Stone magazine announced today that it is shocked, shocked that pro wrestler and actor John Cena personally follows my Twitter account (along with 856,000 other X accounts): Presumably, Cena (a very entertaining fellow, by the way) pays somebody to manage his...
  • Is your follower Soledad O’Brien really woke? I’ve watched a few episodes of her syndicated Hearst news show “Matter of Fact” on the local NBC station. She seemed to be more of an old-fashioned American Marxist or Communist, with anti-white racism and radical feminism added to the mix in an almost casual, “Why Not?” way.

    • Replies: @The Anti-Gnostic
    @ic1000

    With respect to her personal life and finances, Soledad O'Brien is every bit as conservative and anti-woke as Pat Buchanan. This is among the great crimes of our elites: they do not preach what they practice.

  • I'm a pretty big fan of corporate spreadsheet jockey Nate Silver, but this oped in the NYT promoting his new book ... I Have Been Studying Poker for Years. Kamala Harris Isn’t Bluffing. Aug. 20, 2024 By Nate Silver Mr. Silver is the author of the book “On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything.”...
  • Silver isn’t right about everything but I do feel that he is better than most than putting his emotions and bias to the side to try and put forth his best forecast about where things are headed at the present. His sentiment that Harris has the lead at present is accurate, I believe.

    The Dem establishment – who deserves condemnation for the deliberate fraud the Biden presidency has been – had the brains to shove him out the door when it was obvious he couldn’t win. Harris is not particularly politically talented, is implicitly part of the unpopular current administration, and has zero grasp of any public policy that I can discern. However, putting her forward gave them a fresh shot at defining their candidate in the public eye with the aid of their collaborators in the media and it’s working, which a useful reminder of just how easily led and manipulated most Americans are. Trump reacted with his trademark lack of discipline, which is the best thing that could have happened for the nascent Harris campaign.

    I do think Trump will regain his stride somewhat, and at the end of the day *all* of the criticisms he could have leveled at Biden apply to Harris so he should stick to that. Harris is probably going to come out of this convention as popular as she ever will be, so the race ultimately comes down to how much/how quickly that erodes in the time left.

    • Agree: AnotherDad, ic1000, Twinkie
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Arclight

    “Silver isn’t right about everything but I do feel that he is better than most than putting his emotions and bias to the side to try and put forth his best forecast about where things are headed at the present.”

    Thank you for that insight. That is what I meant by decoupling in Comment 12.

    , @bomag
    @Arclight


    ...putting her forward gave them a fresh shot at defining their candidate in the public eye with the aid of their collaborators in the media and it’s working, which a useful reminder of just how easily led and manipulated most Americans are.
     
    Pretty succinct.

    The hope was that more knowledge of human behavior would make all people more aware and happy. More like it has given our rulers more manipulation tools.

    Harris is probably going to come out of this convention as popular as she ever will be, so the race ultimately comes down to how much/how quickly that erodes in the time left.
     
    Key.

    Replies: @deep anonymous

    , @OldJewishGuy
    @Arclight

    Here’s Trump’s closing argument at the debate:

    Kamala Harris, you had one job — one job! — control the border and stop the invasion of our country by people who clearly do not belong here. You failed at your one job. You failed miserably. There are millions of people here now committing crimes and using up resources that belong to American citizens. So now it’s time for the American people to say to you, “Kamala Harris, you’re fired!!”

    , @AnotherDad
    @Arclight


    The Dem establishment – who deserves condemnation for the deliberate fraud the Biden presidency has been – had the brains to shove him out the door when it was obvious he couldn’t win. Harris is not particularly politically talented, is implicitly part of the unpopular current administration, and has zero grasp of any public policy that I can discern. However, putting her forward gave them a fresh shot at defining their candidate in the public eye with the aid of their collaborators in the media and it’s working, which a useful reminder of just how easily led and manipulated most Americans are. Trump reacted with his trademark lack of discipline, which is the best thing that could have happened for the nascent Harris campaign.
     
    Terrific spot on summary Arclight.

    I highlighted I think the key word: "fresh". Most obviously, they have attempted to cast Harris as "fresh" and give her the "agent of change" patina.

    And yeah, Trump, geez--what can you do? Everything is personal for Trump and he really wanted to--and was poised to--run against Biden and wallop him to get his personal revenge. So we got a few weeks of frankly weird, pointless, some of it Biden centric BS from Trump.

    Whereas his message ought to have been: "Their empty suit #1 was failing, so the deep state has trotted out their empty suit #2." "Same shit, different day." "Tweedledum and tweedledumber." Along with big doses of "Open Border Czarina Kamala Harris".

    If Trump wanted to draw any distinction between them, he could say "To his credit Joe Biden, didn't actually hate Americans, he is just thorough corrupt and nods along with whatever his paymasters tell him. ( 'Where's my oatmeal ...") Kamala seethes with contempt and hatred for America and ordinary Americans. She's a believer in oppressive America, as we saw in 2020's summer of riot. Kamala is the "burn baby burn" candidate." While her paymasters keep wrecking America and making life worse for Americans--Kamala is for it."

    Fortunately for Trump, he'll have a golden opportunity at the debates to demystify Harris, debunk her as the "change agent" and tie her to--wrap her thoroughly up in--the Biden Administration. Simply specific questions about what she did? In general--what spending did she try and stop? And specifically and most importantly on the border? What differing policies she offered? If she suggests she actually offered something better, why were her approaches rejected? Why did she have no influence? Whom does she blame? Whom will she fire on day 1? Force her to answer specifics or flail around on stage.

    Joe Biden was incompetent and letting this disaster happen why did she do nothing? Why didn't she call upon him to resign? Or simply drop out of the 2024 race and let the Democratic party voters pick a candidate?

    All pretty easy to see and understand. Pretty easy to wrap her up in the Biden Administration and expose her as an empty--and ineffectual--suit.

    The question is does Trump have the focus and discipline to be prepared and do it?

    Replies: @Ryan Andrews, @Dmon

    , @Corvinus
    @Arclight

    “The Dem establishment – who deserves condemnation for the deliberate fraud the Biden presidency has been”

    Debatable among the American electorate. A roughly 50-50 split.

    “However, putting her forward gave them a fresh shot at defining their candidate in the public eye”

    You’re overthinking it here. She is Biden’s policy holder. Supporters AND detractors alike know of her positions.

    “which a useful reminder of just how easily led and manipulated most Americans are.”

    But somehow not you. Tell us, how are you compared to the 100+ million whites that you disparaged with your comment seemingly inoculated from being manipulated?

    “Trump reacted with his trademark lack of discipline”

    And that’s not going to change.

    , @Colin Wright
    @Arclight


    '...and it’s working...'
     
    I'm not sure about that. Harris got a brief bump in the polls relative to Biden, but it's already fading.

    Also, while you're right that CNN, The Washington Post, and so on are banging the Harris drum pretty hard -- isn't their influence less than ever?

    They insist Harris is doing well. I'm skeptical that she is. All Trump has to do is step back and make it all about Kamala -- and he's won.

    ...or at least the fix will have to be really obvious this time.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    , @Twinkie
    @Arclight


    I do think Trump will regain his stride somewhat, and at the end of the day *all* of the criticisms he could have leveled at Biden apply to Harris so he should stick to that. Harris is probably going to come out of this convention as popular as she ever will be, so the race ultimately comes down to how much/how quickly that erodes in the time left.
     
    As before, I think the election will come down to the two of the so-called blue wall states - MI and PA. Trump is still more likely to sweep the sunbelt battleground states (NV, AZ, NC, GA), in which case Harris must sweep WI, MI, PA. If Trump indeed does sweep the sunbelt and then wins either MI or PA, it's curtains.

    That said, even I am occasionally affected by the constant drumbeat of how Kamala's numbers are rising and how she is now leading the election, but then I see a poll like this:

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/poll-harris-trump-statistical-dead-heat-in-virginia/ar-AA1p7Eu6


    Virginia appears to be in play in the presidential election, with Vice President Kamala Harris holding a slight lead over former President Donald Trump in the commonwealth, according to a poll released Tuesday morning.

    The Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College shows Harris ahead of Trump by three percentage points (47%-44%) in a head-to-head matchup. When other candidates were included, Harris still leads by three points (45%-42%). When factoring in the poll’s 4.5% margin of error, Harris and Trump are in a statistical dead heat.
     


    The poll is the first major survey on Virginia voters since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race last month. Earlier polling data showed Biden and Trump tied, with some showing the former president leading in the commonwealth.
    Virginia is not a consensus battleground state, though the Trump campaign and Republicans such as Gov. Glenn Youngkin differ from that opinion and believe it is pivotal.

    The economy appears to be the most pressing issue heading into the election, with 48% of respondents saying it is the No. 1 factor. A distant second is abortion (16%), closely followed by immigration (15%), foreign affairs (6%) and crime (4%).
     

    If Harris can't carry VA, a relatively reliable blue state these days and one that contains the epicenter of the Establishment and THE suburb of the Imperial Capital (Northern Virginia), she is done.

    The fact that she is only 3% ahead in such a blue state (margin of error 4.5%) at the height of her media-driven popularity doesn't bode well for her, I think.

    Also, I bet this (and the fact that he's facing Harris-Walz, not Biden-Harris) makes Trump wish that he had picked Glenn Youngkin, not JD Vance as his VP candidate. Unlike Vance who underperformed all other Republicans in a reliably Republican state in his only election, Youngkin won in a reliably Democratic state and now enjoys a commanding voter approval (around 55%).

    If the Trump/Vance ticket were to lose, Youngkin would make a formidable Republican candidate in 2028 against Harris.

    Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease

    , @Zumbuddi
    @Arclight

    Tom Luongo with Mike Farris

    https://rumble.com/v5bs4zp-coffee-and-a-mike-tom-luongo-kamala-harris-is-the-psyop.html

    ~20 min

    Yes, the Harris campaign is a psy op, and, according to Luongo, the psy-op is that Kamala is dumb.

    Luongo studied what Harris says when she's giggling & drunk or acting drunk, compared with the totalitarian-style of things she says soberly, albeit briefly.

    The giggling routine is a "psy-op." Harris uses it to diminish the real threat she poses.

  • From the Opinion section of the Wall Street Journal: Walz Dithered While Minneapolis Burned Kamala Harris made an odd choice of running mate if she wanted to appear tough on crime. By Heather Mac Donald Aug. 13, 2024 1:58 pm ET ... Mr. Walz’s tenure as Minnesota’s governor will be defined by the George Floyd...
  • @Jonathan Mason

    At 6:30 p.m. the same day, Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey asked Mr. Walz to activate the Minnesota National Guard. Mr. Frey followed up with a written request at 9:11 p.m. Mr. Walz didn’t respond until 4 p.m. the next day, when he signed an executive order activating 500 state soldiers. In the interim, his staff had quizzed the Guard about its members’ DEI training and whether they had experience working with “diverse communities,” according to a report by a Minnesota Senate committee.
     
    Some talk in the UK about calling out the military to deal with rioters, but the general opinion seems to be that they are not really trained or equipped for dealing with riot situations, whereas the police have lots of experience of policing soccer matches and suchlike.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/c86lqldp26xo

    Also in the USA police are already militarized to the extent that they all carry guns, so they can shoot people if they wish. My understanding is that in Minneapolis they were using tear gas and rubber bullets, and curfews were in effect except for workers traveling to and from work.

    Additionally, the police (in the UK) have access to all kinds of technology for recognizing offenders and vehicles, disguised or not, that would be used in subsequent arrests and prosecutions.

    It seems pretty doubtful that the National Guard would be much use in such situations, and politically aware people in the US are no doubt still cognizant of the Kent State shootings.

    Perhaps the National Guard could be used to protect important buildings and redirect traffic while the police are engaged elsewhere.

    Anyway, I don't see why anyone would blame Walz for treading very carefully before calling out the National Guard, because it could have made the situation worse, not better.

    A steady stream of British rioters are drawing average prison sentences of two years, even without any prior criminal record. A woman was also sentenced to 15 months in prison for writing a Facebook post recommending "burning down mosques with adults inside."

    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/czdpnn88n2pt

    What seems to be missing is a record of the 604 Minneapolis rioters who were arrested being prosecuted and sentenced. Whether Walz could have influenced this, I do not know.

    But then no one has much experience of dealing with riots in real time in a legal and humane way that minimizes harm.

    Trump could be equally criticized for skulking in the White House while havoc ensued over on Capitol Hill. Had he served as a commander at the time of the Civil War, it is unlikely he would have later become president based on his record like Grant, Hayes, Garfield, Harrison, or McKinley.

    Replies: @ic1000

    It seems pretty doubtful that the National Guard would be much use in such situations [civil unrest], and politically aware people in the US are no doubt still cognizant of the Kent State shootings.

    Perhaps the National Guard could be used to protect important buildings and redirect traffic while the police are engaged elsewhere.

    Anyway, I don’t see why anyone would blame Walz for treading very carefully before calling out the National Guard, because it could have made the situation worse, not better.

    I asked ChatGPT about the peacetime roles of the National Guard; its reply is below the fold. See #2. If (contra the FBI and the Justice Dept.) you believe that Antifa and Black Bloc exist, and behave as terrorists, feel free to add #4.

    It’s good to know that you aren’t a sophisticated, current-generation chatbot. (Not that I ever thought that you were.)

    [MORE]

    Me: “In the United States, in peacetime, each state’s National Guard is under the control of that state’s Governor. In order of importance, what are the main reasons for this? What are the missions and duties that National Guard units are trained to undertake, under the Governor’s control?”

    ChatGPT 4o:

    Reasons for State Control of the National Guard:

    1. State Sovereignty: The National Guard’s state control reinforces the constitutional principle of state sovereignty, allowing states to manage their own defense and emergency response independently of the federal government.

    2. Domestic Response: States need immediate and flexible control over military forces for responding to emergencies such as natural disasters, civil unrest, and other crises that require quick action.

    3. Historical Tradition: The National Guard’s roots lie in early colonial militias, which were local forces raised by states or colonies for their defense, maintaining the tradition of state-level military oversight.

    Missions and Duties Under Governor’s Control:

    1. Disaster Response: Assisting in the aftermath of natural disasters like hurricanes, floods, wildfires, and earthquakes, including search and rescue, medical support, and logistics.

    2. Civil Disturbance Control: Managing civil unrest, riots, and large public events to maintain order and public safety.

    3. Support to Civil Authorities: Providing aid during emergencies such as pandemics, infrastructure failures, and other public safety crises, including transportation, medical services, and communications.

    4. Homeland Defense: Protecting state and local infrastructure and assisting in anti-terrorism efforts within the state.

    • Replies: @Jonathan Mason
    @ic1000

    Yes, but the question is whether National Guard troops have modern riot control training and powers of arrest.

    Actually an answer I found in Quora goes like this:

    In other States, like Minnesota, there are explicit statutes defining that members of the Minnesota National Guard are not, de jure, considered “peace officers,” but if anyone hinders them or obstructs anything they are ordered to do in the line of duty, that person may be arrested by the National Guardsman and delivered to the nearest local police officer for processing into the criminal justice system.

    Fair enough, but I imagine it would take time to plan how to use the National Guard in case of riots, set up coordination with law enforcement, and so on.

    Incidentally, the District of Columbia National Guard is under the command of the President, but even so, I doubt whether it would be feasible to call out the DC National Guard to quell a riot within the time scale of an hour or two. It is not like they are the Fire Service just waiting for a bell to ring so they can slide down a pole and be on the road.

    I would imagine that after the events of recent years all states and cities would now have riot plans and emergency managers in place.

  • The Argument Clinic.

  • @AnotherDad
    @Almost Missouri



    What a ditz…
     
    You say that, but her own words articulate a deep-seated resentment of heritage Americans and an elaborated plan to destroy that population through “protest”, a euphemism for political violence.

    There are things she is ditzy about, but this isn’t one of them.
     

    You beat me to it Almost, but agree. Yeah she's a lightweight and a "ditz". But "ditz" doesn't capture it. She didn't invent any of this cancerous minoritarian glop, but she is pickled in it. She is a believer. She is vile--a vile ditz.


    When I listen to this sort of minoritarian nonsense, I always think: You people are so clueless. You are so lucky whites are so tame and good hearted. What if whites simply had enough and there was a white riot? What if whites simply said, "Fine. We aren't going to police you anymore. But ... you the "diverse" aren't welcome in our communities any more. You go make your life over there. We'll leave you alone, but don't come around here, no more." LOL.

    Minoritarianism is a parasite ideology. White normies are serfs and must "be open" and provide the goodies we create to minorities. And yet they think they are "the oppressed".

    Replies: @Goddard, @Almost Missouri

    Agree.

    Walz, by contrast, is a DEI-cordycepted bureaucrat, subjecting every statement and action to tedious, defeatist DEI do-loops. City aflame? Wait! Are the Guardsmen DEI-vetted? Rioters to blame? No! DEI excuses their crime. He’s a Company Man, loyally pursing the corporate mission statement while executing all programmed subroutines. The company is the Democratic Party and the mission is The Great Replacement.

    Kamala can be a ditz. On subjects she has no interest in, she retreats into Veep-ish circular self-reference. Or if really cornered, she’ll deploy what everyone calls her “cackle” but what is more of a sorority party-girl guffaw: it is engaging and disarming rather than irritating and id-disclosing, as Hillary’s actual cackle was. But on the subject of conquering America, she is an able acolyte of Obama’s one big talent: presenting egregious—even genocidal—policy as if it were just uncontroversial common sense. For this reason alone, Kamala was worse than Tim on the Mostly Peaceful Riots and is worse on everything else.

    • Agree: ic1000
    • Replies: @TWS
    @Almost Missouri

    Kamala's cackling is as pleasant as a file across the teeth. Sorority girl guffaw? She sounds like mutton bleating not lamb.

  • Belatedly, this morning, the NYT drops “Walz Faces New Scrutiny Over 2020 Riots: Was He Too Slow to Send Troops?” The article’s 58 paragraphs are big on the passive voice, as the reporter describes the complexified difficultness of the pressure-cooker situationality that unprecedented Governor Walz used all of his military veteran and schoolteacher experience to face in dealing with the cascade of fast-paced challenges.

    Where was I?

    Oh yeah. Below the fold is the start of the article (fair-use extract.)

    The “Ctrl-F ‘murder’ adjacent to ‘Floyd’” count is six.

    In an amusing effort to validate Sailer’s view of the NYT’s revenue model, subscriber comments are pouring in. At the moment, “Diedre” has garnered the most upvotes:

    Walz offered help and waited for the Mayor to make the call.

    The Mayor should have made the call a day earlier but Walz was ready to go when asked.

    We still have not heard a response from Donald Trump why it took 4 hours for his office to allow a response on Jan6

    Top-ranked comments two through eight also call out Trump, January 6, or both.

    [MORE]

    Walz Faces New Scrutiny Over 2020 Riots: Was He Too Slow to Send Troops?
    Gov. Tim Walz’s response to the unrest has attracted new scrutiny, and diverging opinions, since he joined Kamala Harris’s ticket.
    by Mitch Smith
    Aug. 14, 2024, 5:02 a.m. ET

    The protests had turned into riots.

    Two days after a police officer murdered George Floyd by kneeling on his neck, the mayor of Minneapolis called the governor, Tim Walz, asking for help. The police had lost control of the situation. The city needed the Minnesota National Guard.

    That same Wednesday evening, May 27, 2020, the city’s police chief, Medaria Arradondo, sent an email to the state commissioner of public safety conveying a similar message, asking the National Guard for “immediate assistance with significant civil unrest.” He said 600 troops were needed.

    It was not until that Thursday afternoon that Mr. Walz, a Democrat, signed an executive order activating the Guard. That night, before large numbers of troops were deployed, rioters set a police station on fire. And it took until Saturday, five days after Mr. Floyd had died and three days after Mayor Jacob Frey of Minneapolis had requested National Guard assistance, for the situation to begin to calm.

    Ever since, the governor’s response to those requests has been under scrutiny, even more so now that Vice President Kamala Harris has selected Mr. Walz as her running mate.

    Mr. Walz, a National Guard veteran, was in charge when his state became the center of a searing discussion about racism and police violence, and as it experienced some of the country’s worst unrest in a generation.

    In that moment, he had to decide whether and how to use the military, providing insight into how he might perform during a global crisis as vice president or, possibly, as president and commander in chief.

    A series of official reports about that week found failures at all levels of government, including some on the governor’s part.

    Mr. Walz has said little recently about his response, and he declined to be interviewed for this article. But a reconstruction of the days after Mr. Floyd’s murder reveals that Mr. Walz did not immediately anticipate how widespread and violent the riots would become and did not mobilize the Guard when first asked to do so. Interviews, documents and public statements also show that, as the violence increased, Mr. Walz moved to take command of the response, flooding Minneapolis with state personnel who helped restore order.

    [continues…]

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @ic1000


    Walz offered help and waited for the Mayor to make the call.

    The Mayor should have made the call a day earlier but Walz was ready to go when asked.
     
    Is Diedre wrong? If the mayor had made the call a day earlier wouldn’t the Guard have been deployed a day earlier?
    , @Frau Katze
    @ic1000

    Yep at NYT the readers hate Trump. No matter how bad Kamala or Walz may come across the commenters just keep on about Trump.

  • Not off-topic, here is a reply to Sailer over at the Astral Codex Ten Substack, on Kamala’s “How I Met Your Mother My Running Mate” origin story. Deiseach quotes an August 8th AP account of Harris’ meetup with Walz:

    The makings of a presidential ticket began in an unusual spot six months ago: a Minnesota abortion clinic.

    At the time, it was a historic visit for Vice President Kamala Harris — no president or vice president had ever made a public stop at one. But the visit laid the groundwork for Harris to connect with Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and learn about his interest in reproductive health, an issue Harris has taken the lead on during her White House term.

    At first glance, the 60-year-old governor might not seem the most likely of political surrogates to talk about abortion and pregnancy. But Harris found a partner who has a track record of increasing abortion access in his state and can speak comfortably about his own family’s struggles with infertility.

    [continues…]

    Deiseach’s acerbic comment:

    See the enthusiasm for Kamala which includes “and of course she and Walz are correct on reproductive justice”, where that means “all abortions all the time!” Oh, excuse me, I’m always lagging behind on what the current correct terms are: now it’s “reproductive health.”

    How far we have come from “Safe, legal, and rare.”

    Whoever “we” might be.

    • Agree: TWS
    • Thanks: Ron Mexico
    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @ic1000

    "Reproductive" should be our term, not theirs. People who want to have children but are forced to put it off because wages are stagnant and affordable housing is soaked up by opportunistic aliens are the ones whose reproductive rights and health are under attack.

    Kam and Tim: "We'll make it easy for you to kill your child, but impossible keep it!"

    Where is Vance on this? The Vances are the first candidate couple since the Palins who are still in the fertile demographic, if only just. (The Buttigiegs sure aren't.)

    Replies: @J.Ross, @Corvinus, @AnotherDad

  • @Harry Baldwin
    Maybe it's just me, but I'm more concerned about the way Walz responded to the Minneapolis riots than I am with his stolen valor. Whether or not he honored his military commitment did far less damage to the nation than his sympathy for rioters, looters, and arsonists

    It's bizarre that they're trying to present Walz as a candidate who represents "joy." He reminds me of Ed Asner's crabby character in the movie "Up."

    https://i.pinimg.com/originals/af/bd/80/afbd800d14ae8b0b4a87c86e24cff96e.jpg

    Replies: @Thomm, @Anon701, @Dmon, @Twinkie, @meh, @JohnnyWalker123, @bomag

    It’s bizarre that they’re trying to present Walz as a candidate who represents “joy.” He reminds me of Ed Asner’s crabby character in the movie “Up.”

    That character had a reason to be crabby – the love of his life couldn’t have a baby and then she fell ill and died before he, not having fulfilled their joint dreams.

    What’s Walz’s excuse?

    All that “joy” stuff is just Instagram-pretend. He and Harris are two of the phoniest political characters in America.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Twinkie


    What’s Walz’s excuse?

    All that “joy” stuff is just Instagram-pretend. He and Harris are two of the phoniest political characters in America.
     

    What is motivating Walz? What is he in politics for?

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth

    , @Prester John
    @Twinkie

    And that takes in a lot--and I do mean a LOT--of territory.

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Twinkie


    That character had a reason to be crabby – the love of his life couldn’t have a baby and then she fell ill and died before he, not having fulfilled their joint dreams.
     
    That heartbreaking wordless vignette (montage, or whatever) is the only CGI work I've seen that comes close to traditional paint-on-paper animation in humanity. Or even stop-motion animation, for that matter. CGI ruined Fireman Sam and Thomas the Tank Engine. In the case of the latter, the music, once among the best anywhere it the 1990s, went into the loo as well. An ebbing tide lowers all boats.

    TheWallace and Gromit people wisely rejected CGI technology out-of-hand.

    CGI Pocoyo isn't too bad, but its extreme minimalism helps.

  • Squad member Ilhan Omar, a native of Mogadishu, is in another tight primary race with Don Samuels, a native of Kingston, Jamaica, for the right to crush face Republican Dalia al-Aqidi, a native of Baghdad, in November. What’s wrong* with this picture?

    Mr. Walz’s skin color bore on his legitimacy as a decision-maker, he said: “I will not patronize you…”

    Pandering is evidently distinct from patronizing.

    Sis you know that Ilhan Omar is not black, or “Black”? Just ask Hassan Al Khaire, former prime minister of Somalia, who declared on a visit to the district and its representative:

    “Whether you like this girl or not, it is very important that Ilhan, as a Somali, is in that place [Congress] for us. Any Somali who believes that a Black man should take that seat [the Fifth Congressional District] or a white person, there is something wrong with that person’s morals.”

    https://www.donsamuels.com/2024/07/31/don-samuels-issues-statement-on-rep-ilhan-omars-failure-to-condemn-campaign-surrogates-racist-remarks/

    *What’s right is that none of them can be President!

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @Reg Cæsar

    Looks like Ilhan prevailed again. According to Reuters, AIPAC only contributed $25 to her challenger. I doubt they'll give any more to her GOP opponent.

    , @The Germ Theory of Disease
    @Reg Cæsar

    Everyone has the right to live in America, except for Americans!

  • Black crime is a major issue for middle class Whites, including me, who live in the inner suburbs of large cities. Trump did not do well with White suburbanites in 2020, winning them by four percentage points versus sixteen percentage points in 2016.

    Trump made an effort to get more of the White rural, Black and Hispanic vote in 2020. This worked some with Hispanics and White rural voters but failed with Blacks. Republican efforts should be more directed at increasing the percentage of middle class White voters rather than pandering to Blacks.

    The Republicans received a gift with the Walz pick because of his weak response to rioting and looting after the Floyd death. In addition to advocating tough on crime policies, coming out against affirmative action, third world immigration and an extensive welfare state are other positions that could help increase the White middle class vote for Trump.

    • Agree: ic1000
    • Disagree: Corvinus
    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Mark G.


    In addition to advocating tough on crime policies, coming out against affirmative action, third world immigration and an extensive welfare state are other positions that could help increase the White middle class vote for Trump.
     
    Trump needs to go hard with the personal insults combined with doomsday citing of Harris and Walz’s records. He needs to get his 2016 mojo back by going hard with the personal destruction mockery he used against Jeb and Hillary and others.

    Harris and Walz are beneath contempt (they are literally traitors) but Trump needs to hit ‘em hard anyway. Standup insult comic is the way to go. He’ll get bigger, more engaged crowds than by only complaining about crime and talking about unemployment or whatnot.

    And when the debates come, insult her to her face. Relentlessly. She won’t pull her (scripted) punches, so he should not hold back. Epithets from him against Kamala should include “incompetent”, “airhead”, “cackling idiot”, etc. Work her ‘imposter syndrome’. Get outraged press. Repeat. Pimps Up, Ho’s Down: The Don’s gotta regulate her uppity ass.

    Replies: @epebble, @SMK, @Corvinus, @Corpse Tooth, @Mark G.

    , @Renard
    @Mark G.


    Black crime is a major issue for middle class Whites
     
    You and I know different middle-class whites. The ones I know (wherever they live) steadfastly refuse to admit even the possibility of black crime, and are convinced that the vast majority of crime in America is caused by right-wing white men.

    Moreover, in the rare case that a black male is prosecuted, he was framed by racist cops and/or the victim of systemic white supremacy.

    Granted, these white people I know are mostly women, and they watch a lot of television. Or is that last part redundant?

    Replies: @Currahee

    , @guest007
    @Mark G.

    When anyone points out that urban areas in deep red states have very high crime rates, conservatives point out that the Republican governor, Republican state attorney general, the Republican controlled legislatures have no responsibility to the urban core areas that have Democrats as mayors. If that is true, then how can a Republican president have any effect on the local crime rate?

    Replies: @TWS

    , @Mr. Grey
    @Mark G.


    Republican efforts should be more directed at increasing the percentage of middle class White voters rather than pandering to Blacks.
     
    I assume that pandering to Blacks turns away many White, Hispanic and Asian voters.
    , @Bragadocious
    @Mark G.

    There's a video making the rounds of Walz's stormtroopers firing paintballs at white suburbanites on May 29 or May 30, the 2 nights of his "curfew." Now why would Walz order cops into white suburban neighborhoods? Because he knew he could bully them, and knew they would take it. Most likely, he reviewed 2016 voting patterns before deciding which blocks to harass.

  • From the New York Times: Aren't there any critics of Kamala who think it's the right strategy for her to prevent her from going viral with another lame gaffe? Isn't the big secret about Kamala that there is no secret: she's just a basic old sorority girl? From Politico: Why Harris isn’t taking questions By...
  • Kamala is doing exactly what Biden did for the 2020 campaign – what someone called a basement campaign.

    Both are prone to awkward gaffes and have no upside to doing interviews. But that’s okay, that just means the GOP can keep running old footage like the “Have you been to the border?” bit or the “Be woke” bit.

    Democrats act like Biden’s dementia was some big new discovery (“We’ve been lied to!”), but he was already manifesting it prior to the 2020 election, which culminated with him introducing his granddaughter as his deceased son and then “correcting” the mistake by confusing her with her cousin.

    No, it was there already and the press just “nothing to do see here” the whole thing.

    As others have pointed out, the press is now on full-court press to throw the election to Kamala. Witness the New York Times’ brief coverage of the scandalous revelation about Kamala’s husband Doug Emhoff. It reported of Emhoff confessing to an “old” affair (he didn’t confess, he was exposed), for which he allegedly “paid the price” and quickly transitioned to how his ex-wife thinks Kamala is just great!

    What the NYT leaves out is that Emhoff impregnated a much younger elementary school teacher of one of his children and then the woman in question “did not keep the baby.” In other words, the mainstream press is desperately trying to “nothing to see here” the fact that their proposed First Gentleman cheated on his first wife with his young child’s teacher, got her pregnant, and then the baby was aborted. Classy, huh?

    • Agree: mc23
    • Replies: @epebble
    @Twinkie

    Classy, huh?

    What is the relevance to Election 2024? If one of Trump's ex-lovers had three abortions from three different men before she had a tryst with Trump, is that a character flaw of Trump? Should everyone in a person's transitive closure be sinless for him/her to be of good character?

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @Twinkie

    , @Redneck Farmer
    @Twinkie

    Emhoff vs. Trump is probably the election we deserve.

    , @AceDeuce
    @Twinkie

    Based on the vibes I got watching the VP announcement rally, I think that "Jack Emhoff" and "Sugar Walz" would make a darling couple. Maybe Hunter Biden could stay at the White House to provide stud service to the two jilted gals.

    , @Anonymous
    @Twinkie


    their proposed First Gentleman cheated on his first wife with his young child’s teacher, got her pregnant, and then the baby was aborted.
     
    Maybe she gave the baby up for adoption. That is usually what “did not keep the baby” means.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Roderick Spode

    , @anonymous
    @Twinkie


    Democrats act like Biden’s dementia was some big new discovery (“We’ve been lied to!”), but he was already manifesting it prior to the 2020 election, which culminated with him introducing his granddaughter as his deceased son and then “correcting” the mistake by confusing her with her cousin.
     
    Biden's granddaughter Natalie was featured prominently on Hunter Biden's laptop with highly inappropriate bikini photos, as well as other scarily suggestive photos she was sending him when he was still running around loose. Also on the laptop were emails of Hunter complaining about his dead brother's wife not allowing Natalie (she was about 10 at the time) to visit him for a weekend alone, even though it was on recommendation by her therapist. A professional therapist advised Natalie's mother that allowing Natalie to be alone with Hunter under any circumstances would be an extremely bad idea.

    It’s amazing that no news organization has delved into this, as well as Biden harassing his own daughter to allow him to take showers with her when she was 12 years old. It got so bad, she had to take showers at 1:00 am to ensure he was already asleep, so wouldn’t jump into the shower with her.

    Any reporter can find the pictures on Hunter's laptop. Any reporter can read Biden's daughter’s diary. And probably most have, yet… radio silence.

    Professional journalists aside, where are the podcasting feminists? Where’s all the "me too" ladies and gentlemen? Where is their outrage?

    Is their desperation to keep Trump out of office so much so that they think the Biden girls should just "take one for the team"? That seems rather black-hearted.

    It carries the patina of cultists protecting their leader at the expense of the children of the cult. A common cult maneuver.

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @Reg Cæsar, @Twinkie, @36 ulster

    , @SFG
    @Twinkie

    If you’re a man, you can get away with a lot as a Democrat…until you’re no longer useful.

    Then, the knives come out.

    , @CalCooledge
    @Twinkie

    So the new First Couple will be a pair of abortion-loving adulterers, leadership that is perfectly emblematic for Hijacked New America.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    , @Guest29048
    @Twinkie

    Thanks.


    their proposed First Gentleman cheated on his first wife with his young child’s teacher, got her pregnant, and then the baby was aborted.
     
    There is a chance that the woman gave birth to a girl named Brook, and that "did not keep the baby" means she subsequently gave Brook up for adoption.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13703933/Kamala-Harris-Doug-Emhoff-cheated-nanny-Najen-Nayler.html
    , @Arclight
    @Twinkie

    Exactly - the media got tough on Biden only after it was apparent that no amount of massaging or framing would be enough to rescue him, which is exactly what the Democratic brahmins wanted so they had cover to force him off the ticket. Now they are back to carrying water for the party, and the sudden appearance of stories about how dynamic and fun Kamala is (oddly, no actual voters felt that way when she got loads of exposure in 2020) are all over the place, and they will hammer how historic she would be and so on.

    It's important as a general rule to remember most people are sheep (applies to both sides) and that there are a *lot* of people who hate Trump and will take any excuse they can to vote against him, which is why Harris has benefitted from a significant swing in polling. This is where Trump's historic lack of discipline could really come back to bite him. Harris is beatable because enthusiasm will probably cool off a bit, events at home and abroad will happen that can be used to hold the de facto incumbent to account, there are no doubt plenty of personal and political opportunities to make hay, and fundamentally she doesn't engender personal loyalty from voters.

    The media will never, ever intentionally help out the right or Trump. The fundamental public anxieties about inflation/economy, competence, illegal immigration and crime remain - stick to those topics and eventually Harris will have to address these things through the media.

    Replies: @Peter Akuleyev

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @Twinkie

    If one believes in true love, you probably figure that Doug and Kamala just met cute, fell madly in love, and decided to get married in August 2014, when they were both 50.

    If you are a big cynic, you might notice that this was exactly when Kamala was gearing up for her 2016 Presidential run, and you might suspect that her Democrat groomers discovered that "single girl boss cat-lady" wasn't testing well.

    Replies: @AnotherDad, @Peter Akuleyev, @Thomm, @Colin Wright, @Jim Don Bob

    , @Jack D
    @Twinkie

    I realize abortion is a scary word for Catholics but what reflection is it on Kamala if years before she met Emhoff , his mistress aborted a child vs. putting it up for adoption? Even putting aside that all this has nothing to do with Kamala, if the child was given up for adoption, does this make Emhoff somehow less sleazy and if the mother decided to abort he is more of a sleaze?

    To me the hilarious thing about these nanny-shtupping incidents (see also Arnold) is that the nanny in question is not usually some lithe gorgeous young thing that even a saint might be tempted to shtup like you might imagine. They are short and fat and quite plain. I do wonder whether these men actually pursued these women or whether it was vice versa and they just didn't have the character to say no when a freebie was offered. Of course, "free" is never free.

    Trump had to pay Playboy model Karen McDougal but at least he got his money's worth.

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @SafeNow, @Twinkie

  • The US press have bent over so far they’ve come around in a full somersault, just so they can bend over some more. It’s sickening.

    • Replies: @notbe mk 2
    @The Last Real Calvinist

    at this point the press bend over so much that they are kissing their own ass and sucking their own something

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there.
  • @OilcanFloyd

    Americans tend to like black Americans and want to do nice things for them....

     

    I don't think that's true at all. Most Americans don't hate black Americans, but doing nice things for them and fawning over them is largely forced, because everyone knows that it's expected from above, and nobody really knows what to do with blacks. Nobody likes affirmative action and gimmes for blacks when they are on the receiving end or view themselves as paying for it. I also doubt that black culture and entertainment would make much of an impact outside of the black community without being forced on others. Seriously, Americans have to be either seriously dumbed-down to the point of no return, or just playing along to accept a moron like Calvin Broadus, and many others, as even remotely entertaining or endearing.

    If whites and other non-black Americans were as fond of blacks as right-thinking media boomers claim, then Americans would be much less self-segregating than they are. Almost nobody wants to live among blacks, and that largely has nothing to do with hating blacks.

    I haven't really looked at Taki's site in over a decade. What happened? It might as well be NR or The Atlantic. Is his daughter running things now?

    Replies: @Twinkie

    Mr. Sailer wrote:

    Americans tend to like black Americans and want to do nice things for them….

    In response, you wrote:

    I don’t think that’s true at all. Most Americans don’t hate black Americans, but doing nice things for them and fawning over them is largely forced, because everyone knows that it’s expected from above, and nobody really knows what to do with blacks. Nobody likes affirmative action and gimmes for blacks when they are on the receiving end or view themselves as paying for it.

    I do think that many white Americans – especially on the left – want to do nice things for blacks, but “tend to like black Americans” is completely wrong and is contradicted by real life, revealed preferences such as intermarriage and housing patterns. Nice educated white liberals might want a nice educated black liberal as a token, emblematic friend, but he/she certainly stays the heck away from most blacks.

    Mr. Sailer misses some trends in this article, because of his own particular priors. For example, he writes:

    In his vague way, Trump appears to sense that one issue that might unite the white, black, and red historic nations of America is opposition to ceding rule of the United States to an Obama-Kamala-style global elite ruling class…

    This is more of Mr. Sailer’s wishful thinking than is reflective of reality. All statistical indicators are that, far from a nativist white, black, and red alliance, the broad political trends seem to indicate a white-Hispanic working class political coalition emerging versus the high-low coalition of elites (largely white/Jewish/South Asian) and blacks.

    Mr. Sailer also seems to miss the sexual dimension to the above political coalitions. Increasingly, males of all races – even blacks – especially those of the working class segment are trending toward a coalition with working class white males. Recently, commenter Elmer T. Jones wrote a very insightful and humorous comment, in which he described Kamala Harris as “the Stock Photo DEI Candidate.” He went on to write, “You’ve seen her on every corporate web page under the “Careers” tab. She’s leading teams, giving presentations, programming space vehicles.” (https://www.unz.com/isteve/governor-of-isteve-content-generator-mississippi-gets-veep-nod/#comment-6699067)

    There is a reason why the stock photo DEI is almost always a black woman. It’s because “women of color” are often the biggest beneficiaries of DEI employment. Black women tend to have higher educational attainment rate than black men and, being women, are more ideally suited to nebulous, talky fields such as “human resources” and the like that contain a large fraction of DEI hires. There is even some statistical evidence that affirmative action benefits black (and even more Hispanic) women at the expense of black men: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/08/the-long-run-impacts-of-banning-affirmative-action-in-us-higher-education.html

    Results suggest that banning affirmative action results in a decline in URM women’s college degree completion, earnings, and employment relative to non-Hispanic White women, driven largely by impacts on Hispanic women. Thus, affirmative action bans resulted in an increase in racial/ethnic disparities in both college degree completion and earnings among women. Effects on URM men are more ambiguous and indicate significant heterogeneity across states, with some estimates pointing to a possible positive impact on labor market outcomes of Black men.

    Mr. Sailer is correct, of course, to point out that black elites are more admixed than the black masses. But this is not unusual. I’d posit – based on housing, educational, income, and intermarriage data – that white elites are also more admixed (probably with Asians) than the majority of ordinary whites. Indeed, this is true of all race/ethnicities in the U.S. (in other words, upscale Asians are more admixed than ordinary Asians and upscale Hispanics are likewise). See the median income data by marriage types below:

    And this has been the case for millennia globally. During the heydays of the Roman Empire, for example, the genetics of the city of Rome was shifted toward the Levant, likely suggesting that the long distance trade encouraged migration of merchants, ambitious aspirants and the like from the Levant to the imperial capital that led to admixtures, which later disappeared as the empire and long distance trade collapsed (the city’s population was replenished still later from the countryside).

    You can see the same phenomenon at work with, say, JD Vance, who – once he rose to the hallowed halls of power, aka Yale Law School, from Appalachia, romanced and married Usha Chilukuri, a daughter of South Asian immigrants and forming a “power couple.”

    • Thanks: kaganovitch, bomag, ic1000
    • Replies: @nebulafox
    @Twinkie

    “HR Lady Harris” has a nice ring to it.

    , @Bardon Kaldian
    @Twinkie


    This is more of Mr. Sailer’s wishful thinking than is reflective of reality. All statistical indicators are that, far from a nativist white, black, and red alliance, the broad political trends seem to indicate a white-Hispanic working class political coalition emerging versus the high-low coalition of elites (largely white/Jewish/South Asian) and blacks.
     
    Strange.

    I agree that there is a white-Hispanic working class coalition, but I don't see any high-low coalition of white.... & blacks. Except if you refer to black thugs as some kind od elites' informal "army".

    Racially, American elites are mostly white/Jews/Asian mix.

    Except that many whites have lost racial consciousness- Zuckerberg's wife is, I think, Korean; one Gates' daughter is married to Egyptian Muslim, while another is screwing some negro "fiance". Nikki Haley's daughter...

    Unthinkable for Churchill, FDR, even Kennedy & Nixon.

    Replies: @bomag

    , @nebulafox
    @Twinkie

    “HR Lady Harris” has a nice ring to it…

    , @OilcanFloyd
    @Twinkie


    I do think that many white Americans – especially on the left – want to do nice things for blacks...
     
    Yes, but it's often completely self serving virtue signaling, which goes along with my point. Lots of those people are effectively brainwashed victims of mass hysteria. Others are just stupid.

    All statistical indicators are that, far from a nativist white, black, and red alliance, the broad political trends seem to indicate a white-Hispanic working class political coalition emerging versus the high-low coalition of elites (largely white/Jewish/South Asian) and blacks.

     

    That may be true in a political sense, but it doesn't make a difference, since nobody is going to represent the interests of the middle against the elites. The Republicans and Democrats surely aren't going to represent anyone but the elites, while throwing bones at their pets.

    Beyond that, I don't see proof of a white and hispanic coalition of the working class. From my experience, hispanics stick together, and the elites reward them with jobs and preferences for doing so. HR ladies love favoring browns over whites. They get points for that, and it makes them feel good. I don't see how hispanics would benefit from a coalition with whites, when our whole society is centered around replacing the white middle and working classes with hispanics. Why ruin a good thing by making an alliance with the people that you have been chosen to replace?Demographic numbers are the only statistics that I trust on this issue. Personal experience in blue collar jobs also tells me otherwise.

    Mr. Sailer is correct, of course, to point out that black elites are more admixed than the black masses....
     
    That's obvious, but nobody really challenges that.

    And this has been the case for millennia globally. During the heydays of the Roman...
     
    At the empire stage, that's true, but that often signals destruction rather than building. Building up to an empire and running an empire are usually two very different things. The modern West is probably more akin to Egypt being overrun by Nubians, than the decay of the Roman Empire. I wouldn't even call the the U.S. a nation anymore, since the elites are completely divorced from the traditional elites, and are in the process of replacing the founding and frontier stock with foreigners of totally different ethnic and racial backgrounds, which is backed up by demographic and employment statistics. I don't expect to see the beneficiaries buck those trends to revive a nation that they don't relate to, if they don't outright hate it, or to ally with the people that they have been chosen to replace.
  • Obviously, Trump was wrong: Kamala has always identified as both Asian Indian and black.

    Was he wrong? Early photos of Kamala show a young Indian woman among her Indian family. To the extent her British Commonwealth family referred to her mulatto father at all, they probably conceived of him as Jamaican-white rather than American-black.

    Kamala’s black-identification seems to have begun exactly when the incentives for it kick in: post-secondary education. Identifying as Indian (“Asian”) there doesn’t get you anything, so she didn’t do it. Identifying as black does get you a lot, so she did it, even though she was barely quadroon and certainly less black than Indian.

    Of course, by the time Trump encountered her as Willie’s side-piece it was after her black-shift, so nowadays he is supposed to think of her as black, but characteristically he saw her for what she actually was and didn’t bother enquiring about whatever ethnic flag of convenience she was flying.

    The question then is not if Kamala used to be Indian, she was, the question is merely over the timing of her transition to black. Trump assumes it was after he met her, but it may have been a few years before, so The Great and The Good insist that he must submit to that transition just as everyone must submit to new pronouns from the gender-confusers.

    Ultimately, it’s just another fake technicality that doesn’t matter. The Dems’ Narrative Talkers are already saying “she’s black, she’s Indian, she’s everything!” and their voters will accept this as they accept everything else they are told to, because they operate on consensus-policing not on facts or logic.

    • Agree: bomag, ic1000
    • Replies: @Frau Katze
    @Almost Missouri

    Kamala’s mother was fascinated by blacks. She joined a black organization in California where she met Kamala’s father (her Indian parents were horrified).

    I bet she passed that fascination along. Although Kamala married a white guy.

    I wonder if she straightens her hair?

    Replies: @DCThrowback, @Jack D, @J.Ross, @Almost Missouri, @epebble

    , @J
    @Almost Missouri


    whatever ethnic flag of convenience she was flying.
     
    Well said.
  • If you get it right, then you can cite it endlessly. If you get it wrong, only your most obsessive worst enemies will look it up.
  • @Mark G.
    It doesn't matter who Kamala picks. The average person is worried about crime, high prices and illegal immigration and all three of these areas have gotten worse under the Biden-Harris administration. They have a track record now and it is a record of failure.

    The Democrat authoritarianism on display during the Covid epidemic and the fact that the Biden-Harris administration dragged us into another Vietnam or Afghanistan style quagmire in the Ukraine will also help Trump, provided he sends more clear signals he is going to wind that war down.

    Finally, it appears we are entering a recession. This is indicated by the most recent jobs report, which shows declines in employment. Upon seeing that, the Japanese stock market just had a record drop. An American recession may lead to a worldwide recession. Countries going into a recession usually do not reward the party in power by giving them another four years in power.

    Replies: @AnotherDad, @Reg Cæsar, @Pop Warner, @Torna atrás, @Mike Jones' other brother Darryl, @Currahee

    The Democrat authoritarianism…

    Tulsi Gabbard now has a federal air marshal riding along with her. It’s not for her protection, but for democracy’s.

    Federal Air Marshal Whistleblowers Reveal Tulsi Gabbard is Actively Under Surveillance Through Secretive Quiet Skies Program

    The ACLU was onto the story six years ago:

    TSA Darkens the Skies With Secret Surveillance of Americans

    But are they now?

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Curle
    @Reg Cæsar


    “According to LaBosco, Gabbard’s enrollment in Quiet Skies is likely politically motivated. Air Marshals were first assigned to Gabbard on Jul. 23, a day after she criticized Kamala Harris, Biden, and the National Security State in an interview with Laura Ingraham.”
     
    Or even more cynically, Air Marshals put her in the program so they could get frequent trips to HI. Think I’m joking? Former Fed. friend says certain required agency training sessions taking place throughout the country would be standing room only when conducted in Las Vegas. When the relevant agency pushed back via distance from home base requirements the crowds disappeared.

    Replies: @EdwardM

    , @Mr. Anon
    @Reg Cæsar


    Tulsi Gabbard now has a federal air marshal riding along with her. It’s not for her protection, but for democracy’s.
     
    Alternative title:

    TSA employee who pervs on Tulsi Gabbard gets official sanction to stalk her.......and get paid for it.
  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there.
  • But the retreat of law enforcement from American roadways has also occurred against the backdrop of a rise in road fatalities.

    But the proliferation of human papillomavirus has also occurred against the backdrop of an epidemic of genital warts.

    • Agree: ic1000
    • Replies: @mc23
    @the one they call Desanex

    Lol. You have the Write Stuff.

  • @Vernunft
    @ic1000

    Literally nothing in what you quoted is in passive voice, and it is a voice, not a tense.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > it [passive] is a voice, not a tense.

    Thanks.

    > Literally nothing in what you quoted is in passive voice

    In my opinion, the broader point remains. Badger and Blatt use grammar to obscure, not to illuminate.

    Paragraph 13:

    As American roads have grown more deadly, many people interviewed for this article blamed a breakdown in the social contract — the basic expectation that drivers will follow the rules. But reversing that will be difficult when the chief enforcement mechanism of road safety for decades in America — the traffic stop — has been a recurring scene of police misconduct.

    Roads grow deadly.
    People blame a breakdown in the social contract.
    Traffic stops are the recurring scene of misconduct.

    Scan the “Reader Picks” comments to see how few subscribers grasp what’s driving the increased fatality rate. After reading the lengthy article on that subject.

    It’s a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.

  • Paragraph 4:

    This decline [in traffic stops], seen in an Upshot analysis of local law enforcement data, accelerated a shift that began in many places before the pandemic, suggesting that the police have pulled back from a part of their job that has drawn especially sharp criticism. To many communities, traffic stops have led to racial discrimination, burdensome fines and deadly encounters—not road safety. But the retreat of law enforcement from American roadways has also occurred against the backdrop of a rise in road fatalities.

    2nd sentence, Get Me Rewrite.

    To many communities, traffic stops have led to racial discrimination, burdensome fines and deadly encounters—not road safety.

    Racist white policemen use traffic stops as a pretext to discriminate against Blacks [1], burdening innocent Black drivers with unjust fines. These racist white policemen have enabled Car Violence to join Gun Violence in unleashing deadly encounters—denying too many communities’ yearning for road safety.[2]

    [1] The active tense has its uses.
    [2] Subtlety is sometimes overrated.

    • Replies: @bomag
    @ic1000

    Thanks.

    And it highlights the default setting that Blacks are always innocent.

  • As the famous video of the Chinese supervisor working in Africa goes, “it’s all so tiresome.” For the life of me, I cannot think of a single large news outlet story I have read in the last 25 years that treated blacks as accountable for their actions or spoke honestly about national trends that are driven primarily by this one group.

    That said, I will stick to my repeated claim that the tide is going on America’s longstanding cultural and political deference to blacks. Aside from the demographic changes that will mean diverse America has a much larger share of the population from groups that are largely indifferent to black demands, based on my completely anecdotal observations of my teen children and their friends, many young whites are not the least bit unclear or deluded when it comes to racial reality. Naturally the last group to change their views will be the elites at the helm of various media outlets, colleges, and so on, but I do think in the coming years there will be subtle cultural indicators that things are changing.

    • Thanks: ic1000, TWS
    • Replies: @bomag
    @Arclight

    Thanks.

    One can take comfort in the power of reality to seep through, but there always lingers the phenomenon of markets staying irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

    , @Corvinus
    @Arclight

    “based on my completely anecdotal observations of my teen children and their friends, many young whites are not the least bit unclear or deluded when it comes to racial reality”

    Right, YOUR personal accounts, which is limited in value due to bias.

    But if we look at data…

    https://www.prri.org/spotlight/the-power-of-diverse-networks-among-young-americans/?amp=1


    Generation Z is the most racially diverse generation in American history, with roughly 1 in 2 Gen Zers identifying as non-white. PRRI’s recent report on Generation Z shows that, on numerous fronts, non-white Gen Z Americans, both teens and adults, have distinct attitudes and experiences compared with their white counterparts. For instance, non-white Gen Zers are far less likely to trust the police than their white counterparts and are far more likely to report that they have experienced hostility or discrimination based on their race or ethnicity.

    PRRI’s 2022 American Bubbles Survey found that when Americans have more diverse social networks, in terms of race, party, or religion, they have increased willingness to exhibit tolerance, embrace inclusivity, and support the foundations of a pluralistic democracy. Among other findings, white Americans who have just one non-white friend among their social networks are far more likely to believe that the legacy of slavery and discrimination still have an impact on the lives of Black Americans; they are also more likely to prefer living in a racially diverse nation.

    It turns that this diversity effect is present for younger white Americans, too, although younger Americans have already begun to experience social networks that are far more diverse than their parents’ or grandparents’ generations. Returning to the 2022 American Bubbles Survey, 43% of all Americans aged 18-29 report a friendship network with some racial or ethnic diversity, but that percentage drops among older Americans to 37% of Americans aged 30-49, 32% of Americans aged 50-64, and 24% of Americans aged 65 or older
     

    Replies: @TWS, @Stripes Duncan, @Reg Cæsar, @AnotherDad

    , @Anonymous
    @Arclight

    The Boston area is getting blacker by the day. And as Massachusetts is putting up migrants in hotels and luxury apartments— most of them black— the commonwealth is building new apartments buildings for these migrants in places like Cambridge, Quincy, Waltham, et al., like there’s no tomorrow and all on the q.t.

    But apparently the most vexing problem for upper-middle class white folks in Boston suburban towns like Needham or Natick is whether their kid will get into Williams or Bowdoin.

    Replies: @Frau Katze

    , @Yngvar
    @Arclight


    As the famous video of the Chinese supervisor working in Africa goes, “it’s all so tiresome.”
     
    https://media.gab.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=568,quality=100,fit=scale-down/system/media_attachments/files/153/207/952/original/cfe30332f54b2072.jpg
  • 78 paragraphs to this article, longer even than most of the NYT’s Trump-is-the-new-Hitler thumbsuckers.

    Emily Badger and Ben Blatt’s lede sets the tone:

    In the early days of the pandemic in 2020, traffic stops by the police plummeted around the country, as fewer cars were on the road and as agencies instructed officers to avoid nonessential contact with the public.

    As can be seen, the tenses used by these crack investigators are mostly passive.

    In Badger/Blatt World, agencies, traffic stops, and especially cars have agency. But particular individuals rarely do, and black drivers — never.

    If Times editors had insisted on mentioning the bad guys’ secret identities, subscribers’ reactions would have been swift and severe. This time around, “Reader Picks” comments disappoint — Theme #1 is “danged reckless drivers waddya waddya,” leavened by “racist police” and “Europe superior.”

    But as Sailer notes, the two graphs that would enable readers to grasp the nettle — kindly reproduced at the end of his Taki’s article — were presented by Emily and Ben as an afterthought, in paragraph 79.

    Which had to be cut — the paper ran out of space.

    Darn.

    • Replies: @Vernunft
    @ic1000

    Literally nothing in what you quoted is in passive voice, and it is a voice, not a tense.

    Replies: @ic1000

  • @Almost Missouri

    nobody else’s ruling class were so stupid as to shoot their country in the foot
     
    Did they shoot their country in the foot becasue they're stupid or because shooting the country in the foot (and elsewhere) is their raison d'être?

    ---------

    From your Substack promotion of the Taki piece:


    But traffic fatalities among African Americans grew an appalling 78 percent.
     
    There are several reasons for this.

    First, these are raw deaths and the black population has grown somewhat faster than the white population.
     
    The black population is growing while the white population is shrinking, so perhaps "somewhat" here means "infinitely"?

    Second, poor blacks tend to live in inner cities, so during hard times, such as after the 2008 Great Recession, they can can take public transit. In contrast, poor whites tend to live in the sticks, where they need a car to get around.
     
    That's true, but increasingly blacks are getting AFFH-ed into white suburbs and small towns, so welfare-dependent blacks probably do drive more now.

    Still, given that the big jump in black homicides and traffic deaths comes at exactly the moment the Racial Reckoning was declared, there is no denying that the primary cause is the ruling class (including the New York Times) deciding "to shoot the country in the foot". The blood is on their hands, and neither great Neptune's ocean nor Emily Badger's cry of "Out damned spot!" will wash it away.

    Replies: @ic1000

    Excellent comment. I enjoyed the link to NYT reporter Emily Badger’s iSteve Content Generator page. She has much to be proud of.

    • Agree: bomag
    • Replies: @Almost Missouri
    @ic1000

    Thanks.

    I appreciate your using the term "iSteve Content Generator" re Ms. Badger so I don't have to. That really was what I was getting at with URL. I tried to squeeze the term into the comment, but it broke up the flow of the MacBeth references too much.

  • Putin's strongman in Chechnya, colorful Ramzan Kadyrov has been a leading iSteve content generator for over a decade. So let's check in on how his 2024 is going: From DJ: Chechnya reportedly bans all music outside of 80 - 116 BPM APRIL CLARE WELSH 8 APRIL 2024, 11:33 This new restriction will forbid vast amounts...
  • My concept of Chechens derives from the 2014 movie “The Drop.” This superb film stars Tom Hardy, Noomi Rapace, and James Gandolfini in his last film. Hardy and Gandolfini are very formidable, as they must manage to successfully navigate the entanglement of their bar with the mafia. Well, the producers needed to cast a group of villains who were even more formidable than the above…not easy. Americanized Chechens – – super-scary bad guys – – to the rescue. Rentable at Amazon Prime.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Michael Droy
    @SafeNow

    Great film.

    , @ydydy
    @SafeNow

    Based on your recommendation followed by acclaimation I just watched "The Drop". Indeed a good film that I hadn't heard of. Thanks.

    It got me thinking about how TV is a bit of a propagandist for a certain way of thinking and this way ot thinking isn't accurate so it prisons the public's perception of the problems and their potential solutions.

    I wrote this in response:

    https://ydydy.substack.com/p/movies-make-murderers-look-bad

    But I got thinking further that we can't blame Hollywood for giving the people what they want.

    The way people interact on the internet is worse than any society of flesh and blood people EVER act in real life.

    So why wouldn't they believe that in the real world people are the same horrible?

    Or perhaps what the internet and tv both show us is our own imagination of what we would be like if we could get away with it and we believe it even if it ain't so.

    It's a serious topic but we live in the most proudly ignorant of times so our conversations rarely progress beyond capture-the-flag hurrahs for symbolic tribes.

  • Not surprisingly, the Biden loyalists selected to be Biden's convention delegates appear to be doing as Biden directed and stampeding toward Kamala. So, who should she pick as her VP running mate?
  • @Steve Sailer
    @Mr. Anon

    Poland was run by identical twins for awhile, but one got killed in a plane crash in Russia.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Corvinus, @Daniel Williams

    The story of that plane crash, assuming the truth is out there, is pretty damn sad. I imagine Putin had his head in his hands when he got the news.

    a) conditions were foggy and unsuitable for a landing – a Russian plane had already diverted to Moscow after two failed attempts

    b) the airport didn’t have precision landing aids

    c) the bulbs in the approach lights didn’t all work (and trees around the airport had been allowed to grow above safety regulation height)

    d) two of the pilots, including the current captain, had flown the President in a 2008 incident where the President had changed the destination mid-flight – the then captain of the flight considered the changes dangerous (he had no airport charts for the changed destination), refused to implement the change and landed as previously planned. The captain never flew the President again and the other pilots were aware of this.

    e) they also had on the flight deck the Chief of Protocol and the Air Force Chief.

    f) the captain was handling comms as well as flying, as the best Russian speaker in the flight crew

    The Poles had crammed a lot of Great and Good on board …the president of Poland, Lech Kaczyński, and his wife, Maria; the former president of Poland-in-exile, Ryszard Kaczorowski; the chief of the Polish General Staff and other senior Polish military officers; the president of the National Bank of Poland; Polish government officials; 18 members of the Polish parliament; senior members of the Polish clergy; and relatives of victims of the Katyn massacre.

    They should have aborted and gone somewhere else. Pres would have been late, but alive.

    • Agree: Jim Don Bob
    • Thanks: ic1000, J.Ross
  • Not surprisingly, with the amount of money spent on pets these days, there are lots of "colognes for dogs" on sale. But as far as I can tell, they are intended to make your dog smell better to you, not to other dogs, which is what your dog cares about. Personally, I have a hard...
  • @JohnnyWalker123
    So is Biden dropping out or not?

    https://twitter.com/saras76/status/1814406755683913905

    Within the next 2 weeks, the Bidens are having 2 fundraisers. One fundraiser is being held in Paris, France. The other fundraiser is in the Hawaii Governor's home. Are these the actions of a man who is dropping out?

    https://twitter.com/AlexThomp/status/1814082410314613214

    https://twitter.com/ScottMGreer/status/1814082468401836359

    https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1814114711295639590

    What's going on here?

    I don't get it.

    Perhaps Hulk Hogan could be called on to offer his analysis.

    Replies: @James B. Shearer

    “What’s going on here?”

    A game of chicken. The Democrats want Biden out but with as little fuss as possible. But Biden doesn’t want to leave so he is threatening to burn everything down if they try to force him out. So the Democrats keep increasing the pressure telling him one way or another you are gone so why not make it easy for yourself and leave gracefully. And Biden is telling them, I don’t believe you will really wreck everything just to get me out. Especially since that means Harris is next in line and she would be an even worse candidate than me even with my dementia. That’s why I picked her after all. And they are telling Biden you are clueless you are so far gone even Harris will give us a better shot. So leave already with some semblance of dignity.

    We will see how things go.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @onetwothree
    @James B. Shearer

    Biden doesn’t want to leave so he is threatening to burn everything down

    Biden has one ace up his sleeve: He knows 2020 was stolen: He knows the names, if not the particulars. He could arrange a "major announcement" on live TV laying out the facts that would be the first pro-democracy thing a Democrat has done since Andrew Jackson, and he may be threatening as much right now.

    That's why the majors are pussy-footing. And we'll see. That's maybe why Joe has "covid". Plan B and all that.

    Replies: @Art Deco

  • What do you think?
  • @Sam Malone
    Great, great, great pick. Young, populist, intelligent, not boring.

    And...watch this link at the bottom. In the minutes and seconds before the killer opened fire someone at the event took video on their phone of the two LEO sharpshooters who will ultimately shoot him. The sharpshooters are in elevated positions, with binoculars and scopes, alongside Trump and facing toward where the killer is/will be.

    Many civilians down at ground level at this moment, not on the lookout for anything strange, had their attention drawn to and were easily able to spot the killer moving into position on the roof at least 2 to 3 MINUTES before he opened fire; they also immediately recognized him as a threat actor and not law enforcement, hence their alarm and desperate attempts to alert police.

    But all the sharpshooters in elevated positions, with scopes and binoculars, facing in the same direction where they will ultimately open fire, were unable to spot what the ground-level civilians could see? And yet we do see them change posture as the moment approaches when the killer fires, because both are now crouching down behind their rifles, as if getting ready to shoot - i.e., they appear to indeed see something.

    But they don't take the shot. And they don't alert stage security. They're not seen desperately scrambling for a walkie talkie or something.

    They just calmly wait. And wait. They wait until the killer has taken his multiple shots. Only then do they open fire.

    Maybe someday someone will explain to me how this makes sense.

    https://rumble.com/v56zfkl-signs-it-was-a-set-up.html

    Replies: @Elli, @CalCooledge, @Gandydancer

    In the minutes and seconds before the killer opened fire someone at the event took video on their phone of the two LEO sharpshooters who will ultimately shoot him… They just calmly wait. And wait. They wait until the killer has taken his multiple shots. Only then do they open fire…. Maybe someday someone will explain to me how this makes sense.

    It seems that those are NOT the snipers who shot Crooks, and they never opened fire. Their view of Crooks was apparently blocked by trees and they were looking at buildings or areas considerably beyond Crooks position. The reason they were facing in one direction and not scanning is not that they saw anything in particular in that direction but that their field of responsibility was in that direction.

    This explains why Crooks head was not obviously penetrated from the front, or blown apart by the large caliber weapons anti-sniper team #1 (which your video concentrates on, and are shown below) possessed. He apparently took a shot to his right temple from a smaller caliber weapon fired by sniper team #3 to his right and the exit wound was presumably to the left rear of his head. Why his upper front teeth were not visible in the photo I saw is unclear to me, but knocking them out would anyway have required a second near simultaneous shot, which I was never convinced was likely, and I guess there’s another explanation.

    You, and Dore, are asking questions I was asking earlier, but I found this video informative:

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Pat Hannagan
    @Gandydancer

    Sailer doesn't care.

    The fact that you're posting here is what it's all about.

    Big wins vs huge losses the dealer always wins.

    You thought Sailer cared for your personal experience?

    Think again

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikKophOlAkM

    Replies: @Gandydancer

    , @Sam Malone
    @Gandydancer

    Thanks very much. That does a lot to allay my concern that it looked as if the snipers were deliberately standing down.

    If all of this is indeed merely the result of a confluence of grotesque incompetence by various Secret Service / local law enforcement individuals, now we're on next to requiring detailed explanations of and punishment for that.

    Ha ha, I'm kidding.

    , @Anonymous
    @Gandydancer


    Their view of Crooks was apparently blocked by trees and they were looking at buildings or areas considerably beyond Crooks position.
     
    Where did you derive this from? The bird’s eye images of the area show they had a clear line to Crooks. The tree/trees in front of the building were not in the way.

    Replies: @Gandydancer

  • Donald Trump appears to have been shot near the right ear at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania. He fairly quickly regained his feet, pumped his fist a few times to his supporters, and was helped to walk off by the Secret Service, with blood visible on the right side of his head. He was taken...
  • @Reg Cæsar
    @ic1000


    Thomas Lawson’s Twitter account (@Thomasfidy) has good updates on developing aspects of the attempted assassination
     
    How do you read them? Clicking your link brings up last year's posts.

    Replies: @Ralph L, @Gandydancer, @ic1000, @Almost Missouri

    Sorry about that. I didn’t know about Twitter’s innovative punish-visitors policy until Ralph L. explained it.

    Here’s a follow-up tweet from Sunday night — video of another group of outside-the-perimeter attendees trying to draw cops’ attention to the soon-to-be shooter clambering up the roof, as Trump is heard orating in the background.
    https://twitter.com/DC_Draino/status/1812642041391915384

    • Replies: @Moshe Def
    @ic1000

    Can't spell "Disgrace" without "D.I.E."

  • @Reg Cæsar
    @ic1000


    Thomas Lawson’s Twitter account (@Thomasfidy) has good updates on developing aspects of the attempted assassination
     
    How do you read them? Clicking your link brings up last year's posts.

    Replies: @Ralph L, @Gandydancer, @ic1000, @Almost Missouri

    You now have to sign up for X to see current tweets. Otherwise you get random ones from several years which don’t seem to change.

    • Thanks: ic1000
  • @Anon
    "Trump shot in the head". Let's wait a few hours until all the facts are out. Currently the facts are 1) a sound was heard like gunshots (probably was gunshots, based on law enforcement response). 2) Blood was seen on Trump. But was it from the shots, or was it from when the Secret Service tackled him to the ground, where he could have lacerated his head? Let's wait to find out.

    Replies: @MGB, @Jim Don Bob, @Almost Missouri

    • Thanks: MEH 0910, ydydy, ic1000, res
    • Replies: @Anonymous534
    @Almost Missouri

    Looking at his Tweets, this Dr. Phil Metzger appears to be associated with NASA and seems to believe the Moon landings were real. He should use his photo analysis skills and look at the Apollo photos that were clearly fake.
    This guy saying the photos is real makes me think it is actually fake, especially given who the photo is credited to.

    , @Gandydancer
    @Almost Missouri

    Maybe I see a streak. The ellipse seems a bit too low for the wound, however..

  • Thomas Lawson’s Twitter account (@Thomasfidy) has good updates on developing aspects of the attempted assassination. @DanielleFong as well.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @ic1000


    Thomas Lawson’s Twitter account (@Thomasfidy) has good updates on developing aspects of the attempted assassination
     
    How do you read them? Clicking your link brings up last year's posts.

    Replies: @Ralph L, @Gandydancer, @ic1000, @Almost Missouri

  • Looks like a major security failure by the Secret Service. Nearby rooftops, there are only a few buildings nearby, were not secured. People need to be fired. Or worse.

    https://twitter.com/SharpFootball/status/1812265909727396107

    Outrageous.

    https://twitter.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1812269821914169514

    The dead shooter’s body was on social media while CNN was still saying that “Trump fell” at the rally.

    https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1812267952961699975

    • Replies: @Harry Baldwin
    @clifford brown

    Looks like a major security failure by the Secret Service.

    I hope it's a failure, but the Secret Service is part of the executive branch.

    Replies: @BB753

    , @Anon
    @clifford brown

    People pointing and screaming to police and secret service about a guy crawling up on a roof with a gun… and nothing is done about it. This has three-letter agency fingerprints all over it. At a small venue, and the secret service doesn’t even have the highest vantage point covered?!

    Another thing that doesn’t sit right with me is all the fat women secret service agents running around without a clue, more concerned about putting on their sun glasses to look cool. We don’t need DEI hires protecting the former President!

    -Rooster

    Replies: @dearieme

    , @danand
    @clifford brown

    Clifford, the red headed interviewee/witness in your post goes as far as to suggest the protection service willfully ignored he as his friends attempts to let them know there was man on the roof with a rifle! Bet that video won’t be up long…

    A woman who had been in the front row told her interviewing reporter the she and her group jumped up when the shots rang out to protect Trump. The woman seemed to be sincere when she said they would do anything to protect Trump.

    Replies: @Jonathan Mason, @Anonymous

    , @clifford brown
    @clifford brown

    Another witness who told the police there was a man with a rifle on the rooftop.

    https://twitter.com/CBSNews/status/1812302268080730562

    , @James N. Kennett
    @clifford brown

    Policemen covering events like this have probably heard these warnings many times before, and each time they investigate they find that the "guy on the roof with a rifle" is with law enforcement. Of course, they should check out each warning, but eventually laziness will set in.

  • From the New York Times news section: Squirt Guns and ‘Go Home’ Signs: Barcelona Residents Take Aim at Tourists Locals confronted visitors to the Catalan capital in a whimsical (but very serious) demonstration against mass tourism and housing shortages. By Amelia Nierenberg and Rachel Chaundler Amelia Nierenberg reported from London and Rachel Chaundler from Zaragoza,...
  • Steve is a master of baiting blog readers.

    Recently here I mentioned that I was enjoying the summer in Romania as an American with dollars.

    People teased me.

    Well, my wife and I have been coming here together, about a dozen times now, over the past 23 years.

    Her parents died 4 years ago, and she inherited her girlhood home, where I am writing now: 71 square meters (I think that’s about 770 square feet, but I am not going to check right now on my phone.) 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a big balcony facing the sunny south and overlooking the trees. (She remembers when the engineer neighbor downstairs planted these trees.)

    We are not tourists, but I seldom see or meet another American here. People stare at me. I like this. This is not a tourist destination, but it should be, with its very pretty art nouveau architecture and its Austro-Hungarian history.

    Please forgive typos and anything shoddy. I am using my phone, and I hate touch screens.

    This particular city is undergoing a kind of Eastern European “gentrification.” This is good for us, because we have placed this flat on the market. I am pleasantly surprised by the real estate “comps,” comparable sales prices and what our agent is motivated to seek.

    Our agent candidly tells us that buyers of “flats” like ours typically come from “out of country.” They remodel and update, like American neighbors I am familiar with in Connecticut.

    Are these tourists? Immigrants? Not sure, but prices this American finds ridiculously low here are actually rather high for the natives.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Buzz Mohawk


    Recently here I mentioned that I was enjoying the summer in Romania as an American with dollars.

    People teased me.
     
    With affection and a spirit of bonhomie, I hope!
    , @anonymous
    @Buzz Mohawk

    “out of country.” = Jews, Ukrainians or both. The Eastern hordes invaded in the 19th century as well, at that time under British protection.

    Why don't the Western empires take them? Such high IQ Whites, and what a miracle they produce off the lands they infest.

  • From the front page of the New York Times: On Capitol Hill, Democrats Panic About Biden but Do Nothing The president has yet to do what many Democrats said he must to show he is up to remaining in the race. But so far, they have thrown up their hands, doing nothing to nudge him...
  • There should be a LOL button for posts too.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there.
  • AIDS isn’t caused by HIV. Dr. Duesberg began pushing this in 1987, at which point it wasn’t ridiculous. I saw him give his spiel in 2009. It was quite reasonable-sounding…except that by that point, orthodox medical researchers had made enormous progress against AIDS, and they’ve made much more since then. Meanwhile, Duesberg has not.

    I don’t know anything about Dr. Duesburg and AIDS/HIV, but others’ medical progress against AIDS doesn’t necessarily invalidate whatever it is that Dr. Duesberg had to say. After all, medieval methods against the Black Death (quarantine, burning the ‘plague houses’ of the deceased, etc.) often made medical progress against the disease even though they thought they were fighting against “miasmas” rather than against Yersinia pestis. It is possible to act constructively without a complete—or even correct—understanding of the object being acted upon. It’s not only possible, it’s downright common. To adapt a saying: “All [mental] models are wrong. Some are useful.”

    Similarly,

    Top cop Bill Bratton’s memoir recounts that his CompStat initiative in the mid-1990s succeeded because he found, out of 40,000 NYPD officers, six who were interested in statistics and computers.

    It’s not just cops. Even in supposedly data-driven business corporations, almost no one actually cares about “what the data says” except to the extent they can use it to advance their careers. Rare executive data request: “I need an unbiased, objective overview of subject x for the sake of our shareholders and all humanity.” Common executive data request: “Give me something that proves what I spent $x million on last quarter actually worked.”

    So it may not be that

    It has also become dogma among conservatives that crime can’t possibly be going down recently… Instead, conservatives allege, big-city cops like the NYPD must be failing to report crime because they are all liberal Democrats conspiring against Trump.

    It’s just that police precinct chiefs, like other corporate managers, want to report what makes them look good and suppress what makes them look bad, as Nic Stix has been reporting for several decades.

    And, as you also say, that there has been a tiny recent remission in crime rates shouldn’t get the Democrat-Media Complex off the hook for ginning up the larger crime wave in the first place.

    I reported in this column on Nov. 11, 2020, and confirmed on March 23, 2022, Trump’s Operation Warp Speed would likely have been announced a huge success on the day before the 2020 election, except that Pfizer shut down processing of its Covid vaccine clinical trial from late October until the day after the voting, which allowed the corporation to avoid Democratic enmity for helping Trump win reelection.

    That was indeed a major scoop, exposing serious medical malfeasance to serve a political agenda. But obviously the Democrat-Media Complex is not going to report misdeeds fostered by their own, and rightwing media barely exists, so there simply isn’t much of a market for that exposé, however damning. Indeed, that fact that it is so damning is what keeps it out of most of the press. That, and the fact that enthusiasm for vaccinations has waned among almost everyone as the vaccine (like most vaccines) has proved something of a damp squib: having been neither so effective, nor perhaps so safe, as was promised.

    • Agree: ic1000, TWS, Jim Don Bob
    • Thanks: Old Prude, bomag
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Almost Missouri

    Perhaps the worst aspect of the AIDS crack pottery is that it directly led to the death of Salerian hero WD Hamilton, who was misguided enough to personally investigate in west Africa, and subsequently prematurely died of malaria.
    As Marek Cohn put it, Hamilton died 'picking up chimp shit'.

    Both literally and metaphorically.

    , @MEH 0910
    @Almost Missouri


    even though they thought they were fighting against “miasmas” rather than against Yersinia pestis.
     
    The Duesberg hypothesis that AIDS is caused by noninfectious factors is the "miasma" theory in this case. Meanwhile, human immunodeficiency viruses (HIV) are the Yersinia pestis of AIDS.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duesberg_hypothesis

    Replies: @Inquiring Mind

    , @Erik L
    @Almost Missouri

    "but others’ medical progress against AIDS doesn’t necessarily invalidate whatever it is that Dr. Duesberg had to say."

    In this case it does. He said that HIV, a retrovirus, does not cause AIDS and that instead it is recreational drug use and/or consumption of antiretrovirals drugs.

    Scientists who believed AIDS was caused by a retrovirus, targeted it with drugs that were increasingly designed to target the reverse transcriptase and more recently other aspect of the virus such as the capsid surrounding it. AIDS went from a fatal disease to a chronic disease. If the virus didn't cause AIDS that would be one heck of a coincidence.

    There is a lot of other evidence that HIV causes AIDS but I am only responding the above

    Replies: @Almost Missouri

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @Almost Missouri


    That was indeed a major scoop, exposing serious medical malfeasance to serve a political agenda. But obviously the Democrat-Media Complex is not going to report misdeeds fostered by their own
     
    It turns out there was a conspiracy to spread anti-vax disinformation -- but it was a conspiracy by the U.S. government to convince people that China's free (non-mRNA) vaccine was dangerous and ineffective. So this conclusively establishes the government will operate a conspiracy to lie about the safety and effectiveness of vaccines when it serves their interest. You just have to decide which direction they are lying at any given time, and to whom.

    Why should anyone automatically trust the government or other powerful interested parties when they hold all the key information. The motto should be "Distrust, but verify."

    At the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. military launched a secret campaign to counter what it perceived as China’s growing influence in the Philippines, a nation hit especially hard by the deadly virus.

    The clandestine operation has not been previously reported. It aimed to sow doubt about the safety and efficacy of vaccines and other life-saving aid that was being supplied by China, a Reuters investigation found. Through phony internet accounts meant to impersonate Filipinos, the military’s propaganda efforts morphed into an anti-vax campaign. Social media posts decried the quality of face masks, test kits and the first vaccine that would become available in the Philippines – China’s Sinovac inoculation.
     
    https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-covid-propaganda/#:~:text=Filipinos%20were%20unwilling%20to%20trust,the%20U.S.%20military's%20secret%20operation.
  • From the New York Times news section: French Far Right Wins Big in First Round of Voting A surprise decision by President Emmanuel Macron to hold a snap election appears to have backfired badly, giving the National Rally a decisive victory. By Roger Cohen Reporting from Paris Published June 30, 2024 The National Rally party...
  • @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    “Yes, that June 27, 2024 non-partisan FAQ explains why county clerks registering 102% to 108% of eligible voters is, actually, a good thing. Our Democracy, ever more Fortified.”

    So tired of your mischaracterization. The source states “the straightforward statistic has been cited repeatedly in theories of widespread voter fraud and election malfeasance. Election deniers have claimed legions of the dead or otherwise ineligible voters are casting ballots in Michigan’s elections — though independent audits have shown otherwise.”

    Those audits include forensic examiners. Speaking of which…

    https://azmirror.com/2021/09/23/arizona-audit-finds-biden-won-by-more-votes-and-no-evidence-of-fraud/

    https://wisconsinexaminer.com/2022/08/12/vos-fires-gableman-ending-scandal-plagued-2020-election-investigation/

    —On Friday, Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Robin Vos fired Michael Gableman, the former Supreme Court justice Vos had appointed last year to lead the Office of Special Counsel, investigating Wisconsin’s 2020 presidential election. After spending more than $1 million in taxpayer dollars to investigate election conspiracy theories over the last 14 months, threatening to jail the mayors of Madison and Green Bay for refusing to comply with his order that they give secret testimony, and being held in contempt by Wisconsin courts for failing to produce public records related to the investigation, Gableman had, according to one of the judges who sanctioned him, found no evidence of fraud.—

    “A forensic examiner who seeks to ferret out fraud (if it exists) will have a very different mindset from the public-relations types who you persistently quote and link.”

    Again, so tired of the false premise. The forensic examiner and the state election officials have a similar mentality—expose voter fraud and ensure the integrity of elections.

    “You guys should try peddling your wares to election authorities in Scandanavia and those other places where people take clean elections seriously.“

    It seems you never tire of gaslighting. What did Trump say in September 2023?

    —The former president said he didn’t listen to his attorneys who told him he had lost the election because he didn’t respect them and that he “respected many others that said the election was rigged. I was listening to different people, and when I added it all up, the election was rigged,” Trump told NBC’s Kristen Welker.—

    Speaking of lawyers…

    https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/rudy-giuliani-disbarred-false-misleading-statements-2020-election/story?id=111611915

    Replies: @ic1000, @Patrick in SC

    1. The US elections systems are doubtlessly as pristine and perfect as you and your fellows claim.

    2. I’d rather that you continue to focus on politics, rather than gain any influence over the NTSB. I prefer plane-crash and near-miss investigations as they are.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    “1. The US elections systems are doubtlessly as pristine and perfect as you and your fellows claim.”

    Thanks for the strawman. Of course our system needs reform. But it’s not as corrupt as you think it is now or in the past.

    “2. I’d rather that you continue to focus on politics, rather than gain any influence over the NTSB. I prefer plane-crash and near-miss investigations as they are.”

    And once again, so tired of you not specifically addressing the cogent points I made. I expect more of you as a commenter on this fine opinion webzine. Do better next time.

  • @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    Indeed, it is all so tiresome for you and others to make the same accusations that been thoroughly addressed. And yes, it is patent gaslighting on your end here.

    The authors of the two linked studies, which you neglected to offer your own refutation of their findings, directly relates to your contention. But my vague impression is your still clinging onto Trump’s contention that “This election [2020] was rigged. This election has to be turned around. We won all these swing states by a lot."

    “I understand that these same tenure-track political scientists are on the verge of publishing a spirited defense of select county clerks’ policy of registering 102% to 107% of eligible voters (see also comments 295, 302, 319, and 337).”

    Yea, I remember that exchange very well. I had addressed that point in your link.

    The Trump team of lawyers were turned back time after time in courts with these types of accusations Michigan and other states conducted their audits. Just because YOU personally don’t believe their conclusions does not automatically mean they’re lying or falsified or whatever term you care to use.

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/12/31/fact-check-michigan-townships-had-more-registered-voters-than-votes/4097868001/

    https://www.michigan.gov/sos/resources/news/2021/02/12/statewide-election-audit-process-affirms-presidential-election-outcome

    Furthermore…

    https://www.macombdaily.com/2020/06/10/oakland-county-clerk-gop-lawsuit-claiming-sloppy-voter-rolls-is-baseless/

    —Jake Rollow, spokesperson for the Michigan Department of State, told The Oakland Press via email that the lawsuit seeks to “gain media attention using debunked claims and bad statistics to delegitimize our elections.” He said the state’s goal is 100% voter registration “as higher registration is a sign of a more robust and representative democracy.”

    “It compares old census data and registration numbers that make no attempt to distinguish between active and inactive registration, and asserts the false notion that voter registration rates should be low,” he said.

    According to Michigan Department of Health and Human Services data from 2017, there were 18,095 Leelanau County residents of voting age, 985,019 Oakland County residents of voting age, 148,425 Livingston County residents of voting age, and 298,918 Washtenaw County residents of voting age. Combined with current voter registration numbers, Leelanau County has voter registration rate of 87.5% while Oakland sits at 99.8%, Livingston County at 97%, and Washtenaw County at 98.7%.

    Michigan voters are automatically registered to vote when they apply for or update their driver’s licenses or ID cards unless they are ineligible or indicate they’d prefer not to be registered.

    Rollow added that there is a “federally mandated delay before some registration records are cancelled to ensure responsible list maintenance and has never been credibly linked to illegal voting on any substantial scale.”—

    In addition…

    https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/michigan-elections-faq-more-registered-voters-eligible-voters?amp
     
     
     

    Replies: @ic1000

    > In addition…
    > https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/michigan-elections-faq-more-registered-voters-eligible-voters?amp

    Yes, that June 27, 2024 non-partisan FAQ explains why county clerks registering 102% to 108% of eligible voters is, actually, a good thing. Our Democracy, ever more Fortified.

    “I identified a dozen factors, each of which might be involved in certain types of fraud. I looked at seven of them — a majority! Four of those seven — a majority! — had no flaws. For the remaining three, I collected plausible explanations for the observed deviations from Best Practices. Thus, fraud claims debunked!”

    A forensic examiner who seeks to ferret out fraud (if it exists) will have a very different mindset from the public-relations types who you persistently quote and link.

    You guys should try peddling your wares to election authorities in Scandanavia and those other places where people take clean elections seriously. See how far you get.

    Meanwhile, it remains tiresome.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    “Yes, that June 27, 2024 non-partisan FAQ explains why county clerks registering 102% to 108% of eligible voters is, actually, a good thing. Our Democracy, ever more Fortified.”

    So tired of your mischaracterization. The source states “the straightforward statistic has been cited repeatedly in theories of widespread voter fraud and election malfeasance. Election deniers have claimed legions of the dead or otherwise ineligible voters are casting ballots in Michigan’s elections — though independent audits have shown otherwise.”

    Those audits include forensic examiners. Speaking of which…

    https://azmirror.com/2021/09/23/arizona-audit-finds-biden-won-by-more-votes-and-no-evidence-of-fraud/

    https://wisconsinexaminer.com/2022/08/12/vos-fires-gableman-ending-scandal-plagued-2020-election-investigation/

    —On Friday, Wisconsin Assembly Speaker Robin Vos fired Michael Gableman, the former Supreme Court justice Vos had appointed last year to lead the Office of Special Counsel, investigating Wisconsin’s 2020 presidential election. After spending more than $1 million in taxpayer dollars to investigate election conspiracy theories over the last 14 months, threatening to jail the mayors of Madison and Green Bay for refusing to comply with his order that they give secret testimony, and being held in contempt by Wisconsin courts for failing to produce public records related to the investigation, Gableman had, according to one of the judges who sanctioned him, found no evidence of fraud.—

    “A forensic examiner who seeks to ferret out fraud (if it exists) will have a very different mindset from the public-relations types who you persistently quote and link.”

    Again, so tired of the false premise. The forensic examiner and the state election officials have a similar mentality—expose voter fraud and ensure the integrity of elections.

    “You guys should try peddling your wares to election authorities in Scandanavia and those other places where people take clean elections seriously.“

    It seems you never tire of gaslighting. What did Trump say in September 2023?

    —The former president said he didn’t listen to his attorneys who told him he had lost the election because he didn’t respect them and that he “respected many others that said the election was rigged. I was listening to different people, and when I added it all up, the election was rigged,” Trump told NBC’s Kristen Welker.—

    Speaking of lawyers…

    https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/rudy-giuliani-disbarred-false-misleading-statements-2020-election/story?id=111611915

    Replies: @ic1000, @Patrick in SC

  • @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    “The lack of interest in the state of vote tabulation mechanisms by the NYT, Washington Post, CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN, NPR Politico, and all of the other mainstream watchdogs — seen properly, this absence of concern is a huge vote of confidence in the American system.”

    Masterclass in gaslighting on your part.

    https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2103619118

    https://www.brennancenter.org/issues/ensure-every-american-can-vote/vote-suppression/myth-voter-fraud

    Replies: @notbe mk 2, @ic1000

    > Masterclass in gaslighting on your part

    It’s all so tiresome.

    No, not the always-at-hand excuses for failing to adhere to best practices. In this case, it refers to the standard Corvinus holds to, when commenting at this site.

    What those are is left as an exercise for the reader. “If you have to ask, you’ll never know.”

    The authors of the linked articles sought to investigate claims of fraud that turned out to be false. This exercise is material, but not a rebuttal to the serious contention underlying my gaslighting sarcasm in #50 supra.

    [sarc] I understand that these same tenure-track political scientists are on the verge of publishing a spirited defense of select county clerks’ policy of registering 102% to 107% of eligible voters (see also comments 295, 302, 319, and 337).

    When that peer-reviewed article drops, be sure to let me know. [/sarc]

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    Indeed, it is all so tiresome for you and others to make the same accusations that been thoroughly addressed. And yes, it is patent gaslighting on your end here.

    The authors of the two linked studies, which you neglected to offer your own refutation of their findings, directly relates to your contention. But my vague impression is your still clinging onto Trump’s contention that “This election [2020] was rigged. This election has to be turned around. We won all these swing states by a lot."

    “I understand that these same tenure-track political scientists are on the verge of publishing a spirited defense of select county clerks’ policy of registering 102% to 107% of eligible voters (see also comments 295, 302, 319, and 337).”

    Yea, I remember that exchange very well. I had addressed that point in your link.

    The Trump team of lawyers were turned back time after time in courts with these types of accusations Michigan and other states conducted their audits. Just because YOU personally don’t believe their conclusions does not automatically mean they’re lying or falsified or whatever term you care to use.

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/12/31/fact-check-michigan-townships-had-more-registered-voters-than-votes/4097868001/

    https://www.michigan.gov/sos/resources/news/2021/02/12/statewide-election-audit-process-affirms-presidential-election-outcome

    Furthermore…

    https://www.macombdaily.com/2020/06/10/oakland-county-clerk-gop-lawsuit-claiming-sloppy-voter-rolls-is-baseless/

    —Jake Rollow, spokesperson for the Michigan Department of State, told The Oakland Press via email that the lawsuit seeks to “gain media attention using debunked claims and bad statistics to delegitimize our elections.” He said the state’s goal is 100% voter registration “as higher registration is a sign of a more robust and representative democracy.”

    “It compares old census data and registration numbers that make no attempt to distinguish between active and inactive registration, and asserts the false notion that voter registration rates should be low,” he said.

    According to Michigan Department of Health and Human Services data from 2017, there were 18,095 Leelanau County residents of voting age, 985,019 Oakland County residents of voting age, 148,425 Livingston County residents of voting age, and 298,918 Washtenaw County residents of voting age. Combined with current voter registration numbers, Leelanau County has voter registration rate of 87.5% while Oakland sits at 99.8%, Livingston County at 97%, and Washtenaw County at 98.7%.

    Michigan voters are automatically registered to vote when they apply for or update their driver’s licenses or ID cards unless they are ineligible or indicate they’d prefer not to be registered.

    Rollow added that there is a “federally mandated delay before some registration records are cancelled to ensure responsible list maintenance and has never been credibly linked to illegal voting on any substantial scale.”—

    In addition…

    https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/michigan-elections-faq-more-registered-voters-eligible-voters?amp
     
     
     

    Replies: @ic1000

  • This X Twitter article came to my attention from Real Clear Politics — which is limp noodle spineless mush cowardly when it comes to racial, demographic and mass immigration questions — so it shows that the true conditions in France — as opposed to the mass media gaslighting — is close to civilization breakdown and calamity. SAFETY, SECURITY, HONOR and DEPORTING THE MASS IMMIGRATION MENACE is a big political vote-getter hit in France.

    France Is Turning Into A Cradle Of Insecurity by Lilli R.:

    “I am 26 years old, blonde, with light eyes, and I have always lived in the 6th arrondissement of Lyon, which is thought of as the poshest area in Lyon, and my daily life has become unbearable. I write this because, ten years ago, I could go out with my friends in the evening, at any hour, without being bothered, insulted, followed, or stabbed.

    I mention stabbing because, three years ago, my boyfriend, along with two of his friends, on their way home, were approached by a group of men. They surrounded them, stole one of their cell phones. They tried to fight back, and my boyfriend, in spite of being a strong rugbyman, got stabbed, in the arm–while protecting his neck, which was the target. Someone tried to cut his throat.

    As for myself, on a regular basis, men follow me, insult me because I refuse to talk back or because I say I have a boyfriend. One day, one spit on me. More and more, I am whistled at like a dog, or “ksksks”‘d like I am a cat. Acts of this nature have happened to me perhaps thirty times in the past year.

    Six months ago, we adopted a puppy. One evening, my boyfriend went out to walk him at 9pm, and three men tried to steal the puppy. Since then, we only go out in the evening as a couple, and I always carry pepper spray in my purse.

    In our neighborhood, just in our block, there are three drug dealing spots, which work constantly. Day and night. With everything that entails: watchmen loitering outside our house, milling about, shouting, getting high and bothering people, especially women.

    Every single one of the actions I mentioned (and they are only a part of what we have gone through) is the fact of men of sub-Saharan African or North African origin. A white man has never behaved towards me the way they have.

    Is it racist to call out what my daily life has become as a woman, because of immigration? Is my reality, my daily life, racist? Am I not as legitimate as any other person to call out traumatising acts of violence, just because they are done by foreigners or immigrants?

    To be clear, I am not talking about men in general, but specifically men, sometimes underage, who are of immigrant background.

    Now, and for about four years, the way I live my life has had to change to live with this constant insecurity. Now I live with a pepper spray outside my front door, a taser, and a false pistol, after an attempted break-in. We have had an extra lock added to our door. We have a security camera in our apartment. In my purse, I carry a second pepper spray, as well as brass knuckles on my keychain. I never walk into a building without checking both sides of the street, in case a man is following me. I never make eye contact with you-know-who. I constantly cross the street. I no longer leave my home on my own after 9pm. I no longer use public transport for obvious reasons. I am afraid when I am alone at home. I am afraid when outside. Now, I am always afraid.

    I do not want this future for my children who, fortunately, are not yet here. I do not understand people who do not see that France is turning into a cradle of insecurity because of immigrant men. Insecurity to women, but to men as well.

    Therefore, for your future, and those of your children or your children-to-be: cast the right vote.

    https://twitter.com/pegobry_en/status/1807800058597044229

    • Replies: @epebble
    @Charles Pewitt

    I totally agree with that young lady about how one feels in many parts of Paris. Five years ago, me and my wife went on a weeklong vacation to Paris (first visit). It was a horrible experience. During daytime, you get out and see the palaces, museums etc., and in the evenings, the place becomes a ghetto with fights, young Arab and African men running and chasing each other etc., It is really scary that you may get caught in the fight by accidentally getting in between warring factions. The only saving grace, unlike U.S., is that they don't have guns. But I have heard knife fights are not uncommon as this woman describes. We felt London, in spite of being multicultural, is much better. During a week's stay we just saw a man (White) who had too much to drink and had collapsed. It was fun to watch the cops treat him ever so gently as if a mother tending to a toddler who has fallen down.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    , @Nicholas Stix
    @Charles Pewitt

    Not to diminish the lady's experiences one whit, but it sounds just like life in new york city, detroit, baltimore, D.C., buffalo, richmond (CA & VA), chicago, l.a., new orleans, etc., over the past 60-odd years.

    Replies: @kaganovitch, @Grey cat

    , @Gallatin
    @Charles Pewitt

    ..........until one day it became unbeatable and somebody suggested we move to the last white space left, a couple of nations in the far north, one was called Russia.

    Give it 25 more years, and unless an immigration stoppage is enacted, you will see whites retreat from the West to the whitest places left.

  • OT: In the “Is sauce for the goose also sauce for the gander?” department, Will Stancil is being openly threatened by somebody tweeting about targeting him with a drone strike. Or something. Tweet below the fold.

  • @notbe mk 2
    @ic1000

    Hang on you aren't going to believe this but it goes like this:

    The voter presents his or her ID to the election officers and they cross off your name from a list (this process being highly traumatic and obviously totalitarian so not used in real democracies like the USA). The voter then takes something called a ballot and goes behind a screen where he or she ticks off his or her preferences and put the "ballot" into something called a "ballot box".

    The absurdity continues-after the election closes, the election officers open the ballot box, take out a paper ballot and reads out which candidate got the tick (or ticks if it is proportional voting), the process is then repeated, the ticks are then put in different columns, a column per candidate or party.

    The number of ticks per column are then measured up using a weird mathematic technique called "arithmetic". In the Third world they also ink your thumb so you don't vote twice (which according to US journalists is meant to intimidate voters).

    Yes indeed laughable according to the US media and political scientists. Is is all unbelievably archaic distaining the use of computerized voting machines which by the very nature of being programmed cannot fake elections unlike a pencil mark on a piece of paper. Just goes to show you how incredibly backward (and obviously corrupt) the rest of the world is compared to the USA which is first in everything.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > Just goes to show you how incredibly backward (and obviously corrupt) the rest of the world is compared to the USA which is first in everything.

    Something that gives me a great deal of faith in the US system is that all plausible indications of possible problems in vote-counting are identified as issues of concern by the Fourth Estate. They are aggresively investigated both by the Secretary of State of the relevant state and by Clark-Kent grade journalists. Once spotlighted, the potential deficiencies in the system are remedied, and the improvements are stress-tested well in advance of the next election cycle.

    Just as this system progressively reduces the number of airplane crashes, it has made U.S. elections the best in the world. Thus, almost no concerns were identified in 2020. The lack of interest in the state of vote tabulation mechanisms by the NYT, Washington Post, CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN, NPR Politico, and all of the other mainstream watchdogs — seen properly, this absence of concern is a huge vote of confidence in the American system.

    • Agree: notbe mk 2
    • LOL: bomag, kaganovitch
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    “The lack of interest in the state of vote tabulation mechanisms by the NYT, Washington Post, CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN, NPR Politico, and all of the other mainstream watchdogs — seen properly, this absence of concern is a huge vote of confidence in the American system.”

    Masterclass in gaslighting on your part.

    https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2103619118

    https://www.brennancenter.org/issues/ensure-every-american-can-vote/vote-suppression/myth-voter-fraud

    Replies: @notbe mk 2, @ic1000

  • @ic1000
    @International Jew

    > How ever are they able to count the votes so fast??

    This was an unfortified election. It is an illustration of the unfortunate outcome of citizens voting for whichever candidates they think they prefer.

    Replies: @notbe mk 2

    Hang on you aren’t going to believe this but it goes like this:

    The voter presents his or her ID to the election officers and they cross off your name from a list (this process being highly traumatic and obviously totalitarian so not used in real democracies like the USA). The voter then takes something called a ballot and goes behind a screen where he or she ticks off his or her preferences and put the “ballot” into something called a “ballot box”.

    The absurdity continues-after the election closes, the election officers open the ballot box, take out a paper ballot and reads out which candidate got the tick (or ticks if it is proportional voting), the process is then repeated, the ticks are then put in different columns, a column per candidate or party.

    The number of ticks per column are then measured up using a weird mathematic technique called “arithmetic”. In the Third world they also ink your thumb so you don’t vote twice (which according to US journalists is meant to intimidate voters).

    Yes indeed laughable according to the US media and political scientists. Is is all unbelievably archaic distaining the use of computerized voting machines which by the very nature of being programmed cannot fake elections unlike a pencil mark on a piece of paper. Just goes to show you how incredibly backward (and obviously corrupt) the rest of the world is compared to the USA which is first in everything.

    • Agree: ic1000, Lurker
    • Replies: @ic1000
    @notbe mk 2

    > Just goes to show you how incredibly backward (and obviously corrupt) the rest of the world is compared to the USA which is first in everything.

    Something that gives me a great deal of faith in the US system is that all plausible indications of possible problems in vote-counting are identified as issues of concern by the Fourth Estate. They are aggresively investigated both by the Secretary of State of the relevant state and by Clark-Kent grade journalists. Once spotlighted, the potential deficiencies in the system are remedied, and the improvements are stress-tested well in advance of the next election cycle.

    Just as this system progressively reduces the number of airplane crashes, it has made U.S. elections the best in the world. Thus, almost no concerns were identified in 2020. The lack of interest in the state of vote tabulation mechanisms by the NYT, Washington Post, CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN, NPR Politico, and all of the other mainstream watchdogs -- seen properly, this absence of concern is a huge vote of confidence in the American system.

    Replies: @Corvinus

  • @International Jew
    How ever are they able to count the votes so fast??

    Replies: @ic1000, @The Germ Theory of Disease, @Harry Baldwin

    > How ever are they able to count the votes so fast??

    This was an unfortified election. It is an illustration of the unfortunate outcome of citizens voting for whichever candidates they think they prefer.

    • Thanks: International Jew
    • LOL: J.Ross
    • Replies: @notbe mk 2
    @ic1000

    Hang on you aren't going to believe this but it goes like this:

    The voter presents his or her ID to the election officers and they cross off your name from a list (this process being highly traumatic and obviously totalitarian so not used in real democracies like the USA). The voter then takes something called a ballot and goes behind a screen where he or she ticks off his or her preferences and put the "ballot" into something called a "ballot box".

    The absurdity continues-after the election closes, the election officers open the ballot box, take out a paper ballot and reads out which candidate got the tick (or ticks if it is proportional voting), the process is then repeated, the ticks are then put in different columns, a column per candidate or party.

    The number of ticks per column are then measured up using a weird mathematic technique called "arithmetic". In the Third world they also ink your thumb so you don't vote twice (which according to US journalists is meant to intimidate voters).

    Yes indeed laughable according to the US media and political scientists. Is is all unbelievably archaic distaining the use of computerized voting machines which by the very nature of being programmed cannot fake elections unlike a pencil mark on a piece of paper. Just goes to show you how incredibly backward (and obviously corrupt) the rest of the world is compared to the USA which is first in everything.

    Replies: @ic1000

  • From the New York Post:
  • @Hail

    Subria Whitaker [...] runs a nonprofit called “Grow the Game,” which allegedly aims to “increase awareness, attendance, engagement, and involvement in women’s sports.”
     
    Is the battle lost on the word "grow" as a transitive verb?

    Consider:

    - "Grow your audience"; "grow your skillset"

    vs.

    - "Make your audience grow (in size)"; "help your skillset grow" (or, better, phrasings like "increase the size of your audience"; "widen your skillset," or the like).

    I believe that Steve Sailer's one-time nemesis Barack H. Obama was the first prominent person to authoritatively use the word "grow" in this way. He catapulted the phrase "grow our economy" at us, smirking all the way to the metaphorical bank. That was true debut, maybe, of the Transitive Grow.

    From Obama's bully-pulpit, the Transitive Grow pushed us into a bold little new frontier in grammar. (That'll "grow" the minds of those bitter gun-and-religion clingers out there, into more-enlightened beings, Barry O. may have thought at the time.)

    There were earlier uses of this cruel "Transitive Grow" in the 1990s and 2000s, but back always and only with an air to buzzword-laden MBA-speak to it. And keeping obviously close to the metaphor of a plant, and in close contact with other buzzphrases. (The trend in buzzphrases was parodied by The Simpsons in a 1997 episode, in which s a writer is fired for criticizing corporate-board members; "Excuse me, but 'proactive' and 'paradigm'? Aren't these just buzzwords that dumb people use to sound important? Not that I'm accusing you of anything like that... I'm fired, aren't I?").

    By the early 2010s, Obama's "Transitive Grow" was on the loose, a dragon stalking the land, terrorizing the villagers, roaring and mocking all down below. The remonstrations of normal-grammar loyalists against the beast only gave it more attention, and attracted to the Transitive Grow dragon more followers by the year.

    Anyway, doesn't "Help the Game Grow" or maybe "Keep the Game Growing" sound better than harsh "Grow the Game"?

    Replies: @International Jew, @BB753, @David, @Pbar, @Glaivester, @Fin of a cobra

    The verb “to grow” is fascinating. I was just listening to a podcast on the theories of Julian Jaynes, who argued that language is an organ of perception and is what gives rise to consciousness itself. According to Jaynes, it is through metaphor that language keeps expanding, which in turns also expands our perception and consciousness. We use metaphor to explain something we don’t know, starting from something that we do know, that is more familiar.

    And so the discussion of this podcast came to the verb “to grow”, in Sanskrit. What happened, at least in that language, is that it became a metaphor for “being”, engendering the verb “to be”. So the concrete the verb “to grow” morphed into something more abstract. And as language evolved, so did our consciousness.

    So something like this may be happening to the verb “to grow” in our own era. Now it is generally accepted as a transitive verb, whereas before it was only intransitive. There are a few holdouts who resist this evolution and are considered “traditionalists”, such as yourself, it seems. But maybe this transition of “grow” into a transitive verb could be seen as an expansion of consciousness, which would be a positive development.

    This Google Ngram viewer link shows that the phrase “grow your business” was practically nonexistent before 1980, but then grew exponentially until 2009 and since then its use has decreased. So perhaps all hope is not lost for those, such as yourself, waging a war against Transitive Grow.

    • Thanks: ic1000, Dieter Kief
    • Replies: @Gandydancer
    @Fin of a cobra


    ...maybe this transition of “grow” into a transitive verb could be seen as an expansion of consciousness, which would be a positive development.
     
    What makes you think so? I lived through the '60s and '70s and take an extremely skeptical view of anything promoted as expanding consciousness. The result of expanding consciousness looked, without exception, an awful lot like the aftermath of the Big Bang: A whole lot of near vacuum.
  • @JohnnyWalker123
    https://twitter.com/jasondebolt/status/1805167473056235813

    Once you start seeing videos of 20 year old kids begging for their lives before drones that are about to blow them up, this is a good time to pause as a human.

    Did we really just see that and pretend that it was no big deal?

    As a society we basically went from “robots shouldn’t kill” just a few years ago to swiping left at kids regularly getting blown up in drone footage, by robots. It’s happening now.

    And yes, some of the night “vampire bomber” drones in Ukraine that destroy tanks are fully autonomous already.

    I don’t think most of us are fully aware of what we are getting involved with here. I wasn’t fully aware until I saw that kid begging for his life.

    Now imagine this isn’t an FPV drone with a human operator that can decide whether or not to pull the trigger, but an automated drone that doesn’t give a shit about your begging and praying. And there are tens of thousands of them in a swarm killing everyone in a city with extreme precision, and we don’t know who is controlling them. Ask yourself again, do we want this as a species?

    After the Ukraine war is over, Ukraine will export their drones and drone expertise to other countries. A lucrative new industry will flourish. Nearly every country on earth will have millions of drones ready to be launched with launch codes, like nukes, to pre-programmed hard targets and even specific human populations. And leaders will be more likely to launch drones than nukes.

    These will eventually be the most effective killing machines on earth, second only to nukes. But unlike nuclear weapons, automated killing drones will actually be used to kill hundreds of millions of people (or more) in this century.

    AI powered drone swarms are effectively high precision nukes at scale but without the disastrous environmental impact of nuclear fallout. And they are relatively cheap and easy to manufacture by ONE PERSON.

    Elon is right, all future wars will be drone wars. There’s nothing that will stop this.
     

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @deep anonymous, @Reg Cæsar, @ic1000

    Re: lethal synergy of drone technology and AI

    There’s this 8-minute film on Youtube, Slaughterbots. The dystopia of 5 years ago is right around the corner. If you want, skip the fictional docudrama and go straight to the brief summary remarks by Prof. Stuart Russell of UC-Berkeley at the 7 min 10 sec mark.

    • Replies: @SFG
    @ic1000

    The USA is one of the most technically advanced nations, so we would likely have the edge here. Would you rather send American boys to be shot at?

    That said they can use them for targeted assassinations of dissidents too.

    Replies: @Bill Jones

  • The Old Guard of the WNBA Continues to Struggle with Its New, Diverse Fans

    The Red Guards of the WNBA Continue to Mandate Struggle Sessions for Its New, Diverse Fans

    • Agree: Cool Daddy Jimbo
    • Replies: @deep anonymous
    @ic1000

    Brilliant comment, and all too true.

  • Imagine a man had a dog living in his place, and instead of feeding her himself, someone just takes his money and gives her food and he has no say in the matter. Would that dog listen to him?

    Of course not. The dog will love and obey the one who provides and despise the one who is deprived.

    Say another dog shows up and the deprived man truly loves this dog, and feeds it out of his own pocket. Will that make the welfare dog like the new dog? Far from it. Every kibble he gives to the new dog is a kibble out of the welfare dog’s bowl.

    The WNBA has been on the dole from the beginning. A good bitch is loyal to the one who feeds her, so are they really at fault here?

    Can Caitlin Clark really lead the league to profitability? It’s doubtful. Putting her in her place – even to the point of chasing her out of the league – may be rational. What do these other players get out of her endorsements? Nothing. Maybe less than nothing. She’ll be a benchmark that will make them less secure in their positions. Her gain is their loss. It’s very straightforward.

    Her fans are supposed to pay regardless of their preferences. Why should they have any say? The WNBA serves a higher purpose as a sort of temple of intersectionality presided over by Adam Silver, high priest of hierarchical equality.

    • Agree: BB753, Ron Mexico
    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Richard B
    @Bill P

    Your comment is an excellent description of a culture that is thoroughly disgusting, totally corrupt, and completely insane. Though that not have been your intention. In any event, the culture in question is also doomed.

    But it's so full of itself it doesn't know it, yet.

    Replies: @Bardon Kaldian

  • I don't have data on this, but my impression is that elite institutions have been in recent years carrying out a vast social experiment testing the widely-accepted Theory of Intersectionality's contention that of course black women are usually the best choices for top jobs because they are the most discriminated against, so therefore they are...
  • Hail says: • Website
    @res
    @Reg Cæsar


    by early this year, 24% (35 out of 145) of new federal judges appointed by Joe Biden and approved by the Senate have been black women, despite black women comprising well under an order of magnitude fewer LSAT-takers with scores high enough to suggest they would make good federal judges.
     
    Let's quantify "well under an order of magnitude" a bit. This piece has detailed LSAT results by demographic for 2012-2018.
    https://www.lsac.org/sites/default/files/research/tr-22-01_june-2023-edition_accessible.pdf

    Focusing on 2018 we see:
    Total 98,003 test takers with mean 150.75 and SD 10.33 (Table 1)
    White women 24,677 test takers with mean 152.44 and SD 9.10 (Table 4)
    Black women 7,247 test takers with mean 141.31 and SD 8.70 (Table 4)
    White men 23,861 test takers with mean 153.93 and SD 9.39 (Table 6)
    Black men 3,738 test takers with mean 142.46 and SD 9.43 (Table 6)

    I'll take 172 as the LSAT threshold for "good federal judges." That is something like 97th percentile, but at or below the median for the top ten law schools at the second link. The third link has more detailed scores (e.g. 25/50/75th percentiles) for more schools. Any alternative thresholds?
    https://www.princetonreview.com/law-school-advice/lsat-scores
    https://www.usnews.com/education/best-graduate-schools/the-short-list-grad-school/articles/law-schools-where-students-had-the-highest-lsat-scores
    https://www.lsd.law/rankings

    Plugging the total and black women numbers into Emil's tail calculator (I used Firefox) I see a ratio of 1279. This contrasts to the 100/6.5 = 15.4 ratio we would expect based on population. 1279/15.4 = 83 so a bit short of two orders of magnitude.
    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/understanding_statistics/?app=tail_effects

    Dropping the threshold to 165 (about 89th percentile) the overall ratio becomes 351 with 351/15.4 = 23. So a factor of two below an order of magnitude.

    Seems to me Steve's estimate was on target. But note that my numbers were relative to population proportion rather than that 24%. So really should multiply by 24/6.5 = 3.7.

    Replies: @Hail, @Ralph L

    To follow on from your work, Mr. Res, using the data you provided if you have time, please check that I’ve got the below right according to your data):

    Let’s peg the eligible-population for “federal judgeships” to be test-takers receiving scores of LSAT=165 or above in 2018. That is a generous and magnanimous place to put it at a lower-threshold (e.g., maybe an LSAT=167 proves better at his legal-scholarship and such than an LSAT=172; test-taking is only an approximation of ability within certain bounds; some people “test well,” so all these score-results need to be given invisible error-bars of some length).

    According to IQ-blogger Pumpkin Person’s LSAT-to-IQ conversion tables, an LSAT score of 165 translates to IQ 131. The elite-law-school graduates tend get LSAT scores in the 170s; this 165 threshold is generous without being ridiculous.

    People receiving LSAT=165 or above in 2018:

    – Black women: 23 individuals
    – Black males: 31 individuals

    – White women: 2,067 individuals
    – White males: 2,845 individuals

    – All others races and sexes: ca. 1,000 individuals (a plausible-seeming made-up placeholder number, reminder that the total population has more than just Blacks and Whites).

    One expected ratio: 121 White men for every 1 Black woman appointed “federal judges” (ca. 125:1).

    To put it into the real world, recall that it is an N=145 for federal-judge appointments by the Biden people over three years, 2021 to 2023. We would expect zero or one Black-female given an LSAT=165 effective threshold, within this population of 145 individuals (new federal-judges). Recalling that there are also non-Black, non-White judge-candidates to squeeze into that N=145, the Black-females random-chance ratio at LSAT=165+ is something near 0.385% (Black-males, ca. 0.52%; White-males, ca. 47.7%; White-females, ca. 34.6%; all other race-sex combinations: ca. 16.75%).

    Of the 145 judge-slots, we would expect:
    – 0.6 Back-females
    – 0.8 Black-males
    – 69.2 White-males
    – 50.2 White-females
    – 24.2 Others

    (If this were the World Cup, Black-females and Black-males would both be one of those minor regional-soccer confederations that are awarded “half-slots” in the qualification period (0.5 slots to gain entry into the tournament), having to slog through knockout matches with each other to possibly gain entry. Whereas big confederations, like Europe’s main one, get twelve or more slots outright, the Pacific-Oceania confederation gets 0.5 slot and its winner has to face another minor-confederation winner to enter the World Cup.)

    A big reason that Black-females gain even that single soft slot, their 0.6 slots of the N=145 federal-judgeships under Biden 2021-23, is because Black-women take the LSAT at quite a high rate compared to either Black-makes or to the White sex-ratio, an interesting thing to consider in itself for why this would be…

    [MORE]

    If Black-females took the LSAT at a rate commensurate with the White-male LSAT-taking rate, they’d sink below 0.5 and fall into statistically “zero slots” territory.

    (1.) Notice that twice as many Black women as Black men took the LSAT in 2018. (But even so Black-women still reach the LSAT=165 threshold less than Black-males even in absolute terms.) (1a.) The sex-ratio for Whites is near equal — but, as usual in our time, women engage in “academia” somewhat more, across the board. (White-males, too, easily beat out White-females in reaching the LSAT=165 towards-the-rightward-end-of-bellcurve threshold.)

    (2.) Three times as many White-males as Black-females took the LSAT in 2018. The overall resident-population-ratio should have that at 6x. In other words, Black women took the test at very-high rates (and/or White-males took it at a far lower rate than even raw-population numbers suggest they should). Adjusting for other actors, the White-male LSAT-taking rate should be higher still.

    Conclusion: someone or “some-thing” has, for some time, been pushing, encouraging, impelling, inducing bright Black-women to take the LSAT at high rates. That is an interesting little Sailerian finding hiding within this data-set. And the fact actually redeems the Biden people, a little at least, for their racial-favoritism. Not much, but a little, in this way: While they are squeezing in way too many Black-women judges, it isn’t purely out of nowhere, as if it were race-preferences towards Central Asians, or non-Spanish-speaking South-American Amerindians, or some other such out-of-left-field group. The Biden race-preferences for these judgeships reflect Black-women’s relatively privileged place in U.S. culture. It’s bad for everyone, yes; but at least it’s ideologically consistent.

    The period of “circa 1990s to 2010s” has institutionally favored Blacks, but more-especially Black-women. It is this drive, an ideological drive, Regime-driven and shaped, that drove so many Black-women to get on the LSAT-track. A little quantification of the Sailerian or other dissident-critical view of what today’s USA is about” under the Wokeness regime (or, really, far earlier than Sailer and co. like to date the start of Wokeness, for these 2010s-era LSAT takers did not just hatch out of Matrix-style incubation pods in 2013 or so but were cultivated by Regime ideology from early-childhood, or even multi-generationally pre-dating their births).

    According to Dr James Thompson, there is both a mean-IQ and a standard-deviation advantage in favor of men in the mental tasks like the LSAT. Applying this LSAT=165 threshold, we see it apparently reflected in the sex-ratios. This despite the ideologically tilted “playing field.” For even beyond “raw IQ,” there is a certain mental drive towards certain things that probably naturally favors males in the law even more than these numbers suggest, all else held equal. Even in 2020s-USA, the easy majority of new high-level judgeships, by this standard, should be for White-males. (I don’t know how many of the Biden 2021-to-2023 federal-judgeships did go the straight White-males of European-Christian origin. I have a feeling it’s quite far below half.)

    The whole ideological project of promoting men over women in higher-education. It may have never really made sense, certainly not as a long-term policy. If it made sense in the mid-20th century, when it was implicitly pitched as a way to scoop up long-neglected natural talent, it has long made no real sense. (I notice that even nominally anti-feminist Western women in our time all seem to adhere to this idea that the mid-20th-century entree of women into academia at rates at parity with men, and soon eclipsing men, was a net-good and a highly moral act. It makes sense they’d say so, but the slippery-slope stares back in silence.

    The women-over-men preference-system in academia, that emerged maybe in the 1950s and consolidated huge gains in the 1960s, had untethered itself from reality by — when — circa 1980 already? Maybe earlier. A lot of “water under the bridge” since then. We are far down-river, and in a system of such totalized fashion and in such a fish-in-water-it-cann0t-see fashion that few people, except the Steve Sailers out there, even flag it as something unusual that such crazy levels of race-and-sex favoritism are being shown, not just top-down by some particular villainous group (which seems to be Sailer’s chosen rhetorical parry) but that the whole system is erected for such purposes.

    The Wokeness-movement had many contributing factors, but the decades and decades of the “promoting women over men in academia” policy is widely seen as a big part of it. The USA is a highly “ideologized” society, and Biden and his red-tinted “rivers of blood” speeches reflects that. It always surprises me when normal people, the proverbial Corvinuses among us, don’t see this.

    • Agree: Sir Jacob Rees-Dogg
    • Thanks: ic1000, Mike Conrad
    • Replies: @res
    @Hail

    Thanks, Mr. Hail.


    this 165 threshold is generous without being ridiculous.
     
    That is well put. Let's run with it. First, to add some perspective, there are 890 federal judges (using what seems like the common definition).
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_judge#Number_of_judges

    Since we are mostly working with distributions (mean and SD based) I think it is useful to sanity check with known threshold values. Page 5 of this has a table with LSAT 5 point buckets for 2017 and 2018.
    https://www.lsac.org/sites/default/files/media/VolumeSummaryOriginalFormat%208-8-2018.pdf

    Highest LSAT | Last Year Total | Current Year Total | Percent Change
    165-169 4,023 5,130 27.5%
    170-174 2,106 2,411 14.5%
    175-180 435 694 59.5%

     

    So 8235 scoring 165 or above in 2018. FWIW I think that variation is large enough to question year to year comparability of LSAT scores. 59.5% more in the top bucket when only 7.9% more people took the test?!

    Page 11 of this document has a table with number of black and Hispanic applicants in the 165+ LSAT/ 3.5+ UGPA from 2006-2010.
    https://web.archive.org/web/20140904172855/https://www.americanbar.org/content/dam/aba/publications/supreme_court_preview/briefs/11-345_respondentamculsac.authcheckdam.pdf

    As you observe, the difference between black men and women taking the LSAT is dramatic. I had not picked up on the difference in means and SDs being enough so that for scoring above 165 black men outnumber women despite having about half the number of test takers.

    I can see black women taking the LSAT at high rates given that law seems a field where verbal skills are valued. And blacks (especially black women) have quite the political tailwind there. It is also an influential field which probably motivates the crusader types.

    P.S. This discussion of blacks and law schools is worth a look.
    https://www.top-law-schools.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=14&t=195443

    Replies: @Art Deco

    , @res
    @Hail

    Thanks again for your comment. The spreadsheet in my comment just above this validates most of your numbers, but the "other" number is low (1000 vs. about 3000).

    I'd be interested in any thoughts you have about that spreadsheet.

    Replies: @Ralph L

  • An op-ed from the Harvard Crimson: A sociologist, Bobo was appointed Dean of Social Science Claudine Gay in 2018. Gay and Bobo then teamed up to get economics department superstar Roland Fryer suspended. E.g., his mentor, Harvard president Claudine Gay, getting fired after her plagiarism was discovered. , sharply critical speech from faculty, prominent ones...
  • Dean Bobo:

    [no] blank check to engage in behaviors that plainly incite external actors — be it the media, alumni, donors, federal agencies, or the government — to intervene in Harvard’s affairs.

    Golly, I’d gotten so used to my alumnus donor status being celebrated by the likes of Bobo as signifying my valued and integral role in the University Family. Good to know that’s changed, and not unrelated to my metamorphosis into an alumnus-former-donor.

    More Dean Bobo:

    Figures such as Raj Chetty ’00, Henry Louis Gates Jr., Jill Lepore, or Steven A. Pinker have well-earned notoriety that reaches far beyond the academy.

    Notoriety. Kinsley gaffe or not-very-bright?

    “Four legs good, two legs bad” would have been a good rejoinder to this essay, if the Crimson still allowed the peasantry to submit Comments.

  • From the Minnesota Reformer: Will Hailer is a great Minnesota name: it sounds like something from an opium dream of somebody who nodded off while reading tweets by Will Stancil calling me Hitler.
  • Anonymous[142] • Disclaimer says:
    @Almost Missouri
    Speaking of Stancil and Hitler:

    https://twitter.com/eugyppius1/status/1799373811684614361



    Best of recent internet:

    https://twitter.com/captivedreamer7/status/1799342340001456398



    In case anyone were wondering:

    https://twitter.com/thltd_/status/1799205556227326301

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @Reg Cæsar, @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon

    The “groyper vs. alt-right” divide on Twitter is mostly a class divide among young people. Young right-wing intellectuals/verbalists are likely to have assimilated Jewish friends, colleagues, family members, etc., including fellow RW ones. Or they are Jews/have Jewish heritage themselves. They are also likely to be professionals in cities, among very woke/blue tribe gentiles and hostile and destructive blacks. They tend to see themselves as smart and truth-seeking in a society of stupid and dishonest people. Thus it is natural for them to think in terms of left vs. right, black vs. nonblack, or sun vs. ice people rather than Jew vs. gentile.

    Groypers tend to be working class or disaffected NEETs. To them, Jews are “the people who run the US”, maybe at most “that wimpy kid I went to HS with”–not a big part of their IRL communities. Being lowbrow and (at least aspirationally) macho, they also have a large off-white/brown contingent–think people who follow Andrew Tate or Hodge twins. They tend to see themselves as free-thinking outsiders in a society of sheep brainwashed by Jews. Thus as somewhat of a “coalition of the fringes” they tend to think foremost in terms of Jews vs. non-Jewish victims.

    Of course the details are more complex but I’d say class explains >80% of the divide.

    • Thanks: Almost Missouri, ic1000
    • Replies: @Anon
    @Anonymous

    I agree. The extreme religiously-motivated antisemitism of many groypers naturally leads into Kanye and Candace Negro Nazism. After all, blacks have lower incomes, lower educational attainment, they're more Christian, and they're more antisemitic.* If your ideology is based on anti-elite, anti-atheist, anti-"Satanist", antisemitic Christianity above all, the logical conclusion is that blacks are better people than whites. Every white person, even if they're a white nationalist leader, will eventually be accused of being secretly Jewish. Only blacks and other non-whites have 100% proven non-Jew status. So why not make them leaders in your movement?

    *Blacks were also more likely to not take the COVID vaccine, a point of agreement they have with many antivaxxer groypers, though other groypers opposed anti-vaxx.

    Replies: @kaganovitch

  • @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Almost Missouri

    https://twitter.com/captivedreamer7/status/1782662673991184580

    https://twitter.com/captivedreamer7/status/1782236539264946581

    https://twitter.com/captivedreamer7/status/1725621319381950642

    Replies: @Almost Missouri, @Bill Jones, @Larry, San Francisco

    Thanks for those.

    Amusingly, that @captivedreamer7 tweet wasn’t what I intended to post. This tweet was supposed to be in that slot:

    https://twitter.com/malmesburyman/status/1799232489845936328

    This has happened several times the past that the commenting system has shown a different tweet than what I thought I was posting, but I was able to correct it in the edit window. Since this was the first comment on the thread, though, I couldn’t in this case. I can’t tell if the problem is something to do with Twitter, my terminal, or the commenting software. (My original comment also had MORE tags between the tweets, but I’m used to those failing by now.)

    • Thanks: bomag, J.Ross, ic1000
    • Replies: @res
    @Almost Missouri

    Thanks for that tweet.


    (My original comment also had MORE tags between the tweets, but I’m used to those failing by now.)
     
    I haven't seen that. Not sure if it makes a difference, but I typically put blank lines before and after MORE tags. Also around most embeds (e.g. images and tweets).

    P.S. The first comment bug is annoying, but unlikely to be fixed.
    https://www.unz.com/isteve/the-13th-day-of-christmas/#comment-6348652
    Note that it is really any comments "until the first comment has been approved."

    Replies: @Almost Missouri

    , @epebble
    @Almost Missouri


    They went on to create an industrial and military superpower that put men on the moon and won the cold war. Your generation sent America’s industrial base to China, inundated the country with low-skill immigrants and drugs . . .
     
    LBJ: Born 1908, served in U.S. Navy in WW2 (Salamaua–Lae campaign against Japan), Signed Immigration Act of 1965

    Philip Hart: Born 1912, served in U.S. Army (Invasion of Normandy), Wrote and passed 1965 Act.

    Emmanuel Cellar: Born 1888. Served in U.S. Congress 1923 - 1973. Wrote and passed 1965 Act.

    Hilary Clinton: Born 1947. Campaigned for Goldwater, interned for Gerald Ford. She turned away from Republican Party due to Vietnam War and Watergate.

    https://www.factcheck.org/2008/03/hillary-worked-for-goldwater/

    Blaming her generation for all the said ills is anachronistic.

    OTOH, Nixon and Kissinger were in thrall with PRC. Read
    https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/memorandum-conversation-between-mao-zedong-and-henry-kissinger-0

    to see how much Kissinger was in love with Mao.

    Replies: @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms, @Almost Missouri

    , @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms
    @Almost Missouri

    America won the Cold War with China as a critical ally.

    This was the perception as recently as the Reagan era (from Seattle Times cartoonist David Horsey)

    https://i.postimg.cc/wjZfF9cb/1706140574339.jpg

    https://i.postimg.cc/1tZWhMdG/1706127678994.jpg

    He probably would have not foreseen how many of those "real Americans", like Tucker Carlson, now view Russia as "trad" "orthodox".

    Replies: @Almost Missouri

  • From the Wall Street Journal: Because women have much the same racial traits as men do. Black men dominate sprinting in the U.S., so so do black women. Descendants of American Slave men are not very good distance runners, so neither are their sisters. And the same patterns are seen around the world. WRONG, says...
  • > Black women who showed running talent were still funneled into sprints. Black athletes in general often avoided road running because of the real threat of racial violence.

    Links to cases of high school/college black female varsity athletes victimized by racist white violence while on training runs, or it didn’t happen.

    (Was Ahmaud Arbery trans?)

    • Agree: Nicholas Stix
    • Replies: @Wilkey
    @ic1000


    Black women who showed running talent were still funneled into sprints. Black athletes in general often avoided road running because of the real threat of racial violence.

     

    Well, I guess black on black violence counts as "racial violence."
  • @International Jew
    To be fair, distance running is cultural to a great extent. While (as Steve has said) everyone with sprinting talent discovers that fact on the playground, endurance events are something you need to really want to do (despite the pain), and though some talent is evident at a pretty early stage, elite-level talent is not.

    Another thing (ask any track athlete) is that kids become distance runners when they see they can't star at sprints. They move up to the 200, then the 400, then the 800, etc, until maybe they start finding success. (That was me!) So I'm saying that a lot of your great black sprinters could have been great distance runners, they just didn't need to. Maybe not the heavily muscled guys but a guy like Usain Bolt? He could have become world champion at anything up to the 1500 (at least) if he'd just wanted to. He just didn't need to. Hell, four-minute mile pace is a jog for that guy.

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic, @Old Prude, @ic1000, @Anon, @Percival2, @Brutusale, @Arclight, @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms, @p38ace, @Anonymous, @prosa123, @Anonymous Jew, @sb

    Good perspectives, very much in line with Steve’s theme of “Nature or Nurture; why not both?!”

    Whatever their flaws and differences, Larry Summers and Nassim Taleb are like Steve in that they understand the distinction between performances that are a couple of standard deviations above the mean (representing your high school at the Sectionals) and those that are at the rightmost tail (placing in the top ten at the Olympics). The latter always combines exceptional nature and exceptional nurture.

    In this article (and presumably in her book), Maggie Mertens showcases the score she got (or would have gotten) in AP Statistics — a ‘3.’ The email exchanges with her WSJ editors were no doubt pleasant, in that they are her peers when it comes to numeracy. Wordcels, what are you gonna do.

    • Thanks: bomag
    • Replies: @SFG
    @ic1000

    I suspect either (a) the editors understand statistics but need to cover their left flank for some reason or (b) the management of the paper is significantly more woke than the readership, leaving an unserved market if someone wants to take it.

    Replies: @Redneck Farmer

    , @res
    @ic1000

    The conflation of participation and top tier results is a common tactic. We know why it is done. Participation is much more a matter of nurture.

    , @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    “very much in line with Steve’s theme of “Nature or Nurture; why not both?!”

    No, that’s not what he indicated in his post.

    “In this article (and presumably in her book), Maggie Mertens showcases the score she got (or would have gotten) in AP Statistics — a ‘3.’”

    That’s a remarkable conclusion you made. Care to elaborate further?

    “Links to cases of high school/college black female varsity athletes victimized by racist white violence while on training runs, or it didn’t happen.”

    It’s more like when a black man or woman are jogging or running in a neighborhood, and there is a propensity for Karen or a Travis jump to conclusions that they are a direct threat to life and limb.

    Replies: @Fgjhhdss

  • Sebastian Jensen has posted a huge set of graphs on Substack based on nearly 4,000 national IQ and national school achievement test (e.g., PISA) scores from around the world. How have they been changing over time? Here's the data for the US. It looks to show a very slight upward trend since 1940, but basically...
  • Anon[256] • Disclaimer says:

    OT

    I asked the AI to chime in on Steve’s writing style and vocabulary based on a recent Taki’s article. It was impressed:

    The vocabulary used by the writer of this article, Steve Sailer, is quite robust and sophisticated. A few observations:

    1. Sailer uses a diverse range of vocabulary, incorporating both formal, academic-sounding words (“crimethinker”, “nanocelebrity”, “Honky-Tonk Minimalist Crud”) as well as more colloquial, conversational expressions (“slobbering”, “bumptious yuppie”).

    2. He demonstrates a strong command of literary and cultural references, mentioning figures like Johnny Ramone, Ibram X. Kendi, and Nikola Jokic. This suggests a writer with broad intellectual and cultural interests.

    3. The writing style is quite descriptive and vivid, using metaphors and imagery to paint detailed pictures for the reader (e.g. the “Mad Max roadscape” of Miami).

    4. Sailer utilizes some complex sentence structures, with multiple clauses and dependent phrases. This lends an erudite, scholarly tone to the writing.

    5. Occasional use of sarcasm, irony, and humor (“a conspiracy of rich kids to take each other to expensive lunches”) reflects the writer’s wry, detached perspective.

    Overall, the vocabulary reflects an articulate, well-read author who is comfortable moving between formal and informal registers to convey his observations and perspectives. The language used helps establish Sailer as an intelligent, cultivated commentator on cultural and social issues.

    • Thanks: Muggles, ic1000
    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Anon

    [Drunken Orson Welles voice:]
    What they're trying to say is, he's good.

  • @ic1000
    @AnotherDad

    >"...these secessions perpetuate modern-day segregation and limit opportunity for left-behind communities, a form of opportunity hoarding that we call 'white fortressing.'”

    Kudos to Bloomberg/CityLab reporters Luisa Godinez-Puig and Brian D. Smedley for coining opportunity hoarding -- that's an edgy phrase that could really catch on with the Twitterati and elite academics. (Paging Will Stancil to the white courtesy phone.)

    In Rust Belt City, it's been a topic of handwringing for decades, although discussed in less colorful terms. Like taxpayer farming. Since when are cattle allowed to choose the fields where they graze?

    But a word of caution to Ms. Godinez-Puig and Mr. Smedley. Around here, the Bad Guys (Gentile white families) who wanted to flee the high-tax, low-service, and corrupt inner-city jurisdiction -- they left a long time ago. The current crop of opportunity hoarders is largely comprised of ADOS mothers with kids, recent arrivals from Africa, and Former Soviet Union immigrants.

    Are you certain that you want to demonize these members of your coalition? Just thought I'd ask. And it's hardly unknown for progressive and woke influencers to favor upscale census tracts for the magic-dirt benefits to their own personal safety (and kids', if any, educations). Have Godinez-Puig or Smedley ever spared a thought as to which neighborhoods are rife with "In This House" signs?

    Replies: @kaganovitch, @kaganovitch

    Kudos to Bloomberg/CityLab reporters Luisa Godinez-Puig and Brian D. Smedley for coining opportunity hoarding — that’s an edgy phrase that could really catch on with the Twitterati and elite academics. (Paging Will Stancil to the white courtesy phone.)

    Sad to say, it’s hardly their coinage. There is a wikipedia page on “opportunity hoarding” that is 5 years old so the phrase is even older than that. Read it and alternately laugh and weep…
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Opportunity_hoarding

    • Thanks: ic1000, Paleo Retiree
    • Replies: @Gabe Ruth
    @kaganovitch

    That's my new favorite Wikipedia entry. Aside from the fabulous writing, we have this howler:


    Economic disadvantages and exploitation result when dominant groups benefit from the control of resources produced through the effort of minority groups.
     
    Can't you hear the siphons pumping away?

    Replies: @Old Prude, @bomag

  • @AnotherDad
    @Frau Katze


    As researchers on racial equity, we have been studying moves like this to create new cities. What we’ve found is that these secessions perpetuate modern-day segregation and limit opportunity for left-behind communities, a form of opportunity hoarding that we call “white fortressing.”
     
    This is a pretty good example of the underlying axiom of minoritarianism, that minorities are entitled to access the stuff that whites create.

    I find this axiom to be utterly without merit, and in fact morally offensive.

    Rather it seems to me that the core moral principle is the right to defect. You do not have the right to other people's stuff nor to compel their labor. But your entitled--if capable--to withdraw from a community--not making demands upon it--and make your own way, or make community with like minded people.

    A key principle for adults is "do I need you? am I demanding something from you? If I'm making demands upon you, then you can make reciprocal demands upon me. But if you are capable of, willing to doing without anyone person/group then it is their demands upon you that are morally unsupported, illegitimate.


    I think it is critical to get white people's minds out of the minoritarian rut. The simple reality is whites do not need any minorities around to provide for themselves and create decent, prosperous, pleasant communities and nations. Whites are entitled to look after their own interests--just like blacks or Jews do--and make community, with the norms that they find congenial with anyone they wish.

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic, @ic1000, @Inspector Grant, @Anonymous

    >”…these secessions perpetuate modern-day segregation and limit opportunity for left-behind communities, a form of opportunity hoarding that we call ‘white fortressing.’”

    Kudos to Bloomberg/CityLab reporters Luisa Godinez-Puig and Brian D. Smedley for coining opportunity hoarding — that’s an edgy phrase that could really catch on with the Twitterati and elite academics. (Paging Will Stancil to the white courtesy phone.)

    In Rust Belt City, it’s been a topic of handwringing for decades, although discussed in less colorful terms. Like taxpayer farming. Since when are cattle allowed to choose the fields where they graze?

    But a word of caution to Ms. Godinez-Puig and Mr. Smedley. Around here, the Bad Guys (Gentile white families) who wanted to flee the high-tax, low-service, and corrupt inner-city jurisdiction — they left a long time ago. The current crop of opportunity hoarders is largely comprised of ADOS mothers with kids, recent arrivals from Africa, and Former Soviet Union immigrants.

    Are you certain that you want to demonize these members of your coalition? Just thought I’d ask. And it’s hardly unknown for progressive and woke influencers to favor upscale census tracts for the magic-dirt benefits to their own personal safety (and kids’, if any, educations). Have Godinez-Puig or Smedley ever spared a thought as to which neighborhoods are rife with “In This House” signs?

    • Agree: bomag
    • Replies: @kaganovitch
    @ic1000


    Kudos to Bloomberg/CityLab reporters Luisa Godinez-Puig and Brian D. Smedley for coining opportunity hoarding — that’s an edgy phrase that could really catch on with the Twitterati and elite academics. (Paging Will Stancil to the white courtesy phone.)
     
    Sad to say, it's hardly their coinage. There is a wikipedia page on "opportunity hoarding" that is 5 years old so the phrase is even older than that. Read it and alternately laugh and weep...
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Opportunity_hoarding

    Replies: @Gabe Ruth

    , @kaganovitch
    @ic1000

    From the notes to the Wiki, the earliest mention I can find is from 2003, The Politics of Collective Violence by the late DR. Charles Tilly of Columbia.

  • The New York Times runs an enormous article on why Ibram X. Kendi's lavishly funded Center for Antiracist Research at Boston U. has been a fiasco. On the other hand, when tens of millions of dollars were showered upon Kendi in 2020 to create a Center for Antiracist Research at Boston U., Kendi proved a...
  • @danand
    “A correction was made on June 4, 2024: An earlier version of this article misstated the center’s fundraising in 2021 as compared to the previous year. It was approximately one-hundredth of the amount raised in 2020, not a tenth.”

    “Like I Said, Ibram X. Kendi Is Not Very Bright” and perhaps more importantly, not very rich…hard to embezzle much from empty coffers.

    Needs another Saint George to “drop”, it’s been 4 long years now. Heck, even a properly executed Jussie Smollett may do the trick. Team “Barracoon” gotta step it up.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > Needs another Saint George to “drop”, it’s been 4 long years now. Heck, even a properly executed Jussie Smollett may do the trick.

    Oh, there are many such cases. For instance, yesterday on Twitter:

    A husband and his pregnant wife were viciously attacked and beaten by a group of 10 teenagers in Chicago. During the attack, the teens were repeatedly yelling “We own these streets.”

    The wife was struck multiple times in the stomach and later found out she suffered a miscarriage due to the injuries.

    Two of the teens that were caught are only being charged with 1 count of misdemeanor battery.

    Professor Kendi could use this episode as a Teachable Moment to re-dedicate his Center to its core antiracist mission. I am mystified that he hasn’t done so already.

    • Replies: @Erik L
    @ic1000

    Streeterville is a very upscale neighborhood and this happened at 8:30 PM. Misdemeanor battery? I thought one of the accepted hypocrisies of modern America is that if the mother wants the fetus dead it's just a bunch of cells, but if she doesn't then it's a person who can be a murder victim

  • @Hypnotoad666
    So what's Steve's point?

    Replies: @Greta Handel, @anonymous, @Anonymous, @Almost Missouri, @ic1000, @gruff, @bomag

    > So what’s Steve’s point?

    That, like he said, Ibram X. Kendi is not very bright?

    (That crackerjack NYT Magazine editor Rachel Poser must secretly read iSteve?)

    ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

  • Back in 2022, in a blog post entitled "They're Not Making Minnesotans Like They Used To," I explained about the Feeding Our Future fraud trial in which the feds are charging a few dozen people in Minnesota with stealing almost a quarter of a billion dollars in covid relief funds by hugely inflating the number...
  • Norway’s population: 5.5 million
    Somalia’s population: 17.6 million

    Norway’s GDP: $527 billion
    Somalia’s GDP: $12.8 billion

    Norway’s per capita income: $94,660
    Somalia’s per capita income: $775

    Norway’s homicide rate: 0.6 per 100,000 (about 1/10th that of the USA)
    Somalia’s homicide rate: No reliable data available

    Number of Norwegian Nobel laureates: 14 (5 of them in hard sciences)
    Number of Somali Nobel laureates: 0

    Number of Norwegian businesses in the Forbes Global 2000: 9
    Number of Somali businesses in the Forbes Global 2000: 0

    Norwegian life expectancy: 82.4 years
    Somali life expectancy: 55.3 years

    Number of Norwegian refugees spreading around the world: 0
    Number of Somali refugees infesting the world: oh, millions

    Number of places built by Norwegians that Somalis want to move to: Two – Norway and Minnesota.
    Number of places built by Somalis that Norwegians want to move to: Zero.

    Yep, Somalis are just like Norwegians.

    • Agree: JohnnyWalker123
    • Replies: @anonymous
    @Wilkey

    To say East Africans are like Norwegians is the lamest form of toxic racism there is. Lumping all Africans on it's east coast as having the same cultural norms simply isn’t true, as any true Kenyan or Tanzanian will passionately tell you if you should say, "ya know, you act just like a Somali!"

    Or it would be like saying to a black from Harlem, "you know, I can tell you’re from Tupelo Mississippi!" That black person from Harlem would tell you to go fuck yourself. And rightly so.

    So when you ascribe the same cultural tendencies to a Tanzanian as to a Somalian, the worst of whom are considered the "Gypsies of Africa," by Africans, you might be an unselfconscious condescending racist douchebag, in violation of the Bell Curve in relation to race, and need to read Charles Murray's books to save yourself from further embarrassment.

    Hope this helps.

    Replies: @Cloudbuster, @trevor, @Wilkey, @Anon, @Brutusale

    , @Old Prude
    @Wilkey

    I told my Harvard educated doctorate in chemistry Sanford professor brother-in-law "Norway is the way it is because it is full of Norwegians. Somalia is the way it is because it is full of Somalians".

    He would have none of that nonsense. The Television is strong with that one...

    , @trevor
    @Wilkey

    Number of Norwegian Chess Grandmasters - anout a half dozen dozens, including the World Champion Greatest Player Of All Time (GOAT).

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Norwegian_chess_players

    Number of Somali Grandmasters = 0 ZERO ZILCH
    Not only that, but their top player is not rven Expert level (2000+).

    https://www.talsker.com/top/fide/standard/SO/

    What would that suggest about relative intelligence?

    , @trevor
    @Wilkey

    Number of Norwegian Chess Grandmasters - about a half dozen dozens, including the World Champion Greatest Player Of All Time (GOAT).

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Norwegian_chess_players

    Number of Somali Grandmasters = 0 ZERO ZILCH
    Not only that, but their top player is not rven Expert level (2000+).

    https://www.talsker.com/top/fide/standard/SO/

    What would that suggest about relative intelligence?

    , @Pastit
    @Wilkey

    Excellent stats. Poor Norway. The Somalis are a scourage on humanity.

  • Whaddaya think?
  • Guilty of what? Being Donald J. Trump?

    Honestly, I can’t keep track of all the show trials. I know they’ve fined him a billion dollars or something because some looney old woman says he fingered her at some unspecified date back in the 90s and Trump called her a liar. Then there’s some case where Trump is guilty of taking out and paying back bigger loans than he should have gotten … or something. Where the governor announced that the law only applied to bad people like Trump.

    What’s this one about? Dying his hair?

    Stalin did it better.

    • Replies: @Michael Droy
    @AnotherDad


    What’s this one about? Dying his hair?

    Stalin did it better.
     
    Stalin's hair was terrific.
    , @Dieter Kief
    @AnotherDad


    Then there’s some case where Trump is guilty of taking out and paying back bigger loans than he should have gotten … or something. Where the governor announced that the law only applied to bad people like Trump. What’s this one about? Dying his hair?
     
    This passage of yours made me laugh - at the end of a long and a bit exhausting day - so: Thanks!

    - Apropos your last sentence: Will it all boil down to world war hair?

    - That would be a zeitgeisty and - iSteeve-y punch line . . . on the other hand: One that we'd have not much time left to enjoy, possibly - - - Life is full of strangenesses (Goethe: "Das Leben stickt voller Merkwürdigkeiten.")

    Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease

    , @Anonymous
    @AnotherDad


    Guilty of what? Being Donald J. Trump?
     
    Guilty of advocating policies that happened to be in the interests of the American White majority.

    The attempts to destroy Trump are part of the drive toward White Genocide.

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    , @trevor
    @AnotherDad

    None of his alleged "crimes" had any actual VICTIMS.

    NO ONE was physically hurt or suffered any financial loss.

  • From my new Taki's Magazine column: Read
  • @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Peter Templer


    The weirdest thing about Steve’s current line on this topic is that he held precisely the opposite view a decade ago. Here is Steve commenting on Foseti’s old blog, making many of the points that Steve’s commentariat is now making here.


    https://foseti.wordpress.com/2014/01/06/review-of-unqualified-reservations-part-1/

    Steve, why the change of heart? Did you learn something new? That’s certainly allowed, but it might help convince people here if you said what it was.

     

    Not to front-run a possible reply by Steve, but here are my thoughts:

    I’m not sure what has motivated Steve’s change of heart, but it could be he’s now more afraid of the logical conclusion of American society more broadly and intensely (in disparate sectors) recognizing Jews in aggregate as being bad political actors—there may be a heavy price (for them) to be paid.

    Back in 2014 it was easier for Steve to be more honest about Jewish malign influence on the US body politic—Jews were in a more secure position overall, and thus seemingly more ‘safe’ to receive needed criticism. Now, things are more in flux, and shit is more likely to go sideways fast. Steve not too long ago was more vocally ‘hip to the JQ’—but now, steaks is higher and he may be getting nervous because of increasing likelihood for social upheaval (including bolder societal questions of whodunnit?—whom he himself had Noticed from time to time), along with personal sympathy for Jewish friends of his who may be schvitzing for obvious reasons.

    A separate but related iSteve forum factor since 2020 is a personality clash that occurred when some of the more strident commenters who were hyped up about COVID policy, and then Ukraine, increasingly personally attacked Steve for his lack of lockstep solidarity on their views, which created a less genial vibe here. Some of those commenters, or others, were/are also a bit clumsy with their brand of “anti-Semitism”—i.e., midwit or worse, which got on Steve’s nerves and, I theorize, also, in addition to the reasons cited above, causes him to signal a less overtly counter-Semitic rhetorical line than before.

    Replies: @Peter Templer

    That’s a reasonable and generous take, I think, although of course it’s not what Steve will say (which is also fair. One interesting thing about Steve is that he presents himself in public as a bit of a naif, or [as the kids would say] an autist, someone who just can’t help noticing things and telling the truth. But in fact he’s always *up to* something. By the way, that isn’t a criticism).

    For those who didn’t click the link, I encourage you to, and to “ctrl+f” for “Sailer.” As you say, Steve was more “vocally hip” back then, and I sort of buried the lede….

    Personally, I think there are a few things going on here. Two are things you mention, sc.: anyone who is in touch with a lot of smart, heterodox Americans is inevitably in touch with a lot of Jewish Americans, and at some point it becomes ugly to be really hard on “the Jews” in your writing in that situation. And second: yes, the anti-vaccine crowd really, really annoyed Steve and (I think) emboldened him to walk away from some of the more prole-ish views on the dissident right. (I say “prole-ish” neutrally.)

    But the other thing, rarely adverted to here for some reason, is that Steve is always thinking *tactically* (though again, he tends to officially deny this). I think it would be fair to say that, 20 years ago (and indeed 10), Steve thought criticism of some groups was warranted / going to move the ball; now he thinks it’s more intelligent to court that group. That’s not crazy; it’s actually analogous to what’s happening inside the GOP right now. (There are differences, of course….)

    Also, since I never comment on this blog which I’ve been reading for 20 years, let me also say that you’re one of the very few on here who makes me chuckle, Jenner. The commentators on this blog are amazingly r*tarded/boomin’.

    • Replies: @Greta Handel
    @Peter Templer


    yes, the anti-vaccine crowd really, really annoyed Steve and (I think) emboldened him to walk away from some of the more prole-ish views on the dissident right.
     
    What’s your history - type, number, date (especially first & last) - with COVID shots? Would you, in retrospect, have made different decisions?
    , @Mr. Anon
    @Peter Templer


    And second: yes, the anti-vaccine crowd really, really annoyed Steve and (I think) emboldened him to walk away from some of the more prole-ish views on the dissident right. (I say “prole-ish” neutrally.)
     
    According to Ron Unz, the number of visitors to this site has dropped enormously over the last few years. Perhaps Steve annoyed a lot of the "anti-lockdown crowd" (i.e. people who don't think that the Government has the right to lock them down and force vaccinate them) and induced them to walk away from some of the more authoritarian views on the dissident right.

    Replies: @John Milton’s Ghost

  • @Humane Conservative
    Has Steve always been a Moldbug guy or is this a new thing?

    Replies: @Sir Didymus, @Chrisnonymous, @tomv

    In addition to Moldbug and others mentioned below, the connection between Puritanism and modern Progressives and leftists was made by political science professor James Kurth in an essay called “The Protestant Deformation,” ( in The Way of American Empire) although his essay focuses more on foreign policy than domestic.

    There is also the Catholic philosopher Rene Girard who sees wokism as a heretical secular version of Christianity.

    But fundamentally with regard to wokism, I think there are only two modes in politics–live and let live, or live and let die. One accepts that other people will have different beliefs and lifestyles and that these may offend us, or one doesn’t. Steve writes: “Puritans tended to be intense and Quakers nice. Put them together and you get an intolerant religion of tolerance” about the USA, but my European co-worker loves to reference continental Jewish writer Herbert Marcuse’s “Repressive Tolerance” essay, which amounts to much the same thing. Repressive tolerance, Marxist or Puritan, is just the logical conclusion of believing in universalizing one’s liberalism–live and let die.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Anonymous12890
    @Chrisnonymous

    The Progressive movement of the late 19th century and early 20th century was mostly done by WASP. The New Left movement (sometimes called Progressive) after the War had concluded was mostly done by Jews.

    Why are we so sure its a direct connection or continuation?

    The first had some benefits, the second was destructive to society.

  • @ic1000
    @Anonymous

    A well-argued perspective, anon[326]. If I was from Mars, I might think you've arrived at the explanation of Jewish-Gentile relations in 21st-century America.

    But I'm not.

    I grew up Gentile in a prosperous majority-Gentile community with a sizable Ashkenazi minority. I even dated a Jewish girl! While my friend group included many Jews, others fell easily into the "dislike" and "rival" categories. Many decades later, many of those boys are Boomers at the tail end of professional careers. Come to think of it, so are many of my Protestant and Catholic friends, acquaintances, and erstwhile rivals.

    Over the decades since I left home, I've continued to cross paths with many Jewish people. This is hardly an unusual tale.

    The core of your account is the hive-mind thinking of elite Jewish (Ashkenazi) Americans. The promotion of self-perceived Jewish interests over Gentile interests, and over American interests. When it comes to the top 5% of U.S. Jews, I'm in a position to evaluate this claim. From my experience, the conspiratorial thinking you describe... just ain't so.

    Makes me wonder how broad and deep your exposure to American Jews has been.

    I'll close with the expected caveats. I'm talking about top 5% Ashkenazi Reform, Conservative, and no-religion Jewish families. Mileage with top-0.1%, or Crown Heights, or Persian 90210, or Red Diapers probably varies -- I've no great insight on that. But as I read it, you and I seem to be discussing the same demographic.

    Steve's readership should be more skeptical of these conspiratorial narratives, IMO. (And, once more, if you can't trust a pseud on the intrawebs like me, who can you trust?)

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Larry, San Francisco, @Anonymous, @Gabe Ruth, @Bill

    I come down in the middle of the Jewish conspiracy position and the Moldbug thesis.

    It’s not a hive mind thing or a conscious plan, it’s a segment of the population with above average capacity getting a further leg up over the rival group by exempting themselves from the self criticism or self sacrifice demanded of the rival group. Jews would probably still be over-represented without this situation, but it doesn’t hurt.

    But this advantage compounds over time, until you have the situation of today with all the quite accurate memes showing Jewish over-representation in various influential positions and industries. It’s the kind of pickle you get into when you have a wolf by the ears.

    If it was a conspiracy it’d be easier to handle, just turn down the dial on Jewish preference. But it’s the result of individual action within a bewildering system of handicaps and advantages, which all the beneficiaries of are extremely invested in keeping.

    • Thanks: ic1000, New Dealer
  • I love this topic.

    • Thanks: res, ic1000
  • HA says:
    @ic1000
    @Twinkie

    Re: coming up with secular religions, 'Reactionary Feminist' Louise Perry posted podcast interview of Tom Holland. A few years back, Holland (who I hadn't heard of) wrote Dominion: How the Christian Revolution Remade the World. In this interview, he explains Wokism as a "Second Reformation," in terms that you (commenter 'Twinkie') would find familiar, overall.

    Audio isn't the greatest way to take in new ideas, but Perry and Holland do a nice job exploring ideas related to the OP (the Takimag article). YMMV, of course.

    Replies: @G. Poulin, @HA

    “A few years back, Holland (who I hadn’t heard of) wrote Dominion…”

    His bigger claim to fame (or notoriety) was to write a book summarizing the recent work of Patricia Crone and others revealing what Islam had cribbed from Judaizer sects of Christianity (specifically, sects that argued that gentile converts should keep kosher and practice circumcision, and which persisted for centuries after those arguments were rejected, until they were swallowed up — and then airbrushed out of — what became Islam). Holland had the audacity to do a BBC special on the book, which engendered enough outrage that it was never shown again, though it can be seen in almost its entirety on Youtube and perhaps the BBC website itself somewhere (and as far as I know there was never any serious Rushdie-Satanic-Verses effort to try and ban the book).

    Adopting the theories of the academic historian Patricia Crone as a basis, Holland claimed there was little hard evidence for the origins of Islam and asked why it took several decades after the death of Muhammad for his name to appear on surviving documents or artifact [and] suggested that the city of Mecca may not have been the real birthplace of Muhammad and Islam… While not disputing Muhammad’s existence as a real historical figure, he posited that much of the Islamic origin myth was developed later, in the early years of the Arab Empire. [and] suggests that under the reign of Arab Emperor Abd al-Malik ibn Marwan, Mecca was intentionally yet erroneously portrayed as Muhammad’s home and the birthplace of Islam in order to provide the religion with Arabian origins. Holland argues that in doing so, the faith was dissociated from the Jewish or Christian heritage that would have been self evident at a location in the Negev…

    After security fears were raised, on 11 September 2012, Channel 4 cancelled a planned screening of the film for “opinion formers” at its London headquarters. They said they were nevertheless “extremely proud” of the film and would continue to provide access to it on their website,…

    I might add that Holland is a self-proclaimed “nonbeliever”,

    • Thanks: ic1000, New Dealer
  • @Twinkie
    @Bill P


    wokeness as an outgrowth of traditional Northern U.S. Protestant tendencies in an age of declining faith.
     
    Just goes to show you, even white people need God in their lives. Otherwise, they are liable to come up with false (secular) religions, raise up false saints and angels, and make a hell on earth.

    https://dynaimage.cdn.cnn.com/cnn/digital-images/org/7e81545c-7425-4ea1-b80b-3ba7242f7851.jpg

    https://images.bfmtv.com/tpyulQrvPNU2NFkDERvzOrguA-U=/0x0:512x341/1024x0/images/Une-fresque-murale-en-memoire-de-George-Floyd-le-2-juin-a-Houston-344741.jpg

    https://static01.nyt.com/images/2020/05/31/us/31minn-extremists/31minn-extremists-videoSixteenByNine3000.jpg

    Replies: @ic1000, @Ernest, @Dutch Boy

    Re: coming up with secular religions, ‘Reactionary Feminist’ Louise Perry posted podcast interview of Tom Holland. A few years back, Holland (who I hadn’t heard of) wrote Dominion: How the Christian Revolution Remade the World. In this interview, he explains Wokism as a “Second Reformation,” in terms that you (commenter ‘Twinkie’) would find familiar, overall.

    Audio isn’t the greatest way to take in new ideas, but Perry and Holland do a nice job exploring ideas related to the OP (the Takimag article). YMMV, of course.

    • Replies: @G. Poulin
    @ic1000

    I had to put down Dominion when Holland started gushing in his pants over Martin Luther King, Jr.

    , @HA
    @ic1000

    "A few years back, Holland (who I hadn’t heard of) wrote Dominion..."

    His bigger claim to fame (or notoriety) was to write a book summarizing the recent work of Patricia Crone and others revealing what Islam had cribbed from Judaizer sects of Christianity (specifically, sects that argued that gentile converts should keep kosher and practice circumcision, and which persisted for centuries after those arguments were rejected, until they were swallowed up -- and then airbrushed out of -- what became Islam). Holland had the audacity to do a BBC special on the book, which engendered enough outrage that it was never shown again, though it can be seen in almost its entirety on Youtube and perhaps the BBC website itself somewhere (and as far as I know there was never any serious Rushdie-Satanic-Verses effort to try and ban the book).


    Adopting the theories of the academic historian Patricia Crone as a basis, Holland claimed there was little hard evidence for the origins of Islam and asked why it took several decades after the death of Muhammad for his name to appear on surviving documents or artifact [and] suggested that the city of Mecca may not have been the real birthplace of Muhammad and Islam... While not disputing Muhammad's existence as a real historical figure, he posited that much of the Islamic origin myth was developed later, in the early years of the Arab Empire. [and] suggests that under the reign of Arab Emperor Abd al-Malik ibn Marwan, Mecca was intentionally yet erroneously portrayed as Muhammad's home and the birthplace of Islam in order to provide the religion with Arabian origins. Holland argues that in doing so, the faith was dissociated from the Jewish or Christian heritage that would have been self evident at a location in the Negev...

    After security fears were raised, on 11 September 2012, Channel 4 cancelled a planned screening of the film for "opinion formers" at its London headquarters. They said they were nevertheless "extremely proud" of the film and would continue to provide access to it on their website,...
     

    I might add that Holland is a self-proclaimed "nonbeliever",
  • @JohnnyWalker123
    https://twitter.com/ForsterSam/status/1795493998737412368

    Replies: @Gallatin, @New Dealer, @ic1000, @Curle, @Currahee, @p38ace, @Muggles

    > Writing Seven Shoulders was one of the hardest things I’ve ever done as a journalist.

    I thought Rachael Dolezeal was an NAACP leader, not a journalist? It’s hard to keep track. Anyway, he or she seems nice. Best of luck to him or her.

  • @Anonymous


    Whereas anti-Semites today like to blame Jews in academia for “cultural Marxism,” the correlation actually runs the other way: Jews gave up their faith and assimilated into liberal Christian values

     

    A "liberal Christian value" is self-critique. Jews don't do that.

    Liberal Christians engage in intense critique of themselves and their history; they also welcome critique from outsiders. They do this so much it's become pathological. Jews, on the other hand, attack and stymie all critiques from outsiders as "anti-Semitism."

    Why do whites engage in such extreme self-critique? Steve claims it's innate to white Protestants, but I'd argue that the dominating factor is that whites have been conditioned and incentivized to behave this way, especially since the end of WWII.

    Steve apparently believes that Jews assimilated to a white Christian culture and values which would imply that they've adopted their norms and narratives of self-critique and an attitude of welcoming critique from outsiders, but there's no evidence for this. The opposite is true.

    Indeed, it would seem that assimilation went the opposite way: Whites have assimilated Jewish narratives and values. This would make sense given that Jews control the elite media like the New York Times which creates and defines elite narratives. These narratives are, put simply: (1) white people are privileged, guilty and bad; (2) Jews are innocent powerles paupers and eternal victims; (3) browns, blacks and refugees are sacrosanct [as Jewish pets and janissaries].

    Notably, even acknowledging basic facts about Jews, like their vastly disproportionate wealth and power, is defined as "anti-Semitic." There's nothing "universalistic" or "liberal" about Jews rendering verboten and taboo all criticism of their group - doubly so when they enjoy such vast power. Their behavior is that of a tyrant. It's the behavior of a paranoid cryptocratic narcissistic potentate.

    For Jews, with their great power comes ... zero responsibility - and zero noblesse oblige.

    Amusingly, virtually the only time you see Jews criticize "themselves" is when dressed up as "whites." They will excoriate their "fellow whites" and then shapeshift back into being Jewish to say something narcissistic and self-serving "we won a lot of Nobel Prizes. We are very smart."; or to attack "anti-Semites." They do this so much it's become a meme: the "fellow white" meme.

    Shlomo: "Dear fellow whites: we are evil and bad and should all suffer and die for the horrible things we've done."

    Shlomo, the next day: "Oy vey! As a Jew I am so outraged by all the anti-Semitism I'm seeing. What has the world come to? I'm literally shaking. Have we learned nothing from the Holocaust? Don't you know that Einstein was a Jew and you goyim should worship us?"

    Noably, Jews have worked relentlessly to reduce white Christians in elite positions in top universities, government and business. They've also worked to reduce their presence in media and advertising. Their reasoning is that these institutions should be "broadly representative" of the public. But Jews don't hold themselves to those same quotas and standards. For example, at present 6/8 of Ivy presidents are Jewish and most of the top positions in Biden's cabinet are held by Jews.

    If Jews had really "assimilated" to white Christian norms and values then they'd insist that Jews should be no more than 2% of Ivy students and should occupy no more than 2% of cabinet-level positions and hold no more than 2% of SCOTUS seats because that's their representative share of the general population. They'd also insist that white Protestants should make up over 40% of these positions for the same reason. They don't do that.

    If Jews were really "liberal universalists" who cared about the greater good of the greater number then they'd insist that America's institutions and policies should primarily represent the interests of the white Christian majority - who are the "greater number" whose "greater good" should take precedence (especially in a so-called "democracy"). Instead Jews emphasize the importance of "minority rights" and "minority interests" - i.e., themselves, their own interests and the interests of their favored pets and allies.

    More:
    https://www.unz.com/article/why-are-jews-so-influential/?showcomments#comment-6238992

    Replies: @Bill P, @ic1000, @Ennui, @Anon, @Jack D, @Cagey Beast, @Anonymous, @Pixo, @Patrick in SC, @Hypnotoad666, @The Germ Theory of Disease, @AnotherDad, @Ben tillman

    A well-argued perspective, anon[326]. If I was from Mars, I might think you’ve arrived at the explanation of Jewish-Gentile relations in 21st-century America.

    But I’m not.

    I grew up Gentile in a prosperous majority-Gentile community with a sizable Ashkenazi minority. I even dated a Jewish girl! While my friend group included many Jews, others fell easily into the “dislike” and “rival” categories. Many decades later, many of those boys are Boomers at the tail end of professional careers. Come to think of it, so are many of my Protestant and Catholic friends, acquaintances, and erstwhile rivals.

    Over the decades since I left home, I’ve continued to cross paths with many Jewish people. This is hardly an unusual tale.

    The core of your account is the hive-mind thinking of elite Jewish (Ashkenazi) Americans. The promotion of self-perceived Jewish interests over Gentile interests, and over American interests. When it comes to the top 5% of U.S. Jews, I’m in a position to evaluate this claim. From my experience, the conspiratorial thinking you describe… just ain’t so.

    Makes me wonder how broad and deep your exposure to American Jews has been.

    I’ll close with the expected caveats. I’m talking about top 5% Ashkenazi Reform, Conservative, and no-religion Jewish families. Mileage with top-0.1%, or Crown Heights, or Persian 90210, or Red Diapers probably varies — I’ve no great insight on that. But as I read it, you and I seem to be discussing the same demographic.

    Steve’s readership should be more skeptical of these conspiratorial narratives, IMO. (And, once more, if you can’t trust a pseud on the intrawebs like me, who can you trust?)

    • Thanks: Pixo
    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @ic1000


    Steve’s readership should be more skeptical of these conspiratorial narratives, IMO. (And, once more, if you can’t trust a pseud on the intrawebs like me, who can you trust?)
     
    Who said anything about "conspiratorial narrative"? A group of people don't have to be actively consulting with one another in a conspiratorial fashion to all have the same, or similar, point of view. They can simply have and express a particular class interest, based on common upbringing, their circle of associations, common media that they consume, etc.

    Which is not to say that conspiratorial-like coordination doesn't happen. Actually, I think that Steve's readership should be more skeptical of the view that there are no conspiracies. A lot of people look at something like the Bilderberg meetings and just shrug. "Yeah, so what?", they'll say. The press universally treats it as a non-event, while at the same time treating every two-bit Hollywood or Music Industry award show like the event of the century. Yeah so what that a few hundred of the World's most powerful, most wealthy, most influential people gather in secret for a few days. I'm sure it doesn't signify anything.

    WTF? What do people imagine that those connected elites at the apex of society do at those gatherings? Are they having a bridge tournament? Chili Cook-off? Barbershop quartet singing contest?

    Replies: @mc23

    , @Larry, San Francisco
    @ic1000

    Really? Reform Jews are basically liberal Protestants and so prone to wokeness. The best example of this is the (extremely slimy but very influential) Michael Lerner's book the "Politics of Meaning" which could have written by any liberal Protestant author and is backed by the (even slimier) Protestant Hilary Clinton. Liberal Jews embrace of radical blacks is completely unrequited (BLM and radical blacks supports Hamas) and wealthy liberal Jews supported integrating Blacks into working/middle class Jewish neighborhoods. In the Jewish neighborhood of Mattapan in Boston they even subsidized Black homeowners moving in. They were also cheerleaders for the integration of the Jewish and Scandinavian neighborhood of South Shore in Chicago (Michelle Obama's neighborhood) . In both cases the Jews who lived their ended up fleeing like Steve Sailer's father in law. Not very ethnocentric.
    Yes some Jews are very ethnocentric. They vote Republican.
    In addition we see similar stupidity in other Protestant countries like Sweden, Germany, Scotland etc. where there are no or few Jews.
    I suppose you can use Occam's butterknife to explain how this is actually caused by ethnocentric Jewish Marxists but the more likely explanation is that it is an outgrowth of of puritanical Protestantism.

    , @Anonymous
    @ic1000

    To your point, I've long noticed a contrast between gripes about blacks and Jews on this board: the former are much more likely to feature personal anecdote than the latter. With blacks, people will talk about unpleasant parts of their city, or getting their lunch money stolen, or poor-performing AA hires. With Jews, not so much. People get (justifiably) mad about Mayorkas or Soros (and above all, Jack D lol) but few seem to find everyday Jews particularly problematic in their personal lives. Lots of them even say so explicitly! (One guy here does experimental theater in New York for goodness sakes. Can you imagine someone who complained about blacks all the time but chose to be, say, a rapper in South Side Chicago?)

    Like most coastal professionals, Steve has a lot of Jewish friends and acquaintances with whom he has mutual respect (his editor Lomez/Keeperman for example), and that's probably a big reason he's pushing back lately against harsher antisemitism.

    None of this is to say that American Jews are above criticism (secularized Jews definitely seem unusually prone to magical thinking...or is it secularized Westerners in general? Recent developments seem to indicate the latter) or that their elite hasn't had a negative effect in various areas.

    , @Gabe Ruth
    @ic1000

    I come down in the middle of the Jewish conspiracy position and the Moldbug thesis.

    It's not a hive mind thing or a conscious plan, it's a segment of the population with above average capacity getting a further leg up over the rival group by exempting themselves from the self criticism or self sacrifice demanded of the rival group. Jews would probably still be over-represented without this situation, but it doesn't hurt.

    But this advantage compounds over time, until you have the situation of today with all the quite accurate memes showing Jewish over-representation in various influential positions and industries. It's the kind of pickle you get into when you have a wolf by the ears.

    If it was a conspiracy it'd be easier to handle, just turn down the dial on Jewish preference. But it's the result of individual action within a bewildering system of handicaps and advantages, which all the beneficiaries of are extremely invested in keeping.

    , @Bill
    @ic1000

    I had the experience you claim to have had. You are, at best, wildly misinterpreting whatever experiences you had. Hatred of non-Jews and especially Christians is widespread as is the view that "good for the Jews" and "good" are pretty much the same thing.

    Furthermore, there is nothing in the least conspiratorial or bespeaking a "hive mind" in acknowledging this. Altruism has to mean something---why shouldn't it mean sacrificing your narrow self interest for the good of the Jews. Somebody has to be the outgroup. There is no reason for outgroup animus to be perfectly evenly distributed among cultures and ethnies.

    It's remarkable how weak and silly anti-anti-semitism always is.

  • From the New York Post:
  • @ic1000
    @Buzz Mohawk

    > Musk puzzles me... What is Elon’s real point? Does he even have one?

    Agree! Answer hazy, try again later. That said, Musk is one of a kind, for both better and worse.

    Social media are more important to culture and politics than I'd realized. I only started trying to figure out Twitter a year or two before Musk bought it. In retrospect, the Deep State had the right idea in focusing so much of their (mostly soft) censorship efforts on Twitter, as Matt Taibbi, Michael Shellenberger, and others have documented. Most journalists seem to hate the revamped less-progressive version of the app, but they still rely on it for consensus-making, signaling, and leads. This purchase, which may yet bankrupt Musk, has had profound benefits to society. Net.

    Oh yeah, he has also driven innovation and even transformation in multiple and diverse high-impact technical/engineering fields. So there's that.

    On the creepy side of the ledger, there's his transhumanist philosophy. E.g. mankind fulfilling its destiny as cyborg asteroid miners a la Theft of Fire (which is, hype notwithstanding, a good sci-fi read). Is Musk on "our side" or aligned with the Heinlein/Rothblatt visionary geniuses who provide the intellectual muscle powering the transgender mutilation/surgery/pharma movement? The latter, I suspect.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @Jim Don Bob

    In retrospect, the Deep State had the right idea in focusing so much of their (mostly soft) censorship efforts on Twitter, as Matt Taibbi, Michael Shellenberger, and others have documented.

    It’s much worse than we think.

    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1793666016704356735.html

    • Thanks: ic1000
  • @Reg Cæsar
    @Jack D


    ...the bill is intended largely to benefit Muslims and was sponsored by a Latina Catholic woman.
     
    A latina queer. "Jessica identifies as queer in regards to her sexual orientation and gender identity." And quite busy excommunicating herself:



    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e2/Jessica_Gonz%C3%A1lez-Rojas_-_-4EACHofUs.jpg/1365px-Jessica_Gonz%C3%A1lez-Rojas_-_-4EACHofUs.jpg

    Replies: @Jack D, @Alec Leamas (working from home)

    A latina queer. “Jessica identifies as queer in regards to her sexual orientation and gender identity.”

    Perhaps but “queer” isn’t a meaningful word – it’s one of those new Alice-in-Wonderland words that means what they choose it to mean, no more and no less. She could be conventionally female in every way, corresponding completely to her biology, and be attracted to and sleep with only men and still be “queer” nowadays. She could have a bespoke gender which is not “female,” and therefore her sexual attraction to men makes her “not heterosexual.” I understand this is all stupid and far less consistent that a Dungeons & Dragons Creature Compendium, but Federal Law commands that it be taken seriously in many walks of life.

    They wouldn’t put it this way but “queer” is now the omnibus term for people with a political-sexual identity in opposition to normal human sexuality and conventional Christian-Western sexual morality, even if they don’t do anything in their personal lives which is actually outside of those norms.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Alec Leamas (working from home)

    This is how you distinguish a genderqueer from a incel. Neither one is having sex but if they (hypothetically) WERE having sex then the genderqueer would have it with a person of the same sex.

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Alec Leamas (working from home)


    Perhaps but “queer” isn’t a meaningful word – it’s one of those new Alice-in-Wonderland words that means what they choose it to mean, no more and no less.
     
    And that's just in English!

    In the Rep's Puertoguayan (Paragrican?) patois, this is the wisdom of Zanco Panco.

  • @Buzz Mohawk
    @ic1000

    But what is Musk's view of this?

    The guy puzzles me. Electric cars are stupid, but his rockets work. His brother is a soft-talking billionaire on Pearl Street who basically means nothing (gave me directions to a coffee shop there once; he was bleary eyed at 6 AM wearing sweats.)

    What is Elon's real point? Does he even have one?

    Replies: @ic1000

    > Musk puzzles me… What is Elon’s real point? Does he even have one?

    Agree! Answer hazy, try again later. That said, Musk is one of a kind, for both better and worse.

    Social media are more important to culture and politics than I’d realized. I only started trying to figure out Twitter a year or two before Musk bought it. In retrospect, the Deep State had the right idea in focusing so much of their (mostly soft) censorship efforts on Twitter, as Matt Taibbi, Michael Shellenberger, and others have documented. Most journalists seem to hate the revamped less-progressive version of the app, but they still rely on it for consensus-making, signaling, and leads. This purchase, which may yet bankrupt Musk, has had profound benefits to society. Net.

    Oh yeah, he has also driven innovation and even transformation in multiple and diverse high-impact technical/engineering fields. So there’s that.

    On the creepy side of the ledger, there’s his transhumanist philosophy. E.g. mankind fulfilling its destiny as cyborg asteroid miners a la Theft of Fire (which is, hype notwithstanding, a good sci-fi read). Is Musk on “our side” or aligned with the Heinlein/Rothblatt visionary geniuses who provide the intellectual muscle powering the transgender mutilation/surgery/pharma movement? The latter, I suspect.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @ic1000


    Social media are more important to culture and politics than I’d realized.
     
    But not business. I just checked out a bunch of business books with cuss words in the title-- it was a recent fad-- and, except for Stanford's Bob Sutton's, this was the best of the lot:







    http://storybistro.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/sm-bs-cover-207x300.jpg
    , @Jim Don Bob
    @ic1000


    In retrospect, the Deep State had the right idea in focusing so much of their (mostly soft) censorship efforts on Twitter, as Matt Taibbi, Michael Shellenberger, and others have documented.
     
    It's much worse than we think.

    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1793666016704356735.html
  • @Bel Riose
    @Corvinus

    Another version of your inevitable "but what are YOU going to do about it" response?

    Replies: @ic1000, @Corvinus

    A commenter is free to write as though he believes that other commenters should satisfy his curiosity about points that are tangential to whatever topic is being discussed. He is also free to invite others to confirm or correct his assumptions, which might or might not be correct, and might or might not be offered in good faith.

  • Elon Musk retweeted @WallStreetSilv’s 30-second clip of Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer discussing immigration (link below the fold). My transcript:

    “Now more than ever, we’re short of workers. We have a population that is not reproducing on its own with the same level that it used to. The only way we are going to have a great future in America is if we welcome and embrace immigrants — the Dreamers, and all of them, because our ultimate goal is to help the Dreamers, but get a path to citizenship for all 11 million or however many undocumented there are.”

    [applause]

    Putting the first line into Google showed me that this is old news — a clip from a 11/16/22 press conference at the Capitol.

    Rod Dreher’s Law Of Merited Impossibility in action. “It’s a complete absurdity for Republicans to believe that the Left is flooding the voter rolls with ringers, and boy, do they deserve what they’re going to get.”

    Or, if you wish: “It’s a complete absurdity for Core Americans to believe that a Great Replacement is being carried out against them, and boy, do they deserve what they’re going to get.”

    [MORE]

    https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1794238958030983405

    At Stage Two of Chris Rufo’s three stages of progressivism:

    1. “It’s not happening and is a harmful right-wing conspiracy theory.”
    2. “It’s happening and it’s good that it’s happening.”
    3. “We’re making it mandatory for your children.”

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @ic1000

    “Core Americans” is consist of whites and nonwhites.

    “do they deserve what they’re going to get.”

    So if you as a “Core American” are getting the short end of the stick, why aren’t you 1) organizing ongoing mass resistance or 2) running for political office? Your progeny depends on it.

    Replies: @Bel Riose

    , @Buzz Mohawk
    @ic1000

    But what is Musk's view of this?

    The guy puzzles me. Electric cars are stupid, but his rockets work. His brother is a soft-talking billionaire on Pearl Street who basically means nothing (gave me directions to a coffee shop there once; he was bleary eyed at 6 AM wearing sweats.)

    What is Elon's real point? Does he even have one?

    Replies: @ic1000