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Steve Sailer
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    The diamond business has fascinated me ever since the 1980s when my future wife and I spent months shopping for diamonds because it is so different from the way companies I was familiar with, such as Procter & Gamble or Walmart, did business. (Even leaving aside the whole "Why not get a cubic zirconia?" question.)...
  • When Jaguar was bought by an Indian company the American Jaguar dealers were not happy, for luxury products the cachet is important.

    If the Jains ( or Indians generally ) come to dominate the gem business you can expect the value of your choice stone to plummet.

    • Agree: Steve Sailer
  • Anonymous • Disclaimer says:

    How come you (and to be fair every commenter in your blog) are willfully pretending ethnically indian jews don't exist?

    You have to speculate about Jains being accepted as Indian but not Jews being accepted as Indian.

    I think it's an important context point when analyzing jewish/indian dynamics.

    I agree Jain Gujaratis are and Indian subpopulation to watch.But there are some others, I'm not sold yet than Gujaratis are the ashkenazi jews of India.

    But I acknowledge that ethnically indian jews don't hold the status or power in India that ashkenazi jews do in Europe and European diasporas.

    Hopefully Anonymous

    http://www.hopeanon.typepad.com

    • Agree: Steve Sailer
  • Edward Jay Epstein's book "The Diamond Invention," which is about the creation by the diamond cartel of the idea that diamonds are rare and valuable, and are essential signs of esteem, is available in its entirety here:

    http://www.edwardjayepstein.com/diamond/prologue.htm

    • Agree: Steve Sailer
  • Here’s a new Open Thread for all of you. To minimize the load, please continue to limit your Tweets or place them under a MORE tag. For those interested, here are my three most recent articles: Fact-Checking the American Pravda Series Ron Unz • The Unz Review • May 26, 2025 • 8,600 Words The...
  • I don’t mind Ron putting up these iSteve open threads, but he shouldn’t be using my name as posting them. Please just byline them as posted by “The Editor” and we’ll all be happy.

    Steve Sailer
    SteveSailer.Net

    • Troll: Moshe Def
    • Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Steve Sailer

    Hey, I thought you said White people don't want advocates? Yet Jared Taylor racks up huge likes with each post. Weird, huh? It's as if White people are human beings.

    Unlike "above it all" CivNats who revel in their non-human aspirations.

    , @Pat Hannagan
    @Steve Sailer

    Lol!

    Looks like iSteve's been out Jewed!

    Replies: @Bill Jones

    , @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    I agree. My suggestion to have this fixed is to put a quick note in the latest Bugs & Suggestions thread. The yellow background will stand out, so probably Ron Unz will see it immediately and figure a way to clear this up on this, future, and even past iSteve Open Threads.

    BTW, I watched both of your 8 min videos. You've already taught me all this stuff, but it is simple enough for a lot of people to learn from. The 1st half(?) of the 2nd one has you speaking pretty fast. Maybe the young people - who speed up videos and all - would be fine with it. I like a speed to where things can sink in.

    At least it wasn't Paul Joseph Watson style, with editing that can give people seizures.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Chrisnonymous

    , @MGB
    @Steve Sailer

    why are you posting your gripe here? i don't think most people give a shit about your proprietary squabble with unz. is he not answering your calls? frankly, i would find it amusing if you sued him over this as it would be a perfect illustration of the lack of virtue and integrity of the 21st century blogging intellectual elite.

    and in response to Newman above, both of you were embarrassing, unthinking ninnies when it came to the covid thingy, and whatever positive reputations you both enjoy will forever be asterisked by this shame. you promoted the police state, when all you had to do was stay at home if you personally felt at risk. you're the wordsmith, so draft something with that sentiment in mind to put on your headstone.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Corvinus, @TWS

    , @Je Suis Omar Mateen
    @Steve Sailer

    'I don’t mind Ron putting up these iSteve open threads, but he shouldn’t be using my name as posting them. Please just byline them as posted by “The Editor” and we’ll all be happy.'

    So entitled, so utterly boomer 🙄

    No one cares what Pfiser Steve 'minds.'

    People will use Steve's name however they please. Viz: Steve Sailer is a disingenuous Pfizer shill.

    No one cares about Steve's preferred byline.

    Steve doesn't know that his suggested byline makes anyone happy.

    No one cares if Steve is happy.

    What an entitled, prissy, presumptuous narcissist is this fraud Pfiser Steve!

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    "I don’t mind Ron putting up these iSteve open threads, but he shouldn’t be using my name as posting them."

    Absolutely. I know, I requested that Mr. Unz cease and desist. Seems to me your second protestation is falling upon deaf ears. Then again, you're no longer part of his operation, so why even sweat it?

    Replies: @Anonymous

    , @Buzz Mohawk
    @Steve Sailer

    You do have a point, Mr. Sailer.

    What I don't understand is why you aren't communicating directly with Mr. Unz instead of via your comments here. What gives?

    BTW, we welcome any appearance by you here. We miss you, so thanks for giving us a little shot of dopamine with your yellow box.

    How do you like those coordinated, organized, anti-American riots in your neighborhood?

    Sincerely,
    A Real Fan Who Sent You Adoring Shit.

    PS: I really do feel sorry, and I regret how the typical outcome of my life "outcomed" with regard to you. You don't deserve it. I am the lost one. You are the great one. I am sorry.

    I hope you read this.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    , @SafeNow
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking of Steve’s shrinking presence, I used to donate rather generously, but I stopped when Steve stopped writing essays and otherwise curating the blog. Was my stopping the moral thing to do? Did other prior donors likewise stop, or did they feel Steve still merits donations, as a kind of royalty? In any case, while I miss those engaging and informative contributions by Steve, I of course fully respect his decision to withdraw.

    Replies: @bomag

    , @MEH 0910
    @Steve Sailer


    I don’t mind Ron putting up these iSteve open threads, but he shouldn’t be using my name as posting them. Please just byline them as posted by “The Editor” and we’ll all be happy.
     
    Steve, I now see that Ron Unz has kindly accommodated your reasonable request, and the byline for these ISteve Open Threads is now the ISTEVE COMMUNITY, which goes to its own archive.

    https://www.unz.com/author/isteve-community/

    Thank you Ron Unz.

    Replies: @Corvinus, @OilcanFloyd

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Maybe you’ll read this. Then again, you’re dead to this blog. Here’s hoping you’ll agree that the rule of law and law and order do not mix with the Trump Administration.

    https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lrvbsqa6bk2p

  • Here’s a new Open Thread for all of you. To minimize the load, please continue to limit your Tweets or place them under a MORE tag. For those interested, here are my two most recent articles: Trump vs. Harvard in an Political Wrestling Match The Unz Review • April 21, 2025 • 6,700 Words American...
  • I’d appreciate if these were posts were attribute to the Editor rather than to me.

    • Thanks: Corvinus
    • LOL: Buzz Mohawk
    • Troll: Bill Jones
    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    https://www.peakstupidity.com/images/Peak_Stupidity_Billboard.jpg

    , @MGB
    @Steve Sailer


    I’d appreciate if these were posts were attribute to the Editor rather than to me.
     
    Grammar? Day drinking?
    , @Sam Hildebrand
    @Steve Sailer


    I’d appreciate if these were posts were attribute to the Editor rather than to me.
     
    The quality of have comments have really decline in the absence of whimming.
    , @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Steve Sailer

    Hey, you said White people didn't want advocates for them. You implied Jared Taylor was trying to be an Al Sharpton (too déclassé!). Yet, his tweets are going viral.

    A typical tweet from him has 12,000 likes in just a day. Meanwhile, yours typical get 100 to 300 likes. What's up? It's as if Whites are human like everybody else.

    Replies: @MGB, @Corvinus

    , @Je Suis Omar Mateen
    @Steve Sailer

    I'd appreciated if someone edit you're posts, you greasy lush. Your face is getting puffy from all the white wine F yeah! you chug on the daily.

    , @the one they call Desanex
    @Steve Sailer

    Steve no doubt regrets that this ragtag
    ménage includes that Brobdingnag-brag-
    prone misuse of sperm
    who denotes himself Germ
    Theory, ex-(he says) SNL gag-fag.

    No offense, Germ. I just go where the rhymes take me.

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Wow, you’re back (briefly)! And this is the best you can do?

    Unless, of course, your post is a fake, i.e. someone is impersonating you. Can’t rule that out.

    Mr. Sailer, you had to have the vague impression when you left this fine opinion webzine for the greener (money) pastures of Substack, Mr. Unz, the shrewd (Jewish) businessman, would milk the remnants of your blog for all it’s worth. Hence, his lame insistence on these Open Threads to promote his own articles. Seems to me you and him need to have another conversation, rather than you weakly protest, regarding your legacy.

    And since you’ve sadly departed, Achmed and Hail run roughshod here by promoting their own websites, Greta Handel still bitterly complains like an old scold about your alleged heavy handed whimming, and Loyalty… and MikeTre excitedly demand white racial fealty.

    So, anything else on your mind?

    , @Corpse Tooth
    @Steve Sailer

    Steve you have to come back. If not you full-time then please allow Hari, your Filipino manservant aka Comments Commissar to return to his former post in order to regulate your former Joint. It's degenerated into cliques and upperclass foodies making me envious with the details of their fancy lives. Corvinus is running roughshod over everybody except for me.

    , @Buzz Mohawk
    @Steve Sailer

    Why are you getting a gold box when you aren't even here anymore?

    I'd appreciate if your posts were attribute to thee rather than to we.

    This isn't your place anymore.

    GOOD BYE


    https://c2.staticflickr.com/6/5082/5337349122_f04a6e3d44_b.jpg

    Replies: @Dmon

    , @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Steve Sailer


    I’d appreciate if these were posts were attribute to the Editor rather than to me.
     
    Steve, how about doing a ‘guest’ post here on occasion, you know, for old times sake?

    Sailer come back

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NmEyGiaqm7k

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fa4BECxUsAA7qSr.jpg

    Replies: @Corvinus

    , @OilcanFloyd
    @Steve Sailer

    Wut cha cummin back fer?

    , @Matthew Kelly
    @Steve Sailer

    Looking at the responses it's not difficult to imagine why Sailer had enough with this place.

    Replies: @Buzz Mohawk

    , @TWS
    @Steve Sailer

    Good to see you.

    , @muggles
    @Steve Sailer

    I can understand your reason for wanting to leave a lot of this behind you.

    But the now exiled former iSteve commentators still have your inspiration in common.

    Are your current fans as nutty as these here? More refined and restrained?

    Some of us just like the Unz commentary set up and yours now is said to be inferior Substack stuff.

    I wish you the best and hope you periodically visit.

    , @Anon
    @Steve Sailer

    Hey Steve, I just realized how little I miss your low-effort posts. Stupid shit about golf, or banal observations about negro crime. The comments have always been more interesting than your low efforts.

  • From my review of the Best Picture Oscar contender Conclave in Taki's Magazine: Robert Harris’ heroes are clearly on the side of Vatican II. When Ralph Fiennes's English cardinal accuses him of ambition, Stanley Tucci's American cardinal notes that every cardinal has already picked out the name he would be known as when pope. Fiennes’...
  • @dearieme
    I'm not anti-abortion but I was strongly anti-Wade/Roe. It was clearly a case of SCOTUS acting as a legislature not as a court, and, not only that, but passing an unconstitutional law.

    Someone ought to write a book about all those cases where SCOTUS has made up laws on whim. When did they start to do that? Early 1800s?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Alden

    In Marbury vs. Madison in 1803, the Supreme Court made up the law that they get to make up laws.

    • Agree: Alden
    • Replies: @Ralph L
    @Steve Sailer

    They started by making down laws.

    , @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Steve Sailer

    OT — from a recent post on your Substack:

    https://www.stevesailer.net/p/the-nurture-assumption-by-judith


    A friend who is a behavioral geneticist told me that he’s getting concerned that his side in the nature vs. nurture debate was getting excessively triumphalist lately.
     
    Steve, did he cite any examples of the concerning triumphalism? You didn’t mention any in your article.
    , @Almost Missouri
    @Steve Sailer

    That's a good line, but technically Marbury v. Madison was more the Supremes declaring that they get to invalidate Federal laws rather than make up new ones, as Ralph L's comment implied.

    To answer dearieme's question, I dunno. There is, TBH, some wiggle room in defining what is "making up law" versus what is ordinary judicial review. The earliest notorious case after Marbury (1803) was probably Dredd Scott (1857), where in order to forestall a looming national schism, the Court mucked around with the definition of citizenship ... and ironically if unsurprisingly ended up provoking the Civil War it sought to avert. That seemed to chasten the Court for a few decades until...

    The modern era of judicial activism probably starts with the New Deal and especially Wickard v. Filburn (1942) where the Supreme Court essentially rewrote the Constitution's interstate commerce clause to mean intrastate non-commerce. But arguably the Justices were acting under the gun of the FDR admin threats, so this wasn't activism with full scienter.

    The real golden age of judicial activism was the Warren Court of the 1950s and 1960s when, feeling its oats, the Supreme Court just started remaking whatever it wanted about American society. Most of the heavy jurisprudential philosophizing since then has been about whether or how to trim the Warren Court's legacy, and mostly it hasn't happened.

    Replies: @Ralph L

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    "In Marbury vs. Madison in 1803, the Supreme Court made up the law that they get to make up laws."

    No, they issued a RULING. Congress created the courts (a law!), conferring it the power to review legislation and thus enforce the Constitution. The Supreme Court then exercised this authority in a famous and critical ruling that checks the power of the legislative and executive branches.

    Get it right next time.

    Replies: @Alden

    , @anonymous
    @Steve Sailer

    If Marbury was so wrong why didn't anyone appeal it?

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    “Tyler Cowen stumps the NYT's genetics correspondent.”

    You draw this conclusion without even presenting a shred of evidence. More importantly, Cowen begs the question when he states “Now to unimaginative people, that will sound impossible, but if you think about the equilibrium rolling itself out slowly” and “If I knew nothing about you, and I knew about the rest of your family, I’d be more inclined to let you into Yale, and that would’ve been a good decision”

    Cower assumes that the use of DNA in education and employment is a desirable end, a welcomed part of the decision making process, without considering its ethical and legal quandaries.

    “thus denying Trump a chance to take credit for the success of the vaccine before the election.”

    Still passing off this outright lie?

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    I get this blog is on its last legs and you’re offering up softball questions to what Trump and Musk are doing on Substack. Maybe you will wake up and start NOTICING, but my vague impression is you want money for closet renovations and better dog food brands. I know this falls on deaf ears, but someone has to guide you toward truth.

    https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/exclusive-trump-makes-aggressive-new-claim-of-executive-power-to-circumvent-the-senate

    Replies: @anonymous

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: The Right’s Weird New Age Steve Sailer February 12, 2025 With the left depressed in 2025, much of the cultural energy belongs to the right. But where’s it going to go? One increasing possibility appears to be that newly self-confident right-wingers are getting into various kinds of New...
  • @Stan Adams
    @Hail

    Steve seems not to have addressed the Napster issue at the time, even in an article he wrote about the decline in the quality of popular music.

    https://web.archive.org/web/20050205034020/http://www.isteve.com/Music_Catchy_Tunes.htm

    "Where did all the catchy tunes go?" by Steve Sailer
    UPI - January 9, 2001

    Where did all the catchy tunes go? The recent Grammy Award nominations set off the usual head scratching over how to decide between offerings from wildly different genres of music.

    For example, who is more deserving of the Album of the Year award: vile young rapper Eminem or beloved old codger Paul Simon?

    Yet, the Grammy nominations also inspired a more subversive thought: hit songs just aren't as catchy as they used to be.

    Now, this could just be the nine millionth example of a baby boomer complaining about the unsatisfactoriness of modern young people. Granted, yet consider that the record buying public seems to agree. For example, in the Jan. 13 Billboard album chart, the Beatles' "1" is, fittingly, Number 1, again, three decades after the group broke up.

    Now, endless ink has been spilled explaining the sociological significance of the Beatles -- how they were the perfect representatives of their era.

    Okay, but the '60s were a long, long time ago. So, why are people born in the '70s and '80s (and even '90s!) buying Beatles records today? The simplest answer would seem to be: The Beatles wrote really catchy tunes.

    "Okay," you might be saying, "But the Beatles were unique, immortals, once-in-a-century talents. They are probably natural exceptions to the rule that songwriting talent should be a constant over time." Maybe.

    But consider that the biggest selling album of all time in America is the Eagles' "Their Greatest Hits 1971-1975."

    While there's still a lot of myth and hysteria surrounding the Beatles, there never was any involving the Eagles in the first place. They were just a bunch of guys who wrote a lot of good melodies. Maybe a John, Paul, George, and Ringo only come along once in a lifetime, but a Don, Glenn, Bernie, the other Don, Timothy, etc. never impressed anybody as unique genetic marvels.

    The population keeps growing, so how come the number of people who can write good tunes keeps declining?

    Or consider Broadway. "Rent" was the most celebrated musical of the Nineties. Why? Because, everybody marveled, it had five good songs! Of course, back in the Fifties, quite a few musicals, such as "My Fair Lady" and "The Sound of Music," offered ten or more songs that you could hum on your way out of the theatre.

    Or, think about the Grammies. Notoriously, these awards tend to go to lame, behind-the-times acts. That's because most music is bought by people still going through the throes of puberty. Yet, you aren't allowed to vote for the Grammies until you've been in the music industry for so many years that you can no longer stand the stuff that you're helping to churn out.

    For example, the first five Record of the Year awards (from 1958 to 1962) did not go to Buddy Holly or Marvin Gaye or the Beach Boys. Instead, the following Old Fogy records won: "Volare," "Mack the Knife," "Theme from a Summer Place," "Moon River," and "I Left My Heart in San Francisco."

    Pathetic, huh? Yet, with the exception of the instrumental "Summer Place," these are all great songs to sing in the shower.

    In distinct contrast, here are the most recent winners. "Smooth," "My Heart Will Go On," "Sonny Came Home," "Change the World," "Kiss from a Rose," and "Streets of Philadelphia."

    Yeah, I'll be singing those in the shower forty years from now. Sure I will.

    Or take 1977, the year that punk rock and new wave broke through. That style was supposed to be all about raw anger colliding with lack of training and even lack of talent. Yet, by current standards, the classics of 1977 are downright catchy. The Ramones' "Teenage Lobotomy" has three separate hooks.

    "Never Mind the Bollocks, Here's the Sex Pistols" has only one tuneless song out of twelve. Joe Strummer and Mick Jones' shout-along melodies for "The Clash" can still stand comparison to early Lennon and McCartney. And compared to what we hear today in "alternative rock," Elvis Costello's "My Aim Is True" sounds like the second coming of Irving Berlin.

    I can't imagine any reason why fewer natural songwriters would have been born in recent decades than in the middle of the 20th Century. And I can't imagine that young people are less motivated to write enduring songs today. After all, the money is wonderful. Berlin was collecting royalties on "Alexander's Ragtime Band" up to 75 years after he wrote it.

    No, I suspect contemporary songwriters have simply run into diminishing returns. Their predecessors have just used up most of the melodies that are easy to find.

    Heretically, this suggests that the reason the Beatles, the Rolling Stones, Bob Dylan, and Dozier-Holland-Dozier of Motown wrote such a prodigious number of great tunes is not because they were vastly more talented than current songwriters.

    Instead, they were like the first miners to get to California gold fields in 1849. They just got there first.

    Of course, this theory has been in disrepute ever since the great philosopher John Stuart Mill dreamed it up in 1826. During a long battle with depression, Mill sought solace in music. He wrote in his "Autobiography," "I was seriously tormented by the thought of the exhaustibility of musical combinations. The octave consists only of five tones and two semi-tones, which can be put together in only a limited number of ways, of which but a small proportion are beautiful: most of these, it seemed to me, must have been already discovered, and there could not be room for a long succession of Mozarts and Webers, to strike out, as these had done, entirely new and surpassingly rich veins of musical beauty."

    Many thinkers have had a good laugh at Mill's expense. MIT cognitive scientist Steven Pinker wrote, "At the time [Mill] sank into this melancholy, Brahms, Tchaikovsky, and Rachmaninoff had not yet been born, to say nothing of the entire genres of ragtime, jazz, Broadway musicals, blues, country and western, rock and roll, samba, reggae, and punk.

    We are unlikely to have a melody shortage anytime soon because music is a combinatorial system. If each note of a melody can be selected from, say, eight notes on average, there are 64 pairs of notes, 512 motifs of three notes, 4,096 phrases of four notes, and so on, multiplying out to trillions and trillions of musical pieces."

    Still, as Pinker hints, the number of appealing patterns within each genre is far more limited. To make an extreme example, the Ramones invented modern punk rock around 1976. It was so quickly exhausted as a source of new songs, however, that their most talented disciples, the Clash, completely abandoned the punk songwriting format on their famous late 1979 double album "London Calling."

    Punk languished until the late Eighties. Then Kurt Cobain of Nirvana revitalized the genre by slowing it down. This allowed Cobain to better display his considerable gift for writing catchy hooks. Yet, even under it's new name of "grunge," by the mid-Nineties, most of its obvious songwriting opportunities had been used up again.

    Most genres are less limited than punk/grunge. So, in them this cycle happens more slowly. Still, all the main popular music genres are getting creaky.

    Rock in general is about fifty years old. "Alternative rock" is the name they had to change "new wave" to after it became the old wave.

    Rap, rock's great tuneless rival, is now in its fourth decade. The first Top 40 rap hit was the Sugarhill Gang's "Rapper's Delight" way back in 1979.

    The good news is that eventually somebody will dream up new styles that will open up new veins of melody. Unless, of course, they've reached diminishing returns in inventing new genres.

    https://web.archive.org/web/20050206140554/http://www.isteve.com/Music_Singer_Songwriter_Fetish.htm

    End of the singer-songwriter fetish by Steve Sailer
    UPI - January 10, 2001

    The constant pitter-patter of the music industry congratulating itself on TV -- the American Music Awards, the VH1 Awards, the Grammy nominations, and on and on -- tends to blur long-term trends.

    But one fundamental shift in popular music is now clear. The long stranglehold of the singer-songwriter fetish on the public's taste is finally eroding.

    Pop music is returning to a pre-rock style division of labor. Before Bob Dylan made it mandatory for songwriters to prove the authenticity of their tunes by croaking them out in their own voices, pop music was made by teams of specialists.

    In the 1950s, no one had looked down on Frank Sinatra for singing a Cole Porter tune arranged by Nelson Riddle and played by outstanding session men. It would have seemed as silly for Sinatra to pen his own jingles as for Marilyn Monroe to write her own scripts.

    Of course, the recent revival of specialization has yet to produce much to compete with Sinatra's Capitol Records Sessions. Instead, we've gotten mostly Britney Spears lip-syncing to Max Martin ditties.

    Still, contemporary stars have far more demands put on them. Spears doesn't have time to write songs, for example, because she is too busy changing her clothes. While hosting the American Music Awards, she appeared to have undertaken a costume change for almost every award.

    The crush of media demands can be so overwhelming today that few singers older than Spears or Christina Aguilera have the stamina to meet them, unless you're Tina Turner.

    Further, the top pop acts today emphasize complex choreography far more than the rock stars of the 1960s and '70s.

    The black groups of the past that took choreography seriously, like the Temptations, tended not to write that many of their own songs, either. Cartoonist Garry Trudeau of "Doonesbury" fame and others used to ridicule Gladys Knight's Pips because they didn't conform to their romantic prejudice that a performer should be an all-around creative artist rather than a highly professional expert in his field.

    Today, however, stylistic descendents of the Pips, such as the Backstreet Boys and N' Sync, rule the charts.

    Further, the decline in prejudice against singing other composers' songs has gone hand in hand with the '90s' obsession with "divas." The new tolerance for greater specialization has allowed women with athletic voices, such as Celine Dion and Whitney Houston, to retake the spotlight after a long period ruled by men.

    Even today, there are few comparable male vocal talents. The country singer Randy Travis is one of the few examples of a male singer who is a star simply because he has great pipes.

    The roots of the singer-songwriter fetish stretch back to the early days of rock and roll. This new kind of song was simple enough for a young performer to compose and arrange. Chuck Berry, for example, sang, played guitar, and wrote his own lyrics. Berry's piano player, however, recently sued him for royalties on the music to "Johnny B. Goode" and the other classics, which he claims -- with some evidence -- to have written for Berry.

    Buddy Holly wrote some of his own hits in the late '50s, but far fewer than the "The Buddy Holly Story" indicated. This 1978 movie felt compelled to portray Holly as a '70s-style singer-songwriter. In reality, Holly's producer, Norman Petty, contributed at least as much as he.

    Still, even up to 1964, the notion that there was something fake about a performer who didn't write his own material was almost unknown. Elvis Presley did enjoy co-writing credits on many of his hits. That, however, was simply because Col. Tom Parker shook down any songwriter who wished to have Elvis perform his new composition. The composer had to give up half his royalties in return for Elvis making it a sure hit.

    Berry Gordy ran Motown like a '30s movie studio. Smokey Robinson could have sung his "My Girl" himself, for example. Yet, it made better sense for the label for the more vocally gifted Temptations to record it.

    The incredibly prolific trio of Dozier-Holland-Dozier wrote endless hits for the Supremes, the Four Tops and others. Yet, they are little known today because they stayed behind the scenes.

    Seeing themselves as a tribute band, the early Rolling Stones had no interest in writing new songs. They believed the Mississippi Delta bluesmen had written all the songs worth singing. There would be something sacrilegious in English kids trying to write new rhythm and blues tunes.

    In fact, Mick Jagger and Keith Richards didn't start writing until their manager locked them in his kitchen and told them they couldn't come out until they had written a song. After eating all his food, they finally decided they didn't have anything better to do than write.

    In the mid-'60s, the tide turned. Ably preceded by the Beach Boys, the Beatles vividly showed that it was possible for rock musicians to sing, play, and compose well.

    Yet, Dylan was the true revolutionary. When his imposing "Like a Rolling Stone" broke through to the mass audience in 1965, he showed that it was possible for a songwriter to sing wretchedly -- and get away with it. In fact, audiences admired his incompetence. They felt it made his songs sound more "real."

    While this became a tremendous era for stylistic innovation, the cost of Dylanism came in a decline in singing quality, especially among men. Lyric-writing deteriorated as well, with lyrics becoming increasingly incoherent. Of course, the drugs didn't help, either.

    The change in taste can be quantified by comparing the top-10 selling albums of the '60s to the '70s.

    Until the late '60s, youths bought 45 rpm singles, while only affluent grown-ups could afford 33 rpm LP disks to play on their cabinet-sized stereos.

    That's why in the '60s, only two of the top 10 albums (the Beatles' "Sgt. Pepper's" and "A Hard Day's Night") consisted of songs written by the performers. By the '70s, however, the singer-songwriter obsession had triumphed. Of the top 10 albums of that decade, only the soundtrack to "Grease" was written by specialist composers.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Mike Tre, @Hail, @Adam Smith

    Thanks, I will post those on my Substack at SteveSailer.net.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking about posting on your Substack regarding science and data...

    https://newrepublic.com/article/191563/trump-musk-war-information-data

    https://newrepublic.com/article/192346/musk-doge-noaa-water-safety-algae

    When are you going to wake up?

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    You said “It’s easy to rank states by their raw scores on the federal government’s National Assessment of Educational Progress test”

    Well, your days of data analysis are numbered here. Thanks Trump.

    https://abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/education-department-cuts-agency-compiles-nations-report-card/story?id=119735831

  • @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    Are you really sure about this celebrity magnetism thing? I have been near a few famous people - probably not tippy top famous - and I have to say it was a kind of a letdown.

    One time we saw a famous person in L.A. and it was probably a staged event. I thought it was interesting but the famous person seemed smaller than I imagined they would be. However, there was a guy near me who called his friend on the phone and gushed like he had just seen Jesus. So it may be a very individual thing.

    I would just temper the magnetic charm scenario with the old saying that you should never meet your heroes. Apparently, most famous people are disappointing in person.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Achmed E. Newman

    I’ve run into several dozen celebrities in real life. Virtually all have been cooler than you or me. E.g., Robert Downey Jr. is the coolest guy who ever pointed at me, even though he was a down and out ex-felon in the early 2000s.

    Celebrities tend to be celebrities because they have above average personalities.

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Steve Sailer

    Celebrities tend to be celebrities because they tend to be... well.. I 'll let the group figure out the ending to that sentence.

    There's also no such thing as an ex-felon, unless a pardon was granted.

    And seeing as I lived in the SFV for 12 years I ran into at least 10 that I can recall and they all fell into 2 groups: Awkward, or jagoff. Watch an interview with Downey; he is the former.

    , @Curle
    @Steve Sailer

    Elvis was really nice to strangers. So was Ed Sullivan.

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    , @Buzz Mohawk
    @Steve Sailer

    Certainly personality must be a variable that effects the outcome, but there could be others. Screen actors and performers have looks that are interesting on camera, for example.

    Let's imagine paraphrasing David Lynch as John Ford:

    "Okay kid, look at the actor in that picture. What do you see?"

    "Uh, I see a man in a suit, saying something..."

    "NO, NO, NO! The man has a tough-looking, unusual face, kind of scary and rough. Okay, look at the actor in that other picture. What do you see?"

    "I see a man with blue eyes, smiling, wearing nice clothes."

    "NO! He's extremely good-looking, unnaturally so! Even weirdly so!

    "If an actor looks unusual, with pronounced features that are somehow strange, sharply defined on camera, he's INTERESTING!

    "If an actor looks stunningly handsome unlike normal people, he's INTERESTING!

    "If an actor looks normal, he's BORING as SHIT!"

    Okay, that said, I speculate there is also a considerable about of confirmation bias when we meet celebrities. We assume they are going to be interesting, cool, charismatic because they are famous and we see them as such. With this bias, we do feel something about them when they "walk into the room."

    I've met and interacted with a handful myself, and sometimes I didn't even know who they were at first. I don't believe they all have that magical charisma, but that they do excite people precisely because they are famous.

    One time I even thought Paul Newman was just some grumpy-looking New England man in L.L. Bean clothes. My wife and I walked into a soup shop (imagine the Soup Nazi from Seinfeld but nicer and in a Connecticut town.) There was New England Man wearing tan corduroys looking at me. We nodded at each other. It wasn't until he and I were standing next to each other ladling soup into our cups that I realized who he was. (I also noticed that he went to and ladled out ALL of the white bean artichoke soup for himself after he heard me say to my wife, "Ooh, white bean artichoke. That sounds good." Then checking out ahead of me, he told the cashier, "You may find this hard to believe, be we DO cook at our house." Well duh! He started a food company with his salad dressing recipe, after all.

    , @Bardon Kaldian
    @Steve Sailer


    Celebrities tend to be celebrities because they have above average personalities.
     
    In the eye of the beholder.

    Others find entertainers- that's "celebrities"- everything: charming, dull, boring, detestable, pleasant.
    , @Brutusale
    @Steve Sailer

    It's interesting that the person partially Jewish Downey credits for saving his life is such a raging antisemite.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/av/entertainment-arts-15359434

  • @Buzz Mohawk
    @Jenner Ickham Errican

    LOL

    I had ASSumed that an interesting thing called perspective was at work here: A taller person, almost certainly male, shot a photograph from a high viewpoint, looking downward though a typically wide-angle lens on a smartphone.

    Thus the distortion: The farther down you look, the more foreshortened things become.

    I do, however, admit to focusing on what I find to be the most impressive part of the female anatomy:


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S8vYcB9vsww

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @Steve Sailer

    I can recall seeing Jon Voight standing on the street corner on Ventura Blvd. about 10 or 15 years ago talking to an extremely good looking young couple. I was saddened to realize they weren’t his daughter Angela Jolie and her husband Brad Pitt, but were instead one of the countless other good looking couples in Hollywood. And then the valet parker drove up in Mr. Voight’s car, which turned out not to be, as I’d been promised by George Constanza, a Chrysler LeBaron.

    • LOL: Buzz Mohawk
  • @Steve Sailer
    @Anon 2

    Wow, 4315 Woodman Ave ...

    I went to high school at Notre Dame four blocks north of there on the corner of Woodman and Riverside.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Not surprisingly, lots of my schoolteachers were into New Age stuff into 1970-1979.

  • @Anon 2
    @Steve Sailer

    Patrick Flanagan’s firm Source of Innergy was headquartered at
    4315 Woodman Ave in Sherman Oaks, just north of Ventura Blvd. The building
    still stands. Out of curiosity I visited the place in the mid-‘70s. The ground floor
    looked like a car dealership showroom but inside were countless pyramids,
    typically made of metal rods, of various sizes, some big enough to place over
    your bed. The selling point was that they would improve the quality of your
    sleep (or your meditation) and help you have Technicolor dreams. I now regret
    I didn’t take a picture of the showroom. It would’ve been a perfect symbol of
    the New Age craze that exploded in the 1970s.

    The obsession with pyramid power was partly due to the runaway success of
    the book “Chariots of the Gods?” (1968) by Erich von Däniken, which was
    turned into a movie released in the U.S. in 1973.

    In response to someone who mentioned the story of the Maharishi and the
    Beatles. Purely accidentally I have two degrees of separation from Mia Farrow
    (i.e. I knew someone who knew Mia) so I know the story well.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Wow, 4315 Woodman Ave …

    I went to high school at Notre Dame four blocks north of there on the corner of Woodman and Riverside.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Steve Sailer

    Not surprisingly, lots of my schoolteachers were into New Age stuff into 1970-1979.

  • @Achmed E. Newman
    OK, slightly more seriously here, my wife, as politically MAGA as they get, is also into the supplements, "get rid of the bottled water!"*, and fruit drinks - her smoothies don't have the 3/4" of sugar in the bottom of the cup though - just use bananas. I am pretty sure Telegram is a big part of the reason she is so into all this.

    However, as you mentioned with your GrandDad, having health problems with no easy solutions is an impetus for New Agey health care. It's HOLE-istice! She's got some joint pain she has that's got her searching for solutions. (Admirably, she will not take the Big Pharma drugs required, which in this case most assuredly do have long-term terrible side effects.)

    Regarding your point on comparative religion, how does that comport with that Evangelical Christians, who don't want any of that Hindu or Buddhist mumbo-jumbo but are now into some of the woo-woo things? Again, Instagram, etc., but yes, RFK, Jr. is a factor, not that he could possibly be worse than a usual GOPe Big Pharma shill. (I'd rather there be NO Feral HHS to begin with!)

    There is the women's woo-woo stuff, mostly health related, but the UFO sightings are more of a guy thing. I can tell you that there ARE so many UFOs around - they are called drones. In the age of drones, we have these Unidentified Flying Objects that could very well be up to no good. No, no little green men though. We only wish!:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EPwsytdwGDY

    .

    * Hell, I was fine with drinking from the sink my whole life before she got me hauling water from Target for years - my feeling for those who don't live in Flint, Michigan or other "infected" areas is Do as the Romans did.

    Replies: @Hail, @res, @J.Ross, @Adam Smith, @Corpse Tooth, @wlindsaywheeler, @Steve Sailer

    We still have two branches of government … and that ain’t bad!

    President Jack Nicholson, “Mars Attacks.”

    • LOL: Achmed E. Newman
    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    The inside joke about Slim Whitman was the coolest thing about that movie.

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Apparently we have none today. I get it, you’re raking in the cash and doing Trump puff pieces, but how about NOTICING something that is iStevian here. Unless you are in on the grift as well.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/musk-warns-federal-workers-to-answer-next-email-or-be-fired?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_content=business

    https://www.dcreport.org/2025/02/25/ominous-move-to-strip-americans-of-first-amendment-rights/

    https://bsky.app/profile/davidcayjohnston.bsky.social

  • Here’s the song from the Pixies’ “Sub Rosa” album song “Where Is My Mind?” made famous by the movie “Fight Club:”

    Video Link

    The well-known lyric about:

    With your feet on the air
    and your head on the ground

    Is about Black Francis’s trip diving in the Caribbean.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Steve Sailer


    Here’s the song from the Pixies’ “Sub Rosa” album song “Where Is My Mind?” made famous by the movie “Fight Club:”
     
    Eh, close enough. It’s Surfer Rosa, and the clips shown are a homebrew ‘fan edit’ of scenes from Trainspotting, not Fight Club. Maybe you're tweaking us sticklers. ;)

    Steve, I guess what the people (myself included) want to know is, will you keep posting here from time to time? I hope so, given that many of us iSteve regulars (like me) aren’t going to bother with Substack.

    Beyond that, any thoughts about your rather significant official run here on the Unz Review? Hopefully there isn’t any personal rift between you and Ron (if speculative gossip is to be believed). It would be nice if you will continue to be a presence on your longtime blog here, even if only at an understandably reduced rate of posting.

    Then again, if you’re thinking about fully ‘retiring’ iSteve on Unz, I think it would be appropriate for you to come up with some sort of candid “farewell” post for the benefit of those of us who spent years commenting here in good faith. No pressure. :)

    I must say, you and Ron (and commenters!) have provided quite the entertaining and informative forum for over a decade, spanning a time when internet censorship was a real threat. That is certainly worth something.

    Regards, JIE
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    "I must admit, though, that I like fruit-juice drinking"

    One of Mr. Unz's recent articles is about the dangers of an overabundance of processed sugars in foods. One example among many that Mr. Unz prominently uses as a danger to US diets is fruit juices. Bottom line: When in doubt between eating the fruit, or drinking the juice from the fruit, it's better to go with eating the fruit as it does retain the pulp, fiber and other various nutrients while not adding harmful chemicals.

    And remember, HiCi, Hawaiian Punch, and Caprisun aren't counted as fruit juices.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Right, I knocked off drinking orange juice around the turn of the century and it helped me keep my weight down.

    On the other hand, I can’t ascribe orange juice drinking like Orwell does to a bizarre, in-human left wing cult. Orange juice really is tasty.

    • Replies: @Jonathan Mason
    @Steve Sailer

    But did Orwell speak specifically about orange juice or was it just fruit juices?

    I was born just after Orwell died, but in my youth the only kind of orange juice available in England came in cans and it wasn't very nice. (My father owned a grocery store and I don't remember any other kind of orange juice other than the government issued thick orange juice concentrate that was sold in bottles via clinics for children and pregnant mothers for its vitamin C content. There were not many fresh fruits available in those times.)

    We usually used to get a fresh orange or a mandarin in a Christmas stocking. At that time, before Britain joined the EU, they were imported, usually from Israel, but usually an orange would be peeled at the table and shared between more than one person. I never heard of people making them into juice. And at that time electric juicers were not a thing.

    There may also have been some kind of orange drinks available in bottles in pubs, but they were not fresh orange juice. There were also drinks like Kia Ora Orange squash or Robinsons Orange crush which were often sold in cinemas
    and cafes.

    My cousin did not like tea or milk and he grew up usually having a drink called Corona Orange which is meals which was a kind of soda. I tried it once or twice and didn't like it. People in England didn't drink soda much in those days although there was some drinks called Dandelion and Burdock or Tizer that people sometimes drink at picnics.

    Orwell believed that working men drank beer or tea, and he may have been complaining about teetotalers in general.

    Replies: @Lurker

    , @Joe Stalin
    @Steve Sailer


    OJ - Albert Lasker - SunKist - Marketing Magic in America!
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCLuP0ky68I
  • @Unintended consequence
    @Jonathan Mason

    "The Pfizer, Moderna, Sputnik V, and SinoVac vaccines are all different products, so of course they have different side effects."

    My observations have been from the perspective of a non vaccinated individual who has probably had COVID twice. I have had many symptoms that people associate with the vaccines. I have a few other issues that emerged before the pandemic plus I'm getting older. My circulation hasn't been as good as it was three years ago, for instance. Is this because I've had COVID or because I'm three years older? I've dealt with tinnitus I never had before but there are other reasons for that in my case.

    I believe it's likely that people are attributing every symptom they have as being either the result of long COVID or damage from the vaccines. This is no real surprise since even doctors will tend to think more symptoms they see are due to a frequently discussed illness. There is also the possibility that multiple unusual contagions were released worldwide and that all of these illnesses have been lumped together as something called COVID. Unless a pandemic of hypochondria occured alongside the COVID pandemic, I'd expect some interesting revelations to be made some time in the distant future.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Lots of people who are getting older attribute their various age-related infirmities to covid or covid vaccines.

    • Agree: Jonathan Mason
    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @Steve Sailer

    https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/sheriff-gene-hackman-wife-found-dead-in-santa-fe-home-no-foul-play-suspected/article_2ea8855a-f4b8-11ef-b501-73232a2b5213.html
    https://archive.is/0ucbr


    Sheriff: Gene Hackman, wife found dead in Santa Fe home; no foul play suspected
    Feb 27, 2025

    Legendary actor, two-time Oscar winner and author Gene Hackman and his wife, classical pianist Betsy Arakawa, were found dead Wednesday afternoon in their home in the Santa Fe Summit community northeast of the city.

    Santa Fe County Sheriff Adan Mendoza confirmed just after midnight Thursday the couple had died, along with their dog.

    Mendoza said in an interview Wednesday evening there was no immediate indication of foul play. He did not provide a cause of death or say when the couple might have died.

    Hackman, 95, had lived in Santa Fe since the 1980s and married Arakawa, 63, in 1991.

    Sheriff's deputies arrived at the couple's home on Old Sunset Trail, in a gated community off Hyde Park Road just north of Ten Thousands Waves, on Wednesday afternoon to investigate the deaths of two elderly people and a dog.
     

    Replies: @MEH 0910

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Here’s something to NOTICE. Seems to me that a post by you on this topic is warranted.

    https://bsky.app/profile/sethabramson.bsky.social/post/3lj4rmw3xks2o

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Also consider this, Steve.

    Most of the players directly named by Canseco in his first memoir (2005), were later proven to have used PEDS. He didn't lie about that. In his second book, he directly named AROD. A few yrs later, AROD was involved in controversy regarding steroid usage and is unlikely to be inducted into the HOF anytime soon.

    That's why lately I do believe that Jose Canseco is the one ex-player to know IF Nolan Ryan did or did not use PEDS, and his opinion on whether or not he did use PEDS sometime during his career would be quite relevant to the whole topic.

    If there was one player who had a direct reason to try PEDS in the early 70's (practical, since he had just been traded to, which wasn't seen as a great career move, had been sent down to the minors a few yrs earlier, etc) and maintain a career in MLB, it would've been Nolan Ryan. Pulitzer Prize winning investigative sportswriter Mark Fainaru-Wada, when writing Game of Shadows, quoted extensively from Canseco's first book, as he considered him to be a legitimate source on PED usage in MLB for that period of time.

    And where was Nolan Ryan traded to? Anaheim, in Southern California, home to Muscle Beach, weightlifting culture, and, unfortunately, where quite a bit of the whole Steroids/PED culture pretty much originated in the US. Because he wasn't a superstar at the time of the 72 trade to the Angels, Ryan would've slipped under the radar and could've used PEDS on the qt.

    I don't say that Ryan used PEDS; I DO say that if one person would know the answer...it's Jose Canseco.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I don’t disagree with you. I’d guess that Nolan Ryan was using PEDs during his astonishing 1990s in his mid-40s.

    Was he using PEDs in the 1970s when he broke Sandy Koufax’s strikeout record after he discovered weightlifting before the 1973 season?

    I dunno.

    • Thanks: Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    “I’d guess that Nolan Ryan was using PEDs during his astonishing 1990s in his mid-40s.”

    A wild guess.

    Speaking of which, well, more like gaslighting, on your Substack you posted a doozy— It’s striking how little resistance there has been in the press to Trump’s war on DEI

    Except a simple Google Search—media coverage of Trump’s war on DEI—shows, well, you’re wrong.

    “So far, there seems to have been more media focus on comic examples of incompetence ensuing from DOGE’s move fast and break things approach”

    Wow, so brave to mention it. Maybe you’re a bit worried that federal government statistics will no longer be available to help you craft your narratives?

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Mike Tre

    And I'll keep stating that you're full of it, IF you think that PEDS existed in MLB prior to 1970's. They didn't.

    "That’s because you’re proudly ignorant and can only conceptualize caffeine as it exists in a cup of coffee."

    Again. You misread what I've written. PRIOR to 1950's, caffeine existed primarily in coffee, tea, soda, and chocolate. There were no caffeine pills in the Dead Ball Age/or during 1920-50's. IF you insist on lunacy, THEN by your own admission, the ONLY sources readily AVAILABLE during these years to Ruth, Gehrig, Cobb, Johnson, Williams, DiMaggio, Foxx, et al were Folgers, Maxwell House, Lipton, Pepsi, and chocolate bars.

    Since Ty Cobb invested heavily in Coca Cola, including during his playing days, that would by extension mean that he was an original, early Cokehead, perpetually high on caffeine, which in large doses is the sole reason he had over 4,100k career hits, won numerous batting titles, hit over .400 BA three times in a season, etc.

    To which we call: BULLSHIT.

    "Have you ever looked into the effects of high doses of caffeine?"

    Actually I have. Am a recovering addict. More than you would ever know.

    And with that...crickets chirping from you.

    "They are very similar to amphetamines."

    Neither caffeine NOR amphetamines ever directly caused MLBers to increase their onfield performances and stats to the extent that they accomplished amazing incredible feats.

    Babe Ruth remains one of the gold standards. The only caffeine sources he would've had direct access to during his career was Folgers, Pepsi/Coke, Lipton, and of course chocolate bars. Facts don't care about your feelings, those remain the facts. And the idea that tons of chocolate bars and Folgers with occasional binge drinking of Pepsi caused him to hit 714 career HR's again, is asinine.

    I also stated that one of the outgrowths of the PED era, since the 90s when they became widespread in MLB, has been to cynically assume that EVERY SINGLE ERA PRIOR, "must've been" the same way. When it point of fact, PEDS didn't exist prior to 1940's (in the US), and when they first became available to athletes, the, Olympics and NFLers were among the first to start taking them, but not in MLB until the 70's.

    One player who has been universally acknowledged to be an expert in PED usage in MLB remains Jose Canseco, because he was the first MLBer to directly cause PEDS to become widespread in the sport. In his book, Jose mentions that he never took amphetamines because he didn't see the point. AND, once PEDS became widespread in MLB, that's when amphetamine usage in baseball dropped as a whole. And why is that? Because compared to PEDS which were perceived to have a direct impact on MLB onfield performance, that people realized ampethamines for the scam that they always were. You can get basically the same result from tons of coffee/tea/soda intake; they don't cause someone to hit 73 HR's when they're pushing 40, nor win Cy Youngs when they're in their 40's, etc.

    HGH and testosterone boosters would have more of a direct effect on onfield performance than either caffeine or amphetamines.

    You also refuse to consider the sop I give to possible players juicing during the 70's, namely, the example of Nolan Ryan. He would be a classic textbook case of a borderline pitcher hitting his mid 20's with little to show for his career at that point, desperate and willing to try anything that might help keep him in the majors, who MIGHT have turned to PEDS in order to increase his onfield performance.

    Unlike you, I do think it would prove beneficial for someone to ask Jose Canseco for his opinion on whether or not he thinks that Nolan Ryan used PEDS. He pitched until he was 47, and by that point PED usage was widespread in MLB, and he was Canseco's teammate for last couple seasons of his career (AND there were some known juicers in TX at the time, named in Jose's first book).

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Right. Baseball players were clearly not as ambitious to use PEDs as other athletes. They were obviously rare in baseball until the mid 1990s, in comparison to the late 1950s in Olympic field throwing sports and in Olympic sprinting sports by 1968, when the US Olympic assistant track coach was a public advocate of steroid use.

    • Agree: Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    That's all I've ever been saying, and yet the woo woo's simply don't get it. Perhaps that amount of reading comprehension is above their pay grade.

    Ty Cobb a Cokehead?

    Babe Ruth a PED fiend because he overbinged on Pepsi?

    Asinine, simply and purely asinine.

    I'm beginning to think the Millennials and Zoomers simply didn't pay much attention in reading comprehension back in elementary school, which is why for the blind dumb slow and stupid it has to be constantly and consistently slowly repeated until it penetrates their skulls.

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking about drug use, having you been attention to Alexandra Beynon and her link to Elon Musk?

    https://projects.propublica.org/elon-musk-doge-tracker/

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Mike Tre

    "Keep thinking baseball was a pure as a nun’s virtue before the 90’s"

    NEVER have said that, so this is lie.

    I readily acknowledged that cheating existed in MLB since at least the beginning, or at least when MLB went professional, so the CIN team is considered to be the first pro team, and they got their start in 1869. The NL started in 1876, so either year is as good a start as any to state that onfield cheating existed.

    I already stated onfield cheating existed, and that is worlds apart from taking PEDS. We can also infer a number of things to show I'm correct on this matter, namely that PEDS were nonexistent in MLB prior to the 1970's (and weren't widespread until ca. late 1980's).

    NFL clearly had PEDS decades before MLB. We can tell by observing the overall bulk of players from say, the 40's, 50's, into the 60's, and the slight but significant differences in the 1970's. But during the 80's and 90's, that's when NFLers clearly didn't resemble their historical 50's/60's counterparts. And why is that? Because of the better weight training methods, coupled with PEDS usage, and some players by the late 90's early 2000s were starting to resemble WWE wrestlers. And why? Because they were taking some if not many of the same PEDS as they were.

    MLB by contrast, the overall body composition of MLB players from say, the 1920's all the way up through the mid 1980's, a 60 yr or three generation time span, didn't really change but remained fairly constant. Babe Ruth stood 6'2" and weighed roughly 200-250lbs during his career (perhaps closer to 275lbs toward the end of his career). His 1925 regimen of diet and exercise amounted to basic weight reduction and simple barbells with rowing machine/treadmills. No excessive weight training (cause for the longest time, lifting weights was strictly taboo in MLB). Ruth lost the excessive weight and saved the second half of his career. But he damn sure didn't use PEDS to do so, simply because of the fact that they were nonexistent during his era.

    It's long been a trope that MLB players were the least athletic, in shape, etc of all the big pro US sports. They'd start off good after spring training but by season's end, they'd be worn out. Then they'd basically be sedentary for the offseason, or they'd have to work a 2nd job (since MLB didn't pay most of them well to take the winter off during this 60 yr period).

    Jose Canseco (and of course Mark McGwire) directly changed all of that. Jose was the first MLBer who actually did something unique, first 40-40 man in MLB, MVP winner, who PUBLICLY attributed his performance to steroids. He didn't hide it and initially thought others should follow his lead, and of course, many many players did.

    People like Canseco and of course late career Barry Bonds didn't physically resemble their historical counterparts--they looked more like NFL linebackers or WWE wrestlers. Facts. This not only indicated heavy weight training, but as we came to find out, also indicated PED usage.

    So aside from a few jabrones in the 70's, and perhaps a few oddballs here and there (and possibly Nolan Ryan), prior to Canseco's usage, MLBers for the most part tended to avoid the weight room as well as PEDS.

    Jose Canseco showed them in a practical way just exactly what PEDS can do for their onfield performance, and they followed his example in droves.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Indeed. Baseball players in 1992 mostly looked and registered statistics much like baseball players in the 1970s and 1980s. By, say, 1996 they looked different and were wracking up different hitting statistics. My high school friend, the baseball player agent, told me around 1994 that Jose Canseco was the “Typhoid Mary of steroids,” and that appears to be exactly right according to Canseco’s 2005 memoir.

    • Agree: Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Also consider this, Steve.

    Most of the players directly named by Canseco in his first memoir (2005), were later proven to have used PEDS. He didn't lie about that. In his second book, he directly named AROD. A few yrs later, AROD was involved in controversy regarding steroid usage and is unlikely to be inducted into the HOF anytime soon.

    That's why lately I do believe that Jose Canseco is the one ex-player to know IF Nolan Ryan did or did not use PEDS, and his opinion on whether or not he did use PEDS sometime during his career would be quite relevant to the whole topic.

    If there was one player who had a direct reason to try PEDS in the early 70's (practical, since he had just been traded to, which wasn't seen as a great career move, had been sent down to the minors a few yrs earlier, etc) and maintain a career in MLB, it would've been Nolan Ryan. Pulitzer Prize winning investigative sportswriter Mark Fainaru-Wada, when writing Game of Shadows, quoted extensively from Canseco's first book, as he considered him to be a legitimate source on PED usage in MLB for that period of time.

    And where was Nolan Ryan traded to? Anaheim, in Southern California, home to Muscle Beach, weightlifting culture, and, unfortunately, where quite a bit of the whole Steroids/PED culture pretty much originated in the US. Because he wasn't a superstar at the time of the 72 trade to the Angels, Ryan would've slipped under the radar and could've used PEDS on the qt.

    I don't say that Ryan used PEDS; I DO say that if one person would know the answer...it's Jose Canseco.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Mike Tre

    Now that’s a lie. I’ve quoted from Game of Shadows, one of the premiere in-depth investigative books on BALCO, which at the time was one of the top labs for developing PEDS for elite athletes.

    When something asinine as ”caffeine is equivalent to PEDS”, then yes, it’s time to call bulshit on that. Otherwise if it were that simple, then anyone and everyone who’s ever drank soda, coffee tea, eaten enormous amounts of chocolate, is by that strict definition, a juicer. The fact remains, that prior to the mid 50’s, when NL and Olympics were starting to take PEDS (some of which were taken in the 90’s in MLB), modern OEDS were non-existent. And they certainly weren’t a thing in MLB until the mid to late 80’s with Jose Canseco nearly single handedly responsible for bringing them into the mainstream if MLB—a fact that isn’t debatable.

    I’ve already agreed that Steroids/PEDS existed in MLB in the early 70’s but weren’t widespread. Canseco made them widespread in MLB, along with weight lifting and better training methods. I’ve also said it doesn’t surprise me if it’s shown that OED usage in MLB continues in the 2020’s. That’s an unfortunate legacy of the ‘90’s -2000’s, and there’s a reason why certain retired players aren’t getting inducted into the HOF. I’ve also been consistent regarding various sub par players that have been inducted, and they shouldn’t have been.

    Always willing to learn new things; just not utter bulshit, a la “since caffeine is a drug and THEREFORE automatically that must mean it’s a PED.” I understand that some nations in the world treat caffeine as more deadly than in the US, but that only serves to obfuscate the clear distinction between legitimate PEDS, or substances that can be combined with other chemicals

    Because it’s a well established fact that modern PEDS weren’t being used by pro athletes until the mid to late 50’s—in the NFL (by a few teams) and also in the Olympics. Virtually the only type of substance that existed during the Dead Ball Era into 1920-50 era would’ve been caffeine, therefore it’s well to put that piece of crap down and turn the page.

    When I simply asked you, WHICH players from the ‘70’s can directly be traced to PEDS, you decline to answer. Mainly because for the most part, players using PEDS pre Jose Canseco were difficult to find. They existed, but they weren’t a significant minority. If they were, their example would’ve been immediately imitated—just as dozens if not hundreds of players started to copy Canseco and McGwire’s examples when they saw the results for them.

    As a gesture of reasonable good faith, I speculated that one 70’s player who would fit a profile of possible PEDS usage would be Nolan Ryan… and yet you decline to seriously engage this. I actually conceded a possible player, named a specific example, of someone who could’ve taken PEDS, which was your original speculation that PED usage in 70’s MLB was more widespread than originally thought. Yet when I simply asked for evidence and proof regarding PED usage during 79’s among MLBers, you huffed and puffed and couldn’t answer.

    Again, as a sign of good faith, I named an entirely possible MLBer, and one who went on to become one of the most dominant players of his generation—and you gave no answer to that. Which is very telling. Perhaps Nolan Ryan fans don’t won’t to consider. Possible truth that’s too difficult to deal with.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Mike Tre

    Nolan Ryan started lifting weights before his heroic 1973 season. Yet, he couldn’t convince any of his Angel teammates to lift until 1979. I assume that the teammate who agreed to lift in 1979 was Brian Downing, who turned into Clark Kent into his 30s.

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    I remember reading at the time that in addition to weight lifting, Nolan Ryan had a routine of which he soaked his pitching hand in pickle brine.

    With the recent understanding that he knew Tom House, the pickle brine seems more like a rouse, to distract people's attention away from a possibility that something else was going on.

    As the 70's song goes, "how long has this been going on?" Probably longer than people expect.

    Weight lifting by itself may help improve performance, but its silly to think that that and pickle brine was all that Ryan did to help increase his performance to become the game's most dominant SO pitcher ever.

    Again, it would be very informative to talk with Jose Canseco regarding what he thinks of Nolan Ryan as he was his teammate for the final 1.5 yrs of Ryan's career in TX (which became around that time a known place for PED useage, Rafael Palmiero also played there alongside Canseco, and Jose already named him in his first book).

    Definitely curious now about Nolan Ryan; Jose Canseco is the one person who could help to settle the matter one way or the other if he would agree to talk about it.

    , @Ron Mexico
    @Steve Sailer

    Ryan left Anaheim after 79. Downing lifted a lot in the off-season with Tigers C Lance Parrish. Both would have been PED candidates before Canseco and McGwire.
    https://www.upi.com/Archives/1983/03/10/Tiger-Catcher-Thrives-On-Weightlift-Program/2618416120400/
    According to Sparky, they were trained by a guy "who knows what he is doing."
    Downing by the way was with TX to end his career (91-92).

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Mike Tre

    There are other metrics besides strength; they didn’t exist for the most part prior to 1945 or 1950. The idea that Ruth, Cobb Speaker et al increased their on field performance directly because of a substance like caffeine is asinine. Because basically 100 yrs ago, that’s all that was readily available to them. Coffee tea and soda—yeah that’s exactly what gave them the endurance to steal 90+ bases in a season or hit .400. In that, gotta call bullshit.

    Also players back then simply didn’t think about what substances they could take to get an edge. Not because they were more ethical, but because it simply didn’t occur to them to do so. For them, cheating was limited to onfield things, like extra pine tar on the bat, spitball etc.

    Any one can make a statement “PEDS have always existed in sports”, I ask for proof for the first half of the 20th century, and you don’t provide any.

    Maybe this is an outgrowth of just how pervasive PEDS have become in sports—everyone now assumes that they not only existed forever but that usage goes back to the beginning of the individual sports themselves an anyone who questions that narrative is viewed with suspicion. When no proof or evidence jibes with their preconceptions of earlier times then that “must mean beyond a doubt” that PEDS existed since day one in the individual sports. This is a form of conspiratorial thinking.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Right. There’s little evidence that PEDs were widespread in baseball until about 1993. My friend the baseball agent told me that Jose Canseco’s trade from Oakland to Texas in mid-1992 was the moment PEDs broke out from one team.

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Exactly, this jibes with Canseco's telling in his book. But he also mentioned that right before he went to TX, there were players in MLB from other teams who quietly approached him regarding PEDS, what they could do for them, how to obtain them, etc.

    Canseco, unlike these few nameless shadowy C or D-list players from the 70's, was an MVP winner, the first 40-40 player in MLB. He was an A-list player, so whatever he was doing, other players would definitely be interested in emulating as well so they too could achieve results.

    I also believe that PED usage in MLB is still ongoing, it's just that its more subtle, and nowhere near as obvious. Suppose it comes out that the top players, including Ohtani have taken PEDS?

    If anything it would be fairly easy for him to take PEDS in Japan, where the MLB media isn't following him around and the Japanese media would probably protect him.

    You can bet that on the day of Ichiro's induction into the HOF this summer, it will be heavily watched live throughout all of Japan.

    , @Mike Tre
    @Steve Sailer

    I never said widespread and agree that they weren't. But you're fooling yourself if you think PED's and specifically steroids were totally absent from pro sports in the 70's.

    And when you say you PED's, you are saying steroids. There are other PED's like amphetamines, pain meds, and high doses of caffeine.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: The Right’s Weird New Age Steve Sailer February 12, 2025 With the left depressed in 2025, much of the cultural energy belongs to the right. But where’s it going to go? One increasing possibility appears to be that newly self-confident right-wingers are getting into various kinds of New...
  • @Anon 2
    Great column!

    This is going to reveal my age but I remember the ‘70s with crystal clarity.
    I’d say the 1960s were more closely associated with the Human Potential Movement
    (whose epicenter was at Esalen, CA). The New Age Movement exploded in the
    1970s. Surprisingly, the Cold War was one of the factors. Many people in the West
    were convinced that countries such as Russia or Poland were less materialistic,
    and therefore more open to phenomena such as telepathy, clairvoyance,
    precognition, or remote viewing. Hence they could use their psychic abilities
    to spy on us. No wonder the book “Psychic Discoveries behind the Iron Curtain” (1970)
    became a mega-bestseller. In fact the book has a chapter on Pyramid Power.

    But the guru of Pyramid Power was the boy genius Patrick Flanagan (1944-2019).
    Credited with hundreds of inventions, he was primarily interested in immortality.
    His firm, Source of Innergy, was headquartered in Sherman Oaks. I admit, as an
    experiment I kept my razor blades under a small cardboard pyramid to see if they
    stayed sharp longer. The results were inconclusive. Flanagan’s main claim to
    fame, however, that is still very much with us, was the development of a supplement,
    known as Megahydrate, which when added to water, turned ordinary water into
    a healing agent, at least that’s what many people continue to claim.

    In the 1970s there was also an explosion of channeling, starting with the Seth
    Material (1970), followed by A Course in Miracles (1976). Conversations with
    God (multivolume starting in the 1990s) etc.

    Maharishi was on the Merv Griffin Show in 1975, and the Transcendental
    Meditation movement was born, which shows no sign of stopping. David Lynch,
    until his recent death, was a major advocate of TM.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @duncsbaby

    “His firm, Source of Innergy, was headquartered in Sherman Oaks.”

    I went to school from 1964-1976 in Sherman Oaks, CA. It cracked me up to see Sherman Oaks mentioned in Umberto Eco’s “Foucault’s Pendulum.”

    • Replies: @Anon 2
    @Steve Sailer

    Patrick Flanagan’s firm Source of Innergy was headquartered at
    4315 Woodman Ave in Sherman Oaks, just north of Ventura Blvd. The building
    still stands. Out of curiosity I visited the place in the mid-‘70s. The ground floor
    looked like a car dealership showroom but inside were countless pyramids,
    typically made of metal rods, of various sizes, some big enough to place over
    your bed. The selling point was that they would improve the quality of your
    sleep (or your meditation) and help you have Technicolor dreams. I now regret
    I didn’t take a picture of the showroom. It would’ve been a perfect symbol of
    the New Age craze that exploded in the 1970s.

    The obsession with pyramid power was partly due to the runaway success of
    the book “Chariots of the Gods?” (1968) by Erich von Däniken, which was
    turned into a movie released in the U.S. in 1973.

    In response to someone who mentioned the story of the Maharishi and the
    Beatles. Purely accidentally I have two degrees of separation from Mia Farrow
    (i.e. I knew someone who knew Mia) so I know the story well.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking of cracking us all up, what say you as a data guy?

    https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2025/02/trump-science-data-gender-dei/681698/?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_content=edit-promo

    —Recently, that “we pay; you do” mutualism has grown shakier and, since January, fractured into all-out antagonism. In less than a month, the Trump administration has frozen research funds, halted health communications and publications, vanished decades of health and behavior data from its websites, terminated federally funded studies, and prompted researchers to scrub extensive lists of terms from manuscripts and grant proposals.—

    Replies: @Kaganovitch

  • I started actively posting to my Substack at SteveSailer.Net last May and it's been going very well. Drop on by and take a look.
  • @Matthew Kelly
    Would love to be in a position to be a paid subscriber, but alas, business being what it has been for me for the past few years, I have to be extremely frugal and aggressively prevent any "subscription creep."

    God willing, one day soon my fortunes will change and I can get past your damn paywall over there.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Thanks.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    You say you’re a rule of law type of guy. What’s your reaction?

    He who saves his Country does not violate any Law—Donald Trump

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @RadicalCenter

    Nolan Ryan leads all MLB with walks (2,795). Carlton is second, but by nearly a thousand behind Ryan (1,833). Just as Ryan's SO record probably won't be surpassed, neither will his career walks be broken any time soon either, and Ryan really did walk a lot of batters, which, would explain why he only won 20 games twice in his career. Walks add up, because additional runners on base eventually score runs which causes pitcher to lose the game.

    I will say that the one thing that Carlton did worse than other MLB starters is that he committed a lot of balks, and, turns out, he leads all MLB pitchers in that category, with 90 for his career. Not sure why, but he did balk a lot on the mound for some reason (wonder if lefthanded pitchers tend to balk more than righties).

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @GeneralRipper, @Ron Mexico

    Steve Carlton had one of the odder pitching careers: he was utterly magnificent for about a half dozen seasons widely dispersed over many eyars, and somewhere between pretty good and not so hot for dozen and a half or so seasons. Most notably, he wasn’t usually all that terrific between his all-time historically awesome 1972 (age 27) and 1980 (age 35) seasons. His 1980 season was the last 300 innings pitched year in baseball history.

    Carlton wound up pitching 24 seasons and posted stats that qualify him as an all time great, but he also had a number of years in which he wasn’t that good.

    If he’d been healthy his entire career, he might have won 400+ games and been the obviously best pitcher ever.

    • Agree: Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    But various metrics, he's better than Nolan Ryan.

    Carlton's 1977 Cy Young winning season wasn't shabby.

    23-10, 2.64 ERA 198 SO 283 IP

    Carlton's 1982 Cy Young winning season is pretty good as well, at age 38.

    23-11, 3.10 ERA 286 SO 295.2 IP

    He was fairly healthy up until about 40, which was par for the course in MLB back then, actually, it was above average for the course as many players, even great ones, tended to peter out around age 35 or so.

    Funny how Ryan managed to post very low ERA's at the tail end of his career. Almost as if he was taking...

    Someone should really ask Jose Canseco what he thinks about Nolan Ryan, especially as he's been proven correct about a number of players he's named that were connected to PEDS usage.

    Replies: @Ron Mexico

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    "Speaking about today's pitch counts, Carlton added, "I wasn't raised in this environment, so I think differently. These guys don't know anything but pitch counts. I would balk at it because I don't agree with it, but they can't go up against it because that's all they know. Philosophically I don't agree with it because I think these guys are not really in shape because they don't throw enough. You need to throw so much so the tendons, ligaments, the muscle and bone get bigger, denser, stronger to be able to handle the stress of throwing. I don't think they throw enough. 100 pitches is not a lot. You warm up with 100 pitches. Then you throw your 200. We threw 185 pitches in a game."

    --Joyce, Greg (May 12, 2017). "Hall of Famer Steve Carlton returns to baseball for a night with IronPigs". lehighvalleylive.com.

  • I started actively posting to my Substack at SteveSailer.Net last May and it's been going very well. Drop on by and take a look.
  • @Not Raul
    @Steve Sailer

    Will you have any events in Northern California this year?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Does anybody want to pay me to go to Northern California to speak? There’s lots of money in Northern California, so it hardly seems impossible that somebody can scrape together a reasonable fee.

    • Replies: @Greta Handel
    @Steve Sailer


    Does anybody want to pay me to go to Northern California to speak?
     
    You still haven’t Noticed that this depends on what you’ll say and skirt?
    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Doesn’t your publisher know Peter Theil? Have him bankroll your barnstorming tour of Stockton and Eureka.

    Then, when Trump orders the U.S. to take over Gaza, you can headline at one of the posh resorts—it will take a couple of years to build, but you’ve got time. You will never have to think of remodeling closets or buying dog food ever again.

    Replies: @Je Suis Omar Mateen

  • @Thomm
    Meh.

    Steve went to a highly ranked MBA program, graduating over 42 years ago. This was long before there was an MBA glut, and MBAs from highly-ranked institutions were fast-tracked to lucrative positions.

    Now, nearly half a century later, to have just 7000 Substack subscribers (out of which maybe 2% pay) is underwhelming, especially considering that this has been his full-time occupation for over a decade. If all the male classmates of Steve's UCLA MBA call were ranked on success, Steve might be at or near the bottom.

    Richard Hanania has 30,000 Substack subscribers.
    Noah Smith has 328,000 Substack subscribers.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    (out of which maybe 2% pay)

    LOL

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    Ha, a while ago someone speculated on your earnings based on the P.S. rate being 100%, and you also LOLed. (You think money's funny?) So, it's somewhere between 2% and 100%. Now we're making progress!

    Anyway, for your sake I hope it is a number like 20% or higher.

    , @Thomm
    @Steve Sailer

    It is a fact. SubStack officially says that at $50/yr, 5% of subscribers pay.

    Hence, at Steve's $100/yr, it is safe to say that 2% of the 7000 are paid subscribers.

    Steve is unable to dispute that.

    And 7000 is a low number given how many years of full-time work Steve has put into his writing.

    The people I mentioned started much later, and yet :

    Richard Hanania has 30,000 Substack subscribers.
    Noah Smith has 328,000 Substack subscribers.

    Replies: @res

  • @Evan drince
    Substack subscriptions would make more sense at $2/mo per subscription. If I subscribe for paywall with 10 writers, which I could easily double, that would cost me $600 - $1200/yr. I can't afford that.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Sure, but I appeal most to higher brow readers who typically can afford to pay a lot.

    • Replies: @Greta Handel
    @Steve Sailer

    Is that “higher brow” a natural trait or nurtured?

    Replies: @kaganovitch, @Pierre de Craon

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    “ higher brow readers”

    Code for sycophants.

    Speaking of higher BROs, aka the Incel Clown Posse, what are your thoughts?

    https://gizmodo.com/elon-musks-doge-running-highly-sensitive-government-data-through-ai-report-2000560381

  • @Old Prude
    @Greta Handel

    "a copium denmother for disaffected white guys who skew 40+ in age. "

    Very nice. Captures it nicely, and I say that a disaffected white guy 40+ in age. Very nicely said.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I’d assumed until last year that most of my readers were old fogeys my age who’d soon be dropping dead, until 2024 when I finally had a chance to meet them in person and most of them turned out to be a generation younger.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Steve Sailer

    Steve, why is everyone assuming you'll stop posting here? Did I miss something?

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    “until 2024 when I finally had a chance to meet them in person and most of them turned out to be a generation younger”

    Not according to one of my friends whom you signed their book.

    So, is this your last post here? Is this post your cagey way of saying goodbye on this site? How does Andrew Anglin feel about it?

    My vague impression is no, but I think you owe it to your fanboys and fangirls to say directly if it is.

    Replies: @ScarletNumber, @tomv, @Patrick in SC

    , @anonymous
    @Steve Sailer


    I’d assumed until last year that most of my readers were old fogeys my age who’d soon be dropping dead, until 2024 when I finally had a chance to meet them in person and most of them turned out to be a generation younger.
     
    You’re not an old fogey. You’re just rationalizing why you won’t work out at a gym three times a week. I’m your age, and I still go snow-skiing, water-skiing, JET-skiing, and take my Harley out on weekday mornings to bolsa chica when the traffic on PCH is low, and the highway is wide open. There aren’t even any Mexicans out there on the road at that time. They’re the biggest danger to motorcyclists by far.

    Riding through the California wetlands on one side of you, with the stunning Pacific ocean on the other side of you at 75 mph on a wide open highway is just as exhilarating as any video game, kids! Even at 65 years of age!

    Join a health club, work out three times a week with weights, lifting until muscle failure, take general supplements daily, and you can be like me, Steve!

    Steve? Steve?

    Blimey! He buggered off!

    Anyway… seriously, get a physical life. It’s highly likely to inform your literary life.

    Stomp into oblivion with intention, don’t rot into it, while whining.

    We are on earth for a limited time, then it’s infinity for us all. Be pathetic AFTER you die, I say!!

    Replies: @Buzz Mohawk, @Anonymous, @Anon

    , @Not Raul
    @Steve Sailer

    Will you have any events in Northern California this year?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    , @Anonymous
    @Steve Sailer


    Steven Ernest Sailer
    born December 20, 1958 (age 66)

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steve_Sailer
     
    Memento mori

    Age at death

    Enrico Fermi 53
    John von Neumann 53
    G.K. Chesterton 62
    Christopher Hitchens 62
    Evelyn Waugh 62
    Bob Ross 52
    Vince Lombardi 57
    Pierre de Fermat 57
    Steve McQueen 50
    Rene Descartes 53
    Blaise Pascal 39
    Ludwig Wittgenstein 62
    Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel 61
    Saint Thomas Aquinas 49
    Dorothy Sayers 64
    C.S. Lewis 64
    James Gandolfini 51
    Steve Jobs 56
    Frank Zappa 52
    Bernhard Riemann 39
    Joseph Fourier 62
    Abraham Lincoln 56
    Patrick Swayze 57
    Benito Mussolini 61
    Adolf Hitler 56
    Jane Austen 41
    Charles Dickens 58
    Fyodor Dostoyevsky 59
    Nathaniel Hawthorne 59
    William Shakespeare 51 or 52
    Ernie Pyle 44
    George Eliot 61
    J. Robert Oppenheimer 62
    Wolfgang Pauli 58
    Edgar Allan Poe 40
    John Gotti 61
    Al Capone 48
    Louisa May Alcott 55
    F. Scott Fitzgerald 44
    Edna St. Vincent Millay 58
    Henry David Thoreau 44
    Friedrich Nietzsche 55
    Ernest Hemingway 61
    George Orwell 46
    James Fenimore Cooper 61
    Kate Chopin 53
    Emily Dickinson 55
    Jerry Garcia 53
    Babe Ruth 53
    Humphrey Bogart 57
    O. Henry 47
    Jack London 40
    William Faulkner 64
    Margaret Mitchell 48
    Flannery O’Connor 39
    Aristotle 61 or 62

     

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Ron Mexico

    Then that would include perhaps players like Nolan Ryan, names not normally associated with juicing.
    So go ahead, name some players who are suspected of juicing during careers that are now in the HOF.

    See? Not so easy a task. Because of the shadow cast upon the sport, pretty much going forward any player with prodigious stats will be suspected of juicing.

    For the most part, Pujols wasn’t directly suspected like say, other players were. He flew under the radar and wasn’t directly called out in the press as a probable juicer.

    But again, this would bear out that moving forward no player is above suspicion. Including say, Schilling, because by your own logic, EVERYONE is not above suspicion. Therefore since we can’t know with 100% certainty, perhaps we should have a moratorium on all HOF inductees for say, about decade, just to make sure no juicers get in accidentally.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Ron Mexico

    I’m guessing the everybody who put up huge numbers around 2000 was on something.

    Some may have been doing more than others and perhaps they tended to get caught.

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Steve Sailer

    Steroid use in MLB most likely began in the 1970's, just like it did in the NFL. (Reggie Jackson, anyone?) The difference is it was a relatively brand new "drug" and users were likely more cautious, not knowing how to maximize the benefits and minimize risks. Amphetamine use was common going back to the 40's/50's and maybe earlier, and the ability to hyper focus might have been a bigger advantage than just pure strength. It's interesting how one is literally the worst thing ever, and the other is just well, you know um, look! A squirrel is running through center field! The who/whom of sports. But narratives have to be reinforced.

    Heck, even the use of chewing tobacco probably produced a mild edge in performance, but er, um, uh Tony Gwynn!

    These days, there are so many newer performance enhancing products available that are impossible to detect that it's naive to suggest it's less widespread than during the McGuire/Bonds years. All of these guys, to include your newest hero Ohtani are using products to enhance performance. They have just learned that blowing up to look like a power lifter is probably going to attract a lot more attention and get you suspended.

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi, @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    One of the people who would know, or at least be able to make an educated guess would be Jose Canseco. Most of the charges he made vs specific players juicing have proven to be correct, and he would certainly know about other players. In his first book he specifically mentioned that many, many players in the early to mid 90's were quietly asking him how to obtain steroids, what PEDS could do for their individual performances, etc.

    Canseco played with 3 standout HOFers: Wade Boggs, Rickey Henderson and Nolan Ryan. When Jose stated that he had a HOF teammate who juiced, and that the name would surprise many people. Henderson I don't think would surprise people if you look at his physique in the 90's, like "Yeah, Rickey may have juiced a little bit" (e.g. leadoff dominant base stealer suddenly increasing his HR totals around and after age 30...hm type of thing). Wade Boggs? He was Canseco's teammate in 98-99, at the very tail end of his career, so not very likely (not to say that Wade didn't juice, just that he probably didn't get them from Jose. But then again, who's to say? Perhaps he could've earlier just not as a teammate).

    But Canseco specifically stated that he was a teammate of a well known, dominant player, and he was a teammate of Nolan Ryan (again at the end of Ryan's career in TX).

    Also, to be blunt, for the first five seasons of his career in NY, Ryan wasn't considered to be all that. He sometimes had to pitch in relief or as a spot reliever (and was sent down to the minors). He had control issues and walked too many batters (which he continued to do throughout his career as he set the all time walk record). Suddenly he's traded to the Angels out in Anaheim in 72, and lights up the AL. Especially with his connection to Tom House.

    Example: In his book, Canseco devotes a paragraph to Roger Clemens with a disclaimer that he doesnt know for certain IF Roger did PEDS, but then goes on to give info that belies that sentence. And, Clemens has yet to be inducted into HOF. In his second book, Canseco specifically names AROD. And AROD has yet to be inducted into HOF.

    So if Canseco were to name Nolan Ryan, THAT would be considered to be a major shock throughout MLB, especially with Ryan's publicly squeaky clean image. Jose may be waiting for Ryan to pass before making any public comment, should he ever decide to do so.

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    “I’m guessing the everybody who put up huge numbers around 2000 was on something.”

    Guessing, right. You don’t know.

    “Some may have been doing more than others and perhaps they tended to get caught.”

    Speaking of getting caught. I thought privacy and doxxing were a big deal to you. You know, law/order and the rule of law stuff.

    —A federal judge issued an emergency order early Saturday prohibiting Elon Musk’s U.S. DOGE Service from accessing personal and financial data on millions of Americans kept at the Treasury Department, noting the possibility for irreparable harm.



    The ruling came hours after attorneys general from 19 states sued to stop Musk’s team from dealing with sensitive files during its review of federal payment systems — an unprecedented effort that skirted firm security measures that permitted access to systems only to trained Treasury employees.

    In a four-page order, Engelmayer said the states that sued the Trump administration “will face irreparable harm in the absence of injunctive relief.”

    “That is both because of the risk that the new policy presents of the disclosure of sensitive and confidential information and the heightened risk that the systems in question will be more vulnerable than before to hacking,” Engelmayer wrote.

    He adopted arguments by the states that Treasury records from the agency’s Bureau of Fiscal Services can only legally be accessed by specialized civil servants “with a need for access to perform their job duties.”—

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

  • I started actively posting to my Substack at SteveSailer.Net last May and it's been going very well. Drop on by and take a look.
  • @R.G. Camara
    No Taki's this week?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I am writing for Taki’s every other week.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking about writing fur Taki’s, so you post on your Substack an article from that publication offering insight into how Musk runs his business, but without any of the necessary connections to directly what is going on now in Washington.

    In other words, you punted. Go figure.

  • @SafeNow
    I really like the comments system here, and the crowd. And, the incredible variety of subjects…not just politics…also topics ranging from sports to architecture to movie reviews. I donate here because what I call “Sailer University and Pub” is superb. (and the amazing thing is, all this comes to us from a clothes closet.). But I will check-out Steve’s Substack.

    Respectfully,
    SafeNow
    College-Dining-Hall potwasher, Emeritus

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Almost Missouri

    Indeed you should.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking of indeed, you should.

    “Cancel Culture is still alive”

    Patently false, Mr. Sailer. The WSJ published public comments made previously by a supposed government employee. He chose to resign as a result of the fallout. Then said person was brought back to his “job”.

    “edgy wisecracks”

    False characterization, Mr. Sailer. “Normalize Indian hate”. “Just for the record, I was racist before it was cool” and “I just want a eugenic immigration policy, is that too much to ask.

    It’s a grown ass man, not some “kid” engaging in "stupid social media activity". Rather, he is a raptor testing fences, a man purposely seeing if he can make those comments without reprisal. He has been emboldened by yourself and others on the Interwebs to say whatever the hell he wants.

    But reality doesn’t work that way. You know that, Mr. Sailer. Free speech is never free. There are positive and negative consequences to one’s words. But your snark here gets in the way of common decency. I suppose you figure if the current target was Indians (dot, not feather), rather than the old standby Jews, it’s no big deal.

    So JD Vance the cuck further opens the Overton Window. “You could not pay me to marry outside of my ethnicity” is a direct shot at him. Yet, it’s only out of political necessity that Vance and his hot piece of ass Indian wife give the white dude a free pass. I’m certain that his kids will look forward to the future when some f—-head goes up to them and says his father is race traitor. Then Vance can intervene and meekly say “well, you made a mistake”, rather than punch the guy in the face in response to his wife and family being dishonored.

    What would your buddy Andrew Anglin say?

    Anyways, the bigger issue, of course, and one you dare not openly.and critically address, is how this guy, who just got reinstated, is one of two temporary appointees at Treasury connected to DOGE who was granted access to a highly sensitive Treasury system that processes trillions of dollars in payments every year. I thought you were a rule of law and law/order type of guy. If this was George Soros who installed members of Antifa to engage in similar conduct, and not Musk and his loyal band of sycophants called the Incel Clown Posse, you’d be NOTICING.

    So why not delve deeper into how “ [as] critics highlight legal and ethical issues surrounding DOGE's seemingly unchecked pursuit of government austerity, Democrats in Congress are running into obstacles. A Democratic-led attempt to subpoena Musk about possible conflicts of interest over juggling his DOGE role with the six companies he operates was blocked by Republicans on Wednesday. Democratic Senators are issuing blistering statements, and writing letters to Musk's companies demanding answers, but such moves are unlikely to result in testimony in Washington, as long as Republicans hold a majority in both chambers.”

    Answer—you’ve got closets to remodel and dog food to buy.

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @Old Prude, @TWS, @muggles, @MEH 0910

  • @Bumpkin
    Is there an explanation forthcoming on why most of your posts have shifted there since last year? On the one hand, I don't blame you, as Ron has not added any kind of paid option with a paywall here, which is just dumb as that is the model that most online content is moving to, as I've been telling him for years.

    On the other hand, let's just say you have lost the confidence of most of your readership here, and Ron has noted a significant decline in your readers here as a result.

    I will not be following you to Substack, since they silently stopped allowing Kevin Barrett to make money there, through Stripe shutting him off and Substack only using that single payment option. I suspect they will come for your subscribers too at some point.

    I suggest you find some more open platform instead, especially since you gain almost no visibility by being on Substack itself. Maybe Ghost? I haven't researched if they are any better, I'm sure there are other platforms out there for you to try too.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Alexander Turok

    Uh, because I’m hugely popular in general?

    • Replies: @Greta Handel
    @Steve Sailer

    Which is why you’ve gone stale here.

    From last August:


    It didn’t take long after his arrival here at TUR to see that Mr. Sailer isn’t so much a dissident as a copium denmother for disaffected white guys who skew 40+ in age. In practically all other respects — and, thus, effectively in that one — he narrates or stands silent on behalf of the Establishment.

    This was obscured by the first few years of padding the HBD posts with sportsball, Hollywood, and pop music culture (anchored in his youth), which resonated with many of the target audience. When he got serious about the COVID dempanic and Ukraine warball commentary and adopted pets like Jack D, though, more than a few of the fellows noticed. And now, maybe so has he. Isn’t this


    Right now his finger is in the air to see which way the Twitter winds are blowing and what is the permissible bound of Conventioal Wisdom/Establishment narrative. My guess is that he will just ignore them.
     
    true in general?

    I keep seeing allusions to Mr. Sailer moving again, a fresh start on another platform. Deciding to appear at the Berkeley Castle and likewise joining the Diffident Right in shying away from topics like Palestine might be seen from a marketing perspective as great ways to reset the brand.
     

    Ron Unz has since been cucking to your disloyalty.

    Replies: @Old Prude, @Nicholas Stix, @Hypnotoad666

    , @Not Raul
    @Steve Sailer

    Something I really respect about you is that you don’t try too hard to be popular.

    You know better than I do that a grifter in your position would change their blog to, “HoLoCAusT is FaKE! CoViD is FaKE! GAzA is FaKE! ThE DoLLaR is FaKE! FLouRiDE is FaKE! ANtarCTicA is FaKE! BUY MY LIVER DEFENDER VITAMINS! INVEST IN MY CRYPTO ASSET PORTFOLIO AI SPAC!” And be a lot more popular, wealthy, and with much less hate mail.

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    The ironic thing is that Steve Carlton had just as monstrous a season in 1972 with PHI. He won his first Cy a young that year, but not the MVP. Blue’s 71 A’s went to the postseason (losing in three straight to BAL), while the 72 Phillies finished dead last. Carlton won about 40% of their games that season virtually single-handedly. But no MVP for him. If anyone doubts the value of starting pitcher’s Wins stats, Steve Carlton proved beyond a doubt that it’s an entirely legit stat. Without him that season, PHI could easily have lost over 125 games. His season evokes comparisons to Walter Johnson’s years with WASH.

    Yet one more reason why Steve Carlton is unanimously considered to be among the greatest pitchers to have ever played the game during the 20th century.

    And this is the 300th comment—how apt as in …300 Wins.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @deep anonymous

    Nolan Ryan went 8-16 in 1987 and felt he should have been take seriously for the Cy Young.

    My view is that Won-Loss record should matter more for Most Valuable Player award and ERA for Cy Young Award.

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    "Won-Loss record should matter more for Most Valuable Player award and ERA for Cy Young Award."

    But in practice, very few pitchers win the MVP.

    Traditionally, dominant pitchers who had an excellent even great ERA tended to also have a solid strong even excellent W stat for the season as well.

    I mean, if a pitcher has an ERA below 2.00 or 3.00 for the season, it seems likely that he should also have 20 or so wins for the season as well (or at least close to 20).

    Ryan's 87 ERA was 2.77, which is awesome, but again, it doesn't make sense that he didn't go 16-8, not the other way round. But then, winning games per season wasn't what Ryan really focused on, when compared to strikeouts.

    Somehow Steve Carlton managed to do both: Win games and have exceptional ERAs.

    In his 72 Cy Young season, Carlton went 27-10, with an ERA of 1.97, the best in the National League. He also lead the league in SO's...and complete games (So he won the Triple Crown of pitching--ERA SO W) Carlton won 45.8% of the Phillies' games that season, which is a record in modern major league history.
    *Carlton had 30 Complete Games in 72 (and his arm didn't fall off). Some MLB pitchers today won't have 30 CG's for their entire careers. Shame.

    So just like Vida Blue in 71 w/OAK, Carlton should've been seriously considered for the MVP. But how would that have looked, awarding the NL MVP to a player on a last place team?

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    I'm sorry, I still think that W's is one of the defining stats for starting pitchers. ERA's change throughout the decades, and so do SO's. But the W stat remains the one constant stat for starting pitchers, and for the most part in MLB's history they can be compared across eras--are they winning the majority of their starts?

    Example: during the Dead Ball Era, plenty of the dominant pitchers racked up season ERA's below 2.00, or around 2.00. Starting in the 1920's with the Lively Ball Era, that kind of low ERA's across the board for dominant pitchers wouldn't be seen again until the mid 60's, when MLB raised the strike zone. But, once MLB lowered or shrunk the strike zone back to it's pre-62 levels, once again, ERA's began to shoot up again. Whereas today it's getting fairly rare for a starting pitcher to post an ERA below 2.00, and even 2.75-2.90 is getting pretty rare as well. It does still happen on occasion, but across the board in MLB? If anything, MLB wants more offensive output and don't be surprised if over time, what's considered a dominant ERA for a pitcher is above 3.50, and above 4.00, and who knows, perhaps one day a dominant ERA will be around 5.00. [Grover Cleveland Alexander's career ERA 2.56 while certainly dominant today, wasn't as amazing as some of his Dead Ball counterparts, perhaps because he pitched into the Lively Ball era as offense production went up and thus so too did pitcher's ERA's]

    But just as ERA's across the board were fairly low back in the Dead Ball Era (since MLB's games across the board were low scoring affairs), it evened out because few pitchers (aside from Walter Johnson and occasionally another pitcher) recorded 300 strikeouts per season. Even a pitcher recording 200-250 strikeouts was considered extraordinary, since most batters weren't striking out 100+ times per season. And of course, for most of the 20th century, starting pitchers tended to pitch more innings per season than they do during the 21st century. It's almost like, today's Cy Young award winners are winning awards by doing half the work (oftentimes not even pitching 200 innings per season) of their historical counterparts.

    So both ERA's and SO's have changed across the eras and aren't always the most accurate stat to compare across eras. But with Wins for starting pitchers? We definitely can compare that stat.

    For relief pitchers, absolutely, its definitely possible that several can rack up tons of Saves and yet "blow it" in extra innings, hence why several of them tend to lose more games than win during their season, even though their ERA might be very low.

    But one could also make a case that for an ERA to be fully effective, only a starting pitcher's ERA should be considered for a Cy Young based on total innings pitched per season. After all, a starter tends to pitch more innings than a reliever in the course of a season (even though the reliever will pitch in more games per season, but yet pitch fewer innings). But at the same time, the idea that ERA is everything and Wins are nothing is baffling, when for over a century the W stat was the stat for starting pitchers.

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking about records and data, you’re a stats guy, right? Don’t you rely in part on government information? Any comment?

    https://slate.com/business/2025/02/donald-trump-data-deletion-jobs-report-economy-public-health.html

  • From the New York Times science section: The chance it won't hit Earth is 98.7%! Just after Christmas Day, astronomers spotted something zipping away from Earth: a rock somewhere between 130 feet and 330 feet long that they named 2024 YR4. Over the next few weeks, they simulated its possible future orbits. They now say,...
  • @J.Ross
    OT -- Richard Hanania was USAID?!

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    No.

    That’s just another confusion by somebody who doesn’t understand what they are doing.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Oh, no, they know exactly what they are doing. My vague impression is you enjoy this chaos. But if the shoe was on the other foot, you’d be crying foul.

    —Elon Musk and his DOGE hackers are ransacking their way through the federal government, unlawfully gaining unfettered access to Americans’ private information and gutting programs people depend on,” said Reps. Jared Huffman, D-Calif., and Zoe Lofgren, D-Calf., the top Democrats on the House Natural Resources Committee and the House Space, Science and Technology Committees, respectively. “Now they have reached NOAA where they’re wreaking havoc on the scientific and regulatory systems that protect American families’ safety and jobs.” —

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    , @res
    @Steve Sailer

    Can anyone explain how that conclusion was drawn? This does not exactly sound like a denial.
    https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1887334265886810303

    In particular, what charitable trust? Who was funding Hanania?

    It would be less than shocking to find out Hanania was astroturfed, but it would be good to know the truth.

    Replies: @William Badwhite, @AnotherDad, @Almost Missouri, @Almost Missouri

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Less publicized is that Cooper DeJean, a white cornerback, will likely start for the Eagles in the Super Bowl. The last white cornerback to start a Super Bowl was Jason Sehorn two dozen years ago in 2001. A rookie out of the U. of Iowa, DeJean took over...
  • @Brutusale
    A major iSteve content creator is being sent back to his people.

    https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2025/01/31/bu-center-for-antiracist-research-set-to-close-as-ibram-x-kendi-departs-to-howard/

    Replies: @MGB, @Steve Sailer, @J.Ross

    Ibram X. Kendi as E-T.

  • From the New York Times science section: The chance it won't hit Earth is 98.7%! Just after Christmas Day, astronomers spotted something zipping away from Earth: a rock somewhere between 130 feet and 330 feet long that they named 2024 YR4. Over the next few weeks, they simulated its possible future orbits. They now say,...
  • @Jim Don Bob
    @kaganovitch


    Surely you read ‘Tom Swift’ too?
     
    Yes. And Tom Corbett Space Cadet. His ship was named the Polaris. He was the captain, some big guy named Astro was the engine guy, and a shy guy named Roger was the navigator. Even then, before my 10 year old self knew about homos, I thought there was something odd about Roger.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Corbett,_Space_Cadet

    Just found out from Googling that there was a TV show too from 1950 - 1955, before my time.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Heinlein seldom got credit for movies and TV shows based on his work.

  • @anon
    @AnotherDad

    Ive never flown into Reagan or La Guardia and I don't know jack about flying. But my first thought was who authorized this helicopter's flight path? The problem begins with that bozo. Oh, it's a training mission for an elite bug-out from DC? If civilians might be at risk, well too bad, eh?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    The prime civilian needing to bug out from DC being Trump.

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Steve Sailer


    The prime civilian needing to bug out from DC being Trump.
     
    He already has his own helicopter standing at the ready - Marine One. This Army Blackhawk would have been transporting some undersecretary of something-or-another.

    We have been told that the helicopter was on a COG training mission and also that it was on a proficiency flight? Which is it? Would those two things typically be combined? Reading between the lines, it seems that the female pilot has been some kind of decorative military aide at the White House for some time and now had to get back to flying because BOM (Bad Orange Man) was back. Given that it was a woman flying the helo, I don't expect we'll get a straight answer. It sure does look like she flew straight into the plane:

    https://twitter.com/BGatesIsaPyscho/status/1885307091880915234

    , @muggles
    @Steve Sailer


    The prime civilian needing to bug out from DC being Trump.
     
    That is the theory. So why do they need fleets of small choppers and dozens of monthly practice flights?

    I suspect like every Big Shot perk, the bugout list is long and full of military brass, some high ranked civilians.

    All in vain of course. If DC gets nuked so will the surrounding areas, military bases, CIA, etc.

    Bugout is obsolete pretty much.

    We should insist that if we get nuked, the Prez goes too. We have plenty of military brass stationed outside the Beltway.

    The actual purpose of fleets of Blackhawk taxies is that it is a DC status symbol. No ordinary travel for Them.

    Normals can ride the DC Metro, bus, etc.

    I hope Trump ends this practice. It is just a huge waste of money and great risk to others.

    Replies: @Almost Missouri

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    How about Trump ensuring that we don’t bug into Gaza? Do you want American troops there to remove by force Gazans? Do you want it developed into the next French Riveria?

    If a Democrat made this pronouncement, you’d post how this is crazy. But you’re helping to normalize this and other nuttier things said by our current chief executive by claiming “who knows what his strategy is”, when clearly there is something on his mind—grift.

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Ron Mexico

    "and the Ryan Express kept going"

    Ryan's pitching coach in TX 1989-93 was Tom House, former steroid user during the 1970's into the 80's. After all, by the time Ryan joined TX, there was nothing anyone could teach him about pitching, but there was something that House could help Ryan with obtaining.

    And again, this would help to explain Ryan's late career surge and why he could keep on going, (e.g. leading AL in SO's toward end of his career while in his mid. 40's). But since it's Nolan Ryan the legendary pitcher, few ever ask these types of tough questions.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Steve Sailer, @Ron Mexico

    Right. Nolan Ryan, Tom House, and steroids seem pretty plausible.

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Ron Mexico

    "and the Ryan Express kept going"

    Ryan's pitching coach in TX 1989-93 was Tom House, former steroid user during the 1970's into the 80's. After all, by the time Ryan joined TX, there was nothing anyone could teach him about pitching, but there was something that House could help Ryan with obtaining.

    And again, this would help to explain Ryan's late career surge and why he could keep on going, (e.g. leading AL in SO's toward end of his career while in his mid. 40's). But since it's Nolan Ryan the legendary pitcher, few ever ask these types of tough questions.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Steve Sailer, @Ron Mexico

    Right. Nolan Ryan, Brian Downing, Tom House, and steroids all seem pretty plausibly connected.

    On the other hand, Ryan just turned 78 and it seems like baseball juicers aren’t dropping dead at a particularly early age, so maybe steroids use wasn’t that the unhealthy?

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Or perhaps it depends upon the individual person, their health history etc.

    I always did find it a bit odd that although his wins per season total seemed to remain constant, yet Ryan continued to mount 200 strikeouts per season into his mid 40’s. Granted, he played in an era where strikeouts were there for the taking (as they remain so in MKB today) but one would think that there’d have been a significant drop off in his final few seasons, much as there was a significant drop off in Carlton’s final seasons.

    I saw both pitch several times during their primes and I’ll say this. If you wanted a pitcher to strikeout the side, or at least rack up tons of strikeouts in a game, no one was better than Nolan Ryan. If you wanted a pitcher to actually win the game vs the best rival, few were better than Steve Carlton.
    Nolan Ryan also set the career MLB record for walks. In other words, a team could eventually get to Ryan and beat him in a game.


    Why Mr Slider doesnt fully command the respect he should among MLB fans and aficionados is baffling.

    Replies: @RadicalCenter

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Less publicized is that Cooper DeJean, a white cornerback, will likely start for the Eagles in the Super Bowl. The last white cornerback to start a Super Bowl was Jason Sehorn two dozen years ago in 2001. A rookie out of the U. of Iowa, DeJean took over...
  • @Anymike
    @AceDeuce

    Not so sure. The AFC was going through a weak cycle in that era. Denver made the Super Bowl several times almost through the back door, so it seemed at the time. What I mean by this is that other teams were even weaker than Denver was. Denver at least had John Elway.

    Denver lost the Super Bowl three times in four years, and none of them were close. After that AFC dynasty sunsetted, the Buffalo Bills appeared in four straight Super Bowls and lost all four of them. Only one was close. Maybe some of the brothers laid down, but I don't think that was the reason for the outcome. The team concept and the idea of winning is ingrained in team sport athletes from an early age forward. When they lay down is when they know that they beat anyway.

    In an case, the NFC would 15 0f 16 Super Bowls between 1982 and 1997. I would call that a trend.

    The various pro leagues may do what they can to steer the results and the storylines in the direction they want them to go, or, as sports journalist and sports blogger Brian Touhy puts it, "Would you leave a billion dollar business to chance?"

    I have communicated a little with Tuohy. My idea is that, if this is done, it is done on the level of officials and coaches. My thought is that if the players are in on it, it might be the top level of players, not the marginal players. At lot of the players on the top level aspire to post-playing-days careers where they are involved with major corporate interests. On that level, you go along to get along.

    Touhy thought my idea was interesting and suggested that maybe these are company men types who would go along if the directions were given to them obliquely. Tuohy thought it might be the marginal player - the one with trouble in his life already - who might be vulnerable to being compromised or to go along just to keep their job for another year or two. That could happen too.

    I add to all of this, when you get paid $5 million a year and up ($25 million and up for a starting quarterback), you might be expected to do something for your boss every now and then in return for all of that money.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @William Badwhite

    Are NFL team owners really NFL company men who don’t care about their own teams winning?

    • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @Steve Sailer


    Are NFL team owners really NFL company men who don’t care about their own teams winning?
     
    Doubtful. Belichek won 6 Super Bowls in 20 years and Kraft fired him after 3 bad seasons, because what have you done for me lately.

    The Patriots fired his replacement Jerod Mayo after repeating the prior year's 4–13 record.
    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    “Are NFL team owners really NFL company men who don’t care about their own teams winning?”

    As a corollary, is the GOP really elitist company men who don’t care about their own team (see White Folks) winning and at the expense of law and order/the rule of law?

    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2025/02/president-elon-musk-trump/681558/?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_content=edit-promo

    When are you going to NOTICE?

    , @Lagertha
    @Steve Sailer

    NFL owners, all pro-sportsball "officials & cartels", take orders from The Central Banksters. Betting revenue is all these demons care about, and, they are hanging by a thread, now. SB may be their last con game.

    I predict this is the last year of Pro-Sportsball, at least in America. The entire sports-broadcasting racket must collapse in order to cleanse it and rebuild it. College sportsball will remain; some Bread & Circuses must remain for sanity's sake this year and next. However, many universities will lose their endowments due to their corruption (funding of bio-labs in China & Ukraine), so, the budgets for Div 1 football & basketball may crater. We are going back to basics: attend college/join the military/learn a trade/start a business/stay at home and raise children.

    On a lighter side; now, with "no more jocks with cocks in women's locker rooms," we could be entering the age of Women's Sports, hahahhahhaahaaaa. I played Div 1 soccer in the Jurassic Age of sport, so I am fine with that! Plus, now, men like Rapinoe, may not be allowed on women's sport teams. and, we never have to witness a tranny almost beating a woman to death in a women's boxing match.

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Ron Mexico

    "Three that come to mind that don’t have either are McGriff, Baines, and Rolen."

    Interesting to note that McGriff, Baines, nor Rolen were not a first ballot HOF, so apparently as time has gone on, all three players' stats suddenly have improved post-retirement, and now they're considered to be among the greatest to have ever played the game. But perhaps this is another example of the Veterans Committee having influence on some of the induction of three players, because, when they were first retired and first year of eligibility, they weren't inducted unanimously (or ca.75-85% of total votes from sportswriters) as HOFers.

    "Freeman is better than all three."

    Then it should be no problem for him to attain one or both career stats. Or else there's always the Veterans Committee to help his induction, should it take 20 or 30 yrs post retirement. Just hang in there, Freddy, and the Vets will help you out, should it take longer than 10, 15, and 20 yrs post retirement. Hope that it doesn't play out in that situation.

    Because IF you turn around and say, "Well, keep in mind that Freeman was 2024 WS MVP", that didn't help PIT 2B Bill Mazeroski for hitting what most consider to be the greatest walk off HR in MLB history (7th game of 60 WS to win the championship) for nearly 30 yrs. And during his era, Maz was considered to be the greatest, or one of the greatest defensive fielding 2B in NL history.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Freddie Freeman hits an enormous number of doubles. He’s the active leader in doubles and has a shot at making the all-time top 10. He projects out to be a pretty average Hall of Famer, which is a good thing to be.

    • Agree: Ron Mexico
    • Disagree: Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Regarding your post on why today do so many zillionaires like, say, Sergey Brin of Google want to be on Trump’s good side, it’s simple—Like most corporatist elites, they favor lower taxes, deregulation and access to cheap labor,

    Furthermore…

    —Jonathan Taplin, director emeritus of the Annenberg Innovation Lab, captures this vision in his 2023 book “The End of Reality: How Four Billionaires Are Selling a Fantasy Future of the Metaverse, Mars, and Crypto.” Taplin outlines their dreams: Zuckerberg’s metaverse, the notion that people might spend something like seven hours a day wearing a virtual reality headset; Musk’s colonization of Mars; untraceable crypto wealth, which exists beyond the control of the state; and Thiel’s quest to reverse aging (or at least live to be 160).

    The consequences of these ambitions could be profound. And while there’s not enough room here to unpack all of the potential implications, Taplin argues that they undermine foundational democratic principles, such as Thomas Jefferson’s ideal that “all men are created equal.”

    In a world of transhumanism, where wealth determines lifespan and genetic advantages, equality could become meaningless.—

    You’d think someone like yourself would come to NOTICE the obvious—the tech barons are in it for themselves at the expense of the regular guy and girl, and that includes you as well.

    So much for family formation policies the natural way.

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi, @Colin Wright

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Oooo, doubles. Well, if he has 3k career HITS, then it should be a slam dunk.

    "He projects out to be a pretty average Hall of Famer"

    Woah, woah, woah, hold it, hold it, hold it.

    AVERAGE for the HALL....OF FAME? Like, once you're inducted, that means that officially you're among the greatest to ever have played the game. And...we should be able to compare players by putting each name together in the same sentence.

    Is Freeman as good as....Babe Ruth? Ted Williams? Rogers Hornsby?

    But see, Ohtani and Judge, IF they continue their prodigious stats, those two names WILL be placed in the same sentence. At present, I can definitely place Ohtani in the same sentence alongside Babe Ruth, and Ted Williams. And that's what most sportswriters have made the comparison. Same thing with Judge, IF they continue their trajectories, then they are definitely the greatest of their era.

    I'm pretty sure you do know this, Steve. The ESPN interview that Deion Sanders gave is correct and it stands. The greatest of the greatest names, period. That's what the original standard was for Cooperstown. Why all of a sudden its become too hard to reach the standards that for decades most inductees were able to reach without a problem is baffling.


    "which is a good thing to be."

    'Here dude, here's your trophy for being average second rate.' 'Like, totally awesome dude! Just what I've always wanted, to be, what my whole career was aspired to, to be just average!'

    I tend to think you're pulling the leg here.

    Doubles are nice. Career Hits are even better. 600 2B's but only 2,1k H's ain't cutting it, unless there's like, 500 HR's to go with those doubles.

    If we can now dumb down the HOF with mediocre players, who while they're in the top 1%, are nowhere near the greatest to have ever played the game...then by all means should be pushing Dave Kingman even more. Dave was in the top 1% in HR's during his career. If the precedent is being set for just average top 1%ers and not greatest ever to have played the game, then...Kingman by all means.

  • From the New York Times science section: The chance it won't hit Earth is 98.7%! Just after Christmas Day, astronomers spotted something zipping away from Earth: a rock somewhere between 130 feet and 330 feet long that they named 2024 YR4. Over the next few weeks, they simulated its possible future orbits. They now say,...
  • @Rahuthedotard
    Off-topic (except for those who consider the Oscars a world-shaking event) I couldn't help but notice that the various tweets of Karla Sofía Gascón, the Spanish star of “Emilia Perez,” are further evidence of Steve's observation that many male-to-female trans are in fact hyper-masculine types.

    As reported in the NYPost, in "Her" Oscar-fatal tweets she suggested Islam should be banned, hammered Catholics and called George Floyd a “drug addict swindler.” She even commented on the 2021 Oscars: "I didn’t know if I was watching an Afro-Korean festival, a Black Lives Matter demonstration or the 8M."

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @muggles

    Thanks.

    • Replies: @Rahuthedotard
    @Steve Sailer

    Actually, the tweets suggest that the Spanish actor's real personality could've been the premise for an interesting movie portraying what a Mexican drug lord who transitioned to female would actually be like. I'm thinking something closer to Dennis Hopper's character in Blue Velvet. Of course, the only screenwriter/director who could've done it justice just died.

  • @anonymous
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Oh, please. Not a "she." A transexual.

    https://tribune.com.pk/story/2525744/trans-pilot-jo-ellis-rumored-to-be-black-hawk-pilot-in-fatal-collision-over-potomac-river

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Oops, they got that wrong!

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Steve Sailer


    Oops, they got that wrong!
     
    Heads up, Steve:

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/something-else-to-worry-about-an-asteroid-with-a-1-3-chance-of-hitting-earth-in-12-22-2032/#comment-6975318
    , @anon
    @Steve Sailer

    I'm thinking that the fact that her body was not recovered played into the family's decision to delay identifying her.

    Replies: @JMcG

    , @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Steve Sailer

    Steve's been extra grumpy over people being mean to the Diversity hire. He's cross that people would "yell" on her on Twitter. Which pretty much proves he is a spiritual leftist. He's stuck in 1985.

    He'll make some fake claim about caring about decorum. Yet he has been heartless with regard to the destruction of his own people.

    Replies: @kaganovitch

  • @epebble
    @YetAnotherAnon

    They have released the DEI pilot's id:

    Army identifies helicopter pilot Capt. Rebecca Lobach
    https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/31/us/dc-plane-crash-victims/index.html

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Definitely not a trans ex-man, as some were rumoring.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Steve Sailer


    Definitely not a trans ex-man, as some were rumoring.
     
    Standard operating procedure for rightwing social media accounts against treasonous authorities reluctant to identify inconvenient players in breaking news: the tactic is to spread a specific possible overshooting claim/rumor (right or wrong) that forces those authorities to release at least some of the previously suppressed facts, against their wishes, in their supposed fight against mis/disinformation.

    E.g., Trump successfully uses the overshooting-claim tactic quite often, as you have noticed, and it also worked well recently in the UK when rightwingers, amid an intentional state info lockdown, publicly spread a rumor that a Muslim jihadi immigrant was the Southport killer. Turns out the the ‘far right agitators’ were closer to the truth than the treasonous authorities wanted the public to know:


    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62egy7pj7xo

    Tensions over how Southport details went public

    BBC News 22 January 2025
     


    Rudakubana was charged with three counts of murder and 10 of attempted murder on 31 July, shortly after launching his attack which killed Bebe King, six, Elsie Dot Stancombe, seven, and Alice da Silva Aguiar, nine.

    Within days, in early August, officers searching Rudakubana's home found ricin and a file entitled "Military Studies in the Jihad against the Tyrants, the al-Qaeda training manual".
     


    Police rarely give details of an ongoing investigation without what they describe as a "policing purpose".

    In this case, false rumours were spreading online about the killer, including that he had migrated to Britain.

    Senior officers felt under pressure to reassure the public, and dispel some of the rumours about the suspect by making clear he was in fact British.

    But after discovering the ricin and manual they did not immediately make this public.

    The investigation continued, with searches taking weeks because of the need for teams to wear hazmat suits and take a break every 40 minutes.

    As they prepared to announce the outcome to the investigation, senior police officers became frustrated that the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) was advising them to withhold many details they felt should be made public, due to false claims online.

    The killer was not charged with production of a biological weapon, and possession of information likely to be useful for terrorism, until 29 October 2024.
     

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    , @epebble
    @Steve Sailer

    Not trans ex-man, but a real woman, known to have challenges in combat aviation due to depth perception skill difference. Would a man be incapable of judging 200 feet and 400 feet looking over Washington D.C.? Heck, I only have a Class C Driver License and even I can tell whether I am looking down 200 or 400 feet. This is definitely a DEI case of 'women in combat' at any cost.


    Men, in contrast, tend to have better distance vision and depth perception. This may be linked to historical roles that required precise vision for activities like hunting, where focusing on distant objects was crucial. As a result, men are generally better at tasks that involve tracking moving objects or gauging distances.

    Men and women also differ in their sensitivity to motion. Men are typically more sensitive to detecting movement within their field of vision, especially when it comes to tracking fast-moving objects. This difference is again linked to evolutionary roles where detecting and responding to movement was essential for hunting and survival.

    When it comes to night vision, men often have the advantage. Men generally possess more rods in their retinas, the photoreceptor cells responsible for vision in low-light conditions. This gives them better night vision and makes them more adept at seeing in the dark.

    https://www.shadygroveophthalmology.com/womens-and-mens-vision-understanding-the-differences/

     

    Replies: @AnotherDad

    , @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Steve Sailer

    So 60+ people died, most of them probably White. But what we really need to worry about is the feelings of the GirlBoss and her family? How many other Diversity Hires are lurking out there in dangerous positions?

    It would be better to show we are no longer sympathetic to this silliness. That would save more lives in the long run. Quit celebrating this nonsense or making heroes out of them after they get a bunch of people killed.

    , @S Johnson
    @Steve Sailer

    iSteveish story from the Oscars where the Spanish ex-man star of “Emilia Perez” turns out to have predictably right-wing provocateur opinions and is promptly tanks the movie’s chances. You need to cast a straight man like Eddie Redmayne as a transwoman to rely on him to have NPR-friendly opinions.

  • @J.Ross
    @theMann

    $13. A new reprint.
    https://www.amazon.com/Metal-Doom-Twelve-Times-Zero/dp/1612870503


    Armchair Fiction presents extra large paperback editions of classic science fiction double novels with original illustrations. The first novel, "The Metal Doom," is a grand sci-fi adventure by venerable sci-fi author, David H. Keller, M. D. Imagine a world without metal… When all the metal was gone, the civilized world ended. People like the Tublers and John Stafford started the slow rebuilding of society—a job made difficult enough by the lack of metal tools and weapons. But there were others trapped in the “new” stone age—roving bands of marauders who relished the new barbarism and whose only drive was to steal or destroy whatever ground the “builders” had regained! This memorable science fiction classic is a sprawling tale of an Earth gone awry. It is a brilliant, thought-provoking novel that deals with a terrifying premise—the possibility that one day the civilized world might crumble from an incredible new “disease.” A disease that could transform all of the world’s metal into fine red rust!
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @bomag

    Sounds great.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Steve Sailer

    Very dated. Metal. One of the problems with RoboCop being futuristic is all the wood paneling in the buildings. I remember being a kid in the 80s and everything was wood paneling, a TV was a huge wooden box with bevelled edges and a TV in the center.
    On the other hand, enhacing the body horror of the Kafkaesque The Tenant, before plastic, a lot of medical instruments were either metal or glass, because that's all they had.
    OT
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7IocRCDWB5k&pp=ygUaR2VycnkgbW9vcmUgb3ZlciB0aGUgaGlsbHM%3D

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Ron Mexico

    "But Carlton winning 27 or 22 or 17 for a shitty team isn’t really relevant"

    Correction. Uh, it's damn fucking relevant. IF Carlton didn't pitch for PHI in 72, its more than likely that most of those 27 W's that Carlton won wouldn't have been won--and the 62 Mets record (at the time) would've been surpassed by the 72 Phillies.

    "Carlton wasn’t well liked by sportswriters and vice versa"

    But the sportswriters recognized his greatness. That's how it works. 4,100+ SO's, 329 W's, 3.22 ERA, 4 Cy Young Awards.

    IF PHI is your all time favorite team, then Carlton, as PHI's all time greatest southpaw pitcher, should be among your top PHI pitchers, bar none.

    Not putting Curt Schilling and Steve Carlton in the same sentence. Carlton is one of the greatest pitchers to have ever played in MLB, and the other is a very excellent and good pitcher, and that's it.

    Postseason records are a good metric, but they aren't a career. By that measure, Mays and Ted Williams, who had poor postseason stats shouldn't be in the HOF. A player can only contribute to a teams getting to the postseason (which 100% depends on the regular season, duh); after that, it's anyone's game as to who will step up and have amazing stats in the postseason. Bobby Richardson was the MVP of the 1960 WS (only player to win WS MVP for losing team). Is Bobby Richardson in the HOF?

    Example: Freddy Freeman was MVP of 2024 WS. Did Freeman's regular season totals compare with Ohtani? Of course not. Can't predict who steps up in the postseason, and who doesn't.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Ron Mexico

    It’s not like Freddie Freeman isn’t one of the best hitters of the current era so it was a giant surprise when he came through in the 2024 World Series. He’s not as good as Shohei Ohtani, but who is, other than Aaron Judge? Currently, Freeman has the 4th highest career Wins above replacement of position players after Trout, Betts, and his clone Goldschmidt. A couple more decent seasons and he will be a lock for the Hall of Fame.

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    "A couple more decent seasons and he will be a lock for the Hall of Fame."

    Decent? Seriously? That's all it takes for the HOF? I heard the first part of the sentence. Freeman's top five. My original point, that oftentimes some mediocre or mid players have awesome, even great postseasons remains.

    For example:

    Billy Martin had 12 H's in the 53 WS

    Bobby Richardson won the MVP for the 60 WS (only time a player from the losing team in the WS to win MVP). Richardson had 13 H's in the 64 WS.

    David Eckstein won the 06 MVP for STL.

    These dudes aren't in the HOF by a long shot.

    Also,

    Ted Williams and Willie Mays had poor WS stats. Babe Ruth had a dreadful 1922 WS as well. Yet thankfully, they're not judged on a few games at the end of the season but for the entirety of their careers. That's how it works.


    If Freeman's all that and then some, then it's reasonable to expect him to have some traditional stats before he retires, like say...500+ career HR's or 3,000 H's to go along with that WAR.

    Replies: @Ron Mexico, @AceDeuce

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    "Scherzer, and Kershaw are obviously Hall of Fame Pitchers."

    Have to be consistent. IF they are as dominant and can be compared to their historical counterparts, then winning 300 games shouldn't be so difficult for them to attain. They're very good, even excellent. Can they reach 300 W's? If not, why not? That's a fair question.

    "I’d vote for Greinke too, who was an excellent hitter and fielder as well as pitcher."

    Oh for goodness sakes, Steve.

    Yeah, hitting and fielding, that's exactly the things one primarily expects from a dominant pitcher.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Why not? One reason pitcher Walter Johnson won so many games was because he was about as good a hitter as the average shortstop of his era. He was MVP in 1924 at age 36 when he hit .283 and had another 20 win season at age 37 when he hit .433. His batting probably won him and extra 20 or 30 or so games over his career.

    Zach Greinke was a fabulous fielder of bunts, by some accounts the best all time, and as good of a hitter as a second string shortstop. Plus he was a sensational pitcher even though he wasn’t all that mentally healthy. I quite admire that Greinke overcame his mental health problems to be one of the four best pitchers of his cohort after Verlander, Scherzer, and Kershaw.

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    "Probably"

    is a guess, and does not directly bear either way on the facts. There's a reason that for the most part in MLB history, pitchers batted last. Aside from legitimate hitting pitchers, like Babe Ruth and Ohtani, the others are at best, decent, but certainly not great.

    Johnson won because of his fastball, great control, and was a dominant strikeout pitcher in an era where SO's as a whole were very low (compared to today). Hitting is totally irrelevant for pitchers. Also, apparently Connie Mack ca.1905 wanted MLB to adopt an early form of the DH (because of his dominant pitchers poor hitting skills), MLB at the time turned his idea down. Even if Johnson was all that and then some with the bat, keep in mind that for most of his career he played for mediocre teams, so its a more reasonable guess that his pitching prowess kept WAS in the games and his pitching was the dominant factor in winning games.

    Grover Cleveland Alexander (373 W's) and Greg Maddux (355 W's), Eddie Plank (305 W's) were both considered poor hitters. Yet they're in the HOF.

  • @William Badwhite
    @Yojimbo/Zatoichi


    With the final rejoinder…
     
    If only.


    While 300 career W’s is a challenge (just as it has always been) it can be done, just as it has been done for well over a century, and, barring something in the crystal ball that is totally unforeseen by anyone, it will occur yet again sometime in the future.
     
    And until then, per your logic, no other starting pitchers will belong in the HOF. Except maybe Verlander, if he manages another 38 wins.

    Replies: @deep anonymous, @Yojimbo/Zatoichi, @Steve Sailer

    Verlander, Scherzer, and Kershaw are obviously Hall of Fame Pitchers. I’d vote for Greinke too, who was an excellent hitter and fielder as well as pitcher.

    The more recent generation is more up in the air. We’ll see.

    • Replies: @William Badwhite
    @Steve Sailer


    Verlander, Scherzer, and Kershaw are obviously Hall of Fame Pitchers.
     
    Agreed. They are all HOF'ers, as is Schilling. Though of the four, only Verlander has a shot at 300 wins.

    Jumbo Ozaki (and his 2,000 word posts) seems unaware of stats such as WAR, WPA, etc.

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    "Scherzer, and Kershaw are obviously Hall of Fame Pitchers."

    Have to be consistent. IF they are as dominant and can be compared to their historical counterparts, then winning 300 games shouldn't be so difficult for them to attain. They're very good, even excellent. Can they reach 300 W's? If not, why not? That's a fair question.

    "I’d vote for Greinke too, who was an excellent hitter and fielder as well as pitcher."

    Oh for goodness sakes, Steve.

    Yeah, hitting and fielding, that's exactly the things one primarily expects from a dominant pitcher.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Less publicized is that Cooper DeJean, a white cornerback, will likely start for the Eagles in the Super Bowl. The last white cornerback to start a Super Bowl was Jason Sehorn two dozen years ago in 2001. A rookie out of the U. of Iowa, DeJean took over...
  • @Anon
    https://youtu.be/U2DTwK5xysg?si=vALfyJzg34JdTqJW

    R.I.P. Marianne Faithfull. I NOTICE that an eerie silence surrounds her vax status.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @p38ace

    Similarly, if Keith Richards dies before age 100, it’s no doubt due to the Vax.

    • LOL: John Johnson
    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Steve Sailer

    Richards should donate his body to science. Ms Faithfull hasn't done too badly for someone who was an addict for 10 or 15 years.

    I guess it helps being famous and pretty. I hadn't realised during the 70s/80s she was married to the bassist of the Vibrators, Ben Brierley.

    Replies: @Mark G.

    , @anonymous
    @Steve Sailer

    Dick Button, Olympic great and voice of skating, dies at 95.

  • I don't really get the RFK Jr. cult. Sure, he's got a following who probably helped in the election, but that doesn't mean Trump can't stab him in the back afterward. So why the loyalty to a guy who is obviously bad news?
  • @YetAnotherAnon
    @Bragadocious

    Wrong end of the stick, Britain didn't want Germany using Iceland as a submarine or naval base, because of the importance of the US convoys.

    Channel Islands were off the French coast and pretty much impossible to hold once France fell. Germany built huge defences (I've seen them) and made it a very tough ask, the islands were never attacked and surrendered at the end of the war.

    The German defences are now a tourist attraction.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality, @Bragadocious, @Jonathan Mason

    Well said.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Are these things "well said" by the other cranks and crackpots of the Trump Administration? Asking for a friend. They hope you will directly respond rather than be cagey, at best, or dodging, at worst.

    https://www.npr.org/2025/01/30/nx-s1-5281162/fcc-npr-pbs-investigation?utm_source=firefox-newtab-en-us

    https://www.reuters.com/world/us/musk-aides-lock-government-workers-out-computer-systems-us-agency-sources-say-2025-01-31/

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/01/29/elon-musk-opm-federal-workers-buyout-trump/

    And speaking about DEI and the recent airplane crash in DC...

    https://newrepublic.com/post/190964/faa-report-dc-plane-crash-staffing-indictment-trump

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    So a crackpot got through. What dies that make Senator Cassidy, a doctor?

    Perhaps you will NOTICE.

    https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2025/02/rfk-jr-opposition-folds/681567/

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Dmon
    @Yojimbo/Zatoichi


    Little by little, Cooperstown is really turning into the Hall of Very Good, of “yeah, well, what the hell, let’s put that dude in too as well.” type of thing.
     
    I think the induction of Harold Baines pretty much clinched the deal.

    https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/baineha01.shtml

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Yeah, Harold Baines was a fine ballplayer, but a Hall of Famer? Maybe if he’d gotten to 3000 hits, but he finally topped out around 2850.

    • Agree: Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    • Replies: @Kaganovitch
    @Steve Sailer

    Indeed, and, pace Yojimbo's point, even Baines was more than twice as valuable as Dave Kingman.

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

  • @Dmon
    @Ganderson

    Yeah - I think bad managers in both cases. The '59 Braves lost the pennant to the Dodgers, who basically had Drysdale, a few fading pieces from their Brooklyn club (Snider, Hodges, etc.) who were way over the hill, and half a season of Maury Wills. Koufax was pre-Koufax, and the big power threat was Wally Moon, whose game was hitting 260 ft pop flies that just cleared the ridiculous LA Coliseum left-field fence. The Braves got great seasons from Aaron (MVP) and Mathews, but down the stretch, the manager (Fred Haney, who I believe was the Hollywood Stars manager in the mel belli Burdette comment) decided to pull a Gene Mauch and ride Spahn and Burdette exclusively. As a consequence, instead of both of them going 20-10 as they had the year before, they both went 21-15, with the extra losses coming as they tired from overuse. Also, Haney insisted on platooning at first base. So 2/3 of the time, instead of having righty Joe Adcock (.292 BA/ .535 SA, 25 HR) in the lineup, he had lefty Frank Torre (Joe's brother, .228 BA/.304 SA, 1 HR).

    The Twins should have dominated the league for a few years there. Especially in '67 - Killebrew had a great year, Bob Allison was still real good, deep pitching staff headed by Dean Chance. My guess is that Sam Mele and Cal Ermer were just not great leaders of men. By the time Billy Martin took over and got things sorted out, the Orioles had put together a juggernaut and it was too late.

    It might have been Earl Weaver who said the manager can't do much to win games, but he can sure lose them.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Joe Adcock was pretty awesome. I can recall going to an Angels game in 1967 at age 8 and while we were walking into Angel Stadium, Adcock hit a homer, one of 18 in just 83 games in his final season during a pitcher’s era.

  • @Anthony Aaron
    What about Fernando Valenzuela … inducted into the HoF in 2014 … one hell of a pitcher for 17 years …

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I don’t believe Fernando is in the Hall of Fame. A fascinating personality, perhaps my favorite baseball player ever, but only a top pitcher for one decade rather than two.

  • @Ganderson
    @Brutusale

    Something I’ve mentioned before: I have a friend who is retired from a career as a major mid-market daily sportswriter, who spent significant time as a MLB beat writer. Over all a good guy, but extremely liberal- makes Keith Olberman look like “literally Hitler”. He told me flat out that he left Schilling off his ballot because he didn’t like his politics

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    Curt Schilling is 32% over the usual cutoff for the Hall of Fame — 60 Wins Above Replacement — and is perhaps the greatest postseason pitcher ever: 11-2 with a 2.23 ERA. But he’s not in the Hall of Fame due to being a Trump supporter and a difficult personality.

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Greatest postseason pitcher ever? Greater than HOF Whitey Ford, who has the most WS wins, with 10? Yeah, okay.

    Difficult personalities abound in the HOF so that can't be a major reason entirely.

    Does it really come down to Schilling being a Trump supporter? If it's simply that then that's really petty to keep him out of the HOF.

    Also, Schilling is nowhere near 300 career Wins. David Wells has more career Wins, for example, and he's not going into the HOF anytime soon. It might also have helped Schilling's case if he'd won a Cy Young Award during his career.

    But then, I don't entirely understand why Mike Mussina was inducted into the HOF. Except there was a Baltimore Sun reporter who later found fame with FOX and is a HOF voter, who wrote many times that Mike was among his favorite pitchers.

    So perhaps it really does come down to various sportswriters have their personal favorites and those that they can't stand. So borderline players had better find a way to be extra great, or else it'll be a long time coming until they receive the call from Cooperstown.

    Replies: @Ron Mexico

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Nicholas Stix

    "All of the great Dodgers, the “boys of summer,” of those amazing teams when they were “the bums” who went to the World Series every year, and with one exception (1955) lost every year to the Yankees, were gone or over the hill by the early ’60s."

    But also keep in mind that during the late 40's and throughout the 50's, the Dodgers home field was Ebbets Field. Ebbets was by this time a bandbox, where it was easier to hit HRs as compared to say Yankee Stadium (which was more of a pitchers ballpark during this time).

    One of the few things that I tend to concur with Sabermetrics, is the idea that ball parks can be skewed toward more HRs, R's scored, whether or not they are more hitter or pitcher friendly, that sort of thing.

    By contrast, Dodger Stadium, at least in its earlier years, tended to be more of a pitchers ballpark. Either that, or for some reason LA didn't bother to draft many power hitters during the 60's.

    Regarding Sandy Koufax, one thing that has to be considered. For the most part, Koufax benefitted playing his prime years during the 1962-68 era when the strike zone was raised to the top of the shoulders (P's would consistently get the high strikes called as opposed to post '68). We see this with the culmination as 1968, the Year of the Pitcher, when HOF BOS OF Carl Yaztremski lead the AL in batting with a .301 average (even though Pete Rose won the NL batting title with .338). Drysdale pitched 58 and 2/3 scoreless innings, Gibson set a MLB record for ERA with 1.12, and Dennis McLain won 31 games.

    The point being, is that Koufax benefitted by pitching during the 60's. His first few years (1955-61) didn't particularly demonstrate the consistent greatness that he would soon possess. Even the first few years in LA, pitching in the Colessium, Sandy didn't show any traces of greatness.

    It was only when LA moved to Dodger Stadium in 62, which coincided with the new pitcher friendly higher strike zone when Koufax really took off.

    Sometimes wonder in the case of Koufax just how great he would have been had he played his prime years post 1968, when the strike
    zone returned to previous '62 levels. That's a fair observation regarding his career.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Koufax was prevented from pitching in the minors from 1955-1960 due to bonus baby rules, when he was pretty bad in the big leagues due to lack of control. Sandy, the top Jewish athlete of his generation, was a great athlete but wasn’t a great thinker, so he wasn’t all that smart at figuring out how to improve himself.

    In spring training 1961, second string catcher Norm Sherry, a fellow Jew, suggested to Koufax that he try throwing more strikes. Sandy asked how, but Norm said, I dunno, let’s ask John Roseboro. So the two Jews asked the black guy, who said,
    stop throwing so damn hard, slow down, and try to throw more strikes. Sandy and Norm said, wow, great idea, John, how’d you ever think of that?

    So, in 1961, Koufax’s last pitching in the Coliseum, an asymmetrical stadium which had been set up to penalize left handed pitchers like Sandy, he went a fine 18-13 with the fifth best ERA in the league.

    Then in 1962 he moved into Dodger Stadium with deep symmetrical fences and was 14-4 with a low ERA before blowing out his arm.

    The in 1962 in Dodger Stadium with the new bigger strike zone, he went 25-5, then 19-5 while getting hurt again in 1964, then 26-8, then 27-9, and then retired at age 30 due to the agony in his arm. A decade later, Sandy’s surgeon Robert Kerlan’s younger partner, Frank Jobe, invented the Tommy John surgery.

    By all accounts of old timers games and the like, Koufax could have pitched into his 40s with modern surgery. Bill James suggests that under modern thinking he would have had a lot of 16-5 seasons.

    • Troll: Half Norwegian
    • Replies: @Rich
    @Steve Sailer

    I think the stat is that about 10% of pitchers who have Tommy John surgery come back and pitch well. Saying he would have come back is far from a certainty. Just a way to justify a below borderline pitcher getting in. There aren't any other 165 game winners in the hall, are there? If injury justifies letting a player in, where are Don Mattingly and David Wright? Great players who would have had even greater careers if a surgery for their back issues was invented.

    , @Buzz Mohawk
    @Steve Sailer

    Koufax was my first sports hero, and still the greatest.

    A car accident in Orange County broke my right arm and made me a lefty, right when I was admiring Sandy.

    I still have my kindergarten scrapbook, complete with an LA Times article I cut out: a photo of Sandy with his arm in a locker room sink after a game. That was when he retired; and I nearly cried!

    I am happy to read, from you, Steve Sailer, that my first hero was indeed a good man, a fair player who did not try to hit batters.

    Thank you.


    The picture that broke my 6-year-old heart:

    https://c8.alamy.com/comp/CWAPNA/major-league-baseball-player-sandy-koufax-bathing-his-arm-in-ice-water-CWAPNA.jpg

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  • I’m vague on whether Chris Isaak’s “Wicked Game” is much influenced by David Lynch or not.

    • Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease
    @Steve Sailer

    "I’m vague on whether Chris Isaak’s “Wicked Game” is much influenced by David Lynch or not."

    I've worked with Chris Isaak (and also Lynch).

    It is not.

    , @The Germ Theory of Disease
    @Steve Sailer

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=febOhSEvF9Y

    The Girl On Fire.

    Nuff said.

    Over and out.

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Chris Isaak's song "Wicked Game" was inspired by a phone call from a woman who wanted to set up a hook-up. The song is about the consequences of having a strong attraction to someone who may not be good for you

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @Colin Wright

    'I’ve never seen anybody more knowledgeable look into this, but as a pitcher, Ruth’s rate of striking out batters per 9 innings declined from about 1915 onward. He was still quite successful, but perhaps he got serious about his hitting because he was aware that his arm was fading?'
     
    On the other hand, my impression is that with the passage of time, pitching has come to be more valued than hitting.

    If Ruth came up now, maybe he'd just have kept pitching?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    We’ll see with Ohtani come the 2025 season. The Dodgers’ front office is ridiculously smart, so they may prefer him as simply a slugging DH rather than have him sit out for a third Tommy John surgery. On the other hand, Shohei Ohtani is an incredible competitor, so he may demand to pitch.

    We shall see.

    • Replies: @Catdompanj
    @Steve Sailer

    He won't pitch on a staff where an, if healthy Kershaw, is the 5th or 6th starter.

    , @Danindc
    @Steve Sailer

    Their front office could be dumb and they win the West by 10 games. Commissioner should not allow all that deferred money in best interest of baseball.

    , @james wilson
    @Steve Sailer

    They should pitch him once a week, something he is familiar with since that is the Japanese system. Both his hitting and pitching would destract less from each other. The Dodgers have the arms to work around this and not go to a six man rotation, although considering the history of their starters a six man rotatation would make the most sense.

  • @mel belli
    @astorian

    In a game from around 1992 that you can find on YT, Ralph Kiner said he was once on the most exclusive golf course in Palm Springs with Drysdale, and said to him, "Don, if we were playing today we could afford to live here."

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    They used to post salaries on Baseball Reference, but they stopped, so I can’t tell if they got worried they were wrong or not. But if they were accurate, they were hilarious: e.g., an aging Stan Musial drops from .335 with 120 RBIs to .325 with 110 RBIs, so they immediately cut his salary by 15%.

    He’s Stan … Musial, you SOBs.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking about not posting statistics, we eagerly await your next unz.com article regarding Trump’s blitzkrieg to dismantle government statistics. Certainly as our alleged pattern expert it is most disconcerting given that you rely on that data for your NOTICINGS.

    https://www.npr.org/2025/01/24/nx-s1-5250264/unemployment-rate-cpi-inflation-census-bureau-labor-statistics

    “The duration of what, however, was never quite specified.”

    Speaking about things not specified, perhaps it’s time for you to clearly and concisely define and provide examples of “anti-white”. I understand that’s the cagey narrative you spin, but after three decades, the public seems ready for a change.

  • @Dmon
    @kaganovitch

    Ahh - that explains the HOF induction of Dizzy Deanowitz.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Who was more obviously Jewish than Dizzy Dean?

  • @deep anonymous
    @kaganovitch

    Thanks for fleshing that out. I guess the only way I could explain it is that (at least as far as I remember it) Koufax was pretty much regarded as the BEST pitcher in baseball during that five-year period, whereas Cone was just very good.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Steve Sailer

    David Cone was a great pitcher whose career stats are marginally above the Hall of Fame benchmark of 60 Wins Above Replacement. Keeping some worthy guys out of the baseball Hall of Fame is why baseball Hall of Fame arguments are more interesting than NFL Hall of Fame arguments, where they let in most of the worthy candidates.

    • Troll: Half Norwegian
  • @Rich
    @Trinity

    Longevity should count for something. He had some great years, but so did a lot of players. Luis Tiant had 229 wins, Tommy John had 288, Mickey Lolich had 217, hell, Denny McLain pitched for 10 years and went 131-91 and was the last man to win over 30 games, something Koufax couldn't do, even on those great Dodgers teams. More to it, I think.

    The year Koufax won the MVP Hank Aaron hit 44 HRs and batted .319. Sandy won 25 games, but a lot of pitchers have won 25 and not been gifted an mvp. Weird, right? He won all 3 of his Cy Youngs unanimously, all 3, only 2 other pitchers have ever been given the Cy Young unanimously. I don't know, smells fishy to me.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Mike Tre, @Trinity

    Were the 1963-1966 Dodgers, who won 3 National League pennants in 4 years in a 10 team league, all that great other than Sandy Koufax? On the 1965 Dodgers, on which Koufax went 26-8, the top three home run hitters were rookie Jim Lefebvre with 12, journeyman Lou Johnson with 12, and pitcher Don Drysdale with 7.

    • Troll: Half Norwegian
    • Replies: @Rich
    @Steve Sailer

    Imagine that in 1965 the top HR hitter on the Dodgers only had 12 home runs, but Hank had 44? Bats .319 and doesn't win an mvp? In 1972 the Phillies won 59 games, Steve Carlton went 27-9, and he didn't get a sniff at mvp. Koufax was a media darling. He was a very good pitcher for a few years during the expansion era, but he's borderline hall of fame, at best. Unless there's a few other pitchers with only 165 wins that I missed.

    Replies: @Nicholas Stix, @Ron Mexico

    , @Nicholas Stix
    @Steve Sailer

    Very important observations, Steve. Take away Koufax, and the Dodgers were a mediocre team. Drysdale was himself most seasons a mediocre innings-eater (e.g., 19-17, 18-16).

    Drysdale got into the HOF via an implicit package deal with Koufax. There was a package deal when they played, too. During the 1960s they would negotiate their respective contracts together, which had to hurt Koufax.

    All of the great Dodgers, the "boys of summer," of those amazing teams when they were "the bums" who went to the World Series every year, and with one exception (1955) lost every year to the Yankees, were gone or over the hill by the early '60s. And yet, they won it all in '59, '63, and '65. Koufax carried the team during the '60s.

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

  • @Anonymous
    @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Lynchpin is rather strange figure as far as Americana is concerned.

    1950s Americana(and even later small town depictions, often presented as regressive nostalgia for the Old Days) has often been the stuff of subversive satire purporting to expose the underlying perversities and repressions beneath the outward appearance of bliss and harmony. The idea is that the harmony is all a facade, an illusion maintained by conservatives as an reactionary ideal or regressive dream of a better past. Thus, by exposing what lies beneath, the whole is exposed as fraudulent and mocked.

    Given Lynch's approach, it's easy to see his approach as subversive as well, but it's subconscious without being subversive, at least in the mocking sense. Unlike the Liberal approach that scratches the pleasant surface to reveal what's ugly, Lynch digs through the ugliness and finds a deeper harmony. Thus in Blue Velvet, the nice green lawns yield to a severed ear but the story concludes with a heavenly view of Laura Dern's ear as an reaffirmation of community and decency.
    The hidden perversity, far from invalidating the communal decency, actually affirms it as a necessary bulwark against the dangers lurking everywhere, both external(in the form of freaks and criminals) and internal(in dark passions that can lead people astray).

    Liberal mockers of Americana maybe mistook Lynch as one of their own as he seemed to be exposing and mocking the same falsehood. Except he didn't regard it as falsehood but the essential counterweight to the dark forces all about.

    Liberals say because there's darkness below the brightness, the brightness is false. Lynch says because the darkness is real(and must be addressed), the light is essential.

    Oddly enough, this makes Lynch's view of the 50s somewhat parallel to that of homosexuals who, though critical of the conformist repression, also fetishize its sense of decorum and manners given that their community(and psychology) is split between perversity and order, with a keen sense of aesthetics. Perhaps, their perversity makes them long for order as balance.

    The very Liberals who detest the Old Days adore homosexuals with their 50s sensibilities of green lawns and white picket fences.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @HA, @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Thanks.

  • Baseball hitters are reasonably scared of being hit by an inside pitch. Only one major league baseball player has been directly killed by being hit with a hardball pitch, Ray Chapman in 1920, but many, such as Tony Conigliaro, have been badly hurt. Pitchers use hitters' fear to gain an advantage over them. For example,...
  • @lamont cranston
    @Anymike

    I think it was George Sisler (correct me, perhaps Rogers Hornsby?) that said "Ruth made a mistake becoming an everyday player, as he was sure to have a 20 year career as a pitcher."

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Ed Case

    Babe Ruth was a great American because he didn’t listen to what other people told him he should do.

    • Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease
    @Steve Sailer

    "Babe Ruth was a great American because he didn’t listen to what other people told him he should do."

    "I ran away from home at 16, lied about my age, and joined the Marines, because everybody told me not to."

    -- my uncle, who later personally designed and built half of Agoura Hills and Thousand Oaks

    "We are who we pretend to be; so we had better be very careful about who and what we pretend to be."

    -- Kurt Vonnegut Jr., preface to "Mother Night"

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    “Babe Ruth was a great American because he didn’t listen to what other people told him he should do.”

    Just like Biden? How about Jordan Peterson? Or how about Jews?

    Wait, it’s Trump in hot eyes. Although…

    —A recent Wall Street Journal poll showed the public would prefer a more restrained Trump. Most voters say, for instance, that only undocumented immigrants with criminal records should be deported, and longtime residents who entered the U.S. illegally should be protected. Most voters in the poll expressed skepticism of Trump’s plans to replace career civil-service workers, and 57% opposed pardoning those convicted in the Jan. 6 riot at the Capitol.—

    Replies: @Ron Mexico, @Colin Wright

  • @deep anonymous
    @kaganovitch

    Thanks for fleshing that out. I guess the only way I could explain it is that (at least as far as I remember it) Koufax was pretty much regarded as the BEST pitcher in baseball during that five-year period, whereas Cone was just very good.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Steve Sailer

    Koufax at his 1963-1966 peak was as heroic as any pitcher ever, going an average of 24-7, winning three league championships and two World Series.

    Compare Koufax to his teammate Drysdale. Drysdale lost a lot of 4-3 and 3-2 games, going 18-15 over those same years. Drysdale was a Hall of Fame pitcher, but he wasn’t a miracle worker with the Dodgers’ unimpressive offense. Koufax, in contrast, specialized in winning 1-0 games. E.g., in the heart of the 1965 pennant race when the Cubs held the Dodgers to one hit and one run, Koufax threw a perfect game with 14 strikeouts.

    For the 7th game of the 1965 World Series, Hall of Fame manager Walter Alston had his choice of Drysdale on his normal 3 days rest or Koufax on 2 days rest. He went with Koufax, who immediately found out his arm couldn’t break off a curve ball that day. So he just threw fastballs and won 2-0 on three hits.

    • Replies: @Catdompanj
    @Steve Sailer

    Compare Pedro Martinez best 5 consecutive years to Koufax. Closer than people realize. Clemens? Gibson? No pitcher ever has had only, a great 5,6 years and gotten into the HOF.

  • @Anymike
    Nice touch to put George H. "Babe" Ruth in there as a pitcher. Although he was not elected to the Hall of Fame as a pitcher, he is the only ballplayer in the history of the game who is provably of Hall of Fame caliber as both a pitcher and a hitter. The word is "provably", and that is based on actual performance on the baseball field, not speculation. Ruth can be projected to have had 350 to 400 career win potential as a pitcher.

    Barring injury, and his career as a position player proved his durability, he would have been well into the 200s in career wins by the age of 30.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @lamont cranston

    I’ve never seen anybody more knowledgeable look into this, but as a pitcher, Ruth’s rate of striking out batters per 9 innings declined from about 1915 onward. He was still quite successful, but perhaps he got serious about his hitting because he was aware that his arm was fading?

    • Replies: @Anymike
    @Steve Sailer

    Not sure about that at all. Strikeout totals could be affected by how his catcher called his pitches, by how his manager told him to pitch, how the batters approached hitting against him, what teams he came up against in the rotation, by his own inherent level of effectivness, and even dumb luck.

    Through 1917, his last season as a full-time pitcher, he had 67 career wins at the age of 22. No one knows what he would have done if he had continued as a full time pitcher, but win totals were high in that era for top pitchers. If he had averaged only 18 wins over the next ten years, he would have had 247 career wins at the age of 32. Knowing that he did have durability, you have to project him as at least a marginal Hall of Famer as a pitcher, barring an arm injury.

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Keep in mind that prior to the lively ball era beginning in the 20's, the vast majority of MLB hitters didn't strike out very much. It was extremely rare for hitters back then to have 100 or more K's per season. Even striking out 50 or 60 times per season was considered a bit too much.

    So the fact that Walter Johnson during his career recorded over 3,500 career K's when he played most of career during the Dead Ball Era (when very few hitters struck out a whole bunch a lot), and that it took until Nolan Ryan to best his career K total in 1983 (56 yrs after Walter retired), is simply amazing. Especially since Ryan played his career when many hitters in MLB struck out over 100 times per season--there were plenty of strikeouts in MLB to be had, then as now, and Ryan was more than fortunate enough to beat Steve Carlton out for the all time K total.

    In other words, it was far more impressive for Walter Johnson to strike out 313 hitters in 1910, than it was when Nolan Ryan struck out 383 batters in 1973 (especially since Koufax had struck out 382 batters in 1965). By that time tons of batters were striking out a whole bunch a lot.

    Not the case in Walter's time.

    Basically prior to say, 1960, other metrics should be used besides K's when judging how good or great a pitcher was in MLB (like W's or ERA's per season).

    , @anonymous
    @Steve Sailer

    middle aged vet said: That is a question for SABR guys and I am not one - but I do know Ruth really really liked to eat as much he wanted (for people who do not know his backstory, he had a deprived childhood at an orphanage, and nobody should blame him for wanting to make up for lost time). Ruth had to have noticed, in the years Sailer is talking about, that pitchers 5 years older than him that did eat as much as they wanted were at the end of their careers while hitters that did that were able to remain productive after putting on a lot of pounds. (Yes, Boomer Wells and the Falstaffian (Ronny Darling's term) Bartolo Colon are counter-arguments... but for every two Boomers and Bartolos you have twenty literally obese men hitting fourth or fifth in the lineup on very good teams).

  • @astorian
    Everyone who knew Don Drysdale considered him a heckuva nice guy.

    Years after he retired, an interviewer asked Drysdale about that apparent contradiction. "Don, how could a nice guy like you try to bean Hank Aaron or Willie Mays." Don started talking with a smile, but as he talked, his whole demeanor changed. "Well, you have to remember that we didn't make big money in those days. We really wanted that World Series check. Some of us were counting on it to pay the mortgage or to put our kids through college. So, here comes Hank Aaron. He's trying to beat me. He's trying to keep me out of the World Series. That son of a bitch wants to steal my money."

    I swear, Drysdale was in his late 40s by then, but he made himself angry enough to bean Aaron on the spot.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @mel belli, @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    Great story.

    • Replies: @Dmon
    @Steve Sailer

    https://youtu.be/WMp3LzuHTlE

    Replies: @astorian

  • @Russ
    "... tied for Nicest are Sandy Koufax and Lee Smith."

    Lee was listed at 6'5" 220 lbs; size matters. Also mattering but unfortunately unavailable are pitch speeds from the 20th century -- I surmise that I'd prefer getting plunked by a Niekro knuckleball than by anything Smith threw. Koufax broke Lou Brock's shoulder blade with that single intentional beaning, so credit both to Koufax for yet another exemplar of his on-mound efficiency, and to Brock for recovering to build his incredibly ballsy .391 World Series batting average over close to 100 WS plate appearances.

    This discussion always evokes surprise over how few hitters Bob Gibson HBP'd. Gibson's surliness was primarily made manifest through his refusal to be friendly with opposing hitters during spring training games, All-Star games, and the like -- he dreaded giving away any edge. He used to love talking about how then-Cardinal-previous-Giant Orlando Cepeda would go to dinner with Giant great Juan Marichal to open every STL-SF series ... and then fatten his batting average upon facing Marichal that series.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Bob Gibson seems like the beau ideal of pitchers: he talked a brutal game but didn’t actually bean that many hitters.

    • Agree: Prester John
  • @Jim Don Bob
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    The Brits have done that to a bunch of their TV shows, and I find it hard to watch. Evidently the third season of Wolf Hall is just chock-a-block with blacks including some of the Queen's ladies in waiting.

    I am all for suspending disbelief somewhat, sci fi, for instance, but this shite is just not true.

    That said, I am going to a theater Saturday to watch a Live in HD broadcast of Aida from the Met. Aida is played by the very black Angel Blue.

    https://www.metopera.org/season/in-cinemas/2024-25-season/aida

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    The rules have long been different for opera: vocal quality is #1 and age, weight, race, even occasionally sex* are secondary.

    * I saw Gounod’s Faust in Salzburg and afterwards I was wondering why Faust’s mom did such and such. This very nice cultured couple from Texas overheard my confusion and kindly explained that that wasn’t Faust’s mom, that character was Faust’s little brother. It’s traditional in opera for adult ladies to play little boys, the way a lady does Bart Simpson’s voice. These are called “pants roles.”

    But close-ups put a premium on plausibility in casting.

    Thus, the 1983 “Carmen” movie that’s the best low cost intro to opera cast singers who looked right for their roles: e.g., rugged Domingo instead of fat Pavarotti. After all, it’s a movie.

    • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @Steve Sailer


    The rules have long been different for opera: vocal quality is #1 and age, weight, race, even occasionally sex* are secondary.
     
    Agree completely. I have seen Angel Blue before and she wouldn't be doing Aida if people weren't paying to see her again.

    But the diversity casting only works one way. It will be a cold day in Hell before a white man plays Othello again.

    http://img375.imageshack.us/img375/9729/othello002.jpg
  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @clifford brown

    IF this becomes wider known...down the road don't be too surprised if Lynch is cancelled by Hollywood. I mean, no blacks in any major supporting roles in his films? And Lynch didn't direct too many films (when compared to say, Scorcese, Spielberg, Ford, DeMille, Lang, Hawks, Hitchcock, et al).

    Sorry, Steve.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    David Lynch was a not so crypto-conservative, an “Eagle Scout from Missoula, Montana,” and, as we’ve seen, he was extraordinarily beloved for being a remarkable artist.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Steve Sailer

    The most shocking thing about Lost Highway is how unapologetically right-wing it is (the second is how simple it is: the ostensible presentation is surreal, but all you have to do is accept what you're shown. The confusion comes from expecting it to be more complicated than the presentation). That and "Only A Lad" by Oingo Boingo and the Sopranos vignette about "Who else?!" are another country.

    Replies: @Corvinus

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Steve Sailer

    Yes but my question remains: uh WHO exactly was he beloved by? Most of his films flopped at the box office. The words “commercially successful” aren’t part of his resume. The Elephant Man and the Disney film he did in late 90s did well and that’s about it.

    Ironically both projects were given to lynch - Mel brooks produced the elephant man , and Disney approached him. Lynch didn’t initially conceive the project for the elephant man.

    I am trying to see it from your view point. At the same time, when a filmmaker constantly and consistently has more flops than hits on his resume, then I start to wonder if maybe the filmmaker just doesn’t know how to connect with a regular ordinary mass audience.

    Roger Corman, for example, influenced as well as gave many filmmakers their first work in Hollywood; unfortunately his own films weren’t all that commercially impressive.

    Lynch’s opposite in some ways, Quentin Tarantino on the other hand, doesn’t appear to have this problem as he does have some actual box office hits on his resume.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine, "Is Los Angeles Doomed?" Read the whole thing there.
  • @Anymike
    @Mike Tre

    My point was simply that there are many roads going out of Chicago apart from the freeway system. These go northwest, west, southwest and south of the city. It's all kind of a thought experiment, but the issue would be maintaining order. I don't see what could happen this side of the Yellowstone caldera blowing up, an asteroid strike or nuclear war that could make evacuation necessary in cities like Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland and others. Some event which affected world climate otherwise, such as a huge volcanic eruption or an asteroid strike in some other part of the world, would at least give the authorities some lead time to figure out how to keep people fed and how to keep them from turning into popsicles.

    Not so with Los Angeles. Something actually could happen there which could, with no forenotice, create an emergency threatening millions of people. In the Los Angeles basin, there is no multiplicity of roads leading out of town and into a countryside where emergency shelter could be set up. Everything needed would have be brought in and distributed. No possibility of having even some of the people be moved out of town.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    There are a colossal number of ways to get from one side of Southern California to another side.

    On the other hand, there are chokepoints in mountain passes and/or the ocean at most extreme edges of SoCal. For example, at the west edge, the main freeway, the 101, chokes down between Ventura and Santa Barbara to a narrow corridor between the mountains and the sea. At the east edge, in Whitewater (east of Banning), there’s a wider pass around the 10 freeway, with numerous smaller roads paralleling it, leading to Palm Springs and the open desert. But still, most traffic would be on the 10.

    But Ventura and Whitewater, the west and east chokepoints, are 163 miles apart.

    Is it likely that the L.A. Apocalypse would afflict all of this colossal expanse simultaneously?

    • Replies: @Anymike
    @Steve Sailer

    The idea has the status of a thought experiment right now. Conceivably, something could happen that severely disrupted the entire L.A. basin. In that case, there would be no way to get even some of the people out of there.

    That's why I made the comparison to the situation of Chicago, where there is a multiplicity of roadways where those who were physically unimpaired could simply walk out of the city into rural areas where emergency camps could be set up for them. That's unless it was the depth of winter, in which case, a lot of people might turn into popsicles. In Chicago and other Midwestern cities, ordinary streets and boulevards lead straight out into the countryside. In the L.A. area, the freeways are the only way in an out, which would force all traffic, both vehicular and foot, onto the freeway routes.

    Then there's the question of where to go. Emergency provision could be made along the coast north of the city, but how do you get a large number of people there? A large number of people could be accommodated on an emergency basis in the Central Valley, where there is decent weather and a water supply, but you have to get some huge number of people there. It can't be done. All of the other routes out lead into deserts.

    I don't consider this kind of disaster-apocalypse imminent. I'm more interested in refuting what I consider to be ignorant arguments about what would happen in these kind of postulated scenarios. I see a lot of people saying things that make no sense. All you need to do is look at a simple roadmap to see that. I grew up in Chicago. I've lived in Los Angeles. I've lived in the Central Valley of California for 22 of the last 37 years.

    Anyone who thinks that Lake Michigan would represent a barrier to the evacuation of Chicago not only has never been there. They can't even read a map. Anyone who considers the freeway routes a way out of Los Angeles for any mass number of people isn't thinking either. Maybe a lone person or a small group of self-reliant people could make their way out L.A. on foot in the event of some postulated massive disaster. Otherwise, all traffic would end up stuck and so would almost all of the people who were on foot.

    What I said in the first place is that martial law would have to be declared and the entire region would have to be provisioned through a huge airlift. The disaster response would be impeded by the presence of a large number of people who did not understand that martial law really does mean martial law and by the activities of the lawless, whether they were operating out of ideological or purely criminal motives.

    Right now, it's all just a movie. A movie in your head. But you never know.

  • @Bumpkin
    It is, but not because of natural disasters, but because it is the western hub of the US, arguably the economic center of the US now with the decline of NYC. However, while it has a surprisingly diversified economy with plenty of manufacturing, shipping, and finance underlying the much more well-known Hollywood, regional hubs like the LA and SF metros are primarily driven by the age-old need to get a bunch of office workers in one building so they could all collaborate easily with fast face-to-face communication.

    Well, the internet has killed the need for that. I regularly collaborate on writing software with people all over the world. People posting online videos from anywhere are slowly killing off Hollywood, with inflation-adjusted box office now down almost 50% from the 2002 peak in that first linked table, as people would rather stare at shorter online videos on their mobile screens at home or on the go than movie screens. Financial products are becoming decentralized, as the next big tech boom is expected to be "fintech," with challengers rising up from Des Moines, Iowa or anywhere else (didn't work out as hoped for that Iowa startup, which bit off more than it can chew, but new fintech startups are going to keep trying to replace the old, slow systems that currently dominate).

    California was the model for regional hubs that most every other city in the world tried to copy, with the Bay area known globally for Silicon Valley tech, LA for Hollywood, and San Diego tried to focus on biotech, which didn't work out as the long-predicted biotech boom was stillborn. However, the coming internet economy- it isn't here yet, despite all contrary claims- decentralizes the economy and kills such regional or global hubs, as you no longer need to all be in the same city for fast communication. As such, California, the current exemplar of regional/global hubs, is doomed in the coming decades, not just Los Angeles.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    If you can make a fortune anywhere, like, say, one of the Japanese baseball superstars who keep signing with the L.A. Dodgers, why not live in California? Shohei Ohtani, for example, lives in La Canada, about 8 miles north of Dodger Stadium. La Canada is really nice. It would be unfortunate if it someday burned down, but in the meantime …

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    Yeah, but why live in the big metro area at all, per the point of Bumkin's comment? Why not up the coast north of the Bay Area, inland some if the coast is too pricey for you? There are so many beautiful places in the State, many still not crowded.

    OK, for you, that's no good cause, Dodger's games.

    Replies: @muggles, @Alden

    , @anonymous
    @Steve Sailer

    I have a relative who lives in La Canada, works at JPL, jogs up the Arroyo Seco on his lunch hour, golfs at Eaton Canyon and Brookside. His "backyard" is the San Gabriels where he and his family hike, mountain bike and, in winter, throw snowballs at each other.
    If that ain't a swell life it is a remarkable facsimile thereof.
    Maybe the whole place will burn someday. If it does, they'll just rebuild. Same as if in the Midwest they got hit by a tornado, or on the east coast by a hurricane.

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    No, the best place to make a fortune is in the West Wing of the White House. Just ask Elon Musk, the tech billionaire. He directly paid for access. No big deal, right?

    It would be unfortunate if it someday burned down, but in the meantime…

  • I’ve never seen a video in which an old male chimpanzee teaches a young male chimpanzee the way that John Ford teaches Steven Spielberg in this scene.

    • LOL: Bardon Kaldian
    • Replies: @Anon
    @Steve Sailer

    Wrong. Old male chimps are very abusive, mean, and nasty to the younger ones.

    John Ford could have played an ape in Planet of the Apes.

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Steve Sailer


    I’ve never seen a video in which an old male chimpanzee teaches a young male chimpanzee the way that John Ford teaches Steven Spielberg in this scene.

     

    Irving Berlin was just as rude to his fans, and Florence King feared she might be so avoided them altogether.


    Here is the presentation I cited above, in which chimpanzees outscored Swedes on a knowledge test-- but the Swedes outscored your country, so don't snicker:

    How not to be ignorant about the world
  • @R.G. Camara
    Like Kubrick, meanings and symbolism in Lynch films will be endlessly debated on YouTube.

    I'm surprised Rob Ager, who has become a celebrity from his YouTube Kubrick analysis, hasn't delved deeply into Lynch's materials. Seems both directors' work are quite similar, although Kubrick at least made sure the top-line plots of his movie made sense and people's words seem to be logical in context (even the weird slang in A Clockwork Orange made sense after a while), although much was off-putting on first watch. Its only later thinking about it and on re-view you realize how really weird everything was in that Kubrick film you just watched.

    Lynch, in contrast, preferred non sequitur speech and plots that were dream-like and super-weird/illogical upfront. Yet somehow he made his works transfixifying. He was beset by non-Christian Manicheanism, but still held profound talent and product.

    RIP Mr. Lynch, you magnificent bastard.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    “RIP Mr. Lynch, you magnificent bastard.”

    Indeed.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Steve Sailer


    “RIP Mr. Lynch, you magnificent bastard.”

    Indeed.
     
    https://faroutmagazine.co.uk/static/uploads/1/2020/11/David-Lynch-being-a-madman-for-8-minutes-and-30-seconds.jpg

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine, "Is Los Angeles Doomed?" Read the whole thing there.
  • @YetAnotherAnon
    @JMcG

    Yes, and my understanding is that we should be heading back that way.


    "An often-cited 1980 orbital model by Imbrie predicted "the long-term cooling trend that began some 6,000 years ago will continue for the next 23,000 years."
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles#Present_and_future_conditions

    One trouble with the climate wars is that it's getting harder to find information that's not been "got at".

    But one indicator that our elites may be less worried about climate change (than they would like us to be) is that beach property prices aren't collapsing, and that a recent US President spent a lot of cash on a seafront spread at Martha's Vineyard.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Obama’s house appears to be well inland from his beach. Is it uphill? I don’t know, but I wouldn’t be surprised.

    David Geffen sold his five lot spread on the beach at Malibu a few years ago to retreat to a Manhattan penthouse. I started to take global warming quite seriously at that point.

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer


    David Geffen sold his five lot spread on the beach at Malibu a few years ago to retreat to a Manhattan penthouse. I started to take global warming quite seriously at that point.
     
    I really hope that was a joke.
    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Steve Sailer

    It's up a hill, but not a big one. More of a slope.

    https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/jxHgV5Mhen4aCrYLVk3f6D-768-80.jpg

    The island does have some cliffs though.

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @Mike Tre

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking about taking things seriously, commenter Haul makes this admission.

    —The cynicism of Trump’s presidential runs is this: Donald Trump took advantage of tens of millions of Whites only to promote a kind of silly charismatic political movement that empowers (besides himself) a predictable series of non-Western con-men and varying degrees of slick demagogues who come out of nowhere, like Vivek Ramaswamy, and Dr “Mehmet” Oz, and a long list of others. In addition to all the nepotism. Trumpism viewed in the cold, cruel light of day, tacitly champions a group (Whites) for whom it does nothing directly to help and won’t even speak directly about”

    Plenty of iSteve content in this statement.. Perhaps you will show some courage and offer up some meaty NOTICINGS on the eve of Trump’s second inauguration.

    Replies: @Jonathan Mason, @Jonathan Mason

    , @Brutusale
    @Steve Sailer

    I wouldn't worry until the Emperor of Malibu, Larry Ellison, starts to sell his Malibu properties.

    From Brave AI:
    Larry Ellison has been acquiring properties in Malibu for decades, particularly on Carbon Beach, also known as Billionaire’s Beach. He owns at least nine houses on this stretch, which is home to only about 70 private residences. Additionally, he has made numerous other real estate investments in the area, establishing a significant presence that has influenced the local market. Ellison’s property portfolio in Malibu is valued at an estimated $200 to $250 million, reflecting his substantial investments in the area.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking of taking things seriously, as we expected, you chickened out by not offering your own NOTICINGS about Trump’s executive order. Can’t afford literally to go on a limb, eh?

    You claim to be a rule of law and law and order type of guy. Yet, no commentary on this patent affront to these two concepts. My vague impression is you look forward to four fun years of chaos.

    https://www.axios.com/2025/01/21/trump-jan-6-pardons-j6-proud-boys-oath-keepers

    Replies: @Curle, @Mike Tre

    , @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    How about taking these sort of things seriously?

    https://bsky.app/profile/wyden.senate.gov/post/3lgt2ng5xms2o

    Replies: @Curle

    , @Curle
    @Steve Sailer


    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/geffen-settles-malibu-beach-access-130332/
     
    Maybe Geffen didn’t like the place so well after losing his exclusive use of a public beach?

    https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/malibu-public-beach-access/3203933/

  • @Alden
    @YetAnotherAnon

    If you have personally observed Iceland glaciers retreating and becoming smaller due to warmer weather melting the glacier; why do you post a Wikipedia article?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @James B. Shearer, @YetAnotherAnon

    Europeans vacation a lot in Switzerland. They have a lot of family snapshots in their photo albums of Alpine glaciers extending far lower in elevation than they do today. The Alps are in the dead center of the most well-documented place on earth.

    • Replies: @epebble
    @Steve Sailer

    Another interesting side effect is the huge number of people going on sightseeing trip to Antarctica to see the icebergs calving in summer. I had thought going to Antarctica was strictly for scientific minded. Recently, I got an 'invite' that a bunch of my fellow schoolmates are going to Antarctica for 'adventure tourism'. Part of the attraction (besides seeing penguins in their native habitat), was to see the giant icebergs calving. These are dumping trillions of tons of water from above sea level ice into the oceans.

    https://www.asoc.org/learn/antarctic-ice-and-rising-sea-levels/

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    , @Alden
    @Steve Sailer

    So if yet another anon and many Europeans have observed the glaciers melting and shrinking why was it necessary for him to find a Wikipedia article to prove his point????

    Replies: @James B. Shearer

  • @Anonymous
    Lynch belongs in the strange category of Great Director with the Fewest Great Movies.

    Conventionally speaking, a great director made several great films. Or one or two great films and good number of very good ones.

    With Lynch, it's just two that truly stand out: Eraserhead and Mulholland Dr. Some argue for Blue Velvet, the most sensationalist work, but it's still up for debate. Elephant Man is respectable, Straight Story is solid. Dune is a disaster. Wild at Heart is awful, Lost Highway seem a prep for something better. Inland Empire is a mere sketch.

    Still, Eraserhead and Mulholland Dr. are the ones that stand out, so astounding to justify Lynch's place in the pantheon.
    Winning two superbowls count for more than winning a lot of games without winning the ultimate game. Two mountain peaks, twin or not, count for more than smaller peaks or lots of hills.

    Lynch's warped and weird view of things made artistic fulfilment far less likely but then far more rewarding when it happened.
    A hole in one by bouncing a golf ball off a tree is near impossible but then all the more amazing for that very reason.

    And lightning struck twice for Lynch, and those were Zeus-level bolts that changed the way people regarded cinema.

    https://faroutmagazine.co.uk/the-scene-stanley-kubrick-stole-from-david-lynch/

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    What about Twin Peaks?

    I actually haven’t seen much of either the 1990s or the 2010s version (I’m not a big fan of TV), but a lot of people really like both, and they were right about Mulholland Drive being great, so I take them seriously, so that would seem to give him about 3.5 great works. At least three great works wouldn’t put you at the Stanley Kubrick level, but would put you above the George Lucas (American Graffiti and the first Star Wars) level, and being at or above the George Lucas level is a good thing to be. George Lucas was really great, if only for a short time.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Steve Sailer

    Twin Peaks series are TV and doesn't count as cinema.

    Still, they're important to Lynch's reputation as an artist.

    The first Twin Peaks was an aborted project because he went off to do Wild at Heart.
    Maybe Lynch took on that project as a lark with some vague but potent ideas in his head. The fact that he quit halfway suggests he didn't take it too seriously, especially as TV was still to movies as an art form back tehn. It was later that TV overtook movies as the favored format among 'mature' audiences.

    So, while the first Twin Peaks had potential and lots of interesting ideas, Lynch didn't see it through.

    But later, emboldened by the critical and cult success of Mulholland Dr and the emergence of TV as a serious medium(and greater artistic possibilities owing to wider/larger screens and finer resolution), Lynch likely returned to the material with renewed commitment. Also, it took years before Lynch realized how rich the material really was, something that could be mined for real treasure(or plutonium).

    So, what the first Twin Peaks only suggested, the second Twin Peaks fulfilled as it is one of Lynch's finest achievements. But it's not cinema.

    Very Lynch-like, he took a dream into a nightmare, then dragged the dream out of the nightmare, only to end with a nightmare.
    Atomic test in Twin Peaks 2 suggests a crucial turning point in humanity, with history since then being a kind of radioactive fallout, materially and spiritually. A pandora's box that unleashed darkness on the world. In a way, the heroic agent's unconscious role is to restore a piece of the world prior to the Bomb, but you can't home again, just like no amount of dreaming by Diane Selwyn in Mulholland Dr. can restore the world before the murder or make real her fantasies.

    Lucas' American Graffiti is a nice movie and Star Wars as a blast, but they are within conventional expectations. He did very well what had already been established by others. One could make a case for THX 1138, but he didn't follow through on his experimental potential.

    In contrast, Eraserhead and Mulholland Dr aren't merely cases of formulas Lynch did better than others but are uniquely Lynchian, something that wouldn't exist and couldn't have been conceived of without him.

  • @Bardon Kaldian
    A repost

    It is interesting how people differ….

    That’s what I wrote about Twin Peaks, but is more about Lynch.

    Twin Peaks reminds me of another, in my opinion better TV series of the 90’s, Northern Exposure. Both are soaked in the fantasy & the supernatural; but differences are bigger than similarities.

    Northern Exposure is far superior in humor, characterization, wisdom & wealth of cultural references & erudition. Twin Peaks, on the other hand, dwarfs Northern Exposure as uncompromising artistic experiment & in its hallucinatory intensity.

    With Lynch, there was a split between his work & world-view. As a life-long follower of Transcendental Meditation, he may have personally profited (inner peace etc.), but TM remains a shallow doctrine, not comparable to any serious wisdom practice & doctrine. And Lynch himself, as a creative personality, is the polar opposite of TM.

    Strange.

    Lynch was fascinated by style & was good at it. But, there is not much substance in his work. I am not saying he was “shallow”; more likely a creative stylist, so to speak. But not more, I guess. Even a clumsier director like Woody Allen has a world-view which can be articulated; Lynch didn't have one.

    Lynch was a visual artist, in all film & TV genres he worked in- and yet, he didn't possess anything I would call a developed world-view (unlike, say, John Ford or Welles). He was socio-culturally dumb.

    A rootless cosmopolitan, whether one likes it or not. Let me repeat-his work cannot be dissociated, completely, from his life. And he was a lifelong practitioner of Maharishi’s Transcendental Meditation.

    And Lynch has stuck, uncritically, with TM for decades. If I appreciate him as a visual artist/fantasist- how can I take him seriously if he has shown to be so uncritical in one significant matter which colored all his life? Or his attitude towards cultural & historical traditions of his own country?

    I don’t expect filmmakers to be thinkers, but if we discuss Lynch’s case, my position is that he just didn’t have a cognitive ability to see what’s right & what’s wrong re some social, cultural, let alone existential crucial issues.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    My next door neighbor was a regular in “Northern Exposure.”

    • Replies: @Bardon Kaldian
    @Steve Sailer

    Northern Exposure was unique.

    Lynch and NE creators Brand & Falsey have virtually nothing in common.

    Brand & Falsey are (were, I think Falsey died from alcoholism-related diseases) educated intellectuals who have been working in TV industry; Lynch was a genuine filmmaker with little “high & broad” education. Brand & Falsey's vision is, as far as NE is concerned, Joseph Campbell put into a TV show. They both had undergone Esalen Institute experience & they tried, in this series, to merge three different strands: visionary fantasy that owes, probably, something to Castaneda & similar psychedelic authors; satirical-comical comments on American society (for instance, treatment of homosexuality & race); and wisdom married to high culture, having roots in Jung & Joseph Campbell.

    I’ve seen that show 2 times & can vouchsafe that there is nothing similar in the entire history of TV. Where else could you find readings from Dostoevsky, Joe Campbell, Shakespeare, Melville, …; references to Mrs. Sartre (Simone de Beauvoir); Indian shamans in training quoting St. John’s Epistle; experienced Native American shaman trying to locate white people’s Jungian Collective Unconscious; music from Mahler & small talk about Melville, French painter Ingres or Michelangelo in the Sistine chapel, Meister Eckhart etc.

    So, it has nothing to do with Twin Peaks.

    Twin Peaks, and I’ve seen just a part of it- so I am not too qualified to comment- seems to me a typically Lynchean surrealist experiment, superior in imaginative boldness. But- Northern Exposure  characters, even if we include all fantasy trips, are “real”. Most of the characters' dilemmas are convincing human experiences: envy, jealousy, love, aging, illness, snobbery, magnanimity, boredom, …. On the other hand, Twin Peaks' characters & situations are not “real”. They are interesting & frequently impressive, but the entire atmosphere is surrealist & ineluctably a fantasy. There is no high culture content in Twin Peaks; Lynch’s work is that of a professional, master, but- he has no vision of life in Twin Peaks. All supposed Evil is a surrealist play: villains are not villains, psychos are not psychos; victims are not victims.

    Twin Peaks is an orgy of visual mastery combined with low-level plotting. But it is a play to enjoy, not something deeper to absorb.

    Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease

  • @Bardon Kaldian
    @clifford brown

    As well as I know, that was a usual trope in literature in the interwar period. I guess Lynch read a few books in his life. In movies, Carpenter & some others.

    "Dark underbelly" of superficially idyllic provincial life is a cliche in virtually all European films.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @YetAnotherAnon

    Lynch’s obsession with the dark underbelly of life on Earth was more universal: he was obsessed with how ants and similar parasites swarm over anything living that doesn’t defend itself.

    • Replies: @Peter Akuleyev
    @Steve Sailer

    That’s an interesting metaphor for Europe and African/Middle Eastern Immigration. I wonder how Lynch felt about that.

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality, @AnotherDad

  • @Bardon Kaldian
    @Corpse Tooth

    No much difference in dying when you are 78 or 82.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @kaganovitch, @The Anti-Gnostic

    You probably aren’t 77.

    • Replies: @Bardon Kaldian
    @Steve Sailer

    If you are 77 & suffering from terminal illness, and have your legacy & finances sorted out and arranged for a funeral & the rest - you want to die the next day.

    In Lynch's case, it was even more than that. As a practitioner & a believer in Transcendental Meditation, which is a form of diluted neo-Vedanta, Lynch certainly believed that his death would mean just the end of this incarnation & transition to a continued glorified (trans)personal existence in some supra-physical world. For him, it was just a shuffling of this mortal coil.

    I've been initiated into TM & I know how these people view life.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine, "Is Los Angeles Doomed?" Read the whole thing there.
  • @James B. Shearer
    @Cool Daddy Jimbo

    "Not only that, but what did they think they were going to accomplish, besides clogging the stairwells?"

    I expect they thought they were going to put out the fires. And maybe rescue some people. What firemen do.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Run toward the flames.

  • @James B. Shearer
    @Mike Tre

    "Please link to the epidemic of deaths by unaccustomed heavy exertion."

    See here.

    "But with really big snow storms – and even everyday, run-of-the-mill snowfalls – comes a risk of death by shoveling. Nationwide, snow shoveling is responsible for thousands of injuries and as many as 100 deaths each year."

    "So, why so many deaths? Shoveling snow is just another household chore, right?"

    "Not really, says the American Heart Association. While most people won't have a problem, shoveling snow can put some people at risk of heart attack. Sudden exertion, like moving hundreds of pounds of snow after being sedentary for several months, can put a big strain on the heart. Pushing a heavy snow blower also can cause injury."

    "And, there's the cold factor. Cold weather can increase heart rate and blood pressure. It can make blood clot more easily and constrict arteries, which decreases blood supply. This is true even in healthy people. Individuals over the age of 40 or who are relatively inactive should be particularly careful."

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Mike Tre

    Middle aged somewhat overweight guys dropping dead while shoveling snow off their driveways has been a stereotype my whole life.

    Trust stereotypes!

    • Agree: muggles
  • @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Rahuthedotard

    What in Jupiter made David Lynch's view of America resonate with you? The common view of his art:


    Lynch frequently examines the facade of the American Dream, revealing the corruption, decay, and hidden darkness beneath the surface
     
    Say what? A "facade"? America was really some perv's dream?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Jenner Ickham Errican, @Rahuthedotard

    David Lynch, obviously, was a great American artist and a great American patriot.

    He wasn’t to my taste, but that’s to my discredit, not his.

    • Agree: Jim Don Bob
    • Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Steve Sailer


    David Lynch, obviously, was a great American artist and a great American patriot.

     

    Obviously? Okay on the art front, some liked him, and praised him with articles like:

    David Lynch exposed the rot at the heart of American culture (eyeroll)

    If by "great" we mean somebody well known who did unique things, sure, why not.

    I have no idea what makes him a Great Patriot. He did sign a petition in support of director Roman Polanski. Perhaps he sang God Bless America while doing so.

    , @The Spiritual Works of Mercy
    @Steve Sailer


    "I get ideas and I want to put them on film because they thrill me. You may say that people look for meaning in everything, but they don’t. They’ve got life going on around them, but they don’t look for meaning there. They look for meaning when they go to a movie. I don’t know why people expect art to make sense when they accept the fact that life doesn’t make sense." – David Lynch
     
    In contrast to that, James Joyce claimed that every syllable of Finnegan's Wake could be explained. Another contrast is what happens to Gretta Conroy in Joyce's The Dead when she hears The Lass of Aughrim being sung and what happens to Frank Booth in Blue Velvet when he hears Roy Orbison's song In Dreams. There is a difference between being an artist and being someone who slops together characters in a production.

    It is swell of you to say something nice about the deceased, but David Lynch was basically a macabre nihilist, one who certain deluded people like David Foster Wallace mistook for a deeply creative artist. To that you could say, "He didn't care what critics thought about him: he probably wouldn't care what nobodies like you thought of him either."

    To which I would say that I actually don't really care about David Lynch, either.

    Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease, @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine, "Is Los Angeles Doomed?" Read the whole thing there.
  • @Wendy K. Kroy
    Regarding "There Will Be Blood", I couldn't handle how the younger preacher guy was named "William Sunday" and I was like "oh, so this is partly about the early days of Billy Sunday, the athletic revivalist who became a radio star in the 1920s preaching "Muscular Christianity". Then later DDL or somebody calls him "Billy" and I'm all like "yep, right again", and then near the end he says he's started preaching on the radio, which clinches it. And then it turns out he's NOT Billy Sunday. Because nobody under 100 knows who he was any more. And they know nobody else does either. Because they don't know anything, because all they do is thumb on their pimped-out cellphones, because they're simpletons. Why'd you get me started?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Paul Thomas Anderson really needs somebody to collaborate with him on writing his screenplays. For example, the true story behind “There Will Be Blood” of the Doheny family is much more dramatic than the fictionalized story in the movie.

    • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @Steve Sailer

    Yeah, I'm a big Daniel Day-Lewis fan, but There Will Be Blood was a mess of a movie.

  • @anon
    David Lynch is dead. Both the NYTimes and the LATimes glaringly omit his vaccine status.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Maybe his emphysema from 60 years of chain-smoking played a role?

    • LOL: Truth
    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Steve Sailer

    Oh no! He didn't make it to 79!

    , @MEH 0910
    @Steve Sailer

    https://deadline.com/2025/01/david-lynch-dead-twin-peaks-blue-velvet-elephant-man-1236258625/


    David Lynch Dies: ‘Twin Peaks’, ‘Blue Velvet’, ‘Elephant Man’ & ‘Eraserhead’ Visionary Was 78
    January 16, 2025
    [...]
    Lynch had been diagnosed with emphysema. Sources told Deadline that he was forced to relocate from his house due to the Sunset Fire and then took a turn for the worse. In an interview with Sight & Sound magazine last year, Lynch revealed that due to Covid fears and his emphysema diagnosis, he no longer could leave the house, which meant if he directed again, it would be remotely. He then followed up the interview with a post on social that he “will never retire” despite his physical challenges.
     
    , @Je Suis Omar Mateen
    @Steve Sailer

    Weak reply. Shoulda replied "There is no vaccine for AIDS."

    😂


    Or even "But there's no vaccine for gay."

    😂

    Or even "Vaccines hadn't been invented yet."

    😆

    , @Truth
    @Steve Sailer

    Being 78 was probably a not-insignificant factor as well.

    Full disclosure, I am relatively anti-vax.

    , @anon
    @Steve Sailer

    Lynch didn't die until after he quit smoking 2 years ago.

    Replies: @deep anonymous

  • Lots more wind is forecasted for Southern California on Tuesday and part of Wednesday. Probably not as bad as last Tuesday, but still ... What's your prediction?
  • @Anon
    @AnotherDad

    A significant portion of those whose houses burned down are likely to be illegal immigrants. US taxpayers owe them nothing, especially since they were taking jobs and housing from whites. If they apply for anything their citizenship should be investigated.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    In Pacific Palisades? Even in Altadena?

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    It's the drunken illegal from Atladena (go Jose, go Jose, go Jose, go!) 🎵 🎶

    , @epebble
    @Steve Sailer

    Based on "If they apply for anything their citizenship should be investigated", he is probably conflating illegals with immigrants. Any illegal would have to have a lot of hutzpah filling forms needing 28 forms of identifying information before doling out $1. How does 3 past year's 1040 sound like?

  • @The Germ Theory of Disease
    Totally OT, but I finally got to see "Nosferatu" the other day. Very stylish, and very scary -- but the problem is, the scariness is almost entirely due to the style, not to implicit scariness itself. Hmm, it would appear that vampires are spooky-looking, and dwell in spooky old places. Thanks for the insight, I'll be sure to pass it along.

    Viewed as a sort of David-Lynchian fever dream, something you just fall into and let yourself drift around in, it's great and very spooky. But judged as a movie or as an actual story, it makes no sense at all, and it falls apart at the slightest puff of a sneeze. They spent a gazillion bucks on costume design and set design and lighting design, but they sent the story guy home early, before he even had a chance to get respectably drunk.

    The one great thing it does have in spades, is Grotowski. It's wall-to-wall Grotowski, I haven't seen this much of the auld devil in a dog's age. And it works: they really studied, it's really quite good. Nice to see Willem Dafoe up to his old tricks: man, I still remember that cat as a promising young nobody in "L.S.D." having sixteen different flavors of freakout back in the Performing Garage days. Good to know he's still got it in him.

    "What is this........ dancing?"

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Didn’t Grotwoski use to play tight end for the Patriots?

    • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @Steve Sailer

    Just in case you are not joking, it was Rob Gronkowski who played tight end for the Patriots.

    , @MEH 0910
    @Steve Sailer


    Didn’t Grotwoski use to play tight end for the Patriots?
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rob_Gronkowski#2018_season

    [...]
    During Super Bowl LIII against the Los Angeles Rams, Gronkowski finished with 87 receiving yards as the Patriots won 13–3.[191] In the process, he set the record for catches and yards for tight ends in the Super Bowl with 23 catches and 297 yards.[192] Gronkowski's biggest moment came when, with the score tied at 3 in the fourth quarter, he had a 29-yard catch from Tom Brady which took the Patriots to the two-yard line and set up the game's only touchdown, with Sony Michel scoring on a two-yard rush to put the Patriots ahead.[193]
     


    How Gronk Dented the Super Bowl 53 Trophy | Patriots
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=anTA8JlJZkc

    Gronk has certainly left an impression on New England and now a permanent mark on the Super Bowl LIII Trophy. See what went down as the Patriots prepared to throw out the first pitch on Opening Day at Fenway Park.
     

    Replies: @Ron Mexico

    , @Mike Tre
    @Steve Sailer

    You're thinking of Bruce Koskioski, San Fransisco University:

    https://youtu.be/BerJdS2VJhA?si=HkukWjyy-SvD3oIh&t=118

  • @Mike Tre
    @Mr. Anon

    My step-father's cousin bought a bungalow in Santa Monica back in the early 70's for around 30k. He was a bus mechanic for the (then known as) RTD.

    IIRC he sold it in the mid oughts for just over a million. It was tiny house with a tiny yard

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Santa Monica has a lot of tiny lots. It wasn’t a rich place c. 1900. Rich people wanted to live in Pasadena. They feared ocean fogs in Santa Monica would give them tuberculosis.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine, "Is Los Angeles Doomed?" Read the whole thing there.
  • @notbe mk 2
    @ScarletNumber

    Aside from Locusts and Groening's dad, there was a movie in the late seventies or early eighties which featured a loser character called Homer Simpson too but obviously I forgot which and I don't wanna do a long internet search but I though someone might value my memory for useless, unverified facts.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I don’t recall it, but it was probably written by another fan of “Day of the Locust.”

    Is AI good for this kind of search that old fashioned search engines aren’t? With Google or Bing, it’s hard to search for the Homer Simpson character who is not Bart’s dad and not the character in “Day of the Locust.”

    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @Steve Sailer

    A third "Homer Simpson" is not showing up in Wikipedia.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homer_(name)#Fictional_characters


    Fictional characters
    • Homer Simpson, in the animated TV series The Simpsons.
    • Homer Simpson, in the 1939 novel The Day of the Locust and its 1975 film adaptation.
    [...]
     
    , @Voltarde
    @Steve Sailer

    Some suggestions (ymmv):

    ChatGPT-Web: Web Browser By ChatGPT
    I can browse the web to help you gather information or conduct research:
    https://chatgpt.com/g/g-3w1rEXGE0-web-browser

    Use the Gemini web app for in-depth research - Gemini Apps Help
    https://support.google.com/gemini/answer/15719111?hl=en

    Perplexity Pro
    https://www.perplexity.ai/hub/faq/what-is-perplexity-pro

    Sahar Mor on Substack: "A new open-source search engine is rivaling top-tier AI products like Perplexity Pro and ChatGPT-Web. MindSearch is an innovative AI search engine framework that combines LLMs and a multi-agent system to tackle three critical issues that often limit LLM-powered search engines"
    https://substack.com/@saharmor/note/c-84734002

    MindSearch: Mimicking Human Minds Elicits Deep AI Searcher
    https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.20183
    https://github.com/InternLM/MindSearch (You can "try it" if you don't mind using an LLM multi-agent framework for web search that was built in China)

    , @notbe mk 2
    @Steve Sailer

    Dagnabbit! I've been using Google and Bing search since 1951 or '52 or thereabouts (I remember it well 'cause Doris Day was on the radio singing "Que Sera Sera" in a duet with Ike when I did my first Google search (it was called Geegle way back then) on the ole' Univac to answer my query; "are the commies unstoppable?" and it came back with "Da, komradski!") so Google and Bing always been good to me and never let me down yet!

    I don't need no fancy pants, hifaluting, whipper-snappin' AI to tell what can I remember or not!

    Well, OK I tried it once since Mr. Golf Course Architecture Critic recommended it, and guess what that hi tech wonder of an AI said; "Aside from Day of the Locusts and the Simpsons there was no character called Homer Simpson in any film made from 1978 to 1983"

    See!!!...you use AI once and that goddamm thing screws up! Pretty useless wouldn't you say!?

    I mean it's not like I imagined it!-to which your highly-recommended AI suggested "perhaps an unwarranted delusional belief or incipient dementia?" Not only doesn't it know the movies but it acts like a total bastard which deserves a well-aimed boot up its silicon hindmost posterior!

    Look it's obvious there was a third character called Homer Simpson in the moving pictures shows anywhere from 1978 to 1985, we just have to use what made this country great; good old-fashioned elbow grease and find it and not rely on some fly-by-night tech scam which will be gone and forgotten by tomorrow!

    Oh, Ok if someone wants to create an image of the third Homer using AI go ahead just make sure to use the following description:

    Homer Simpson, not a character in the "Day of the Locusts", not a character in "The Simpson", had hair, wore a suit and tie, normal number of arms and legs and fingers, 1978-1985, normal looking and not a cartoon, not Jack Nicholson

    We'll get this solved lickety-split!

    Oh I remembered one more thing; the movie that the third Homer was in was a talkie! (hope that helps).

  • From my movie review in Taki's Magazine of A Complete Unknown: Read the whole thing
  • @Sam Malone
    Maybe 13 years ago I very briefly came into contact in a social setting with a woman in her late 20s who somehow was big into old 60s folk music and a fan of people like Phil Ochs. My first love is old sixties music, primarily rock n roll, but I have some awareness of the folk scene of the time and like a lot of Dylan's stuff. I must have said something like "Oh yeah, I know who Phil Ochs is, I Ain't Marchin' Anymore and all that. And Bob Dylan had a lot of great stuff too for a few years there."

    Well, she told me about Bob Dylan. Obviously I don't know that she wasn't lying, but she had no reason to make it up in private conversation with a nobody, and I had the impression throughout that she was speaking the truth.

    She said that a few years before she was going out for a time with a guy who turned out to be Dylan's...nephew maybe? Or grandson? It was someone who would have been around her age but a direct family member. She had no idea until one day he said, "Hey, you want to meet my uncle (or whatever)? We can go over to his place." So they did. Until that meeting she had been, like most people, a fan of Dylan and as a folkie likely even idolized him.

    Well. The phrases "utter piece of shit", "total piece of shit", and "piece of shit" are the ones I remember her using most often and with most venom. Apparently Dylan was just laying like a lump on the couch, totally unsocial. She tried to tell him how much she loved his music and respected his art and admired him, etc. She said he basically just threw it all back in her face. He muttered that none of what he'd done was real, and more or less said he did it all to pay rent or make money or give people what he knew they wanted to hear so that he could succeed materially.

    I kind of wasn't entirely surprised by that, having already read some other stuff about Dylan that hinted at this. And I didn't entirely blame him for being sick of the fan worship after half a century and wanting to trip people up, and I have an enormous amount of respect for him having the character and ability - right from 1965 on - to turn down and refuse and thwart the waves of intense flattery and adulation that came his way which almost anyone else would have accepted and become addicted to.

    But whatever it was about the first-hand impression of experiencing Dylan in that setting, this girl came away with a burning contempt for him. Anyway, I thought I'd put this down for the record.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Indeed, “Positively Fourth Street” doesn’t sound like it was written by a nice guy.

  • The couple of million people in the San Fernando Valley were nervous yesterday afternoon and evening as the Northeast wind that had been propelling the horrific Palisades fire in normally utopian Pacific Palisades between Malibu and Santa Monica suddenly shifted directions and a new Southwest wind started propelling the flames toward the Valley. But as...
  • @Achmed E. Newman
    It makes complete sense, that fire climbing much more easily than descending those golden hills. The intense heat creates big updrafts, a little weather system, drawing air from below. All a fire needs is there: the fuel is there already, the heat and sparks are (with embers still hot on the way up rather than going out on the way down), and there's that tremendous rush of oxygen. Sucks, no pun intended.

    It's perhaps not fun for you to read about right now, but when trying to burn up this half-rotten stump of a hackberry tree one day, I was getting nowhere, even with gasoline. Then I tried the leaf-blower on it. Man, it sounded like a jet engine when we did that. Alas, now, teenagers don't care about any of that fun. ;-{

    Replies: @Joe Stalin, @Colin Wright, @Steve Sailer, @Mustela Mendax

    • Replies: @Buzz Mohawk
    @Steve Sailer

    I hate those things, especially when I'm driving with the top down!

    , @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    Ha! Why is it that the car insurance companies have some of the funniest commercial campaigns, yet they have absolutely no effect on who I'm getting car insurance from? (A local company for the one nicer vehicle, and Hagerty's for the older less-driven ones. I have no idea if the latter is a good company. The only way to know would be to have a claim, something I'm dead set against ever happening.)

    I LUV that British lizard and I LUV that ostrich, but still, there are a few of us holdouts who don't make financial decisions based on talking animals.

    Replies: @Dmon

  • From my movie review in Taki's Magazine of A Complete Unknown: Read the whole thing
  • @AxeGryndr
    As a musician who has performed a few Dylan songs in my time, one of the unique qualities that Dylan brought into his music was the use of space. In Blowin' In The Wind, he uses a fairly straightforward delivery, and the message is the focus. In Like A Rolling Stone, pregnant pauses punctuate the lyrics, interplaying with melody statements in the music, making for a much more interesting song. He even used this approach in public speaking, although maybe not completely planned. https://youtu.be/k7sFHsw8-_w

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @S Johnson

    Likewise, Sinatra threw in unexpected pauses and then had the windpower to catch up:

    “Don’t you know, little fool, you never can win?
    Why not use your mentality? Step up, wake up to reality”

    • Replies: @Old Virginia
    @Steve Sailer

    That's "phrasing". It distinguishes most great singers from the many that are aided in the studio with tone, editing and layers of background vocals.

    Sinatra, Louis Armstrong, Bing Crosby, Peggy Lee, Rosemary Clooney - each had a powerful voice but didn't rely on it, instead focusing on phrasing. I believe Aretha Franklin was adept at phrasing but usually emphasized vocal power from her experience singing gospel music. Linda Ronstadt may have been limited from such versatility during the years of her greatest popularity by Peter Asher's great skills in making very good hit records.

    , @S Johnson
    @Steve Sailer

    Sinatra invited Dylan to perform “Restless Farewell” at his 80th birthday concert:

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=F44DBpIyAh0&pp=ygUNRHlsYW4gc2luYXRyYQ%3D%3D

  • The couple of million people in the San Fernando Valley were nervous yesterday afternoon and evening as the Northeast wind that had been propelling the horrific Palisades fire in normally utopian Pacific Palisades between Malibu and Santa Monica suddenly shifted directions and a new Southwest wind started propelling the flames toward the Valley. But as...
  • @Buzz Mohawk
    @Jim Don Bob

    Some of the places where I have lived have had volunteer fire departments. All my life. Even in New Jersey we had one during my pre-teen years. Hard to believe, but true. We were in one of those leafy exurbs in Hunterdon County, over half a century ago.

    One day there was an electrical fire inside a wall next to our kitchen. My parents called the fire department, and guess who showed up in the truck? My Little League coaches and team manager. They found the source of the fire and put it out correctly (electrical fire, you see; important.) They were volunteers.

    Where I live now, our ambulance service is volunteer. They have training every year and are always looking for new people -- and donations.

    Our firemen get paid. I meet them every year when I go in for my annual burn permit. (I burn my own piles of branches and brush.) They are very fit, polite, white guys. One year one of them got killed when a tree fell on him while he was responding to a hazard at a power line during a severe storm.

    I agree completely about employees of big departments being way over compensated (based on what I read) but I like our small towns. We really are different, at least some of us.

    Right now, I'm looking at our town budget: Only 8% goes to the entire category of "Health, Social Services, Safety." That includes fire and police and whatever else might be in there. 8%

    66% Goes to the schools -- and they are always asking for more.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    During the Defund the Police movement in 2020, I was surprised to find out that the police don’t actually use up all that much of municipal budgets. I would have thought they make more.

    • Replies: @Corvinus
    @Steve Sailer

    Speaking snout law and order, the rule of law, abd IQ/merit, nary a peep from you about this ongoing confirmation hearings. I take it you’re OK if the incoming administration has a bunch of grifters at the helm.

    —President-elect Donald Trump’s choice of Kash Patel to lead the FBI has set off spasms of alarm among many national security veterans, law enforcement officials and others who have worked with him. The former prosecutor and national security aide appears to have secured the support of at least some key Republican senators, but critics say Patel lacks the record and temperament needed to run the country’s premier law enforcement agency. They point to his lack of experience as well as his history of remarks attacking Trump opponents and threatening to punish perceived foes.—

    Replies: @kaganovitch, @kaganovitch

  • @Pericles
    @AnotherDad


    Steve looks to be doing very, very well with 6000 subscribers. At $100/year my math comes up with more like 600K

     

    Are all of those paying subscribers? If so, enjoy.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Chris Renner

    I would definitely enjoy 600k paying subscribers.

  • @YetAnotherAnon
    @AnotherDad

    I hope

    a) he does well
    b) the IRS and state tax people keep off his back. But I guess he's survived from donations all these years without putting his foot in it/being grilled, though the USG still has six ways to Sunday if someone annoys them. Look at VDare.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I’m extremely forthcoming about taxable income.

  • @AnotherDad
    @Brutusale


    Steve’s just happy that, given the subscription numbers, his annual income approaches $800,000 now. That’s why the noticing here at Dollar Store Steve ranges from the banal to the jejune.
     
    Steve looks to be doing very, very well with 6000 subscribers. At $100/year my math comes up with more like 600K, and then substack is raking off 10-15% of that in commission and various fees. So I'd think more like half a million plus in income. But it would seem that Steve's hit the jackpot there and is doing well--which he deserves.

    Replies: @Pericles, @YetAnotherAnon, @Steve Sailer

    “his annual income approaches $800,000 now”

    Huh?

    • LOL: Moshe Def
    • Replies: @AnotherDad
    @Steve Sailer


    “his annual income approaches $800,000 now”
     
    I didn't write that Brutsdale wrote it, that's why its in a quote box.

    But yeah, my comment above is nonsense as well, because I unthinkingly just multiplied your 6000 subscribers--at least that's what it said somewhere on substack-- by $100. Forgetting that you can subscribe without being a paid subscriber. (I'll get around to sending my $100 in.)

    Replies: @Brutusale, @Twinkie

    , @Colin Wright
    @Steve Sailer


    “his annual income approaches $800,000 now”

    Huh?
     
    Don't act innocent.
    , @kaganovitch
    @Steve Sailer


    “his annual income approaches $800,000 now”

    Huh?
     
    Well, even 10K is 'approaching' 800K, if you are headed in the right direction. As the Good Book says "the race is not to the swift”.
  • @Charlotte
    @Alec Leamas (hard at work)

    Very perceptive comment. When marriage and family is serially delayed, as you put it, not only does the natural decline of fertility take its toll, women find it harder to find acceptable partners at all-and girls aren’t warned about that. On the contrary, TV, movies, books, and celebrity examples all tell them that they’ll be just as hot and desirable at 35 or 40 as they are at 20 or 22. Some years ago now, a mother of an Ivy League daughter published an open letter or blog post warning her daughter that she’d never get a better chance to find a husband than she would while attending college. Naturally there was widespread indignation-how very old fashioned and anti-feminist! Yet it’s true.

    A few of the factors include a shrinking pool of acceptable unmarried/unpartnered males (while men may marry considerably younger women, women generally stick with their own age or older), fewer opportunities to meet partners aside from dating apps that favor the young and hot, declining looks, and (sometimes) a resume/salary that can intimidate or put off potential partners. The latter point is likely getting worse as fewer men and more women get advanced degrees. Finally, the seriously bright aren’t likely to be satisfied with a dull partner, and since there just aren’t that many people on the right hand tail of the bell curve to begin with, they have a harder time than most finding a suitable partner.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Achmed E. Newman

    Movie actresses tend to peak at around age 30 to 35. A surprising number then quit to have kids even though they still have a few years left in their brief primes. I can recall being surprised by how awesome a 40-something Madeleine Stowe was as Mel Gibson’s wife in “We Were Soldiers.” What had happened to her? Why had she disappeared for awhile? I wondered.

    Oh, she took a half decade off, when she was still hot and had finally gotten really good at acting, to have a kid.

    That wasn’t unusual in the early 21st century, although I couldn’t say about today.

    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @Steve Sailer


    That wasn’t unusual in the early 21st century, although I couldn’t say about today.
     
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-14246527/Tom-Holland-reveals-plans-quit-acting-stay-home-dad-Zendaya-decide-children.html
    https://archive.is/Ql6wq

    Tom Holland reveals his plans to quit acting and become a stay-at-home-dad when he and Zendaya decide to have children
    3 January 2025
     

    Tom Holland has revealed his plans to quit acting and become a stay-at-home-dad when he and Zendaya have children.

    The Spider Man actor, 28, has been in a relationship with his co-star Zendaya since 2021 and the pair own a £3million home together in London's leafy Richmond.

    Tom - who also shares two dogs with Zendaya - has now vowed that he will 'disappear' from the spotlight once he has a family of his own.

    The English star revealed he will be content with just spending time with his kids and playing the occasional round of golf.

    He told Men's Health magazine on Thursday: 'When I have kids, you will not see me in movies anymore.

    'Golf and dad - and I will just disappear off the face of the earth.'
     

    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Steve Sailer

    "A surprising number then quit to have kids even though they still have a few years left in their brief primes."

    But ... Hollywood (or music) is still generally a fertility multiplier for males, and a fertility sink for females.

    I worry that Taylor Swift will end up like Kylie Minogue, still attractive in her 50s but childless. Doesn't keep me awake though.

    , @Alec Leamas
    @Steve Sailer

    Do actresses peak in acting ability at that age or do they peak in demand/compensation?

    Before the Harvey Weinstein blow up there was a movement of actresses in their 30s and 40s and after complaining about not getting the good roles anymore, in absolute terms and as compared with make actors of the same ages. Ashley Judd and Geena Davis were making annoying public noises. They want more and better roles centered around 50 something female characters or something.

    I think it's more likely that actresses can get the "big break" much earlier in their careers than male actors. Big Hollywood stars like Clooney, Pitt, and Chris Pratt spent years couch surfing, waiting tables, playing bit parts and acting in television roles before their stardom. But male actors tend to have more longevity in leading men roles, and they get cast opposite much younger actresses.

    The Ashley Judd/Geena Davis position seems hypocritical. No doubt they pushed aside an old gray mare actress when they broke into the industry. Now they're upset that turnabout is fair play.

    I would guess that the roles offered to late 30s and 40s actresses aren't plentiful and don't pay well, so maybe they take that as a sign to make a life change.

    Replies: @Mike Tre

    , @Achmed E. Newman
    @Steve Sailer

    What exactly do the decisions and actions of actresses have to do with real life?

    , @Jim Don Bob
    @Steve Sailer

    Madeleine Stowe was smoking hot in The Last of the Mohicans and in another movie, whose name escapes me, where Richard Drefus as a cop was watching her because her boy friend was a criminal and he fell in love with her.

    Replies: @Nicholas Stix

  • From my movie review in Taki's Magazine of A Complete Unknown: Read the whole thing
  • @MGB
    @S Johnson

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zeaO5UZ5OcI

    damn good songwriting by joni.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    This song is about Joni Mitchell’s love affair with Sam Shepherd, right?

  • @Buzz Mohawk
    @Jack D


    Dylan ran away from his Jewishness.
     
    You're actually missing my point, here on an HBD blog.

    He is genetically Jewish, and he has acted, even as you admit, in a Jewish way.

    Are you telling me that the fact that he was a Jew, acting in Jewish way, was not some part of the reason he got, and has gotten, all the help, the publicity, the claims of "greatness" along the way?

    Bullshit.

    Lots of your fellows have run away from their Jewishness, only to be assisted, as Jews, by other Jews. The music business, like so much of American entertainment and media and the Culture of Critique, is and was heavily Jewish. That is why pretenders and annoying "poets" like Bob Zimmerman became and have become "great" in the minds of so many Americans.

    He is irritating, and his poetry is shallow.

    Let me repeat that: Robert Zimmerman is irritating, and his supposed "poetry" is shallow.

    Big, fucking deal. Gee, I guess his fame must not have anything to do with the fact that he is a chameleon like you, working in a field controlled by his fellow chameleons.

    A whole generation of what younger people here rightfully insult as "boomers" was brainwashed into thinking that a man who cannot sing, who barely writes and only wants to be a rock star, is great.

    Gimmie a break. I honestly think you are incapable of seeing the obvious.

    But no, you can't accuse me of believing in some kind of conspiracy. This is just how the world works. Even if I'm wrong, Bob Dylan's music sucks.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Mike Tre

    There were tons of rock music critics who were Jews, but, overall, Jews weren’t as over-represented in the rock era as in the preceding Great American Songbook era — Berlin, Kern, Gershwin, Arlen, Rodgers & Hart/Hammerstein.

    • Replies: @guest007
    @Steve Sailer

    Would that be due to New York becoming less influential in the music industry versus the live play industry?

    Replies: @J.Ross

    , @MGB
    @Steve Sailer


    There were tons of rock music critics who were Jews, but, overall, Jews weren’t as over-represented in the rock era …
     
    That analysis leaves a bit out. What of managers, producers, studio owners, etc? Take the rap ‘industry’ for example. Admittedly I don’t know much about the various artists, but aside from The Beastie Boys, whose vocals are unlistenable, who are the Jewish rappers, and who are the Jewish managers, producers, record label owners in the industry.

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @Reg Cæsar, @Brutusale

    , @Curle
    @Steve Sailer

    And on the business side of the industry?

    Replies: @Buzz Mohawk

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Steve Sailer

    Hammerstein, like Ethel Merman, Jay Leno, and Donald Trump, had a Scottish mother. (Of these, only Oscar had a Jewish father.) Whether this helped in writing lyrics I can't say-- though Oscar was lauded not for the fireworks of a Hart or a Porter even a Gershwin (Ira, that is), but for ensuring his words were very singable in practice.

    Hammersein worked the normal way with Jerome Kern. But with Rodgers, he would set lyrics to old opera tunes, then hand them to his collaborator. (Or wire them-- he lived on a farmstead in Pennsylvania-- how Scottish is that?)

    Words-first, especially in a genre in which melisma is banned, is a clumsy way to work. The guys in Squeeze do it too, but their lyrics don't always scan. That R&H make it sound natural is testament to their talent and skill.

    Hammerstein's mixed ancestry would explain his interest in unlikely couplings in his shows- Show Boat, South Pacific, The King and I, The Sound of Music. (Before you add that the lead pair in King is Platonic, remember the subplot in which one character--pardon the spoiler-- dies.)

    , @Buzz Mohawk
    @Steve Sailer

    I'll agree with you that "Jews weren’t as over-represented in the rock era as in the preceding Great American Songbook era," but that isn't an argument against my point, which is that Bob Zimmerman did not and has not merited all the accolades and attention he received and has received.

    So why did that happen? Who was involved? I was just wondering why that was and is.

    That's just my opinion, and, as they say, opinions are like assholes, everybody has one.

    I honestly don't know. I'm just wasting my time here after ruining my reputation with you.

  • @Anonymous
    @Prester John

    Julie Taymor did a terribly pretentious musical based on Beatles music. She should have approached it like the makers of Yellow Submarine.

    Someone could do a fun musical based on Dylan's universe of Weirdo Americana on Broadway or Hollywood. Dylan's jumbled imagery of high and low, grave and satirical, could be wonderful material for a musical, even an opera, or rock opera.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I’d go see an “Old Weird America” musical, even though Dylan hated Griel Marcus’s famous characterization of his obsession.

    • Replies: @S Johnson
    @Steve Sailer

    “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs” seems somewhat indebted to John Wesley Harding/Basement Tapes-era Bob, with a little “Lily, Rosemary, and the Jack of Hearts” thrown in:

    And Rosemary on the gallows, she didn’t even blink
    The hanging judge was sober, he hadn’t had a drink
    The only person on the scene missing was the Jack of Hearts

  • @Bardon Kaldian
    @J.Ross

    No, things are more complex. Subud is basically a primitive, one-dimensional version of aspects of Sufism & a new cult. Its "ideology" is similar to Pentecostal Christians. They expect that, during latihan, God's energy or spirit will come down and infuse you, partially changing and spiritualizing your personality..

    J. Godolphin Bennet, a long time pupil of occult guru Gurdjieff was for some time a member of Subud (after Gurdjieff's death), but after some time he decided it was too passive & that it didn't produce lasting effects resulting in one's psycho-spiritual transformation (see Bennet's autobiography "Witness").

    I know a music teacher living in Graz, Austria (by birth a Croatian Serb) who was a "seeker" & had been in the Subud for a short period. He then went on to become a rather cult-oriented member of Surat Shabd Yoga (these are modernized Sikhs, essentially sound-oriented yoga & a type of stifling "spirituality"- for my taste).

    His stories about the Subud period were rather uninspiring, while Bennet's were spectacular.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    I’d never heard of Subud until one of my readers told me about growing up in a Subud commune until his father abandoned it when he was an adolescent. It’s historically pretty interesting but doesn’t seem to have had long-term appeal beyond a brief era.

    • Replies: @S Johnson
    @Steve Sailer

    The somewhat McGuinn-like singer-songwriter Sufjan Stevens was born into a Subud commune and writes spiritual songs celebrating the Great Lakes states with vaguely Christian overtones. He provided music for a previous Chalamet movie:

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6zN98dHSFgQ&pp=ygUidGhlIG15c3Rlcnkgb2YgbG92ZSBzdWZqYW4gc3RldmVucw%3D%3D

    , @Bardon Kaldian
    @Steve Sailer

    Subud was something in the 50s & early 60ies. Then it became a rather small cult (at first, it was not much of a cult, but appealing for inquisitive "seekers", mostly British, similar to Findhorn.)
    Now, it's mostly parochial & dull.

    Subud doesn't have an articulated world-view, psychology, philosophy. Scientology is, in comparison with them, Hegel.

  • @Old Prude
    @G. Poulin

    I was surprised to hear that Dylan wrote a song as cogent and catchy as Wagon Wheel, but when another commenter clarified that Dylan’s only contribution was the words to the chorus it made perfect sense.

    “Rock me, mama like a wagon wheel”. What the hell does that mean? Typical Dylan non sequitur looking for a rhyme. Like “who carried on his shoulder a Siamese cat”

    And this guy won a Nobel prize? Puleeze…

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Jonathan Mason, @Jack D, @Dave Pinsen, @The Germ Theory of Disease, @YetAnotherAnon

    Dylan composed the chorus to Wagon Wheel but didn’t finish the song, perhaps because it sounds a little bit like “The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down” by Dylan’s back-up band, The Band. A quarter of a century later, somebody else composed a fine verse that fits with the chorus and it became a huge country standard, the “Free Bird” of country.

    The lesson I’d draw from this is that other musicians really like Dylan. And that’s what counts in art history: not what critics think, but who influences whom among artists.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @Steve Sailer


    'The lesson I’d draw from this is that other musicians really like Dylan. And that’s what counts in art history: not what critics think, but who influences whom among artists.'
     
    At least when it comes to painting, I don't think that's the case.
    , @Curle
    @Steve Sailer


    And that’s what counts in art history: not what critics think, but who influences whom among artists.
     
    Agree and I’ll add this is the close cousin to the old saying about the Velvet Underground; that they didn’t sell a lot of albums but everyone who bought one started a band.