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Nord Stream, One More Time

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As you’ll recall, the Western media and governments tended to imply in 2022 that the Russians blew up much of their own immensely valuable Nord Stream pipeline economic asset for reasons of malign Russianness that rational Westerners could never begin to understand. Or something.

The popular Russians Did It To Themselves theory never made any sense to me.

More plausibly, many argued that it had to be a giant operation involving the U.S. Navy and the entire United States military-industrial complex, rather like the vast project to assassinate the President described by Donald Sutherland’s character in Oliver Stone’s JFK.

But I leaned toward the Occam’s Razor explanation: having watched a lot of episodes of Lloyd Bridges in Sea Hunt after school in the 1960s, it sounded like the operation could be carried out by a pretty small team on the order of a half dozen competent men and one boat. The single most likely perpetrator of a project of that scale would be the state that currently hates Russia most, Ukraine. I posted two days after the attack:

This operation doesn’t seem all that complicated. For example, you could buy a fishing boat anywhere in the Atlantic and fly in to staff it with your own fishermen and a handful of deep sea divers. You purchase undersea mining explosives somewhere, such as corrupt Belgium where they don’t ask too many questions. Heck, you could go to West Africa if needed. You sail it to the Baltic for the herring harvest. At night, you happen to drift over the pipeline, send your divers down, then move on before dawn. Repeat as needed. A week later when you are back at home, the timers go off.

The budget seems pretty minimal: a couple of million dollars for the boat, a million for supplies, a million for wages, and a million for bonuses.

Any state along the North Atlantic could have pulled this off. But for the noncombatants it would be a sizable escalation and thus a big risk.

There are two combatants: Russia and Ukraine. The suddenly popular argument that Russia blowing up Russia’s own strategic pipeline would be in Russia’s interest seems strained to me. I haven’t heard any terribly skillful arguments for this, which suggests that this came as a big surprise to the anti-Russian coalition.

The argument that it would seem worth the risk to Ukraine, which is fighting for its national survival, seems pretty plausible.

Occam’s Razor points toward Ukraine as the perpetrator.

And, that, is more or less what the German cops discovered quite a few months ago: they found a boat that had been rented by some Ukrainians at the time of the sabotage with residue of undersea explosives. Not many people have been paying attention to these developments. From the Dutch news TV program Nieuwsuur in September 2023:

Never before has there been an attack on European soil with such extensive material damage. The pipelines, which transported Russian gas directly to Germany, cost billions of euros. This is why, for almost a year now, German, Swedish and Danish intelligence and investigation agencies have been trying to find out who was behind the attack. The Dutch military intelligence service MIVD plays a major role in this.

At the centre of the mystery is the Andromeda – a nondescript sailing yacht that caught the attention of the German police. In September of 2022, the vessel was rented for a few weeks by a Polish letterbox company. The official suspicion is that an unknown team of five men and a woman applied explosives to the pipelines, working from the Andromeda at least a week before they exploded.

That theory is further confirmed by the discovery of powder residue on the boat’s table. The residue shows HMX, a powerful explosive used mainly by the military, which works under water. It matches powder residue found on the pipeline.

European media investigations now reveal that 41-year-old Ukrainian businessman Rustem A. is behind the Polish company that paid for the lease of the suspect vessel. Little is known about the Kyiv-based man except that a company of his has been the subject of a money-laundering investigation, and that he is decidedly pro-Ukraine. The German criminal investigation team also has the man in its sights, according to sources. A. and his lawyer refused to answer any questions. A team of journalists visited his home, in the course of which he threatened them.

The booking was allegedly made from the email address of a second person, a 28-year-old man from Mariupol, Ukraine. Copies of two forged passports were sent in with the reservation form. He works for a company providing facility support to the shipping industry. German sources close to the investigation confirm that the Ukrainian is a prominent person of interest, but say they do not know whether the man was used or really involved. The man denies having sent the email.

Now from the Washington Post news section, a joint investigation with Der Spiegel of the Nord Stream pipeline sabotage of 2022.

Ukrainian military officer coordinated Nord Stream pipeline attack

Roman Chervinsky, a colonel in Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces, was integral to the brazen sabotage operation, say people familiar with planning

By Shane Harris and Isabelle Khurshudyan
November 11, 2023 at 1:00 p.m. EST

A senior Ukrainian military officer with deep ties to the country’s intelligence services played a central role in the bombing of the Nord Stream natural gas pipeline last year, according to officials in Ukraine and elsewhere in Europe, as well as other people knowledgeable about the details of the covert operation.

The officer’s role provides the most direct evidence to date tying Ukraine’s military and security leadership to a controversial act of sabotage that has spawned multiple criminal investigations and that U.S. and Western officials have called a dangerous attack on Europe’s energy infrastructure.

Roman Chervinsky, a decorated 48-year-old colonel who served in Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces, was the “coordinator” of the Nord Stream operation, people familiar with his role said, managing logistics and support for a six-person team that rented a sailboat under false identities and used deep-sea diving equipment to place explosive charges on the gas pipelines.

Granted, who knows if Colonel Chervinsky isn’t the fall guy for somebody else within the Ukraine state? Not me. There could well be wheels within wheels about who gets outed to Der Spiegel. Nor do I have any opinion on how high up the knowledge went: Zaluzhny? Zelensky? Blinken? Biden?

But my point is that the scale of the operation has turned out to be similar to what I initially assumed.

The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival.

Which should be a lesson to their allies like the US to keep an eye on them ultra-carefully to keep them from turning their war into a NATO-vs.-Russia shooting war.

Ukraine’s interests aren’t, ultimately, our interests.

 
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  1. But while the Ukraine may have physically done it, I’m virtually certain the US approved it. In fact, that’s the most likely scenario. We held their hand, and they carried it out.

    • Agree: mc23
    • Disagree: Sean
    • Replies: @Corpse Tooth
    @Colin Wright

    But Occam's Razor says the Ukrainians did it all by their lonesome because Lloyd Bridges neutralized a German mine floating around Catalina with his scuba knife. Yes, the U.S. greenlighted the destruction of an important European energy source. The Ukrainians, if it was them, were trained and assisted by Naval SF -- American, British, Norwegian.

    "The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival."

    This is true. But at this point the mostly destroyed Ukrainian Army should make a separate peace with the Russians and go after the Zelenskyy government.

    , @Jack D
    @Colin Wright

    Don't be silly. Any Unzite will tell you that the operation was planned and carried out by the CIA with the assistance of Mossad and those Ukrainian guys that Steve mention with the multisyllabic -sky names are just the fall guys.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    , @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Colin Wright

    There isn't one chance in a billion that six Ukrainian commandos on a sailboat or whatever cockamamie story the CIA propaganda department schemed up did this.

    Also: where is A123 and his hydrate slugs? That is crazy but better than this baloney.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/b5/Banana_Slug-1.jpg

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Achmed E. Newman

    , @Prester John
    @Colin Wright

    Probably.

  2. ‘The argument that it would seem worth the risk to Ukraine, which is fighting for its national survival, seems pretty plausible.’

    The difficulty there is that Ukraine was not fighting for its national survival. Certainly after Russia’s initial lunge collapsed in fiasco, Ukraine’s survival as an independent state was no longer in question.

    • LOL: BB753
    • Replies: @BB753
    @Colin Wright

    Have you been reading the latest reports on the war? Ukraine never stood a chance.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Jack D

  3. But my point is that the scale of the operation has turned out to be similar to what I initially assumed.

    Or their cover story is similar to your theory.

  4. The single most likely perpetrator of a project of that scale would be the state that currently hates Russia most, Ukraine.

    Now you are totally going to lose credibility with Ron Unz. 😉

    • Agree: bomag, Redneck Farmer
    • Replies: @Canute
    @Twinkie

    The State that currently hates Russia the most is Israel. That is why they, with the help of a phalanx of Sayanim in the US DOS, seized control of the Ukrainian government in 2014. They could then send white Ukrainians to die in a war with white Russian soldiers, further reducing the populations of both sides and establishing the permanent foothold of Israel-in-Europe, as Zelensky himself has envisioned in public interviews.

    Replies: @HA

  5. Kudos. I remember your posts. Good call on the men involved and the scale of it. Who ordered it and/or gave the green light? That’s another question.

    • Replies: @Charles Erwin Wilson
    @Achmed E. Newman


    Kudos. I remember your posts. Good call on the men involved and the scale of it. Who ordered it and/or gave the green light?
     
    Biden (okay, the retards that are running the Oval Office).

    Replies: @Inquiring Mind

  6. That’s what I’ve always been thinking & it turns out I was right.

    As far as the JFK assassination goes, I’ve changed my mind – not completely, but significantly. Of course I didn’t buy Stone’s byzantine MIC-Cubans-gays-… plot, but I was inclined, perhaps 80%, to think that Kennedy was killed by some combination of right wingers, spooks & LBJ.

    Now I tend to accept the official version 50%.

    Just, as I said: it doesn’t matter anymore. Considering the demographic, cultural, behavioral …. changes, this iconic cinematic assassination belongs to a bygone era, similar to Prohibition or suffragette movement.

  7. He’s “the fall guy.”

    https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/fall-guy

    fall guy
    noun [ C usually singular ] informal
    US /ˈfɑːl ˌɡaɪ/ UK /ˈfɔːl ˌɡaɪ/
    a person who is falsely blamed for something that has gone wrong, or for a crime that they have not committed:
    The governor was looking for a fall guy to take the blame for the corruption scandal.

    I’d bet the CIA, MI6, and Mossad are responsible.

    By the way, there was ballot measure on abortion, in Ohio.

    Ohio is a bit more conservative than the rest of the country.

    Contrary to popular belief, there’s no significant gender divide on abortion. Men are only slightly less supportive of abortion than women.

    • Agree: Robertson
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Yes. If this really were the Womens Rights issue of advertising legend, men could shut down legal abortion without the other sex's help; female corollary to this is banning pornography.

    Replies: @JohnnyWalker123

  8. Thank goodness we have the CIA’s newspaper to tell us what’s true.

    • LOL: JimDandy, acementhead
    • Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Bill

    I love how Steve has made a career out of showing how the MSM and, particularly, the WaPo and NY Times lie or deceive themselves into believing ridiculous lies about HBD and crime.

    And then Steve turns around and believes everything that those same media people say about other topics.

    My goodness.

    Replies: @Bill

    , @Anonymous
    @Bill


    Thank goodness we have the CIA’s newspaper to tell us what’s true.
     
    Exactly right. For whatever reason, the US government really wanted to distance itself from this. And maybe the German government as well. Maybe they don’t want the German people to know just how rotten their leaders and our leaders really are.
    , @Anonymous
    @Bill

    Of all the problems in the West, the inherent dishonesty and gaslighting by the so-called mainstream media is THE biggest problem. Bringing them to task should be Trump's number one job, should he miraculously win the next election.

  9. Here’s the same narrative but it’s not behind a paywall:

    Investigating the Nord Stream Attack
    All the Evidence Points To Kyiv

    https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/investigating-the-attack-on-nord-stream-all-the-clues-point-toward-kyiv-a-124838c7-992a-4d0e-9894-942d4a665778

    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @Cagey Beast


    Here’s the same narrative but it’s not behind a paywall:
     
    I think you mean this Der Spiegel article:

    Ukrainian Special Forces Officer Allegedly Involved in Nord Stream Attack
    https://www.spiegel.de/international/world/ukrainian-special-forces-officer-allegedly-involved-in-nord-stream-attack-a-52a23ebb-85a4-43c3-b46c-de6cdce68134
    https://archive.ph/LJC87

    Here's an archived link to The Washington Post article:

    Ukrainian military officer coordinated Nord Stream pipeline attack
    https://archive.ph/LJC87

    Replies: @MEH 0910

    , @Chrisnonymous
    @Cagey Beast

    I couldn't read the WaPo article, so thanks for that link. According to this Der Spiegel article, Hersh's story has been proven false. I haven't followed that, so don't know, but I will say that while I initially assumed it was the USA, I was suspicious of Hersh's story because it was entirely based on an anonymous source. If I were the CIA and wanting to cover up Ukraine's involvement in the Nord Stream attack in order to protect support for the war among Europeans, leaking a false story to a respected journalist would be a good way to do it.

    But I remain agnostic.

    The Der Spiegel investigators are relying on lots of what is essentially gossip among European bureaucrats. They have confabulated a story here that doesn't address many of the technical problems such as those brought up by commenters here. When they track down one member of the commando team, they suggest he pulled off this technical dive with diving skills he learned in a youth orgsnization, which is preposterous.

    I think it's interesting that the Der Spiegel article concludes with a review of the theory that the Russians did it and cites Europeans officials who say Russia could have planted all this evidence to frame Ukraine. They give serious ear to this conspiracy theory while never considering that if all the "evidence" pointing to Ukraine cpuld have been planted by Russia, it could have been planted by the USA as well or the Europeans.

    Overall, I just don't see anything convincing pointing one way or another.

    , @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    "All the Evidence Points To Kyiv ..." -- ACCORDING TO RUSSIAN SOURCES

    You forgot that last part but there, I fixed it for you. For example, let's consider one of the so-called "Ukrainian" agents behind this according to the Spiegel article this WP journalist piggy-backed on:


    German investigators in January searched a sailing yacht that may have been used to transport the explosives used in the sabotage. The Federal Prosecutor's Office declined to comment on media reports that a team of five men and one woman were said to have chartered the yacht "Andromeda" in the port of Rostock...The “Spiegel” and the ZDF for their part followed the trail of the “Andromeda”. According to their research, a fake passport used to rent the sailboat leads to a Ukrainian soldier. The charter fee was also paid by a company registered in Poland that had connections to a woman in Kiev.

    However, research by RTL and ntv shows that one of the women named in the company's documents is Russian. After the annexation of the Crimean peninsula by Russia in 2014, she helped to hold elections for the occupiers. According to the Polish commercial register, the woman owns the company that, according to German investigators, is said to have rented the “Andromeda”. (Google-translation of the German original)
     

    So much for all the evidence pointing to Kiev. I.e. this is basic Russian skullduggery, at least as far as the articles go. I'm not saying that Ukrainians were not behind this, or even that they didn't have either explicit or wink-wink approval from the US, but the WP/Spiegel investigation, as it stands, well,... it just doesn't stand up, and the named sources are heavy with TASS/Russian officials, while the unnamed so-called Ukrainian sources who, according to the article are "familiar with how the operation was carried out", do not, as judged from the above quote, hold up to closer inspection either.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

  10. It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential. You have to a total rube at this point to trust official messaging on just about any major foreign or domestic cultural issue at this point, but this was such a pathetic lie that outlets like the NYT and WaPo unblinkingly relayed to the masses.

    • Agree: Mr. Anon, Adam Smith
    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Arclight

    But we can trust them this time.

    , @Rusty Tailgate
    @Arclight


    It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential.
     
    It makes you wonder what else can be blown up with all the legacy media reporting that someone else did it. I bring this up with the 2024 campaign season in mind.

    Replies: @Rusty Tailgate

    , @Dnought
    @Arclight

    Agree, but gosh there sure are a lot of "total rubes" out there. Makes me almost want to get into some kind of bridge-selling business.

    Chesterton wrote something about people who don't believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Arclight, @quewin

    , @quewin
    @Arclight

    Even more absurd was all the hand-wringing over the possibility of Russia ‘using energy as a weapon’ by the EU and US as if ‘standing with Ukraine’ wasn’t a thing.

    Too many people think there are no consequences to their actions.

  11. More plausibly, many argued that it had to be a giant operation involving the U.S. Navy and the entire United States military-industrial complex, rather like the vast project to assassinate the President described by Donald Sutherland’s character in Oliver Stone’s JFK.

    There’s a strawman buried somewhere in that snark.

    It could also be the case that it was a modestly scaled operation that was conducted by the US Government.

    Or by Ukrainians with the aid of the US Government. Or by Ukrainians (and perhaps others) with the US Government looking the other way.

    But the fact that US Government officials, right up to Joey Diapers himself, were predicting the “ending” of Nord Stream (he even said “WE will end it”) and that after the fact officials like Vicki “Cookies” Nuland were praising the sabotage of Nord Stream as a happy occurrence suggest that, at the very least, the US Government was on-board with the plan and approved.

    • Replies: @Abe
    @Mr. Anon


    It could also be the case that it was a modestly scaled operation that was conducted by the US Government.
     
    While this may not have been Steve’s all-time worst take (I guess that dubious honor goes to “2 weeks to flatten the curve, bro”/“2 weeks to crater housing affordability and therefore family formation for an entire generation of young Americans”) this is without doubt the most annoying in its sh!t-eating @ss-clownery .

    As pointed out many, many times, Biden said he was going to blow up NORDSTREAM well before it even happened! Yet somehow we’re to believe “Ukranians” were able to smuggle explosives, deep diving equipment, etc. across multiple international borders unbeknownst to US intelligence which has been so far up Kiev’s @sss the last several years it is effectively the acting government, carry out the operation in heavily-surveilled NATO waters which, oh, just happened to host NATO naval exercises that very summer, and then keep it all a secret until the very moment when Washington is about to wash its hands of the Ukraine fiasco and needs a scapegoat. And, yeah, all of this hot off the presses of the CIA TIMES.

    Replies: @JimDandy

    , @The Anti-Gnostic
    @Mr. Anon

    I don't know anyone who argued it had to be a "giant" operation. It could have easily been a US SEAL team. After all, underwater demolitions are what SEAL teams do.

    300' is a very deep dive; SCUBA won't make it even halfway. It's not like you just hop out of an outboard with SCUBA. So it was either a robotic sub or deep divers who'd need decompression. Does the Ukraine Navy have that independent capability? I tend to doubt it but maybe they do.

    , @Adam Smith
    @Mr. Anon

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dg_v2rTMbMM

    Replies: @MEH 0910

  12. The suddenly popular argument that Russia blowing up Russia’s own strategic pipeline would be in Russia’s interest seems strained to me. I haven’t heard any terribly skillful arguments for this, which suggests that this came as a big surprise to the anti-Russian coalition.

    Insightful comment, but it’s worth remembering this wasn’t just an attack on Russian infrastructure but on German infrastructure too. So, if this is true, the Ukraine committed an act of war against NATO.

    • Replies: @astrolabe
    @Dave Pinsen

    I think the primary purpose of the attack might have been against Germany and surrounding countries, and only secondarily against Russian finances. If the pipeline had been intact, and last winter had been harsh, Germany and Europe might have softened their anti-russian stance in return for Russian gas. Even without the harsh winter, German industry seems to have suffered.

  13. @Arclight
    It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential. You have to a total rube at this point to trust official messaging on just about any major foreign or domestic cultural issue at this point, but this was such a pathetic lie that outlets like the NYT and WaPo unblinkingly relayed to the masses.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Rusty Tailgate, @Dnought, @quewin

    But we can trust them this time.

  14. And maybe Colonel Chervinsky got himself a sweet deal with the CIA/NSA/Mi6/whatever to take the credit. After all, a spook colonel of a losing army will be needing a job. In any case, if it’s from the Washington Post it’s probably a lie.

    -Discard

    • Replies: @kaganovitch
    @Drywall Hammer


    And maybe Colonel Chervinsky got himself a sweet deal with the CIA/NSA/Mi6/whatever to take the credit. After all, a spook colonel of a losing army will be needing a job.
     
    Indeed, and after a few years of living well he can acquire a paunch, change his name to Vindman and he too can presume to dictate foreign policy to the President of the USA
  15. You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine. The “Russia might have done it” line struck me as mostly non-serious trolling by Ukrainian partisans, similar to the Ukrainian policy of never taking responsibility for drone attacks on targets in Russia proper, and the Russian policy of pretending its cruise missile strikes on Ukrainian targets were all Ukrainian misfires or frame jobs.

    • Replies: @Harry Baldwin
    @Pixo

    Where's Lt. Michael Byrd when we need him?

    Replies: @Old Prude

    , @Anonymous
    @Pixo

    I don't support Hamas, but that guy's username is ironically (or not) a good example of how dehumanizing weaker/less civilized peoples leads to great evil.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cromwellian_conquest_of_Ireland

    Replies: @Pixo, @YetAnotherAnon

    , @Anonymous
    @Pixo

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine.

    There's no way the attack happened without the approval of the US. It was just too big. You don't just do that on your own. Some small act of sabotage, okay.

    But this was HUGE.

    It got greenlit by US.

    , @Stan Adams
    @Pixo


    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.
     
    Like Steve said, the mainstream media outlets dutifully repeated administration talking points implying that Russia *might* have done it:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DCOb_Ubp3Yw

    Those same outlets ignored Seymour Hersh's report that the U.S. was the culprit.
    , @MEH 0910
    @Pixo


    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.
     
    September 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112115215/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia/

    European leaders blame Russian ‘sabotage’ after Nord Stream explosions
     
    December 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112114914/https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/21/russia-nord-stream-explosions/

    No conclusive evidence Russia is behind Nord Stream attack
    World leaders were quick to blame Moscow for explosions along the undersea natural gas pipelines. But some Western officials now doubt the Kremlin was responsible.
     

    Replies: @Pixo, @JimDandy

  16. @Pixo
    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine. The “Russia might have done it” line struck me as mostly non-serious trolling by Ukrainian partisans, similar to the Ukrainian policy of never taking responsibility for drone attacks on targets in Russia proper, and the Russian policy of pretending its cruise missile strikes on Ukrainian targets were all Ukrainian misfires or frame jobs.

    https://twitter.com/Lorlordylor/status/1723453299826078206

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin, @Anonymous, @Anonymous, @Stan Adams, @MEH 0910

    Where’s Lt. Michael Byrd when we need him?

    • Replies: @Old Prude
    @Harry Baldwin

    LOL, but Tyrd, I mean Byrd doesn't have the stones to confront anyone but harmless girls. Not that he even confronted Ashli. What a P.O.S.

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin

  17. Roman Chervinsky, a colonel in Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces

    Is Chervinsky Jewish?

    Is it true that Slavic names that end in -ski are Christian and those ending in -sky are Jewish?

    • Replies: @Ripple Earthdevil
    @Anonymous

    Not necessarily. -ski is Polish and -sky is Russian, transliterated from the Cyrillic alphabet.

    Incidentally, the feminine versions are -ska and -skaya, respectively.

    , @Jack D
    @Anonymous

    You figured 0ut the secret. You must have an IQ of 2000 to make this brilliant discovery.

    Roman Polanski - not Jewish

    Igor Sikorsky - Jewish

    Now that you know the secret Mossad will have to kill you.

    Replies: @Brutusale

  18. Anonymous[160] • Disclaimer says:

    Only a submarine containing the specialized equipment needed for a team of saturation divers, and a team of the said saturation divers could possibly have pulled off that stunt.
    Only the US Navy has that sort of capability.

    Saturation diving is the technique used to enable divers to cope with the extreme pressures of the deep sea, in which the diver is forced to breath heliox at pressures many times atmospheric. Also, hot water, supplied by the means of an ‘umbilical’ which also delivers the heliox and Comms, is needed for survival in the icy waters of the Baltic. The hot water freely circulates within the dive suit.

    • Agree: Muggles, Harry Baldwin
    • Replies: @Shale boi
    @Anonymous

    I haven't studied it in detail and never operated near there, but I'm VERY skeptical of a US submarine having done this mission. The Danish Straits are too shallow to drive through submerged, even at PD .

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baltimax

    And there's too much shipping and too narrow a channel to safely transit at PD without having a collision even if you had the draft, which you don't. And if you collide at PD...it's automatically the sub's fault...and you're going slow, so it's hard to avoid people...it's just a total mess).

    And there's too much detection risk if you do the transit surfaced. It's a very busy area and you need to stay in the channel even surfaced...so driving through with the lights out would be insane and you'd get detected by a gazillion other ships radars, who would then ask you on the bridge to bridge what the heck you were doing.

    I haven't operated there or studied it in depth but neither have you. Everyone I see pushing this on the Internet is a hoi polloi commenter. Get the detailed bathy charts at least (you'll have to buy them). And it's the Straits that are the concern, not the dive area.

    I'm also pretty skeptical of a dive from a sailing yacht also. Too much roll, no crane, not enough space, etc. etc. A fishing vessel or merchantman or even surface combatant would be way easier.

    Replies: @Rich23

    , @Gordo
    @Anonymous


    Only the US Navy has that sort of capability.
     
    Negatory good buddy, the Royal Navy can’t stop ‘migrants’ crossing the English Channel but they certainly also have that sort of capacity.
    , @ThreeCranes
    @Anonymous

    No manned sub or hi-tech divers necessary. The charges were placed by a robotic submersible and detonated after it had skedaddled.

    , @Rich23
    @Anonymous

    Triox?
    When Sailer says "they just dropped down" from a "rented sailboat", his stupidity shown right thru.


    "Dropped down"....

    Jesus

  19. @Pixo
    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine. The “Russia might have done it” line struck me as mostly non-serious trolling by Ukrainian partisans, similar to the Ukrainian policy of never taking responsibility for drone attacks on targets in Russia proper, and the Russian policy of pretending its cruise missile strikes on Ukrainian targets were all Ukrainian misfires or frame jobs.

    https://twitter.com/Lorlordylor/status/1723453299826078206

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin, @Anonymous, @Anonymous, @Stan Adams, @MEH 0910

    I don’t support Hamas, but that guy’s username is ironically (or not) a good example of how dehumanizing weaker/less civilized peoples leads to great evil.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cromwellian_conquest_of_Ireland

    • Agree: Cagey Beast
    • Replies: @Pixo
    @Anonymous

    Sir Michael, an Irish papist has infiltrated our chamber!

    https://www.factinate.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Screenshot-from-2018-11-21-16-09-00.png

    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Anonymous

    While there's no doubt that Cromwell's religious beliefs were instrumental in some major atrocities, I would not rely on Wikipedia for anything politically contentious, a subject that very much includes English/Irish relations.

    A better judge might be Churchill, himself no stranger to the killing of innocents. His words are pretty apposite today, as the destroyers of Iraq and Libya place their wreaths at the Cenotaph in London, alongside the "no Gaza ceasefire" figures of our Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition.


    In another letter to Speaker Lenthall he (Cromwell) gave further details. “Divers of the Enemy retreated into the Mill-Mount: a place very strong and of difficult access. . . . The Governor, Sir Arthur Ashton, and divers considerable Officers being there, our men getting up to them, were ordered by me to put them all to the sword. And indeed, being in the heat of action, I forbade them to spare any that were in arms in the Town: and, I think, that night they put to the sword about 2000 men; —divers of the officers and soldiers being fled over the Bridge into the other part of the Town, where about 100 of them possessed St Peter’s Church-steeple... These being summoned to yield to mercy, refused. Whereupon I ordered the steeple of St Peter’s Church to be fired, when one of them was heard to say in the midst of the flames, ‘God damn me, God confound me; I burn, I burn.’ ”

    “I am persuaded,” Cromwell added, ‘‘that this is a righteous judgment of God upon these barbarous wretches, who have imbrued their hands in so much innocent blood.” A similar atrocity was perpetrated a few weeks later at the storm of Wexford.

    In the safe and comfortable days of Queen Victoria...men thought such scenes were gone for ever...

    The twentieth century has sharply recalled its intellectuals from such vain indulgences. We have seen the technique of ‘‘frightfulness” applied in our own time with Cromwellian brutality and upon a far larger scale... It is necessary to recur to the simpler principle that the wholesale slaughter of unarmed or disarmed men marks with a mordant and eternal brand the memory of conquerors, however they may have prospered.
     

  20. It couldn’t have been done without NATO (i.e. U.S.) complicity in the action and the coverup. The U.S. either did it or knew who did it. The interesting thing about the article is the U.S. is preparing to throw Ukraine under the bus. Kissinger-“To be an enemy of America is dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”

  21. Last month in The Washington Post:

    https://web.archive.org/web/20231024035333/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/10/23/ukraine-cia-shadow-war-russia/

  22. say people familiar with planning

    Ah, yes, people familiar with planning. “as well as other people”

    And this means it wasn’t, ultimately, a U.S./U.S. intelligence operation, because people said something. And those Ukrainian assassination operations in Russia… weren’t they recently confirmed to be, ultimately, CIA ops? Nevermind.

  23. It could very well have been carried out by Ukranians, but with the blessing and support of US/Nato. Germany was probably told, but their government being the most obedient trained poodles in Europe, just kept their mouths shut, even though they’re the ones who suffered the most from the outcome.

    • Replies: @JimDandy
    @Joe Paluka

    but with the blessing and support of US/Nato.

    The creators, funders, trainers, and facilitators of the plan most likely gave their blessing and support, yeah.

  24. if the deed was carried out by Ukrainians, it would have only been possible with the hand of US-UK agencies aiding them every step of the way.

  25. The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival.

    They wouldn’t be “fighting for survival if they weren’t stupid enough to believe the political filth in the West.

  26. @Pixo
    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine. The “Russia might have done it” line struck me as mostly non-serious trolling by Ukrainian partisans, similar to the Ukrainian policy of never taking responsibility for drone attacks on targets in Russia proper, and the Russian policy of pretending its cruise missile strikes on Ukrainian targets were all Ukrainian misfires or frame jobs.

    https://twitter.com/Lorlordylor/status/1723453299826078206

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin, @Anonymous, @Anonymous, @Stan Adams, @MEH 0910

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine.

    There’s no way the attack happened without the approval of the US. It was just too big. You don’t just do that on your own. Some small act of sabotage, okay.

    But this was HUGE.

    It got greenlit by US.

  27. This is pretty interesting.

    • Replies: @Almost Missouri
    @JohnnyWalker123

    So if I'm reading this right, the future of Australia is Jews, blacks, and the Taliban?

    Australia gonna be lit!

  28. @Arclight
    It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential. You have to a total rube at this point to trust official messaging on just about any major foreign or domestic cultural issue at this point, but this was such a pathetic lie that outlets like the NYT and WaPo unblinkingly relayed to the masses.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Rusty Tailgate, @Dnought, @quewin

    It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential.

    It makes you wonder what else can be blown up with all the legacy media reporting that someone else did it. I bring this up with the 2024 campaign season in mind.

    • Replies: @Rusty Tailgate
    @Rusty Tailgate

    I hasten to add that I mean the bad guys would do the blowing up, not the good guys.

  29. Come on man, you can hardly rule out the corrupt and evil US government. Sure, some Ukes might have done the actual dirty work, but don’t tell me the dirtbag government here wasn’t involved.

  30. Also in the WaPo, the CIA front clearly gets the knives out for Biden.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/09/fbi-biden-golf-club-membership-probe/?utm_campaign=wp_post_most&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl_most

    Leading to this nice summary on Zerohedge.

    The Biden-Du Pont Nexus: From A Prestigious Golf Club To A Controversial Child Rape Plea Deal

    The word seems to be out : Pedo Joe has got to go.

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @Bill Jones

    > the CIA front clearly gets the knives out for Biden.

    In The Tide Is Turning (good news for Gavin) Department, below the fold is yesterday's tweet from liberal Wall St. billionaire, Anti-semitism foe, and heavyweight political contributor Bill Ackman.

    I didn't read the whole thing; the tl;dr is

    Senile Joe has to go.

    Is this one of the catalysts for the NYT, Lester Holt, Ivy League sachems, the WaPo, et al. to suddenly be shocked, shocked! to discover gambling is going on at Rick's?

    https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1723457121449124019

    Replies: @Dmon

    , @Brutusale
    @Bill Jones

    Unsurprisingly, it seems that the late, sainted Beau Biden was as big a piece of shyte as the rest of the family.

  31. Nah, the smoking gun points to Britain, in the form of the text message from Truss to Blinken: “it’s done.” Was she talking about her pot roast? And why was she booted out of office soon after this happened?

    The single most likely perpetrator of a project of that scale would be the state that currently hates Russia most

    That state would be the UK.

    • Agree: acementhead
    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @Bragadocious


    Nah, the smoking gun points to Britain
     
    None of the options are mutually exclusive, it could easily have been a joint CIA/MI6/Uke operation.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

  32. Lloyd Bridges? Flipper did it!

    Are Ukrainians fighting for survival or their sovereignty? I guess after Stalin and Hitler, they assume there’s no difference.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Ralph L

    Considering that both Lenin and Stalin were ultimately responsible for carving out Ukraine in its present form out of traditionally Russian territories, I find your statement to be quite ignorant.

  33. Ctrl-F Gell-Mann

    No hits.

    Hm.

  34. INDEPENDENT VIDEO EVIDENCE CONFIRMS KEY PART OF SY HERSH’S REPORT ON THE ATTACK ON NORD STREAM 2
    8 February 2023 by Larry Johnson

    https://sonar21.com/independent-evidence-confirms-key-part-of-sy-hershs-report-on-the-attack-on-nord-stream-2/

    • Thanks: PhysicistDave
  35. Nuts.
    1. Sy Hersh says he knows it was US and no one but US or perhaps UK or Russia could have done this.
    Sy is always accused of getting it wrong – he always has got it right though.
    2. Ukraine has always been 3 wars:
    a) civil war W on E Ukraine
    b) Cold war reheated nato/US vs Russia
    c) Economic war US vs China (aka US vs Germany)

    The Economic war is the big part, it is making sure that When China Block splits with US Block, then Europe never trades with China or Russia again. As a bonus US gets to sell its expensive gas to Germany and Germany transfers its energy intensive industry to US where gas is going to be cheaper.

    The Economic war is going very wrong for US, pretty much all the Rest of the world except Europe, Canada, Australia and Japan hates it, and Israel is making this rapidly much worse.

    Blowing up NS2 was entirely about the economic war. There is zero interest in it for Ukraine. 100% interest for USA.

    Ukraine is done – they just ran out of men – about 450k dead, a bit more wounded. Not much more than 100k still in service. It is not that US tired of supplying Ukraine with weapons, it is just that US ran out of weapons about the same time that Ukraine ran out of men (sending women now, a pregnant woman in Uniform surrendered recently).

    So now is clear up time. WaPo and Der Spiegel is perfect. Both work closely for CIA. Post Ukraine some German Business men are going to be pretty furious when they realise just how the war was used to steal industries from Germany by blocking the cheap gas. This cover up is high priority now.

    • Agree: Bumpkin
  36. I thought about this at the time. The problem that nagged at me is that of “keeping station” – that is, keeping the boat in the exact same spot while the divers are down. (That way, after the divers accomplish their mission, they come up to the surface, and there you are.) Unless there is absolutely no current and no wind, keeping station requires considerable skill, experience, and coordination amongst actual mariners on the boat. Think of it as balancing a pencil on its point – – well, at least on its eraser. (A “pencil” is…oh never mind..) I remember deciding it might be doable if there existed considerable skill in lowering and then retrieving an unusually deep anchor, or, using GPS. In any case it’s not something just any dude could have done, using tattoos as his credentials. I know a little about this, but not a lot, so perhaps somebody who knows a lot can correct me.

    • Replies: @TontoBubbaGoldstein
    @SafeNow

    GPS and a reasonably competent helmsman or autopilot would suffice in most conditions.

    , @Shale boi
    @SafeNow

    It's not hard. You just drop a weight to the bottom, attached to a rope, with a buoy on the top. This is standard diving practice.

    The main issue is actually the divers wandering around and getting lost, not the boat. But they go up and down the rope, including decompression rest stops. They just stay next to the rope.

    The surface craft just stays in visual range of the buoy, small offset so you don't drive on top of people. Very easy. Especially for ships with thrusters like amphibs (USS Kearsage) or even tugboats! But even a frigate or the like could manage it, just a bit more shiphandling.

    , @Bill P
    @SafeNow

    Any halfway competent skiff pilot could maintain position to within less than 50 meters with a gps+compass.

  37. @Pixo
    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine. The “Russia might have done it” line struck me as mostly non-serious trolling by Ukrainian partisans, similar to the Ukrainian policy of never taking responsibility for drone attacks on targets in Russia proper, and the Russian policy of pretending its cruise missile strikes on Ukrainian targets were all Ukrainian misfires or frame jobs.

    https://twitter.com/Lorlordylor/status/1723453299826078206

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin, @Anonymous, @Anonymous, @Stan Adams, @MEH 0910

    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    Like Steve said, the mainstream media outlets dutifully repeated administration talking points implying that Russia *might* have done it:

    Those same outlets ignored Seymour Hersh’s report that the U.S. was the culprit.

  38. The depth of the pipeline – around 300 ft of water – makes it a technically challenging target for surface divers. It’s far beyond the range of most normal scuba divers. Standard recreational scuba divers max out at 60 feet of depth, and even specialized civilian deep divers stop at 130 ft. It’s a very select group of military and oil-rig divers, usually operating at long-term saturation, who will go to 300 ft of depth. I think it’s a very open question whether Ukraine had the specialized skills to pull it off.

    I agree with the overall point that you don’t need a cast of thousands to do this, but I lean towards the view that Ukraine “borrowed” a half-dozen high-end frogmen from the U.S. or UK or some other top-drawer organization to help with the deep diving here.

    • Replies: @Ben Kurtz
    @Ben Kurtz

    And to be clear, this could have been a bell-bounce job, not a saturation dive, but it's the same very small community of military and oilfield divers who use these ultra-deep techniques and possess the specialized equipment to pull off these depths. These guys are mainly American and NW Euro.

    , @Dnought
    @Ben Kurtz

    Used to have a friend who was an diver for the U.S. Navy around the end of the Cold War. Graduated from EOD dive school, knew underwater demolitions well, etc. At one point he told me that during happier US/Russia times (remember, this was right after the Cold War ended) his unit had a joint meetup/training with an equivalent Spetznaz unit (hard to imagine something like that happening now, eh?).

    Talking to him I got the impression he was highly impressed with the Russians' knowledge, skills and toughness. I figure that it's not inconceivable that before the Cold War ended, that unit also had some Ukrainians in the ranks, who afterward made their way back to their newly independent homeland and joined it's armed forces, bringing their institutional knowledge and skills with them; knowledge and skills that have been passed down to the present day in the Ukrainian military.

    So I think it's possible the personnel are there in Ukraine who could carry out such a mission-but I think the logistics and access to specialized equipment (and geographical access) would have been impossible without the explicit help of NATO.

    I still think it's very unlikely the Ukrainians carried out this sabotage, though. I think Hersh's scenario is much more likely. That's the real Occam's Razor, not a "Ukrainians did it" scenario, which is the long way around the block, IMHO.

    Replies: @JosephD, @Ben Kurtz

  39. @Joe Paluka
    It could very well have been carried out by Ukranians, but with the blessing and support of US/Nato. Germany was probably told, but their government being the most obedient trained poodles in Europe, just kept their mouths shut, even though they're the ones who suffered the most from the outcome.

    Replies: @JimDandy

    but with the blessing and support of US/Nato.

    The creators, funders, trainers, and facilitators of the plan most likely gave their blessing and support, yeah.

  40. @Ben Kurtz
    The depth of the pipeline - around 300 ft of water - makes it a technically challenging target for surface divers. It's far beyond the range of most normal scuba divers. Standard recreational scuba divers max out at 60 feet of depth, and even specialized civilian deep divers stop at 130 ft. It's a very select group of military and oil-rig divers, usually operating at long-term saturation, who will go to 300 ft of depth. I think it's a very open question whether Ukraine had the specialized skills to pull it off.

    I agree with the overall point that you don't need a cast of thousands to do this, but I lean towards the view that Ukraine "borrowed" a half-dozen high-end frogmen from the U.S. or UK or some other top-drawer organization to help with the deep diving here.

    Replies: @Ben Kurtz, @Dnought

    And to be clear, this could have been a bell-bounce job, not a saturation dive, but it’s the same very small community of military and oilfield divers who use these ultra-deep techniques and possess the specialized equipment to pull off these depths. These guys are mainly American and NW Euro.

  41. Interesting take, but, in the interests of balancing the scales and discerning if indeed Ukraine acted alone regarding nixing the pipelines.

    https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream

    Don’t know if the dude is a nutjob poster…perhaps Mr. Unz can enlighten us who exactly this Hersh dude is. From his Feb. 22, 2023 article ‘Seymour Hersh: Standing Tall in a Sea of Lies’

    “With a Pulitzer Prize and five George Polk awards, Hersh certainly ranks as one of the most renowned reporters of the last half-century, known for breaking the stories of the My Lai Massacre, the Abu Ghraib prison, and other landmarks of investigative journalism.”

    Oh, THAT Seymour Hersh. Then he actually has some journalistic credibilty, integrity, and has done indepth investigative journalism before? Never would’ve known from the way the MSM hasn’t given him any recent attention. Whadya know. So basically, interviewing CIA and other Deep State members with knowledge of the identity of who took out the pipelines and what conclusion did Hersh come to?

    https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream

    So one of the leading US journalists of the last half century reached his conclusion while investigating the matter, and his journalistic experience leads him to the conclusion that it was the US that’s behind it? OMG.

    What’s Mr. Unz opinion?

    “But while there had been a great deal of informed speculation, Hersh has now provided a detailed narrative of exactly what transpired, including the allegation that the Biden Administration had employed questionable legalisms to avoid informing our Congressional Intelligence committees of the operation as was required by law. If Hersh is correct, our top government leaders may be in serious legal jeopardy.” — https://www.unz.com/runz/standing-upright-amid-a-sea-of-lies/

    Steve.

    • Replies: @Harry Baldwin
    @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    If Hersh is correct, our top government leaders may be in serious legal jeopardy.

    Oh, come on--they're Democrats. Serious legal jeopardy is not something that worries top-level Democrats.

  42. Occam’s Razor says “Generally, the simplest explanation is preferred.”

    But how is it the simpler explanation for a Ukrainian colonel to independently create a plan that happens to fit U.S. long-term strategic objectives and Biden’s explicit threats, get time off work from the Ukraine Army, get explosives and deep diving gear, get the funding, recruit six friends, travel abroad, anchor on top of a sensitive piece of infra-structure, and then set the explosives hundreds of feet deep on the pipeline itself without getting observed by the U.S. Navy, or any of the other six naval forces in the area?

    Wouldn’t it involve fewer contingent variables for Biden to simply tell the CIA to do it? And for the CIA and our Kiev puppets to then frame some poor Ukie schmuck after Seymore Hersh broke the actual story?

    I think someone needs to take Occam’s Razor away from Steve, before he cuts himself.

    • Thanks: Bumpkin, Hail
    • LOL: Abe
    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @Hypnotoad666


    'I think someone needs to take Occam’s Razor away from Steve, before he cuts himself.'
     
    I think Steve shies away from the obvious conclusion: that we were implicated.

    Even if the Ukrainians somehow did it independently, they almost certainly checked with us first. For them to do this off their own bat would have been close to suicidal. What if we (or the EU) had decided we weren't happy about it?

    , @Corpse Tooth
    @Hypnotoad666

    Steve and Occam have booked the Castle for their June wedding.

    , @Anonymous
    @Hypnotoad666

    You know, Ukrainians aren't retards. The sabotage--not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying--wouldn't be any more difficult for them than for the US. Nor has the CIA actually tended to be a smoothly functioning decisive organization regarding these things. So Steve is right: Occum's Razor points to Ukraine which doesn't include your additional "framing" step (a harder step than the actual sabotage.) I think you guys are confused by a different heuristic, the "blame the US/Jews" heuristic.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @OK Boomer

  43. I also recall the Sea Hunt TV show but they were warm water divers in the 50s.

    While the Germans/Ukes/US may want to promote the Seaborne Band of Brothers theory, from what I have read about the Baltic and undersea pipeline conditions the Seymour Hersh version still seems most likely.

    Also considering how quickly this illegal sabotage of a supposed NATO allied country’s infrastructure disappeared down the Narrative Media memory hole, the new theory seems pretty weak and convenient.

    The Uke Sea Hunt theory isn’t impossible, just unlikely.

    If we are alive in 20 years, maybe we’ll learn the truth.

  44. @Bill
    Thank goodness we have the CIA's newspaper to tell us what's true.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country, @Anonymous, @Anonymous

    I love how Steve has made a career out of showing how the MSM and, particularly, the WaPo and NY Times lie or deceive themselves into believing ridiculous lies about HBD and crime.

    And then Steve turns around and believes everything that those same media people say about other topics.

    My goodness.

    • Replies: @Bill
    @Citizen of a Silly Country

    Agree, and it's not just Steve. It's a characteristic of GOP supporters generally. They are firmly convinced that the media lie pretty much continuously about Republicans and their characteristic domestic issues. On the other hand, they are also firmly convinced that the lying stops at the water's edge.

    It's not that mysterious why they think this, though. Politics is all about tribal affiliation for virtually everyone. Republican and Democrat elites more or less agree on foreign policy, so there's no tribal reason to dissent from the media line here.

    You have to get way out on the right or left to get significant foreign policy dissent.

  45. The Washington Post’s credibility on any serious foreign policy matter is highly suspect: it’s a de facto agency of the U.S. Intelligence State, our unconstitutional fourth and most powerful branch of the federal government.

    In 2011, it was estimated that about half of Ukrainians have relatives in Russia, and there are now 5 million Ukrainian refugees in Russia seeking shelter from the Kiev regime. What you describe as “the state that currently hates Russia most” is better described as an illegitimate regime that the U.S. UniParty installed in 2014 after the violent overthrow of the democratically elected government of the Ukraine. In the 2014 coup, the illegitimate regime’s shock troops were neo-Nazi thugs funded by a handful of corrupt Ukrainian oligarchs. Since 2014 the Kiev regime has received hundreds of billions of dollars of funding and weaponry from the U.S. and the EU to brainwash Ukrainians to “hate Russia most”, and as a result, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians have needlessly died in the current conflict.

    Long before February 2022 the U.S. UniParty has tried to prevent the EU from benefiting from affordable, relatively clean natural gas supplies from Russia delivered by increased capacity via the NordStream II pipeline. Everyone knows who funded last year’s pipeline attacks (the U.S.), who authorized it (the U.S.); who provided the ISR for it and planned it (the U.S., with plausible deniability), and who benefited from it: the U.S. (LNG supplier), Norway (increased EU gas market share), and Poland (newly built LNG infrastructure). There are several countries’ governments that also know the answers to other questions of lesser importance: who carried it out (U.S., U.K., Poles, Ukrainians, or all of the above?), how they did it, and the available evidence.

    The most important question for people living in ostensibly democratic western nations is this: Why are western governments unwilling to tell the truth to their own citizens about the NordStream pipeline bombings–a flagrant act of war against Germany (and hence NATO!) as well as Russia? Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s silence on this matter is a betrayal of the German state and people.

    • Replies: @Dieter Kief
    @Voltarde

    Olaf Scholz about the rasons he can't say more about the Nort Stream explosions: Because we don't know.

    The Norwegians who had done an official investigation about their reasons, why they could not go public with their findings: This would touch security interests.

    Jeff Sachs about the reasosn he thinks the blow-up was a US backed covert operation: Because the evidence we have is strongly going in this direction.

  46. The Ukraine is going to be a source of embittered dead-enders with a sense of betrayal and US taxpayer-funded weapons. Plus some of them have that weird ersatz viking pagan death cult hobby.

    Well done, DC.

  47. If the US did blow up Nord Stream we can expect at least a decade of denials and, ironically, gaslighting. Eventually people in Washington will happily admit it and act like it’s either the funniest or most righteous thing ever.

    • Agree: Almost Missouri
  48. @Cagey Beast
    Here's the same narrative but it's not behind a paywall:

    Investigating the Nord Stream Attack
    All the Evidence Points To Kyiv

    https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/investigating-the-attack-on-nord-stream-all-the-clues-point-toward-kyiv-a-124838c7-992a-4d0e-9894-942d4a665778

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Chrisnonymous, @HA

    Here’s the same narrative but it’s not behind a paywall:

    I think you mean this Der Spiegel article:

    Ukrainian Special Forces Officer Allegedly Involved in Nord Stream Attack
    https://www.spiegel.de/international/world/ukrainian-special-forces-officer-allegedly-involved-in-nord-stream-attack-a-52a23ebb-85a4-43c3-b46c-de6cdce68134
    https://archive.ph/LJC87

    Here’s an archived link to The Washington Post article:

    Ukrainian military officer coordinated Nord Stream pipeline attack
    https://archive.ph/LJC87

    • Thanks: Hypnotoad666
    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @MEH 0910

    Correct link:


    Here’s an archived link to The Washington Post article:

    Ukrainian military officer coordinated Nord Stream pipeline attack
    https://archive.ph/Ex3WE
     

  49. It was the USA and its NATO companions who did Nord Stream. If they’re blaming Ukraine now, it’s because they know Ukraine is losing the war badly and they are getting ready to throw Ukraine under the bus.

  50. @MEH 0910
    @Cagey Beast


    Here’s the same narrative but it’s not behind a paywall:
     
    I think you mean this Der Spiegel article:

    Ukrainian Special Forces Officer Allegedly Involved in Nord Stream Attack
    https://www.spiegel.de/international/world/ukrainian-special-forces-officer-allegedly-involved-in-nord-stream-attack-a-52a23ebb-85a4-43c3-b46c-de6cdce68134
    https://archive.ph/LJC87

    Here's an archived link to The Washington Post article:

    Ukrainian military officer coordinated Nord Stream pipeline attack
    https://archive.ph/LJC87

    Replies: @MEH 0910

    Correct link:

    Here’s an archived link to The Washington Post article:

    Ukrainian military officer coordinated Nord Stream pipeline attack
    https://archive.ph/Ex3WE

    • Thanks: Cagey Beast
  51. Anonymous[408] • Disclaimer says:
    @Bill
    Thank goodness we have the CIA's newspaper to tell us what's true.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country, @Anonymous, @Anonymous

    Thank goodness we have the CIA’s newspaper to tell us what’s true.

    Exactly right. For whatever reason, the US government really wanted to distance itself from this. And maybe the German government as well. Maybe they don’t want the German people to know just how rotten their leaders and our leaders really are.

  52. Based on my practical technical experience, it’s my intuition that the US military was involved in the planning and material supply of this operation. Maybe they employed a member or two of the Ukrainian special forces to place the explosives, but I have no reason to doubt Seymour Hersh’s journalistic finding that this operation was cooked up in the Biden WH and directly approved by the president.

  53. The Ukrainians would probably be quite happy to drag the United States into a major war with Russia. There is no reason for it, though. Russia is not a threat to this country and is only portrayed as such to help justify spending almost a trillion dollars a year on our bloated military.

    We are now spending more on just interest on our national debt than on that military. Social Security and Medicare are headed for insolvency. We need to change the purpose of the military so that it is focused on defense of this country. That will enable us to reduce spending in that area. We really have no choice here. We need to acknowledge the reality of our fiscal situation.

    • Agree: William Badwhite
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Mark G.


    We need to change the purpose of the military so that it is focused on defense of this country. That will enable us to reduce spending in that area.
     
    Won’t that send unemployment through the roof? How many Americans does the military employ directly and indirectly?

    Replies: @Mark G., @Colin Wright

  54. @Anonymous
    @Pixo

    I don't support Hamas, but that guy's username is ironically (or not) a good example of how dehumanizing weaker/less civilized peoples leads to great evil.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cromwellian_conquest_of_Ireland

    Replies: @Pixo, @YetAnotherAnon

    Sir Michael, an Irish papist has infiltrated our chamber!

  55. @Colin Wright

    'The argument that it would seem worth the risk to Ukraine, which is fighting for its national survival, seems pretty plausible.'
     
    The difficulty there is that Ukraine was not fighting for its national survival. Certainly after Russia's initial lunge collapsed in fiasco, Ukraine's survival as an independent state was no longer in question.

    Replies: @BB753

    Have you been reading the latest reports on the war? Ukraine never stood a chance.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @BB753


    Have you been reading the latest reports on the war? Ukraine never stood a chance.
     
    Reference please? Hasn’t Ukraine fought Russia to a stalemate?

    Replies: @BB753

    , @Jack D
    @BB753

    This is hilarious. Either we shouldn't support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn't support Ukraine because they have already lost. Unzites can't agree on much about reality but they can agree on the "shouldn't support Ukraine" part.

    Replies: @BB753, @ic1000

  56. @Mr. Anon

    More plausibly, many argued that it had to be a giant operation involving the U.S. Navy and the entire United States military-industrial complex, rather like the vast project to assassinate the President described by Donald Sutherland’s character in Oliver Stone’s JFK.
     
    There's a strawman buried somewhere in that snark.

    It could also be the case that it was a modestly scaled operation that was conducted by the US Government.

    Or by Ukrainians with the aid of the US Government. Or by Ukrainians (and perhaps others) with the US Government looking the other way.

    But the fact that US Government officials, right up to Joey Diapers himself, were predicting the "ending" of Nord Stream (he even said "WE will end it") and that after the fact officials like Vicki "Cookies" Nuland were praising the sabotage of Nord Stream as a happy occurrence suggest that, at the very least, the US Government was on-board with the plan and approved.

    Replies: @Abe, @The Anti-Gnostic, @Adam Smith

    It could also be the case that it was a modestly scaled operation that was conducted by the US Government.

    While this may not have been Steve’s all-time worst take (I guess that dubious honor goes to “2 weeks to flatten the curve, bro”/“2 weeks to crater housing affordability and therefore family formation for an entire generation of young Americans”) this is without doubt the most annoying in its sh!t-eating @ss-clownery .

    As pointed out many, many times, Biden said he was going to blow up NORDSTREAM well before it even happened! Yet somehow we’re to believe “Ukranians” were able to smuggle explosives, deep diving equipment, etc. across multiple international borders unbeknownst to US intelligence which has been so far up Kiev’s @sss the last several years it is effectively the acting government, carry out the operation in heavily-surveilled NATO waters which, oh, just happened to host NATO naval exercises that very summer, and then keep it all a secret until the very moment when Washington is about to wash its hands of the Ukraine fiasco and needs a scapegoat. And, yeah, all of this hot off the presses of the CIA TIMES.

    • Thanks: JimDandy, MGB, bomag
    • Replies: @JimDandy
    @Abe

    SEE: "Limited Hangout"

  57. Well, this is certainly depressing that anyone would entertain this story for more than a split second.

  58. The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival.

    Give it a rest, Scumbag Steve.

    Ukraine was not fighting for their “national survival” even at the beginning because that would have required a force strength far greater than what the Russians used. John Mearsheimer has explained this. Germany used something like 2 million troops during their invasion of Poland. The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.

    Now, as a result of the Kagan Cult and the rest of the Usual Suspects, Ukraine may actually be destroyed. They have lost up to 500,000 men and millions have fled and may never return.

    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.

    And there is final line from Sleazy Steve … hey fellas, we were just leading you down the primrose path, just thought you guys would make nice cannon fodder so we could hurt Russia (a White Christian country with nukes that won’t get with our program). But now, you know, go bury your dead, whore out your daughters to get food, and get ready for mass 3rd world immigration to “rebuild” your country.

    You scum promoted a situation that got a lot of White Gentiles killed for no good reason. You had to know what you were doing.

    • Replies: @Anon
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality


    The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.
     
    What was their goal then?

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @tyrone

    , @Chrisnonymous
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality


    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.
     
    I wouldn't maybe call Steve sleazy, but my recollection is that Steve's support of not trying to make a peace deal as soon as possible was that changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody, which was basically another way of saying that Ukraine's interests were our interests. I don't know what's changed now.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @BB753

    , @Whitey Whiteman III
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    Being a boomer means never having to say you're sorry.

  59. @Abe
    @Mr. Anon


    It could also be the case that it was a modestly scaled operation that was conducted by the US Government.
     
    While this may not have been Steve’s all-time worst take (I guess that dubious honor goes to “2 weeks to flatten the curve, bro”/“2 weeks to crater housing affordability and therefore family formation for an entire generation of young Americans”) this is without doubt the most annoying in its sh!t-eating @ss-clownery .

    As pointed out many, many times, Biden said he was going to blow up NORDSTREAM well before it even happened! Yet somehow we’re to believe “Ukranians” were able to smuggle explosives, deep diving equipment, etc. across multiple international borders unbeknownst to US intelligence which has been so far up Kiev’s @sss the last several years it is effectively the acting government, carry out the operation in heavily-surveilled NATO waters which, oh, just happened to host NATO naval exercises that very summer, and then keep it all a secret until the very moment when Washington is about to wash its hands of the Ukraine fiasco and needs a scapegoat. And, yeah, all of this hot off the presses of the CIA TIMES.

    Replies: @JimDandy

    SEE: “Limited Hangout”

  60. … having watched a lot of episodes of Lloyd Bridges in Sea Hunt after school in the 1960s…

    I watched Flipper, so I thought it was dolphins.

  61. Oh look, the CIA launders more fake news via its assets in the MSM, all attributed to vague unnamed and unknowable “sources,” and all the commentariat clap like seals.

    Meanwhile the actual investigative journalists, like Seymour Hersh, with decades long reliable track record, are studiously ignored.

    The purpose of most government propaganda isn’t just to create a false narrative, it is to mislead and misdirect the public from the truth.

  62. Seymour Hersh was not wrong. It was the United States. This lie that it was a Ukranian is a big “I’m sorry, please don’t go” to the Germans and the rest of the EU colony.

    This story they’ve concocted is bogus. We have lost for now in the Ukraine but will be looking to find another front to attack Russia on or we will move on straight to Taiwan and conceded Russia for now. The Empire has not changed its long-term objectives of global domination.

  63. You know and I know and you know that I know that I know that you know that I know that it was

    Sailer and Charles Murray who did it. They blew it up.

    Why else would Sailer try to cover it up by blaming some other actor?

    • LOL: Bumpkin
    • Replies: @Redneck Farmer
    @Anonymous

    At last, the truth!

  64. @Mark G.
    The Ukrainians would probably be quite happy to drag the United States into a major war with Russia. There is no reason for it, though. Russia is not a threat to this country and is only portrayed as such to help justify spending almost a trillion dollars a year on our bloated military.

    We are now spending more on just interest on our national debt than on that military. Social Security and Medicare are headed for insolvency. We need to change the purpose of the military so that it is focused on defense of this country. That will enable us to reduce spending in that area. We really have no choice here. We need to acknowledge the reality of our fiscal situation.

    Replies: @Anonymous

    We need to change the purpose of the military so that it is focused on defense of this country. That will enable us to reduce spending in that area.

    Won’t that send unemployment through the roof? How many Americans does the military employ directly and indirectly?

    • Replies: @Mark G.
    @Anonymous

    I actually work for the military. I am not an anarchist and think you need a military but it needs to have the purpose of defending this country and not just providing a lot of make work government jobs paid for by the hard working taxpayers. If you let those taxpayers keep more of their hard earned dollars, they will spend them and create other jobs elsewhere. Government does not create jobs. It just shifts spending from one sector of the economy to another.

    , @Colin Wright
    @Anonymous


    'Won’t that send unemployment through the roof? How many Americans does the military employ directly and indirectly?'
     
    We probably do need to wind it down gradually. Ironically, all the PC crap has probably helped that along; a whole lot of groups that traditionally used to enlist have presumably turned away over the last few years.
  65. @SafeNow
    I thought about this at the time. The problem that nagged at me is that of “keeping station” - that is, keeping the boat in the exact same spot while the divers are down. (That way, after the divers accomplish their mission, they come up to the surface, and there you are.) Unless there is absolutely no current and no wind, keeping station requires considerable skill, experience, and coordination amongst actual mariners on the boat. Think of it as balancing a pencil on its point - - well, at least on its eraser. (A “pencil” is…oh never mind..) I remember deciding it might be doable if there existed considerable skill in lowering and then retrieving an unusually deep anchor, or, using GPS. In any case it’s not something just any dude could have done, using tattoos as his credentials. I know a little about this, but not a lot, so perhaps somebody who knows a lot can correct me.

    Replies: @TontoBubbaGoldstein, @Shale boi, @Bill P

    GPS and a reasonably competent helmsman or autopilot would suffice in most conditions.

  66. @BB753
    @Colin Wright

    Have you been reading the latest reports on the war? Ukraine never stood a chance.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Jack D

    Have you been reading the latest reports on the war? Ukraine never stood a chance.

    Reference please? Hasn’t Ukraine fought Russia to a stalemate?

    • LOL: JimDandy
    • Replies: @BB753
    @Anonymous

    "Hasn’t Ukraine fought Russia to a stalemate?"

    Only on CNN.

  67. @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival.
     
    Give it a rest, Scumbag Steve.

    Ukraine was not fighting for their "national survival" even at the beginning because that would have required a force strength far greater than what the Russians used. John Mearsheimer has explained this. Germany used something like 2 million troops during their invasion of Poland. The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.

    Now, as a result of the Kagan Cult and the rest of the Usual Suspects, Ukraine may actually be destroyed. They have lost up to 500,000 men and millions have fled and may never return.


    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.
     
    And there is final line from Sleazy Steve ... hey fellas, we were just leading you down the primrose path, just thought you guys would make nice cannon fodder so we could hurt Russia (a White Christian country with nukes that won't get with our program). But now, you know, go bury your dead, whore out your daughters to get food, and get ready for mass 3rd world immigration to "rebuild" your country.

    You scum promoted a situation that got a lot of White Gentiles killed for no good reason. You had to know what you were doing.

    Replies: @Anon, @Chrisnonymous, @Whitey Whiteman III

    The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.

    What was their goal then?

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Anon

    You can go to the Kremlin website, the Russian Foreign Ministry website or RT to find the answer yourself. It's funny how people happily make up their own preferred Russian motives without even bothering to see what the Russians themselves say.

    Replies: @HA

    , @tyrone
    @Anon


    What was their goal then?
     
    to de-nazi-fy Ukraine, i.e. kill the nazis ..the average age of the Ukrainian soldier is 42 ,I would say they are well on their way to achieving their war aims ,hence the meat-grinder strategy........A secondary effect has been to drain western arsenals ......funny how another war has popped up.
  68. Triton subs advertise small submersibles rated to 200 meters.

  69. The Empire has not changed its long-term objectives of global domination.

    It’s been sickening to watch the change since the end of the Cold War, Mr. Robinson. However, as per Mark G.’s quick synopsis (his 2nd paragraph), global domination may be the objective, but it’s not agonna happen.

    It’s not that the Feral Gov’t will see the light and cut offense , errr, Defense spending in half (even that would not get us out of the hole – even ALL of it wouldn’t). There just won’t be enough funding to keep the MIC going for much longer. You want a war with China? Sure, but don’t forget to arrange for a cease fire every couple of weeks – gotta wait for weapons parts that are still inbound in COSCO shipping containers and then we need to open the markets for a few days to sell the Chinese investors more T-bonds.

    Hell of a war, eh?

    • LOL: Almost Missouri
  70. Everyone is assuming this involved divers. Is there any reason the explosives couldn’t have been delivered and detonated by a a remote control submersible?

    • Thanks: Almost Missouri
  71. Which should be a lesson to their allies like the US to keep an eye on them ultra-carefully to keep them from turning their war into a NATO-vs.-Russia shooting war.

    Which should be a lesson for Joe Biden to keep an eye ultra-carefully on Joe Biden

  72. @Cagey Beast
    Here's the same narrative but it's not behind a paywall:

    Investigating the Nord Stream Attack
    All the Evidence Points To Kyiv

    https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/investigating-the-attack-on-nord-stream-all-the-clues-point-toward-kyiv-a-124838c7-992a-4d0e-9894-942d4a665778

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Chrisnonymous, @HA

    I couldn’t read the WaPo article, so thanks for that link. According to this Der Spiegel article, Hersh’s story has been proven false. I haven’t followed that, so don’t know, but I will say that while I initially assumed it was the USA, I was suspicious of Hersh’s story because it was entirely based on an anonymous source. If I were the CIA and wanting to cover up Ukraine’s involvement in the Nord Stream attack in order to protect support for the war among Europeans, leaking a false story to a respected journalist would be a good way to do it.

    But I remain agnostic.

    The Der Spiegel investigators are relying on lots of what is essentially gossip among European bureaucrats. They have confabulated a story here that doesn’t address many of the technical problems such as those brought up by commenters here. When they track down one member of the commando team, they suggest he pulled off this technical dive with diving skills he learned in a youth orgsnization, which is preposterous.

    I think it’s interesting that the Der Spiegel article concludes with a review of the theory that the Russians did it and cites Europeans officials who say Russia could have planted all this evidence to frame Ukraine. They give serious ear to this conspiracy theory while never considering that if all the “evidence” pointing to Ukraine cpuld have been planted by Russia, it could have been planted by the USA as well or the Europeans.

    Overall, I just don’t see anything convincing pointing one way or another.

  73. The single most likely perpetrator of a project of that scale would be the state that currently hates Russia most, Ukraine.

    Not to mention who benefits most. Gas flowing to Europe which is not going through Nord Stream has to go through Ukraine. With transit fees. I had not realized Russian gas was still flowing through the Ukraine even with the war–though much reduced since 2019.
    https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/qa-russian-gas-transit-through-ukraine/

    That said, I would be shocked if the US had not given approval at some level. If not outright assistance. Others have covered that in this thread.

  74. @JohnnyWalker123
    He's "the fall guy."

    https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/fall-guy

    fall guy
    noun [ C usually singular ] informal
    US /ˈfɑːl ˌɡaɪ/ UK /ˈfɔːl ˌɡaɪ/
    a person who is falsely blamed for something that has gone wrong, or for a crime that they have not committed:
    The governor was looking for a fall guy to take the blame for the corruption scandal.
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hS09KosADQE

    I'd bet the CIA, MI6, and Mossad are responsible.

    By the way, there was ballot measure on abortion, in Ohio.

    https://twitter.com/ARC_Southeast/status/1722281410591867388

    Ohio is a bit more conservative than the rest of the country.

    Contrary to popular belief, there's no significant gender divide on abortion. Men are only slightly less supportive of abortion than women.

    Replies: @Anonymous

    Yes. If this really were the Womens Rights issue of advertising legend, men could shut down legal abortion without the other sex’s help; female corollary to this is banning pornography.

    • Replies: @JohnnyWalker123
    @Anonymous

    In the past, the standard view was that pregnant women wanted to have the baby, but their "callous" boyfriends didn't want to get married and support a child. So these "abusive" men forced their girlfriends to have abortions.

    Nowadays, the standard view is that women want to be "career" women, so they view a baby as a "burden." They have abortions because they value careerism more than family life.

    I wonder which view is more accurate.

  75. @Anon
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality


    The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.
     
    What was their goal then?

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @tyrone

    You can go to the Kremlin website, the Russian Foreign Ministry website or RT to find the answer yourself. It’s funny how people happily make up their own preferred Russian motives without even bothering to see what the Russians themselves say.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    "It’s funny how people happily make up their own preferred Russian motives without even bothering to see what the Russians themselves say."

    I didn't read the RT site to find out what the old roulette Wheel-o'-Excuses is pointing to this week, but from what I've been able to gather, it hasn't stopped spinning yet. For example, Here's the "I do it because I'm Peter the Great" line that Lil' BB invoked at one point:


    “Peter the Great waged the great northern war for 21 years.... He did not take anything... he returned [what was Russia’s]...Apparently, it is also our lot to return [what is Russia’s] and strengthen [the country]."
     
    Did that make it onto the wheel-o'-excuses? Or else, here's the one about how according to him, Ukraine doesn't even exist.

    Then there's the one where Ukraine is just a "stepping stone" to taking back what the Russians formerly held in Eastern Europe.

    And of course, the one where putting all those states back into one Russian orbit somehow serves to make the world more multipolar. I don't get that either. The math seems off.

    Is the old "narco-maniacs have taken over Kyiv, won't someone think of the children?" giveance still active? I guess we gotta check if and when that wheel ever stops.

  76. @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival.
     
    Give it a rest, Scumbag Steve.

    Ukraine was not fighting for their "national survival" even at the beginning because that would have required a force strength far greater than what the Russians used. John Mearsheimer has explained this. Germany used something like 2 million troops during their invasion of Poland. The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.

    Now, as a result of the Kagan Cult and the rest of the Usual Suspects, Ukraine may actually be destroyed. They have lost up to 500,000 men and millions have fled and may never return.


    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.
     
    And there is final line from Sleazy Steve ... hey fellas, we were just leading you down the primrose path, just thought you guys would make nice cannon fodder so we could hurt Russia (a White Christian country with nukes that won't get with our program). But now, you know, go bury your dead, whore out your daughters to get food, and get ready for mass 3rd world immigration to "rebuild" your country.

    You scum promoted a situation that got a lot of White Gentiles killed for no good reason. You had to know what you were doing.

    Replies: @Anon, @Chrisnonymous, @Whitey Whiteman III

    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.

    I wouldn’t maybe call Steve sleazy, but my recollection is that Steve’s support of not trying to make a peace deal as soon as possible was that changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody, which was basically another way of saying that Ukraine’s interests were our interests. I don’t know what’s changed now.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Chrisnonymous


    I wouldn’t maybe call Steve sleazy, but my recollection is that Steve’s support of not trying to make a peace deal as soon as possible was that changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody
     
    It is difficult to maintain that position without condemning Zionism.

    Replies: @Gandydancer

    , @BB753
    @Chrisnonymous

    "Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests."

    Remove "Ukraine" and insert "Israel". I think that's what Steve was trying to say but can't.

  77. @Bill
    Thank goodness we have the CIA's newspaper to tell us what's true.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country, @Anonymous, @Anonymous

    Of all the problems in the West, the inherent dishonesty and gaslighting by the so-called mainstream media is THE biggest problem. Bringing them to task should be Trump’s number one job, should he miraculously win the next election.

  78. I’m still going with Mexican cartels.

    https://www.asisonline.org/security-management-magazine/articles/2023/06/fuel-theft-and-cartels/seeking-revenue-cartel-fuel-thefts/

    In the last 15 years, this kind of theft became much more organized and sophisticated as organized criminal networks have increasingly initiated fuel thefts, according to McCormick, who is also a senior associate for the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). With the ability to leverage massive funds and paramilitaries, criminal cartels can acquire information about pipeline paths, valves, and other infrastructure.

    “The number of illegal taps in Mexico increased from around 200 per year before 2007 to 3,000 in 2013, peaking at 15,000 in 2018. Illicit pipeline tapping accounts for most of Mexico’s oil theft,” wrote Vlado Vivoda, Ghaelb Krame, and Martin Spraggon—authors of the Resources article.

  79. @Anonymous
    @Mark G.


    We need to change the purpose of the military so that it is focused on defense of this country. That will enable us to reduce spending in that area.
     
    Won’t that send unemployment through the roof? How many Americans does the military employ directly and indirectly?

    Replies: @Mark G., @Colin Wright

    I actually work for the military. I am not an anarchist and think you need a military but it needs to have the purpose of defending this country and not just providing a lot of make work government jobs paid for by the hard working taxpayers. If you let those taxpayers keep more of their hard earned dollars, they will spend them and create other jobs elsewhere. Government does not create jobs. It just shifts spending from one sector of the economy to another.

  80. How convenient. Now that Ukraine is acknowledged to have ZERO chance of winning, and after a year ZERO investigation, blame can be pinned on them. Honestly, wake up.

  81. @Achmed E. Newman
    Kudos. I remember your posts. Good call on the men involved and the scale of it. Who ordered it and/or gave the green light? That's another question.

    Replies: @Charles Erwin Wilson

    Kudos. I remember your posts. Good call on the men involved and the scale of it. Who ordered it and/or gave the green light?

    Biden (okay, the retards that are running the Oval Office).

    • Replies: @Inquiring Mind
    @Charles Erwin Wilson

    Matt Gaetz, who himself is maybe not the sharpest knife in the kitchen drawer, was grilling Secretary Mayorkas about some underling expressing anti-Israel sentiments. Mr. Mayorkas public response, I guess, was to get all huffy that his ethnic heritage was being impuned.

    What ethnic heritage might that be? Persons with intellectual disability?

  82. was Trump a Russian agent? the leftist media spent years on that one. they said it over and over so it MUST be the case, right? Steve should just admit he doesn’t know anything about underwater demolitions. it’s simple. it’s easy. he does it all the time on other subjects. Steve is an expert on black women’s hair. not explosives, and certainly not the underwater kind.

    it’s mind blowing to me that Steve has spent 40 years studying how the US leftists lie in the media, then gets taken by a whopper of a made up story. here’s how the parable goes – you read a news article in the media that YOU PERSONALLY are an expert on the subject matter, chuckle to yourself at how bad and nonsensical the reporting is, then turn the page, read the next couple articles on which you are NOT a subject matter expert, and take the reporter’s story at face value.

    that’s what just happened to Steve here. he’s like a boxer who entered UFC after 25 years of training for that exact specific scenario, hand to hand against 1 other person, then got taken out in 1 minute by a guy who’s been training for 2 years.

    Ukrainians didn’t do it. they don’t have the capabilities. because if they did, that’s the first thing they would have done when the war started. they tried to sabotage everything, to various fumbling degrees. they blew up their own dams haphazardly, to slow the Russian advance. Ukraine has been trying to blow up a bridge for over a year and can’t do it. they literally tried to blow up a huge nuclear reactor AND FAILED. the US organized this pipeline demolition. they may have used other NATO guys to accomplish the mission, but that’s what happened.

    also, Ukraine LOVES to run their mouth – they literally attempt to record videos of everything backhanded thing they’re doing, then post them on the internet. you seriously think they pulled this off and then DID NOT post videos of it? of course they would have. if they did it. which they didn’t. there’s no video, no nothing, because professional western military guys did this and kept the operation a secret.

    • Agree: acementhead
    • Replies: @OK Boomer
    @prime noticer

    Ukrainians could not have boasted about such deeds, because it would have brought them shame!

  83. @Hypnotoad666
    Occam's Razor says "Generally, the simplest explanation is preferred."

    But how is it the simpler explanation for a Ukrainian colonel to independently create a plan that happens to fit U.S. long-term strategic objectives and Biden's explicit threats, get time off work from the Ukraine Army, get explosives and deep diving gear, get the funding, recruit six friends, travel abroad, anchor on top of a sensitive piece of infra-structure, and then set the explosives hundreds of feet deep on the pipeline itself without getting observed by the U.S. Navy, or any of the other six naval forces in the area?

    Wouldn't it involve fewer contingent variables for Biden to simply tell the CIA to do it? And for the CIA and our Kiev puppets to then frame some poor Ukie schmuck after Seymore Hersh broke the actual story?

    I think someone needs to take Occam's Razor away from Steve, before he cuts himself.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Corpse Tooth, @Anonymous

    ‘I think someone needs to take Occam’s Razor away from Steve, before he cuts himself.’

    I think Steve shies away from the obvious conclusion: that we were implicated.

    Even if the Ukrainians somehow did it independently, they almost certainly checked with us first. For them to do this off their own bat would have been close to suicidal. What if we (or the EU) had decided we weren’t happy about it?

  84. @Rusty Tailgate
    @Arclight


    It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential.
     
    It makes you wonder what else can be blown up with all the legacy media reporting that someone else did it. I bring this up with the 2024 campaign season in mind.

    Replies: @Rusty Tailgate

    I hasten to add that I mean the bad guys would do the blowing up, not the good guys.

  85. @Anonymous
    Only a submarine containing the specialized equipment needed for a team of saturation divers, and a team of the said saturation divers could possibly have pulled off that stunt.
    Only the US Navy has that sort of capability.

    Saturation diving is the technique used to enable divers to cope with the extreme pressures of the deep sea, in which the diver is forced to breath heliox at pressures many times atmospheric. Also, hot water, supplied by the means of an 'umbilical' which also delivers the heliox and Comms, is needed for survival in the icy waters of the Baltic. The hot water freely circulates within the dive suit.

    Replies: @Shale boi, @Gordo, @ThreeCranes, @Rich23

    I haven’t studied it in detail and never operated near there, but I’m VERY skeptical of a US submarine having done this mission. The Danish Straits are too shallow to drive through submerged, even at PD .

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baltimax

    And there’s too much shipping and too narrow a channel to safely transit at PD without having a collision even if you had the draft, which you don’t. And if you collide at PD…it’s automatically the sub’s fault…and you’re going slow, so it’s hard to avoid people…it’s just a total mess).

    And there’s too much detection risk if you do the transit surfaced. It’s a very busy area and you need to stay in the channel even surfaced…so driving through with the lights out would be insane and you’d get detected by a gazillion other ships radars, who would then ask you on the bridge to bridge what the heck you were doing.

    I haven’t operated there or studied it in depth but neither have you. Everyone I see pushing this on the Internet is a hoi polloi commenter. Get the detailed bathy charts at least (you’ll have to buy them). And it’s the Straits that are the concern, not the dive area.

    I’m also pretty skeptical of a dive from a sailing yacht also. Too much roll, no crane, not enough space, etc. etc. A fishing vessel or merchantman or even surface combatant would be way easier.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @Rich23
    @Shale boi

    Unless you crewed the Jimmy Carter or the decomm'd Parche, you wouldn't know or they'd have to kill you or lock you up ....shipmate.

    Research and development, my ass! Haha

    No one is saturation diving off a sailboat and Sailer is supposed to be a monumental intellect. Yet he perpetuates the nonsense.

    As you indicate, a manned project is delimited by the man.
    You'd agree the former means either a lock out capable "boat" or decompression/hyperbaric chamber on a "ship".

    Your guess seems to be the only thing hardly mentioned: underwater drone, one way

    Replies: @Shale boi

  86. @Colin Wright
    But while the Ukraine may have physically done it, I'm virtually certain the US approved it. In fact, that's the most likely scenario. We held their hand, and they carried it out.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth, @Jack D, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Prester John

    But Occam’s Razor says the Ukrainians did it all by their lonesome because Lloyd Bridges neutralized a German mine floating around Catalina with his scuba knife. Yes, the U.S. greenlighted the destruction of an important European energy source. The Ukrainians, if it was them, were trained and assisted by Naval SF — American, British, Norwegian.

    “The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival.”

    This is true. But at this point the mostly destroyed Ukrainian Army should make a separate peace with the Russians and go after the Zelenskyy government.

  87. @Anonymous
    @Mark G.


    We need to change the purpose of the military so that it is focused on defense of this country. That will enable us to reduce spending in that area.
     
    Won’t that send unemployment through the roof? How many Americans does the military employ directly and indirectly?

    Replies: @Mark G., @Colin Wright

    ‘Won’t that send unemployment through the roof? How many Americans does the military employ directly and indirectly?’

    We probably do need to wind it down gradually. Ironically, all the PC crap has probably helped that along; a whole lot of groups that traditionally used to enlist have presumably turned away over the last few years.

  88. @Hypnotoad666
    Occam's Razor says "Generally, the simplest explanation is preferred."

    But how is it the simpler explanation for a Ukrainian colonel to independently create a plan that happens to fit U.S. long-term strategic objectives and Biden's explicit threats, get time off work from the Ukraine Army, get explosives and deep diving gear, get the funding, recruit six friends, travel abroad, anchor on top of a sensitive piece of infra-structure, and then set the explosives hundreds of feet deep on the pipeline itself without getting observed by the U.S. Navy, or any of the other six naval forces in the area?

    Wouldn't it involve fewer contingent variables for Biden to simply tell the CIA to do it? And for the CIA and our Kiev puppets to then frame some poor Ukie schmuck after Seymore Hersh broke the actual story?

    I think someone needs to take Occam's Razor away from Steve, before he cuts himself.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Corpse Tooth, @Anonymous

    Steve and Occam have booked the Castle for their June wedding.

    • LOL: Gordo
  89. It’s like 9/11. Just as Israel most assuredly knew that was going to happen, however more deeply they were involved, so we most assuredly knew who actually blew up that pipeline, whatever the degree of our physical involvement.

  90. To dive that deep, divers needed a decompression chamber. Would this fit on that small boat?

  91. @SafeNow
    I thought about this at the time. The problem that nagged at me is that of “keeping station” - that is, keeping the boat in the exact same spot while the divers are down. (That way, after the divers accomplish their mission, they come up to the surface, and there you are.) Unless there is absolutely no current and no wind, keeping station requires considerable skill, experience, and coordination amongst actual mariners on the boat. Think of it as balancing a pencil on its point - - well, at least on its eraser. (A “pencil” is…oh never mind..) I remember deciding it might be doable if there existed considerable skill in lowering and then retrieving an unusually deep anchor, or, using GPS. In any case it’s not something just any dude could have done, using tattoos as his credentials. I know a little about this, but not a lot, so perhaps somebody who knows a lot can correct me.

    Replies: @TontoBubbaGoldstein, @Shale boi, @Bill P

    It’s not hard. You just drop a weight to the bottom, attached to a rope, with a buoy on the top. This is standard diving practice.

    The main issue is actually the divers wandering around and getting lost, not the boat. But they go up and down the rope, including decompression rest stops. They just stay next to the rope.

    The surface craft just stays in visual range of the buoy, small offset so you don’t drive on top of people. Very easy. Especially for ships with thrusters like amphibs (USS Kearsage) or even tugboats! But even a frigate or the like could manage it, just a bit more shiphandling.

  92. @Chrisnonymous
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality


    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.
     
    I wouldn't maybe call Steve sleazy, but my recollection is that Steve's support of not trying to make a peace deal as soon as possible was that changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody, which was basically another way of saying that Ukraine's interests were our interests. I don't know what's changed now.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @BB753

    I wouldn’t maybe call Steve sleazy, but my recollection is that Steve’s support of not trying to make a peace deal as soon as possible was that changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody

    It is difficult to maintain that position without condemning Zionism.

    • Replies: @Gandydancer
    @Anonymous


    It is difficult to maintain that position ['changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody'] without condemning Zionism.
     
    Really? What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?

    Replies: @Anonymous

  93. So the Qataris are off the hook now?

    I was “following the money”. Is war more important to some people?

    • Replies: @Somsel
    @Reg Cæsar

    Now you're delving into motive, an essential element of any crime.

    I think the Chinese had a lot to gain from blowing the NordStream.

    This pushed the Germans into economic retreat as they have to switch from cheap Russian gas to something else for their manufacturing. Which are two of the largest manufacturing economies? Their Energiewende was shown to be self-delusion and they had to start sucking up to the LNG exporters like Qatar, Australia, and the US. That costs more. Cheap energy drives competitive economies.

    The Chinese also win by creating monosopolistic conditions for Russian energy exports. Of course new pipelines will have to be built to connect gas fields to Chinese markets but those have been in planning for a long time. Russia becomes a Chinese vassal state over time.

    Evidence? I got none but we can say the Chinese have two of the elements - motive and, I assume, means.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

  94. The part that you are missing, Mr. Sailer, is that this all had the approval, if not the guidance, of the American military and intelligence services. Zelensky is an American puppet who takes his orders from Washington. Like you said, who physically did it matters very little from a logistic point of view, but a lot from a rest of eternity international relations and liability point of view. From the American perspective, it’s more convenient if the Ukrainians took care of it rather than the American military (which America’s leaders have threatened publicly over and over again).

  95. @Anonymous
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Yes. If this really were the Womens Rights issue of advertising legend, men could shut down legal abortion without the other sex's help; female corollary to this is banning pornography.

    Replies: @JohnnyWalker123

    In the past, the standard view was that pregnant women wanted to have the baby, but their “callous” boyfriends didn’t want to get married and support a child. So these “abusive” men forced their girlfriends to have abortions.

    Nowadays, the standard view is that women want to be “career” women, so they view a baby as a “burden.” They have abortions because they value careerism more than family life.

    I wonder which view is more accurate.

  96. How convenient for Zelensky — and his neocon/Zionist backers within the US hegemon — that the latest in a long series of false narratives about the Nordstream bombings now places the blame squarely on Zelensky’s most powerful political rival. Now Zelensky may not have to officially cancel the Ukraine’s upcoming elections. This latest lie may effectively do that.

    • Thanks: JimDandy
  97. I want to believe that Ukraine did it, and that these guys pulled it off.

    It was risky, brave, courageous and patriotic. Their country is getting invaded, in place to be dismembered, and they’re teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.

    Good for them.

    If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.

    It’s not that difficult a concept to grasp.

    We have to teach the Japs the same lesson in World War II.

    • Troll: Pierre de Craon
    • Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Charlesz Martel


    they’re teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.
     
    The Germans invaded them? Because that's who is paying the price along with the rest of Europe.

    FYI, our people aren't cannon fodder for your various wars anymore. So you can drop the gungo WWII crap that works with the nursing home crowd. Try using the Chinese.

    Replies: @Charlesz Martel, @Charlesz Martel

    , @Anonymous
    @Charlesz Martel


    If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.
     
    You have it backwards. It is the zionist jews that need to learn that lesson. They are the invaders and the killers. The international community, but especially the United States, needs to stop enabling the zionists so that they are forced to learn that lesson.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Charlesz Martel

    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Charlesz Martel


    "If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people. I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too."
     
    But it's the Palestinians who were invaded and had their people killed!

    https://www.un.org/unispal/about-the-nakba/

    I must say it shows a certain brass neck to steal the name of a remarkable European for your propaganda work.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Martel

    Replies: @Charlesz Martel, @Charlesz Martel

  98. @Drywall Hammer
    And maybe Colonel Chervinsky got himself a sweet deal with the CIA/NSA/Mi6/whatever to take the credit. After all, a spook colonel of a losing army will be needing a job. In any case, if it's from the Washington Post it's probably a lie.

    -Discard

    Replies: @kaganovitch

    And maybe Colonel Chervinsky got himself a sweet deal with the CIA/NSA/Mi6/whatever to take the credit. After all, a spook colonel of a losing army will be needing a job.

    Indeed, and after a few years of living well he can acquire a paunch, change his name to Vindman and he too can presume to dictate foreign policy to the President of the USA

  99. @Anonymous

    Roman Chervinsky, a colonel in Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces
     
    Is Chervinsky Jewish?

    Is it true that Slavic names that end in -ski are Christian and those ending in -sky are Jewish?

    Replies: @Ripple Earthdevil, @Jack D

    Not necessarily. -ski is Polish and -sky is Russian, transliterated from the Cyrillic alphabet.

    Incidentally, the feminine versions are -ska and -skaya, respectively.

  100. @Ralph L
    Lloyd Bridges? Flipper did it!

    Are Ukrainians fighting for survival or their sovereignty? I guess after Stalin and Hitler, they assume there's no difference.

    Replies: @Anonymous

    Considering that both Lenin and Stalin were ultimately responsible for carving out Ukraine in its present form out of traditionally Russian territories, I find your statement to be quite ignorant.

    • Thanks: Pierre de Craon
  101. @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    Interesting take, but, in the interests of balancing the scales and discerning if indeed Ukraine acted alone regarding nixing the pipelines.

    https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream

    Don't know if the dude is a nutjob poster...perhaps Mr. Unz can enlighten us who exactly this Hersh dude is. From his Feb. 22, 2023 article 'Seymour Hersh: Standing Tall in a Sea of Lies'

    "With a Pulitzer Prize and five George Polk awards, Hersh certainly ranks as one of the most renowned reporters of the last half-century, known for breaking the stories of the My Lai Massacre, the Abu Ghraib prison, and other landmarks of investigative journalism."

    Oh, THAT Seymour Hersh. Then he actually has some journalistic credibilty, integrity, and has done indepth investigative journalism before? Never would've known from the way the MSM hasn't given him any recent attention. Whadya know. So basically, interviewing CIA and other Deep State members with knowledge of the identity of who took out the pipelines and what conclusion did Hersh come to?

    https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream

    So one of the leading US journalists of the last half century reached his conclusion while investigating the matter, and his journalistic experience leads him to the conclusion that it was the US that's behind it? OMG.

    What's Mr. Unz opinion?

    "But while there had been a great deal of informed speculation, Hersh has now provided a detailed narrative of exactly what transpired, including the allegation that the Biden Administration had employed questionable legalisms to avoid informing our Congressional Intelligence committees of the operation as was required by law. If Hersh is correct, our top government leaders may be in serious legal jeopardy." -- https://www.unz.com/runz/standing-upright-amid-a-sea-of-lies/

    Steve.

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin

    If Hersh is correct, our top government leaders may be in serious legal jeopardy.

    Oh, come on–they’re Democrats. Serious legal jeopardy is not something that worries top-level Democrats.

    • Agree: Ben Kurtz
    • LOL: Yojimbo/Zatoichi
  102. @Mr. Anon

    More plausibly, many argued that it had to be a giant operation involving the U.S. Navy and the entire United States military-industrial complex, rather like the vast project to assassinate the President described by Donald Sutherland’s character in Oliver Stone’s JFK.
     
    There's a strawman buried somewhere in that snark.

    It could also be the case that it was a modestly scaled operation that was conducted by the US Government.

    Or by Ukrainians with the aid of the US Government. Or by Ukrainians (and perhaps others) with the US Government looking the other way.

    But the fact that US Government officials, right up to Joey Diapers himself, were predicting the "ending" of Nord Stream (he even said "WE will end it") and that after the fact officials like Vicki "Cookies" Nuland were praising the sabotage of Nord Stream as a happy occurrence suggest that, at the very least, the US Government was on-board with the plan and approved.

    Replies: @Abe, @The Anti-Gnostic, @Adam Smith

    I don’t know anyone who argued it had to be a “giant” operation. It could have easily been a US SEAL team. After all, underwater demolitions are what SEAL teams do.

    300′ is a very deep dive; SCUBA won’t make it even halfway. It’s not like you just hop out of an outboard with SCUBA. So it was either a robotic sub or deep divers who’d need decompression. Does the Ukraine Navy have that independent capability? I tend to doubt it but maybe they do.

    • Agree: Ben Kurtz, Gordo
  103. @SafeNow
    I thought about this at the time. The problem that nagged at me is that of “keeping station” - that is, keeping the boat in the exact same spot while the divers are down. (That way, after the divers accomplish their mission, they come up to the surface, and there you are.) Unless there is absolutely no current and no wind, keeping station requires considerable skill, experience, and coordination amongst actual mariners on the boat. Think of it as balancing a pencil on its point - - well, at least on its eraser. (A “pencil” is…oh never mind..) I remember deciding it might be doable if there existed considerable skill in lowering and then retrieving an unusually deep anchor, or, using GPS. In any case it’s not something just any dude could have done, using tattoos as his credentials. I know a little about this, but not a lot, so perhaps somebody who knows a lot can correct me.

    Replies: @TontoBubbaGoldstein, @Shale boi, @Bill P

    Any halfway competent skiff pilot could maintain position to within less than 50 meters with a gps+compass.

  104. @Ben Kurtz
    The depth of the pipeline - around 300 ft of water - makes it a technically challenging target for surface divers. It's far beyond the range of most normal scuba divers. Standard recreational scuba divers max out at 60 feet of depth, and even specialized civilian deep divers stop at 130 ft. It's a very select group of military and oil-rig divers, usually operating at long-term saturation, who will go to 300 ft of depth. I think it's a very open question whether Ukraine had the specialized skills to pull it off.

    I agree with the overall point that you don't need a cast of thousands to do this, but I lean towards the view that Ukraine "borrowed" a half-dozen high-end frogmen from the U.S. or UK or some other top-drawer organization to help with the deep diving here.

    Replies: @Ben Kurtz, @Dnought

    Used to have a friend who was an diver for the U.S. Navy around the end of the Cold War. Graduated from EOD dive school, knew underwater demolitions well, etc. At one point he told me that during happier US/Russia times (remember, this was right after the Cold War ended) his unit had a joint meetup/training with an equivalent Spetznaz unit (hard to imagine something like that happening now, eh?).

    Talking to him I got the impression he was highly impressed with the Russians’ knowledge, skills and toughness. I figure that it’s not inconceivable that before the Cold War ended, that unit also had some Ukrainians in the ranks, who afterward made their way back to their newly independent homeland and joined it’s armed forces, bringing their institutional knowledge and skills with them; knowledge and skills that have been passed down to the present day in the Ukrainian military.

    So I think it’s possible the personnel are there in Ukraine who could carry out such a mission-but I think the logistics and access to specialized equipment (and geographical access) would have been impossible without the explicit help of NATO.

    I still think it’s very unlikely the Ukrainians carried out this sabotage, though. I think Hersh’s scenario is much more likely. That’s the real Occam’s Razor, not a “Ukrainians did it” scenario, which is the long way around the block, IMHO.

    • Replies: @JosephD
    @Dnought


    I still think it’s very unlikely the Ukrainians carried out this sabotage, though. I think Hersh’s scenario is much more likely. That’s the real Occam’s Razor, not a “Ukrainians did it” scenario, which is the long way around the block, IMHO.
     
    Concur. Adding Ukraine to the mix adds all sorts of complexity:
    1. Where did they get the skilled divers?
    2. How did they pull this off in the middle of one of the most patrolled and surveilled regions of the ocean?

    Conceivably some Ukrainians rented a boat for plausible deniability, but #1 and #2 point to strong NATO involvement.
    , @Ben Kurtz
    @Dnought

    Yeah, it's not impossible that some Ukrainians got deep dive experience during the Soviet period.

    But that was well over 30 years ago.

    Like with flying a plane or performing eye surgery, you need to keep current with these skills. If you haven't practiced in decades, you can't just jump into the water and dive to 300 ft, or even 130 ft. Plus you're like 60 years old now.

    Replies: @Dnought

  105. Anonymous[256] • Disclaimer says:
    @Hypnotoad666
    Occam's Razor says "Generally, the simplest explanation is preferred."

    But how is it the simpler explanation for a Ukrainian colonel to independently create a plan that happens to fit U.S. long-term strategic objectives and Biden's explicit threats, get time off work from the Ukraine Army, get explosives and deep diving gear, get the funding, recruit six friends, travel abroad, anchor on top of a sensitive piece of infra-structure, and then set the explosives hundreds of feet deep on the pipeline itself without getting observed by the U.S. Navy, or any of the other six naval forces in the area?

    Wouldn't it involve fewer contingent variables for Biden to simply tell the CIA to do it? And for the CIA and our Kiev puppets to then frame some poor Ukie schmuck after Seymore Hersh broke the actual story?

    I think someone needs to take Occam's Razor away from Steve, before he cuts himself.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Corpse Tooth, @Anonymous

    You know, Ukrainians aren’t retards. The sabotage–not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying–wouldn’t be any more difficult for them than for the US. Nor has the CIA actually tended to be a smoothly functioning decisive organization regarding these things. So Steve is right: Occum’s Razor points to Ukraine which doesn’t include your additional “framing” step (a harder step than the actual sabotage.) I think you guys are confused by a different heuristic, the “blame the US/Jews” heuristic.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Anonymous

    To clarify: no, you do not need saturation diving. No, you do not need a diving bell. Though it is too deep to breathe compressed air safely, no, it is not too deep for SCUBA: trimix/heliox exist and aren't at all arcane. No, it is not hard to avoid being discovered. No, it is not hard to source the explosives, boat, etc. No, it is not hard to keep the boat in one place while divers are down! It's pretty comical how you guys act like it's mind-boggling that Ukrainians could do this.

    Replies: @Redneck Farmer, @Ben Kurtz

    , @Mr. Anon
    @Anonymous


    You know, Ukrainians aren’t retards. The sabotage–not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying–wouldn’t be any more difficult for them than for the US.
     
    So according to the Washington Post, the non-retard Ukrainians pulled off the Nord Stream job all by themselves.

    But, also according to the Washington Post, they had CIA help in attacking the Kerch Straight Bridge.

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/cia-involved-in-developing-drones-used-in-crimea-bridge-attack-report

    The Ukrainians had American help attacking a bridge in what they claim to be their own territory, but they go rogue, with no American involvement, when attacking a pipeline in the Baltic that is half owned by a NATO member (Germany).

    And you buy that?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Anonymous

    , @OK Boomer
    @Anonymous

    "Ukrainians aren’t retards." Wrong. Those who were adults, yet chose to stay in Ukraine in 2020 were definitely retards.

  106. @Arclight
    It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential. You have to a total rube at this point to trust official messaging on just about any major foreign or domestic cultural issue at this point, but this was such a pathetic lie that outlets like the NYT and WaPo unblinkingly relayed to the masses.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Rusty Tailgate, @Dnought, @quewin

    Agree, but gosh there sure are a lot of “total rubes” out there. Makes me almost want to get into some kind of bridge-selling business.

    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.

    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @Dnought


    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right?
     
    http://web.archive.org/web/20000901224238/https://www.chesterton.org/qmeister2/any-everything.htm

    H/T: John Derbyshire

    Replies: @Bill, @Dnought

    , @Arclight
    @Dnought

    Absolutely - the number of conventionally intelligent people I have met that buy every major leftist/media (but I repeat myself) narrative hook, line and sinker is astonishing.

    Just underscores that a lot of people's political beliefs are a product of who they want to signal to, rather than reasoned consideration.

    , @quewin
    @Dnought


    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.
     
    I’ve related this exact observation, including the Chesterton quote, to other people out in the wild.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  107. I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I’m thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.

    That gives me an idea:

    Let’s just apply Occam’s box cutter to everything that happens. Cut our questions into crude, simple pieces. Cardboard reality. It makes thinking easier, like watching sportsball where there are two sides.

    A bit of advice: Grownups know it doesn’t matter who does the bad guys’ dirty work or how they do it.

    • Replies: @Ron Unz
    @Buzz Mohawk


    I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I’m thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.
     
    LOL. Someone pointed me to this post.

    The destruction of the $30 billion Nord Stream pipelines was surely the largest act of industrial terrorism in the history of the world, so it's certainly quite plausible that the operation was carried out by a handful of shadowy Ukrainian activists in a rented sailboat.

    After all, we all know that JFK was assassinated by a lone nut named Lee Harvey Oswald and that the gigantic 9/11 attacks were carried out by nineteen random Arabs armed with box-cutters so there's ample precedent.

    Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that's what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.

    Still, Hersh, America's most renowned investigative journalist, has raised one slightly suspicious detail on the other side. He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious about who was actually responsible, given that the attack was an outright act of war against Germany and NATO. So Biden and his people might have naturally tasked the CIA and the DIA to determine who had destroyed the pipelines and report back to him. Yet oddly enough no such request was ever made.

    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.

    Replies: @Gordo, @Bill Jones, @Corvinus, @Pierre de Craon

  108. Anonymous[256] • Disclaimer says:
    @Anonymous
    @Hypnotoad666

    You know, Ukrainians aren't retards. The sabotage--not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying--wouldn't be any more difficult for them than for the US. Nor has the CIA actually tended to be a smoothly functioning decisive organization regarding these things. So Steve is right: Occum's Razor points to Ukraine which doesn't include your additional "framing" step (a harder step than the actual sabotage.) I think you guys are confused by a different heuristic, the "blame the US/Jews" heuristic.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @OK Boomer

    To clarify: no, you do not need saturation diving. No, you do not need a diving bell. Though it is too deep to breathe compressed air safely, no, it is not too deep for SCUBA: trimix/heliox exist and aren’t at all arcane. No, it is not hard to avoid being discovered. No, it is not hard to source the explosives, boat, etc. No, it is not hard to keep the boat in one place while divers are down! It’s pretty comical how you guys act like it’s mind-boggling that Ukrainians could do this.

    • Replies: @Redneck Farmer
    @Anonymous

    "They want us to believe Arabs can fly jets!"

    , @Ben Kurtz
    @Anonymous

    I've met plenty of divers in my day, and the only ones who had any meaningful bottom time at 300 ft+ were a handful of commercial / oilfield divers I met in England.

    Yes, recreational tec diving exists, and yes, 300 ft is a realistic tec depth, but the number of dives and the amount of work to be done to disable Nord Stream points to very specialized experience.

    Replies: @Anonymous

  109. @Mr. Anon

    More plausibly, many argued that it had to be a giant operation involving the U.S. Navy and the entire United States military-industrial complex, rather like the vast project to assassinate the President described by Donald Sutherland’s character in Oliver Stone’s JFK.
     
    There's a strawman buried somewhere in that snark.

    It could also be the case that it was a modestly scaled operation that was conducted by the US Government.

    Or by Ukrainians with the aid of the US Government. Or by Ukrainians (and perhaps others) with the US Government looking the other way.

    But the fact that US Government officials, right up to Joey Diapers himself, were predicting the "ending" of Nord Stream (he even said "WE will end it") and that after the fact officials like Vicki "Cookies" Nuland were praising the sabotage of Nord Stream as a happy occurrence suggest that, at the very least, the US Government was on-board with the plan and approved.

    Replies: @Abe, @The Anti-Gnostic, @Adam Smith

    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @Adam Smith

    January 2022:
    https://twitter.com/StateDept/status/1486818088016355336

    January 2023:
    Nuland is "gratified" that Nord Stream 2 is "a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea"
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-oCXnKDAqA


    Victoria Nuland, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs at the U.S. Department of State, testifies at the hearing "Countering Russian Aggression: Ukraine and Beyond" held by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on January 26, 2023.
     

    Replies: @ic1000

  110. @Anonymous
    Only a submarine containing the specialized equipment needed for a team of saturation divers, and a team of the said saturation divers could possibly have pulled off that stunt.
    Only the US Navy has that sort of capability.

    Saturation diving is the technique used to enable divers to cope with the extreme pressures of the deep sea, in which the diver is forced to breath heliox at pressures many times atmospheric. Also, hot water, supplied by the means of an 'umbilical' which also delivers the heliox and Comms, is needed for survival in the icy waters of the Baltic. The hot water freely circulates within the dive suit.

    Replies: @Shale boi, @Gordo, @ThreeCranes, @Rich23

    Only the US Navy has that sort of capability.

    Negatory good buddy, the Royal Navy can’t stop ‘migrants’ crossing the English Channel but they certainly also have that sort of capacity.

  111. I’ll say again what I said before: you can’t take a piss in the Baltic without NATO knowing the colour of your urine stream.

    • Agree: YetAnotherAnon
  112. @Anonymous
    @Hypnotoad666

    You know, Ukrainians aren't retards. The sabotage--not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying--wouldn't be any more difficult for them than for the US. Nor has the CIA actually tended to be a smoothly functioning decisive organization regarding these things. So Steve is right: Occum's Razor points to Ukraine which doesn't include your additional "framing" step (a harder step than the actual sabotage.) I think you guys are confused by a different heuristic, the "blame the US/Jews" heuristic.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @OK Boomer

    You know, Ukrainians aren’t retards. The sabotage–not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying–wouldn’t be any more difficult for them than for the US.

    So according to the Washington Post, the non-retard Ukrainians pulled off the Nord Stream job all by themselves.

    But, also according to the Washington Post, they had CIA help in attacking the Kerch Straight Bridge.

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/cia-involved-in-developing-drones-used-in-crimea-bridge-attack-report

    The Ukrainians had American help attacking a bridge in what they claim to be their own territory, but they go rogue, with no American involvement, when attacking a pipeline in the Baltic that is half owned by a NATO member (Germany).

    And you buy that?

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Mr. Anon

    Everybody agrees that the Kerch Bridge explosion was a Ukrainian operation, but has it been definitively determined whether it was a truck on top of the bridge or a boat underneath the bridge? I leaned toward the latter based on the initial surveillance camera video, but the last I heard, everybody was agreeing it was a truck instead. But I could also imagine that was disinformation.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @YetAnotherAnon, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    , @Anonymous
    @Mr. Anon


    they go rogue, with no American involvement, when attacking a pipeline in the Baltic that is half owned by a NATO member (Germany).
     
    The second half of this statement makes the first half more likely, not less.
  113. @Charlesz Martel
    I want to believe that Ukraine did it, and that these guys pulled it off.

    It was risky, brave, courageous and patriotic. Their country is getting invaded, in place to be dismembered, and they're teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.

    Good for them.

    If you don't want your shit blown up and your people killed, don't invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.

    It's not that difficult a concept to grasp.

    We have to teach the Japs the same lesson in World War II.

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality, @Anonymous, @YetAnotherAnon

    they’re teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.

    The Germans invaded them? Because that’s who is paying the price along with the rest of Europe.

    FYI, our people aren’t cannon fodder for your various wars anymore. So you can drop the gungo WWII crap that works with the nursing home crowd. Try using the Chinese.

    • Replies: @Charlesz Martel
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    Who are "our people"? Which foreign country is sending troops to assist the Ukrainians?

    , @Charlesz Martel
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    So in your view, having to pay more for heating gas is the same as having your cities bombed and people killed?

    Gee, based on your illogical equivalence, the only thing that matters is the cost of an item?

    I think that's the thinking that caused our immigration crisis- immigrants do it cheaper, so it must be better for the country. Never mind the off-balance sheet costs.

    Why is it gung-ho to admire a people fighting to push an invader out? Especially if it's the same country that starved millions of your countrymen to death within living memory?

    Paging Walter Durranty- you have a fan!

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

  114. from the Washington Post, in a joint investigation with Der Spiegel of the Nord Stream pipeline sabotage of 2022.

    according to officials in Ukraine and elsewhere in Europe,

    Gee, no reason not to believe Der Spiegel, The Washington Post and “officials in the Ukraine”. They would never lie to us, would they? After all, they never did before…

  115. @Mr. Anon
    @Anonymous


    You know, Ukrainians aren’t retards. The sabotage–not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying–wouldn’t be any more difficult for them than for the US.
     
    So according to the Washington Post, the non-retard Ukrainians pulled off the Nord Stream job all by themselves.

    But, also according to the Washington Post, they had CIA help in attacking the Kerch Straight Bridge.

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/cia-involved-in-developing-drones-used-in-crimea-bridge-attack-report

    The Ukrainians had American help attacking a bridge in what they claim to be their own territory, but they go rogue, with no American involvement, when attacking a pipeline in the Baltic that is half owned by a NATO member (Germany).

    And you buy that?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Anonymous

    Everybody agrees that the Kerch Bridge explosion was a Ukrainian operation, but has it been definitively determined whether it was a truck on top of the bridge or a boat underneath the bridge? I leaned toward the latter based on the initial surveillance camera video, but the last I heard, everybody was agreeing it was a truck instead. But I could also imagine that was disinformation.

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Steve Sailer


    Everybody agrees that the Kerch Bridge explosion was a Ukrainian operation...................
     
    The WaPo article stated that it was done with CIA assistance. And, moreover, that the CIA has been working closely with the current NATO-aligned regime that has governed Ukraine since 2014 (what was that called, by the way, the "Burlap Revolution"? - I don't know.)

    As long as we're citing WaPo as authoritative, the above mentioned assertion seems relevant to the Nord Stream caper as well.
    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Steve Sailer

    Steve, there have been more quite a few attacks on the Kerch bridge, but the two damaging ones were by truck and months later by boat.

    The truck had a patsy driver who died, I forget the start country but it may have been Armenia or Bulgaria. It also killed a family who happened to be driving on the bridge and either by chance or design, damaged an oil train on the bridge above.

    The boats were remotely piloted drones, perhaps a UK development - in fact Russia had attacked a bridge south of Odessa with a similar drone months before. My understanding is that since the attack, the bridge is protected by floating barriers, though you obviously can't use those where marine traffic goes under the bridge.

    Could I just raise my eyebrows slightly at your readiness to believe WaPo on this one? I think Biden's recorded statements, and those of that foreign affairs harpy, are more believable.

    , @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Steve Sailer

    But Kerch Bridge is either Russian or Ukrainian depending on hiw you look at the situation.

    But Nord Stream was German; therefore, any attack on it is an attack on Germany and thus NATO. So, in your view, Ukraine attacked NATO.

    What say you, Steve?

    Replies: @Jack D

  116. Aside from a handful of taboo topics that are his bread and butter, Steve prides himself on being a mainstream, middle-of-the-road Boobus Americanus. That’s why he casually dismisses JFK and RFK conspiracy theories, plunged headlong into Covid hysteria, took “national pride” in Bob Dylan’s joke Nobel, found nice things to say about Hamilton the musical, and applauds Margo Robbie’s choice as Barbie. I’m not saying he’s wrong on all of these things (except the last one, which is a travesty), but there’s a pattern here, and it does make him less interesting to read on those occasions. (Which is okay. To be interesting all the time is actually quite boring, too. See some other columnists here on TUR.)

    • Replies: @Cool Daddy Jimbo
    @tomv


    ... and applauds Margo Robbie’s choice as Barbie. I’m not saying he’s wrong on all of these things (except the last one, which is a travesty) ...
     
    Well played.
    , @Dumbo
    @tomv

    iSteve: the big media is always lying and is blocking all my "noticing"
    Also iSteve: the big media is saying the same things I say and proving I am right.

    I guess there are limits for using the WaPo/NYT as your basic source material.

    , @Colin Wright
    @tomv


    'Aside from a handful of taboo topics that are his bread and butter, Steve prides himself on being a mainstream, middle-of-the-road Boobus Americanus...'
     
    Yeah, but that gives Steve street cred -- in a very boring sense.

    If Andrew Anglin says '_______,' you go, 'uhuh. Anything to this?' If Steve Sailer says it, you go 'Jeepers. Must be so.'

    Assuming Steve has a limited range of targets but wants to have maximum impact, it's pretty smart, rhetorically.
  117. Anonymous[233] • Disclaimer says:
    @Charlesz Martel
    I want to believe that Ukraine did it, and that these guys pulled it off.

    It was risky, brave, courageous and patriotic. Their country is getting invaded, in place to be dismembered, and they're teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.

    Good for them.

    If you don't want your shit blown up and your people killed, don't invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.

    It's not that difficult a concept to grasp.

    We have to teach the Japs the same lesson in World War II.

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality, @Anonymous, @YetAnotherAnon

    If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.

    You have it backwards. It is the zionist jews that need to learn that lesson. They are the invaders and the killers. The international community, but especially the United States, needs to stop enabling the zionists so that they are forced to learn that lesson.

    • Agree: Colin Wright
    • Thanks: Bill Jones
    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @Anonymous

    I think you are both right. The Israelis and Palestinians are both justified in killing the other group.

    , @Charlesz Martel
    @Anonymous

    As killers, the Zionist don't seem to be doing a very good job of genocide. There are more Arabs and Palestinians than ever.

    Some genocide.

    What about all the Jews, who had done nothing to the Arabs living in Arab lands ( that only became Arab Muslim after pushing out Christians, Jews, and everyone else) that were expelled after Israel's creation. Israel took them in. The Arabs won't take in the Palestinians. In fact, the people who know the Palestinians best, their "Arab Brothers", want absolutely nothing to do with them. If they're not throwing them out like Kuwait did in 1991 when they threw out 300,000, or Jordan in 1970 when they killed tens of thousands in what the Arabs call "Black September", they're fighting Christians in Lebanon after they took over and destroyed that country.

    Please go ahead and exalt the mud over the fish. It says a lot about your mental abilities. Or go find a willing goat.

    It's quite comical to see you hold up these defectives as some sort of ""Noble Cause" to be exalted.

  118. @Reg Cæsar
    So the Qataris are off the hook now?


    https://www.aiche.org/sites/default/files/images/cep/inline/2017-02-01-Feature/2017-02-01-Qatars-Chemical-Industry-Monetizing-Natural-Gas/images/fig_01.jpg


    I was "following the money". Is war more important to some people?

    Replies: @Somsel

    Now you’re delving into motive, an essential element of any crime.

    I think the Chinese had a lot to gain from blowing the NordStream.

    This pushed the Germans into economic retreat as they have to switch from cheap Russian gas to something else for their manufacturing. Which are two of the largest manufacturing economies? Their Energiewende was shown to be self-delusion and they had to start sucking up to the LNG exporters like Qatar, Australia, and the US. That costs more. Cheap energy drives competitive economies.

    The Chinese also win by creating monosopolistic conditions for Russian energy exports. Of course new pipelines will have to be built to connect gas fields to Chinese markets but those have been in planning for a long time. Russia becomes a Chinese vassal state over time.

    Evidence? I got none but we can say the Chinese have two of the elements – motive and, I assume, means.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Somsel

    "I think the Chinese had a lot to gain from blowing the NordStream....this pushed the Germans into economic retreat ...cheap energy drives competitive economies."

    It's certainly true that China will get cheap Russian energy, but they were going to get plenty anyway, Power Of Siberia 1 is operational and 2 hasn't started the build yet.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Altai_gas_pipeline

    But China wants Russia to prosper, especially militarily, as they know they are next on the list (indeed, we see a possibility that the US may want to fight Russia, Iran and China simultaneously - in either scenario a strong Russia is vital to them).

    The German economy, basically the only truly productive economy in the west, has been hit very hard. The business papers are blaming everything bar the loss of Nordstream 2.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/nov/10/why-germanys-once-miracle-economy-is-turning-into-a-mirage


    Industrial production has fallen for five straight months and is more than 7% below its pre-pandemic levels. The International Monetary Fund expects Germany to be the weakest economy in the G7 group of leading rich nations this year, and the only one to see output fall.

    Carsten Brzeski, the global head of macro at ING bank, says Germany’s problems were a mixture of the cyclical and the structural. “How much is down to each? It is impossible to disentangle but it’s both.”

    After shrinking this year between July and September there was a good chance, according to Brzeski, of a similarly weak performance in the final three months of 2023. Those two consecutive quarters of contraction would leave the economy in a technical recession.

     

  119. @Anonymous
    You know and I know and you know that I know that I know that you know that I know that it was

    Sailer and Charles Murray who did it. They blew it up.

    Why else would Sailer try to cover it up by blaming some other actor?

    Replies: @Redneck Farmer

    At last, the truth!

  120. • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Sounds good to me. I don't remember voting for my country to be a global garbage dump.

    , @MEH 0910
    @JohnnyWalker123

    archived link:
    https://web.archive.org/web/20231114025647/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html


    Sweeping Raids, Giant Camps and Mass Deportations: Inside Trump’s 2025 Immigration Plans
    If he regains power, Donald Trump wants not only to revive some of the immigration policies criticized as draconian during his presidency, but expand and toughen them.
    By Charlie Savage, Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan
    Nov. 11, 2023
    [...]
    In interviews with The New York Times, several Trump advisers gave the most expansive and detailed description yet of Mr. Trump’s immigration agenda in a potential second term. In particular, Mr. Trump’s campaign referred questions for this article to Stephen Miller, an architect of Mr. Trump’s first-term immigration policies who remains close to him and is expected to serve in a senior role in a second administration.
     

    All of the steps Trump advisers are preparing, Mr. Miller contended in a wide-ranging interview, rely on existing statutes; while the Trump team would likely seek a revamp of immigration laws, the plan was crafted to need no new substantive legislation. And while acknowledging that lawsuits would arise to challenge nearly every one of them, he portrayed the Trump team’s daunting array of tactics as a “blitz” designed to overwhelm immigrant-rights lawyers.

    “Any activists who doubt President Trump’s resolve in the slightest are making a drastic error: Trump will unleash the vast arsenal of federal powers to implement the most spectacular migration crackdown,” Mr. Miller said, adding, “The immigration legal activists won’t know what’s happening.”
     

  121. @Anonymous
    @Anonymous

    To clarify: no, you do not need saturation diving. No, you do not need a diving bell. Though it is too deep to breathe compressed air safely, no, it is not too deep for SCUBA: trimix/heliox exist and aren't at all arcane. No, it is not hard to avoid being discovered. No, it is not hard to source the explosives, boat, etc. No, it is not hard to keep the boat in one place while divers are down! It's pretty comical how you guys act like it's mind-boggling that Ukrainians could do this.

    Replies: @Redneck Farmer, @Ben Kurtz

    “They want us to believe Arabs can fly jets!”

  122. @Anonymous
    @BB753


    Have you been reading the latest reports on the war? Ukraine never stood a chance.
     
    Reference please? Hasn’t Ukraine fought Russia to a stalemate?

    Replies: @BB753

    “Hasn’t Ukraine fought Russia to a stalemate?”

    Only on CNN.

  123. @Steve Sailer
    @Mr. Anon

    Everybody agrees that the Kerch Bridge explosion was a Ukrainian operation, but has it been definitively determined whether it was a truck on top of the bridge or a boat underneath the bridge? I leaned toward the latter based on the initial surveillance camera video, but the last I heard, everybody was agreeing it was a truck instead. But I could also imagine that was disinformation.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @YetAnotherAnon, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    Everybody agrees that the Kerch Bridge explosion was a Ukrainian operation……………….

    The WaPo article stated that it was done with CIA assistance. And, moreover, that the CIA has been working closely with the current NATO-aligned regime that has governed Ukraine since 2014 (what was that called, by the way, the “Burlap Revolution”? – I don’t know.)

    As long as we’re citing WaPo as authoritative, the above mentioned assertion seems relevant to the Nord Stream caper as well.

  124. @Anon
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality


    The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.
     
    What was their goal then?

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @tyrone

    What was their goal then?

    to de-nazi-fy Ukraine, i.e. kill the nazis ..the average age of the Ukrainian soldier is 42 ,I would say they are well on their way to achieving their war aims ,hence the meat-grinder strategy……..A secondary effect has been to drain western arsenals ……funny how another war has popped up.

    • Agree: Robertson
  125. @Dnought
    @Ben Kurtz

    Used to have a friend who was an diver for the U.S. Navy around the end of the Cold War. Graduated from EOD dive school, knew underwater demolitions well, etc. At one point he told me that during happier US/Russia times (remember, this was right after the Cold War ended) his unit had a joint meetup/training with an equivalent Spetznaz unit (hard to imagine something like that happening now, eh?).

    Talking to him I got the impression he was highly impressed with the Russians' knowledge, skills and toughness. I figure that it's not inconceivable that before the Cold War ended, that unit also had some Ukrainians in the ranks, who afterward made their way back to their newly independent homeland and joined it's armed forces, bringing their institutional knowledge and skills with them; knowledge and skills that have been passed down to the present day in the Ukrainian military.

    So I think it's possible the personnel are there in Ukraine who could carry out such a mission-but I think the logistics and access to specialized equipment (and geographical access) would have been impossible without the explicit help of NATO.

    I still think it's very unlikely the Ukrainians carried out this sabotage, though. I think Hersh's scenario is much more likely. That's the real Occam's Razor, not a "Ukrainians did it" scenario, which is the long way around the block, IMHO.

    Replies: @JosephD, @Ben Kurtz

    I still think it’s very unlikely the Ukrainians carried out this sabotage, though. I think Hersh’s scenario is much more likely. That’s the real Occam’s Razor, not a “Ukrainians did it” scenario, which is the long way around the block, IMHO.

    Concur. Adding Ukraine to the mix adds all sorts of complexity:
    1. Where did they get the skilled divers?
    2. How did they pull this off in the middle of one of the most patrolled and surveilled regions of the ocean?

    Conceivably some Ukrainians rented a boat for plausible deniability, but #1 and #2 point to strong NATO involvement.

  126. @Dnought
    @Ben Kurtz

    Used to have a friend who was an diver for the U.S. Navy around the end of the Cold War. Graduated from EOD dive school, knew underwater demolitions well, etc. At one point he told me that during happier US/Russia times (remember, this was right after the Cold War ended) his unit had a joint meetup/training with an equivalent Spetznaz unit (hard to imagine something like that happening now, eh?).

    Talking to him I got the impression he was highly impressed with the Russians' knowledge, skills and toughness. I figure that it's not inconceivable that before the Cold War ended, that unit also had some Ukrainians in the ranks, who afterward made their way back to their newly independent homeland and joined it's armed forces, bringing their institutional knowledge and skills with them; knowledge and skills that have been passed down to the present day in the Ukrainian military.

    So I think it's possible the personnel are there in Ukraine who could carry out such a mission-but I think the logistics and access to specialized equipment (and geographical access) would have been impossible without the explicit help of NATO.

    I still think it's very unlikely the Ukrainians carried out this sabotage, though. I think Hersh's scenario is much more likely. That's the real Occam's Razor, not a "Ukrainians did it" scenario, which is the long way around the block, IMHO.

    Replies: @JosephD, @Ben Kurtz

    Yeah, it’s not impossible that some Ukrainians got deep dive experience during the Soviet period.

    But that was well over 30 years ago.

    Like with flying a plane or performing eye surgery, you need to keep current with these skills. If you haven’t practiced in decades, you can’t just jump into the water and dive to 300 ft, or even 130 ft. Plus you’re like 60 years old now.

    • Thanks: YetAnotherAnon
    • Replies: @Dnought
    @Ben Kurtz

    Yes, I'm well aware it was over 30 years ago. But as I said I wouldn't be surprised if some of those guys didn't land in the nascent Ukrainian military after the Cold War end/Ukrainian independence, bringing their institutional knowledge and skills with them; knowledge and skills that have been passed down to the present day in the Ukrainian military.

    There is such a thing as training new people over the years, after all. It's one of the ways organizations survive.

    Replies: @Ben Kurtz

  127. @Dnought
    @Arclight

    Agree, but gosh there sure are a lot of "total rubes" out there. Makes me almost want to get into some kind of bridge-selling business.

    Chesterton wrote something about people who don't believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Arclight, @quewin

    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right?

    http://web.archive.org/web/20000901224238/https://www.chesterton.org/qmeister2/any-everything.htm

    H/T: John Derbyshire

    • Replies: @Bill
    @MEH 0910

    Indeed. Chesterton said something very like that pseudo-quote scores of times, but somehow never quite came out with the pithy version he is commonly credited with. Still, it's kind of silly to claim that he didn't say it (not saying you are claiming this). He said it in other words many, many times.

    , @Dnought
    @MEH 0910

    Interesting. So if I read that correctly, the exact "quote" actually came from the pen of someone (Accardo) who wrote a literary criticism study of Chesterton's Father Brown stories, interpreting a couple of lines in two separate stories and then paraphrasing, rather than from Chesterton himself.

    Accardo's interpretation of Chesterton's intent in the quotes he cites seems to be broadly correct, but there's no actual exact or very close quote in Chesterton's writings. But over the years the exact quote from the author of the study has mistakenly been attributed to Chesterton himself.

  128. @Voltarde
    The Washington Post's credibility on any serious foreign policy matter is highly suspect: it's a de facto agency of the U.S. Intelligence State, our unconstitutional fourth and most powerful branch of the federal government.

    In 2011, it was estimated that about half of Ukrainians have relatives in Russia, and there are now 5 million Ukrainian refugees in Russia seeking shelter from the Kiev regime. What you describe as "the state that currently hates Russia most" is better described as an illegitimate regime that the U.S. UniParty installed in 2014 after the violent overthrow of the democratically elected government of the Ukraine. In the 2014 coup, the illegitimate regime's shock troops were neo-Nazi thugs funded by a handful of corrupt Ukrainian oligarchs. Since 2014 the Kiev regime has received hundreds of billions of dollars of funding and weaponry from the U.S. and the EU to brainwash Ukrainians to "hate Russia most", and as a result, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians have needlessly died in the current conflict.

    Long before February 2022 the U.S. UniParty has tried to prevent the EU from benefiting from affordable, relatively clean natural gas supplies from Russia delivered by increased capacity via the NordStream II pipeline. Everyone knows who funded last year's pipeline attacks (the U.S.), who authorized it (the U.S.); who provided the ISR for it and planned it (the U.S., with plausible deniability), and who benefited from it: the U.S. (LNG supplier), Norway (increased EU gas market share), and Poland (newly built LNG infrastructure). There are several countries' governments that also know the answers to other questions of lesser importance: who carried it out (U.S., U.K., Poles, Ukrainians, or all of the above?), how they did it, and the available evidence.

    The most important question for people living in ostensibly democratic western nations is this: Why are western governments unwilling to tell the truth to their own citizens about the NordStream pipeline bombings--a flagrant act of war against Germany (and hence NATO!) as well as Russia? Chancellor Olaf Scholz's silence on this matter is a betrayal of the German state and people.

    Replies: @Dieter Kief

    Olaf Scholz about the rasons he can’t say more about the Nort Stream explosions: Because we don’t know.

    The Norwegians who had done an official investigation about their reasons, why they could not go public with their findings: This would touch security interests.

    Jeff Sachs about the reasosn he thinks the blow-up was a US backed covert operation: Because the evidence we have is strongly going in this direction.

  129. @Anonymous
    Only a submarine containing the specialized equipment needed for a team of saturation divers, and a team of the said saturation divers could possibly have pulled off that stunt.
    Only the US Navy has that sort of capability.

    Saturation diving is the technique used to enable divers to cope with the extreme pressures of the deep sea, in which the diver is forced to breath heliox at pressures many times atmospheric. Also, hot water, supplied by the means of an 'umbilical' which also delivers the heliox and Comms, is needed for survival in the icy waters of the Baltic. The hot water freely circulates within the dive suit.

    Replies: @Shale boi, @Gordo, @ThreeCranes, @Rich23

    No manned sub or hi-tech divers necessary. The charges were placed by a robotic submersible and detonated after it had skedaddled.

  130. @Anonymous
    @Anonymous

    To clarify: no, you do not need saturation diving. No, you do not need a diving bell. Though it is too deep to breathe compressed air safely, no, it is not too deep for SCUBA: trimix/heliox exist and aren't at all arcane. No, it is not hard to avoid being discovered. No, it is not hard to source the explosives, boat, etc. No, it is not hard to keep the boat in one place while divers are down! It's pretty comical how you guys act like it's mind-boggling that Ukrainians could do this.

    Replies: @Redneck Farmer, @Ben Kurtz

    I’ve met plenty of divers in my day, and the only ones who had any meaningful bottom time at 300 ft+ were a handful of commercial / oilfield divers I met in England.

    Yes, recreational tec diving exists, and yes, 300 ft is a realistic tec depth, but the number of dives and the amount of work to be done to disable Nord Stream points to very specialized experience.

    • Agree: Gordo
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Ben Kurtz

    Well, I doubt they just walked into a dive shop and grabbed the first few dudes they saw. (Not to say that they couldn't have trained people: tec diving isn't rocket science.) Ukraine has >40 million people and significant offshore industry: they have people with comparable experience.

    Replies: @Intelligent Dasein

  131. The other thing that bothers is that the actual pipeline is one of the world’s wonders. This documentary shows just how technically sophisticated it is.

    Why would Putin blow up something that was so difficult, time consuming and expensive to make? Wouldn’t it make more sense to blow up some dummy piece of crap?

  132. @Anonymous
    @Pixo

    I don't support Hamas, but that guy's username is ironically (or not) a good example of how dehumanizing weaker/less civilized peoples leads to great evil.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cromwellian_conquest_of_Ireland

    Replies: @Pixo, @YetAnotherAnon

    While there’s no doubt that Cromwell’s religious beliefs were instrumental in some major atrocities, I would not rely on Wikipedia for anything politically contentious, a subject that very much includes English/Irish relations.

    A better judge might be Churchill, himself no stranger to the killing of innocents. His words are pretty apposite today, as the destroyers of Iraq and Libya place their wreaths at the Cenotaph in London, alongside the “no Gaza ceasefire” figures of our Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition.

    In another letter to Speaker Lenthall he (Cromwell) gave further details. “Divers of the Enemy retreated into the Mill-Mount: a place very strong and of difficult access. . . . The Governor, Sir Arthur Ashton, and divers considerable Officers being there, our men getting up to them, were ordered by me to put them all to the sword. And indeed, being in the heat of action, I forbade them to spare any that were in arms in the Town: and, I think, that night they put to the sword about 2000 men; —divers of the officers and soldiers being fled over the Bridge into the other part of the Town, where about 100 of them possessed St Peter’s Church-steeple… These being summoned to yield to mercy, refused. Whereupon I ordered the steeple of St Peter’s Church to be fired, when one of them was heard to say in the midst of the flames, ‘God damn me, God confound me; I burn, I burn.’ ”

    “I am persuaded,” Cromwell added, ‘‘that this is a righteous judgment of God upon these barbarous wretches, who have imbrued their hands in so much innocent blood.” A similar atrocity was perpetrated a few weeks later at the storm of Wexford.

    In the safe and comfortable days of Queen Victoria…men thought such scenes were gone for ever…

    The twentieth century has sharply recalled its intellectuals from such vain indulgences. We have seen the technique of ‘‘frightfulness” applied in our own time with Cromwellian brutality and upon a far larger scale… It is necessary to recur to the simpler principle that the wholesale slaughter of unarmed or disarmed men marks with a mordant and eternal brand the memory of conquerors, however they may have prospered.

  133. This smacks of CIA don’t blame us, look! A man behind a curtain! bullshit
    Their best case against it being a US operation was that it was largely successful.

  134. @tomv
    Aside from a handful of taboo topics that are his bread and butter, Steve prides himself on being a mainstream, middle-of-the-road Boobus Americanus. That's why he casually dismisses JFK and RFK conspiracy theories, plunged headlong into Covid hysteria, took "national pride" in Bob Dylan's joke Nobel, found nice things to say about Hamilton the musical, and applauds Margo Robbie's choice as Barbie. I'm not saying he's wrong on all of these things (except the last one, which is a travesty), but there's a pattern here, and it does make him less interesting to read on those occasions. (Which is okay. To be interesting all the time is actually quite boring, too. See some other columnists here on TUR.)

    Replies: @Cool Daddy Jimbo, @Dumbo, @Colin Wright

    … and applauds Margo Robbie’s choice as Barbie. I’m not saying he’s wrong on all of these things (except the last one, which is a travesty) …

    Well played.

  135. @Pixo
    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    Personally I thought it was Poland or Ukraine. The “Russia might have done it” line struck me as mostly non-serious trolling by Ukrainian partisans, similar to the Ukrainian policy of never taking responsibility for drone attacks on targets in Russia proper, and the Russian policy of pretending its cruise missile strikes on Ukrainian targets were all Ukrainian misfires or frame jobs.

    https://twitter.com/Lorlordylor/status/1723453299826078206

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin, @Anonymous, @Anonymous, @Stan Adams, @MEH 0910

    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.

    September 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112115215/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia/

    European leaders blame Russian ‘sabotage’ after Nord Stream explosions

    December 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112114914/https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/21/russia-nord-stream-explosions/

    No conclusive evidence Russia is behind Nord Stream attack
    World leaders were quick to blame Moscow for explosions along the undersea natural gas pipelines. But some Western officials now doubt the Kremlin was responsible.

    • Replies: @Pixo
    @MEH 0910

    Those articles support what I said. Random officials vaguely and anonymously suggested it might have been Russia. The only direct on the record blame of Russia was trolling by a Uke partisan, the Polish PM.

    , @JimDandy
    @MEH 0910

    BREAKING... We Can't Be 100% Sure That Russia Blew Up Their Own Pipeline But, You Know, It's Pretty Much Certain That Russia Blew Up Their Own Pipeline, I Mean, Like, Would You Put ANYthing Past Putin?

  136. @Steve Sailer
    @Mr. Anon

    Everybody agrees that the Kerch Bridge explosion was a Ukrainian operation, but has it been definitively determined whether it was a truck on top of the bridge or a boat underneath the bridge? I leaned toward the latter based on the initial surveillance camera video, but the last I heard, everybody was agreeing it was a truck instead. But I could also imagine that was disinformation.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @YetAnotherAnon, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    Steve, there have been more quite a few attacks on the Kerch bridge, but the two damaging ones were by truck and months later by boat.

    The truck had a patsy driver who died, I forget the start country but it may have been Armenia or Bulgaria. It also killed a family who happened to be driving on the bridge and either by chance or design, damaged an oil train on the bridge above.

    The boats were remotely piloted drones, perhaps a UK development – in fact Russia had attacked a bridge south of Odessa with a similar drone months before. My understanding is that since the attack, the bridge is protected by floating barriers, though you obviously can’t use those where marine traffic goes under the bridge.

    Could I just raise my eyebrows slightly at your readiness to believe WaPo on this one? I think Biden’s recorded statements, and those of that foreign affairs harpy, are more believable.

  137. @Adam Smith
    @Mr. Anon

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dg_v2rTMbMM

    Replies: @MEH 0910

    January 2022:

    January 2023:
    Nuland is “gratified” that Nord Stream 2 is “a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea”

    Victoria Nuland, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs at the U.S. Department of State, testifies at the hearing “Countering Russian Aggression: Ukraine and Beyond” held by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on January 26, 2023.

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @MEH 0910

    So the Washington Post reports that anonymous U.S. officials now call the Nordstream sabotage "a dangerous attack on Europe's energy infrastructure."

    Given the reporters' outstanding connections to the Adminstration as well as to the Deep State, would it be too much for them to solicit on-the-record quotes from the senior U.S. officials most involved in the matter? If neocon supremos Victoria Nuland and Anthony Blinken have suddenly reversed themselves, isn't that sort of newsworthy?

    Added context in this tweet by Aaron Mate.

  138. @Harry Baldwin
    @Pixo

    Where's Lt. Michael Byrd when we need him?

    Replies: @Old Prude

    LOL, but Tyrd, I mean Byrd doesn’t have the stones to confront anyone but harmless girls. Not that he even confronted Ashli. What a P.O.S.

    • Agree: Achmed E. Newman
    • Replies: @Harry Baldwin
    @Old Prude

    I suspect that Byrd has an instinctive grasp of whom you can shoot with impunity and whom you can't.

  139. @Charlesz Martel
    I want to believe that Ukraine did it, and that these guys pulled it off.

    It was risky, brave, courageous and patriotic. Their country is getting invaded, in place to be dismembered, and they're teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.

    Good for them.

    If you don't want your shit blown up and your people killed, don't invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.

    It's not that difficult a concept to grasp.

    We have to teach the Japs the same lesson in World War II.

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality, @Anonymous, @YetAnotherAnon

    “If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people. I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.”

    But it’s the Palestinians who were invaded and had their people killed!

    https://www.un.org/unispal/about-the-nakba/

    I must say it shows a certain brass neck to steal the name of a remarkable European for your propaganda work.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Martel

    • Replies: @Charlesz Martel
    @YetAnotherAnon

    A remarkable European who knew how to deal with Muslims

    , @Charlesz Martel
    @YetAnotherAnon

    The "Palestinians", who never existed as a separate people from genetically indistinguishable Arabs, took over the land by force after the Romans primarily took it from the Jews, who were there for millennia before Mohammad raped his first nine year old or molested his first goat.

    If you want to go back to original indigenous people, it never ends.

    The Palestinians have 57 Arab countries they can go to and act like animals. Until their "Brother Arabs" kill them, that is.

  140. @tomv
    Aside from a handful of taboo topics that are his bread and butter, Steve prides himself on being a mainstream, middle-of-the-road Boobus Americanus. That's why he casually dismisses JFK and RFK conspiracy theories, plunged headlong into Covid hysteria, took "national pride" in Bob Dylan's joke Nobel, found nice things to say about Hamilton the musical, and applauds Margo Robbie's choice as Barbie. I'm not saying he's wrong on all of these things (except the last one, which is a travesty), but there's a pattern here, and it does make him less interesting to read on those occasions. (Which is okay. To be interesting all the time is actually quite boring, too. See some other columnists here on TUR.)

    Replies: @Cool Daddy Jimbo, @Dumbo, @Colin Wright

    iSteve: the big media is always lying and is blocking all my “noticing”
    Also iSteve: the big media is saying the same things I say and proving I am right.

    I guess there are limits for using the WaPo/NYT as your basic source material.

  141. @Dave Pinsen

    The suddenly popular argument that Russia blowing up Russia’s own strategic pipeline would be in Russia’s interest seems strained to me. I haven’t heard any terribly skillful arguments for this, which suggests that this came as a big surprise to the anti-Russian coalition.
     
    Insightful comment, but it’s worth remembering this wasn’t just an attack on Russian infrastructure but on German infrastructure too. So, if this is true, the Ukraine committed an act of war against NATO.

    Replies: @astrolabe

    I think the primary purpose of the attack might have been against Germany and surrounding countries, and only secondarily against Russian finances. If the pipeline had been intact, and last winter had been harsh, Germany and Europe might have softened their anti-russian stance in return for Russian gas. Even without the harsh winter, German industry seems to have suffered.

  142. @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Bill

    I love how Steve has made a career out of showing how the MSM and, particularly, the WaPo and NY Times lie or deceive themselves into believing ridiculous lies about HBD and crime.

    And then Steve turns around and believes everything that those same media people say about other topics.

    My goodness.

    Replies: @Bill

    Agree, and it’s not just Steve. It’s a characteristic of GOP supporters generally. They are firmly convinced that the media lie pretty much continuously about Republicans and their characteristic domestic issues. On the other hand, they are also firmly convinced that the lying stops at the water’s edge.

    It’s not that mysterious why they think this, though. Politics is all about tribal affiliation for virtually everyone. Republican and Democrat elites more or less agree on foreign policy, so there’s no tribal reason to dissent from the media line here.

    You have to get way out on the right or left to get significant foreign policy dissent.

    • Agree: Cagey Beast
  143. OT – Donald Trump attended UFC 295 and was accompanied by Jr., Dana White, Kid Rock, and Tucker Carlson.

  144. @MEH 0910
    @Dnought


    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right?
     
    http://web.archive.org/web/20000901224238/https://www.chesterton.org/qmeister2/any-everything.htm

    H/T: John Derbyshire

    Replies: @Bill, @Dnought

    Indeed. Chesterton said something very like that pseudo-quote scores of times, but somehow never quite came out with the pithy version he is commonly credited with. Still, it’s kind of silly to claim that he didn’t say it (not saying you are claiming this). He said it in other words many, many times.

  145. @Steve Sailer
    @Mr. Anon

    Everybody agrees that the Kerch Bridge explosion was a Ukrainian operation, but has it been definitively determined whether it was a truck on top of the bridge or a boat underneath the bridge? I leaned toward the latter based on the initial surveillance camera video, but the last I heard, everybody was agreeing it was a truck instead. But I could also imagine that was disinformation.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @YetAnotherAnon, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    But Kerch Bridge is either Russian or Ukrainian depending on hiw you look at the situation.

    But Nord Stream was German; therefore, any attack on it is an attack on Germany and thus NATO. So, in your view, Ukraine attacked NATO.

    What say you, Steve?

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Citizen of a Silly Country

    That's a lie. The majority owner of Nord Stream was Gazprom which is in turn majority owned by the Russian government which is in turn owned by Putin. So all Nord Stream decisions were ultimately made by Putin.


    https://www.nord-stream.com/about-us/our-shareholders/

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country

  146. @Bill Jones
    Also in the WaPo, the CIA front clearly gets the knives out for Biden.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/09/fbi-biden-golf-club-membership-probe/?utm_campaign=wp_post_most&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl_most


    Leading to this nice summary on Zerohedge.

    The Biden-Du Pont Nexus: From A Prestigious Golf Club To A Controversial Child Rape Plea Deal
     
    The word seems to be out : Pedo Joe has got to go.

    Replies: @ic1000, @Brutusale

    > the CIA front clearly gets the knives out for Biden.

    In The Tide Is Turning (good news for Gavin) Department, below the fold is yesterday’s tweet from liberal Wall St. billionaire, Anti-semitism foe, and heavyweight political contributor Bill Ackman.

    I didn’t read the whole thing; the tl;dr is

    Senile Joe has to go.

    Is this one of the catalysts for the NYT, Lester Holt, Ivy League sachems, the WaPo, et al. to suddenly be shocked, shocked! to discover gambling is going on at Rick’s?

    [MORE]

    • Replies: @Dmon
    @ic1000

    The good news about Gavin is that once he's in, all of Steve's uncertainties about the shadowy cabal controlling the president will vanish.

    https://thespectator.com/topic/california-new-china-gavin-newsom-social-credit/


    The fifty-six-year-old [Gavin Newsom] recently announced the creation of California’s new “Cradle-to-Career” (C2C) system. According to this official statement, the system will integrate “over 1 billion data points — providing unprecedented insight and transparency,” ostensibly “to improve career outcomes for millions of Californians.” C2C’s integration of data, notes the statement, “will provide the public, researchers and lawmakers unprecedented insight that could improve education and quality of life for millions of Californians.”According to the aforementioned C2C statement, by “leveraging billions of data points, California’s Cradle-to-Career data system will be a game-changer for improving the quality of life for millions of Californians and highlighting ways to improve opportunity in the classroom and access to the workforce.”

    The Golden State, we’re assured, “is leading the nation in equitably connecting our education system to the workforce to ensure every Californian has the freedom to succeed.”

    On closer inspection, however, the system will give lawmakers access to intimate information broken down by race, geography and, of course, gender, to, as the statement suggests (or warns) “illuminate and address areas of strength and needed growth and any inequities.” C2C’s partners include the California Department of Education, the Department of Health Care Services, the Department of Social Services and University of California’s Office of the President.
     

    Replies: @ic1000

  147. @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    The Ukrainians are tough, scary guys fighting for national survival.
     
    Give it a rest, Scumbag Steve.

    Ukraine was not fighting for their "national survival" even at the beginning because that would have required a force strength far greater than what the Russians used. John Mearsheimer has explained this. Germany used something like 2 million troops during their invasion of Poland. The Russians would have needed troop levels like that. Russia had no intention to occupy or destroy all of Ukraine.

    Now, as a result of the Kagan Cult and the rest of the Usual Suspects, Ukraine may actually be destroyed. They have lost up to 500,000 men and millions have fled and may never return.


    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.
     
    And there is final line from Sleazy Steve ... hey fellas, we were just leading you down the primrose path, just thought you guys would make nice cannon fodder so we could hurt Russia (a White Christian country with nukes that won't get with our program). But now, you know, go bury your dead, whore out your daughters to get food, and get ready for mass 3rd world immigration to "rebuild" your country.

    You scum promoted a situation that got a lot of White Gentiles killed for no good reason. You had to know what you were doing.

    Replies: @Anon, @Chrisnonymous, @Whitey Whiteman III

    Being a boomer means never having to say you’re sorry.

  148. @Chrisnonymous
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality


    Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.
     
    I wouldn't maybe call Steve sleazy, but my recollection is that Steve's support of not trying to make a peace deal as soon as possible was that changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody, which was basically another way of saying that Ukraine's interests were our interests. I don't know what's changed now.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @BB753

    “Ukraine’s interests aren’t our interests.”

    Remove “Ukraine” and insert “Israel”. I think that’s what Steve was trying to say but can’t.

  149. @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Charlesz Martel


    they’re teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.
     
    The Germans invaded them? Because that's who is paying the price along with the rest of Europe.

    FYI, our people aren't cannon fodder for your various wars anymore. So you can drop the gungo WWII crap that works with the nursing home crowd. Try using the Chinese.

    Replies: @Charlesz Martel, @Charlesz Martel

    Who are “our people”? Which foreign country is sending troops to assist the Ukrainians?

  150. Given the WP’s track record on pretty much everything, why would you believe it in this case? Hersh’s argument, which he stands by, is that the pipeline was so deep that you needed very experienced divers that only come from this one Navy School in Pensacola and you needed a ship that had one of those chambers that treats people for the Benz. In other words you needed a much bigger ship than a sailboat or sailing yacht.

    • Replies: @Greta Handel
    @Traianus

    Especially if


    Seymour Hersh is one of the great reporters in American history.
     

    Steve Sailer, February 20, 2019 7:11 AM*

    But we have to remember that people decline with age.

    * Seymour Hersh: GHW Bush Was Spymaster of the Reagan Deep State (Steve Sailer • February 20, 2019)
  151. @MEH 0910
    @Adam Smith

    January 2022:
    https://twitter.com/StateDept/status/1486818088016355336

    January 2023:
    Nuland is "gratified" that Nord Stream 2 is "a hunk of metal at the bottom of the sea"
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-oCXnKDAqA


    Victoria Nuland, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs at the U.S. Department of State, testifies at the hearing "Countering Russian Aggression: Ukraine and Beyond" held by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on January 26, 2023.
     

    Replies: @ic1000

    So the Washington Post reports that anonymous U.S. officials now call the Nordstream sabotage “a dangerous attack on Europe’s energy infrastructure.”

    Given the reporters’ outstanding connections to the Adminstration as well as to the Deep State, would it be too much for them to solicit on-the-record quotes from the senior U.S. officials most involved in the matter? If neocon supremos Victoria Nuland and Anthony Blinken have suddenly reversed themselves, isn’t that sort of newsworthy?

    Added context in this tweet by Aaron Mate.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
  152. Given the WP’s track record on pretty much everything, why would you believe it in this case? Hersh’s argument, which he stands by, is that the pipeline was so deep that you needed very experienced divers that only come from this one Navy School in Pensacola and you needed a ship that had one of those chambers that treats people for the Benz. In other words you needed a much bigger ship than a sailboat or sailing yacht.

    Btw this has nothing to do with the competence of the Ukraine military. I’ve been telling anyone that would listen that prewar, Ukraine had, contrary to popular belief, among the most robust militaries in Europe. This is what scares me about the Russians prevailing in less than 2 years. I do think that Poland better get its act together because obviously Western militaries need to consider producing more artillery and sheer volume of armaments. Eastern Europe is also going to be forced to reinstitute a draft. Theyre lucky that Poland remains so conservative and traditional.

    • Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Traianus

    Russia has neither the desire nor the ability to be a threat to Europe. Putin has never even vaguely implied a desire for such a thing.

    Before the war, Russia clearly said that it wanted Ukraine to stop the attacks on the Donbas and to pledge neutrality.

    Now, Russia will want more, but one thing they don't want is western Ukraine. They know they couldn't hold it. They learned their lesson in the Cold War.

    I repeat, Russia has neither the desire nor ability to be a threat to Poland or beyond.

    , @Hunsdon
    @Traianus

    re: your second point.

    Similarly, I have been saying for at least a year (probably going back to 15 months or longer) that the Ukrainian armed forces are fighting like hell, and that I doubt it any other NATO army, except maybe the Turks, could have held out as long while still fighting back.

    , @Jack D
    @Traianus


    Ukraine had, contrary to popular belief, among the most robust militaries in Europe. This is what scares me about the Russians prevailing in less than 2 years.

     

    #1 - the Russians haven't "prevailed". They have managed to occupy some territory but have paid an enormous price in men, materiel and damage to their economy. Putin is trying to spin this as "victory" but he knows that Russia could not afford any more such costly "victories".

    #2 - the Ukrainian Army was in many ways a mirror image of the Russian so it's not surprising that they are equally matched and have fought each other to stalemate. If anything, they viewed the Russian Army as their "big brother" so the fact that the little brother has been able to go mano a mano with the big brother and hold its own is remarkable (A lot of people, including Ukrainians, thought it would be over in 2 weeks, not 2 years). Among other things, their mutual lack of effective anti-anti-aircraft weapons has meant that this has been a war largely fought without aviation so it has played out more like WWI than WWII. A war with NATO would not go like this.

    The Ukrainians have been very creative on some fronts - the fact that they have sunk a lot of the Black Sea Fleet despite not having a navy is pretty good. Their use of drones is very good. But mostly they operate a Russian style artillery army with Russian style equipment and often Russian style manpower losses, Russian style disorganization and blunders, Russian style corruption, etc. NATO has tried to reform them but changes in culture do not happen overnight.

    Replies: @bike-anarkist

  153. @Dnought
    @Arclight

    Agree, but gosh there sure are a lot of "total rubes" out there. Makes me almost want to get into some kind of bridge-selling business.

    Chesterton wrote something about people who don't believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Arclight, @quewin

    Absolutely – the number of conventionally intelligent people I have met that buy every major leftist/media (but I repeat myself) narrative hook, line and sinker is astonishing.

    Just underscores that a lot of people’s political beliefs are a product of who they want to signal to, rather than reasoned consideration.

    • Agree: ic1000
  154. These things I believe because I am not a Putin fanboy:

    – Julian Assange spread Russian disinformation
    – Hunter Biden’s laptop was disinformation too
    – Jeffery Epstein killed himself
    – The Russians helped make Brexit happen
    – Same thing with the truckers’ protests in Canada
    – Putin had compromat on Trump
    – The Great Reset is a conspiracy theory promoted by Putin
    – So is the Great Replacement
    – “Cultural Marxism” is an anti-Semitic dog whistle
    – A rogue Ukrainian intel agent blew up Nord Stream

    If the WaPo says next week that Nord Stream was blown up by the New Zealand rugby team I will believe that too.

    • LOL: acementhead
    • Replies: @Dieter Kief
    @Cagey Beast


    If the WaPo says next week that Nord Stream was blown up by the New Zealand rugby team I will believe that too.

     

    The Rugby Team could easily be looked upon as another serious contender!° And Dr. Steve could make use of his sports-knowledge to dig deeper here. Dr. Steve is going a bit mainstream - and he has us all to help him out on that°! - My congfession: I'm on Team Steve, come what will!

    PS
    You made me laugh Cagey Beast - thx. for that!
  155. @Arclight
    It was pretty obvious at the time, but naturally the media lapdogs dutifully reported the absurd theory that Russia blew up its own source of foreign revenue in the midst of a war it considers existential. You have to a total rube at this point to trust official messaging on just about any major foreign or domestic cultural issue at this point, but this was such a pathetic lie that outlets like the NYT and WaPo unblinkingly relayed to the masses.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Rusty Tailgate, @Dnought, @quewin

    Even more absurd was all the hand-wringing over the possibility of Russia ‘using energy as a weapon’ by the EU and US as if ‘standing with Ukraine’ wasn’t a thing.

    Too many people think there are no consequences to their actions.

  156. @Dnought
    @Arclight

    Agree, but gosh there sure are a lot of "total rubes" out there. Makes me almost want to get into some kind of bridge-selling business.

    Chesterton wrote something about people who don't believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Arclight, @quewin

    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.

    I’ve related this exact observation, including the Chesterton quote, to other people out in the wild.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @quewin


    I’ve related this exact observation, including the Chesterton quote, to other people out in the wild.
     
    When asked about "rum, sodomy, and the lash", Churchill said it wasn't his, but he wished it was. This sounds like Chesterton's potential response to this quote. I don't think it's ever been found in GKC's œuvre, though the one to ask is his through Norwegian bibliographer, Geir Hasnes. There are parallel statements of GKC's, so it's likely he'd endorse this one.

    So many great "quotes" of the past two centuries turn out to be anonymous on investigation, and stuck like "flypaper" (Ralph Keyes's term) to whichever contemporary wit they most fit, Twain, Wilde, Churchill, Rogers, Mencken, whomever.

    "If you are not a communist at twenty..."
    "When fascism comes to America..."
    "No dumb bastard ever won a war..."



    Marx did maintain that history repeated itself, first as tragedy, then as farce. Several times, in fact. But never so pithily; you're getting the Reader's Digest version. A very literate woman-- she homeschooled her children in the classics-- once "quoted" Mencken to me, about America being tilted to the southwest so everything loose winds up in California. I gently informed her that Frank Lloyd Wright had come up with that one. I heard it from Carol Wayne on the Tonight Show.

    (Evidently Carol's literacy was up there with Wally Cox's bodybuilding as among the best-kept secrets in Hollywood.)
  157. @BB753
    @Colin Wright

    Have you been reading the latest reports on the war? Ukraine never stood a chance.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Jack D

    This is hilarious. Either we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already lost. Unzites can’t agree on much about reality but they can agree on the “shouldn’t support Ukraine” part.

    • Agree: Bardon Kaldian
    • Replies: @BB753
    @Jack D

    We shouldn't intervene anywhere.

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @ic1000
    @Jack D

    > This is hilarious.

    I'm not laughing. I don't see much cause for Ukrainians to laugh. Russians either FWIW.

    > Either we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already lost.

    Bizarre.

    It's lost. von Clauswitz trumps both ethnic enthusiasms (or antagonisms) and Game-of-Risk! fantasies. In that regard, it's too bad for Ukraine that the caliber of American leadership is on the order of Blinken-Austin-Nuland-Sullivan.

    Hopefully the loss is on the order of Georgia in 2008 or Armenia in 2023 -- where Ukraine can continue as a polity (and hopefully prosper).

    Unfortunately, the Russians get a vote. John Mearsheimer has been Cassandra on this topic. He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a "frozen conflict," in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.

    The Ukrainians should not have trusted in U.S. advice and guidance. We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.

    Replies: @Pixo, @Jack D, @Peter Akuleyev

  158. @Colin Wright
    But while the Ukraine may have physically done it, I'm virtually certain the US approved it. In fact, that's the most likely scenario. We held their hand, and they carried it out.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth, @Jack D, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Prester John

    Don’t be silly. Any Unzite will tell you that the operation was planned and carried out by the CIA with the assistance of Mossad and those Ukrainian guys that Steve mention with the multisyllabic -sky names are just the fall guys.

    • Agree: Bardon Kaldian
    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @Jack D

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/gregory-cochrans-theory-of-who-blew-up-the-nord-stream-pipelines/#comment-5571410


    Jack D says:
    September 28, 2022 at 2:17 pm GMT
    [...]
    I can’t say that it makes a tremendous amount of sense that Putin blew up his own pipeline, but all indicators (the usual unz.com conspiracy theories aside) point to Russia having done it – they had the means and opportunity. So he must have had his reasons.
     

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Jack D

    Nah. They're too busy getting just the right corridinates to bomb hospitals so they can intentionally murder women and children.

    Btw, the Israelis are smart to want to push the Palestinians out of Gaza once and for all, but they're stupid to do it in such a public way. Unfortunately, you guys don't control all the world's media, so it's not looking so great.

    Then again, people have short attention spans so who knows.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

  159. @Anonymous

    Roman Chervinsky, a colonel in Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces
     
    Is Chervinsky Jewish?

    Is it true that Slavic names that end in -ski are Christian and those ending in -sky are Jewish?

    Replies: @Ripple Earthdevil, @Jack D

    You figured 0ut the secret. You must have an IQ of 2000 to make this brilliant discovery.

    Roman Polanski – not Jewish

    Igor Sikorsky – Jewish

    Now that you know the secret Mossad will have to kill you.

    • Replies: @Brutusale
    @Jack D

    Maybe the secret Mossad can help the not-so-secret Mossad in keeping the borders clear of murderous Pallies! Or is that the secret Shin Bet's job?

  160. This is embarrassing. Shocking that anyone with even a cursory knowledge of engineering and marine architecture wouldn’t simply laugh his ass off at this ludicrous story.

    I guess we can now be fairly certain that this blog/blogger gets a lot of support from Jewish interest groups.

  161. Ukrainians are hardly able to pave their streets or build tanks on the templates created on the sixties, that were long in use in factories on their territory. The Ukrainian fleet consisted of 4 gun-armed ship after 2014, and was still at 4 in 2021. Why did they need 15 thousand employees in the Navy is anyone guess, but I don’t expect any of them to have any navy skills.

    Michael Tracey notes that the WaPo investigation that “shows” Ukrainians was published next to the obvious lie that “Blinken deplored the attack”. If they lied about something so easily falsifiable, why would anyone trust WaPo on the unverifiable part?

    Has anone seen the most recent Trudeau vaccination video? Sleeve up on the left side, cut, sleeve up on the right side, end. No needle, no syringe, no vials, to bee seen. Enlighten us, Mr Sailer, how many doses does WaPo recommend, and in which arm?

  162. Motive, means and opportunity.

    Since the outbreak of war, Ukraine always had a cogent motive to blow up Nordstream.

    But I doubt they had the means and opportunity to do this 100% solo and undetected.

    Anyone proposing this scenario has the burden of bringing forward some evidence that Ukraine had established indigenous deep dive demolition capacity, and some plausible way to account for how they evaded NATO and Russian detection during the several days worth of diving needed to mount this operation.

    Because on background public info, the U.S. and its NW Euro NATO allies are known to have had motive, means and opportunity in spades to do this; they are naturally stronger suspects than Ukraine acting on its own. The say-so of some anonymous spook does not tilt the balance.

    • Agree: Cagey Beast
  163. Steve I have enjoyed your writings at Unz and here on twitter. I found you to be an independent thinker, looking for and finding solutions to interesting problems. However, you have exposed yourself with Nord Stream – I am almost certain you work for the CIA…

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @bispora

    Steve also shot RFK and has a bid in for the contract to shoot RFK Jr. His real name is Sailer Sailer, which is why Sirhan Sirhan is often mistaken for him.

    Replies: @bispora

  164. @Ben Kurtz
    @Anonymous

    I've met plenty of divers in my day, and the only ones who had any meaningful bottom time at 300 ft+ were a handful of commercial / oilfield divers I met in England.

    Yes, recreational tec diving exists, and yes, 300 ft is a realistic tec depth, but the number of dives and the amount of work to be done to disable Nord Stream points to very specialized experience.

    Replies: @Anonymous

    Well, I doubt they just walked into a dive shop and grabbed the first few dudes they saw. (Not to say that they couldn’t have trained people: tec diving isn’t rocket science.) Ukraine has >40 million people and significant offshore industry: they have people with comparable experience.

    • Replies: @Intelligent Dasein
    @Anonymous


    Ukraine has >40 million people...
     
    Had.
  165. @Mr. Anon
    @Anonymous


    You know, Ukrainians aren’t retards. The sabotage–not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying–wouldn’t be any more difficult for them than for the US.
     
    So according to the Washington Post, the non-retard Ukrainians pulled off the Nord Stream job all by themselves.

    But, also according to the Washington Post, they had CIA help in attacking the Kerch Straight Bridge.

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/cia-involved-in-developing-drones-used-in-crimea-bridge-attack-report

    The Ukrainians had American help attacking a bridge in what they claim to be their own territory, but they go rogue, with no American involvement, when attacking a pipeline in the Baltic that is half owned by a NATO member (Germany).

    And you buy that?

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Anonymous

    they go rogue, with no American involvement, when attacking a pipeline in the Baltic that is half owned by a NATO member (Germany).

    The second half of this statement makes the first half more likely, not less.

  166. @Buzz Mohawk
    I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I'm thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.

    That gives me an idea:

    Let's just apply Occam's box cutter to everything that happens. Cut our questions into crude, simple pieces. Cardboard reality. It makes thinking easier, like watching sportsball where there are two sides.

    A bit of advice: Grownups know it doesn't matter who does the bad guys' dirty work or how they do it.

    Replies: @Ron Unz

    I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I’m thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.

    LOL. Someone pointed me to this post.

    The destruction of the $30 billion Nord Stream pipelines was surely the largest act of industrial terrorism in the history of the world, so it’s certainly quite plausible that the operation was carried out by a handful of shadowy Ukrainian activists in a rented sailboat.

    After all, we all know that JFK was assassinated by a lone nut named Lee Harvey Oswald and that the gigantic 9/11 attacks were carried out by nineteen random Arabs armed with box-cutters so there’s ample precedent.

    Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that’s what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.

    Still, Hersh, America’s most renowned investigative journalist, has raised one slightly suspicious detail on the other side. He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious about who was actually responsible, given that the attack was an outright act of war against Germany and NATO. So Biden and his people might have naturally tasked the CIA and the DIA to determine who had destroyed the pipelines and report back to him. Yet oddly enough no such request was ever made.

    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.

    • Agree: Robertson
    • Replies: @Gordo
    @Ron Unz

    Once the NATO divers finally go down for a look there’s a fair chance they’ll find a dropped Ukrainian passport LOL

    Replies: @Dennis Dale

    , @Bill Jones
    @Ron Unz

    Don't worry, it will be revealed that the Uke wot dun it dropped his waterproof passport on the seabed.

    , @Corvinus
    @Ron Unz

    “Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that’s what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.”

    You need direct evidence rather than the standard rope. It’s possible, but you’re assuming it’s probable.

    “He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious”

    They most likely were kept in the loop.

    , @Pierre de Craon
    @Ron Unz

    Thank you for splashing cold water on the Occamite cosplayers.


    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.
     
    Darn right. Sniffing kids' hair consumes three to four hours a day. Three times a week, he has to meet with Kamala for Laugh Hour. I understand that he and Doctor Jill are very fond of Parcheesi. Then …
  167. @Ben Kurtz
    @Dnought

    Yeah, it's not impossible that some Ukrainians got deep dive experience during the Soviet period.

    But that was well over 30 years ago.

    Like with flying a plane or performing eye surgery, you need to keep current with these skills. If you haven't practiced in decades, you can't just jump into the water and dive to 300 ft, or even 130 ft. Plus you're like 60 years old now.

    Replies: @Dnought

    Yes, I’m well aware it was over 30 years ago. But as I said I wouldn’t be surprised if some of those guys didn’t land in the nascent Ukrainian military after the Cold War end/Ukrainian independence, bringing their institutional knowledge and skills with them; knowledge and skills that have been passed down to the present day in the Ukrainian military.

    There is such a thing as training new people over the years, after all. It’s one of the ways organizations survive.

    • Replies: @Ben Kurtz
    @Dnought

    All published accounts of recent Ukrainian "SEAL" type operations suggest very limited deep-dive capacity has been maintained over the years.

    Below is a good example.

    https://www.ospreypublishing.com/us/osprey-blog/2023/ukrainian-combat-divers-in-action/

    Given what we know of post-Soviet economic collapse, the lack of deep oilfields or other commercially compelling reasons to maintain deep dive capacity, and the nature of their acknowledged recent naval special ops activity, in my view the assumption has to be that those deep dive skills withered in Ukraine.

    I'm open to looking at hard evidence that they actually retained these capabilities in recent years, but honestly, the mere fact that they had these capabilities 30 years ago at the end of the Soviet era is not very compelling. Ukraine had nukes at the end of the Soviet era too, but they knowingly gave those up. Seems very easy to believe the same thing happened to their deep underwater demo skills.

  168. @Ron Unz
    @Buzz Mohawk


    I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I’m thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.
     
    LOL. Someone pointed me to this post.

    The destruction of the $30 billion Nord Stream pipelines was surely the largest act of industrial terrorism in the history of the world, so it's certainly quite plausible that the operation was carried out by a handful of shadowy Ukrainian activists in a rented sailboat.

    After all, we all know that JFK was assassinated by a lone nut named Lee Harvey Oswald and that the gigantic 9/11 attacks were carried out by nineteen random Arabs armed with box-cutters so there's ample precedent.

    Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that's what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.

    Still, Hersh, America's most renowned investigative journalist, has raised one slightly suspicious detail on the other side. He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious about who was actually responsible, given that the attack was an outright act of war against Germany and NATO. So Biden and his people might have naturally tasked the CIA and the DIA to determine who had destroyed the pipelines and report back to him. Yet oddly enough no such request was ever made.

    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.

    Replies: @Gordo, @Bill Jones, @Corvinus, @Pierre de Craon

    Once the NATO divers finally go down for a look there’s a fair chance they’ll find a dropped Ukrainian passport LOL

    • Replies: @Dennis Dale
    @Gordo

    The Ukies trained on video games and old episodes of Sea Hunt.

  169. Steve, I agree with all you have said – except that Ukraine fights for its “national survival”. The Ukrainians fight for the Donbass (whose Russian population they have treated badly) and for to get Crimea back.
    Putin has never declared that he wants to possess the Ukraine. In such a war there are always people who dream about massive territorial gains – like, in WW2 some Germans dreamt about getting the Netherlands and, later on, some Dutch dreamt about getting North Western Germany. Neither the one nor the other dream was ever governmental policy.
    My personal impression is that Putin as a secret service professional would never say more than he must, also he may avoid definitive war goals in order to take what he can get in the end and call that a success.

  170. @prime noticer
    was Trump a Russian agent? the leftist media spent years on that one. they said it over and over so it MUST be the case, right? Steve should just admit he doesn't know anything about underwater demolitions. it's simple. it's easy. he does it all the time on other subjects. Steve is an expert on black women's hair. not explosives, and certainly not the underwater kind.

    it's mind blowing to me that Steve has spent 40 years studying how the US leftists lie in the media, then gets taken by a whopper of a made up story. here's how the parable goes - you read a news article in the media that YOU PERSONALLY are an expert on the subject matter, chuckle to yourself at how bad and nonsensical the reporting is, then turn the page, read the next couple articles on which you are NOT a subject matter expert, and take the reporter's story at face value.

    that's what just happened to Steve here. he's like a boxer who entered UFC after 25 years of training for that exact specific scenario, hand to hand against 1 other person, then got taken out in 1 minute by a guy who's been training for 2 years.

    Ukrainians didn't do it. they don't have the capabilities. because if they did, that's the first thing they would have done when the war started. they tried to sabotage everything, to various fumbling degrees. they blew up their own dams haphazardly, to slow the Russian advance. Ukraine has been trying to blow up a bridge for over a year and can't do it. they literally tried to blow up a huge nuclear reactor AND FAILED. the US organized this pipeline demolition. they may have used other NATO guys to accomplish the mission, but that's what happened.

    also, Ukraine LOVES to run their mouth - they literally attempt to record videos of everything backhanded thing they're doing, then post them on the internet. you seriously think they pulled this off and then DID NOT post videos of it? of course they would have. if they did it. which they didn't. there's no video, no nothing, because professional western military guys did this and kept the operation a secret.

    Replies: @OK Boomer

    Ukrainians could not have boasted about such deeds, because it would have brought them shame!

  171. @Jack D
    @Colin Wright

    Don't be silly. Any Unzite will tell you that the operation was planned and carried out by the CIA with the assistance of Mossad and those Ukrainian guys that Steve mention with the multisyllabic -sky names are just the fall guys.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/gregory-cochrans-theory-of-who-blew-up-the-nord-stream-pipelines/#comment-5571410

    Jack D says:
    September 28, 2022 at 2:17 pm GMT
    […]
    I can’t say that it makes a tremendous amount of sense that Putin blew up his own pipeline, but all indicators (the usual unz.com conspiracy theories aside) point to Russia having done it – they had the means and opportunity. So he must have had his reasons.

    • Thanks: Robertson
    • LOL: JimDandy, Rich
    • Replies: @Jack D
    @MEH 0910

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don't make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it ("Russia is winning!").

    As I said at the time, it didn't make a lot of sense for the Russians to have done it to themselves (but it wouldn't be the 1st time that Putin did something self defeating). In light of current information, it appears to have been a Ukrainian operation, which makes more sense. But the Unz consensus then (even now) is that it was a CIA operation not a Ukrainian one so it is no less wrong than I was. I am willing to change my conclusion but the Men of Unz conclusion is ironclad and will never be moved by reality.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Corvinus, @Anonymous, @tomv, @tomv

  172. @Ron Unz
    @Buzz Mohawk


    I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I’m thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.
     
    LOL. Someone pointed me to this post.

    The destruction of the $30 billion Nord Stream pipelines was surely the largest act of industrial terrorism in the history of the world, so it's certainly quite plausible that the operation was carried out by a handful of shadowy Ukrainian activists in a rented sailboat.

    After all, we all know that JFK was assassinated by a lone nut named Lee Harvey Oswald and that the gigantic 9/11 attacks were carried out by nineteen random Arabs armed with box-cutters so there's ample precedent.

    Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that's what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.

    Still, Hersh, America's most renowned investigative journalist, has raised one slightly suspicious detail on the other side. He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious about who was actually responsible, given that the attack was an outright act of war against Germany and NATO. So Biden and his people might have naturally tasked the CIA and the DIA to determine who had destroyed the pipelines and report back to him. Yet oddly enough no such request was ever made.

    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.

    Replies: @Gordo, @Bill Jones, @Corvinus, @Pierre de Craon

    Don’t worry, it will be revealed that the Uke wot dun it dropped his waterproof passport on the seabed.

  173. @Somsel
    @Reg Cæsar

    Now you're delving into motive, an essential element of any crime.

    I think the Chinese had a lot to gain from blowing the NordStream.

    This pushed the Germans into economic retreat as they have to switch from cheap Russian gas to something else for their manufacturing. Which are two of the largest manufacturing economies? Their Energiewende was shown to be self-delusion and they had to start sucking up to the LNG exporters like Qatar, Australia, and the US. That costs more. Cheap energy drives competitive economies.

    The Chinese also win by creating monosopolistic conditions for Russian energy exports. Of course new pipelines will have to be built to connect gas fields to Chinese markets but those have been in planning for a long time. Russia becomes a Chinese vassal state over time.

    Evidence? I got none but we can say the Chinese have two of the elements - motive and, I assume, means.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    “I think the Chinese had a lot to gain from blowing the NordStream….this pushed the Germans into economic retreat …cheap energy drives competitive economies.”

    It’s certainly true that China will get cheap Russian energy, but they were going to get plenty anyway, Power Of Siberia 1 is operational and 2 hasn’t started the build yet.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Altai_gas_pipeline

    But China wants Russia to prosper, especially militarily, as they know they are next on the list (indeed, we see a possibility that the US may want to fight Russia, Iran and China simultaneously – in either scenario a strong Russia is vital to them).

    The German economy, basically the only truly productive economy in the west, has been hit very hard. The business papers are blaming everything bar the loss of Nordstream 2.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/nov/10/why-germanys-once-miracle-economy-is-turning-into-a-mirage

    Industrial production has fallen for five straight months and is more than 7% below its pre-pandemic levels. The International Monetary Fund expects Germany to be the weakest economy in the G7 group of leading rich nations this year, and the only one to see output fall.

    Carsten Brzeski, the global head of macro at ING bank, says Germany’s problems were a mixture of the cyclical and the structural. “How much is down to each? It is impossible to disentangle but it’s both.”

    After shrinking this year between July and September there was a good chance, according to Brzeski, of a similarly weak performance in the final three months of 2023. Those two consecutive quarters of contraction would leave the economy in a technical recession.

  174. @Anonymous
    @Hypnotoad666

    You know, Ukrainians aren't retards. The sabotage--not actually requiring any super-secret knowhow as many are implying--wouldn't be any more difficult for them than for the US. Nor has the CIA actually tended to be a smoothly functioning decisive organization regarding these things. So Steve is right: Occum's Razor points to Ukraine which doesn't include your additional "framing" step (a harder step than the actual sabotage.) I think you guys are confused by a different heuristic, the "blame the US/Jews" heuristic.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @OK Boomer

    “Ukrainians aren’t retards.” Wrong. Those who were adults, yet chose to stay in Ukraine in 2020 were definitely retards.

    • Agree: acementhead
  175. Ukraine’s northern border is about 750 km from the Baltic Sea coast. But some crackerjack Ukrainian naval commando unit was behind it. Lol, ok, whatever.

    The US Navy and its SEAL teams were responsible.

  176. @MEH 0910
    @Dnought


    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right?
     
    http://web.archive.org/web/20000901224238/https://www.chesterton.org/qmeister2/any-everything.htm

    H/T: John Derbyshire

    Replies: @Bill, @Dnought

    Interesting. So if I read that correctly, the exact “quote” actually came from the pen of someone (Accardo) who wrote a literary criticism study of Chesterton’s Father Brown stories, interpreting a couple of lines in two separate stories and then paraphrasing, rather than from Chesterton himself.

    Accardo’s interpretation of Chesterton’s intent in the quotes he cites seems to be broadly correct, but there’s no actual exact or very close quote in Chesterton’s writings. But over the years the exact quote from the author of the study has mistakenly been attributed to Chesterton himself.

  177. @ic1000
    @Bill Jones

    > the CIA front clearly gets the knives out for Biden.

    In The Tide Is Turning (good news for Gavin) Department, below the fold is yesterday's tweet from liberal Wall St. billionaire, Anti-semitism foe, and heavyweight political contributor Bill Ackman.

    I didn't read the whole thing; the tl;dr is

    Senile Joe has to go.

    Is this one of the catalysts for the NYT, Lester Holt, Ivy League sachems, the WaPo, et al. to suddenly be shocked, shocked! to discover gambling is going on at Rick's?

    https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1723457121449124019

    Replies: @Dmon

    The good news about Gavin is that once he’s in, all of Steve’s uncertainties about the shadowy cabal controlling the president will vanish.

    https://thespectator.com/topic/california-new-china-gavin-newsom-social-credit/

    The fifty-six-year-old [Gavin Newsom] recently announced the creation of California’s new “Cradle-to-Career” (C2C) system. According to this official statement, the system will integrate “over 1 billion data points — providing unprecedented insight and transparency,” ostensibly “to improve career outcomes for millions of Californians.” C2C’s integration of data, notes the statement, “will provide the public, researchers and lawmakers unprecedented insight that could improve education and quality of life for millions of Californians.”According to the aforementioned C2C statement, by “leveraging billions of data points, California’s Cradle-to-Career data system will be a game-changer for improving the quality of life for millions of Californians and highlighting ways to improve opportunity in the classroom and access to the workforce.”

    The Golden State, we’re assured, “is leading the nation in equitably connecting our education system to the workforce to ensure every Californian has the freedom to succeed.”

    On closer inspection, however, the system will give lawmakers access to intimate information broken down by race, geography and, of course, gender, to, as the statement suggests (or warns) “illuminate and address areas of strength and needed growth and any inequities.” C2C’s partners include the California Department of Education, the Department of Health Care Services, the Department of Social Services and University of California’s Office of the President.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @ic1000
    @Dmon

    > On closer inspection, however, the system will give lawmakers access to intimate information broken down by...

    However?

    I, for one, welcome our new insect overlords.

  178. @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Charlesz Martel


    they’re teaching the country that invaded them an extraordinarily expensive lesson.
     
    The Germans invaded them? Because that's who is paying the price along with the rest of Europe.

    FYI, our people aren't cannon fodder for your various wars anymore. So you can drop the gungo WWII crap that works with the nursing home crowd. Try using the Chinese.

    Replies: @Charlesz Martel, @Charlesz Martel

    So in your view, having to pay more for heating gas is the same as having your cities bombed and people killed?

    Gee, based on your illogical equivalence, the only thing that matters is the cost of an item?

    I think that’s the thinking that caused our immigration crisis- immigrants do it cheaper, so it must be better for the country. Never mind the off-balance sheet costs.

    Why is it gung-ho to admire a people fighting to push an invader out? Especially if it’s the same country that starved millions of your countrymen to death within living memory?

    Paging Walter Durranty- you have a fan!

    • Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Charlesz Martel

    Walter Duranty was carrying water for communists. He was working for the Usual Suspects. The same folks who want to "hurt" Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process.

    Replies: @Jack D

  179. @MEH 0910
    @Pixo


    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.
     
    September 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112115215/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia/

    European leaders blame Russian ‘sabotage’ after Nord Stream explosions
     
    December 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112114914/https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/21/russia-nord-stream-explosions/

    No conclusive evidence Russia is behind Nord Stream attack
    World leaders were quick to blame Moscow for explosions along the undersea natural gas pipelines. But some Western officials now doubt the Kremlin was responsible.
     

    Replies: @Pixo, @JimDandy

    Those articles support what I said. Random officials vaguely and anonymously suggested it might have been Russia. The only direct on the record blame of Russia was trolling by a Uke partisan, the Polish PM.

  180. @Cagey Beast
    Here's the same narrative but it's not behind a paywall:

    Investigating the Nord Stream Attack
    All the Evidence Points To Kyiv

    https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/investigating-the-attack-on-nord-stream-all-the-clues-point-toward-kyiv-a-124838c7-992a-4d0e-9894-942d4a665778

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Chrisnonymous, @HA

    “All the Evidence Points To Kyiv …” — ACCORDING TO RUSSIAN SOURCES

    You forgot that last part but there, I fixed it for you. For example, let’s consider one of the so-called “Ukrainian” agents behind this according to the Spiegel article this WP journalist piggy-backed on:

    German investigators in January searched a sailing yacht that may have been used to transport the explosives used in the sabotage. The Federal Prosecutor’s Office declined to comment on media reports that a team of five men and one woman were said to have chartered the yacht “Andromeda” in the port of Rostock…The “Spiegel” and the ZDF for their part followed the trail of the “Andromeda”. According to their research, a fake passport used to rent the sailboat leads to a Ukrainian soldier. The charter fee was also paid by a company registered in Poland that had connections to a woman in Kiev.

    However, research by RTL and ntv shows that one of the women named in the company’s documents is Russian. After the annexation of the Crimean peninsula by Russia in 2014, she helped to hold elections for the occupiers. According to the Polish commercial register, the woman owns the company that, according to German investigators, is said to have rented the “Andromeda”. (Google-translation of the German original)

    So much for all the evidence pointing to Kiev. I.e. this is basic Russian skullduggery, at least as far as the articles go. I’m not saying that Ukrainians were not behind this, or even that they didn’t have either explicit or wink-wink approval from the US, but the WP/Spiegel investigation, as it stands, well,… it just doesn’t stand up, and the named sources are heavy with TASS/Russian officials, while the unnamed so-called Ukrainian sources who, according to the article are “familiar with how the operation was carried out”, do not, as judged from the above quote, hold up to closer inspection either.

    • Troll: YetAnotherAnon
    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @HA


    You forgot that last part but there, I fixed it for you.
     
    I copy and pasted the original headline; that's why it's in italics.

    So much for all the evidence pointing to Kiev. I.e. this is basic Russian skullduggery, at least as far as the articles go.
     
    I'm afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream. It's not being done by Russia but by Washington.

    Replies: @HA, @Colin Wright

  181. @MEH 0910
    @Pixo


    You read the MSM more than me, but I don’t recall any kind of MSM consensus Russia did it.
     
    September 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112115215/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia/

    European leaders blame Russian ‘sabotage’ after Nord Stream explosions
     
    December 2022:
    http://web.archive.org/web/20231112114914/https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/21/russia-nord-stream-explosions/

    No conclusive evidence Russia is behind Nord Stream attack
    World leaders were quick to blame Moscow for explosions along the undersea natural gas pipelines. But some Western officials now doubt the Kremlin was responsible.
     

    Replies: @Pixo, @JimDandy

    BREAKING… We Can’t Be 100% Sure That Russia Blew Up Their Own Pipeline But, You Know, It’s Pretty Much Certain That Russia Blew Up Their Own Pipeline, I Mean, Like, Would You Put ANYthing Past Putin?

  182. @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    "All the Evidence Points To Kyiv ..." -- ACCORDING TO RUSSIAN SOURCES

    You forgot that last part but there, I fixed it for you. For example, let's consider one of the so-called "Ukrainian" agents behind this according to the Spiegel article this WP journalist piggy-backed on:


    German investigators in January searched a sailing yacht that may have been used to transport the explosives used in the sabotage. The Federal Prosecutor's Office declined to comment on media reports that a team of five men and one woman were said to have chartered the yacht "Andromeda" in the port of Rostock...The “Spiegel” and the ZDF for their part followed the trail of the “Andromeda”. According to their research, a fake passport used to rent the sailboat leads to a Ukrainian soldier. The charter fee was also paid by a company registered in Poland that had connections to a woman in Kiev.

    However, research by RTL and ntv shows that one of the women named in the company's documents is Russian. After the annexation of the Crimean peninsula by Russia in 2014, she helped to hold elections for the occupiers. According to the Polish commercial register, the woman owns the company that, according to German investigators, is said to have rented the “Andromeda”. (Google-translation of the German original)
     

    So much for all the evidence pointing to Kiev. I.e. this is basic Russian skullduggery, at least as far as the articles go. I'm not saying that Ukrainians were not behind this, or even that they didn't have either explicit or wink-wink approval from the US, but the WP/Spiegel investigation, as it stands, well,... it just doesn't stand up, and the named sources are heavy with TASS/Russian officials, while the unnamed so-called Ukrainian sources who, according to the article are "familiar with how the operation was carried out", do not, as judged from the above quote, hold up to closer inspection either.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    You forgot that last part but there, I fixed it for you.

    I copy and pasted the original headline; that’s why it’s in italics.

    So much for all the evidence pointing to Kiev. I.e. this is basic Russian skullduggery, at least as far as the articles go.

    I’m afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream. It’s not being done by Russia but by Washington.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    "I’m afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream."

    Yeah, I'm sure you're really afraid about that -- that's about as sincere as the rest of your take on this. Any time you want to address the fact that the "Ukrainian" who actually owns the yacht being framed for this is actually a Crimean separatist, feel free to work that into your narrative. Or don't, and continue to handwave or ignore it away. But don't think I won't notice, or that you're fooling me.

    "It’s not being done by Russia..."

    So, you're saying the Russian officials quoted in the story who blame the Ukrainians are all lying? If you believe that it's kinda weird you continue to rely on their websites so devotedly. Unless...

    , @Colin Wright
    @Cagey Beast


    'I’m afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream. It’s not being done by Russia but by Washington.'
     
    Quite likely the Ukraine did do it -- we prefer to have others do the dirty work. But she likely did so at our behest.

    Even if not, we probably at least knew about it before hand, and almost certainly figured it out immediately afterwards. It's absurd to imagine the pipeline got blown and we went 'huh, wonder who did that? Well, shit happens...'

    No...we were implicated. At some stage.
  183. Some Ukies just treating this as standard Russkie tactics.

  184. @Jack D
    @Colin Wright

    Don't be silly. Any Unzite will tell you that the operation was planned and carried out by the CIA with the assistance of Mossad and those Ukrainian guys that Steve mention with the multisyllabic -sky names are just the fall guys.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    Nah. They’re too busy getting just the right corridinates to bomb hospitals so they can intentionally murder women and children.

    Btw, the Israelis are smart to want to push the Palestinians out of Gaza once and for all, but they’re stupid to do it in such a public way. Unfortunately, you guys don’t control all the world’s media, so it’s not looking so great.

    Then again, people have short attention spans so who knows.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Citizen of a Silly Country

    "Unfortunately, you guys don’t control all the world’s media, so it’s not looking so great."

    In the UK, just as every story about Ukraine has to mention "Russia's full-scale invasion", so does every protest about the bombing of hospitals and residential buildings have to be described as "pro-Palestinian", and most of the graphic stuff featuring bloodied or dead children and weeping parents stays well off the TV screens.

    This is in YUGE contrast to the news coverage exactly eight years ago, in late 2015, when every bulletin was headlined with big-eyed Syrian tots covered in plaster from fallen ceilings, or being pulled from under rubble by MI6's brave White Helmets, as Aleppo (held by our "moderate Islamists") was attacked and TPTB were straining every sinew to get the UK involved in yet another war for freedom like Iraq and Libya.

    Fortunately for Syria there were too many memories of the last two conflicts, and the RAF/USAF were never ordered to enforce a "no-fly zone".

  185. @Twinkie

    The single most likely perpetrator of a project of that scale would be the state that currently hates Russia most, Ukraine.
     
    Now you are totally going to lose credibility with Ron Unz. 😉

    Replies: @Canute

    The State that currently hates Russia the most is Israel. That is why they, with the help of a phalanx of Sayanim in the US DOS, seized control of the Ukrainian government in 2014. They could then send white Ukrainians to die in a war with white Russian soldiers, further reducing the populations of both sides and establishing the permanent foothold of Israel-in-Europe, as Zelensky himself has envisioned in public interviews.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Canute

    "The State that currently hates Russia the most is Israel."

    Kinda surprised that we had to wait by almost 200 comments to get to this. I mean, if the basic response is "come on, we all know who REALLY did this", then it's a corollary of Godwin's law -- at least as far as the consensus on Unz-dot-com goes -- that the ultimate bogeyman won't be sitting in DC, no way, no how.

    Now, how much longer am I going to have to wait before I hear about a gaggle of dancing Israelis, popping champagne on some passing Swedish cruise ship, as they gleefully gaze at the expanding pressure-wave from the explosion?

  186. Anon[721] • Disclaimer says:

    Simplest explanation. The West decided to sanction Russia for defending Russian speaking people in Ukraine from attacks by the Banderites.

    Russia decided “No gas for you”, shut the pipeline down, and opened a pressure relief valve. Leaving Germany facing a cold winter and slowing industrial output. Sanctions come at a price and often a wound in a foot.

    Sidenote: NATO military units are kicking out service members who have WW2 NAZI crud in their private quarters, meanwhile, NATO members are supporting a nation that proudly displays WW2 NAZI banners on national holidays.

    Parallels between Nazi Germany and Ukraine, both were led by short Jewish guys who like to wear military uniforms. Oh yeah, and both had beards (women).

  187. @MEH 0910
    @Jack D

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/gregory-cochrans-theory-of-who-blew-up-the-nord-stream-pipelines/#comment-5571410


    Jack D says:
    September 28, 2022 at 2:17 pm GMT
    [...]
    I can’t say that it makes a tremendous amount of sense that Putin blew up his own pipeline, but all indicators (the usual unz.com conspiracy theories aside) point to Russia having done it – they had the means and opportunity. So he must have had his reasons.
     

    Replies: @Jack D

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don’t make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it (“Russia is winning!”).

    As I said at the time, it didn’t make a lot of sense for the Russians to have done it to themselves (but it wouldn’t be the 1st time that Putin did something self defeating). In light of current information, it appears to have been a Ukrainian operation, which makes more sense. But the Unz consensus then (even now) is that it was a CIA operation not a Ukrainian one so it is no less wrong than I was. I am willing to change my conclusion but the Men of Unz conclusion is ironclad and will never be moved by reality.

    • Agree: Bardon Kaldian
    • Troll: JimDandy
    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D

    If it turns out US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines, what will your position be?

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @Corvinus
    @Jack D

    “Unlike some people here, I don’t make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it (“Russia is winning!”).”

    Spoken like a lawyer who projects. Although, we have major doubts that is your actual profession.

    , @Anonymous
    @Jack D

    Knowing your contempt for the Ukrainian people, I thought you would have declared the Ukrainians too cerebrally challenged to commit such an act.

    , @tomv
    @Jack D


    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don’t make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it (“Russia is winning!”)
     
    What best information available at the time? You said back then that "all indicators (the usual unz.com conspiracy theories aside) point to Russia having done it" but never cited any. Instead, you just spun a psychoanalytical yarn about Putin's demented motivation.

    Putin is now in desperation mode...

    Desperate times call for desperate measures. One possibility is that this is Putin’s signal to Germany (and to himself) that he has crossed the Rubicon and burned his bridges...

    Putin has his back to the corner but he’s not ready to throw in the towel ....

    He is going to keep trying whatever he can come up with to keep his opponents off balance. If some of it seems a little crazy, all the better.
     
    And now you have the gall to accuse the "Men of Unz" of inventing facts to justify their preconceived notions and then demand "actual evidence and not handwaving"?

    Oy vey. The projection. The chutzpah. The utter lack of self-awareness. It's all so tiresome.
    , @tomv
    @Jack D

    I agree with you about the Men of Unz. You never see this kind of well-reasoned, evidence-based argument from them.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/gregory-cochrans-theory-of-who-blew-up-the-nord-stream-pipelines/#comment-5571410


    I can’t say that it makes a tremendous amount of sense that Nethanyahu staged a false-flag attack on this own country on October 7, but all indicators (the usual Hasbara-fueled conspiracy theories aside) point to Israel having done it --- they had the means and opportunity. So he must have had his reasons.

    In case you haven’t noticed, Nethanyahu is now in desperation mode. His government is a shambles. He was facing an open revolt and a criminal trial --- this is Germany 1945 level desperation. He is going to annex the entire judiciary based upon a sham reform that NO ONE outside of his fringe, even Israel’s allies, recognizes. Hundreds of thousands of Israel’s best and brightest were coming out to defy him and are probably never going back in. Domestic protests and even violence are breaking out. It’s a royal friggin’ mess, no matter how much copium you take.

    Desperate times call for desperate measures. One possibility is that this is Nethanyahu’s signal to the Goyim (and to himself) that he has crossed the Rubicon and burned his bridges behind him. There is no making up possible anymore even if the Goyim want it. It’s never going back to the old way even if the Goyim press the Palestinians to make a deal. Nethanyahu is turning his back on the civilized world and letting his inner Mongol fly!

    Nethanyahu has his back to the corner but he’s not ready to throw in the towel (losing this war is for him game, set, match --- there is no home for retired dictators). He is going to keep trying whatever he can come up with to keep his opponents off balance. If some of it seems a little crazy, all the better. He has told us that he is "not bluffing" about using nukes either.
     

    Replies: @Jack D

  188. @Jack D
    @BB753

    This is hilarious. Either we shouldn't support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn't support Ukraine because they have already lost. Unzites can't agree on much about reality but they can agree on the "shouldn't support Ukraine" part.

    Replies: @BB753, @ic1000

    We shouldn’t intervene anywhere.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @BB753

    That's a recipe for being overrun. If Russia and China and Iran, etc. had a non-intervention policy then we could have one too but to have a unilateral one is suicidal.

    Replies: @Pierre de Craon

  189. Dear Steve:
    I have followed you for many years because you a) conduct sound research, b) uncover solid stories, c) write with skill and aptitude, and importantly – d) you tend to see through the bullshit generated by governments – home and abroad. The Agency employed several small groups of select individuals who are recruited for their various talents of insight, academic/scholastic skills, investigative nature, or because they could think events through to the end in greater detail than say….the average government moron. I know this, because I was part of one of them and we were together at least three times per week – commonly in law offices owned by the K Street operative firms – driven there by the Church Committee hearings. Sometimes these groups were placed in competition with one another, but the tasks were alway to penetrate disinformation, or create the same to cover our own operations, preparing CYA modules of thought prior to any operation so that a fully formed explanation could be advance at the right moment. Since the end of the Cold war many of these units were disbanded as the demands of that focal point disappeared. But clearly, some were brought back in-house in the mid-90s since there was a constant need for informational preparation related to the drug running operations, and not everything happening at the start of the new century could be left solely in the hands of Israel.
    The location of Navy vessels and air traffic at the time of NordStream tells me that the Hersh story was on the mark and additionally, the current generation of “assets” tend to feed their egos by sharing and taking credit. The fact that this story has now gone form 1) Russia did it, to 2) some guys in a sailboat did it, and finally – to 3) an elite Ukrainian special-ops officer and his team of skilled operatives did it. What this tells me was that there was no informational advanced planning and they have been grasping at straws ever since. It also tells me that the Millennials have now reached the level of middle management in the I/C and likely, a few of the “brighter lights” have been moved into policy-making groups. I beg of you Steve…..do not start buying into the work of these teams, because they are not very good at their assignments and they are currently playing catch-up. In another 100 days or so, when this current fantasey fails to grab anyone’s imagination (outside of the “journalism” grads at NYT and WAPO, expect a new revelation that the elite Ukrainian special ops commander had access to extra-terrestrial technologies.

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Canute

    Or, people who pride themselves in noticing, could just do an Occam's Razor: namely, that Seymour Hersh and his investigative research is right on the money regarding the culprit behind blowing up the Nordstream Pipelines. As Hersh generally has been right on the money with most of his major stories over the last half century plus, the answer is obvious.

    Replies: @Jack D

  190. @Colin Wright
    But while the Ukraine may have physically done it, I'm virtually certain the US approved it. In fact, that's the most likely scenario. We held their hand, and they carried it out.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth, @Jack D, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Prester John

    There isn’t one chance in a billion that six Ukrainian commandos on a sailboat or whatever cockamamie story the CIA propaganda department schemed up did this.

    Also: where is A123 and his hydrate slugs? That is crazy but better than this baloney.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    First off all, there's the actual problem of *locating* the damn pipeline above the ocean's bland watery vastness.
    Then, there's the problem of actually devising underwater explosives, packaging them, and having a suitable time delay mechanism. And, apparently, the pipeline was encased in concrete.
    We are led to believe that no saturation diving was used off that yacht. Thus, you have the decompression problem, coupled with heliox mixture in a cold sea - rapid body heat loss resulting in hypothermia - and the long decompression stops a tank diver must take in those conditions. And you need several tank changes on the way. At most, you'll have half an hour of 'bottom time' - alas not with lovely Ms. Lopez, as good James Bond deserves - . If the pipeline was encased in concrete, then that concrete would needed to have been chipped away with tools prior to explosive charge placement, a lot of time needed.
    All sorts of difficulties involving poor light, boat positioning, planning and practice etc.
    Stretches the limits of plausibility.

    But on the other hand - the US Navy has exactly the right men and right equipment, who practice these drills day in day out, to accomplish the job.

    On balance, who do you (so to speak) plump for?

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    , @Achmed E. Newman
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    I never read the discussion by commenter A123 on the hydrate plugs, but I read a couple of posts by Lawdog - here's the first one. He grew up in the overseas oil fields but does not sound like any engineer.

    The question he and nobody else would answer on the blogs is, given I accept the formation of these plugs (I know nothing about that), how would they possible "crash" into the parts of the pipelines that ruptures? The radii of the bends in these things are pretty large. There's no reason for them to be otherwise, if you want to keep bending stresses down and the flowrate up.

    There are no valves and no elbows in the long stretches of 48" OD undersea pipe. If nothing else, a high speed plug being knocked loose by a large pressure differential would just put a small amount of wear on the wall as its momentum is changed (direction-wise).

    Secondly, people kept claiming that all 3 ruptures could have happened due to the same mistakes by the Russian operators, but real failures don't work like that. I had an example regarding shoddy brake lines, but one commenter had a much easier example - incandescent light bulbs. You put in 10 2,000 hr bulbs and burn em, and it'd be a hell of a coincidence if they all failed within 50 or 100 hours. Real failures don't work that way unless they are engineered to (such as pressure relief valves, and that's not time-based anyway.)

    PS: It's not that I hate slugs, but there's something about the sliminess - reminds me of certain politicians. Put some beer or salt on that guy!

  191. @Jack D
    @MEH 0910

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don't make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it ("Russia is winning!").

    As I said at the time, it didn't make a lot of sense for the Russians to have done it to themselves (but it wouldn't be the 1st time that Putin did something self defeating). In light of current information, it appears to have been a Ukrainian operation, which makes more sense. But the Unz consensus then (even now) is that it was a CIA operation not a Ukrainian one so it is no less wrong than I was. I am willing to change my conclusion but the Men of Unz conclusion is ironclad and will never be moved by reality.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Corvinus, @Anonymous, @tomv, @tomv

    If it turns out US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines, what will your position be?

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    That US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines. But this would have to be based on actual evidence and not handwaving. So far I have seen zero evidence this is true.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Anonymous

  192. @Cagey Beast
    @Anon

    You can go to the Kremlin website, the Russian Foreign Ministry website or RT to find the answer yourself. It's funny how people happily make up their own preferred Russian motives without even bothering to see what the Russians themselves say.

    Replies: @HA

    “It’s funny how people happily make up their own preferred Russian motives without even bothering to see what the Russians themselves say.”

    I didn’t read the RT site to find out what the old roulette Wheel-o’-Excuses is pointing to this week, but from what I’ve been able to gather, it hasn’t stopped spinning yet. For example, Here’s the “I do it because I’m Peter the Great” line that Lil’ BB invoked at one point:

    “Peter the Great waged the great northern war for 21 years…. He did not take anything… he returned [what was Russia’s]…Apparently, it is also our lot to return [what is Russia’s] and strengthen [the country].”

    Did that make it onto the wheel-o’-excuses? Or else, here’s the one about how according to him, Ukraine doesn’t even exist.

    Then there’s the one where Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to taking back what the Russians formerly held in Eastern Europe.

    And of course, the one where putting all those states back into one Russian orbit somehow serves to make the world more multipolar. I don’t get that either. The math seems off.

    Is the old “narco-maniacs have taken over Kyiv, won’t someone think of the children?” giveance still active? I guess we gotta check if and when that wheel ever stops.

  193. @Cagey Beast
    @HA


    You forgot that last part but there, I fixed it for you.
     
    I copy and pasted the original headline; that's why it's in italics.

    So much for all the evidence pointing to Kiev. I.e. this is basic Russian skullduggery, at least as far as the articles go.
     
    I'm afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream. It's not being done by Russia but by Washington.

    Replies: @HA, @Colin Wright

    “I’m afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream.”

    Yeah, I’m sure you’re really afraid about that — that’s about as sincere as the rest of your take on this. Any time you want to address the fact that the “Ukrainian” who actually owns the yacht being framed for this is actually a Crimean separatist, feel free to work that into your narrative. Or don’t, and continue to handwave or ignore it away. But don’t think I won’t notice, or that you’re fooling me.

    “It’s not being done by Russia…”

    So, you’re saying the Russian officials quoted in the story who blame the Ukrainians are all lying? If you believe that it’s kinda weird you continue to rely on their websites so devotedly. Unless…

  194. @bispora
    Steve I have enjoyed your writings at Unz and here on twitter. I found you to be an independent thinker, looking for and finding solutions to interesting problems. However, you have exposed yourself with Nord Stream - I am almost certain you work for the CIA...

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    Steve also shot RFK and has a bid in for the contract to shoot RFK Jr. His real name is Sailer Sailer, which is why Sirhan Sirhan is often mistaken for him.

    • Replies: @bispora
    @Cagey Beast

    Or just look at how, as an opinion leader, he can represent the interests of the US by pretending to be stupid about the North Stream...

  195. Come on Steve. Can you say “Thrown under the bus?” This is the story that allows the US to back away from the whole mess they have been sucked into in 404.

  196. @Canute
    @Twinkie

    The State that currently hates Russia the most is Israel. That is why they, with the help of a phalanx of Sayanim in the US DOS, seized control of the Ukrainian government in 2014. They could then send white Ukrainians to die in a war with white Russian soldiers, further reducing the populations of both sides and establishing the permanent foothold of Israel-in-Europe, as Zelensky himself has envisioned in public interviews.

    Replies: @HA

    “The State that currently hates Russia the most is Israel.”

    Kinda surprised that we had to wait by almost 200 comments to get to this. I mean, if the basic response is “come on, we all know who REALLY did this”, then it’s a corollary of Godwin’s law — at least as far as the consensus on Unz-dot-com goes — that the ultimate bogeyman won’t be sitting in DC, no way, no how.

    Now, how much longer am I going to have to wait before I hear about a gaggle of dancing Israelis, popping champagne on some passing Swedish cruise ship, as they gleefully gaze at the expanding pressure-wave from the explosion?

  197. @Ron Unz
    @Buzz Mohawk


    I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I’m thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.
     
    LOL. Someone pointed me to this post.

    The destruction of the $30 billion Nord Stream pipelines was surely the largest act of industrial terrorism in the history of the world, so it's certainly quite plausible that the operation was carried out by a handful of shadowy Ukrainian activists in a rented sailboat.

    After all, we all know that JFK was assassinated by a lone nut named Lee Harvey Oswald and that the gigantic 9/11 attacks were carried out by nineteen random Arabs armed with box-cutters so there's ample precedent.

    Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that's what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.

    Still, Hersh, America's most renowned investigative journalist, has raised one slightly suspicious detail on the other side. He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious about who was actually responsible, given that the attack was an outright act of war against Germany and NATO. So Biden and his people might have naturally tasked the CIA and the DIA to determine who had destroyed the pipelines and report back to him. Yet oddly enough no such request was ever made.

    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.

    Replies: @Gordo, @Bill Jones, @Corvinus, @Pierre de Craon

    “Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that’s what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.”

    You need direct evidence rather than the standard rope. It’s possible, but you’re assuming it’s probable.

    “He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious”

    They most likely were kept in the loop.

  198. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Charlesz Martel


    "If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people. I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too."
     
    But it's the Palestinians who were invaded and had their people killed!

    https://www.un.org/unispal/about-the-nakba/

    I must say it shows a certain brass neck to steal the name of a remarkable European for your propaganda work.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Martel

    Replies: @Charlesz Martel, @Charlesz Martel

    A remarkable European who knew how to deal with Muslims

  199. @Jack D
    @MEH 0910

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don't make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it ("Russia is winning!").

    As I said at the time, it didn't make a lot of sense for the Russians to have done it to themselves (but it wouldn't be the 1st time that Putin did something self defeating). In light of current information, it appears to have been a Ukrainian operation, which makes more sense. But the Unz consensus then (even now) is that it was a CIA operation not a Ukrainian one so it is no less wrong than I was. I am willing to change my conclusion but the Men of Unz conclusion is ironclad and will never be moved by reality.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Corvinus, @Anonymous, @tomv, @tomv

    “Unlike some people here, I don’t make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it (“Russia is winning!”).”

    Spoken like a lawyer who projects. Although, we have major doubts that is your actual profession.

  200. @Jack D
    @MEH 0910

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don't make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it ("Russia is winning!").

    As I said at the time, it didn't make a lot of sense for the Russians to have done it to themselves (but it wouldn't be the 1st time that Putin did something self defeating). In light of current information, it appears to have been a Ukrainian operation, which makes more sense. But the Unz consensus then (even now) is that it was a CIA operation not a Ukrainian one so it is no less wrong than I was. I am willing to change my conclusion but the Men of Unz conclusion is ironclad and will never be moved by reality.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Corvinus, @Anonymous, @tomv, @tomv

    Knowing your contempt for the Ukrainian people, I thought you would have declared the Ukrainians too cerebrally challenged to commit such an act.

  201. @Traianus
    Given the WP’s track record on pretty much everything, why would you believe it in this case? Hersh’s argument, which he stands by, is that the pipeline was so deep that you needed very experienced divers that only come from this one Navy School in Pensacola and you needed a ship that had one of those chambers that treats people for the Benz. In other words you needed a much bigger ship than a sailboat or sailing yacht.

    Btw this has nothing to do with the competence of the Ukraine military. I’ve been telling anyone that would listen that prewar, Ukraine had, contrary to popular belief, among the most robust militaries in Europe. This is what scares me about the Russians prevailing in less than 2 years. I do think that Poland better get its act together because obviously Western militaries need to consider producing more artillery and sheer volume of armaments. Eastern Europe is also going to be forced to reinstitute a draft. Theyre lucky that Poland remains so conservative and traditional.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country, @Hunsdon, @Jack D

    Russia has neither the desire nor the ability to be a threat to Europe. Putin has never even vaguely implied a desire for such a thing.

    Before the war, Russia clearly said that it wanted Ukraine to stop the attacks on the Donbas and to pledge neutrality.

    Now, Russia will want more, but one thing they don’t want is western Ukraine. They know they couldn’t hold it. They learned their lesson in the Cold War.

    I repeat, Russia has neither the desire nor ability to be a threat to Poland or beyond.

  202. Anonymous[280] • Disclaimer says:
    @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Colin Wright

    There isn't one chance in a billion that six Ukrainian commandos on a sailboat or whatever cockamamie story the CIA propaganda department schemed up did this.

    Also: where is A123 and his hydrate slugs? That is crazy but better than this baloney.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/b5/Banana_Slug-1.jpg

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Achmed E. Newman

    First off all, there’s the actual problem of *locating* the damn pipeline above the ocean’s bland watery vastness.
    Then, there’s the problem of actually devising underwater explosives, packaging them, and having a suitable time delay mechanism. And, apparently, the pipeline was encased in concrete.
    We are led to believe that no saturation diving was used off that yacht. Thus, you have the decompression problem, coupled with heliox mixture in a cold sea – rapid body heat loss resulting in hypothermia – and the long decompression stops a tank diver must take in those conditions. And you need several tank changes on the way. At most, you’ll have half an hour of ‘bottom time’ – alas not with lovely Ms. Lopez, as good James Bond deserves – . If the pipeline was encased in concrete, then that concrete would needed to have been chipped away with tools prior to explosive charge placement, a lot of time needed.
    All sorts of difficulties involving poor light, boat positioning, planning and practice etc.
    Stretches the limits of plausibility.

    But on the other hand – the US Navy has exactly the right men and right equipment, who practice these drills day in day out, to accomplish the job.

    On balance, who do you (so to speak) plump for?

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Anonymous

    You also have to remember the NATO exercises a month or so before, when various NATO boats were parked above the pipeline for some time.

    Replies: @res

  203. @JohnnyWalker123
    https://twitter.com/StephenM/status/1723400234493981111

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @MEH 0910

    Sounds good to me. I don’t remember voting for my country to be a global garbage dump.

  204. @quewin
    @Dnought


    Chesterton wrote something about people who don’t believe in God becoming capable of believing in anything, right? I guess as a corollary, in the present day, you could add that people who believe in trannys become capable of believing in anything.
     
    I’ve related this exact observation, including the Chesterton quote, to other people out in the wild.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    I’ve related this exact observation, including the Chesterton quote, to other people out in the wild.

    When asked about “rum, sodomy, and the lash”, Churchill said it wasn’t his, but he wished it was. This sounds like Chesterton’s potential response to this quote. I don’t think it’s ever been found in GKC’s œuvre, though the one to ask is his through Norwegian bibliographer, Geir Hasnes. There are parallel statements of GKC’s, so it’s likely he’d endorse this one.

    So many great “quotes” of the past two centuries turn out to be anonymous on investigation, and stuck like “flypaper” (Ralph Keyes’s term) to whichever contemporary wit they most fit, Twain, Wilde, Churchill, Rogers, Mencken, whomever.

    “If you are not a communist at twenty…”
    “When fascism comes to America…”
    “No dumb bastard ever won a war…”

    Marx did maintain that history repeated itself, first as tragedy, then as farce. Several times, in fact. But never so pithily; you’re getting the Reader’s Digest version. A very literate woman– she homeschooled her children in the classics– once “quoted” Mencken to me, about America being tilted to the southwest so everything loose winds up in California. I gently informed her that Frank Lloyd Wright had come up with that one. I heard it from Carol Wayne on the Tonight Show.

    (Evidently Carol’s literacy was up there with Wally Cox’s bodybuilding as among the best-kept secrets in Hollywood.)

  205. @Gordo
    @Ron Unz

    Once the NATO divers finally go down for a look there’s a fair chance they’ll find a dropped Ukrainian passport LOL

    Replies: @Dennis Dale

    The Ukies trained on video games and old episodes of Sea Hunt.

    • LOL: Gordo
  206. @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Jack D

    Nah. They're too busy getting just the right corridinates to bomb hospitals so they can intentionally murder women and children.

    Btw, the Israelis are smart to want to push the Palestinians out of Gaza once and for all, but they're stupid to do it in such a public way. Unfortunately, you guys don't control all the world's media, so it's not looking so great.

    Then again, people have short attention spans so who knows.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    “Unfortunately, you guys don’t control all the world’s media, so it’s not looking so great.”

    In the UK, just as every story about Ukraine has to mention “Russia’s full-scale invasion”, so does every protest about the bombing of hospitals and residential buildings have to be described as “pro-Palestinian”, and most of the graphic stuff featuring bloodied or dead children and weeping parents stays well off the TV screens.

    This is in YUGE contrast to the news coverage exactly eight years ago, in late 2015, when every bulletin was headlined with big-eyed Syrian tots covered in plaster from fallen ceilings, or being pulled from under rubble by MI6’s brave White Helmets, as Aleppo (held by our “moderate Islamists”) was attacked and TPTB were straining every sinew to get the UK involved in yet another war for freedom like Iraq and Libya.

    Fortunately for Syria there were too many memories of the last two conflicts, and the RAF/USAF were never ordered to enforce a “no-fly zone”.

  207. many argued that it had to be a giant operation involving the U.S. Navy and the entire United States military-industrial complex

    Has one person claimed this? You met a guy who’s sure the Space Force was involved with an undersea diving or naval drone operation?

  208. @Anonymous
    @Ben Kurtz

    Well, I doubt they just walked into a dive shop and grabbed the first few dudes they saw. (Not to say that they couldn't have trained people: tec diving isn't rocket science.) Ukraine has >40 million people and significant offshore industry: they have people with comparable experience.

    Replies: @Intelligent Dasein

    Ukraine has >40 million people…

    Had.

    • Agree: Colin Wright
  209. @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D

    If it turns out US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines, what will your position be?

    Replies: @Jack D

    That US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines. But this would have to be based on actual evidence and not handwaving. So far I have seen zero evidence this is true.

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D


    That US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines.
     
    Would you think it was a good idea?

    So far I have seen zero evidence this is true.
     
    How hard have you been looking?

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @Anonymous
    @Jack D

    Of course they are hardly going to advertise the fact.

  210. @BB753
    @Jack D

    We shouldn't intervene anywhere.

    Replies: @Jack D

    That’s a recipe for being overrun. If Russia and China and Iran, etc. had a non-intervention policy then we could have one too but to have a unilateral one is suicidal.

    • Replies: @Pierre de Craon
    @Jack D


    That’s a recipe for being overrun. If Russia and China and Iran, etc. had a non-intervention policy then we could have one too but to have a unilateral one is suicidal.
     
    This pontificating propagandist—closing in to 29,000 comments—evidently hasn't noticed the two obstacles to the United States' being suicidally overrun: one is called the Atlantic; the other, the Pacific.

    Replies: @Jack D

  211. @Ron Unz
    @Buzz Mohawk


    I remember watching 9/11 on TV, so now I’m thinking maybe Nord Stream was sabotaged by guys with box cutters.
     
    LOL. Someone pointed me to this post.

    The destruction of the $30 billion Nord Stream pipelines was surely the largest act of industrial terrorism in the history of the world, so it's certainly quite plausible that the operation was carried out by a handful of shadowy Ukrainian activists in a rented sailboat.

    After all, we all know that JFK was assassinated by a lone nut named Lee Harvey Oswald and that the gigantic 9/11 attacks were carried out by nineteen random Arabs armed with box-cutters so there's ample precedent.

    Furthermore, all our MSM outlets are saying that's what happened, and they would never, ever be dishonest about anything important or controversial.

    Still, Hersh, America's most renowned investigative journalist, has raised one slightly suspicious detail on the other side. He notes that America has a vast intelligence apparatus, including 17 separate organizations, and after the pipelines were destroyed, one would think that Biden and his national security staff might have become a little curious about who was actually responsible, given that the attack was an outright act of war against Germany and NATO. So Biden and his people might have naturally tasked the CIA and the DIA to determine who had destroyed the pipelines and report back to him. Yet oddly enough no such request was ever made.

    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.

    Replies: @Gordo, @Bill Jones, @Corvinus, @Pierre de Craon

    Thank you for splashing cold water on the Occamite cosplayers.

    I guess Biden was just too busy with other things.

    Darn right. Sniffing kids’ hair consumes three to four hours a day. Three times a week, he has to meet with Kamala for Laugh Hour. I understand that he and Doctor Jill are very fond of Parcheesi. Then …

  212. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    That US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines. But this would have to be based on actual evidence and not handwaving. So far I have seen zero evidence this is true.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Anonymous

    That US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines.

    Would you think it was a good idea?

    So far I have seen zero evidence this is true.

    How hard have you been looking?

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    Good idea? No, it would invite retaliation. Best not to have American fingerprints on it.

    It's not my job to look for these facts. People who are saying that this is what happened have the burden of proving that they are not just making shit up because they hate our government.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Mr. Anon

  213. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Charlesz Martel


    "If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people. I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too."
     
    But it's the Palestinians who were invaded and had their people killed!

    https://www.un.org/unispal/about-the-nakba/

    I must say it shows a certain brass neck to steal the name of a remarkable European for your propaganda work.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Martel

    Replies: @Charlesz Martel, @Charlesz Martel

    The “Palestinians”, who never existed as a separate people from genetically indistinguishable Arabs, took over the land by force after the Romans primarily took it from the Jews, who were there for millennia before Mohammad raped his first nine year old or molested his first goat.

    If you want to go back to original indigenous people, it never ends.

    The Palestinians have 57 Arab countries they can go to and act like animals. Until their “Brother Arabs” kill them, that is.

  214. @Jack D
    @BB753

    That's a recipe for being overrun. If Russia and China and Iran, etc. had a non-intervention policy then we could have one too but to have a unilateral one is suicidal.

    Replies: @Pierre de Craon

    That’s a recipe for being overrun. If Russia and China and Iran, etc. had a non-intervention policy then we could have one too but to have a unilateral one is suicidal.

    This pontificating propagandist—closing in to 29,000 comments—evidently hasn’t noticed the two obstacles to the United States’ being suicidally overrun: one is called the Atlantic; the other, the Pacific.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Pierre de Craon

    Pierre must be a time traveler and he is writing to us from before the invention of the airplane. Or else he is an idiot.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country

  215. @Bragadocious
    Nah, the smoking gun points to Britain, in the form of the text message from Truss to Blinken: "it's done." Was she talking about her pot roast? And why was she booted out of office soon after this happened?

    The single most likely perpetrator of a project of that scale would be the state that currently hates Russia most

     

    That state would be the UK.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    Nah, the smoking gun points to Britain

    None of the options are mutually exclusive, it could easily have been a joint CIA/MI6/Uke operation.

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Hypnotoad666

    Norway may have helped too. I believe Seymour Hersh includes them in his version of events.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

  216. @Hypnotoad666
    @Bragadocious


    Nah, the smoking gun points to Britain
     
    None of the options are mutually exclusive, it could easily have been a joint CIA/MI6/Uke operation.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    Norway may have helped too. I believe Seymour Hersh includes them in his version of events.

    • Thanks: JimDandy
    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Cagey Beast

    "Reporter Seymour Hersh on "How America Took Out the Nord Stream Pipeline": Exclusive TV Interview"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d4BuMaGlKp0

  217. @tomv
    Aside from a handful of taboo topics that are his bread and butter, Steve prides himself on being a mainstream, middle-of-the-road Boobus Americanus. That's why he casually dismisses JFK and RFK conspiracy theories, plunged headlong into Covid hysteria, took "national pride" in Bob Dylan's joke Nobel, found nice things to say about Hamilton the musical, and applauds Margo Robbie's choice as Barbie. I'm not saying he's wrong on all of these things (except the last one, which is a travesty), but there's a pattern here, and it does make him less interesting to read on those occasions. (Which is okay. To be interesting all the time is actually quite boring, too. See some other columnists here on TUR.)

    Replies: @Cool Daddy Jimbo, @Dumbo, @Colin Wright

    ‘Aside from a handful of taboo topics that are his bread and butter, Steve prides himself on being a mainstream, middle-of-the-road Boobus Americanus…’

    Yeah, but that gives Steve street cred — in a very boring sense.

    If Andrew Anglin says ‘_______,’ you go, ‘uhuh. Anything to this?’ If Steve Sailer says it, you go ‘Jeepers. Must be so.’

    Assuming Steve has a limited range of targets but wants to have maximum impact, it’s pretty smart, rhetorically.

  218. @Anonymous
    @Charlesz Martel


    If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.
     
    You have it backwards. It is the zionist jews that need to learn that lesson. They are the invaders and the killers. The international community, but especially the United States, needs to stop enabling the zionists so that they are forced to learn that lesson.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Charlesz Martel

    I think you are both right. The Israelis and Palestinians are both justified in killing the other group.

  219. @Cagey Beast
    @HA


    You forgot that last part but there, I fixed it for you.
     
    I copy and pasted the original headline; that's why it's in italics.

    So much for all the evidence pointing to Kiev. I.e. this is basic Russian skullduggery, at least as far as the articles go.
     
    I'm afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream. It's not being done by Russia but by Washington.

    Replies: @HA, @Colin Wright

    ‘I’m afraid it looks like Ukraine is getting framed for Nord Stream. It’s not being done by Russia but by Washington.’

    Quite likely the Ukraine did do it — we prefer to have others do the dirty work. But she likely did so at our behest.

    Even if not, we probably at least knew about it before hand, and almost certainly figured it out immediately afterwards. It’s absurd to imagine the pipeline got blown and we went ‘huh, wonder who did that? Well, shit happens…’

    No…we were implicated. At some stage.

  220. @Dmon
    @ic1000

    The good news about Gavin is that once he's in, all of Steve's uncertainties about the shadowy cabal controlling the president will vanish.

    https://thespectator.com/topic/california-new-china-gavin-newsom-social-credit/


    The fifty-six-year-old [Gavin Newsom] recently announced the creation of California’s new “Cradle-to-Career” (C2C) system. According to this official statement, the system will integrate “over 1 billion data points — providing unprecedented insight and transparency,” ostensibly “to improve career outcomes for millions of Californians.” C2C’s integration of data, notes the statement, “will provide the public, researchers and lawmakers unprecedented insight that could improve education and quality of life for millions of Californians.”According to the aforementioned C2C statement, by “leveraging billions of data points, California’s Cradle-to-Career data system will be a game-changer for improving the quality of life for millions of Californians and highlighting ways to improve opportunity in the classroom and access to the workforce.”

    The Golden State, we’re assured, “is leading the nation in equitably connecting our education system to the workforce to ensure every Californian has the freedom to succeed.”

    On closer inspection, however, the system will give lawmakers access to intimate information broken down by race, geography and, of course, gender, to, as the statement suggests (or warns) “illuminate and address areas of strength and needed growth and any inequities.” C2C’s partners include the California Department of Education, the Department of Health Care Services, the Department of Social Services and University of California’s Office of the President.
     

    Replies: @ic1000

    > On closer inspection, however, the system will give lawmakers access to intimate information broken down by…

    However?

    I, for one, welcome our new insect overlords.

  221. @Cagey Beast
    @Hypnotoad666

    Norway may have helped too. I believe Seymour Hersh includes them in his version of events.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    “Reporter Seymour Hersh on “How America Took Out the Nord Stream Pipeline”: Exclusive TV Interview”

    • Thanks: Robertson
  222. @Anonymous
    Only a submarine containing the specialized equipment needed for a team of saturation divers, and a team of the said saturation divers could possibly have pulled off that stunt.
    Only the US Navy has that sort of capability.

    Saturation diving is the technique used to enable divers to cope with the extreme pressures of the deep sea, in which the diver is forced to breath heliox at pressures many times atmospheric. Also, hot water, supplied by the means of an 'umbilical' which also delivers the heliox and Comms, is needed for survival in the icy waters of the Baltic. The hot water freely circulates within the dive suit.

    Replies: @Shale boi, @Gordo, @ThreeCranes, @Rich23

    Triox?
    When Sailer says “they just dropped down” from a “rented sailboat”, his stupidity shown right thru.

    “Dropped down”….

    Jesus

  223. @Jack D
    @BB753

    This is hilarious. Either we shouldn't support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn't support Ukraine because they have already lost. Unzites can't agree on much about reality but they can agree on the "shouldn't support Ukraine" part.

    Replies: @BB753, @ic1000

    > This is hilarious.

    I’m not laughing. I don’t see much cause for Ukrainians to laugh. Russians either FWIW.

    > Either we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already lost.

    Bizarre.

    It’s lost. von Clauswitz trumps both ethnic enthusiasms (or antagonisms) and Game-of-Risk! fantasies. In that regard, it’s too bad for Ukraine that the caliber of American leadership is on the order of Blinken-Austin-Nuland-Sullivan.

    Hopefully the loss is on the order of Georgia in 2008 or Armenia in 2023 — where Ukraine can continue as a polity (and hopefully prosper).

    Unfortunately, the Russians get a vote. John Mearsheimer has been Cassandra on this topic. He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a “frozen conflict,” in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.

    The Ukrainians should not have trusted in U.S. advice and guidance. We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.

    • Replies: @Pixo
    @ic1000

    “ He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a “frozen conflict,” in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.”

    Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise? Would we benefit from Canada becoming a failed state?

    Replies: @ic1000, @Tex

    , @Jack D
    @ic1000

    Maybe this war will turn Russia into a failed state instead? In some respects it already is.

    , @Peter Akuleyev
    @ic1000

    Anyone who thinks Russia is „winning“ is clueless. The West has played this cynically but arguably well from its own self-interest. Ukraine will come out „independent“ but so weakened it will be completely dependent on the EU and US to survive. Russia is suffering a catastrophic loss of manpower and talent. The economy is cratering and the country is losing its ability to project military influence. The only asset besides energy it possesses. Unless Russia is willing to become a vassal state of China eventually whatever is left of the Russian state will also need to renegotiate a relationship with the EU on much better terms for the EU than in the prior decades.

    Replies: @ic1000

  224. @Pierre de Craon
    @Jack D


    That’s a recipe for being overrun. If Russia and China and Iran, etc. had a non-intervention policy then we could have one too but to have a unilateral one is suicidal.
     
    This pontificating propagandist—closing in to 29,000 comments—evidently hasn't noticed the two obstacles to the United States' being suicidally overrun: one is called the Atlantic; the other, the Pacific.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Pierre must be a time traveler and he is writing to us from before the invention of the airplane. Or else he is an idiot.

    • Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Jack D

    Jack, you tell some great whoppers to us gullible goys, but this has to rank near the top.

    Please let us know when China or Russia or (this is pure comedy gold) Iran have:

    1. A deep-water navy capable of transporting at least a million troops across the ocean

    2. The navy, air force and missile system to protect those transport ships from our subs, carrier groups, long-range bombers, long-range missiles, etc.

    3. The landing craft to get those million or two soldier on the ground

    4. The logistical capability to feed and supply those million or two soldiers fighting thousands of miles away

    5. The air force, missile systems, drones, etc., to protect their invading army

    And so on and so one.

    Seriously, I find you absolutely hilarious, but your utter disrespect for the intelligence of non-Jews, while, admittedly, well earned, is a sight to behold. However, just remember that not all of us non-kosher whites are quite as stupid as you believe.

    And Indians and Asian don't even care enough to listen to your lies. That should scare you more than anything, btw.

    Replies: @BB753

  225. @ic1000
    @Jack D

    > This is hilarious.

    I'm not laughing. I don't see much cause for Ukrainians to laugh. Russians either FWIW.

    > Either we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already lost.

    Bizarre.

    It's lost. von Clauswitz trumps both ethnic enthusiasms (or antagonisms) and Game-of-Risk! fantasies. In that regard, it's too bad for Ukraine that the caliber of American leadership is on the order of Blinken-Austin-Nuland-Sullivan.

    Hopefully the loss is on the order of Georgia in 2008 or Armenia in 2023 -- where Ukraine can continue as a polity (and hopefully prosper).

    Unfortunately, the Russians get a vote. John Mearsheimer has been Cassandra on this topic. He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a "frozen conflict," in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.

    The Ukrainians should not have trusted in U.S. advice and guidance. We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.

    Replies: @Pixo, @Jack D, @Peter Akuleyev

    “ He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a “frozen conflict,” in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.”

    Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise? Would we benefit from Canada becoming a failed state?

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @Pixo

    > Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise?

    Being neither an elite nor a Russian -- far less both -- my opinion doesn't matter.

    Fortunately, there is a moderate member of Russia's elite who has been quite articulate on his nation's foreign policy objectives and concerns. You can easily find his speeches on Russia Today, or get the condensed version by reading one of John Mearsheimer's articles (or listening to one of his interviews).

    Moderate refers to this leader's views and policies with respect the preferences of his co-national elites. But you knew that.

    , @Tex
    @Pixo


    Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise? Would we benefit from Canada becoming a failed state?
     
    If Canada began considering quitting NATO and joining some 21st century version of the Warsaw Pact, yeah I think Canada would get failed hard and fast.

    Replies: @Jack D

  226. @ic1000
    @Jack D

    > This is hilarious.

    I'm not laughing. I don't see much cause for Ukrainians to laugh. Russians either FWIW.

    > Either we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already lost.

    Bizarre.

    It's lost. von Clauswitz trumps both ethnic enthusiasms (or antagonisms) and Game-of-Risk! fantasies. In that regard, it's too bad for Ukraine that the caliber of American leadership is on the order of Blinken-Austin-Nuland-Sullivan.

    Hopefully the loss is on the order of Georgia in 2008 or Armenia in 2023 -- where Ukraine can continue as a polity (and hopefully prosper).

    Unfortunately, the Russians get a vote. John Mearsheimer has been Cassandra on this topic. He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a "frozen conflict," in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.

    The Ukrainians should not have trusted in U.S. advice and guidance. We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.

    Replies: @Pixo, @Jack D, @Peter Akuleyev

    Maybe this war will turn Russia into a failed state instead? In some respects it already is.

  227. @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D


    That US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines.
     
    Would you think it was a good idea?

    So far I have seen zero evidence this is true.
     
    How hard have you been looking?

    Replies: @Jack D

    Good idea? No, it would invite retaliation. Best not to have American fingerprints on it.

    It’s not my job to look for these facts. People who are saying that this is what happened have the burden of proving that they are not just making shit up because they hate our government.

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D


    Good idea? No, it would invite retaliation. Best not to have American fingerprints on it.
     
    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did? This is the third time I've asked.

    It’s not my job to look for these facts.
     
    Yeah your job here is just to naysay whatever evidence is presented without looking at it.

    because they hate our government.
     
    Maybe the government is wrong?

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @Mr. Anon
    @Jack D


    It’s not my job to look for these facts. People who are saying that this is what happened have the burden of proving that they are not just making shit up because they hate our government.
     
    But saying that Russia did it, in the complete absence of any facts or any plausible motive, that was the best available guess at the time you made it, huh? Why wasn't the burden of proving what you asserted on you at the time?

    For some people it is always "cherchez le russe".

    Replies: @Jack D

  228. “We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.”

    Again, if the alternative to the US is Putin’s warm embrace and 5-year-plans, I see a problem with your and Mearshimer’s specious analyses. Don’t get me wrong — if the Ukrainians find themselves dumb or defenseless enough to settle for any “peace” that Putin offers now or in the future, that’s their choice (or more likely, abject lack thereof), but my strong hunch is that it will entail a “neutrality” non-agression clause that prevents Ukraine from getting outside weapons, so the next time Putin causes mischief and it doesn’t go his way (like bullying Yanukovych over a EU deal back in 2014, only to see the latter get ousted), he’ll launch another “special” operation, and that one will indeed only need 3 days to get as far as Lviv. If you or Meashimer doubt that, then your understanding of offensive realism, or whatever that buzzword is, is oddly spotty.

    I’m also going to predict that if the war goes Putin’s way, Kherson and Donbass and the rest of whatever Putin claims as Moscow’s will have keep on showing their gratitude for being “liberated” by going wherever the meatgrinder turns next — maybe Kazakhstan, or Armenia, Georgia, Transnistria, Poland, the Baltics, etc. Teenagers who were kidnapped by Russians just a few months ago and “rescued” are now receiving conscription notices to go back and fight their former countrymen. Because as I noted in a previous comment, Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR, whose downfall Putin regards as the worst thing ever, geopolitically speaking. That is the fate that awaits whatever other part of Ukraine that Russia gets to acquire, either now or in the next SMO. If you’re not an ethnic Russian in the environs of Moscow or St. Petersburg, then “chum” for the meatgrinder is all you’ll ever be. At least Nuland is offering them a chance to have a country and an identity of their own, however precarious. Whereas Putin denies that identity even exists — again, check the previous link.

    You can go ahead and wail about how bad a friend the US is, but it’s not your choice, and not Mearshimer’s, and not Putin’s. The Ukrainians will likely want to have a say, and given that they didn’t choose to cave in within a week like our analysts were predicting, we probably need to account for their agency better than we have been. And for the time being, the Ukrainians still think the West is a better option, and given the alternative you’re implicitly offering them, I find that far more understandable than you and Mearshimer.

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @HA

    > You can go ahead and wail about

    That's Corvinus-style phrasing. If it's integral to your plan to win the internet, I dunno. Might want to re-evaluate. Jack D, for one, keeps his cool through some pretty spirited disagreements.

    More fundamentally, you focus on ought to the seeming exclusion of is. For example, Russia has five times the population, more than five times the industrial base, and much more than five times the military industrial base. These things matter.

    In my view, Finland in the 20th century is Ukraine's might-have-been. Mannerheim was no friend to the Russians -- an understatement! -- but he and his successors managed to keep Finland independent, viable, and mostly whole, through periods of European turmoil that were far worse than today's. There were heavy and unjust prices to pay, but in Mannerheim et al.'s view, that was the least-bad alternative.

    Statesmen [sic] such as Blinken, Nuland, Sullivan, and Austin seem to have neither the knowledge of history nor the insight to guide Ukraine in this direction. Or, notwithstanding such knowledge and insight, they are nonetheless happy to sacrifice Ukraine's future on the altar of the U.S.' key policy objective. Namely, more dead Russians.

    That would signal a level of cynicism that dwarfs yours and mine, combined.

    Replies: @HA

    , @Peterike
    @HA

    “Because as I noted in a previous comment, Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR”

    An assertion for which there is zero evidence.

    Hey brah, did you ever apologize for being totally wrong about Covid? I must have missed it. Of course I was totally right about everything. Hope you got your fifth booster and your flu shot, lol!!!

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @HA

  229. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    Good idea? No, it would invite retaliation. Best not to have American fingerprints on it.

    It's not my job to look for these facts. People who are saying that this is what happened have the burden of proving that they are not just making shit up because they hate our government.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Mr. Anon

    Good idea? No, it would invite retaliation. Best not to have American fingerprints on it.

    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did? This is the third time I’ve asked.

    It’s not my job to look for these facts.

    Yeah your job here is just to naysay whatever evidence is presented without looking at it.

    because they hate our government.

    Maybe the government is wrong?

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast


    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did?
     
    I already gave you my answer - if it "turns out" that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect.

    The other alternative would be for the US to do it but in such a way that they would never get caught. This would also been have a "bad idea" because Washington leaks like a sieve and you can 100% expect that it would become known eventually, again inviting retaliation. No "secret operation" is really secret if you and I and Russia come to know about it. So assuming that you will never get caught is a bad idea.

    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn't AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed. So if someone else (say the Ukrainians) blew it up, it would be a "good idea" from the US POV since the pipeline would be gone but Russia could not blame us for it. As has often been noted, modern wars are in large part about exhausting the enemy's resources as much as actually defeating them in battle, so anything that exhausts Russia's resources will mean that it will have to give up on this war sooner.

    Playing this out further, I would imagine that our instructions to the Ukrainians when it comes to matters like this is "do whatever you want against Russia (within the limits of the law of warfare) but just don't tell us about it ahead of time". Russia has certainly not hesitated to target Ukrainian infrastructure and economic targets such as grain terminals so why should Ukraine not hit similar targets belonging to Russia?

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Colin Wright, @Somsel

  230. @Jack D
    @Pierre de Craon

    Pierre must be a time traveler and he is writing to us from before the invention of the airplane. Or else he is an idiot.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country

    Jack, you tell some great whoppers to us gullible goys, but this has to rank near the top.

    Please let us know when China or Russia or (this is pure comedy gold) Iran have:

    1. A deep-water navy capable of transporting at least a million troops across the ocean

    2. The navy, air force and missile system to protect those transport ships from our subs, carrier groups, long-range bombers, long-range missiles, etc.

    3. The landing craft to get those million or two soldier on the ground

    4. The logistical capability to feed and supply those million or two soldiers fighting thousands of miles away

    5. The air force, missile systems, drones, etc., to protect their invading army

    And so on and so one.

    Seriously, I find you absolutely hilarious, but your utter disrespect for the intelligence of non-Jews, while, admittedly, well earned, is a sight to behold. However, just remember that not all of us non-kosher whites are quite as stupid as you believe.

    And Indians and Asian don’t even care enough to listen to your lies. That should scare you more than anything, btw.

    • Agree: Mark G., BB753
    • Thanks: Pierre de Craon
    • Replies: @BB753
    @Citizen of a Silly Country

    You're right. And your thinking applies both ways: America hasn't the capability to invade Russia, China or Iran either, for the very same reasons you mentioned.

    Replies: @HA, @Mike Tre

  231. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    Good idea? No, it would invite retaliation. Best not to have American fingerprints on it.

    It's not my job to look for these facts. People who are saying that this is what happened have the burden of proving that they are not just making shit up because they hate our government.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Mr. Anon

    It’s not my job to look for these facts. People who are saying that this is what happened have the burden of proving that they are not just making shit up because they hate our government.

    But saying that Russia did it, in the complete absence of any facts or any plausible motive, that was the best available guess at the time you made it, huh? Why wasn’t the burden of proving what you asserted on you at the time?

    For some people it is always “cherchez le russe”.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Mr. Anon

    At the time when I wrote this, there were certain facts ( I don't recall the exact details) such as the presence of Russian ships in the area which pointed to Russia having done it.

    I stated even then that Russia's motive for doing so was not obvious. Motive (or lack of motive) points towards or away from guilt but is not always conclusive because sometimes nations do things that are either truly irrational or irrational to us but the other side thinks is rational according to their mindset or really are rational because the other side has information that you don't know that makes their truly decision rational when that unknown (to us) information is taken into account.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Mr. Anon

  232. @HA
    "We are a bad enemy and a worse friend."

    Again, if the alternative to the US is Putin's warm embrace and 5-year-plans, I see a problem with your and Mearshimer's specious analyses. Don't get me wrong -- if the Ukrainians find themselves dumb or defenseless enough to settle for any “peace” that Putin offers now or in the future, that’s their choice (or more likely, abject lack thereof), but my strong hunch is that it will entail a “neutrality” non-agression clause that prevents Ukraine from getting outside weapons, so the next time Putin causes mischief and it doesn’t go his way (like bullying Yanukovych over a EU deal back in 2014, only to see the latter get ousted), he’ll launch another “special” operation, and that one will indeed only need 3 days to get as far as Lviv. If you or Meashimer doubt that, then your understanding of offensive realism, or whatever that buzzword is, is oddly spotty.

    I'm also going to predict that if the war goes Putin's way, Kherson and Donbass and the rest of whatever Putin claims as Moscow's will have keep on showing their gratitude for being “liberated” by going wherever the meatgrinder turns next — maybe Kazakhstan, or Armenia, Georgia, Transnistria, Poland, the Baltics, etc. Teenagers who were kidnapped by Russians just a few months ago and "rescued" are now receiving conscription notices to go back and fight their former countrymen. Because as I noted in a previous comment, Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR, whose downfall Putin regards as the worst thing ever, geopolitically speaking. That is the fate that awaits whatever other part of Ukraine that Russia gets to acquire, either now or in the next SMO. If you're not an ethnic Russian in the environs of Moscow or St. Petersburg, then "chum" for the meatgrinder is all you'll ever be. At least Nuland is offering them a chance to have a country and an identity of their own, however precarious. Whereas Putin denies that identity even exists -- again, check the previous link.

    You can go ahead and wail about how bad a friend the US is, but it's not your choice, and not Mearshimer's, and not Putin's. The Ukrainians will likely want to have a say, and given that they didn't choose to cave in within a week like our analysts were predicting, we probably need to account for their agency better than we have been. And for the time being, the Ukrainians still think the West is a better option, and given the alternative you're implicitly offering them, I find that far more understandable than you and Mearshimer.

    Replies: @ic1000, @Peterike

    > You can go ahead and wail about

    That’s Corvinus-style phrasing. If it’s integral to your plan to win the internet, I dunno. Might want to re-evaluate. Jack D, for one, keeps his cool through some pretty spirited disagreements.

    More fundamentally, you focus on ought to the seeming exclusion of is. For example, Russia has five times the population, more than five times the industrial base, and much more than five times the military industrial base. These things matter.

    In my view, Finland in the 20th century is Ukraine’s might-have-been. Mannerheim was no friend to the Russians — an understatement! — but he and his successors managed to keep Finland independent, viable, and mostly whole, through periods of European turmoil that were far worse than today’s. There were heavy and unjust prices to pay, but in Mannerheim et al.’s view, that was the least-bad alternative.

    Statesmen [sic] such as Blinken, Nuland, Sullivan, and Austin seem to have neither the knowledge of history nor the insight to guide Ukraine in this direction. Or, notwithstanding such knowledge and insight, they are nonetheless happy to sacrifice Ukraine’s future on the altar of the U.S.’ key policy objective. Namely, more dead Russians.

    That would signal a level of cynicism that dwarfs yours and mine, combined.

    • Thanks: Abe
    • Replies: @HA
    @ic1000

    "More fundamentally, you focus on ought to the seeming exclusion of is."

    Oh, come on. After your misty-eyed cri de cœur about being a "bad friend", you're going to hector me on ought vs. is? You started that. And I already told you why I'm not buying the cease-fire argument, but if you want to play the "fighting till the last Ukrainian" card, or anything else where you want to pretend you're actually on the side of the downtrodden Ukrainians, don't assume it'll come across any better.

    In fact, it's you and Mearshimer who are the ones who still fail to acknowledge that Ukraine IS -- they proved that when they didn't cave, and outlasted that week we were giving them. It isn't just a group of deluded people who can't admit they're just an appendage of Russia, however much Putin insists that Ukrainians really don't exist. The two of you therefore need to work that into your narrative. If you can't, and keep playing useful idiots to people like Putin who think Ukraine OUGHT not to exist, then find a less hypocritical comeback than ought vs. is semantics.

    Smaller states can exist alongside power-hungry bigger ones. Ask the Kurds, ask the Vietnamese, ask the Afghanis. Long before the US took an interest in Vietnam, there were the French, and before them -- going back a long ways -- there were the Chinese. Long before we decided to rework Afghanistan, the Great Game was afoot. To the extent the alt-right is opposed to American boondoggles that smash a smaller country against the wall every couple of years just to see how good it feels, or however that quip goes, it behooves them to likewise oppose the USSR 2.0 from re-emerging into another full-blown Cold War, which led to a whole domino set of smashing little countries into walls and getting into bed with despicable regimes. So if that's the game Putin wants to replay -- and it clearly is -- I have no problem in doing it before he takes over Ukraine completely, and then Kazakhstan and Poland and whatever else is on his list. If he wants a reboot of the USSR franchise, I say we fast-forward to the part where that one falls apart, too. What was that crazy thing that Mearshimer said about how Germany should have taken on France in 1905 when doing so would have required the least effort? If he believes that, then standing up to Putin now, before he swipes half of Eastern Europe, is well within our realpolitik (and I daresay moral) interests. So even on his very twisted terms, his argument doesn't hold water in the case of Ukraine, and to the extent you feel the need to invoke him, it bespeaks to the weakness of yours.

    Replies: @ic1000

  233. @Pixo
    @ic1000

    “ He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a “frozen conflict,” in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.”

    Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise? Would we benefit from Canada becoming a failed state?

    Replies: @ic1000, @Tex

    > Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise?

    Being neither an elite nor a Russian — far less both — my opinion doesn’t matter.

    Fortunately, there is a moderate member of Russia’s elite who has been quite articulate on his nation’s foreign policy objectives and concerns. You can easily find his speeches on Russia Today, or get the condensed version by reading one of John Mearsheimer’s articles (or listening to one of his interviews).

    Moderate refers to this leader’s views and policies with respect the preferences of his co-national elites. But you knew that.

  234. ” …if the Ukrainians find themselves dumb or defenseless enough to settle for any “peace” that Putin offers now or in the future, that’s their choice (or more likely, abject lack thereof)…”

    There aren’t ever an infinite number of options. Isn’t it the case that any peace negotiations between the Russian Federation and the Ukraine are a settled matter at any given time. It’s just that Zelensky imagines delaying the inevitable will get him a better deal when the reverse is more the case. The US is in an impossible amount of debt while the events in Gaza are drawing the world’s attention away from the Ukraine. Furthermore, there are no guarantees for Zelensky if Biden gets voted out of office. Zelensky has some hard choices to make and would have had better options had he settled matters with Russia sooner rather than later. Russia isn’t going to disappear so must be dealt with. Stop trying to delay the inevitable. Maybe there’s a silver lining in some shared business endeavors to help rebuild the Ukraine but, otherwise, Zelensky isn’t going to get anything he’s demanding.

  235. @Emil Nikola Richard
    @Colin Wright

    There isn't one chance in a billion that six Ukrainian commandos on a sailboat or whatever cockamamie story the CIA propaganda department schemed up did this.

    Also: where is A123 and his hydrate slugs? That is crazy but better than this baloney.

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/b5/Banana_Slug-1.jpg

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Achmed E. Newman

    I never read the discussion by commenter A123 on the hydrate plugs, but I read a couple of posts by Lawdog – here’s the first one. He grew up in the overseas oil fields but does not sound like any engineer.

    The question he and nobody else would answer on the blogs is, given I accept the formation of these plugs (I know nothing about that), how would they possible “crash” into the parts of the pipelines that ruptures? The radii of the bends in these things are pretty large. There’s no reason for them to be otherwise, if you want to keep bending stresses down and the flowrate up.

    There are no valves and no elbows in the long stretches of 48″ OD undersea pipe. If nothing else, a high speed plug being knocked loose by a large pressure differential would just put a small amount of wear on the wall as its momentum is changed (direction-wise).

    Secondly, people kept claiming that all 3 ruptures could have happened due to the same mistakes by the Russian operators, but real failures don’t work like that. I had an example regarding shoddy brake lines, but one commenter had a much easier example – incandescent light bulbs. You put in 10 2,000 hr bulbs and burn em, and it’d be a hell of a coincidence if they all failed within 50 or 100 hours. Real failures don’t work that way unless they are engineered to (such as pressure relief valves, and that’s not time-based anyway.)

    PS: It’s not that I hate slugs, but there’s something about the sliminess – reminds me of certain politicians. Put some beer or salt on that guy!

  236. @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D


    Good idea? No, it would invite retaliation. Best not to have American fingerprints on it.
     
    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did? This is the third time I've asked.

    It’s not my job to look for these facts.
     
    Yeah your job here is just to naysay whatever evidence is presented without looking at it.

    because they hate our government.
     
    Maybe the government is wrong?

    Replies: @Jack D

    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did?

    I already gave you my answer – if it “turns out” that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect.

    The other alternative would be for the US to do it but in such a way that they would never get caught. This would also been have a “bad idea” because Washington leaks like a sieve and you can 100% expect that it would become known eventually, again inviting retaliation. No “secret operation” is really secret if you and I and Russia come to know about it. So assuming that you will never get caught is a bad idea.

    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn’t AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed. So if someone else (say the Ukrainians) blew it up, it would be a “good idea” from the US POV since the pipeline would be gone but Russia could not blame us for it. As has often been noted, modern wars are in large part about exhausting the enemy’s resources as much as actually defeating them in battle, so anything that exhausts Russia’s resources will mean that it will have to give up on this war sooner.

    Playing this out further, I would imagine that our instructions to the Ukrainians when it comes to matters like this is “do whatever you want against Russia (within the limits of the law of warfare) but just don’t tell us about it ahead of time”. Russia has certainly not hesitated to target Ukrainian infrastructure and economic targets such as grain terminals so why should Ukraine not hit similar targets belonging to Russia?

    • Thanks: Johann Ricke
    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Jack D


    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn’t AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed.
     
    What American interest was served by destroying the pipeline? I am an American. It didn't serve me. You conflate the so called interests of the government, meaning the interests of the current regime and its backers, with that of the actual American public. They aren't the same thing.

    Replies: @Mike Tre

    , @Colin Wright
    @Jack D


    ‘…I already gave you my answer – if it “turns out” that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect…’
     
    Lol!

    I don’t suppose you noticed that your reasoning here bears an uncanny resemblance to at least one infamous passage from the Talmud? I mean, it’s hard not to notice.

    Are you doing black propaganda for AntisemitesRUs?

    Replies: @Wielgus

    , @Somsel
    @Jack D

    Why would the Ukies want to drive the German economy into a tail spin?

    The largest NATO European member and potential weapon supplier is expected to SUPPORT their war effort.

    Long run, that's against Ukraine interests I'd think although in the short run it cuts Russian income until sanctions kick in. Of course losing NordStream makes German sanctions easier to adopt by the Germans.

    Replies: @Jack D

  237. @Mr. Anon
    @Jack D


    It’s not my job to look for these facts. People who are saying that this is what happened have the burden of proving that they are not just making shit up because they hate our government.
     
    But saying that Russia did it, in the complete absence of any facts or any plausible motive, that was the best available guess at the time you made it, huh? Why wasn't the burden of proving what you asserted on you at the time?

    For some people it is always "cherchez le russe".

    Replies: @Jack D

    At the time when I wrote this, there were certain facts ( I don’t recall the exact details) such as the presence of Russian ships in the area which pointed to Russia having done it.

    I stated even then that Russia’s motive for doing so was not obvious. Motive (or lack of motive) points towards or away from guilt but is not always conclusive because sometimes nations do things that are either truly irrational or irrational to us but the other side thinks is rational according to their mindset or really are rational because the other side has information that you don’t know that makes their truly decision rational when that unknown (to us) information is taken into account.

    • Thanks: Johann Ricke
    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Jack D


    At the time when I wrote this, there were certain facts ( I don’t recall the exact details) such as the presence of Russian ships in the area which pointed to Russia having done it.
     
    Imagine that! Russian ships.................in the Baltic! Whatever would they be doing there? Clearly some kind of muscovite plot must have been afoot!

    There were American and other NATO ships in the area too. Why didn't that point to the US or NATO having done it?

    , @Mr. Anon
    @Jack D


    • Thanks: Johann Ricke
     
    Johann Ricke to Jack D: "You complete me!"
  238. Seymour Hersh explained how the US did it. Is Sailer unaware of this? HOW?

    • Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Jett Rucker

    Like Melville's Bartleby, the Scrivener, some people prefer not to notice the most obvious.

  239. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast


    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did?
     
    I already gave you my answer - if it "turns out" that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect.

    The other alternative would be for the US to do it but in such a way that they would never get caught. This would also been have a "bad idea" because Washington leaks like a sieve and you can 100% expect that it would become known eventually, again inviting retaliation. No "secret operation" is really secret if you and I and Russia come to know about it. So assuming that you will never get caught is a bad idea.

    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn't AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed. So if someone else (say the Ukrainians) blew it up, it would be a "good idea" from the US POV since the pipeline would be gone but Russia could not blame us for it. As has often been noted, modern wars are in large part about exhausting the enemy's resources as much as actually defeating them in battle, so anything that exhausts Russia's resources will mean that it will have to give up on this war sooner.

    Playing this out further, I would imagine that our instructions to the Ukrainians when it comes to matters like this is "do whatever you want against Russia (within the limits of the law of warfare) but just don't tell us about it ahead of time". Russia has certainly not hesitated to target Ukrainian infrastructure and economic targets such as grain terminals so why should Ukraine not hit similar targets belonging to Russia?

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Colin Wright, @Somsel

    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn’t AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed.

    What American interest was served by destroying the pipeline? I am an American. It didn’t serve me. You conflate the so called interests of the government, meaning the interests of the current regime and its backers, with that of the actual American public. They aren’t the same thing.

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Mr. Anon

    This sums up nicely our involvement in foreign wars and our foreign policy in general the last 100 plus years.

  240. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast


    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did?
     
    I already gave you my answer - if it "turns out" that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect.

    The other alternative would be for the US to do it but in such a way that they would never get caught. This would also been have a "bad idea" because Washington leaks like a sieve and you can 100% expect that it would become known eventually, again inviting retaliation. No "secret operation" is really secret if you and I and Russia come to know about it. So assuming that you will never get caught is a bad idea.

    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn't AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed. So if someone else (say the Ukrainians) blew it up, it would be a "good idea" from the US POV since the pipeline would be gone but Russia could not blame us for it. As has often been noted, modern wars are in large part about exhausting the enemy's resources as much as actually defeating them in battle, so anything that exhausts Russia's resources will mean that it will have to give up on this war sooner.

    Playing this out further, I would imagine that our instructions to the Ukrainians when it comes to matters like this is "do whatever you want against Russia (within the limits of the law of warfare) but just don't tell us about it ahead of time". Russia has certainly not hesitated to target Ukrainian infrastructure and economic targets such as grain terminals so why should Ukraine not hit similar targets belonging to Russia?

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Colin Wright, @Somsel

    ‘…I already gave you my answer – if it “turns out” that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect…’

    Lol!

    I don’t suppose you noticed that your reasoning here bears an uncanny resemblance to at least one infamous passage from the Talmud? I mean, it’s hard not to notice.

    Are you doing black propaganda for AntisemitesRUs?

    • Replies: @Wielgus
    @Colin Wright

    Which part of the Talmud?
    His reasoning reminds me a lot of Jesuit casuistry.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

  241. @Jack D
    @Mr. Anon

    At the time when I wrote this, there were certain facts ( I don't recall the exact details) such as the presence of Russian ships in the area which pointed to Russia having done it.

    I stated even then that Russia's motive for doing so was not obvious. Motive (or lack of motive) points towards or away from guilt but is not always conclusive because sometimes nations do things that are either truly irrational or irrational to us but the other side thinks is rational according to their mindset or really are rational because the other side has information that you don't know that makes their truly decision rational when that unknown (to us) information is taken into account.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Mr. Anon

    At the time when I wrote this, there were certain facts ( I don’t recall the exact details) such as the presence of Russian ships in the area which pointed to Russia having done it.

    Imagine that! Russian ships……………..in the Baltic! Whatever would they be doing there? Clearly some kind of muscovite plot must have been afoot!

    There were American and other NATO ships in the area too. Why didn’t that point to the US or NATO having done it?

  242. @Canute
    Dear Steve:
    I have followed you for many years because you a) conduct sound research, b) uncover solid stories, c) write with skill and aptitude, and importantly - d) you tend to see through the bullshit generated by governments - home and abroad. The Agency employed several small groups of select individuals who are recruited for their various talents of insight, academic/scholastic skills, investigative nature, or because they could think events through to the end in greater detail than say....the average government moron. I know this, because I was part of one of them and we were together at least three times per week - commonly in law offices owned by the K Street operative firms - driven there by the Church Committee hearings. Sometimes these groups were placed in competition with one another, but the tasks were alway to penetrate disinformation, or create the same to cover our own operations, preparing CYA modules of thought prior to any operation so that a fully formed explanation could be advance at the right moment. Since the end of the Cold war many of these units were disbanded as the demands of that focal point disappeared. But clearly, some were brought back in-house in the mid-90s since there was a constant need for informational preparation related to the drug running operations, and not everything happening at the start of the new century could be left solely in the hands of Israel.
    The location of Navy vessels and air traffic at the time of NordStream tells me that the Hersh story was on the mark and additionally, the current generation of "assets" tend to feed their egos by sharing and taking credit. The fact that this story has now gone form 1) Russia did it, to 2) some guys in a sailboat did it, and finally - to 3) an elite Ukrainian special-ops officer and his team of skilled operatives did it. What this tells me was that there was no informational advanced planning and they have been grasping at straws ever since. It also tells me that the Millennials have now reached the level of middle management in the I/C and likely, a few of the "brighter lights" have been moved into policy-making groups. I beg of you Steve.....do not start buying into the work of these teams, because they are not very good at their assignments and they are currently playing catch-up. In another 100 days or so, when this current fantasey fails to grab anyone's imagination (outside of the "journalism" grads at NYT and WAPO, expect a new revelation that the elite Ukrainian special ops commander had access to extra-terrestrial technologies.

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    Or, people who pride themselves in noticing, could just do an Occam’s Razor: namely, that Seymour Hersh and his investigative research is right on the money regarding the culprit behind blowing up the Nordstream Pipelines. As Hersh generally has been right on the money with most of his major stories over the last half century plus, the answer is obvious.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    Hersch has uncovered 20 of the last 10 government conspiracies.

  243. @HA
    "We are a bad enemy and a worse friend."

    Again, if the alternative to the US is Putin's warm embrace and 5-year-plans, I see a problem with your and Mearshimer's specious analyses. Don't get me wrong -- if the Ukrainians find themselves dumb or defenseless enough to settle for any “peace” that Putin offers now or in the future, that’s their choice (or more likely, abject lack thereof), but my strong hunch is that it will entail a “neutrality” non-agression clause that prevents Ukraine from getting outside weapons, so the next time Putin causes mischief and it doesn’t go his way (like bullying Yanukovych over a EU deal back in 2014, only to see the latter get ousted), he’ll launch another “special” operation, and that one will indeed only need 3 days to get as far as Lviv. If you or Meashimer doubt that, then your understanding of offensive realism, or whatever that buzzword is, is oddly spotty.

    I'm also going to predict that if the war goes Putin's way, Kherson and Donbass and the rest of whatever Putin claims as Moscow's will have keep on showing their gratitude for being “liberated” by going wherever the meatgrinder turns next — maybe Kazakhstan, or Armenia, Georgia, Transnistria, Poland, the Baltics, etc. Teenagers who were kidnapped by Russians just a few months ago and "rescued" are now receiving conscription notices to go back and fight their former countrymen. Because as I noted in a previous comment, Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR, whose downfall Putin regards as the worst thing ever, geopolitically speaking. That is the fate that awaits whatever other part of Ukraine that Russia gets to acquire, either now or in the next SMO. If you're not an ethnic Russian in the environs of Moscow or St. Petersburg, then "chum" for the meatgrinder is all you'll ever be. At least Nuland is offering them a chance to have a country and an identity of their own, however precarious. Whereas Putin denies that identity even exists -- again, check the previous link.

    You can go ahead and wail about how bad a friend the US is, but it's not your choice, and not Mearshimer's, and not Putin's. The Ukrainians will likely want to have a say, and given that they didn't choose to cave in within a week like our analysts were predicting, we probably need to account for their agency better than we have been. And for the time being, the Ukrainians still think the West is a better option, and given the alternative you're implicitly offering them, I find that far more understandable than you and Mearshimer.

    Replies: @ic1000, @Peterike

    “Because as I noted in a previous comment, Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR”

    An assertion for which there is zero evidence.

    Hey brah, did you ever apologize for being totally wrong about Covid? I must have missed it. Of course I was totally right about everything. Hope you got your fifth booster and your flu shot, lol!!!

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Peterike


    @HA

    Hey brah, did you ever apologize for being totally wrong about Covid? I must have missed it. Of course I was totally right about everything. Hope you got your fifth booster and your flu shot, lol!!!
     

    If he did you wouldn't have heard it through all those masks he's wearing from deep within the chambers of his sterile pandemic bunker.

    "HA" (an apt screen handle) is a lockdown-clown.

    Replies: @HA

    , @HA
    @Peterike

    [Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR” [is] "An assertion for which there is zero evidence."

    If you're just too dim-witted to click on the blue font in which the words "stepping stone" were first invoked in the previous comment I was referring to -- here it is again, if you want to give it another shot -- well, that explains the rest of your comment -- not to mention your fantasies regarding COVID.

    On second thought, I'll cut and paste and save you the trouble. Expecting you to know how to work a hyper-link is just asking for trouble:


    [Russian] General Admits Ukraine Just a 'Stepping Stone' to Invade Europe

    A key Russian general who Russian President Vladimir Putin promoted this week views the invasion of Ukraine as a mere "stepping stone" to further conflict with Europe....In a recent interview with Moscow's state-run Russia-1, a clip of which circulated widely on social media Saturday, Mordvichev said he believes Putin's war will last quite a long time and expand in the future...."I think there's still plenty of time to spend. It is pointless to talk about a specified period. If we are talking about Eastern Europe, which we will have to, of course then it will be longer," the general said.

    "Ukraine is only a stepping stone?" the interviewer then asked.

    "Yes, absolutely. It is only the beginning," Mordvichev responded, who went on to say that the war "will not stop here."
     

    After you're done wiping the egg off your face, feel free to try again, assuming your long-COVID didn't fry your little brain permanently.

    Replies: @HA

  244. @Jack D
    @MEH 0910

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don't make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it ("Russia is winning!").

    As I said at the time, it didn't make a lot of sense for the Russians to have done it to themselves (but it wouldn't be the 1st time that Putin did something self defeating). In light of current information, it appears to have been a Ukrainian operation, which makes more sense. But the Unz consensus then (even now) is that it was a CIA operation not a Ukrainian one so it is no less wrong than I was. I am willing to change my conclusion but the Men of Unz conclusion is ironclad and will never be moved by reality.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Corvinus, @Anonymous, @tomv, @tomv

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don’t make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it (“Russia is winning!”)

    What best information available at the time? You said back then that “all indicators (the usual unz.com conspiracy theories aside) point to Russia having done it” but never cited any. Instead, you just spun a psychoanalytical yarn about Putin’s demented motivation.

    Putin is now in desperation mode…

    Desperate times call for desperate measures. One possibility is that this is Putin’s signal to Germany (and to himself) that he has crossed the Rubicon and burned his bridges…

    Putin has his back to the corner but he’s not ready to throw in the towel ….

    He is going to keep trying whatever he can come up with to keep his opponents off balance. If some of it seems a little crazy, all the better.

    And now you have the gall to accuse the “Men of Unz” of inventing facts to justify their preconceived notions and then demand “actual evidence and not handwaving”?

    Oy vey. The projection. The chutzpah. The utter lack of self-awareness. It’s all so tiresome.

  245. @Dnought
    @Ben Kurtz

    Yes, I'm well aware it was over 30 years ago. But as I said I wouldn't be surprised if some of those guys didn't land in the nascent Ukrainian military after the Cold War end/Ukrainian independence, bringing their institutional knowledge and skills with them; knowledge and skills that have been passed down to the present day in the Ukrainian military.

    There is such a thing as training new people over the years, after all. It's one of the ways organizations survive.

    Replies: @Ben Kurtz

    All published accounts of recent Ukrainian “SEAL” type operations suggest very limited deep-dive capacity has been maintained over the years.

    Below is a good example.

    https://www.ospreypublishing.com/us/osprey-blog/2023/ukrainian-combat-divers-in-action/

    Given what we know of post-Soviet economic collapse, the lack of deep oilfields or other commercially compelling reasons to maintain deep dive capacity, and the nature of their acknowledged recent naval special ops activity, in my view the assumption has to be that those deep dive skills withered in Ukraine.

    I’m open to looking at hard evidence that they actually retained these capabilities in recent years, but honestly, the mere fact that they had these capabilities 30 years ago at the end of the Soviet era is not very compelling. Ukraine had nukes at the end of the Soviet era too, but they knowingly gave those up. Seems very easy to believe the same thing happened to their deep underwater demo skills.

  246. having watched a lot of episodes of Lloyd Bridges in Sea Hunt after school in the 1960s, it sounded like the operation could be carried out by a pretty small team on the order of a half dozen competent men and one boat.

    Having watched a lot of episodes of Clayton Moore in The Lone Ranger after school in the 1950s, it looked like a police officer should be able to shoot the gun out of a criminal’s hand without injuring him.

    • LOL: Mr. Anon
    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Harry Baldwin



    having watched a lot of episodes of Lloyd Bridges in Sea Hunt after school in the 1960s, it sounded like the operation could be carried out by a pretty small team on the order of a half dozen competent men and one boat.
     
    Having watched a lot of episodes of Clayton Moore in The Lone Ranger after school in the 1950s, it looked like a police officer should be able to shoot the gun out of a criminal’s hand without injuring him.
     
    Having watched a lot of episodes of Mannix, it seems like it should be possible to roll a car while not wearing a seat-belt and walk away from it...............every week!
  247. @Jack D
    @MEH 0910

    That was the best information available at the time. Unlike some people here, I don't make my conclusions first and then invent an imaginary reality to support it ("Russia is winning!").

    As I said at the time, it didn't make a lot of sense for the Russians to have done it to themselves (but it wouldn't be the 1st time that Putin did something self defeating). In light of current information, it appears to have been a Ukrainian operation, which makes more sense. But the Unz consensus then (even now) is that it was a CIA operation not a Ukrainian one so it is no less wrong than I was. I am willing to change my conclusion but the Men of Unz conclusion is ironclad and will never be moved by reality.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Corvinus, @Anonymous, @tomv, @tomv

    I agree with you about the Men of Unz. You never see this kind of well-reasoned, evidence-based argument from them.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/gregory-cochrans-theory-of-who-blew-up-the-nord-stream-pipelines/#comment-5571410

    I can’t say that it makes a tremendous amount of sense that Nethanyahu staged a false-flag attack on this own country on October 7, but all indicators (the usual Hasbara-fueled conspiracy theories aside) point to Israel having done it — they had the means and opportunity. So he must have had his reasons.

    In case you haven’t noticed, Nethanyahu is now in desperation mode. His government is a shambles. He was facing an open revolt and a criminal trial — this is Germany 1945 level desperation. He is going to annex the entire judiciary based upon a sham reform that NO ONE outside of his fringe, even Israel’s allies, recognizes. Hundreds of thousands of Israel’s best and brightest were coming out to defy him and are probably never going back in. Domestic protests and even violence are breaking out. It’s a royal friggin’ mess, no matter how much copium you take.

    Desperate times call for desperate measures. One possibility is that this is Nethanyahu’s signal to the Goyim (and to himself) that he has crossed the Rubicon and burned his bridges behind him. There is no making up possible anymore even if the Goyim want it. It’s never going back to the old way even if the Goyim press the Palestinians to make a deal. Nethanyahu is turning his back on the civilized world and letting his inner Mongol fly!

    Nethanyahu has his back to the corner but he’s not ready to throw in the towel (losing this war is for him game, set, match — there is no home for retired dictators). He is going to keep trying whatever he can come up with to keep his opponents off balance. If some of it seems a little crazy, all the better. He has told us that he is “not bluffing” about using nukes either.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @tomv

    Nicer try but Israel is a vigorous democracy. There are no big demonstrations in Russia like there were against the judicial reforms in Israel because they would throw you in prison. Not even remotely comparable. Thanks for playing. Please try again!

    Replies: @bike-anarkist

  248. @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Canute

    Or, people who pride themselves in noticing, could just do an Occam's Razor: namely, that Seymour Hersh and his investigative research is right on the money regarding the culprit behind blowing up the Nordstream Pipelines. As Hersh generally has been right on the money with most of his major stories over the last half century plus, the answer is obvious.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Hersch has uncovered 20 of the last 10 government conspiracies.

  249. • LOL: Gordo
  250. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast


    So it was a good idea for the US to blow up the Nord Stream pipelines, if it turns out they did?
     
    I already gave you my answer - if it "turns out" that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect.

    The other alternative would be for the US to do it but in such a way that they would never get caught. This would also been have a "bad idea" because Washington leaks like a sieve and you can 100% expect that it would become known eventually, again inviting retaliation. No "secret operation" is really secret if you and I and Russia come to know about it. So assuming that you will never get caught is a bad idea.

    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn't AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed. So if someone else (say the Ukrainians) blew it up, it would be a "good idea" from the US POV since the pipeline would be gone but Russia could not blame us for it. As has often been noted, modern wars are in large part about exhausting the enemy's resources as much as actually defeating them in battle, so anything that exhausts Russia's resources will mean that it will have to give up on this war sooner.

    Playing this out further, I would imagine that our instructions to the Ukrainians when it comes to matters like this is "do whatever you want against Russia (within the limits of the law of warfare) but just don't tell us about it ahead of time". Russia has certainly not hesitated to target Ukrainian infrastructure and economic targets such as grain terminals so why should Ukraine not hit similar targets belonging to Russia?

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Colin Wright, @Somsel

    Why would the Ukies want to drive the German economy into a tail spin?

    The largest NATO European member and potential weapon supplier is expected to SUPPORT their war effort.

    Long run, that’s against Ukraine interests I’d think although in the short run it cuts Russian income until sanctions kick in. Of course losing NordStream makes German sanctions easier to adopt by the Germans.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Somsel

    There hasn't been any tailspin. Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables. Meanwhile it will take Russia years to build new pipelines leading elsewhere and the Chinese are driving a hard bargain and will demand low prices.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @res, @Somsel

  251. @Peterike
    @HA

    “Because as I noted in a previous comment, Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR”

    An assertion for which there is zero evidence.

    Hey brah, did you ever apologize for being totally wrong about Covid? I must have missed it. Of course I was totally right about everything. Hope you got your fifth booster and your flu shot, lol!!!

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @HA

    Hey brah, did you ever apologize for being totally wrong about Covid? I must have missed it. Of course I was totally right about everything. Hope you got your fifth booster and your flu shot, lol!!!

    If he did you wouldn’t have heard it through all those masks he’s wearing from deep within the chambers of his sterile pandemic bunker.

    “HA” (an apt screen handle) is a lockdown-clown.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Mr. Anon

    "If he did you wouldn’t have heard it through all those masks he’s wearing from deep within the chambers of his sterile pandemic bunker."

    As opposed to very long conference table? The fanboys have no problem with that.


    Putin’s health was the reason for the extra-long furniture, according to the Kremlin.

    Fears about Putin getting seriously ill likely played a part in the decision to distance the leaders, ... it is unclear who would replace the 69-year-old leader and “that can lead to nervousness among members of the elite — and, therefore, increases the importance of the visible steps taken by the Kremlin to shield the president as much as possible from the coronavirus,”...
     

    https://twitter.com/abdylvehab/status/1490798553727479813

    https://twitter.com/mrsahuquillo/status/1493280099034140676

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

  252. @ic1000
    @Jack D

    > This is hilarious.

    I'm not laughing. I don't see much cause for Ukrainians to laugh. Russians either FWIW.

    > Either we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already won or we shouldn’t support Ukraine because they have already lost.

    Bizarre.

    It's lost. von Clauswitz trumps both ethnic enthusiasms (or antagonisms) and Game-of-Risk! fantasies. In that regard, it's too bad for Ukraine that the caliber of American leadership is on the order of Blinken-Austin-Nuland-Sullivan.

    Hopefully the loss is on the order of Georgia in 2008 or Armenia in 2023 -- where Ukraine can continue as a polity (and hopefully prosper).

    Unfortunately, the Russians get a vote. John Mearsheimer has been Cassandra on this topic. He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a "frozen conflict," in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.

    The Ukrainians should not have trusted in U.S. advice and guidance. We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.

    Replies: @Pixo, @Jack D, @Peter Akuleyev

    Anyone who thinks Russia is „winning“ is clueless. The West has played this cynically but arguably well from its own self-interest. Ukraine will come out „independent“ but so weakened it will be completely dependent on the EU and US to survive. Russia is suffering a catastrophic loss of manpower and talent. The economy is cratering and the country is losing its ability to project military influence. The only asset besides energy it possesses. Unless Russia is willing to become a vassal state of China eventually whatever is left of the Russian state will also need to renegotiate a relationship with the EU on much better terms for the EU than in the prior decades.

    • LOL: YetAnotherAnon
    • Replies: @ic1000
    @Peter Akuleyev

    > Anyone who thinks Russia is „winning“ is clueless.

    That may be true, but it's not the point.

    As I noted (#237 supra):


    Statesmen [sic] such as Blinken, Nuland, Sullivan, and Austin seem to [be] happy to sacrifice Ukraine’s future on the altar of the U.S.’ key policy objective. Namely, more dead Russians.
     
    > The West has played this cynically but arguably well from its own self-interest.

    We can agree on cynically.

    Mearsheimer is one of many scholars to make a simple point: International affairs are not zero-sum. Fans of "Russia isn't winning!" and "More dead Russians!" should acquaint themselves with what happened in Europe in July and August 1914.

    The actions of Europe's leaders and diplomats during those two months set the stage for Western Civilization's greatest catastrophe.

    American leaders and statesmen [sic] seem determined to follow in the footsteps of the Bourbons -- forgotten nothing and learned nothing. Now as then, Cassandras see the broad outlines of the future, warn of the risks, and are unheeded. After all -- What could possibly go wrong?

    Replies: @Peter Akuleyev, @Jack D

  253. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    That US Navy divers blew up the Nord Stream pipelines. But this would have to be based on actual evidence and not handwaving. So far I have seen zero evidence this is true.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Anonymous

    Of course they are hardly going to advertise the fact.

  254. @Traianus
    Given the WP’s track record on pretty much everything, why would you believe it in this case? Hersh’s argument, which he stands by, is that the pipeline was so deep that you needed very experienced divers that only come from this one Navy School in Pensacola and you needed a ship that had one of those chambers that treats people for the Benz. In other words you needed a much bigger ship than a sailboat or sailing yacht.

    Replies: @Greta Handel

    Especially if

    Seymour Hersh is one of the great reporters in American history.

    [MORE]

    Steve Sailer, February 20, 2019 7:11 AM*

    But we have to remember that people decline with age.

    * Seymour Hersh: GHW Bush Was Spymaster of the Reagan Deep State (Steve Sailer • February 20, 2019)

  255. @Jack D
    @Mr. Anon

    At the time when I wrote this, there were certain facts ( I don't recall the exact details) such as the presence of Russian ships in the area which pointed to Russia having done it.

    I stated even then that Russia's motive for doing so was not obvious. Motive (or lack of motive) points towards or away from guilt but is not always conclusive because sometimes nations do things that are either truly irrational or irrational to us but the other side thinks is rational according to their mindset or really are rational because the other side has information that you don't know that makes their truly decision rational when that unknown (to us) information is taken into account.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Mr. Anon

    • Thanks: Johann Ricke

    Johann Ricke to Jack D: “You complete me!”

    • LOL: bike-anarkist
  256. @Harry Baldwin
    having watched a lot of episodes of Lloyd Bridges in Sea Hunt after school in the 1960s, it sounded like the operation could be carried out by a pretty small team on the order of a half dozen competent men and one boat.

    Having watched a lot of episodes of Clayton Moore in The Lone Ranger after school in the 1950s, it looked like a police officer should be able to shoot the gun out of a criminal's hand without injuring him.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    having watched a lot of episodes of Lloyd Bridges in Sea Hunt after school in the 1960s, it sounded like the operation could be carried out by a pretty small team on the order of a half dozen competent men and one boat.

    Having watched a lot of episodes of Clayton Moore in The Lone Ranger after school in the 1950s, it looked like a police officer should be able to shoot the gun out of a criminal’s hand without injuring him.

    Having watched a lot of episodes of Mannix, it seems like it should be possible to roll a car while not wearing a seat-belt and walk away from it……………every week!

  257. @Colin Wright
    @Jack D


    ‘…I already gave you my answer – if it “turns out” that the US did it, that means that this would now be known to Russia and would invite retaliation. Therefore it would not have been a good idea for the US to do it in retrospect…’
     
    Lol!

    I don’t suppose you noticed that your reasoning here bears an uncanny resemblance to at least one infamous passage from the Talmud? I mean, it’s hard not to notice.

    Are you doing black propaganda for AntisemitesRUs?

    Replies: @Wielgus

    Which part of the Talmud?
    His reasoning reminds me a lot of Jesuit casuistry.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @Wielgus


    'Which part of the Talmud?
    His reasoning reminds me a lot of Jesuit casuistry.'
     
    It's hard to find a reference (go figure). However, I've read passages either from the Talmud or Maimonides in which a given act is fine -- unless it might become known and bring Jewry into disrepute.

    Replies: @utu

  258. @Peter Akuleyev
    @ic1000

    Anyone who thinks Russia is „winning“ is clueless. The West has played this cynically but arguably well from its own self-interest. Ukraine will come out „independent“ but so weakened it will be completely dependent on the EU and US to survive. Russia is suffering a catastrophic loss of manpower and talent. The economy is cratering and the country is losing its ability to project military influence. The only asset besides energy it possesses. Unless Russia is willing to become a vassal state of China eventually whatever is left of the Russian state will also need to renegotiate a relationship with the EU on much better terms for the EU than in the prior decades.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > Anyone who thinks Russia is „winning“ is clueless.

    That may be true, but it’s not the point.

    As I noted (#237 supra):

    Statesmen [sic] such as Blinken, Nuland, Sullivan, and Austin seem to [be] happy to sacrifice Ukraine’s future on the altar of the U.S.’ key policy objective. Namely, more dead Russians.

    > The West has played this cynically but arguably well from its own self-interest.

    We can agree on cynically.

    Mearsheimer is one of many scholars to make a simple point: International affairs are not zero-sum. Fans of “Russia isn’t winning!” and “More dead Russians!” should acquaint themselves with what happened in Europe in July and August 1914.

    The actions of Europe’s leaders and diplomats during those two months set the stage for Western Civilization’s greatest catastrophe.

    American leaders and statesmen [sic] seem determined to follow in the footsteps of the Bourbons — forgotten nothing and learned nothing. Now as then, Cassandras see the broad outlines of the future, warn of the risks, and are unheeded. After all — What could possibly go wrong?

    • Replies: @Peter Akuleyev
    @ic1000

    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything. Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences. If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.

    The twist could be if Russia and Iran can manage to cobble together an anti-Western alliance of the „global South“. Looking at the enthusiasm among American blacks and European Muslims for endorsing Hamas for „fighting colonialism“, that might be a backdoor for destroying the West from within.

    Replies: @ic1000, @vinteuil, @vinteuil, @Pierre de Craon

    , @Jack D
    @ic1000


    should acquaint themselves with what happened in Europe in July and August 1914.
     
    From a purely cynical POV, the empires of Europe exhausting each other in useless wars is what led directly to the American Century. At the end of WWII, the US had, for example, 85% of the world's automobile production capacity. Before WWII, the great universities where great minds made breakthrus in physics, chemistry and other fields were mostly in Germany. After the war, the US became the world's intellectual leader. The dollar became the main global currency. Etc.

    None of this would have happened if the Europeans hadn't killed so many of their best and brightest and exhausted their wealth.

    Replies: @Johann Ricke

  259. @Traianus
    Given the WP’s track record on pretty much everything, why would you believe it in this case? Hersh’s argument, which he stands by, is that the pipeline was so deep that you needed very experienced divers that only come from this one Navy School in Pensacola and you needed a ship that had one of those chambers that treats people for the Benz. In other words you needed a much bigger ship than a sailboat or sailing yacht.

    Btw this has nothing to do with the competence of the Ukraine military. I’ve been telling anyone that would listen that prewar, Ukraine had, contrary to popular belief, among the most robust militaries in Europe. This is what scares me about the Russians prevailing in less than 2 years. I do think that Poland better get its act together because obviously Western militaries need to consider producing more artillery and sheer volume of armaments. Eastern Europe is also going to be forced to reinstitute a draft. Theyre lucky that Poland remains so conservative and traditional.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country, @Hunsdon, @Jack D

    re: your second point.

    Similarly, I have been saying for at least a year (probably going back to 15 months or longer) that the Ukrainian armed forces are fighting like hell, and that I doubt it any other NATO army, except maybe the Turks, could have held out as long while still fighting back.

    • Agree: BB753
  260. @Mr. Anon
    @Jack D


    However, you can say that the US was not exactly crying when it found out that the pipeline had been blown up. It wasn’t AGAINST American interests for this pipeline to be destroyed.
     
    What American interest was served by destroying the pipeline? I am an American. It didn't serve me. You conflate the so called interests of the government, meaning the interests of the current regime and its backers, with that of the actual American public. They aren't the same thing.

    Replies: @Mike Tre

    This sums up nicely our involvement in foreign wars and our foreign policy in general the last 100 plus years.

    • Agree: Pierre de Craon
  261. @Bill Jones
    Also in the WaPo, the CIA front clearly gets the knives out for Biden.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/09/fbi-biden-golf-club-membership-probe/?utm_campaign=wp_post_most&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl_most


    Leading to this nice summary on Zerohedge.

    The Biden-Du Pont Nexus: From A Prestigious Golf Club To A Controversial Child Rape Plea Deal
     
    The word seems to be out : Pedo Joe has got to go.

    Replies: @ic1000, @Brutusale

    Unsurprisingly, it seems that the late, sainted Beau Biden was as big a piece of shyte as the rest of the family.

    • Agree: Harry Baldwin
  262. @ic1000
    @Peter Akuleyev

    > Anyone who thinks Russia is „winning“ is clueless.

    That may be true, but it's not the point.

    As I noted (#237 supra):


    Statesmen [sic] such as Blinken, Nuland, Sullivan, and Austin seem to [be] happy to sacrifice Ukraine’s future on the altar of the U.S.’ key policy objective. Namely, more dead Russians.
     
    > The West has played this cynically but arguably well from its own self-interest.

    We can agree on cynically.

    Mearsheimer is one of many scholars to make a simple point: International affairs are not zero-sum. Fans of "Russia isn't winning!" and "More dead Russians!" should acquaint themselves with what happened in Europe in July and August 1914.

    The actions of Europe's leaders and diplomats during those two months set the stage for Western Civilization's greatest catastrophe.

    American leaders and statesmen [sic] seem determined to follow in the footsteps of the Bourbons -- forgotten nothing and learned nothing. Now as then, Cassandras see the broad outlines of the future, warn of the risks, and are unheeded. After all -- What could possibly go wrong?

    Replies: @Peter Akuleyev, @Jack D

    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything. Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences. If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.

    The twist could be if Russia and Iran can manage to cobble together an anti-Western alliance of the „global South“. Looking at the enthusiasm among American blacks and European Muslims for endorsing Hamas for „fighting colonialism“, that might be a backdoor for destroying the West from within.

    • Agree: Jack D
    • Troll: Gordo
    • Replies: @ic1000
    @Peter Akuleyev

    > Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything.

    Okay, you have your opinion about Mearsheimer.

    >Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences.

    Okay, you have your opinion about the relevance of 1914. But as some wag pointed out, history does rhyme.

    As far as concrete adverse consequences, I point to a couple of hundred thousand Ukrainian ones. And a couple of hundred thousand more on the Russian side.

    , @vinteuil
    @Peter Akuleyev


    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything.
     
    Mearsheimer predicted, for years, that if NATO persisted in expanding to the East, ultimately including the Ukraine, then eventually Russia would invade and wreck the place.

    Was he wrong about that?

    Replies: @Peter Akuleyev, @HA

    , @vinteuil
    @Peter Akuleyev


    Mearsheimer is an idiot
     
    Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    Replies: @ic1000, @Dieter Kief

    , @Pierre de Craon
    @Peter Akuleyev


    If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.
     
    The historical West, a nexus of states with roots in Greco-Roman antiquity and united internally and externally by Christianity, has not existed since World War I at the latest. Its subversion by an enemy within had been outlined in detail in 1890. The present geopolitical West is a bloodthirsty, talmudic empire whose object is the enslavement of the human race (cf. 1 Thess 2:15–16).

    Thus, your warning about the "[destruction of] the West from within" should be seen as uneasiness that people and forces that have a recognizable attachment to the underlying principles of the authentic Christian West or, on the other hand, might simply disrupt the subverters' status quo could threaten to turn the tables on the West's subversive masters, whom it seems you support.

  263. The 107.42m/352’5″ expedition yacht ‘Andromeda’ (ex. Ulysses) was built by Kleven in Norway at their Hasundhornet shipyard. Andromeda has been designed to comfortably accommodate up to 30 guests in 15 suites comprising four VIP cabins. She is also capable of carrying up to 22 crew onboard to ensure a relaxed luxury yacht experience.

    Andromeda is built with a steel hull and aluminium superstructure, with teak decks. Andromeda comfortably cruises at 15 knots, reaches a maximum speed of 16 knots with a range of up to 8,500 nautical miles from her 470,000 litre fuel tanks. Her water tanks store around 309,000 Litres of fresh water.

    A yacht like Andromeda can be rented for 300,000 to 500,000 US$ per week. Thus, the estimate of a few million dollars for the operation seems reasonable. The bonus should be more generous, I assume, to ensure discretion.

    • Replies: @Shale boi
    @J

    The vessel in question (in all the news stories) is 50ft, not 350ft. You're confusing things, somehow.

  264. @Jack D
    @Anonymous

    You figured 0ut the secret. You must have an IQ of 2000 to make this brilliant discovery.

    Roman Polanski - not Jewish

    Igor Sikorsky - Jewish

    Now that you know the secret Mossad will have to kill you.

    Replies: @Brutusale

    Maybe the secret Mossad can help the not-so-secret Mossad in keeping the borders clear of murderous Pallies! Or is that the secret Shin Bet’s job?

  265. @Anonymous
    @Emil Nikola Richard

    First off all, there's the actual problem of *locating* the damn pipeline above the ocean's bland watery vastness.
    Then, there's the problem of actually devising underwater explosives, packaging them, and having a suitable time delay mechanism. And, apparently, the pipeline was encased in concrete.
    We are led to believe that no saturation diving was used off that yacht. Thus, you have the decompression problem, coupled with heliox mixture in a cold sea - rapid body heat loss resulting in hypothermia - and the long decompression stops a tank diver must take in those conditions. And you need several tank changes on the way. At most, you'll have half an hour of 'bottom time' - alas not with lovely Ms. Lopez, as good James Bond deserves - . If the pipeline was encased in concrete, then that concrete would needed to have been chipped away with tools prior to explosive charge placement, a lot of time needed.
    All sorts of difficulties involving poor light, boat positioning, planning and practice etc.
    Stretches the limits of plausibility.

    But on the other hand - the US Navy has exactly the right men and right equipment, who practice these drills day in day out, to accomplish the job.

    On balance, who do you (so to speak) plump for?

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    You also have to remember the NATO exercises a month or so before, when various NATO boats were parked above the pipeline for some time.

    • Replies: @res
    @YetAnotherAnon

    More on that.
    https://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2023/02/11/2851765/nato-planes-regularly-circled-sites-of-nord-stream-blasts-during-baltops-exercise-analysis-finds

    More in these.
    https://sputnikglobe.com/20230209/us-surveillance-aircraft-monitored-results-of-explosions-at-nord-stream-pipelines-in-september-1107283974.html
    https://sputnikglobe.com/20220930/observers-a-big-winner-from-nord-stream-destruction-is-us-1101371764.html

  266. @tomv
    @Jack D

    I agree with you about the Men of Unz. You never see this kind of well-reasoned, evidence-based argument from them.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/gregory-cochrans-theory-of-who-blew-up-the-nord-stream-pipelines/#comment-5571410


    I can’t say that it makes a tremendous amount of sense that Nethanyahu staged a false-flag attack on this own country on October 7, but all indicators (the usual Hasbara-fueled conspiracy theories aside) point to Israel having done it --- they had the means and opportunity. So he must have had his reasons.

    In case you haven’t noticed, Nethanyahu is now in desperation mode. His government is a shambles. He was facing an open revolt and a criminal trial --- this is Germany 1945 level desperation. He is going to annex the entire judiciary based upon a sham reform that NO ONE outside of his fringe, even Israel’s allies, recognizes. Hundreds of thousands of Israel’s best and brightest were coming out to defy him and are probably never going back in. Domestic protests and even violence are breaking out. It’s a royal friggin’ mess, no matter how much copium you take.

    Desperate times call for desperate measures. One possibility is that this is Nethanyahu’s signal to the Goyim (and to himself) that he has crossed the Rubicon and burned his bridges behind him. There is no making up possible anymore even if the Goyim want it. It’s never going back to the old way even if the Goyim press the Palestinians to make a deal. Nethanyahu is turning his back on the civilized world and letting his inner Mongol fly!

    Nethanyahu has his back to the corner but he’s not ready to throw in the towel (losing this war is for him game, set, match --- there is no home for retired dictators). He is going to keep trying whatever he can come up with to keep his opponents off balance. If some of it seems a little crazy, all the better. He has told us that he is "not bluffing" about using nukes either.
     

    Replies: @Jack D

    Nicer try but Israel is a vigorous democracy. There are no big demonstrations in Russia like there were against the judicial reforms in Israel because they would throw you in prison. Not even remotely comparable. Thanks for playing. Please try again!

    • Replies: @bike-anarkist
    @Jack D

    Israel is an illegal country with an Apartheid system of govmnt.

  267. @Somsel
    @Jack D

    Why would the Ukies want to drive the German economy into a tail spin?

    The largest NATO European member and potential weapon supplier is expected to SUPPORT their war effort.

    Long run, that's against Ukraine interests I'd think although in the short run it cuts Russian income until sanctions kick in. Of course losing NordStream makes German sanctions easier to adopt by the Germans.

    Replies: @Jack D

    There hasn’t been any tailspin. Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables. Meanwhile it will take Russia years to build new pipelines leading elsewhere and the Chinese are driving a hard bargain and will demand low prices.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Jack D

    "Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables."

    "Eventually". At the moment they are reopening lignite-fired power stations, the dirtiest coal of all.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/nov/10/why-germanys-once-miracle-economy-is-turning-into-a-mirage


    Industrial production has fallen for five straight months and is more than 7% below its pre-pandemic levels. The International Monetary Fund expects Germany to be the weakest economy in the G7 group of leading rich nations this year, and the only one to see output fall.

    Germany has managed to find alternative sources of energy to make up for the loss of Russian gas from the Ukraine war but it has been more expensive. Energy-intensive sectors such as chemicals have been particularly hard hit.

    David Marsh, the chair of the thinktank OMFIF, agrees that Germany’s problems are more than temporary: “Something structural is going on there. Many times in the past people have called time on the German economy and the German economy has always bounced back. This time it might be slightly different.”
     

    Something structural sure is going on, it's called losing your cheap energy.

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @res
    @Jack D


    Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG
     
    That is an interesting part of the bigger picture. Much of that gas (>70% per link) is coming from the US.
    https://www.ft.com/content/ecdadbf1-1939-4952-b2cc-c84fb1cbe6d6

    US LNG only started being exported in 2016. Hard to see how doing that rather than consuming the NG at home is in the interest of Americans.

    Then there is the reality that LNG is worse for the environment than burning the same NG locally. And this all is happening at the same time there seems to be a media (and government?) war on against NG use in the US. Because global warming.

    Looks like US is now the leading LNG exporter. Up about 4x since 2018.
    https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=60361

    Here is some comparison of pipeline gas vs. LNG.
    https://ceenergynews.com/voices/how-to-evaluate-pipeline-gas-versus-lng

    LNG imports generate between 61 per cent and 176 per cent more GHG emissions than the supply from Russia via the TurkStream pipeline. These higher emissions are a result of energy-intensive liquefaction (including purification) and LNG carrier transport.
     
    , @Somsel
    @Jack D

    Germany's growth over the last few decades, since Schroeder, has been greatly assisted by cheap Russian gas.

    Imported LNG is much more expensive. They have tried to forget Energiewende and are burning more lignite but closed their last nuke.

    Yes, they made it through last winter surprisingly well but long term prospects are dimming.

  268. @Peter Akuleyev
    @ic1000

    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything. Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences. If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.

    The twist could be if Russia and Iran can manage to cobble together an anti-Western alliance of the „global South“. Looking at the enthusiasm among American blacks and European Muslims for endorsing Hamas for „fighting colonialism“, that might be a backdoor for destroying the West from within.

    Replies: @ic1000, @vinteuil, @vinteuil, @Pierre de Craon

    > Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything.

    Okay, you have your opinion about Mearsheimer.

    >Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences.

    Okay, you have your opinion about the relevance of 1914. But as some wag pointed out, history does rhyme.

    As far as concrete adverse consequences, I point to a couple of hundred thousand Ukrainian ones. And a couple of hundred thousand more on the Russian side.

  269. @Traianus
    Given the WP’s track record on pretty much everything, why would you believe it in this case? Hersh’s argument, which he stands by, is that the pipeline was so deep that you needed very experienced divers that only come from this one Navy School in Pensacola and you needed a ship that had one of those chambers that treats people for the Benz. In other words you needed a much bigger ship than a sailboat or sailing yacht.

    Btw this has nothing to do with the competence of the Ukraine military. I’ve been telling anyone that would listen that prewar, Ukraine had, contrary to popular belief, among the most robust militaries in Europe. This is what scares me about the Russians prevailing in less than 2 years. I do think that Poland better get its act together because obviously Western militaries need to consider producing more artillery and sheer volume of armaments. Eastern Europe is also going to be forced to reinstitute a draft. Theyre lucky that Poland remains so conservative and traditional.

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country, @Hunsdon, @Jack D

    Ukraine had, contrary to popular belief, among the most robust militaries in Europe. This is what scares me about the Russians prevailing in less than 2 years.

    #1 – the Russians haven’t “prevailed”. They have managed to occupy some territory but have paid an enormous price in men, materiel and damage to their economy. Putin is trying to spin this as “victory” but he knows that Russia could not afford any more such costly “victories”.

    #2 – the Ukrainian Army was in many ways a mirror image of the Russian so it’s not surprising that they are equally matched and have fought each other to stalemate. If anything, they viewed the Russian Army as their “big brother” so the fact that the little brother has been able to go mano a mano with the big brother and hold its own is remarkable (A lot of people, including Ukrainians, thought it would be over in 2 weeks, not 2 years). Among other things, their mutual lack of effective anti-anti-aircraft weapons has meant that this has been a war largely fought without aviation so it has played out more like WWI than WWII. A war with NATO would not go like this.

    The Ukrainians have been very creative on some fronts – the fact that they have sunk a lot of the Black Sea Fleet despite not having a navy is pretty good. Their use of drones is very good. But mostly they operate a Russian style artillery army with Russian style equipment and often Russian style manpower losses, Russian style disorganization and blunders, Russian style corruption, etc. NATO has tried to reform them but changes in culture do not happen overnight.

    • Replies: @bike-anarkist
    @Jack D

    Another Hasbara jack-off with more gas lighting and dis-info.

  270. I think there is a majority of conservatives (including Steve) who can’t accept the moral degeneracy of our military and don’t think those Nice Guys in the Navy Seals would blow up a pipeline if politicians ordered them to.

    It’s like Vietnam never happened to this group and the military and their political leadership can be trusted.

  271. @Old Prude
    @Harry Baldwin

    LOL, but Tyrd, I mean Byrd doesn't have the stones to confront anyone but harmless girls. Not that he even confronted Ashli. What a P.O.S.

    Replies: @Harry Baldwin

    I suspect that Byrd has an instinctive grasp of whom you can shoot with impunity and whom you can’t.

  272. Although I generally agree with you, bear in mind the little distance from Russia to Alaska. Also, long-range supersonic missiles have made distances nearly irrelevant.
    Luckily, neither Russia nor China need more territory, just access to new markets without the constant threat of US sanctions.

    • Replies: @bike-anarkist
    @BB753

    Luckily, neither Russia nor China need more territory, just access to new markets without the constant threat of US sanctions.

    And that's all it really is:

    "Don't tread on me!"

  273. No surprises here. As a case of first impression it would have been in the Ukraine’s interests to blow the pipeline. The “Russia did it” bit never passed the smell test.

    And, no, the Ukraine’s interests are not ours.

  274. @Colin Wright
    But while the Ukraine may have physically done it, I'm virtually certain the US approved it. In fact, that's the most likely scenario. We held their hand, and they carried it out.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth, @Jack D, @Emil Nikola Richard, @Prester John

    Probably.


  275. OT – a middle-class Narodnik and his village child bride, 1874.

    “Given the Narodniks’ generally middle- and upper-middle-class social background, they found difficulty relating to the impoverished peasants and their culture. They spent much of their time learning peasant customs, such as clothing and peasant labor. Narodniks were viewed with suspicion by many Russian peasants, who were completely removed from the more modernized culture of the urban sphere.”

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narodniks

    • Replies: @William Badwhite
    @YetAnotherAnon


    a middle-class Narodnik
     
    It's Elon Musk!

    Agree: Johann Ricke

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Harry Baldwin

    , @Jack D
    @YetAnotherAnon

    No it's not. It's some sort of modern photoshop of Musk and Greta Thunberg. The quality of the image is nothing like actual photos from 1874. It's really amazing how gullible some people are.

  276. @ic1000
    @HA

    > You can go ahead and wail about

    That's Corvinus-style phrasing. If it's integral to your plan to win the internet, I dunno. Might want to re-evaluate. Jack D, for one, keeps his cool through some pretty spirited disagreements.

    More fundamentally, you focus on ought to the seeming exclusion of is. For example, Russia has five times the population, more than five times the industrial base, and much more than five times the military industrial base. These things matter.

    In my view, Finland in the 20th century is Ukraine's might-have-been. Mannerheim was no friend to the Russians -- an understatement! -- but he and his successors managed to keep Finland independent, viable, and mostly whole, through periods of European turmoil that were far worse than today's. There were heavy and unjust prices to pay, but in Mannerheim et al.'s view, that was the least-bad alternative.

    Statesmen [sic] such as Blinken, Nuland, Sullivan, and Austin seem to have neither the knowledge of history nor the insight to guide Ukraine in this direction. Or, notwithstanding such knowledge and insight, they are nonetheless happy to sacrifice Ukraine's future on the altar of the U.S.' key policy objective. Namely, more dead Russians.

    That would signal a level of cynicism that dwarfs yours and mine, combined.

    Replies: @HA

    “More fundamentally, you focus on ought to the seeming exclusion of is.”

    Oh, come on. After your misty-eyed cri de cœur about being a “bad friend”, you’re going to hector me on ought vs. is? You started that. And I already told you why I’m not buying the cease-fire argument, but if you want to play the “fighting till the last Ukrainian” card, or anything else where you want to pretend you’re actually on the side of the downtrodden Ukrainians, don’t assume it’ll come across any better.

    In fact, it’s you and Mearshimer who are the ones who still fail to acknowledge that Ukraine IS — they proved that when they didn’t cave, and outlasted that week we were giving them. It isn’t just a group of deluded people who can’t admit they’re just an appendage of Russia, however much Putin insists that Ukrainians really don’t exist. The two of you therefore need to work that into your narrative. If you can’t, and keep playing useful idiots to people like Putin who think Ukraine OUGHT not to exist, then find a less hypocritical comeback than ought vs. is semantics.

    Smaller states can exist alongside power-hungry bigger ones. Ask the Kurds, ask the Vietnamese, ask the Afghanis. Long before the US took an interest in Vietnam, there were the French, and before them — going back a long ways — there were the Chinese. Long before we decided to rework Afghanistan, the Great Game was afoot. To the extent the alt-right is opposed to American boondoggles that smash a smaller country against the wall every couple of years just to see how good it feels, or however that quip goes, it behooves them to likewise oppose the USSR 2.0 from re-emerging into another full-blown Cold War, which led to a whole domino set of smashing little countries into walls and getting into bed with despicable regimes. So if that’s the game Putin wants to replay — and it clearly is — I have no problem in doing it before he takes over Ukraine completely, and then Kazakhstan and Poland and whatever else is on his list. If he wants a reboot of the USSR franchise, I say we fast-forward to the part where that one falls apart, too. What was that crazy thing that Mearshimer said about how Germany should have taken on France in 1905 when doing so would have required the least effort? If he believes that, then standing up to Putin now, before he swipes half of Eastern Europe, is well within our realpolitik (and I daresay moral) interests. So even on his very twisted terms, his argument doesn’t hold water in the case of Ukraine, and to the extent you feel the need to invoke him, it bespeaks to the weakness of yours.

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @HA

    Sorry, HA, conversations in the comments are supposed to be value-adds for all parties.

    Replies: @res

  277. @Wielgus
    @Colin Wright

    Which part of the Talmud?
    His reasoning reminds me a lot of Jesuit casuistry.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    ‘Which part of the Talmud?
    His reasoning reminds me a lot of Jesuit casuistry.’

    It’s hard to find a reference (go figure). However, I’ve read passages either from the Talmud or Maimonides in which a given act is fine — unless it might become known and bring Jewry into disrepute.

    • Replies: @utu
    @Colin Wright

    Jesuitical vs. Talmudic

    https://slate.com/human-interest/1996/06/jesuitical-vs-talmudic.html

    Replies: @Twinkie

  278. @Jack D
    @Somsel

    There hasn't been any tailspin. Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables. Meanwhile it will take Russia years to build new pipelines leading elsewhere and the Chinese are driving a hard bargain and will demand low prices.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @res, @Somsel

    “Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables.”

    “Eventually”. At the moment they are reopening lignite-fired power stations, the dirtiest coal of all.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/nov/10/why-germanys-once-miracle-economy-is-turning-into-a-mirage

    Industrial production has fallen for five straight months and is more than 7% below its pre-pandemic levels. The International Monetary Fund expects Germany to be the weakest economy in the G7 group of leading rich nations this year, and the only one to see output fall.

    Germany has managed to find alternative sources of energy to make up for the loss of Russian gas from the Ukraine war but it has been more expensive. Energy-intensive sectors such as chemicals have been particularly hard hit.

    David Marsh, the chair of the thinktank OMFIF, agrees that Germany’s problems are more than temporary: “Something structural is going on there. Many times in the past people have called time on the German economy and the German economy has always bounced back. This time it might be slightly different.”

    Something structural sure is going on, it’s called losing your cheap energy.

    • Agree: MEH 0910
    • Replies: @Jack D
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Cheap energy isn't really cheap if you are enriching your enemy and are going to have to pay even more to fight him eventually.

    Lenin thought that capitalists are so greedy that they would be willing to sell Russia the rope that Russia would use to hang them as long as the capitalists could make a profit on the rope sale. Nord Stream was pretty much an example of that type of short sightedness and should never have been built in the 1st place.

    As with China, the West thought that they were cooperating economically on the basis that Russia had given up its imperial ambitions and was going to joint the world trading community as a partner for peace. But as China and Russia strengthened themselves on a diet of Western payments for their exports, they started feeling their imperial oats again.

    I would count on the Russian economy running out of steam before the German one does. Yes certain sectors such as chemicals have been hit by higher raw materials cost but the German economy is broad based and not dependent on any one sector. But Russia is nothing but a giant gas station and selling oil for rupees at cut rate prices is not the same thing as selling full priced oil for dollars. 7% decline is not good but it's not "a tailspin".

    Replies: @vinteuil

  279. Wouldn’t it have to be four men and three women? The Minnow carried The Skipper, Gilligan, The Professor, Mr and Mrs Howell, Maryanne and Ginger. But then they don’t really care about the details they just needed some kind of misdirection cover story no matter how thin.
    It’s easy enough to convince the public that a small sailing yacht could carry enough explosives and the diving support equipment to completely sever one meter in diameter, concrete armored steel pipelines at those locations and depths. People will simply imagine in their mind’s eye Mission Impossible scuba divers popping down and planting handheld charges complete with LED display count down timers, just like bombers use in the movies.

    • Replies: @Buzz Mohawk
    @Alfa158

    The Professor would have figured out a way to do it, but Gilligan would have screwed it up.

  280. @Peterike
    @HA

    “Because as I noted in a previous comment, Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR”

    An assertion for which there is zero evidence.

    Hey brah, did you ever apologize for being totally wrong about Covid? I must have missed it. Of course I was totally right about everything. Hope you got your fifth booster and your flu shot, lol!!!

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @HA

    [Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR” [is] “An assertion for which there is zero evidence.”

    If you’re just too dim-witted to click on the blue font in which the words “stepping stone” were first invoked in the previous comment I was referring to — here it is again, if you want to give it another shot — well, that explains the rest of your comment — not to mention your fantasies regarding COVID.

    On second thought, I’ll cut and paste and save you the trouble. Expecting you to know how to work a hyper-link is just asking for trouble:

    [Russian] General Admits Ukraine Just a ‘Stepping Stone’ to Invade Europe

    A key Russian general who Russian President Vladimir Putin promoted this week views the invasion of Ukraine as a mere “stepping stone” to further conflict with Europe….In a recent interview with Moscow’s state-run Russia-1, a clip of which circulated widely on social media Saturday, Mordvichev said he believes Putin’s war will last quite a long time and expand in the future.…”I think there’s still plenty of time to spend. It is pointless to talk about a specified period. If we are talking about Eastern Europe, which we will have to, of course then it will be longer,” the general said.

    “Ukraine is only a stepping stone?” the interviewer then asked.

    “Yes, absolutely. It is only the beginning,” Mordvichev responded, who went on to say that the war “will not stop here.”

    After you’re done wiping the egg off your face, feel free to try again, assuming your long-COVID didn’t fry your little brain permanently.

    • Replies: @HA
    @HA

    [Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR” [is] “An assertion for which there is zero evidence.”


    And here's some recent Russian ruminating, run on state-run TV, regarding which country they should bomb next. This pundit is saying he'd hold off on Poland for the moment, given that they have a new government, and it's presumably still unclear as to how many of them can be bribed, which means it should instead be Romania's turn, because they've been getting "uppity".



    It is necessary to bomb...But I wouldn't bomb Poland just. now.. We have yet to negoatiate with them. I'd hit the Romanians. You know why? They have become too arrogant. They've just starting acting arrogant. [So] I'd put the Romanians in their place.
     
    https://twitter.com/victoriaslog/status/1724530020331229220

    He goes on to say that unlike the situation in Gaza, he'd only hit military installations (though I'm guessing if the Romanians likewise start staging their military HQ and torture rooms inside the hospitals and whatnot, he'd have something else to say about that.)

    But yeah, just the kind of thing I expect to see from a country that has no plans whatsoever to move on past Ukraine once that's over.

    Replies: @Jack D

  281. Late to the party but agree totally with iSteve’s post. Never going to convince the foil hat brigade though. They’ll Rube Goldberg the hell out of Occam’s Razor just to make the facts match their preconceptions, aka wild ass guesses. It’s easier to fool people than convince them they’ve been fooled.

  282. @Mr. Anon
    @Peterike


    @HA

    Hey brah, did you ever apologize for being totally wrong about Covid? I must have missed it. Of course I was totally right about everything. Hope you got your fifth booster and your flu shot, lol!!!
     

    If he did you wouldn't have heard it through all those masks he's wearing from deep within the chambers of his sterile pandemic bunker.

    "HA" (an apt screen handle) is a lockdown-clown.

    Replies: @HA

    “If he did you wouldn’t have heard it through all those masks he’s wearing from deep within the chambers of his sterile pandemic bunker.”

    As opposed to very long conference table? The fanboys have no problem with that.

    Putin’s health was the reason for the extra-long furniture, according to the Kremlin.

    Fears about Putin getting seriously ill likely played a part in the decision to distance the leaders, … it is unclear who would replace the 69-year-old leader and “that can lead to nervousness among members of the elite — and, therefore, increases the importance of the visible steps taken by the Kremlin to shield the president as much as possible from the coronavirus,”…

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @HA


    As opposed to very long conference table? The fanboys have no problem with that.
     
    Putin fanboys? Who are they. I suppose you think that everyone who disagrees with you is a "Putin fanboy".

    So - what is your point - that you are at least no less crazy than a beady-eyed psychopathic ex-secret-policeman?

    Okay. You've convinced me.

    Replies: @HA

  283. @ic1000
    @Peter Akuleyev

    > Anyone who thinks Russia is „winning“ is clueless.

    That may be true, but it's not the point.

    As I noted (#237 supra):


    Statesmen [sic] such as Blinken, Nuland, Sullivan, and Austin seem to [be] happy to sacrifice Ukraine’s future on the altar of the U.S.’ key policy objective. Namely, more dead Russians.
     
    > The West has played this cynically but arguably well from its own self-interest.

    We can agree on cynically.

    Mearsheimer is one of many scholars to make a simple point: International affairs are not zero-sum. Fans of "Russia isn't winning!" and "More dead Russians!" should acquaint themselves with what happened in Europe in July and August 1914.

    The actions of Europe's leaders and diplomats during those two months set the stage for Western Civilization's greatest catastrophe.

    American leaders and statesmen [sic] seem determined to follow in the footsteps of the Bourbons -- forgotten nothing and learned nothing. Now as then, Cassandras see the broad outlines of the future, warn of the risks, and are unheeded. After all -- What could possibly go wrong?

    Replies: @Peter Akuleyev, @Jack D

    should acquaint themselves with what happened in Europe in July and August 1914.

    From a purely cynical POV, the empires of Europe exhausting each other in useless wars is what led directly to the American Century. At the end of WWII, the US had, for example, 85% of the world’s automobile production capacity. Before WWII, the great universities where great minds made breakthrus in physics, chemistry and other fields were mostly in Germany. After the war, the US became the world’s intellectual leader. The dollar became the main global currency. Etc.

    None of this would have happened if the Europeans hadn’t killed so many of their best and brightest and exhausted their wealth.

    • Replies: @Johann Ricke
    @Jack D


    From a purely cynical POV, the empires of Europe exhausting each other in useless wars is what led directly to the American Century.
     
    On population size and productivity alone, the US economy was already larger than the individual European metropoles. The higher wages in the US were why European populations moved west instead of the other way around. It would have been the American century, regardless. Just because ideologues have adopted this cynical position for any number of parochial reasons as holy writ is no reason to take it as established fact.

    The reality is that Wilson and FDR were far-sighted. If we can send troops and supplies across oceans, an empire that gets big enough can certainly send the same in our direction. In a world with steamships and aircraft, in an age of chemical -powered machines, the two ocean barrier isn't exactly a stream, but it's not the barrier to hostile attack it used to be, not against continental-scale empires.
  284. @Jack D
    @Somsel

    There hasn't been any tailspin. Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables. Meanwhile it will take Russia years to build new pipelines leading elsewhere and the Chinese are driving a hard bargain and will demand low prices.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @res, @Somsel

    Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG

    That is an interesting part of the bigger picture. Much of that gas (>70% per link) is coming from the US.
    https://www.ft.com/content/ecdadbf1-1939-4952-b2cc-c84fb1cbe6d6

    US LNG only started being exported in 2016. Hard to see how doing that rather than consuming the NG at home is in the interest of Americans.

    Then there is the reality that LNG is worse for the environment than burning the same NG locally. And this all is happening at the same time there seems to be a media (and government?) war on against NG use in the US. Because global warming.

    Looks like US is now the leading LNG exporter. Up about 4x since 2018.
    https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=60361

    Here is some comparison of pipeline gas vs. LNG.
    https://ceenergynews.com/voices/how-to-evaluate-pipeline-gas-versus-lng

    LNG imports generate between 61 per cent and 176 per cent more GHG emissions than the supply from Russia via the TurkStream pipeline. These higher emissions are a result of energy-intensive liquefaction (including purification) and LNG carrier transport.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
  285. @Alfa158
    Wouldn’t it have to be four men and three women? The Minnow carried The Skipper, Gilligan, The Professor, Mr and Mrs Howell, Maryanne and Ginger. But then they don’t really care about the details they just needed some kind of misdirection cover story no matter how thin.
    It’s easy enough to convince the public that a small sailing yacht could carry enough explosives and the diving support equipment to completely sever one meter in diameter, concrete armored steel pipelines at those locations and depths. People will simply imagine in their mind’s eye Mission Impossible scuba divers popping down and planting handheld charges complete with LED display count down timers, just like bombers use in the movies.

    Replies: @Buzz Mohawk

    The Professor would have figured out a way to do it, but Gilligan would have screwed it up.

  286. Norwegians did it at the behest of the Americans.

  287. Being on the Black Sea, with a port, oil & gas platforms etc., it’s highly likely the Ukraine had a small group of technical commercial divers. The West has provided the Ukraine a rather large check book to pay for any necessary equipment and training. Finally, do not underestimate the ability of modern remote operated underwater vehicles. Just like aerial drones these vehicles have become much more useful and much less expensive. I wouldn’t be surprised if the entire operation wasn’t done via such a vehicle.

  288. @Cagey Beast
    @bispora

    Steve also shot RFK and has a bid in for the contract to shoot RFK Jr. His real name is Sailer Sailer, which is why Sirhan Sirhan is often mistaken for him.

    Replies: @bispora

    Or just look at how, as an opinion leader, he can represent the interests of the US by pretending to be stupid about the North Stream…

  289. @YetAnotherAnon
    https://i.postimg.cc/K8K8bkqy/Narodniks1874.jpg

    OT - a middle-class Narodnik and his village child bride, 1874.


    "Given the Narodniks' generally middle- and upper-middle-class social background, they found difficulty relating to the impoverished peasants and their culture. They spent much of their time learning peasant customs, such as clothing and peasant labor. Narodniks were viewed with suspicion by many Russian peasants, who were completely removed from the more modernized culture of the urban sphere."
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narodniks

    Replies: @William Badwhite, @Jack D

    a middle-class Narodnik

    It’s Elon Musk!

    Agree: Johann Ricke

    • LOL: YetAnotherAnon
    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @William Badwhite

    "It’s Elon Musk!"

    Just someone remarkably like him. You often got those type of faces in the Pale of Settlement.

    Who's the child bride, then?

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @Harry Baldwin
    @William Badwhite

    As far as we know Musk is not yet working on time travel, but this photo proves he will someday figure it out.

  290. @William Badwhite
    @YetAnotherAnon


    a middle-class Narodnik
     
    It's Elon Musk!

    Agree: Johann Ricke

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Harry Baldwin

    “It’s Elon Musk!”

    Just someone remarkably like him. You often got those type of faces in the Pale of Settlement.

    Who’s the child bride, then?

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Greta Thunberg. It's a photoshop.

    As for Pale of Settlement, the pale eyed, straight and narrow nosed Musk does not look stereotypically Jewish, nor does he look Ukrainian, Lithuanian or Polish either. He is of Western European ancestry - English, Dutch and Swiss.

    If I were thinking of a movie star to play him, I think the closest would be Matthew Broderick (about 10 years ago - Broderick is 10 yrs older than Musk). Not any Jewish or E. European actor.

    Musk bears a striking physical resemblance to his anti-Semitic, apartheid loving grandfather Joshua Haldeman.

    https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i1l6gydqQ7AM/v1/-1x-1.jpg

    Replies: @Johann Ricke, @Citizen of a Silly Country

  291. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Jack D

    "Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables."

    "Eventually". At the moment they are reopening lignite-fired power stations, the dirtiest coal of all.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/nov/10/why-germanys-once-miracle-economy-is-turning-into-a-mirage


    Industrial production has fallen for five straight months and is more than 7% below its pre-pandemic levels. The International Monetary Fund expects Germany to be the weakest economy in the G7 group of leading rich nations this year, and the only one to see output fall.

    Germany has managed to find alternative sources of energy to make up for the loss of Russian gas from the Ukraine war but it has been more expensive. Energy-intensive sectors such as chemicals have been particularly hard hit.

    David Marsh, the chair of the thinktank OMFIF, agrees that Germany’s problems are more than temporary: “Something structural is going on there. Many times in the past people have called time on the German economy and the German economy has always bounced back. This time it might be slightly different.”
     

    Something structural sure is going on, it's called losing your cheap energy.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Cheap energy isn’t really cheap if you are enriching your enemy and are going to have to pay even more to fight him eventually.

    Lenin thought that capitalists are so greedy that they would be willing to sell Russia the rope that Russia would use to hang them as long as the capitalists could make a profit on the rope sale. Nord Stream was pretty much an example of that type of short sightedness and should never have been built in the 1st place.

    As with China, the West thought that they were cooperating economically on the basis that Russia had given up its imperial ambitions and was going to joint the world trading community as a partner for peace. But as China and Russia strengthened themselves on a diet of Western payments for their exports, they started feeling their imperial oats again.

    I would count on the Russian economy running out of steam before the German one does. Yes certain sectors such as chemicals have been hit by higher raw materials cost but the German economy is broad based and not dependent on any one sector. But Russia is nothing but a giant gas station and selling oil for rupees at cut rate prices is not the same thing as selling full priced oil for dollars. 7% decline is not good but it’s not “a tailspin”.

    • Replies: @vinteuil
    @Jack D


    Lenin thought that capitalists are so greedy that they would be willing to sell [the Bolsheviks] the rope that [the Bolsheviks] would use to hang them as long as the capitalists could make a profit on the rope sale. Nord Stream was pretty much an example of that type of short sightedness and should never have been built in the 1st place.
     
    OK, so ideally, from your point of view, Nord Stream should never have been built in the 1st place.

    I guess because you see no serious difference between the Bolsheviks of 1917 and the Russians of today?

    Replies: @Jack D

  292. @YetAnotherAnon
    https://i.postimg.cc/K8K8bkqy/Narodniks1874.jpg

    OT - a middle-class Narodnik and his village child bride, 1874.


    "Given the Narodniks' generally middle- and upper-middle-class social background, they found difficulty relating to the impoverished peasants and their culture. They spent much of their time learning peasant customs, such as clothing and peasant labor. Narodniks were viewed with suspicion by many Russian peasants, who were completely removed from the more modernized culture of the urban sphere."
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narodniks

    Replies: @William Badwhite, @Jack D

    No it’s not. It’s some sort of modern photoshop of Musk and Greta Thunberg. The quality of the image is nothing like actual photos from 1874. It’s really amazing how gullible some people are.

  293. @J
    The 107.42m/352'5" expedition yacht 'Andromeda' (ex. Ulysses) was built by Kleven in Norway at their Hasundhornet shipyard. Andromeda has been designed to comfortably accommodate up to 30 guests in 15 suites comprising four VIP cabins. She is also capable of carrying up to 22 crew onboard to ensure a relaxed luxury yacht experience.

    Andromeda is built with a steel hull and aluminium superstructure, with teak decks. Andromeda comfortably cruises at 15 knots, reaches a maximum speed of 16 knots with a range of up to 8,500 nautical miles from her 470,000 litre fuel tanks. Her water tanks store around 309,000 Litres of fresh water.

    A yacht like Andromeda can be rented for 300,000 to 500,000 US$ per week. Thus, the estimate of a few million dollars for the operation seems reasonable. The bonus should be more generous, I assume, to ensure discretion.

    Replies: @Shale boi

    The vessel in question (in all the news stories) is 50ft, not 350ft. You’re confusing things, somehow.

  294. @Jack D
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Cheap energy isn't really cheap if you are enriching your enemy and are going to have to pay even more to fight him eventually.

    Lenin thought that capitalists are so greedy that they would be willing to sell Russia the rope that Russia would use to hang them as long as the capitalists could make a profit on the rope sale. Nord Stream was pretty much an example of that type of short sightedness and should never have been built in the 1st place.

    As with China, the West thought that they were cooperating economically on the basis that Russia had given up its imperial ambitions and was going to joint the world trading community as a partner for peace. But as China and Russia strengthened themselves on a diet of Western payments for their exports, they started feeling their imperial oats again.

    I would count on the Russian economy running out of steam before the German one does. Yes certain sectors such as chemicals have been hit by higher raw materials cost but the German economy is broad based and not dependent on any one sector. But Russia is nothing but a giant gas station and selling oil for rupees at cut rate prices is not the same thing as selling full priced oil for dollars. 7% decline is not good but it's not "a tailspin".

    Replies: @vinteuil

    Lenin thought that capitalists are so greedy that they would be willing to sell [the Bolsheviks] the rope that [the Bolsheviks] would use to hang them as long as the capitalists could make a profit on the rope sale. Nord Stream was pretty much an example of that type of short sightedness and should never have been built in the 1st place.

    OK, so ideally, from your point of view, Nord Stream should never have been built in the 1st place.

    I guess because you see no serious difference between the Bolsheviks of 1917 and the Russians of today?

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @vinteuil

    Yes, in retrospect it was a big mistake. I already articulated why - the Germans thought that they were dealing with a peaceful trade partner and not someone who wanted to reconstitute the world of 1989.

    I am guessing that when Putin came to power, even he thought that re-creating the borders and Russian sphere of influence of 1989 was a pipe dream. Something that he would have wished if a genie offered it to him but beyond his reach as a practical matter. But with the billions that poured in from Nord Stream (and other resource sales) after a while it didn't seem so crazy after all. Nord Stream became the genie that could grant his wishes.

  295. The popular Russians Did It To Themselves theory never made any sense to me.

    It’s obvious that Russia blew up the pipelines. Gazprom was under contract to deliver natural gas to German customers and if failing to do so was contractually obliged to pay for gas the customers bought from other sources. We’re talking about tens of million dollars every day. The shorter Napoleon ordered Nordstream 2 set on pause and Nordstream 1 to have ‘technical issues’ to put pressure on Germany.
    It didn’t work. The only option the despot had left was to force a force majeure to get Gazprom out of the bind. So the Russian ‘research vessel’ (with mini-subs) the Danish Navy observed in the area was there to place the explosives.
    Broken pipelines can be repaired.

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @Yngvar

    > Gazprom was under contract to deliver natural gas to German customers and if failing to do so was contractually obliged to pay for gas the customers bought from other sources... The only option the despot had left was to force a force majeure to get Gazprom out of the bind.

    Thanks. For all the ink spilled over the sabotage, I (somehow) never read about this potential motive.

    Do you have a citation? Preferably a sober analyst in a trade press publication or the like -- with the vast amount of money at stake, these contract provisions surely wouldn't have escaped notice. Thanks to Google Translate, German (etc.) would be fine.

    Replies: @Shale boi

  296. @Peter Akuleyev
    @ic1000

    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything. Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences. If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.

    The twist could be if Russia and Iran can manage to cobble together an anti-Western alliance of the „global South“. Looking at the enthusiasm among American blacks and European Muslims for endorsing Hamas for „fighting colonialism“, that might be a backdoor for destroying the West from within.

    Replies: @ic1000, @vinteuil, @vinteuil, @Pierre de Craon

    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything.

    Mearsheimer predicted, for years, that if NATO persisted in expanding to the East, ultimately including the Ukraine, then eventually Russia would invade and wreck the place.

    Was he wrong about that?

    • Agree: ic1000, MEH 0910
    • Replies: @Peter Akuleyev
    @vinteuil

    Since Ukraine never joined NATO, yes, he was very wrong about that.

    Replies: @vinteuil

    , @HA
    @vinteuil

    "Mearsheimer predicted, for years, that if NATO persisted in expanding to the East, ultimately including the Ukraine, then eventually Russia would invade and wreck the place. Was he wrong about that?"

    Given how he has flip-flopped over the last year and half, He's been wrong about Ukraine plenty of times. For example:


    In 2015...[Mearshimer] dismissed the idea that Russia would ever try to ‘’conquer Ukraine’’ — arguing ‘’Putin is much too smart for that.’’

    Then, in the lead up to the 2022 invasion, [he] argued,...quote...: ‘’What the Russians are going to do is CRUSH the Ukrainians. They’re going to bring out the big guns. They’re going to turn places like Kyiv and other cities in Ukraine into rubble. It will be like Fallujah, Mosul, Grozny.’’ [He] argued Western intervention would be pointless because Russia would level Ukraine and go nuclear against the West..."
     

    So, to the extent Mearshimer's fans want to have it both ways and claim Putin would never ever try and conquer Ukraine because he's just too smart, and furthermore that he'll also crush Ukraine into another Grozny, then you can argue for anyone to have been proven correct about anything. That's also pretty why you can also bet that whatever happens in Ukraine, they'll come by and claim how they were right all along and everyone else was wrong.
  297. @Jack D
    @ic1000


    should acquaint themselves with what happened in Europe in July and August 1914.
     
    From a purely cynical POV, the empires of Europe exhausting each other in useless wars is what led directly to the American Century. At the end of WWII, the US had, for example, 85% of the world's automobile production capacity. Before WWII, the great universities where great minds made breakthrus in physics, chemistry and other fields were mostly in Germany. After the war, the US became the world's intellectual leader. The dollar became the main global currency. Etc.

    None of this would have happened if the Europeans hadn't killed so many of their best and brightest and exhausted their wealth.

    Replies: @Johann Ricke

    From a purely cynical POV, the empires of Europe exhausting each other in useless wars is what led directly to the American Century.

    On population size and productivity alone, the US economy was already larger than the individual European metropoles. The higher wages in the US were why European populations moved west instead of the other way around. It would have been the American century, regardless. Just because ideologues have adopted this cynical position for any number of parochial reasons as holy writ is no reason to take it as established fact.

    The reality is that Wilson and FDR were far-sighted. If we can send troops and supplies across oceans, an empire that gets big enough can certainly send the same in our direction. In a world with steamships and aircraft, in an age of chemical -powered machines, the two ocean barrier isn’t exactly a stream, but it’s not the barrier to hostile attack it used to be, not against continental-scale empires.

  298. @vinteuil
    @Peter Akuleyev


    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything.
     
    Mearsheimer predicted, for years, that if NATO persisted in expanding to the East, ultimately including the Ukraine, then eventually Russia would invade and wreck the place.

    Was he wrong about that?

    Replies: @Peter Akuleyev, @HA

    Since Ukraine never joined NATO, yes, he was very wrong about that.

    • Replies: @vinteuil
    @Peter Akuleyev

    Wow - three minute turnaround!

    Are you unfamilar with the word "ultimately?"

  299. @Pixo
    @ic1000

    “ He continues to anticipate that Russia will turn the Ukraine War into a “frozen conflict,” in order to turn Ukraine into a failed state.”

    Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise? Would we benefit from Canada becoming a failed state?

    Replies: @ic1000, @Tex

    Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise? Would we benefit from Canada becoming a failed state?

    If Canada began considering quitting NATO and joining some 21st century version of the Warsaw Pact, yeah I think Canada would get failed hard and fast.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Tex

    Mexico has never been a military ally of the US and yet the US is happy to have peaceful trade relations with Mexico and does not see any advantage to turning Mexico into a failed state.

    There is a famous old joke about a Russian peasant who is hoeing his potato field when he uncovers a bottle. He uncorks the bottle and a genie emerges. The genie offers to grant the peasant a wish in gratitude for being uncorked (as genies often do). The peasant reasons out loud, "Genie, you know that my neighbor has a horse and I have no horse and must work this field by hand. Therefore, Genie, my wish is that you should.. (pause)..kill my neighbor's horse."

    In Russia this joke makes perfect sense but it's unconceivable that any American would think that way. Americans just have a different mentality but to Russians acting as spoilers comes very naturally.

    Replies: @Tex

  300. @Peter Akuleyev
    @vinteuil

    Since Ukraine never joined NATO, yes, he was very wrong about that.

    Replies: @vinteuil

    Wow – three minute turnaround!

    Are you unfamilar with the word “ultimately?”

  301. @Peter Akuleyev
    @ic1000

    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything. Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences. If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.

    The twist could be if Russia and Iran can manage to cobble together an anti-Western alliance of the „global South“. Looking at the enthusiasm among American blacks and European Muslims for endorsing Hamas for „fighting colonialism“, that might be a backdoor for destroying the West from within.

    Replies: @ic1000, @vinteuil, @vinteuil, @Pierre de Craon

    Mearsheimer is an idiot

    Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @vinteuil

    > Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    Yes. Also William Burns, when he was U.S. Ambassador to Russia.

    Finnish patriot Mannerheim, another idiot.

    The uber-idiot was -- obviously -- George Kennan.

    Replies: @vinteuil, @HA

    , @Dieter Kief
    @vinteuil

    Jeff Sachs' reasons that the US was behind the blow up of the Northstream II pipeline - beinning at min. 8 ca.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s85b9Zjj-E8

  302. @vinteuil
    @Peter Akuleyev


    Mearsheimer is an idiot
     
    Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    Replies: @ic1000, @Dieter Kief

    > Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    Yes. Also William Burns, when he was U.S. Ambassador to Russia.

    Finnish patriot Mannerheim, another idiot.

    The uber-idiot was — obviously — George Kennan.

    • Replies: @vinteuil
    @ic1000

    Ukraine could have been like Finland during the cold war - neutral, fairly prosperous, reasonably happy.

    Instead, hundreds of thousands of Ukranian & Russian men have been killed.

    Replies: @HA

    , @HA
    @ic1000

    "The uber-idiot was — obviously — George Kennan."

    To the extent Kennan forgot about his own said realization that when it comes to Russia, history rhymes all too well, then in that sense, yeah. Kennan should have been a more faithful disciple of Kennan:


    Even if we admit that [Custine's] La Russie en 1839 [detailing, in starchy and supercilious French, how Potemkin-villages and emperor's-new-clothes shenanigans were a standby or Russia's rulers even in the early 19th century] was not a very good book about Russia in 1839, we are confronted with the disturbing fact that it was an excellent book…about the Russia of Joseph Stalin, and not a bad book about the Russia of Brezhnev and Kosygin.
     
    Guess who wrote those words? And in another decade and a half, I guarantee Custine's account will be hailed as an eerily prophetic account of Putin's Kremlin as well.
  303. @vinteuil
    @Jack D


    Lenin thought that capitalists are so greedy that they would be willing to sell [the Bolsheviks] the rope that [the Bolsheviks] would use to hang them as long as the capitalists could make a profit on the rope sale. Nord Stream was pretty much an example of that type of short sightedness and should never have been built in the 1st place.
     
    OK, so ideally, from your point of view, Nord Stream should never have been built in the 1st place.

    I guess because you see no serious difference between the Bolsheviks of 1917 and the Russians of today?

    Replies: @Jack D

    Yes, in retrospect it was a big mistake. I already articulated why – the Germans thought that they were dealing with a peaceful trade partner and not someone who wanted to reconstitute the world of 1989.

    I am guessing that when Putin came to power, even he thought that re-creating the borders and Russian sphere of influence of 1989 was a pipe dream. Something that he would have wished if a genie offered it to him but beyond his reach as a practical matter. But with the billions that poured in from Nord Stream (and other resource sales) after a while it didn’t seem so crazy after all. Nord Stream became the genie that could grant his wishes.

    • Thanks: Johann Ricke
  304. @HA
    @ic1000

    "More fundamentally, you focus on ought to the seeming exclusion of is."

    Oh, come on. After your misty-eyed cri de cœur about being a "bad friend", you're going to hector me on ought vs. is? You started that. And I already told you why I'm not buying the cease-fire argument, but if you want to play the "fighting till the last Ukrainian" card, or anything else where you want to pretend you're actually on the side of the downtrodden Ukrainians, don't assume it'll come across any better.

    In fact, it's you and Mearshimer who are the ones who still fail to acknowledge that Ukraine IS -- they proved that when they didn't cave, and outlasted that week we were giving them. It isn't just a group of deluded people who can't admit they're just an appendage of Russia, however much Putin insists that Ukrainians really don't exist. The two of you therefore need to work that into your narrative. If you can't, and keep playing useful idiots to people like Putin who think Ukraine OUGHT not to exist, then find a less hypocritical comeback than ought vs. is semantics.

    Smaller states can exist alongside power-hungry bigger ones. Ask the Kurds, ask the Vietnamese, ask the Afghanis. Long before the US took an interest in Vietnam, there were the French, and before them -- going back a long ways -- there were the Chinese. Long before we decided to rework Afghanistan, the Great Game was afoot. To the extent the alt-right is opposed to American boondoggles that smash a smaller country against the wall every couple of years just to see how good it feels, or however that quip goes, it behooves them to likewise oppose the USSR 2.0 from re-emerging into another full-blown Cold War, which led to a whole domino set of smashing little countries into walls and getting into bed with despicable regimes. So if that's the game Putin wants to replay -- and it clearly is -- I have no problem in doing it before he takes over Ukraine completely, and then Kazakhstan and Poland and whatever else is on his list. If he wants a reboot of the USSR franchise, I say we fast-forward to the part where that one falls apart, too. What was that crazy thing that Mearshimer said about how Germany should have taken on France in 1905 when doing so would have required the least effort? If he believes that, then standing up to Putin now, before he swipes half of Eastern Europe, is well within our realpolitik (and I daresay moral) interests. So even on his very twisted terms, his argument doesn't hold water in the case of Ukraine, and to the extent you feel the need to invoke him, it bespeaks to the weakness of yours.

    Replies: @ic1000

    Sorry, HA, conversations in the comments are supposed to be value-adds for all parties.

    • Replies: @res
    @ic1000

    You obviously have different goals from HA. I prefer yours.

    Replies: @HA

  305. @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Steve Sailer

    But Kerch Bridge is either Russian or Ukrainian depending on hiw you look at the situation.

    But Nord Stream was German; therefore, any attack on it is an attack on Germany and thus NATO. So, in your view, Ukraine attacked NATO.

    What say you, Steve?

    Replies: @Jack D

    That’s a lie. The majority owner of Nord Stream was Gazprom which is in turn majority owned by the Russian government which is in turn owned by Putin. So all Nord Stream decisions were ultimately made by Putin.

    https://www.nord-stream.com/about-us/our-shareholders/

    • Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Jack D

    So what? Forty-nine percent of the pipelines are owned by Germany, the Dutch and the French.

    It's an attack on German, Dutch and French infrastructure.

    Seriously, I realize that you're used to being able to piss on goys' heads and tell them that it's raining but could you turn off your disdain for goys here. Granted, you're literally the great recruiter to the Dissident Right that we could ever find, but it's just weird.

    Once again, I'll remind you that Indians and Asians aren't here to listen your obfuscations. Gives me some hope for the future.

  306. Ok, Ukrainian military attacked and destroyed the NORD Stream pipeline. That was an attack on a NATO country and by Article 5 of the NATO Treaty, NATO should go to war with the Ukrainian military as a common defense.

  307. @William Badwhite
    @YetAnotherAnon


    a middle-class Narodnik
     
    It's Elon Musk!

    Agree: Johann Ricke

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Harry Baldwin

    As far as we know Musk is not yet working on time travel, but this photo proves he will someday figure it out.

    • Agree: utu
  308. @ic1000
    @vinteuil

    > Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    Yes. Also William Burns, when he was U.S. Ambassador to Russia.

    Finnish patriot Mannerheim, another idiot.

    The uber-idiot was -- obviously -- George Kennan.

    Replies: @vinteuil, @HA

    Ukraine could have been like Finland during the cold war – neutral, fairly prosperous, reasonably happy.

    Instead, hundreds of thousands of Ukranian & Russian men have been killed.

    • Replies: @HA
    @vinteuil

    "Ukraine could have been like Finland during the cold war..."

    Yeah, sure. Given that even FINLAND decided that being like Finland during the cold war wasn't enough once Putin decided to start swiping chunks of nearby territories and LARPing like Pyotr Veliky, you're living in a fantasy world.

    Prior to swiping Crimea, Popular support in Ukraine for joining NATO was a meager 20% or lower and was always swamped by the no-to-NATO contingent. So much for "ultimately". But that still wasn't good enough for Lil' BB -- he decided he wanted to slice off chunks of Ukraine for himself and then blame them for getting hostile about it.

    You seriously want to pretend that they're the ones who foolishly gave up on neutrality? I guess Lavrov whining about how we were forced to invade" is what the big roulette wheel-o'-excuses dialed up this week.

  309. This bullshit is being spewed. of course, because the Biden Regime is getting ready to dump the little green man- Zelinsky.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Bill Jones

    "the Biden Regime is getting ready to dump the little green man- Zelinsky."

    If that were true, it's kind of weird that Germany -- who aside from Russia has arguably lost the most from the demise of Nord Stream -- just announced that they're planning to DOUBLE their aid to Ukraine (and according to the Spiegel story, the same German investigators who think Ukrainian operatives did the deed also say they doubt that Zelinsky approved or even knew about the operation, saying that giving a leader plausible deniability was a common practice in intelligence operations such as this).

    But hey, whatever feeds the confirmation bias.

  310. @vinteuil
    @ic1000

    Ukraine could have been like Finland during the cold war - neutral, fairly prosperous, reasonably happy.

    Instead, hundreds of thousands of Ukranian & Russian men have been killed.

    Replies: @HA

    “Ukraine could have been like Finland during the cold war…”

    Yeah, sure. Given that even FINLAND decided that being like Finland during the cold war wasn’t enough once Putin decided to start swiping chunks of nearby territories and LARPing like Pyotr Veliky, you’re living in a fantasy world.

    Prior to swiping Crimea, Popular support in Ukraine for joining NATO was a meager 20% or lower and was always swamped by the no-to-NATO contingent. So much for “ultimately”. But that still wasn’t good enough for Lil’ BB — he decided he wanted to slice off chunks of Ukraine for himself and then blame them for getting hostile about it.

    You seriously want to pretend that they’re the ones who foolishly gave up on neutrality? I guess Lavrov whining about how we were forced to invade” is what the big roulette wheel-o’-excuses dialed up this week.

  311. @Colin Wright
    @Wielgus


    'Which part of the Talmud?
    His reasoning reminds me a lot of Jesuit casuistry.'
     
    It's hard to find a reference (go figure). However, I've read passages either from the Talmud or Maimonides in which a given act is fine -- unless it might become known and bring Jewry into disrepute.

    Replies: @utu

    • Thanks: Cagey Beast, res
    • Replies: @Twinkie
    @utu

    Thanks.

  312. @Peter Akuleyev
    @ic1000

    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything. Waving your hand around and mentioning 1914 is kind of silly unless you can point to concrete adverse consequences. If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.

    The twist could be if Russia and Iran can manage to cobble together an anti-Western alliance of the „global South“. Looking at the enthusiasm among American blacks and European Muslims for endorsing Hamas for „fighting colonialism“, that might be a backdoor for destroying the West from within.

    Replies: @ic1000, @vinteuil, @vinteuil, @Pierre de Craon

    If anything China‘s recent economic difficulties are making the West’s decision to finally crack down on Russia look more sensible.

    The historical West, a nexus of states with roots in Greco-Roman antiquity and united internally and externally by Christianity, has not existed since World War I at the latest. Its subversion by an enemy within had been outlined in detail in 1890. The present geopolitical West is a bloodthirsty, talmudic empire whose object is the enslavement of the human race (cf. 1 Thess 2:15–16).

    Thus, your warning about the “[destruction of] the West from within” should be seen as uneasiness that people and forces that have a recognizable attachment to the underlying principles of the authentic Christian West or, on the other hand, might simply disrupt the subverters’ status quo could threaten to turn the tables on the West’s subversive masters, whom it seems you support.

  313. @Jack D
    @Citizen of a Silly Country

    That's a lie. The majority owner of Nord Stream was Gazprom which is in turn majority owned by the Russian government which is in turn owned by Putin. So all Nord Stream decisions were ultimately made by Putin.


    https://www.nord-stream.com/about-us/our-shareholders/

    Replies: @Citizen of a Silly Country

    So what? Forty-nine percent of the pipelines are owned by Germany, the Dutch and the French.

    It’s an attack on German, Dutch and French infrastructure.

    Seriously, I realize that you’re used to being able to piss on goys’ heads and tell them that it’s raining but could you turn off your disdain for goys here. Granted, you’re literally the great recruiter to the Dissident Right that we could ever find, but it’s just weird.

    Once again, I’ll remind you that Indians and Asians aren’t here to listen your obfuscations. Gives me some hope for the future.

  314. @vinteuil
    @Peter Akuleyev


    Mearsheimer is an idiot who has been consistently wrong about everything.
     
    Mearsheimer predicted, for years, that if NATO persisted in expanding to the East, ultimately including the Ukraine, then eventually Russia would invade and wreck the place.

    Was he wrong about that?

    Replies: @Peter Akuleyev, @HA

    “Mearsheimer predicted, for years, that if NATO persisted in expanding to the East, ultimately including the Ukraine, then eventually Russia would invade and wreck the place. Was he wrong about that?”

    Given how he has flip-flopped over the last year and half, He’s been wrong about Ukraine plenty of times. For example:

    In 2015…[Mearshimer] dismissed the idea that Russia would ever try to ‘’conquer Ukraine’’ — arguing ‘’Putin is much too smart for that.’’

    Then, in the lead up to the 2022 invasion, [he] argued,…quote…: ‘’What the Russians are going to do is CRUSH the Ukrainians. They’re going to bring out the big guns. They’re going to turn places like Kyiv and other cities in Ukraine into rubble. It will be like Fallujah, Mosul, Grozny.’’ [He] argued Western intervention would be pointless because Russia would level Ukraine and go nuclear against the West…”

    So, to the extent Mearshimer’s fans want to have it both ways and claim Putin would never ever try and conquer Ukraine because he’s just too smart, and furthermore that he’ll also crush Ukraine into another Grozny, then you can argue for anyone to have been proven correct about anything. That’s also pretty why you can also bet that whatever happens in Ukraine, they’ll come by and claim how they were right all along and everyone else was wrong.

  315. @Charles Erwin Wilson
    @Achmed E. Newman


    Kudos. I remember your posts. Good call on the men involved and the scale of it. Who ordered it and/or gave the green light?
     
    Biden (okay, the retards that are running the Oval Office).

    Replies: @Inquiring Mind

    Matt Gaetz, who himself is maybe not the sharpest knife in the kitchen drawer, was grilling Secretary Mayorkas about some underling expressing anti-Israel sentiments. Mr. Mayorkas public response, I guess, was to get all huffy that his ethnic heritage was being impuned.

    What ethnic heritage might that be? Persons with intellectual disability?

  316. @ic1000
    @vinteuil

    > Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    Yes. Also William Burns, when he was U.S. Ambassador to Russia.

    Finnish patriot Mannerheim, another idiot.

    The uber-idiot was -- obviously -- George Kennan.

    Replies: @vinteuil, @HA

    “The uber-idiot was — obviously — George Kennan.”

    To the extent Kennan forgot about his own said realization that when it comes to Russia, history rhymes all too well, then in that sense, yeah. Kennan should have been a more faithful disciple of Kennan:

    Even if we admit that [Custine’s] La Russie en 1839 [detailing, in starchy and supercilious French, how Potemkin-villages and emperor’s-new-clothes shenanigans were a standby or Russia’s rulers even in the early 19th century] was not a very good book about Russia in 1839, we are confronted with the disturbing fact that it was an excellent book…about the Russia of Joseph Stalin, and not a bad book about the Russia of Brezhnev and Kosygin.

    Guess who wrote those words? And in another decade and a half, I guarantee Custine’s account will be hailed as an eerily prophetic account of Putin’s Kremlin as well.

  317. @ic1000
    @HA

    Sorry, HA, conversations in the comments are supposed to be value-adds for all parties.

    Replies: @res

    You obviously have different goals from HA. I prefer yours.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @HA
    @res

    Some more words from Kennan regarding Custine:


    Marquis de Custine, left his native Paris in the summer of 1839 and journeyed to Russia to substantiate his belief in Government by aristocracy and to seek arguments against representative government. He returned, in his own words, ‘the Partisan of Constitutions,” and wrote that ‘whoever has well examined that country will be content to live anywhere else.’
     
    I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a "bad friend" the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

  318. @Shale boi
    @Anonymous

    I haven't studied it in detail and never operated near there, but I'm VERY skeptical of a US submarine having done this mission. The Danish Straits are too shallow to drive through submerged, even at PD .

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baltimax

    And there's too much shipping and too narrow a channel to safely transit at PD without having a collision even if you had the draft, which you don't. And if you collide at PD...it's automatically the sub's fault...and you're going slow, so it's hard to avoid people...it's just a total mess).

    And there's too much detection risk if you do the transit surfaced. It's a very busy area and you need to stay in the channel even surfaced...so driving through with the lights out would be insane and you'd get detected by a gazillion other ships radars, who would then ask you on the bridge to bridge what the heck you were doing.

    I haven't operated there or studied it in depth but neither have you. Everyone I see pushing this on the Internet is a hoi polloi commenter. Get the detailed bathy charts at least (you'll have to buy them). And it's the Straits that are the concern, not the dive area.

    I'm also pretty skeptical of a dive from a sailing yacht also. Too much roll, no crane, not enough space, etc. etc. A fishing vessel or merchantman or even surface combatant would be way easier.

    Replies: @Rich23

    Unless you crewed the Jimmy Carter or the decomm’d Parche, you wouldn’t know or they’d have to kill you or lock you up ….shipmate.

    Research and development, my ass! Haha

    No one is saturation diving off a sailboat and Sailer is supposed to be a monumental intellect. Yet he perpetuates the nonsense.

    As you indicate, a manned project is delimited by the man.
    You’d agree the former means either a lock out capable “boat” or decompression/hyperbaric chamber on a “ship”.

    Your guess seems to be the only thing hardly mentioned: underwater drone, one way

    • Replies: @Shale boi
    @Rich23

    Use of an ROV might make a lot of sense. But you still need a surface vessel to tend it. Essentially to me that's a detail. ROV and divers. Divers only. Or ROV only. You still need a support vessel. A sailing yacht just sounds too precarious and small for that sort of work. Makes more sense to use a freighter or a tugboat or a fishing boat or a naval combatant or even some sort of oil exploration drill ship or oceanographic research vessel. You probably also want someone who knows what they are doing in terms of operating the ROV (an experienced hand, who knows his gear, probably from the oil and gas industry, not ad hoc Ukrainians). This isn't infantrymen playing with drones.

    Whether you use a shipboard decompression chamber (most reasonable option) or do decompression in the escape trunk or just do rest stops on the way up is a detail. All of these could be done safely...just issues with time and planning and how many men and gas you need. (The rest stops would be a pain in the ass in terms of time and gas expended, but still feasible.)

    A projects boat would presumably still have the draft issues that any nuke sub has going into the Baltic. Look at the Danish Straits bathy charts. Maybe it's possible. But it would be an incredible adventure.

    I think the burden of proof is on those advocating it...pull the charts. Look at Baltimax draft. Try driving a ship at periscope depth through a navigation zone with high speed merchant traffic...you'll be at the green table with one of those collision at sea ruins your whole...day events.

    I'm not a Parche/Russell alum (although I was a staff officer at CSDG-1). Maybe there's some sooper seekret project thing I don't know about. But again, I come back to the depth of the Straits. Why would you fook around pushing an SSN into the Baltic when you could do the whole op from a surface ship at night, with EMCON? Yes, a submarine would eliminate the surface detection threat (on station). But the issues getting it through the Straits? Ai yi yi!

  319. @res
    @ic1000

    You obviously have different goals from HA. I prefer yours.

    Replies: @HA

    Some more words from Kennan regarding Custine:

    Marquis de Custine, left his native Paris in the summer of 1839 and journeyed to Russia to substantiate his belief in Government by aristocracy and to seek arguments against representative government. He returned, in his own words, ‘the Partisan of Constitutions,” and wrote that ‘whoever has well examined that country will be content to live anywhere else.’

    I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a “bad friend” the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @HA


    'I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a “bad friend” the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.'
     
    Let's hope that Israel decides to dump us and look around for other friends.

    Replies: @HA

  320. @HA
    @res

    Some more words from Kennan regarding Custine:


    Marquis de Custine, left his native Paris in the summer of 1839 and journeyed to Russia to substantiate his belief in Government by aristocracy and to seek arguments against representative government. He returned, in his own words, ‘the Partisan of Constitutions,” and wrote that ‘whoever has well examined that country will be content to live anywhere else.’
     
    I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a "bad friend" the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    ‘I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a “bad friend” the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.’

    Let’s hope that Israel decides to dump us and look around for other friends.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Colin Wright

    "Let’s hope that Israel decides to dump us and look around for other friends."

    If the friends they find turn out to be China and Russia, I suspect that will mean even more trouble for the Palestinians, so be careful what you wish for.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

  321. @Bill Jones
    This bullshit is being spewed. of course, because the Biden Regime is getting ready to dump the little green man- Zelinsky.

    Replies: @HA

    “the Biden Regime is getting ready to dump the little green man- Zelinsky.”

    If that were true, it’s kind of weird that Germany — who aside from Russia has arguably lost the most from the demise of Nord Stream — just announced that they’re planning to DOUBLE their aid to Ukraine (and according to the Spiegel story, the same German investigators who think Ukrainian operatives did the deed also say they doubt that Zelinsky approved or even knew about the operation, saying that giving a leader plausible deniability was a common practice in intelligence operations such as this).

    But hey, whatever feeds the confirmation bias.

  322. @Rich23
    @Shale boi

    Unless you crewed the Jimmy Carter or the decomm'd Parche, you wouldn't know or they'd have to kill you or lock you up ....shipmate.

    Research and development, my ass! Haha

    No one is saturation diving off a sailboat and Sailer is supposed to be a monumental intellect. Yet he perpetuates the nonsense.

    As you indicate, a manned project is delimited by the man.
    You'd agree the former means either a lock out capable "boat" or decompression/hyperbaric chamber on a "ship".

    Your guess seems to be the only thing hardly mentioned: underwater drone, one way

    Replies: @Shale boi

    Use of an ROV might make a lot of sense. But you still need a surface vessel to tend it. Essentially to me that’s a detail. ROV and divers. Divers only. Or ROV only. You still need a support vessel. A sailing yacht just sounds too precarious and small for that sort of work. Makes more sense to use a freighter or a tugboat or a fishing boat or a naval combatant or even some sort of oil exploration drill ship or oceanographic research vessel. You probably also want someone who knows what they are doing in terms of operating the ROV (an experienced hand, who knows his gear, probably from the oil and gas industry, not ad hoc Ukrainians). This isn’t infantrymen playing with drones.

    Whether you use a shipboard decompression chamber (most reasonable option) or do decompression in the escape trunk or just do rest stops on the way up is a detail. All of these could be done safely…just issues with time and planning and how many men and gas you need. (The rest stops would be a pain in the ass in terms of time and gas expended, but still feasible.)

    A projects boat would presumably still have the draft issues that any nuke sub has going into the Baltic. Look at the Danish Straits bathy charts. Maybe it’s possible. But it would be an incredible adventure.

    I think the burden of proof is on those advocating it…pull the charts. Look at Baltimax draft. Try driving a ship at periscope depth through a navigation zone with high speed merchant traffic…you’ll be at the green table with one of those collision at sea ruins your whole…day events.

    I’m not a Parche/Russell alum (although I was a staff officer at CSDG-1). Maybe there’s some sooper seekret project thing I don’t know about. But again, I come back to the depth of the Straits. Why would you fook around pushing an SSN into the Baltic when you could do the whole op from a surface ship at night, with EMCON? Yes, a submarine would eliminate the surface detection threat (on station). But the issues getting it through the Straits? Ai yi yi!

  323. @Colin Wright
    @HA


    'I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a “bad friend” the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.'
     
    Let's hope that Israel decides to dump us and look around for other friends.

    Replies: @HA

    “Let’s hope that Israel decides to dump us and look around for other friends.”

    If the friends they find turn out to be China and Russia, I suspect that will mean even more trouble for the Palestinians, so be careful what you wish for.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @HA


    'If the friends they find turn out to be China and Russia, I suspect that will mean even more trouble for the Palestinians, so be careful what you wish for.'
     
    At least we would have washed our hands of the abomination that is Israel.

    ...and I'm not too sanguine about Israel's future as a client of either China or Russia.
  324. @Jett Rucker
    Seymour Hersh explained how the US did it. Is Sailer unaware of this? HOW?

    Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi

    Like Melville’s Bartleby, the Scrivener, some people prefer not to notice the most obvious.

  325. @utu
    @Colin Wright

    Jesuitical vs. Talmudic

    https://slate.com/human-interest/1996/06/jesuitical-vs-talmudic.html

    Replies: @Twinkie

    Thanks.

  326. @HA
    @Colin Wright

    "Let’s hope that Israel decides to dump us and look around for other friends."

    If the friends they find turn out to be China and Russia, I suspect that will mean even more trouble for the Palestinians, so be careful what you wish for.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    ‘If the friends they find turn out to be China and Russia, I suspect that will mean even more trouble for the Palestinians, so be careful what you wish for.’

    At least we would have washed our hands of the abomination that is Israel.

    …and I’m not too sanguine about Israel’s future as a client of either China or Russia.

  327. @Yngvar

    The popular Russians Did It To Themselves theory never made any sense to me.
     
    It's obvious that Russia blew up the pipelines. Gazprom was under contract to deliver natural gas to German customers and if failing to do so was contractually obliged to pay for gas the customers bought from other sources. We're talking about tens of million dollars every day. The shorter Napoleon ordered Nordstream 2 set on pause and Nordstream 1 to have 'technical issues' to put pressure on Germany.
    It didn't work. The only option the despot had left was to force a force majeure to get Gazprom out of the bind. So the Russian 'research vessel' (with mini-subs) the Danish Navy observed in the area was there to place the explosives.
    Broken pipelines can be repaired.

    Replies: @ic1000

    > Gazprom was under contract to deliver natural gas to German customers and if failing to do so was contractually obliged to pay for gas the customers bought from other sources… The only option the despot had left was to force a force majeure to get Gazprom out of the bind.

    Thanks. For all the ink spilled over the sabotage, I (somehow) never read about this potential motive.

    Do you have a citation? Preferably a sober analyst in a trade press publication or the like — with the vast amount of money at stake, these contract provisions surely wouldn’t have escaped notice. Thanks to Google Translate, German (etc.) would be fine.

    • Replies: @Shale boi
    @ic1000

    Russia had already declared force majeur based on the war-prompted sanctions interfering with maintenance (this was actually an explicit goal of the sanctions to reduce maintenance for Russian oil and gas).

    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russias-gazprom-declares-force-majeure-gas-supplies-europe-2022-07-18/

    As to whether the maintenance issues was real or not, don't know. But they had already declared force majeur. Blowing up an asset that took 10 years to build is a little silly, for some contracting reasons. Makes a lot more sense to declare force majeur and then litigate about it...as is normal practice.

    Replies: @res

  328. @ic1000
    @Yngvar

    > Gazprom was under contract to deliver natural gas to German customers and if failing to do so was contractually obliged to pay for gas the customers bought from other sources... The only option the despot had left was to force a force majeure to get Gazprom out of the bind.

    Thanks. For all the ink spilled over the sabotage, I (somehow) never read about this potential motive.

    Do you have a citation? Preferably a sober analyst in a trade press publication or the like -- with the vast amount of money at stake, these contract provisions surely wouldn't have escaped notice. Thanks to Google Translate, German (etc.) would be fine.

    Replies: @Shale boi

    Russia had already declared force majeur based on the war-prompted sanctions interfering with maintenance (this was actually an explicit goal of the sanctions to reduce maintenance for Russian oil and gas).

    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russias-gazprom-declares-force-majeure-gas-supplies-europe-2022-07-18/

    As to whether the maintenance issues was real or not, don’t know. But they had already declared force majeur. Blowing up an asset that took 10 years to build is a little silly, for some contracting reasons. Makes a lot more sense to declare force majeur and then litigate about it…as is normal practice.

    • Thanks: ic1000
    • Replies: @res
    @Shale boi

    Do you know anything about Uniper's arbitration case against Gazprom?
    https://www.woodmac.com/news/opinion/gas-contracts-central-to-nord-stream-pipeline-mystery/
    https://jusmundi.com/en/document/decision/en-uniper-se-v-gazprom-export-gpa-party-representatives-wednesday-30th-november-2022

    This was the only status I saw.
    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/uniper-considering-legal-options-over-sale-assets-russia-2023-08-25/


    The company said it expected a decision in its arbitration proceedings against Russia's Gazprom Export next year.
     
    Germany is still buying Russian LNG.
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/germany-still-trades-russian-gas-as-canceling-costs-10-billion

    Replies: @Shale boi

  329. > I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a “bad friend” the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.

    This is a reference to my comment #228, where I lamented the reckless* meddling by State Department higher-up Victoria Nuland et alia in Ukrainian affairs:

    The Ukrainians should not have trusted in U.S. advice and guidance. We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.

    The second sentence was a paraphrase of Henry Kissinger’s famous quip,

    “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”

    Both in real life and online, I’ve realized that I am a poor mind-reader. That said, I still outperform most people who pride themselves on this ability.

    This Dark Art is as unnecessary as it is unreliable. Re: implicit endorsements, here’s a link to every comment I’ve written on this site containing the word “Ukraine.” Tarot cards are interesting, but reading is more productive.

    .
    * e.g. Nuland’s unencrypted mobile-phone call discussing kingmaking and bribery was famously recorded by the KGB/FSB, and released to the embarrassment of the State Department.

    • Replies: @HA
    @ic1000

    "I lamented the reckless* meddling by State Department higher-up Victoria Nuland et alia in Ukrainian affairs:"

    I have no fondness for Nuland, and have expressed what I think she deserves more than once. But after Putin invaded with his Keystone Kop brigade I wised up somewhat, having learned the very lesson I wish to impart on you, and that is that America's being the worst kind of friend must ultimately be regarded in much the same way as that Churchill quote about how democracy is the worst kind of government.

    Once the Ukrainians decided not to cave, it seems to me that everyone ought to have tried to see their predicament from their perspective, and in terms of their available alternatives. Yes, I'm pleading guilty to having said "ought" instead of "is", but since we're implicitly in the business of dictating to them who their friends should be, that's not something to feel remorseful about. And having tried to see it from their perspective, I can understand why, for all the US's depraved US-ness, it's still looking like a better shot at this point than whatever Putin is offering. If they don't agree, then fine, they can go for that cease-fire and so-called peace settlement and we can take all this up again when the meatgrinder turns to Kazakhstan or Poland or Georgia or wherever else.

    Mearshimer is never going to try and see the Ukrainians as anything but incidental pawns, of course. In his way-far-off-on-the-spectrum worldview, only big powers matter and have agency. "The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must." His theorizing doesn't explain the existence of Israel, or the EU having managed to keep France, Germany, and the UK from destroying each other every 2 generations (at least, so far -- fingers crossed), and it doesn't explain Vietnam's and Afghanistan's and the Kurds' stubborn similar refusal to cave, and a whole bunch of other things , but that spotty accuracy not going to stop anyone who's looking for a stick to poke at America from continuing to claim him as an authority. I get it, but again, even though I have no illusions about the US or Nuland, all that needs to be considered in a real-world context and in terms of the available alternatives.

    Replies: @ic1000

  330. @Jack D
    @Somsel

    There hasn't been any tailspin. Germany has transitioned quite nicely into buying ship delivered LNG and eventually switching to renewables. Meanwhile it will take Russia years to build new pipelines leading elsewhere and the Chinese are driving a hard bargain and will demand low prices.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @res, @Somsel

    Germany’s growth over the last few decades, since Schroeder, has been greatly assisted by cheap Russian gas.

    Imported LNG is much more expensive. They have tried to forget Energiewende and are burning more lignite but closed their last nuke.

    Yes, they made it through last winter surprisingly well but long term prospects are dimming.

  331. @JohnnyWalker123
    This is pretty interesting.

    https://twitter.com/nonebusinesshey/status/1723329987737169969

    Replies: @Almost Missouri

    So if I’m reading this right, the future of Australia is Jews, blacks, and the Taliban?

    Australia gonna be lit!

    • LOL: bike-anarkist
  332. @Charlesz Martel
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    So in your view, having to pay more for heating gas is the same as having your cities bombed and people killed?

    Gee, based on your illogical equivalence, the only thing that matters is the cost of an item?

    I think that's the thinking that caused our immigration crisis- immigrants do it cheaper, so it must be better for the country. Never mind the off-balance sheet costs.

    Why is it gung-ho to admire a people fighting to push an invader out? Especially if it's the same country that starved millions of your countrymen to death within living memory?

    Paging Walter Durranty- you have a fan!

    Replies: @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    Walter Duranty was carrying water for communists. He was working for the Usual Suspects. The same folks who want to “hurt” Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    Walter Duranty - a Joo name if I ever saw one.

    Agency is apparently a relative property, like skin color - compared to a white person, a Mexican is dark but compared to an African he is lighter skinned. Same deal with agency - compared to blacks, whites always have more agency (therefore in any interaction between blacks and whites it is the white person's fault just as it would be the human's fault if you poked at a hornet's nest). However, Joos sit at the top of the agency pile (they have been running a 2,000 year long conspiracy to control the universe) so if an Anglo-American journalist is duped by a Georgian (Stalin), it's the Joo's fault.

    Back in the day, being duped by Russian propaganda was bad but in the present, being duped by Russian propaganda is good, because somehow Putin the Soviet KGB agent has now been reborn as Putin the avatar of white Christianity who would never lie to you.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

  333. @Shale boi
    @ic1000

    Russia had already declared force majeur based on the war-prompted sanctions interfering with maintenance (this was actually an explicit goal of the sanctions to reduce maintenance for Russian oil and gas).

    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russias-gazprom-declares-force-majeure-gas-supplies-europe-2022-07-18/

    As to whether the maintenance issues was real or not, don't know. But they had already declared force majeur. Blowing up an asset that took 10 years to build is a little silly, for some contracting reasons. Makes a lot more sense to declare force majeur and then litigate about it...as is normal practice.

    Replies: @res

    • Replies: @Shale boi
    @res

    No.

  334. @Tex
    @Pixo


    Is Putin’s policy of surrounding Russia with “frozen conflicts” and failed states wise? Would we benefit from Canada becoming a failed state?
     
    If Canada began considering quitting NATO and joining some 21st century version of the Warsaw Pact, yeah I think Canada would get failed hard and fast.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Mexico has never been a military ally of the US and yet the US is happy to have peaceful trade relations with Mexico and does not see any advantage to turning Mexico into a failed state.

    There is a famous old joke about a Russian peasant who is hoeing his potato field when he uncovers a bottle. He uncorks the bottle and a genie emerges. The genie offers to grant the peasant a wish in gratitude for being uncorked (as genies often do). The peasant reasons out loud, “Genie, you know that my neighbor has a horse and I have no horse and must work this field by hand. Therefore, Genie, my wish is that you should.. (pause)..kill my neighbor’s horse.”

    In Russia this joke makes perfect sense but it’s unconceivable that any American would think that way. Americans just have a different mentality but to Russians acting as spoilers comes very naturally.

    • Thanks: Johann Ricke
    • Replies: @Tex
    @Jack D

    Citing US policy in Latin America as evidence of the US's hands-off policies is just plain goofy. Does the Bay of Pigs ring a bell? Are you by any chance familiar with a little thing called the Cuban Missile Crisis? The US seemed very sensitive to a little non-aligned country getting some rockets, just for "self-defense." They didn't even join the Warsaw Pact.

    We don't usually create failed states because usually we end up with total control. Ask Arbenz, Sandino, Huerta, Noriega, whoever that was in Grenada, and plenty of others. Are there any bigger failures than Syria and Iraq? Who controls them?

    Yes, we enjoy extensive trade relations with Mexico. That's what keeps prices low for American fentanyl users. All that stability in Nuevo Laredo just oozes across the Rio Grande.

  335. @ic1000
    > I submit something similar may be said of those who perpetually bewail what a “bad friend” the US is without bothering to take an honest look at the alternative friends they thereby implicitly wind up endorsing.

    This is a reference to my comment #228, where I lamented the reckless* meddling by State Department higher-up Victoria Nuland et alia in Ukrainian affairs:

    The Ukrainians should not have trusted in U.S. advice and guidance. We are a bad enemy and a worse friend.
     
    The second sentence was a paraphrase of Henry Kissinger's famous quip,

    “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”
     
    Both in real life and online, I've realized that I am a poor mind-reader. That said, I still outperform most people who pride themselves on this ability.

    This Dark Art is as unnecessary as it is unreliable. Re: implicit endorsements, here's a link to every comment I've written on this site containing the word "Ukraine." Tarot cards are interesting, but reading is more productive.

    .
    * e.g. Nuland's unencrypted mobile-phone call discussing kingmaking and bribery was famously recorded by the KGB/FSB, and released to the embarrassment of the State Department.

    Replies: @HA

    “I lamented the reckless* meddling by State Department higher-up Victoria Nuland et alia in Ukrainian affairs:”

    I have no fondness for Nuland, and have expressed what I think she deserves more than once. But after Putin invaded with his Keystone Kop brigade I wised up somewhat, having learned the very lesson I wish to impart on you, and that is that America’s being the worst kind of friend must ultimately be regarded in much the same way as that Churchill quote about how democracy is the worst kind of government.

    Once the Ukrainians decided not to cave, it seems to me that everyone ought to have tried to see their predicament from their perspective, and in terms of their available alternatives. Yes, I’m pleading guilty to having said “ought” instead of “is”, but since we’re implicitly in the business of dictating to them who their friends should be, that’s not something to feel remorseful about. And having tried to see it from their perspective, I can understand why, for all the US’s depraved US-ness, it’s still looking like a better shot at this point than whatever Putin is offering. If they don’t agree, then fine, they can go for that cease-fire and so-called peace settlement and we can take all this up again when the meatgrinder turns to Kazakhstan or Poland or Georgia or wherever else.

    Mearshimer is never going to try and see the Ukrainians as anything but incidental pawns, of course. In his way-far-off-on-the-spectrum worldview, only big powers matter and have agency. “The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.” His theorizing doesn’t explain the existence of Israel, or the EU having managed to keep France, Germany, and the UK from destroying each other every 2 generations (at least, so far — fingers crossed), and it doesn’t explain Vietnam’s and Afghanistan’s and the Kurds’ stubborn similar refusal to cave, and a whole bunch of other things , but that spotty accuracy not going to stop anyone who’s looking for a stick to poke at America from continuing to claim him as an authority. I get it, but again, even though I have no illusions about the US or Nuland, all that needs to be considered in a real-world context and in terms of the available alternatives.

    • Replies: @ic1000
    @HA

    HA, reasonable people are going to disagree. ALL CAPS posting, repetition, sarcasm, insult, mind-reading... none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions.

    > having learned the very lesson I wish to impart on you

    You might reflect on that.

    Replies: @HA, @Jack D

  336. @YetAnotherAnon
    @William Badwhite

    "It’s Elon Musk!"

    Just someone remarkably like him. You often got those type of faces in the Pale of Settlement.

    Who's the child bride, then?

    Replies: @Jack D

    Greta Thunberg. It’s a photoshop.

    As for Pale of Settlement, the pale eyed, straight and narrow nosed Musk does not look stereotypically Jewish, nor does he look Ukrainian, Lithuanian or Polish either. He is of Western European ancestry – English, Dutch and Swiss.

    If I were thinking of a movie star to play him, I think the closest would be Matthew Broderick (about 10 years ago – Broderick is 10 yrs older than Musk). Not any Jewish or E. European actor.

    Musk bears a striking physical resemblance to his anti-Semitic, apartheid loving grandfather Joshua Haldeman.

    • Replies: @Johann Ricke
    @Jack D


    If I were thinking of a movie star to play him, I think the closest would be Matthew Broderick (about 10 years ago – Broderick is 10 yrs older than Musk). Not any Jewish or E. European actor.
     
    Broderick is halachically Jewish. Hilarious entry from Jew or not Jew:

    We've talked at length of shiksappeal, the desire of Jewish men for beautiful goyishe women. We've gotten us a few good ones, from Marilyn Monroe to Elizabeth Banks. The list is long.

    But does it work in reverse? We can call it yentappeal: the desire of goyishe men for Jewish women. Surely, there are some examples.

    Hmmmm.

    Well, let's take Sarah Jessica Parker. As Jews, we can't find her beautiful (see her profile for the explanation). But the goyim seem to disagree; she is definitely a sex symbol, to say the least. Yeah, it baffles the mind.

    And she is married to Matthew Broderick! Talk about Goy City! And they have been together for over a decade, such a rarity for Hollywood! So here it is, yentappeal!

    Not so fast.

    For Matthew himself is half-Jewish, on his mother's side.

    So much for that theory. Hmmmm.

    AHA! Parker might look 100% Jewish, but she is not; she is only half. So, perhaps Broderick's goy half lusts for her Jewish side (shiksappeal), and his Jewish half is enamored with her goyish one (yentappeal)?

    See, it all adds up!

    Verdict: Jew.
     

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob

    , @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Jack D

    Broderick is half Jewish. No thanks.

  337. @JohnnyWalker123
    https://twitter.com/StephenM/status/1723400234493981111

    https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @MEH 0910

    archived link:
    https://web.archive.org/web/20231114025647/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html

    Sweeping Raids, Giant Camps and Mass Deportations: Inside Trump’s 2025 Immigration Plans
    If he regains power, Donald Trump wants not only to revive some of the immigration policies criticized as draconian during his presidency, but expand and toughen them.
    By Charlie Savage, Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan
    Nov. 11, 2023
    […]
    In interviews with The New York Times, several Trump advisers gave the most expansive and detailed description yet of Mr. Trump’s immigration agenda in a potential second term. In particular, Mr. Trump’s campaign referred questions for this article to Stephen Miller, an architect of Mr. Trump’s first-term immigration policies who remains close to him and is expected to serve in a senior role in a second administration.

    [MORE]

    All of the steps Trump advisers are preparing, Mr. Miller contended in a wide-ranging interview, rely on existing statutes; while the Trump team would likely seek a revamp of immigration laws, the plan was crafted to need no new substantive legislation. And while acknowledging that lawsuits would arise to challenge nearly every one of them, he portrayed the Trump team’s daunting array of tactics as a “blitz” designed to overwhelm immigrant-rights lawyers.

    “Any activists who doubt President Trump’s resolve in the slightest are making a drastic error: Trump will unleash the vast arsenal of federal powers to implement the most spectacular migration crackdown,” Mr. Miller said, adding, “The immigration legal activists won’t know what’s happening.”

  338. @Jack D
    @Tex

    Mexico has never been a military ally of the US and yet the US is happy to have peaceful trade relations with Mexico and does not see any advantage to turning Mexico into a failed state.

    There is a famous old joke about a Russian peasant who is hoeing his potato field when he uncovers a bottle. He uncorks the bottle and a genie emerges. The genie offers to grant the peasant a wish in gratitude for being uncorked (as genies often do). The peasant reasons out loud, "Genie, you know that my neighbor has a horse and I have no horse and must work this field by hand. Therefore, Genie, my wish is that you should.. (pause)..kill my neighbor's horse."

    In Russia this joke makes perfect sense but it's unconceivable that any American would think that way. Americans just have a different mentality but to Russians acting as spoilers comes very naturally.

    Replies: @Tex

    Citing US policy in Latin America as evidence of the US’s hands-off policies is just plain goofy. Does the Bay of Pigs ring a bell? Are you by any chance familiar with a little thing called the Cuban Missile Crisis? The US seemed very sensitive to a little non-aligned country getting some rockets, just for “self-defense.” They didn’t even join the Warsaw Pact.

    We don’t usually create failed states because usually we end up with total control. Ask Arbenz, Sandino, Huerta, Noriega, whoever that was in Grenada, and plenty of others. Are there any bigger failures than Syria and Iraq? Who controls them?

    Yes, we enjoy extensive trade relations with Mexico. That’s what keeps prices low for American fentanyl users. All that stability in Nuevo Laredo just oozes across the Rio Grande.

  339. @HA
    @ic1000

    "I lamented the reckless* meddling by State Department higher-up Victoria Nuland et alia in Ukrainian affairs:"

    I have no fondness for Nuland, and have expressed what I think she deserves more than once. But after Putin invaded with his Keystone Kop brigade I wised up somewhat, having learned the very lesson I wish to impart on you, and that is that America's being the worst kind of friend must ultimately be regarded in much the same way as that Churchill quote about how democracy is the worst kind of government.

    Once the Ukrainians decided not to cave, it seems to me that everyone ought to have tried to see their predicament from their perspective, and in terms of their available alternatives. Yes, I'm pleading guilty to having said "ought" instead of "is", but since we're implicitly in the business of dictating to them who their friends should be, that's not something to feel remorseful about. And having tried to see it from their perspective, I can understand why, for all the US's depraved US-ness, it's still looking like a better shot at this point than whatever Putin is offering. If they don't agree, then fine, they can go for that cease-fire and so-called peace settlement and we can take all this up again when the meatgrinder turns to Kazakhstan or Poland or Georgia or wherever else.

    Mearshimer is never going to try and see the Ukrainians as anything but incidental pawns, of course. In his way-far-off-on-the-spectrum worldview, only big powers matter and have agency. "The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must." His theorizing doesn't explain the existence of Israel, or the EU having managed to keep France, Germany, and the UK from destroying each other every 2 generations (at least, so far -- fingers crossed), and it doesn't explain Vietnam's and Afghanistan's and the Kurds' stubborn similar refusal to cave, and a whole bunch of other things , but that spotty accuracy not going to stop anyone who's looking for a stick to poke at America from continuing to claim him as an authority. I get it, but again, even though I have no illusions about the US or Nuland, all that needs to be considered in a real-world context and in terms of the available alternatives.

    Replies: @ic1000

    HA, reasonable people are going to disagree. ALL CAPS posting, repetition, sarcasm, insult, mind-reading… none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions.

    > having learned the very lesson I wish to impart on you

    You might reflect on that.

    • Agree: Cagey Beast
    • Replies: @HA
    @ic1000

    "none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions."

    I'm not here to convince you of anything. If you're giving a nod to the likes of Mearshimer, who basically claims that big powers can (and really, ought) to do whatever is in their interests, and you're also criticizing the US for being a "bad friend", that's a contradiction that I think you yourself need to mull over and resolve. It's beyond my poor powers to make sense of it, so I'm just going to point out the mixed messaging and leave it at that. And if all you've got by way of reply is how you don't like me or my capitalization and sarcasm, then let's admit it ain't much of a comeback. I'm not here hoping to win a popularity contest with a bunch of fanboys as much as I'm hoping to merely give them a diluted taste of their own medicine. It's the undecideds who will be able to make some use of that more so than the partisans on either side who dare to engage, since most of the latter are well beyond persuading -- especially given the thick clouds of confirmation bias and copium wafting in the arena.

    And with regard to that diluted taste of medicine, you're seriously going to gripe about all-caps? Really? THAT is what ticks you off? (Ooops, there I go again...) Come on, if putting the occasional word in all caps is enough to ruffle your feathers, well, maybe go take some smelling salts and retire to the fainting couch before the vapours do you in. Of all the expletives and other lowbrow antics I've seen on these comments, and the genuine adulation that people like Putin and Trump and their various propagandists receive despite reveling in the kind of bullying that I wouldn't go near, you want to clutch pearls about the way I emphasize words?

    Way to keep it substantive. I'm reminded of that IQ debate Derbyshire engaged in where the black students were telling him how his arguments were "hurtful" whereas all he cared about was whether he had said anything that was untrue or inaccurate. I'm often at odds with Derbyshire, but right now, I get how he must have felt. In any case, I'm not here to respect the fanboys' safe spaces or echo chambers, much less their ridiculously skewed rules of rhetorical decorum.

    Hopefully, like Custine, the man your boy Kennan regretfully declared a prophet, you too will one day get a close-up view of the friends you're implicitly cheering for, and see where that gets you. It certainly made him do a 180.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Gandydancer

    , @Jack D
    @ic1000

    Nothing is going to convince the "Russia is winning" crowd until Putin locks them up or arranges for them to "fall" out of a window. But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer. These may roll off of you like water off of a duck's back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer's proven wrong predictions such as saying that Putin was "too smart" to invade Ukraine and that Russia would "crush" Ukraine:

    https://twitter.com/DrewPavlou/status/1716388303006745064

    Replies: @HA, @ic1000, @vinteuil

  340. @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality
    @Charlesz Martel

    Walter Duranty was carrying water for communists. He was working for the Usual Suspects. The same folks who want to "hurt" Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Walter Duranty – a Joo name if I ever saw one.

    Agency is apparently a relative property, like skin color – compared to a white person, a Mexican is dark but compared to an African he is lighter skinned. Same deal with agency – compared to blacks, whites always have more agency (therefore in any interaction between blacks and whites it is the white person’s fault just as it would be the human’s fault if you poked at a hornet’s nest). However, Joos sit at the top of the agency pile (they have been running a 2,000 year long conspiracy to control the universe) so if an Anglo-American journalist is duped by a Georgian (Stalin), it’s the Joo’s fault.

    Back in the day, being duped by Russian propaganda was bad but in the present, being duped by Russian propaganda is good, because somehow Putin the Soviet KGB agent has now been reborn as Putin the avatar of white Christianity who would never lie to you.

    • Replies: @William Badwhite
    @Jack D


    Walter Duranty – a Joo name if I ever saw one.
     
    He didn't say Jew, he said communist. You inserted Jew. Either you are equating communist with Jew (or "Joo" as you keeping writing, to nobody's amusement) or you are lying. Again. As usual.

    That you take the time to write lengthy counters to arguments nobody made is...bizarre. As I've said before - there is something seriously wrong with you.


    However, Joos sit at the top of the agency pile (they have been running a 2,000 year long conspiracy to control the universe) so if an Anglo-American journalist is duped by a Georgian (Stalin), it’s the Joo’s fault.
     
    Said nobody except you, the liar.


    somehow Putin the Soviet KGB agent has now been reborn as Putin the avatar of white Christianity who would never lie to you.
     
    Yet another lie and your Putin obsession, all rolled into one. Your total lack of self-awareness alternates between being amusing, and exasperating.

    Agree: Johann Ricke, HA

    Replies: @Jack D

  341. @BB753
    Although I generally agree with you, bear in mind the little distance from Russia to Alaska. Also, long-range supersonic missiles have made distances nearly irrelevant.
    Luckily, neither Russia nor China need more territory, just access to new markets without the constant threat of US sanctions.

    Replies: @bike-anarkist

    Luckily, neither Russia nor China need more territory, just access to new markets without the constant threat of US sanctions.

    And that’s all it really is:

    “Don’t tread on me!”

  342. @Jack D
    @Traianus


    Ukraine had, contrary to popular belief, among the most robust militaries in Europe. This is what scares me about the Russians prevailing in less than 2 years.

     

    #1 - the Russians haven't "prevailed". They have managed to occupy some territory but have paid an enormous price in men, materiel and damage to their economy. Putin is trying to spin this as "victory" but he knows that Russia could not afford any more such costly "victories".

    #2 - the Ukrainian Army was in many ways a mirror image of the Russian so it's not surprising that they are equally matched and have fought each other to stalemate. If anything, they viewed the Russian Army as their "big brother" so the fact that the little brother has been able to go mano a mano with the big brother and hold its own is remarkable (A lot of people, including Ukrainians, thought it would be over in 2 weeks, not 2 years). Among other things, their mutual lack of effective anti-anti-aircraft weapons has meant that this has been a war largely fought without aviation so it has played out more like WWI than WWII. A war with NATO would not go like this.

    The Ukrainians have been very creative on some fronts - the fact that they have sunk a lot of the Black Sea Fleet despite not having a navy is pretty good. Their use of drones is very good. But mostly they operate a Russian style artillery army with Russian style equipment and often Russian style manpower losses, Russian style disorganization and blunders, Russian style corruption, etc. NATO has tried to reform them but changes in culture do not happen overnight.

    Replies: @bike-anarkist

    Another Hasbara jack-off with more gas lighting and dis-info.

  343. @Jack D
    @tomv

    Nicer try but Israel is a vigorous democracy. There are no big demonstrations in Russia like there were against the judicial reforms in Israel because they would throw you in prison. Not even remotely comparable. Thanks for playing. Please try again!

    Replies: @bike-anarkist

    Israel is an illegal country with an Apartheid system of govmnt.

  344. @Jack D
    @Loyalty is The First Law of Morality

    Walter Duranty - a Joo name if I ever saw one.

    Agency is apparently a relative property, like skin color - compared to a white person, a Mexican is dark but compared to an African he is lighter skinned. Same deal with agency - compared to blacks, whites always have more agency (therefore in any interaction between blacks and whites it is the white person's fault just as it would be the human's fault if you poked at a hornet's nest). However, Joos sit at the top of the agency pile (they have been running a 2,000 year long conspiracy to control the universe) so if an Anglo-American journalist is duped by a Georgian (Stalin), it's the Joo's fault.

    Back in the day, being duped by Russian propaganda was bad but in the present, being duped by Russian propaganda is good, because somehow Putin the Soviet KGB agent has now been reborn as Putin the avatar of white Christianity who would never lie to you.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

    Walter Duranty – a Joo name if I ever saw one.

    He didn’t say Jew, he said communist. You inserted Jew. Either you are equating communist with Jew (or “Joo” as you keeping writing, to nobody’s amusement) or you are lying. Again. As usual.

    That you take the time to write lengthy counters to arguments nobody made is…bizarre. As I’ve said before – there is something seriously wrong with you.

    However, Joos sit at the top of the agency pile (they have been running a 2,000 year long conspiracy to control the universe) so if an Anglo-American journalist is duped by a Georgian (Stalin), it’s the Joo’s fault.

    Said nobody except you, the liar.

    somehow Putin the Soviet KGB agent has now been reborn as Putin the avatar of white Christianity who would never lie to you.

    Yet another lie and your Putin obsession, all rolled into one. Your total lack of self-awareness alternates between being amusing, and exasperating.

    Agree: Johann Ricke, HA

    • Agree: Gandydancer, acementhead
    • Replies: @Jack D
    @William Badwhite

    Don't pretend to be stupider than you really are. He said " the Usual Suspects. The same folks who want to “hurt” Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process." This is a (not very deeply) coded reference to Joos, not Communists.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

  345. The residue shows HMX, a powerful explosive used mainly by the military, which works under water. It matches powder residue found on the pipeline.

    What explosive doesn’t work under water, assuming you can keep the water out of the container containing the explosive?

    The fact that there were only three explosions suggests there is a fourth location where the explosions didn’t go off, which ought to have proved illuminating.

    Has examination of the explosion sites revealed the size of the explosive charges and whether they were attached to the pipeline or just nearby? Because all this blather about deep sea divers could be obviated if an anchor could be placed in the pipeline’s vicinity and enough remote-control depth charges dropped down the cable to do the job. An illumination source and a camera should suffice for that. No divers.

    The pipelines, which transported Russian gas directly to Germany, cost billions of euros.

    What mostly goes unmentioned is that the pipeline ought not be difficult to restore. The Russians have said they can do it, but are obviously not motivated to do so with Germany refusing to purchase gas through it.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Gandydancer

    IIRC only 3 of the 4 lines were damaged so even today the pipeline could be used.

    There is some question as to whether the other 3 pipelines are restorable or whether they have been damaged beyond repair by seawater intrusion. Given the political situation and the fact that Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway, I doubt that they are every going to be restored.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Gandydancer

  346. @ic1000
    @HA

    HA, reasonable people are going to disagree. ALL CAPS posting, repetition, sarcasm, insult, mind-reading... none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions.

    > having learned the very lesson I wish to impart on you

    You might reflect on that.

    Replies: @HA, @Jack D

    “none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions.”

    I’m not here to convince you of anything. If you’re giving a nod to the likes of Mearshimer, who basically claims that big powers can (and really, ought) to do whatever is in their interests, and you’re also criticizing the US for being a “bad friend”, that’s a contradiction that I think you yourself need to mull over and resolve. It’s beyond my poor powers to make sense of it, so I’m just going to point out the mixed messaging and leave it at that. And if all you’ve got by way of reply is how you don’t like me or my capitalization and sarcasm, then let’s admit it ain’t much of a comeback. I’m not here hoping to win a popularity contest with a bunch of fanboys as much as I’m hoping to merely give them a diluted taste of their own medicine. It’s the undecideds who will be able to make some use of that more so than the partisans on either side who dare to engage, since most of the latter are well beyond persuading — especially given the thick clouds of confirmation bias and copium wafting in the arena.

    And with regard to that diluted taste of medicine, you’re seriously going to gripe about all-caps? Really? THAT is what ticks you off? (Ooops, there I go again…) Come on, if putting the occasional word in all caps is enough to ruffle your feathers, well, maybe go take some smelling salts and retire to the fainting couch before the vapours do you in. Of all the expletives and other lowbrow antics I’ve seen on these comments, and the genuine adulation that people like Putin and Trump and their various propagandists receive despite reveling in the kind of bullying that I wouldn’t go near, you want to clutch pearls about the way I emphasize words?

    Way to keep it substantive. I’m reminded of that IQ debate Derbyshire engaged in where the black students were telling him how his arguments were “hurtful” whereas all he cared about was whether he had said anything that was untrue or inaccurate. I’m often at odds with Derbyshire, but right now, I get how he must have felt. In any case, I’m not here to respect the fanboys’ safe spaces or echo chambers, much less their ridiculously skewed rules of rhetorical decorum.

    Hopefully, like Custine, the man your boy Kennan regretfully declared a prophet, you too will one day get a close-up view of the friends you’re implicitly cheering for, and see where that gets you. It certainly made him do a 180.

    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @HA


    I’m reminded of that IQ debate Derbyshire engaged in where the black students were telling him how his arguments were “hurtful” whereas all he cared about was whether he had said anything that was untrue or inaccurate.
     
    Are you referring to this?

    https://www.johnderbyshire.com/Opinions/HumanSciences/upennlaw.html


    » Remarks at a Panel Discussion
    University of Pennsylvania Law School
    April 5, 2010

    Revisiting Race and Remedies: Should the Government Play A Role in Eliminating Racial Disparities in Education and Employment?
    —————————

    Here are some remarks I delivered at a panel discussion organized by the Black Law Students' Association (BLSA) of the University of Pennsylvania Law School, April 5, 2010. The official title of the event was as above.

    These remarks occasioned much comment, most of it negative. I don't know why this should have been so. My statements on biology and paleoanthropology are of a very basic and uncontroversial kind. The empirical data I quoted is surely known to everyone. The LSAC statistics are likewise available for inspection by any inquirer. My appeal to individualism was, I thought, well within a venerable American tradition. If I made some error in fact or logic, I wish someone would point it out to me. To date (May 16, 2010) nobody has.
     

    Your comments are comparable to John Derbyshire's delivered remarks?

    Replies: @HA

    , @Gandydancer
    @HA

    Contrary to your claim there is no contradiction between Mearscheimer's observation that countries live in a state of anarchy with no higher power to enforce any rules on them and the observation that the US is an unreliable friend. In fact the latter observation flows directly from the former.

    Replies: @HA

  347. @Anonymous
    @Chrisnonymous


    I wouldn’t maybe call Steve sleazy, but my recollection is that Steve’s support of not trying to make a peace deal as soon as possible was that changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody
     
    It is difficult to maintain that position without condemning Zionism.

    Replies: @Gandydancer

    It is difficult to maintain that position [‘changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody’] without condemning Zionism.

    Really? What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Gandydancer


    It is difficult to maintain that position [‘changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody’] without condemning Zionism.

    Really? What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?
     

     
    Every single border zionist jews have ever claimed as “israel” has been the result of violent action.

    Replies: @acementhead, @Gandydancer

  348. @William Badwhite
    @Jack D


    Walter Duranty – a Joo name if I ever saw one.
     
    He didn't say Jew, he said communist. You inserted Jew. Either you are equating communist with Jew (or "Joo" as you keeping writing, to nobody's amusement) or you are lying. Again. As usual.

    That you take the time to write lengthy counters to arguments nobody made is...bizarre. As I've said before - there is something seriously wrong with you.


    However, Joos sit at the top of the agency pile (they have been running a 2,000 year long conspiracy to control the universe) so if an Anglo-American journalist is duped by a Georgian (Stalin), it’s the Joo’s fault.
     
    Said nobody except you, the liar.


    somehow Putin the Soviet KGB agent has now been reborn as Putin the avatar of white Christianity who would never lie to you.
     
    Yet another lie and your Putin obsession, all rolled into one. Your total lack of self-awareness alternates between being amusing, and exasperating.

    Agree: Johann Ricke, HA

    Replies: @Jack D

    Don’t pretend to be stupider than you really are. He said ” the Usual Suspects. The same folks who want to “hurt” Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process.” This is a (not very deeply) coded reference to Joos, not Communists.

    • Replies: @William Badwhite
    @Jack D


    Don’t pretend to be stupider than you really are.
     
    Don't pretend to be less brazenly dishonest than you really are.

    This is a (not very deeply) coded reference to Joos, not Communists.
     
    Stop lying. He said Walter Duranty and communists, it was you that jumped in with "the Joos". More of your "You said X, but I'm going to say you meant Y, then rephrase what you wrote and argue with Y". IOW, more of your endless lying.

    It is interesting though how sensitive you are to Jew = Communist. Its almost like deep down you believe its true.

    Maybe the commenter that said you're really an anti-Semitic troll, drawing attention to all the "Joo" stereotypes, was correct.

    Agree: Jack D, Johann D Ricke

    Replies: @Jack D

  349. @Jack D
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Greta Thunberg. It's a photoshop.

    As for Pale of Settlement, the pale eyed, straight and narrow nosed Musk does not look stereotypically Jewish, nor does he look Ukrainian, Lithuanian or Polish either. He is of Western European ancestry - English, Dutch and Swiss.

    If I were thinking of a movie star to play him, I think the closest would be Matthew Broderick (about 10 years ago - Broderick is 10 yrs older than Musk). Not any Jewish or E. European actor.

    Musk bears a striking physical resemblance to his anti-Semitic, apartheid loving grandfather Joshua Haldeman.

    https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i1l6gydqQ7AM/v1/-1x-1.jpg

    Replies: @Johann Ricke, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    If I were thinking of a movie star to play him, I think the closest would be Matthew Broderick (about 10 years ago – Broderick is 10 yrs older than Musk). Not any Jewish or E. European actor.

    Broderick is halachically Jewish. Hilarious entry from Jew or not Jew:

    We’ve talked at length of shiksappeal, the desire of Jewish men for beautiful goyishe women. We’ve gotten us a few good ones, from Marilyn Monroe to Elizabeth Banks. The list is long.

    But does it work in reverse? We can call it yentappeal: the desire of goyishe men for Jewish women. Surely, there are some examples.

    Hmmmm.

    Well, let’s take Sarah Jessica Parker. As Jews, we can’t find her beautiful (see her profile for the explanation). But the goyim seem to disagree; she is definitely a sex symbol, to say the least. Yeah, it baffles the mind.

    And she is married to Matthew Broderick! Talk about Goy City! And they have been together for over a decade, such a rarity for Hollywood! So here it is, yentappeal!

    Not so fast.

    For Matthew himself is half-Jewish, on his mother’s side.

    So much for that theory. Hmmmm.

    AHA! Parker might look 100% Jewish, but she is not; she is only half. So, perhaps Broderick’s goy half lusts for her Jewish side (shiksappeal), and his Jewish half is enamored with her goyish one (yentappeal)?

    See, it all adds up!

    Verdict: Jew.

    • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @Johann Ricke

    Sarah Jessica Parker. No way.

    Replies: @Gandydancer

  350. @ic1000
    @HA

    HA, reasonable people are going to disagree. ALL CAPS posting, repetition, sarcasm, insult, mind-reading... none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions.

    > having learned the very lesson I wish to impart on you

    You might reflect on that.

    Replies: @HA, @Jack D

    Nothing is going to convince the “Russia is winning” crowd until Putin locks them up or arranges for them to “fall” out of a window. But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer. These may roll off of you like water off of a duck’s back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer’s proven wrong predictions such as saying that Putin was “too smart” to invade Ukraine and that Russia would “crush” Ukraine:

    • Replies: @HA
    @Jack D

    Mearshimer is always going to be a hero to any comment section at Unz-dot-com because he went against the Israeli lobby, so I have no illusions about changing anyone's opinion here about him. What I didn't get until recently is that his antagonism to Israel seems to be closely connected to the fact that its very existence disproves or at least confounds his "offensive realism" about how only certain kinds of geopolitical power matters in the world (i.e. the big powers who are fated to rule over the rest and vie with one another). Even though the UK and then the US played a major role in keeping Israel alive, and both are big geopolitical gorillas, the fact that they would do so that despite the cost of alienating much of the Middle East is beyond what his theories and projections allow.

    It's certainly true that in terms of commitment and influence, Jews in and out of Israel pack above their weight, so to most people, Israel's existence is no great paradox, even if they explain the world only by the dictum that the more powerful tend to prevail over the less powerful. But because Israel is not a "big power" in the traditional sense, and it is the big powers that alone have agency in Mearshimer's models, its continued existence piques him. I suspect he might feel the same way about the Kurds, or the Vietnamese or the Afghanis, or the Armenians, or any number of other small countries who have stubbornly refused to succumb to larger land-hungry neighbors. To clarify, he probably has no problem in explaining how the US (or the French) failed to prevail in Vietnam -- what I'm guessing his theories don't do a good job of explaining is how the Vietnamese were able to maintain an independent existence (or why they would even want to) through eight centuries or so of Chinese meddling.

    I realize that's a gross simplification of a long career, but given how he's been all over the map in the last year regarding Ukraine, it's as systematic as it needs to be. With that in mind, I suspect that when Kyiv didn't roll over in a week like everyone expected, that became to him another "error" in terms of how the world should work, and that is what provokes his annoyance. He could certainly incorporate US or NATO support for Ukraine (even if only to claim they are cynically fighting Russia to the last Ukrainian) as being within some big-power prerogative, just as he doesn't seem to have a problem with Russia crushing Kiev altogether like Fallujah or Grozny, but for more complicated reasons involving how the US should (according to him) be more concerned about countering China, that won't do, and so Ukraine's continued existence is some cosmic bump in the rug which needs to be flattened out (which is pretty much what great-Russia enthusiasts believe, too, for a somewhat different set of reasons).

    Replies: @Greta Handel

    , @ic1000
    @Jack D

    > But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer.

    We can agree to disagree.

    > These may roll off of you like water off of a duck’s back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer’s proven wrong predictions such as

    Corvinus makes consideration-worthy points in around 10% of his posts. He 'plays the man not the ball' (etc.) in, say, 80% of them. Why should I make the effort to converse with him, when there are others who consistently write more thoughtful and substantial comments? And who display a more sophisticated understanding of the nature of disagreement? Engaging in an online conversation takes time and effort -- life is short.

    Your statistics are about the reverse of The Crow's. That still leaves room for you to ask "what am I trying to accomplish here?" and adjust your writing accordingly.

    Or not.

    Currying favor would obviously be pointless, as I'm an occasional pseudonymous commenter, not a Nobel laureate. Or a moderator.

    As I've mentioned a time or two in this thread, gratuitous insults are still a value-subtract.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    , @vinteuil
    @Jack D

    You seriously think that Drew Pavlou got the better of that exchange?

    Replies: @HA

  351. @Gandydancer

    The residue shows HMX, a powerful explosive used mainly by the military, which works under water. It matches powder residue found on the pipeline.
     
    What explosive doesn't work under water, assuming you can keep the water out of the container containing the explosive?

    The fact that there were only three explosions suggests there is a fourth location where the explosions didn't go off, which ought to have proved illuminating.

    Has examination of the explosion sites revealed the size of the explosive charges and whether they were attached to the pipeline or just nearby? Because all this blather about deep sea divers could be obviated if an anchor could be placed in the pipeline's vicinity and enough remote-control depth charges dropped down the cable to do the job. An illumination source and a camera should suffice for that. No divers.

    The pipelines, which transported Russian gas directly to Germany, cost billions of euros.
     
    What mostly goes unmentioned is that the pipeline ought not be difficult to restore. The Russians have said they can do it, but are obviously not motivated to do so with Germany refusing to purchase gas through it.

    Replies: @Jack D

    IIRC only 3 of the 4 lines were damaged so even today the pipeline could be used.

    There is some question as to whether the other 3 pipelines are restorable or whether they have been damaged beyond repair by seawater intrusion. Given the political situation and the fact that Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway, I doubt that they are every going to be restored.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Jack D

    "Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway"

    Hence the opening of a couple of lignite fired power stations. Lignite hasn't really had time to fossilise, so it's more like burning damp wood.

    But methane is MUCH cleaner than lignite or even good Welsh steam coal.

    AFAIK the USA is still buying titanium from Russia, just as Russia is still paying Ukraine gas transit fees. Funny old war/SMO.

    Replies: @Jack D

    , @Gandydancer
    @Jack D


    Given the political situation and the fact that Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway, I doubt that they are every going to be restored.
     
    Utter nonsense. Neither Germany nor anywhere else is going to stop using fossil fuels. Russian gas is cheaper than US LNG by miles and miles and Germany will stop shooting itself in the foot sooner rather than later.

    There is some question as to whether the other 3 pipelines... have been damaged beyond repair by seawater intrusion.
     
    More ignorant nonsense. I refuse to believe anyone would be stupid enough to build an undersea pipeline which could be ruined beyond repair by salt water. Nor is there any plausible reason to do so. It's a fucking pipe, with a few attachments like valves and pumps. Besides, as I already noted, THE RUSSIANS HAVE SAID THEY CAN FIX IT, just as you would expect. Nor is there any reason to think that repairing three comparative pinholes will be expensive compared with laying the pipe. Is it really still news to you that crazy lies, suitable for belief only by the dimwitted, are common in the leugenpresse?
  352. @HA
    @ic1000

    "none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions."

    I'm not here to convince you of anything. If you're giving a nod to the likes of Mearshimer, who basically claims that big powers can (and really, ought) to do whatever is in their interests, and you're also criticizing the US for being a "bad friend", that's a contradiction that I think you yourself need to mull over and resolve. It's beyond my poor powers to make sense of it, so I'm just going to point out the mixed messaging and leave it at that. And if all you've got by way of reply is how you don't like me or my capitalization and sarcasm, then let's admit it ain't much of a comeback. I'm not here hoping to win a popularity contest with a bunch of fanboys as much as I'm hoping to merely give them a diluted taste of their own medicine. It's the undecideds who will be able to make some use of that more so than the partisans on either side who dare to engage, since most of the latter are well beyond persuading -- especially given the thick clouds of confirmation bias and copium wafting in the arena.

    And with regard to that diluted taste of medicine, you're seriously going to gripe about all-caps? Really? THAT is what ticks you off? (Ooops, there I go again...) Come on, if putting the occasional word in all caps is enough to ruffle your feathers, well, maybe go take some smelling salts and retire to the fainting couch before the vapours do you in. Of all the expletives and other lowbrow antics I've seen on these comments, and the genuine adulation that people like Putin and Trump and their various propagandists receive despite reveling in the kind of bullying that I wouldn't go near, you want to clutch pearls about the way I emphasize words?

    Way to keep it substantive. I'm reminded of that IQ debate Derbyshire engaged in where the black students were telling him how his arguments were "hurtful" whereas all he cared about was whether he had said anything that was untrue or inaccurate. I'm often at odds with Derbyshire, but right now, I get how he must have felt. In any case, I'm not here to respect the fanboys' safe spaces or echo chambers, much less their ridiculously skewed rules of rhetorical decorum.

    Hopefully, like Custine, the man your boy Kennan regretfully declared a prophet, you too will one day get a close-up view of the friends you're implicitly cheering for, and see where that gets you. It certainly made him do a 180.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Gandydancer

    I’m reminded of that IQ debate Derbyshire engaged in where the black students were telling him how his arguments were “hurtful” whereas all he cared about was whether he had said anything that was untrue or inaccurate.

    Are you referring to this?

    https://www.johnderbyshire.com/Opinions/HumanSciences/upennlaw.html

    » Remarks at a Panel Discussion
    University of Pennsylvania Law School
    April 5, 2010

    Revisiting Race and Remedies: Should the Government Play A Role in Eliminating Racial Disparities in Education and Employment?
    —————————

    Here are some remarks I delivered at a panel discussion organized by the Black Law Students’ Association (BLSA) of the University of Pennsylvania Law School, April 5, 2010. The official title of the event was as above.

    These remarks occasioned much comment, most of it negative. I don’t know why this should have been so. My statements on biology and paleoanthropology are of a very basic and uncontroversial kind. The empirical data I quoted is surely known to everyone. The LSAC statistics are likewise available for inspection by any inquirer. My appeal to individualism was, I thought, well within a venerable American tradition. If I made some error in fact or logic, I wish someone would point it out to me. To date (May 16, 2010) nobody has.

    Your comments are comparable to John Derbyshire’s delivered remarks?

    • Replies: @HA
    @MEH 0910

    "Are you referring to this?"

    I watched a video -- specifically, a Q&A session after his speech, but that may have been the event in question. I should't have put the words "hurtful" in quotation marks. Maybe the word used was "insulting" or "demeaning", but it was something similar to that. It must have been on this website at some point.

    "Your comments are comparable to John Derbyshire’s delivered remarks?"

    No, I dash these off with plenty other stuff on my plate, and have only 5 minutes to locate all the typos. I do think sometimes Derbyshire gets things wrong but even if I'm correct, it's safe to say he'll still phrase it more eloquently than I can. I was merely referring to the fact that I'm being reprimanded for the outrageous way I occasionally put a word in all-caps and even the unforgivable crime of (dare I say it outloud?) sarcasm -- on an internet comment section, if you can believe that! -- as opposed to being told where I specifically got something wrong.

    Replies: @MEH 0910

  353. @Jack D
    @William Badwhite

    Don't pretend to be stupider than you really are. He said " the Usual Suspects. The same folks who want to “hurt” Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process." This is a (not very deeply) coded reference to Joos, not Communists.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

    Don’t pretend to be stupider than you really are.

    Don’t pretend to be less brazenly dishonest than you really are.

    This is a (not very deeply) coded reference to Joos, not Communists.

    Stop lying. He said Walter Duranty and communists, it was you that jumped in with “the Joos”. More of your “You said X, but I’m going to say you meant Y, then rephrase what you wrote and argue with Y”. IOW, more of your endless lying.

    It is interesting though how sensitive you are to Jew = Communist. Its almost like deep down you believe its true.

    Maybe the commenter that said you’re really an anti-Semitic troll, drawing attention to all the “Joo” stereotypes, was correct.

    Agree: Jack D, Johann D Ricke

    • Agree: acementhead
    • Replies: @Jack D
    @William Badwhite

    So you are saying "working for the Usual Suspects [i.e. Jewish owned the NY Times]. The same folks who want to “hurt” Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process" was a reference to Communists? Either you really are stupid or you are being dishonest.

  354. @William Badwhite
    @Jack D


    Don’t pretend to be stupider than you really are.
     
    Don't pretend to be less brazenly dishonest than you really are.

    This is a (not very deeply) coded reference to Joos, not Communists.
     
    Stop lying. He said Walter Duranty and communists, it was you that jumped in with "the Joos". More of your "You said X, but I'm going to say you meant Y, then rephrase what you wrote and argue with Y". IOW, more of your endless lying.

    It is interesting though how sensitive you are to Jew = Communist. Its almost like deep down you believe its true.

    Maybe the commenter that said you're really an anti-Semitic troll, drawing attention to all the "Joo" stereotypes, was correct.

    Agree: Jack D, Johann D Ricke

    Replies: @Jack D

    So you are saying “working for the Usual Suspects [i.e. Jewish owned the NY Times]. The same folks who want to “hurt” Russia today and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder in the process” was a reference to Communists? Either you really are stupid or you are being dishonest.

  355. @Jack D
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Greta Thunberg. It's a photoshop.

    As for Pale of Settlement, the pale eyed, straight and narrow nosed Musk does not look stereotypically Jewish, nor does he look Ukrainian, Lithuanian or Polish either. He is of Western European ancestry - English, Dutch and Swiss.

    If I were thinking of a movie star to play him, I think the closest would be Matthew Broderick (about 10 years ago - Broderick is 10 yrs older than Musk). Not any Jewish or E. European actor.

    Musk bears a striking physical resemblance to his anti-Semitic, apartheid loving grandfather Joshua Haldeman.

    https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i1l6gydqQ7AM/v1/-1x-1.jpg

    Replies: @Johann Ricke, @Citizen of a Silly Country

    Broderick is half Jewish. No thanks.

  356. @res
    @Shale boi

    Do you know anything about Uniper's arbitration case against Gazprom?
    https://www.woodmac.com/news/opinion/gas-contracts-central-to-nord-stream-pipeline-mystery/
    https://jusmundi.com/en/document/decision/en-uniper-se-v-gazprom-export-gpa-party-representatives-wednesday-30th-november-2022

    This was the only status I saw.
    https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/uniper-considering-legal-options-over-sale-assets-russia-2023-08-25/


    The company said it expected a decision in its arbitration proceedings against Russia's Gazprom Export next year.
     
    Germany is still buying Russian LNG.
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/germany-still-trades-russian-gas-as-canceling-costs-10-billion

    Replies: @Shale boi

    No.

  357. @Jack D
    @ic1000

    Nothing is going to convince the "Russia is winning" crowd until Putin locks them up or arranges for them to "fall" out of a window. But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer. These may roll off of you like water off of a duck's back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer's proven wrong predictions such as saying that Putin was "too smart" to invade Ukraine and that Russia would "crush" Ukraine:

    https://twitter.com/DrewPavlou/status/1716388303006745064

    Replies: @HA, @ic1000, @vinteuil

    Mearshimer is always going to be a hero to any comment section at Unz-dot-com because he went against the Israeli lobby, so I have no illusions about changing anyone’s opinion here about him. What I didn’t get until recently is that his antagonism to Israel seems to be closely connected to the fact that its very existence disproves or at least confounds his “offensive realism” about how only certain kinds of geopolitical power matters in the world (i.e. the big powers who are fated to rule over the rest and vie with one another). Even though the UK and then the US played a major role in keeping Israel alive, and both are big geopolitical gorillas, the fact that they would do so that despite the cost of alienating much of the Middle East is beyond what his theories and projections allow.

    It’s certainly true that in terms of commitment and influence, Jews in and out of Israel pack above their weight, so to most people, Israel’s existence is no great paradox, even if they explain the world only by the dictum that the more powerful tend to prevail over the less powerful. But because Israel is not a “big power” in the traditional sense, and it is the big powers that alone have agency in Mearshimer’s models, its continued existence piques him. I suspect he might feel the same way about the Kurds, or the Vietnamese or the Afghanis, or the Armenians, or any number of other small countries who have stubbornly refused to succumb to larger land-hungry neighbors. To clarify, he probably has no problem in explaining how the US (or the French) failed to prevail in Vietnam — what I’m guessing his theories don’t do a good job of explaining is how the Vietnamese were able to maintain an independent existence (or why they would even want to) through eight centuries or so of Chinese meddling.

    I realize that’s a gross simplification of a long career, but given how he’s been all over the map in the last year regarding Ukraine, it’s as systematic as it needs to be. With that in mind, I suspect that when Kyiv didn’t roll over in a week like everyone expected, that became to him another “error” in terms of how the world should work, and that is what provokes his annoyance. He could certainly incorporate US or NATO support for Ukraine (even if only to claim they are cynically fighting Russia to the last Ukrainian) as being within some big-power prerogative, just as he doesn’t seem to have a problem with Russia crushing Kiev altogether like Fallujah or Grozny, but for more complicated reasons involving how the US should (according to him) be more concerned about countering China, that won’t do, and so Ukraine’s continued existence is some cosmic bump in the rug which needs to be flattened out (which is pretty much what great-Russia enthusiasts believe, too, for a somewhat different set of reasons).

    • Replies: @Greta Handel
    @HA

    You’re really good at this, HA. As with COVID, much smoother than your tag team partner. I appreciate the opportunity here at TUR to analyze and engage directly with such artful propaganda.

    Once again, several techniques are employed, starting with this deft blend of humility, dissembling, and flattery:


    Mearshimer is always going to be a hero to any comment section at Unz-dot-com because he went against the Israeli lobby, so I have no illusions about changing anyone’s opinion here about him.
     
    Yet I think that you composed the comment not to refute John Mearshimer, or even distract from his insights about “the Israeli lobby.” Instead, the virtuoso HA spent this keyboard time to convey a refreshed 1967 narrative — targeted to those here who oppose imperialism — of sympathy for a vulnerable, besieged Israel:

    Even though the UK and then the US played a major role in keeping Israel alive, and both are big geopolitical gorillas, the fact that they would do so that despite the cost of alienating much of the Middle East is beyond what his theories and projections allow.
    ***
    I suspect he might feel the same way about the Kurds, or the Vietnamese or the Afghanis, or the Armenians, or any number of other small countries who have stubbornly refused to succumb to larger land-hungry neighbors.
     
    That’s the principal theme in #365, isn’t it?

    Replies: @HA

  358. @MEH 0910
    @HA


    I’m reminded of that IQ debate Derbyshire engaged in where the black students were telling him how his arguments were “hurtful” whereas all he cared about was whether he had said anything that was untrue or inaccurate.
     
    Are you referring to this?

    https://www.johnderbyshire.com/Opinions/HumanSciences/upennlaw.html


    » Remarks at a Panel Discussion
    University of Pennsylvania Law School
    April 5, 2010

    Revisiting Race and Remedies: Should the Government Play A Role in Eliminating Racial Disparities in Education and Employment?
    —————————

    Here are some remarks I delivered at a panel discussion organized by the Black Law Students' Association (BLSA) of the University of Pennsylvania Law School, April 5, 2010. The official title of the event was as above.

    These remarks occasioned much comment, most of it negative. I don't know why this should have been so. My statements on biology and paleoanthropology are of a very basic and uncontroversial kind. The empirical data I quoted is surely known to everyone. The LSAC statistics are likewise available for inspection by any inquirer. My appeal to individualism was, I thought, well within a venerable American tradition. If I made some error in fact or logic, I wish someone would point it out to me. To date (May 16, 2010) nobody has.
     

    Your comments are comparable to John Derbyshire's delivered remarks?

    Replies: @HA

    “Are you referring to this?”

    I watched a video — specifically, a Q&A session after his speech, but that may have been the event in question. I should’t have put the words “hurtful” in quotation marks. Maybe the word used was “insulting” or “demeaning”, but it was something similar to that. It must have been on this website at some point.

    “Your comments are comparable to John Derbyshire’s delivered remarks?”

    No, I dash these off with plenty other stuff on my plate, and have only 5 minutes to locate all the typos. I do think sometimes Derbyshire gets things wrong but even if I’m correct, it’s safe to say he’ll still phrase it more eloquently than I can. I was merely referring to the fact that I’m being reprimanded for the outrageous way I occasionally put a word in all-caps and even the unforgivable crime of (dare I say it outloud?) sarcasm — on an internet comment section, if you can believe that! — as opposed to being told where I specifically got something wrong.

    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @HA


    I watched a video — specifically, a Q&A session after his speech, but that may have been the event in question. I should’t have put the words “hurtful” in quotation marks. Maybe the word used was “insulting” or “demeaning”, but it was something similar to that. It must have been on this website at some point.
     
    I couldn't find a video, but the word "hurtful" was used according to Derb:

    https://www.johnderbyshire.com/Opinions/HumanSciences/upennlaw.html

    I posted a brief account of the event to NRO a day or two later: see here, with a follow-up erratum here.
     
    I found a useable archived link to the brief account (no such luck with the follow-up erratum):

    https://web.archive.org/web/20100411202825/http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDcxMjg3MGU1MzhjMjJjMzk5YWQ3ZWM5ZDNhYjk3YTk=

    U. Penn Panel Report [John Derbyshire]
    [...]
    Mingling for refreshments afterwards, I found the BLSA students a friendly bunch. The only rancor was from some older guy, either a mature student or an academic, who said that my ideas were “old” and my remarks “hurtful.” Apparently he thought that one or other, or both, of these observations invalidated the truth content of what I had said. Everyone else was either pleasant, or just ignored me.
     

    Replies: @MEH 0910

  359. @Gandydancer
    @Anonymous


    It is difficult to maintain that position ['changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody'] without condemning Zionism.
     
    Really? What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?

    Replies: @Anonymous

    It is difficult to maintain that position [‘changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody’] without condemning Zionism.

    Really? What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?

    Every single border zionist jews have ever claimed as “israel” has been the result of violent action.

    • Replies: @acementhead
    @Anonymous


    Every single border zionist jews have ever claimed as “israel” has been the result of violent action.
     
    Ah, but the Irgun and Stern gang, even though they used military weapons, were just private citizens so that doesn't count as "military action', so 'the jews' are blameless. They were just the, random, lucky beneficiaries. And anyway some of the ancestors of the victims of the invaders had been beastly to some of the ancestors of the invaders, so the invaders had a right to settle the score.

    Replies: @Wielgus

    , @Gandydancer
    @Anonymous

    me: "What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?"

    you: "Every single border zionist[sic] jews[sic] have ever claimed as “israel”[sic] has been the result of violent action.”

    Self defense is often via violent action, but that doesn't make it into "military intervention".

    I repeat, what borders did Zionism change via military intervention?

    Also, both "Jews" and "Israel" are capitalized. And it's not spelled "Joos", either. Why you brain-dead shits think illiteracy is a good look I cannot imagine.

  360. @HA
    @MEH 0910

    "Are you referring to this?"

    I watched a video -- specifically, a Q&A session after his speech, but that may have been the event in question. I should't have put the words "hurtful" in quotation marks. Maybe the word used was "insulting" or "demeaning", but it was something similar to that. It must have been on this website at some point.

    "Your comments are comparable to John Derbyshire’s delivered remarks?"

    No, I dash these off with plenty other stuff on my plate, and have only 5 minutes to locate all the typos. I do think sometimes Derbyshire gets things wrong but even if I'm correct, it's safe to say he'll still phrase it more eloquently than I can. I was merely referring to the fact that I'm being reprimanded for the outrageous way I occasionally put a word in all-caps and even the unforgivable crime of (dare I say it outloud?) sarcasm -- on an internet comment section, if you can believe that! -- as opposed to being told where I specifically got something wrong.

    Replies: @MEH 0910

    I watched a video — specifically, a Q&A session after his speech, but that may have been the event in question. I should’t have put the words “hurtful” in quotation marks. Maybe the word used was “insulting” or “demeaning”, but it was something similar to that. It must have been on this website at some point.

    I couldn’t find a video, but the word “hurtful” was used according to Derb:

    https://www.johnderbyshire.com/Opinions/HumanSciences/upennlaw.html

    I posted a brief account of the event to NRO a day or two later: see here, with a follow-up erratum here.

    I found a useable archived link to the brief account (no such luck with the follow-up erratum):

    https://web.archive.org/web/20100411202825/http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDcxMjg3MGU1MzhjMjJjMzk5YWQ3ZWM5ZDNhYjk3YTk=

    U. Penn Panel Report [John Derbyshire]
    […]
    Mingling for refreshments afterwards, I found the BLSA students a friendly bunch. The only rancor was from some older guy, either a mature student or an academic, who said that my ideas were “old” and my remarks “hurtful.” Apparently he thought that one or other, or both, of these observations invalidated the truth content of what I had said. Everyone else was either pleasant, or just ignored me.

    • Thanks: HA
    • Replies: @MEH 0910
    @MEH 0910

    John Derbyshire also touched upon it in a comment he left at Steve Sailer's piece about Derb's U. Penn remarks:

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/derbs-remarks-to-penns-black-law/#comment-286919


    John Derbyshire says: • Website
    April 11, 2010 at 10:01 am GMT
    [...]
    The entire sum of negative reactions, other than from that "moderator," was a young woman in the audience who demanded to know the
    sources for my remarks (I recommended Michael Levin's Why Race
    Matters
    ), and a much older guy — fifty- or
    sixty-something, — also in the audience, who scolded me afterwards,
    telling me that my ideas were "old" and my remarks "hurtful." See, older people have heard it before, and they connect
    race realism with the insults & indignities of the Jim Crow period. It's natural enough, and hard to blame them. I don't myself think there is
    the faintest possibility of Jim Crow coming back; but I don't know how I could prove that to a black guy of his generation.

    Other than that, people were pretty friendly, or else just ignored me in a way not (so far as I could tell) meant to be offensive. To anyone
    invited into a similar venue, I'd say just be frank, honest, and polite. Keep the science & math basic, try to hook it to their own experiences (as I did
    with the LSAT), and get in a plea to good old American individualism. Nobody will set you on fire.
     
  361. @Anonymous
    @Gandydancer


    It is difficult to maintain that position [‘changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody’] without condemning Zionism.

    Really? What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?
     

     
    Every single border zionist jews have ever claimed as “israel” has been the result of violent action.

    Replies: @acementhead, @Gandydancer

    Every single border zionist jews have ever claimed as “israel” has been the result of violent action.

    Ah, but the Irgun and Stern gang, even though they used military weapons, were just private citizens so that doesn’t count as “military action’, so ‘the jews’ are blameless. They were just the, random, lucky beneficiaries. And anyway some of the ancestors of the victims of the invaders had been beastly to some of the ancestors of the invaders, so the invaders had a right to settle the score.

    • Replies: @Wielgus
    @acementhead

    I was under the impression Irgun and Stern were terrorists. That leading figures in each went on to high office says a great deal about Israel.

  362. @HA
    @Mr. Anon

    "If he did you wouldn’t have heard it through all those masks he’s wearing from deep within the chambers of his sterile pandemic bunker."

    As opposed to very long conference table? The fanboys have no problem with that.


    Putin’s health was the reason for the extra-long furniture, according to the Kremlin.

    Fears about Putin getting seriously ill likely played a part in the decision to distance the leaders, ... it is unclear who would replace the 69-year-old leader and “that can lead to nervousness among members of the elite — and, therefore, increases the importance of the visible steps taken by the Kremlin to shield the president as much as possible from the coronavirus,”...
     

    https://twitter.com/abdylvehab/status/1490798553727479813

    https://twitter.com/mrsahuquillo/status/1493280099034140676

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    As opposed to very long conference table? The fanboys have no problem with that.

    Putin fanboys? Who are they. I suppose you think that everyone who disagrees with you is a “Putin fanboy”.

    So – what is your point – that you are at least no less crazy than a beady-eyed psychopathic ex-secret-policeman?

    Okay. You’ve convinced me.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Mr. Anon

    "Putin fanboys? Who are they?"

    Explains everything that anyone needs to know about you (or more precisely, why anyone would even bother).

    Replies: @Mr. Anon


  363. https://twitter.com/MarioMateljic/status/1724366050571985393

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Joe Stalin

    The DW team also failed to sink the guided missile cruiser Moskva and blow up the Kerch Bridge but the Ukrainians did despite not having a navy , so I am not entirely persuaded by this.

    It certainly wouldn't be out of character for the Russians to blow up their own pipeline if they thought that it was somehow advantageous to them, but my current thinking is that it was most likely the Ukrainians and (unlike some here but like the German government) I am not all broken up about this. In the context of this war and the way that the Russians have behaved toward Ukraine, the pipeline was fair game even if it was partly Western owned and served Germany.

    A lot of the "it's impossible to do this" arguments are like the arguments about how it's impossible for bumble bees to fly - the fact that it happened proves that it's possible. I don't know the details of how it was done but it was done. So far the Ukrainians have been pretty good at improvising clever solutions to their lack of conventional military resources.

  364. @HA
    @Jack D

    Mearshimer is always going to be a hero to any comment section at Unz-dot-com because he went against the Israeli lobby, so I have no illusions about changing anyone's opinion here about him. What I didn't get until recently is that his antagonism to Israel seems to be closely connected to the fact that its very existence disproves or at least confounds his "offensive realism" about how only certain kinds of geopolitical power matters in the world (i.e. the big powers who are fated to rule over the rest and vie with one another). Even though the UK and then the US played a major role in keeping Israel alive, and both are big geopolitical gorillas, the fact that they would do so that despite the cost of alienating much of the Middle East is beyond what his theories and projections allow.

    It's certainly true that in terms of commitment and influence, Jews in and out of Israel pack above their weight, so to most people, Israel's existence is no great paradox, even if they explain the world only by the dictum that the more powerful tend to prevail over the less powerful. But because Israel is not a "big power" in the traditional sense, and it is the big powers that alone have agency in Mearshimer's models, its continued existence piques him. I suspect he might feel the same way about the Kurds, or the Vietnamese or the Afghanis, or the Armenians, or any number of other small countries who have stubbornly refused to succumb to larger land-hungry neighbors. To clarify, he probably has no problem in explaining how the US (or the French) failed to prevail in Vietnam -- what I'm guessing his theories don't do a good job of explaining is how the Vietnamese were able to maintain an independent existence (or why they would even want to) through eight centuries or so of Chinese meddling.

    I realize that's a gross simplification of a long career, but given how he's been all over the map in the last year regarding Ukraine, it's as systematic as it needs to be. With that in mind, I suspect that when Kyiv didn't roll over in a week like everyone expected, that became to him another "error" in terms of how the world should work, and that is what provokes his annoyance. He could certainly incorporate US or NATO support for Ukraine (even if only to claim they are cynically fighting Russia to the last Ukrainian) as being within some big-power prerogative, just as he doesn't seem to have a problem with Russia crushing Kiev altogether like Fallujah or Grozny, but for more complicated reasons involving how the US should (according to him) be more concerned about countering China, that won't do, and so Ukraine's continued existence is some cosmic bump in the rug which needs to be flattened out (which is pretty much what great-Russia enthusiasts believe, too, for a somewhat different set of reasons).

    Replies: @Greta Handel

    You’re really good at this, HA. As with COVID, much smoother than your tag team partner. I appreciate the opportunity here at TUR to analyze and engage directly with such artful propaganda.

    Once again, several techniques are employed, starting with this deft blend of humility, dissembling, and flattery:

    Mearshimer is always going to be a hero to any comment section at Unz-dot-com because he went against the Israeli lobby, so I have no illusions about changing anyone’s opinion here about him.

    Yet I think that you composed the comment not to refute John Mearshimer, or even distract from his insights about “the Israeli lobby.” Instead, the virtuoso HA spent this keyboard time to convey a refreshed 1967 narrative — targeted to those here who oppose imperialism — of sympathy for a vulnerable, besieged Israel:

    Even though the UK and then the US played a major role in keeping Israel alive, and both are big geopolitical gorillas, the fact that they would do so that despite the cost of alienating much of the Middle East is beyond what his theories and projections allow.
    ***
    I suspect he might feel the same way about the Kurds, or the Vietnamese or the Afghanis, or the Armenians, or any number of other small countries who have stubbornly refused to succumb to larger land-hungry neighbors.

    That’s the principal theme in #365, isn’t it?

    • Replies: @HA
    @Greta Handel

    "That’s the principal theme in #365, isn’t it?"

    Nah, but I do appreciate your giving me the opportunity to acknowledge that Mearshimer's inability to explain the US and Israel (or the Brits and Israel, for that matter) was actually something I picked up from Quillette, which I should have noted previously, but I couldn't remember where I read it:


    [Mearshimer's] realism cannot account for the enduring alliance between the US and Israel, either. In a March 2006 essay for the London Review of Books, Mearsheimer and Walt seem to acknowledge this problem, as they puzzle over the intelligence cooperation, military aid, and diplomatic support the US provided to the Jewish state: “This extraordinary generosity,” they write, “might be understandable if Israel were a vital strategic asset or if there were a compelling moral case for US backing. But neither explanation is convincing.” They argue that the partnership has “complicated America’s relations with the Arab world” and undermined its security interests.
     
    My own issues with Mearshimer have little to do with Israel -- I had him pegged (correctly, I maintain) as just another autistic social scientist who thinks human beings are basically sacks of potatoes or X's on a spreadsheet back when I read about his fondness for forced population transfers (e.g. in Bosnia?) Admittedly, such egghead solutions seem so tantalizingly obvious and simple in theory, but alas, they're maddeningly difficult to implement in the real world in the absence of a big-power tyrannical guiding hand that ultimately causes far worse problems than whatever it resolved by way of those forced population transfers. But given how comfortable Mearshimer seems to have become with seeing things exclusively in terms of what works best for the big-power tyrannical guiding hand, he's unable to understand that very obvious hole in his theorizing.

    But sure, go ahead and believe that everything I've ever written has to be about the Jews. I expect little else here at Unz-dot-com.
  365. @Jack D
    @ic1000

    Nothing is going to convince the "Russia is winning" crowd until Putin locks them up or arranges for them to "fall" out of a window. But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer. These may roll off of you like water off of a duck's back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer's proven wrong predictions such as saying that Putin was "too smart" to invade Ukraine and that Russia would "crush" Ukraine:

    https://twitter.com/DrewPavlou/status/1716388303006745064

    Replies: @HA, @ic1000, @vinteuil

    > But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer.

    We can agree to disagree.

    > These may roll off of you like water off of a duck’s back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer’s proven wrong predictions such as

    Corvinus makes consideration-worthy points in around 10% of his posts. He ‘plays the man not the ball’ (etc.) in, say, 80% of them. Why should I make the effort to converse with him, when there are others who consistently write more thoughtful and substantial comments? And who display a more sophisticated understanding of the nature of disagreement? Engaging in an online conversation takes time and effort — life is short.

    Your statistics are about the reverse of The Crow’s. That still leaves room for you to ask “what am I trying to accomplish here?” and adjust your writing accordingly.

    Or not.

    Currying favor would obviously be pointless, as I’m an occasional pseudonymous commenter, not a Nobel laureate. Or a moderator.

    As I’ve mentioned a time or two in this thread, gratuitous insults are still a value-subtract.

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @ic1000

    "As I’ve mentioned a time or two in this thread, gratuitous insults are still a value-subtract."

    Exactly. It makes no sense to engage online with someone who's doing a performance for their own amusement.

  366. @MEH 0910
    @HA


    I watched a video — specifically, a Q&A session after his speech, but that may have been the event in question. I should’t have put the words “hurtful” in quotation marks. Maybe the word used was “insulting” or “demeaning”, but it was something similar to that. It must have been on this website at some point.
     
    I couldn't find a video, but the word "hurtful" was used according to Derb:

    https://www.johnderbyshire.com/Opinions/HumanSciences/upennlaw.html

    I posted a brief account of the event to NRO a day or two later: see here, with a follow-up erratum here.
     
    I found a useable archived link to the brief account (no such luck with the follow-up erratum):

    https://web.archive.org/web/20100411202825/http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDcxMjg3MGU1MzhjMjJjMzk5YWQ3ZWM5ZDNhYjk3YTk=

    U. Penn Panel Report [John Derbyshire]
    [...]
    Mingling for refreshments afterwards, I found the BLSA students a friendly bunch. The only rancor was from some older guy, either a mature student or an academic, who said that my ideas were “old” and my remarks “hurtful.” Apparently he thought that one or other, or both, of these observations invalidated the truth content of what I had said. Everyone else was either pleasant, or just ignored me.
     

    Replies: @MEH 0910

    John Derbyshire also touched upon it in a comment he left at Steve Sailer’s piece about Derb’s U. Penn remarks:

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/derbs-remarks-to-penns-black-law/#comment-286919

    John Derbyshire says: • Website
    April 11, 2010 at 10:01 am GMT
    […]
    The entire sum of negative reactions, other than from that “moderator,” was a young woman in the audience who demanded to know the
    sources for my remarks (I recommended Michael Levin’s Why Race
    Matters
    ), and a much older guy — fifty- or
    sixty-something, — also in the audience, who scolded me afterwards,
    telling me that my ideas were “old” and my remarks “hurtful.” See, older people have heard it before, and they connect
    race realism with the insults & indignities of the Jim Crow period. It’s natural enough, and hard to blame them. I don’t myself think there is
    the faintest possibility of Jim Crow coming back; but I don’t know how I could prove that to a black guy of his generation.

    Other than that, people were pretty friendly, or else just ignored me in a way not (so far as I could tell) meant to be offensive. To anyone
    invited into a similar venue, I’d say just be frank, honest, and polite. Keep the science & math basic, try to hook it to their own experiences (as I did
    with the LSAT), and get in a plea to good old American individualism. Nobody will set you on fire.

  367. @ic1000
    @Jack D

    > But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer.

    We can agree to disagree.

    > These may roll off of you like water off of a duck’s back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer’s proven wrong predictions such as

    Corvinus makes consideration-worthy points in around 10% of his posts. He 'plays the man not the ball' (etc.) in, say, 80% of them. Why should I make the effort to converse with him, when there are others who consistently write more thoughtful and substantial comments? And who display a more sophisticated understanding of the nature of disagreement? Engaging in an online conversation takes time and effort -- life is short.

    Your statistics are about the reverse of The Crow's. That still leaves room for you to ask "what am I trying to accomplish here?" and adjust your writing accordingly.

    Or not.

    Currying favor would obviously be pointless, as I'm an occasional pseudonymous commenter, not a Nobel laureate. Or a moderator.

    As I've mentioned a time or two in this thread, gratuitous insults are still a value-subtract.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    “As I’ve mentioned a time or two in this thread, gratuitous insults are still a value-subtract.”

    Exactly. It makes no sense to engage online with someone who’s doing a performance for their own amusement.

  368. @Johann Ricke
    @Jack D


    If I were thinking of a movie star to play him, I think the closest would be Matthew Broderick (about 10 years ago – Broderick is 10 yrs older than Musk). Not any Jewish or E. European actor.
     
    Broderick is halachically Jewish. Hilarious entry from Jew or not Jew:

    We've talked at length of shiksappeal, the desire of Jewish men for beautiful goyishe women. We've gotten us a few good ones, from Marilyn Monroe to Elizabeth Banks. The list is long.

    But does it work in reverse? We can call it yentappeal: the desire of goyishe men for Jewish women. Surely, there are some examples.

    Hmmmm.

    Well, let's take Sarah Jessica Parker. As Jews, we can't find her beautiful (see her profile for the explanation). But the goyim seem to disagree; she is definitely a sex symbol, to say the least. Yeah, it baffles the mind.

    And she is married to Matthew Broderick! Talk about Goy City! And they have been together for over a decade, such a rarity for Hollywood! So here it is, yentappeal!

    Not so fast.

    For Matthew himself is half-Jewish, on his mother's side.

    So much for that theory. Hmmmm.

    AHA! Parker might look 100% Jewish, but she is not; she is only half. So, perhaps Broderick's goy half lusts for her Jewish side (shiksappeal), and his Jewish half is enamored with her goyish one (yentappeal)?

    See, it all adds up!

    Verdict: Jew.
     

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob

    Sarah Jessica Parker. No way.

    • Replies: @Gandydancer
    @Jim Don Bob

    Gal Gadot.

  369. @acementhead
    @Anonymous


    Every single border zionist jews have ever claimed as “israel” has been the result of violent action.
     
    Ah, but the Irgun and Stern gang, even though they used military weapons, were just private citizens so that doesn't count as "military action', so 'the jews' are blameless. They were just the, random, lucky beneficiaries. And anyway some of the ancestors of the victims of the invaders had been beastly to some of the ancestors of the invaders, so the invaders had a right to settle the score.

    Replies: @Wielgus

    I was under the impression Irgun and Stern were terrorists. That leading figures in each went on to high office says a great deal about Israel.

    • Agree: acementhead
  370. @HA
    @Peterike

    [Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR” [is] "An assertion for which there is zero evidence."

    If you're just too dim-witted to click on the blue font in which the words "stepping stone" were first invoked in the previous comment I was referring to -- here it is again, if you want to give it another shot -- well, that explains the rest of your comment -- not to mention your fantasies regarding COVID.

    On second thought, I'll cut and paste and save you the trouble. Expecting you to know how to work a hyper-link is just asking for trouble:


    [Russian] General Admits Ukraine Just a 'Stepping Stone' to Invade Europe

    A key Russian general who Russian President Vladimir Putin promoted this week views the invasion of Ukraine as a mere "stepping stone" to further conflict with Europe....In a recent interview with Moscow's state-run Russia-1, a clip of which circulated widely on social media Saturday, Mordvichev said he believes Putin's war will last quite a long time and expand in the future...."I think there's still plenty of time to spend. It is pointless to talk about a specified period. If we are talking about Eastern Europe, which we will have to, of course then it will be longer," the general said.

    "Ukraine is only a stepping stone?" the interviewer then asked.

    "Yes, absolutely. It is only the beginning," Mordvichev responded, who went on to say that the war "will not stop here."
     

    After you're done wiping the egg off your face, feel free to try again, assuming your long-COVID didn't fry your little brain permanently.

    Replies: @HA

    [Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR” [is] “An assertion for which there is zero evidence.”

    And here’s some recent Russian ruminating, run on state-run TV, regarding which country they should bomb next. This pundit is saying he’d hold off on Poland for the moment, given that they have a new government, and it’s presumably still unclear as to how many of them can be bribed, which means it should instead be Romania’s turn, because they’ve been getting “uppity”.

    It is necessary to bomb…But I wouldn’t bomb Poland just. now.. We have yet to negoatiate with them. I’d hit the Romanians. You know why? They have become too arrogant. They’ve just starting acting arrogant. [So] I’d put the Romanians in their place.

    He goes on to say that unlike the situation in Gaza, he’d only hit military installations (though I’m guessing if the Romanians likewise start staging their military HQ and torture rooms inside the hospitals and whatnot, he’d have something else to say about that.)

    But yeah, just the kind of thing I expect to see from a country that has no plans whatsoever to move on past Ukraine once that’s over.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @HA

    Certainly it's telling who gets to spout off on state controlled Russian TV. Generally it is voices to the right of the government and never to the left so that the Russian Overtonsky Window is always getting shoved to the right.

    But that doesn't mean that the Russian government is going to listen to this windbag and actually bomb Romania in the short run, any more that the Trump Administration was about to adopt all of the recommendations of Tucker Carlson. Don't confuse TV windbags with actual government policy. As I said before, the function of these guys is to create some domestic space for the Russian government to move even more to the right, but not all the way to their most extreme positions.

    Sure, putting all the former E. Bloc vassals in their place like the good old days is on their wish list, but Shoigu knows that he is in no position to actually bomb what is now a NATO country and start WWIII.

    Replies: @HA

  371. @Joe Stalin
    https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1724320044560077246
    https://twitter.com/MarioMateljic/status/1724366050571985393

    Replies: @Jack D

    The DW team also failed to sink the guided missile cruiser Moskva and blow up the Kerch Bridge but the Ukrainians did despite not having a navy , so I am not entirely persuaded by this.

    It certainly wouldn’t be out of character for the Russians to blow up their own pipeline if they thought that it was somehow advantageous to them, but my current thinking is that it was most likely the Ukrainians and (unlike some here but like the German government) I am not all broken up about this. In the context of this war and the way that the Russians have behaved toward Ukraine, the pipeline was fair game even if it was partly Western owned and served Germany.

    A lot of the “it’s impossible to do this” arguments are like the arguments about how it’s impossible for bumble bees to fly – the fact that it happened proves that it’s possible. I don’t know the details of how it was done but it was done. So far the Ukrainians have been pretty good at improvising clever solutions to their lack of conventional military resources.

  372. @HA
    @HA

    [Ukraine is just a “stepping stone” to rebuilding that USSR” [is] “An assertion for which there is zero evidence.”


    And here's some recent Russian ruminating, run on state-run TV, regarding which country they should bomb next. This pundit is saying he'd hold off on Poland for the moment, given that they have a new government, and it's presumably still unclear as to how many of them can be bribed, which means it should instead be Romania's turn, because they've been getting "uppity".



    It is necessary to bomb...But I wouldn't bomb Poland just. now.. We have yet to negoatiate with them. I'd hit the Romanians. You know why? They have become too arrogant. They've just starting acting arrogant. [So] I'd put the Romanians in their place.
     
    https://twitter.com/victoriaslog/status/1724530020331229220

    He goes on to say that unlike the situation in Gaza, he'd only hit military installations (though I'm guessing if the Romanians likewise start staging their military HQ and torture rooms inside the hospitals and whatnot, he'd have something else to say about that.)

    But yeah, just the kind of thing I expect to see from a country that has no plans whatsoever to move on past Ukraine once that's over.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Certainly it’s telling who gets to spout off on state controlled Russian TV. Generally it is voices to the right of the government and never to the left so that the Russian Overtonsky Window is always getting shoved to the right.

    But that doesn’t mean that the Russian government is going to listen to this windbag and actually bomb Romania in the short run, any more that the Trump Administration was about to adopt all of the recommendations of Tucker Carlson. Don’t confuse TV windbags with actual government policy. As I said before, the function of these guys is to create some domestic space for the Russian government to move even more to the right, but not all the way to their most extreme positions.

    Sure, putting all the former E. Bloc vassals in their place like the good old days is on their wish list, but Shoigu knows that he is in no position to actually bomb what is now a NATO country and start WWIII.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Jack D

    "Sure, putting all the former E. Bloc vassals in their place like the good old days is on their wish list, but Shoigu knows that he is in no position to actually bomb what is now a NATO country and start WWIII."

    That's certainly true now. But to anyone who has watched over the last decade or so (or really, how the Duchy of Muscovy got to where it is now), the strategy is obvious: bully and ultimately incapacitate or even incorporate any and all smaller neighbors, and then use that added weight in the next campaign. At some point, the plan is also to have Trump or someone else pull the US out of NATO and eventually to have it and the EU dissolved altogether or made ineffective by the likes of Orban and other stooges.

    There is of course a flaw in that strategy, and by brutalizing Chechnya, or Georgia, or Ukraine or anyone else, as it has in the past few decades, Russia has thereby driven Russia's neighbors into the fold of NATO (even formerly neutral countries like Finland and Sweden) and continued to make NATO relevant.

    I'd like to be as confident as you that this grand plan will run adrift on the basis of that fundamental flaw. But the world is too unsure, and the supply of useful idiots and easily bribed lackeys and think thanks is too plentiful (e.g. this so called "Brave New Europe" puff piece Cagey Beast apparently thinks is worth our time for the sole reason that it rehashes the same bogus arguments that have been discredited before.) And these same jokers will continue to insist that it was actually the US and UK that forced Ukraine into war, and hope the rest of us forget (or that it's only MY tiresome repetitiveness in countering them that needs to be castigated as opposed to theirs):


    Exclusive: As war began, Putin rejected a Ukraine peace deal recommended by aide

    Vladimir Putin’s chief envoy on Ukraine told the Russian leader as the war began that he had struck a provisional deal with Kyiv that would satisfy Russia’s demand that Ukraine stay out of NATO, but Putin rejected it and pressed ahead with his military campaign, according to three people close to the Russian leadership.
     

    The answer then, is continued vigilance. I'm not asking for Russia to be defeated, but in the words of Kennan, it has to be contained until it either falls apart and defeats itself, or else decides to grow up and learn that it ought to fix its own wreckage instead of creating and then demanding to solve those in other countries. The same containment strategy, I would argue, should apply to China, but what happens with Ukraine will help dictate that.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

  373. @Cagey Beast
    These things I believe because I am not a Putin fanboy:

    - Julian Assange spread Russian disinformation
    - Hunter Biden's laptop was disinformation too
    - Jeffery Epstein killed himself
    - The Russians helped make Brexit happen
    - Same thing with the truckers' protests in Canada
    - Putin had compromat on Trump
    - The Great Reset is a conspiracy theory promoted by Putin
    - So is the Great Replacement
    - "Cultural Marxism" is an anti-Semitic dog whistle
    - A rogue Ukrainian intel agent blew up Nord Stream

    If the WaPo says next week that Nord Stream was blown up by the New Zealand rugby team I will believe that too.

    Replies: @Dieter Kief

    If the WaPo says next week that Nord Stream was blown up by the New Zealand rugby team I will believe that too.

    The Rugby Team could easily be looked upon as another serious contender!° And Dr. Steve could make use of his sports-knowledge to dig deeper here. Dr. Steve is going a bit mainstream – and he has us all to help him out on that°! – My congfession: I’m on Team Steve, come what will!

    PS
    You made me laugh Cagey Beast – thx. for that!

    • Thanks: Cagey Beast
  374. @Jack D
    @Gandydancer

    IIRC only 3 of the 4 lines were damaged so even today the pipeline could be used.

    There is some question as to whether the other 3 pipelines are restorable or whether they have been damaged beyond repair by seawater intrusion. Given the political situation and the fact that Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway, I doubt that they are every going to be restored.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Gandydancer

    “Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway”

    Hence the opening of a couple of lignite fired power stations. Lignite hasn’t really had time to fossilise, so it’s more like burning damp wood.

    But methane is MUCH cleaner than lignite or even good Welsh steam coal.

    AFAIK the USA is still buying titanium from Russia, just as Russia is still paying Ukraine gas transit fees. Funny old war/SMO.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Titanium itself is not sanctioned but the largest Russian titanium producer, VSMPO-AVISMA, is now on the sanctions list.

    https://thegaze.media/news/us-imposes-sanctions-on-russias-largest-titanium-producer

    Even before that, in March 2022, Rolls-Royce Holdings and Boeing suspended purchasing titanium from them.

    We have not declared total war on Russia. Certain exports and imports and producers are sanctioned and anything and anyone that is not on a sanctions list can still be dealt with.

    The lignite plants are not new. Germany had mothballed most of its lignite power plants and now they have reopened a few of them. Preventing climate change is wonderful but Germans are not going to sit in the dark (nor are they going to fund Russia's war machine with gas purchases either) so they will have to burn lignite for a few more years. You can't have everything.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertbryce/2022/10/28/the-iron-law-of-electricity-strikes-again-germany-re-opens-five-lignite-fired-power-plants/?sh=3c40789b3d0c

  375. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Jack D

    "Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway"

    Hence the opening of a couple of lignite fired power stations. Lignite hasn't really had time to fossilise, so it's more like burning damp wood.

    But methane is MUCH cleaner than lignite or even good Welsh steam coal.

    AFAIK the USA is still buying titanium from Russia, just as Russia is still paying Ukraine gas transit fees. Funny old war/SMO.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Titanium itself is not sanctioned but the largest Russian titanium producer, VSMPO-AVISMA, is now on the sanctions list.

    https://thegaze.media/news/us-imposes-sanctions-on-russias-largest-titanium-producer

    Even before that, in March 2022, Rolls-Royce Holdings and Boeing suspended purchasing titanium from them.

    We have not declared total war on Russia. Certain exports and imports and producers are sanctioned and anything and anyone that is not on a sanctions list can still be dealt with.

    The lignite plants are not new. Germany had mothballed most of its lignite power plants and now they have reopened a few of them. Preventing climate change is wonderful but Germans are not going to sit in the dark (nor are they going to fund Russia’s war machine with gas purchases either) so they will have to burn lignite for a few more years. You can’t have everything.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertbryce/2022/10/28/the-iron-law-of-electricity-strikes-again-germany-re-opens-five-lignite-fired-power-plants/?sh=3c40789b3d0c

  376. @Jack D
    @ic1000

    Nothing is going to convince the "Russia is winning" crowd until Putin locks them up or arranges for them to "fall" out of a window. But HA is pretty good at pointing out the ridiculousness, pretzel logic, shifting goal posts, projection and self-contradiction of their chosen fantasies and fantasy purveyors such as Mearshimer. These may roll off of you like water off of a duck's back but others reading this are not going to be similarly impervious to facts such as when he posts direct links to Mearshimer's proven wrong predictions such as saying that Putin was "too smart" to invade Ukraine and that Russia would "crush" Ukraine:

    https://twitter.com/DrewPavlou/status/1716388303006745064

    Replies: @HA, @ic1000, @vinteuil

    You seriously think that Drew Pavlou got the better of that exchange?

    • Replies: @HA
    @vinteuil

    "You seriously think that Drew Pavlou got the better of that exchange?"

    You seriously think that someone who insists, as Mearshimer has, that Putin is much too smart to try and conquer Ukraine, and then flip-flops to insisting that the Ukrainians will be CRUSHED and that Kyiv will be turned into rubble and that Russia would level Ukraine and go nuclear on the West is still a clear-eyed prophet in the matter of Ukraine?

    If that's the case, Pavlou made an ass of him and you both.

  377. @Jack D
    @Gandydancer

    IIRC only 3 of the 4 lines were damaged so even today the pipeline could be used.

    There is some question as to whether the other 3 pipelines are restorable or whether they have been damaged beyond repair by seawater intrusion. Given the political situation and the fact that Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway, I doubt that they are every going to be restored.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon, @Gandydancer

    Given the political situation and the fact that Germany is supposed to be weaning itself off of fossil fuels anyway, I doubt that they are every going to be restored.

    Utter nonsense. Neither Germany nor anywhere else is going to stop using fossil fuels. Russian gas is cheaper than US LNG by miles and miles and Germany will stop shooting itself in the foot sooner rather than later.

    There is some question as to whether the other 3 pipelines… have been damaged beyond repair by seawater intrusion.

    More ignorant nonsense. I refuse to believe anyone would be stupid enough to build an undersea pipeline which could be ruined beyond repair by salt water. Nor is there any plausible reason to do so. It’s a fucking pipe, with a few attachments like valves and pumps. Besides, as I already noted, THE RUSSIANS HAVE SAID THEY CAN FIX IT, just as you would expect. Nor is there any reason to think that repairing three comparative pinholes will be expensive compared with laying the pipe. Is it really still news to you that crazy lies, suitable for belief only by the dimwitted, are common in the leugenpresse?

  378. @HA
    @ic1000

    "none of that will convince your readership to suddenly align with your preferred positions."

    I'm not here to convince you of anything. If you're giving a nod to the likes of Mearshimer, who basically claims that big powers can (and really, ought) to do whatever is in their interests, and you're also criticizing the US for being a "bad friend", that's a contradiction that I think you yourself need to mull over and resolve. It's beyond my poor powers to make sense of it, so I'm just going to point out the mixed messaging and leave it at that. And if all you've got by way of reply is how you don't like me or my capitalization and sarcasm, then let's admit it ain't much of a comeback. I'm not here hoping to win a popularity contest with a bunch of fanboys as much as I'm hoping to merely give them a diluted taste of their own medicine. It's the undecideds who will be able to make some use of that more so than the partisans on either side who dare to engage, since most of the latter are well beyond persuading -- especially given the thick clouds of confirmation bias and copium wafting in the arena.

    And with regard to that diluted taste of medicine, you're seriously going to gripe about all-caps? Really? THAT is what ticks you off? (Ooops, there I go again...) Come on, if putting the occasional word in all caps is enough to ruffle your feathers, well, maybe go take some smelling salts and retire to the fainting couch before the vapours do you in. Of all the expletives and other lowbrow antics I've seen on these comments, and the genuine adulation that people like Putin and Trump and their various propagandists receive despite reveling in the kind of bullying that I wouldn't go near, you want to clutch pearls about the way I emphasize words?

    Way to keep it substantive. I'm reminded of that IQ debate Derbyshire engaged in where the black students were telling him how his arguments were "hurtful" whereas all he cared about was whether he had said anything that was untrue or inaccurate. I'm often at odds with Derbyshire, but right now, I get how he must have felt. In any case, I'm not here to respect the fanboys' safe spaces or echo chambers, much less their ridiculously skewed rules of rhetorical decorum.

    Hopefully, like Custine, the man your boy Kennan regretfully declared a prophet, you too will one day get a close-up view of the friends you're implicitly cheering for, and see where that gets you. It certainly made him do a 180.

    Replies: @MEH 0910, @Gandydancer

    Contrary to your claim there is no contradiction between Mearscheimer’s observation that countries live in a state of anarchy with no higher power to enforce any rules on them and the observation that the US is an unreliable friend. In fact the latter observation flows directly from the former.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Gandydancer

    "Contrary to your claim there is no contradiction between Mearscheimer’s observation that countries live in a state of anarchy with no higher power to enforce any rules on them and the observation that the US is an unreliable friend."

    I didn't claim any of that --go build some other strawman. I'm merely pointing out that Mearshimer's analysis is spotty and selective, and as shown by his flip-flopping over Ukraine, dead wrong. At the very least, he needs to incorporate the Ukrainians' stated preferences into his worldview as opposed to his insistence that he knows what's better for them.

    Moreover, my digs at the tiresome wailing about what a bad friend the US is or has been is -- which is how the topic of Mearshimer entered the chat in the first place -- is that any such laments are meaningless in the absence of context. In the real world, the bad friendship of the US must be measured against the bad friendship of Russia and Chine or Iran, which the wailers are implicitly endorsing, and given what I've seen of the latter, I can understand why Ukraine has chosen the friends it has. Which I would remind everyone is not just the US, but also any number of states that seem to be objectively better-run places to live than Beijing or Moscow, if one compares, say, how many Dutch or Brits or Germans or even Poles who are eager to emigrate to China vs. the number of Chinese who would happily scoot off to Amsterdam or some other spot in Europe.

    Moreover, the very same people who cry about what a bad friend the US is are the ones who insist (if only implicitly) that we should simply cast them adrift now, and thereby self-fulfill the very kind of thing they condemn. If that's your idea of friendship, spare me any of your moralizing about bad friends. That goes double if you want to compound any of that with inanities regarding all caps, sarcasm, or repetition when the Ignore button is merely a click away. When the fanboys stop trying to pretend that NATO goes around swallowing up countries like Russia does, I'll stop my tiresome repetition bout that that's not what NATO did before, and certainly not remotely applicable to what happened with Ukraine. If it's only my repetitiveness that anyone chooses to criticize, you're not going to impress me.

  379. @Anonymous
    @Gandydancer


    It is difficult to maintain that position [‘changing borders via military intervention is Bad For Everybody’] without condemning Zionism.

    Really? What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?
     

     
    Every single border zionist jews have ever claimed as “israel” has been the result of violent action.

    Replies: @acementhead, @Gandydancer

    me: “What borders did Zionism change via military intervention?”

    you: “Every single border zionist[sic] jews[sic] have ever claimed as “israel”[sic] has been the result of violent action.”

    Self defense is often via violent action, but that doesn’t make it into “military intervention”.

    I repeat, what borders did Zionism change via military intervention?

    Also, both “Jews” and “Israel” are capitalized. And it’s not spelled “Joos”, either. Why you brain-dead shits think illiteracy is a good look I cannot imagine.

  380. @Jim Don Bob
    @Johann Ricke

    Sarah Jessica Parker. No way.

    Replies: @Gandydancer

    Gal Gadot.

  381. @vinteuil
    @Peter Akuleyev


    Mearsheimer is an idiot
     
    Is Jeffrey Sachs also an idiot?

    Replies: @ic1000, @Dieter Kief

    Jeff Sachs’ reasons that the US was behind the blow up of the Northstream II pipeline – beinning at min. 8 ca.

  382. How the chance was lost for a peace settlement of the Ukraine war
    and the west wanted to continue the war instead

    A detailed reconstruction of events in March 2022
    Hajo Funke and Harald Kujat
    Berlin, October 2023

    https://braveneweurope.com/michael-von-der-schulenburg-hajo-funke-harald-kujat-peace-for-ukraine

  383. @Mr. Anon
    @HA


    As opposed to very long conference table? The fanboys have no problem with that.
     
    Putin fanboys? Who are they. I suppose you think that everyone who disagrees with you is a "Putin fanboy".

    So - what is your point - that you are at least no less crazy than a beady-eyed psychopathic ex-secret-policeman?

    Okay. You've convinced me.

    Replies: @HA

    “Putin fanboys? Who are they?”

    Explains everything that anyone needs to know about you (or more precisely, why anyone would even bother).

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @HA


    Explains everything that anyone needs to know about you (or more precisely, why anyone would even bother).
     
    A complete non-sequitur. You deride anyone you don't like as a "Putin fan boy", regardless of their opinion about Putin.

    You are an ass.

    But then, we all knew that.

    Replies: @HA

  384. @Gandydancer
    @HA

    Contrary to your claim there is no contradiction between Mearscheimer's observation that countries live in a state of anarchy with no higher power to enforce any rules on them and the observation that the US is an unreliable friend. In fact the latter observation flows directly from the former.

    Replies: @HA

    “Contrary to your claim there is no contradiction between Mearscheimer’s observation that countries live in a state of anarchy with no higher power to enforce any rules on them and the observation that the US is an unreliable friend.”

    I didn’t claim any of that –go build some other strawman. I’m merely pointing out that Mearshimer’s analysis is spotty and selective, and as shown by his flip-flopping over Ukraine, dead wrong. At the very least, he needs to incorporate the Ukrainians’ stated preferences into his worldview as opposed to his insistence that he knows what’s better for them.

    Moreover, my digs at the tiresome wailing about what a bad friend the US is or has been is — which is how the topic of Mearshimer entered the chat in the first place — is that any such laments are meaningless in the absence of context. In the real world, the bad friendship of the US must be measured against the bad friendship of Russia and Chine or Iran, which the wailers are implicitly endorsing, and given what I’ve seen of the latter, I can understand why Ukraine has chosen the friends it has. Which I would remind everyone is not just the US, but also any number of states that seem to be objectively better-run places to live than Beijing or Moscow, if one compares, say, how many Dutch or Brits or Germans or even Poles who are eager to emigrate to China vs. the number of Chinese who would happily scoot off to Amsterdam or some other spot in Europe.

    Moreover, the very same people who cry about what a bad friend the US is are the ones who insist (if only implicitly) that we should simply cast them adrift now, and thereby self-fulfill the very kind of thing they condemn. If that’s your idea of friendship, spare me any of your moralizing about bad friends. That goes double if you want to compound any of that with inanities regarding all caps, sarcasm, or repetition when the Ignore button is merely a click away. When the fanboys stop trying to pretend that NATO goes around swallowing up countries like Russia does, I’ll stop my tiresome repetition bout that that’s not what NATO did before, and certainly not remotely applicable to what happened with Ukraine. If it’s only my repetitiveness that anyone chooses to criticize, you’re not going to impress me.

  385. @Greta Handel
    @HA

    You’re really good at this, HA. As with COVID, much smoother than your tag team partner. I appreciate the opportunity here at TUR to analyze and engage directly with such artful propaganda.

    Once again, several techniques are employed, starting with this deft blend of humility, dissembling, and flattery:


    Mearshimer is always going to be a hero to any comment section at Unz-dot-com because he went against the Israeli lobby, so I have no illusions about changing anyone’s opinion here about him.
     
    Yet I think that you composed the comment not to refute John Mearshimer, or even distract from his insights about “the Israeli lobby.” Instead, the virtuoso HA spent this keyboard time to convey a refreshed 1967 narrative — targeted to those here who oppose imperialism — of sympathy for a vulnerable, besieged Israel:

    Even though the UK and then the US played a major role in keeping Israel alive, and both are big geopolitical gorillas, the fact that they would do so that despite the cost of alienating much of the Middle East is beyond what his theories and projections allow.
    ***
    I suspect he might feel the same way about the Kurds, or the Vietnamese or the Afghanis, or the Armenians, or any number of other small countries who have stubbornly refused to succumb to larger land-hungry neighbors.
     
    That’s the principal theme in #365, isn’t it?

    Replies: @HA

    “That’s the principal theme in #365, isn’t it?”

    Nah, but I do appreciate your giving me the opportunity to acknowledge that Mearshimer’s inability to explain the US and Israel (or the Brits and Israel, for that matter) was actually something I picked up from Quillette, which I should have noted previously, but I couldn’t remember where I read it:

    [Mearshimer’s] realism cannot account for the enduring alliance between the US and Israel, either. In a March 2006 essay for the London Review of Books, Mearsheimer and Walt seem to acknowledge this problem, as they puzzle over the intelligence cooperation, military aid, and diplomatic support the US provided to the Jewish state: “This extraordinary generosity,” they write, “might be understandable if Israel were a vital strategic asset or if there were a compelling moral case for US backing. But neither explanation is convincing.” They argue that the partnership has “complicated America’s relations with the Arab world” and undermined its security interests.

    My own issues with Mearshimer have little to do with Israel — I had him pegged (correctly, I maintain) as just another autistic social scientist who thinks human beings are basically sacks of potatoes or X’s on a spreadsheet back when I read about his fondness for forced population transfers (e.g. in Bosnia?) Admittedly, such egghead solutions seem so tantalizingly obvious and simple in theory, but alas, they’re maddeningly difficult to implement in the real world in the absence of a big-power tyrannical guiding hand that ultimately causes far worse problems than whatever it resolved by way of those forced population transfers. But given how comfortable Mearshimer seems to have become with seeing things exclusively in terms of what works best for the big-power tyrannical guiding hand, he’s unable to understand that very obvious hole in his theorizing.

    But sure, go ahead and believe that everything I’ve ever written has to be about the Jews. I expect little else here at Unz-dot-com.

  386. @Jack D
    @HA

    Certainly it's telling who gets to spout off on state controlled Russian TV. Generally it is voices to the right of the government and never to the left so that the Russian Overtonsky Window is always getting shoved to the right.

    But that doesn't mean that the Russian government is going to listen to this windbag and actually bomb Romania in the short run, any more that the Trump Administration was about to adopt all of the recommendations of Tucker Carlson. Don't confuse TV windbags with actual government policy. As I said before, the function of these guys is to create some domestic space for the Russian government to move even more to the right, but not all the way to their most extreme positions.

    Sure, putting all the former E. Bloc vassals in their place like the good old days is on their wish list, but Shoigu knows that he is in no position to actually bomb what is now a NATO country and start WWIII.

    Replies: @HA

    “Sure, putting all the former E. Bloc vassals in their place like the good old days is on their wish list, but Shoigu knows that he is in no position to actually bomb what is now a NATO country and start WWIII.”

    That’s certainly true now. But to anyone who has watched over the last decade or so (or really, how the Duchy of Muscovy got to where it is now), the strategy is obvious: bully and ultimately incapacitate or even incorporate any and all smaller neighbors, and then use that added weight in the next campaign. At some point, the plan is also to have Trump or someone else pull the US out of NATO and eventually to have it and the EU dissolved altogether or made ineffective by the likes of Orban and other stooges.

    There is of course a flaw in that strategy, and by brutalizing Chechnya, or Georgia, or Ukraine or anyone else, as it has in the past few decades, Russia has thereby driven Russia’s neighbors into the fold of NATO (even formerly neutral countries like Finland and Sweden) and continued to make NATO relevant.

    I’d like to be as confident as you that this grand plan will run adrift on the basis of that fundamental flaw. But the world is too unsure, and the supply of useful idiots and easily bribed lackeys and think thanks is too plentiful (e.g. this so called “Brave New Europe” puff piece Cagey Beast apparently thinks is worth our time for the sole reason that it rehashes the same bogus arguments that have been discredited before.) And these same jokers will continue to insist that it was actually the US and UK that forced Ukraine into war, and hope the rest of us forget (or that it’s only MY tiresome repetitiveness in countering them that needs to be castigated as opposed to theirs):

    Exclusive: As war began, Putin rejected a Ukraine peace deal recommended by aide

    Vladimir Putin’s chief envoy on Ukraine told the Russian leader as the war began that he had struck a provisional deal with Kyiv that would satisfy Russia’s demand that Ukraine stay out of NATO, but Putin rejected it and pressed ahead with his military campaign, according to three people close to the Russian leadership.

    The answer then, is continued vigilance. I’m not asking for Russia to be defeated, but in the words of Kennan, it has to be contained until it either falls apart and defeats itself, or else decides to grow up and learn that it ought to fix its own wreckage instead of creating and then demanding to solve those in other countries. The same containment strategy, I would argue, should apply to China, but what happens with Ukraine will help dictate that.

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @HA


    [...] or really, how the Duchy of Muscovy got to where it is now [..]
     
    Are you still pretending to not be Ukrainian? If so, you're doing a bad job of it.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Zo1uZXVV5rg

    Replies: @HA

  387. @vinteuil
    @Jack D

    You seriously think that Drew Pavlou got the better of that exchange?

    Replies: @HA

    “You seriously think that Drew Pavlou got the better of that exchange?”

    You seriously think that someone who insists, as Mearshimer has, that Putin is much too smart to try and conquer Ukraine, and then flip-flops to insisting that the Ukrainians will be CRUSHED and that Kyiv will be turned into rubble and that Russia would level Ukraine and go nuclear on the West is still a clear-eyed prophet in the matter of Ukraine?

    If that’s the case, Pavlou made an ass of him and you both.

  388. @Citizen of a Silly Country
    @Jack D

    Jack, you tell some great whoppers to us gullible goys, but this has to rank near the top.

    Please let us know when China or Russia or (this is pure comedy gold) Iran have:

    1. A deep-water navy capable of transporting at least a million troops across the ocean

    2. The navy, air force and missile system to protect those transport ships from our subs, carrier groups, long-range bombers, long-range missiles, etc.

    3. The landing craft to get those million or two soldier on the ground

    4. The logistical capability to feed and supply those million or two soldiers fighting thousands of miles away

    5. The air force, missile systems, drones, etc., to protect their invading army

    And so on and so one.

    Seriously, I find you absolutely hilarious, but your utter disrespect for the intelligence of non-Jews, while, admittedly, well earned, is a sight to behold. However, just remember that not all of us non-kosher whites are quite as stupid as you believe.

    And Indians and Asian don't even care enough to listen to your lies. That should scare you more than anything, btw.

    Replies: @BB753

    You’re right. And your thinking applies both ways: America hasn’t the capability to invade Russia, China or Iran either, for the very same reasons you mentioned.

    • Replies: @HA
    @BB753

    "America hasn’t the capability to invade Russia, China or Iran..."

    It evidently has the power to make their invasions of neighboring countries significantly more difficult and less impressive, especially if other countries help out.

    Whereas Russia is now reduced to asking former customers if they're willing to sell back their Russian-made equipment. But I'm thinking customers like Egypt might just want to hang on to that a little while longer given the trouble Russia has helped stir up in Israel. Seems like someone in Moscow didn't think that strategy through all the way.


    Russia Asks Allies if It Can Have Its Weapons Back

    Russia has reportedly attempted to get back some of the weapons it has exported to countries such as Pakistan, Egypt, Belarus and Brazil, in order to boost its arsenal for the ongoing war with Ukraine...

    "Russia spent decades building its arms trade," one source told the WSJ. "Now they're going back in secret to their customers trying to buy back what they sold them."
     

    Contrary to what the article implies, I think this is actually a huge boost to Russia's arms trade. I know I'd be more likely to buy even a piece of Russian-made junk if I suspected that whoever sold it to me will come back in a few decades begging to buy it back, but it might not work out so well with regard to their current invasion of Ukraine.
    , @Mike Tre
    @BB753

    and there's no reason for it anyway.

  389. @HA
    @Jack D

    "Sure, putting all the former E. Bloc vassals in their place like the good old days is on their wish list, but Shoigu knows that he is in no position to actually bomb what is now a NATO country and start WWIII."

    That's certainly true now. But to anyone who has watched over the last decade or so (or really, how the Duchy of Muscovy got to where it is now), the strategy is obvious: bully and ultimately incapacitate or even incorporate any and all smaller neighbors, and then use that added weight in the next campaign. At some point, the plan is also to have Trump or someone else pull the US out of NATO and eventually to have it and the EU dissolved altogether or made ineffective by the likes of Orban and other stooges.

    There is of course a flaw in that strategy, and by brutalizing Chechnya, or Georgia, or Ukraine or anyone else, as it has in the past few decades, Russia has thereby driven Russia's neighbors into the fold of NATO (even formerly neutral countries like Finland and Sweden) and continued to make NATO relevant.

    I'd like to be as confident as you that this grand plan will run adrift on the basis of that fundamental flaw. But the world is too unsure, and the supply of useful idiots and easily bribed lackeys and think thanks is too plentiful (e.g. this so called "Brave New Europe" puff piece Cagey Beast apparently thinks is worth our time for the sole reason that it rehashes the same bogus arguments that have been discredited before.) And these same jokers will continue to insist that it was actually the US and UK that forced Ukraine into war, and hope the rest of us forget (or that it's only MY tiresome repetitiveness in countering them that needs to be castigated as opposed to theirs):


    Exclusive: As war began, Putin rejected a Ukraine peace deal recommended by aide

    Vladimir Putin’s chief envoy on Ukraine told the Russian leader as the war began that he had struck a provisional deal with Kyiv that would satisfy Russia’s demand that Ukraine stay out of NATO, but Putin rejected it and pressed ahead with his military campaign, according to three people close to the Russian leadership.
     

    The answer then, is continued vigilance. I'm not asking for Russia to be defeated, but in the words of Kennan, it has to be contained until it either falls apart and defeats itself, or else decides to grow up and learn that it ought to fix its own wreckage instead of creating and then demanding to solve those in other countries. The same containment strategy, I would argue, should apply to China, but what happens with Ukraine will help dictate that.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    […] or really, how the Duchy of Muscovy got to where it is now [..]

    Are you still pretending to not be Ukrainian? If so, you’re doing a bad job of it.

    • Replies: @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    Are you still pretending to not be Ukrainian?

    Wait, knowing about the Ducy of Muscovy makes me Ukrainian? Why wouldn't it make me Russian?

    More to the point, if watching a Youtube video's worth of Russian history is all one needs to be familiar with the Duchy of Muscovy, or if a simple Wikipedia search into how Mick Jagger came to write "Sympathy for the Devil" is all one needs in order to be familiar with Bulgakov, then maybe, just maybe, the number of people who know about that, or anything related to that, is significantly greater than the number of Ukrainians and Russians in the world put together. Do the math and draw your own conclusions.

    If that's beyond you, then given that you yourself are apparently in-the-know on that inside joke, I guess that must make you Ukrainian too, or would you prefer to stick with Russian stooge?

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

  390. @Cagey Beast
    @HA


    [...] or really, how the Duchy of Muscovy got to where it is now [..]
     
    Are you still pretending to not be Ukrainian? If so, you're doing a bad job of it.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Zo1uZXVV5rg

    Replies: @HA

    Are you still pretending to not be Ukrainian?

    Wait, knowing about the Ducy of Muscovy makes me Ukrainian? Why wouldn’t it make me Russian?

    More to the point, if watching a Youtube video’s worth of Russian history is all one needs to be familiar with the Duchy of Muscovy, or if a simple Wikipedia search into how Mick Jagger came to write “Sympathy for the Devil” is all one needs in order to be familiar with Bulgakov, then maybe, just maybe, the number of people who know about that, or anything related to that, is significantly greater than the number of Ukrainians and Russians in the world put together. Do the math and draw your own conclusions.

    If that’s beyond you, then given that you yourself are apparently in-the-know on that inside joke, I guess that must make you Ukrainian too, or would you prefer to stick with Russian stooge?

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @HA

    If a 98-year old veteran can proudly stand up in the Canadian House of Commons as a Ukrainian nationalist then why can't you do the same here?

    Replies: @HA

  391. @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    Are you still pretending to not be Ukrainian?

    Wait, knowing about the Ducy of Muscovy makes me Ukrainian? Why wouldn't it make me Russian?

    More to the point, if watching a Youtube video's worth of Russian history is all one needs to be familiar with the Duchy of Muscovy, or if a simple Wikipedia search into how Mick Jagger came to write "Sympathy for the Devil" is all one needs in order to be familiar with Bulgakov, then maybe, just maybe, the number of people who know about that, or anything related to that, is significantly greater than the number of Ukrainians and Russians in the world put together. Do the math and draw your own conclusions.

    If that's beyond you, then given that you yourself are apparently in-the-know on that inside joke, I guess that must make you Ukrainian too, or would you prefer to stick with Russian stooge?

    Replies: @Cagey Beast

    If a 98-year old veteran can proudly stand up in the Canadian House of Commons as a Ukrainian nationalist then why can’t you do the same here?

    • Replies: @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    "If a 98-year old veteran can proudly stand up in the Canadian House of Commons as a Ukrainian nationalist then why can’t you do the same here?"

    I can think of a very simple and obvious reason why I myself wouldn't do that, but put on your tinfoil had and conspire away to your heart's content. Again, if I have to explain myself for knowing too much, anyone who accuses me of that the way you just did is obligated to do the same, so focus on your confessing before worrying about mine. Moreover, I've already specified what my Ukrainian connections are (and are not) to no less than Ron Unz himself. And since I've just been accused of repetition (on top of sarcasm and using all-caps and assorted other barbarities so heinous I've already managed to block them out), I'm gonna say that was plenty enough and leave it at that. The likes of you would be more persuasive if you opted for more consistency regarding your pointless whining about the likes of me.

  392. @BB753
    @Citizen of a Silly Country

    You're right. And your thinking applies both ways: America hasn't the capability to invade Russia, China or Iran either, for the very same reasons you mentioned.

    Replies: @HA, @Mike Tre

    “America hasn’t the capability to invade Russia, China or Iran…”

    It evidently has the power to make their invasions of neighboring countries significantly more difficult and less impressive, especially if other countries help out.

    Whereas Russia is now reduced to asking former customers if they’re willing to sell back their Russian-made equipment. But I’m thinking customers like Egypt might just want to hang on to that a little while longer given the trouble Russia has helped stir up in Israel. Seems like someone in Moscow didn’t think that strategy through all the way.

    Russia Asks Allies if It Can Have Its Weapons Back

    Russia has reportedly attempted to get back some of the weapons it has exported to countries such as Pakistan, Egypt, Belarus and Brazil, in order to boost its arsenal for the ongoing war with Ukraine…

    “Russia spent decades building its arms trade,” one source told the WSJ. “Now they’re going back in secret to their customers trying to buy back what they sold them.”

    Contrary to what the article implies, I think this is actually a huge boost to Russia’s arms trade. I know I’d be more likely to buy even a piece of Russian-made junk if I suspected that whoever sold it to me will come back in a few decades begging to buy it back, but it might not work out so well with regard to their current invasion of Ukraine.

  393. The WSJ is saying this now:

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Cagey Beast

    This RT takes numerous quotes from the WSJ opinion piece. People who comment here should read it and adjust their cabbage roll hasbara accordingly:

    End ‘magical thinking’ about Russia’s defeat – WSJ essay
    Washington analysts have conceded that it’s unrealistic to expect Moscow to lose the Ukraine conflict

    https://www.rt.com/news/587447-wsj-oped-end-magical-thinking-russian-defeat/

    , @HA
    @Cagey Beast

    "it’s unrealistic to expect Moscow to lose the Ukraine conflict"

    Fine. I'll settle for a few more strategic retreats, a couple of tactical abandonments, , and maybe a goodwill gesture here and there. And also some firming up of the front line. As long as they keep up with those, they don't need to lose at all. The stated goal, from our perspective -- as I distinctly recall from that congressional hearing early on -- was always to grind Russia down, and as long as the Ukrainians are willing to continue, that's justification enough. I don't really care how much oligarch funding some wonks receive in order to write an op-ed of cherry-picked evasions, it won't change the fact that we're doing plenty of grinding. If Russia had more of its own munitions than the West did, it wouldn't be asking North Korea and Egypt to pony up, their economy and inflation rate would be at better levels, and the number of Russians who want Putin to settle wouldn't exceed the number wanting the war to continue. And their military base in Crimea would actually be usable.

    And there wouldn't be any Ukrainian forces on the left side of the Dnieper. You know when Solovyev raged last year about the tactical retreat from Kherson, and said that had better be the last time -- the LAST time -- that Russian forces ever needed to do anything like that? Well, here he is yesterday talking about the nearby left side of the Dnieper:

    https://twitter.com/Doktor_Klein/status/1724768357923037456


    Yeah, just keep those tactical retreats and planned regroupings coming. Once they get to Moscow (or at least Voronezh), they can hold a big victory parade to celebrate all that heroic advancement to the rear, for all I care.


    "The US and its allies need a new strategy: containment."

    Containment, you say? What a bunch of plagiarizing wankers -- as the record shows, I beat those losers to the punch with regard to advising that we return to the Kennan-esque policy of containment several hours ago. So when's my oligarch check gonna come in? It better not be in rubles, that's all I'm saying.

  394. @Cagey Beast
    The WSJ is saying this now:

    https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/1725290379283460445?s=20

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @HA

    This RT takes numerous quotes from the WSJ opinion piece. People who comment here should read it and adjust their cabbage roll hasbara accordingly:

    End ‘magical thinking’ about Russia’s defeat – WSJ essay
    Washington analysts have conceded that it’s unrealistic to expect Moscow to lose the Ukraine conflict

    https://www.rt.com/news/587447-wsj-oped-end-magical-thinking-russian-defeat/

  395. @Cagey Beast
    @HA

    If a 98-year old veteran can proudly stand up in the Canadian House of Commons as a Ukrainian nationalist then why can't you do the same here?

    Replies: @HA

    “If a 98-year old veteran can proudly stand up in the Canadian House of Commons as a Ukrainian nationalist then why can’t you do the same here?”

    I can think of a very simple and obvious reason why I myself wouldn’t do that, but put on your tinfoil had and conspire away to your heart’s content. Again, if I have to explain myself for knowing too much, anyone who accuses me of that the way you just did is obligated to do the same, so focus on your confessing before worrying about mine. Moreover, I’ve already specified what my Ukrainian connections are (and are not) to no less than Ron Unz himself. And since I’ve just been accused of repetition (on top of sarcasm and using all-caps and assorted other barbarities so heinous I’ve already managed to block them out), I’m gonna say that was plenty enough and leave it at that. The likes of you would be more persuasive if you opted for more consistency regarding your pointless whining about the likes of me.

  396. @HA
    @Mr. Anon

    "Putin fanboys? Who are they?"

    Explains everything that anyone needs to know about you (or more precisely, why anyone would even bother).

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    Explains everything that anyone needs to know about you (or more precisely, why anyone would even bother).

    A complete non-sequitur. You deride anyone you don’t like as a “Putin fan boy”, regardless of their opinion about Putin.

    You are an ass.

    But then, we all knew that.

    • Agree: Cagey Beast
    • Replies: @HA
    @Mr. Anon

    "You deride anyone you don’t like as a 'Putin fan boy'”

    No, little fanboy, as I've explained on numerous occasion (cue the "repetition" accusations) when I call anyone "fanboy", it is a shorthand/catchall for "paid trolls, fellow travelers and useful idiots". And to the extent that any of those are slapping "Agree" stickers on your comments -- and evidently they are -- then fanboy is good enough for you, too, as loathe as you are to crawl out of your hibernation cave and admit that the world has moved on to other issues after COVID, and miraculously, despite your Chicken-Little warnings about the lockdown gestapos doing us all in, still kept on spinning. You can even join your bro Peterike in pretending that you were right about all that all along, but having taken it upon yourself early on in that epidemic to speak on behalf of the just-a-flu bros, and then later coming to admit subsequently that COVID wasn't just the flu after all, you're not gonna fool me into thinking that I'm the one who owes the likes of you or him an apology about anything. The ER's are pretty available for now, so either take the vaxx or don't for all I care. I'm not gonna stand in your way. If I have any regrets about COVID, it was spending way too much time answering your fact-free drivel (regarding "lockdown efficiency indices" and other such desperate grasping at straws), so I'll leave it at that rather than compound. that mistake.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

  397. @Cagey Beast
    The WSJ is saying this now:

    https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/1725290379283460445?s=20

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @HA

    “it’s unrealistic to expect Moscow to lose the Ukraine conflict”

    Fine. I’ll settle for a few more strategic retreats, a couple of tactical abandonments, , and maybe a goodwill gesture here and there. And also some firming up of the front line. As long as they keep up with those, they don’t need to lose at all. The stated goal, from our perspective — as I distinctly recall from that congressional hearing early on — was always to grind Russia down, and as long as the Ukrainians are willing to continue, that’s justification enough. I don’t really care how much oligarch funding some wonks receive in order to write an op-ed of cherry-picked evasions, it won’t change the fact that we’re doing plenty of grinding. If Russia had more of its own munitions than the West did, it wouldn’t be asking North Korea and Egypt to pony up, their economy and inflation rate would be at better levels, and the number of Russians who want Putin to settle wouldn’t exceed the number wanting the war to continue. And their military base in Crimea would actually be usable.

    And there wouldn’t be any Ukrainian forces on the left side of the Dnieper. You know when Solovyev raged last year about the tactical retreat from Kherson, and said that had better be the last time — the LAST time — that Russian forces ever needed to do anything like that? Well, here he is yesterday talking about the nearby left side of the Dnieper:

    Yeah, just keep those tactical retreats and planned regroupings coming. Once they get to Moscow (or at least Voronezh), they can hold a big victory parade to celebrate all that heroic advancement to the rear, for all I care.

    “The US and its allies need a new strategy: containment.”

    Containment, you say? What a bunch of plagiarizing wankers — as the record shows, I beat those losers to the punch with regard to advising that we return to the Kennan-esque policy of containment several hours ago. So when’s my oligarch check gonna come in? It better not be in rubles, that’s all I’m saying.

  398. @BB753
    @Citizen of a Silly Country

    You're right. And your thinking applies both ways: America hasn't the capability to invade Russia, China or Iran either, for the very same reasons you mentioned.

    Replies: @HA, @Mike Tre

    and there’s no reason for it anyway.

    • Agree: BB753
  399. @Mr. Anon
    @HA


    Explains everything that anyone needs to know about you (or more precisely, why anyone would even bother).
     
    A complete non-sequitur. You deride anyone you don't like as a "Putin fan boy", regardless of their opinion about Putin.

    You are an ass.

    But then, we all knew that.

    Replies: @HA

    “You deride anyone you don’t like as a ‘Putin fan boy’”

    No, little fanboy, as I’ve explained on numerous occasion (cue the “repetition” accusations) when I call anyone “fanboy”, it is a shorthand/catchall for “paid trolls, fellow travelers and useful idiots”. And to the extent that any of those are slapping “Agree” stickers on your comments — and evidently they are — then fanboy is good enough for you, too, as loathe as you are to crawl out of your hibernation cave and admit that the world has moved on to other issues after COVID, and miraculously, despite your Chicken-Little warnings about the lockdown gestapos doing us all in, still kept on spinning. You can even join your bro Peterike in pretending that you were right about all that all along, but having taken it upon yourself early on in that epidemic to speak on behalf of the just-a-flu bros, and then later coming to admit subsequently that COVID wasn’t just the flu after all, you’re not gonna fool me into thinking that I’m the one who owes the likes of you or him an apology about anything. The ER’s are pretty available for now, so either take the vaxx or don’t for all I care. I’m not gonna stand in your way. If I have any regrets about COVID, it was spending way too much time answering your fact-free drivel (regarding “lockdown efficiency indices” and other such desperate grasping at straws), so I’ll leave it at that rather than compound. that mistake.

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @HA

    I didn't quite read what you wrote there. All I saw was "wah, wah, wah".

    It really isn't worth reading what you write or responding to you at any length.

    You were (are) a COVID hysteric. You're a nincompoop who was proved completely wrong.

  400. @Anonymous
    @Charlesz Martel


    If you don’t want your shit blown up and your people killed, don’t invade another country and kill their people.

    I think the Palestinians in Gaza need to learn that lesson too.
     
    You have it backwards. It is the zionist jews that need to learn that lesson. They are the invaders and the killers. The international community, but especially the United States, needs to stop enabling the zionists so that they are forced to learn that lesson.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Charlesz Martel

    As killers, the Zionist don’t seem to be doing a very good job of genocide. There are more Arabs and Palestinians than ever.

    Some genocide.

    What about all the Jews, who had done nothing to the Arabs living in Arab lands ( that only became Arab Muslim after pushing out Christians, Jews, and everyone else) that were expelled after Israel’s creation. Israel took them in. The Arabs won’t take in the Palestinians. In fact, the people who know the Palestinians best, their “Arab Brothers”, want absolutely nothing to do with them. If they’re not throwing them out like Kuwait did in 1991 when they threw out 300,000, or Jordan in 1970 when they killed tens of thousands in what the Arabs call “Black September”, they’re fighting Christians in Lebanon after they took over and destroyed that country.

    Please go ahead and exalt the mud over the fish. It says a lot about your mental abilities. Or go find a willing goat.

    It’s quite comical to see you hold up these defectives as some sort of “”Noble Cause” to be exalted.

  401. @HA
    @Mr. Anon

    "You deride anyone you don’t like as a 'Putin fan boy'”

    No, little fanboy, as I've explained on numerous occasion (cue the "repetition" accusations) when I call anyone "fanboy", it is a shorthand/catchall for "paid trolls, fellow travelers and useful idiots". And to the extent that any of those are slapping "Agree" stickers on your comments -- and evidently they are -- then fanboy is good enough for you, too, as loathe as you are to crawl out of your hibernation cave and admit that the world has moved on to other issues after COVID, and miraculously, despite your Chicken-Little warnings about the lockdown gestapos doing us all in, still kept on spinning. You can even join your bro Peterike in pretending that you were right about all that all along, but having taken it upon yourself early on in that epidemic to speak on behalf of the just-a-flu bros, and then later coming to admit subsequently that COVID wasn't just the flu after all, you're not gonna fool me into thinking that I'm the one who owes the likes of you or him an apology about anything. The ER's are pretty available for now, so either take the vaxx or don't for all I care. I'm not gonna stand in your way. If I have any regrets about COVID, it was spending way too much time answering your fact-free drivel (regarding "lockdown efficiency indices" and other such desperate grasping at straws), so I'll leave it at that rather than compound. that mistake.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    I didn’t quite read what you wrote there. All I saw was “wah, wah, wah”.

    It really isn’t worth reading what you write or responding to you at any length.

    You were (are) a COVID hysteric. You’re a nincompoop who was proved completely wrong.

    • Thanks: Mark G.
  402. John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast

    Nov 17, 2023

    John Mearsheimer is an international relations scholar at University of Chicago. He is one of the most influential and controversial thinkers in the world on the topics of war and power.

    OUTLINE:
    0:00 – Introduction
    1:29 – Power
    24:43 – Hitler
    42:09 – Russia and Ukraine
    1:38:22 – Israel and Palestine
    2:39:13 – China
    3:21:34 – Life and mortality

    [MORE]

    Excerpted clips:

    Analysis of Vladimir Putin’s mind | John Mearsheimer and Lex Fridman

    War in Ukraine is the fault of US and NATO | John Mearsheimer and Lex Fridman

    Does Putin want to conquer Europe? | John Mearsheimer and Lex Fridman

    How the war in Ukraine will end | John Mearsheimer and Lex Fridman

    John Mearsheimer advice to Lex Fridman about interviewing Putin

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