Community ideas
XAUUSD – Uptrend remains intactXAUUSD – The uptrend is still intact; we just need that decisive break.
Gold is maintaining a strong bullish momentum within the rising channel, consistently printing higher lows. However, price is now approaching a psychological resistance cluster, so the next move could easily include a sharp shakeout to sweep liquidity before the market commits to direction.
Macro context
In periods where markets are sensitive to news flow and interest-rate expectations, gold often finds support from safe-haven demand. But when price is trading at elevated levels, the optimal approach remains the same: don’t chase candles — only act when price reaches key technical zones.
Technical view (H1)
The primary trend remains bullish, with price respecting the rising trendline.
The current area sits in a “premium” zone (prone to profit-taking / sharp pullbacks).
Two key clusters stand out on the chart:
Near psychological resistance: 4630–4640
Next psychological resistance: 4765 (expanded upside target)
Key levels
Near resistance: 4630–4640
Major resistance: 4760–4765
Support / pivot level: 4540 (previous resistance, now potential support)
Deeper support: 4400 (base zone, only relevant if a strong reversal develops)
Trading scenarios
Scenario 1: Trend BUY (priority)
Condition: Price holds above 4630–4640 and continues forming bullish structure.
Entry: Buy the pullback at 4605–4615
SL: 4595
TP1: 4685–4700
TP2: 4760–4765
This is the cleanest setup: a mild retracement, then continuation with the trend.
Scenario 2: Safer BUY on support retest
If price spikes down to sweep liquidity:
Entry: Buy 4540–4545
SL: 4528
TP: 4630 → 4685 → 4765
4540 is a key line in the sand — as long as it holds, the uptrend stays strong.
Scenario 3: Reaction SELL (short-term only)
Only consider sells if there’s clear rejection at resistance:
Sell: 4760–4765
SL: 4778
TP: 4685 → 4635 → 4540
Or, if price fails to hold 4630–4640 and closes weak:
Sell: 4625–4635
SL: 4650
TP: 4545
Conclusion
The dominant trend remains bullish, but price is pressing into psychological resistance — so execution must be “right level, right reaction.” The priority remains buying with the trend, and only selling if there’s a clean rejection at 4765 or a confirmed failure to hold 4630–4640.
👉 If this plan helps, follow LiamTradingFX for daily XAUUSD updates as early as possible.
BEL | Breakout WatchDescription
Bharat Electronics (BEL) is forming a clear Ascending Triangle on the daily chart.
Price has tested the ₹420–₹422 resistance zone multiple times.
Each pullback is making higher lows, indicating steady accumulation.
Price is now compressed near resistance, suggesting a potential breakout.
This structure reflects buyers absorbing supply and preparing for a directional move.
Trade Plan
Breakout Trigger
Daily close above ₹422
Entry
Above ₹423 after confirmation
Stop Loss
Below ₹410 (below rising trendline)
Target
Triangle height ≈ ₹40
Target zone: ₹460 – ₹465
Risk–Reward
Entry ~ ₹423
SL ~ ₹410
Risk ~ ₹13
Target ₹460 = ₹37
Target ₹465 = ₹42
Risk–Reward ≈ 1 : 2.8 to 1 : 3.2
Notes
This is a volatility compression pattern. When it breaks, the move is usually fast and directional.
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
Will MCX continue the trend for another 10% ?*Stock Update - MCX 2416*
MCX continues to trade in a strong uptrend and now in an accumulation zone after the recent move.
Technically Strong & remains positive with higher highs and higher lows intact. As long as price holds above the accumulation base, the trend remain strong.
Support : 2228 - 2303
*7% - 10% Upside Potential*
Part 9 Trading Master Class With Experts Common Mistakes Beginners Make
Trading without understanding Greeks
Buying cheap OTM options
Over-leveraging
Averaging losing trades
Ignoring volatility
Trading every day
Holding losing positions till expiry
Revenge trading
Depending on tips
Ignoring market structure
Banco Products (India) LtdDate 14.10.2026
Banco Products (India) Ltd
Timeframe : Day Chart
Highlight :
Despite of 38% rise in share price in the last 1 year the stock PE Ratio is still at 21
This is very rare occurrence in todays era in stock market, indicates strong earnigs & managment
About
Manufactures and supplies engine cooling modules and systems for automotive and industrial applications in both the domestic and international markets
Revenue Breakup
(1) OEMs: 55-60%
(2) Aftermarkets: 15%
(3) Export: 30%
Geographical Split
(1) International: 68%
(2) India: 32%
Top Clientele
(1) Ashok Leyland
(2) Eicher
(3) Mahindra
(4) Godrej
(5) TATA
(6) TVS
(7) Swaraj Mazda
(8) JCB
(9) John Deere
(10) The top 5 customers contribute less than 35% of revenue
Manufacturing Facilities
The company has 5 manufacturing facilities with a capacity to produce 3.33 million radiators annually
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 9,191 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 21
(3) Roce 32.4 %
(4) Roe 32.2 %
(5) Book Value 5.5X
(6) Opm 17.14%
(7) Promoter 67.88%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 26%
(9) EV/Ebita 114
(10) PEG 0.60
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Triangle wedge analysis Clean read of your NIFTY 1H chart 👇
1) Primary Trend (Big Picture)
✅ Trend is bearish
Strong downmove from the top (~26370 area) to the low (~25473).
Structure shows Lower High + Lower Low → sellers are still in control.
So your context favouring bears is correct.
2) Current Structure (What is happening now?)
After the sharp fall, price is consolidating inside a triangle / wedge:
Pattern = Bearish Continuation Triangle
Upper trendline is sloping down → sellers pressing.
Lower trendline is sloping up → buyers defending but weak.
This usually means:
📌 market is compressing before next big move.
Since the prior move was down → probability is breakdown > breakout.
3) Key Levels (Very Important)
🔻 Support Zone
25470–25520 (recent swing low + base)
If this breaks → next selling wave can start.
🔺 Resistance Zone
25780–25880
This is the rejection zone (multiple wicks + supply).
4) What the candles are saying
Inside triangle, candles are choppy + overlapping → no clean trend yet.
One big spike candle in the middle shows liquidity hunt / stop grabbing
Latest candles are still struggling to cross the falling trendline → weakness.
5) Probability (Bear vs Bull)
✅ Bearish scenario (Higher probability)
📌 Breakdown below triangle support → continuation down
Bear probability ~60–70%
Targets if breakdown happens:
25520 break → 25470
Below 25470 → 25380 / 25280 (next demand zone)
⚠️ Bullish scenario (Only if this happens)
If price breaks and sustains above 25880
Then triangle fails → short covering rally
Bull targets:
26000
26120
But bulls need strong close + follow-through, otherwise it becomes fakeout.
6) Best Trade Plan (Simple)
🔻 Sell confirmation
✅ 1H close below 25520
next candle continues down
SL: above triangle mid / last swing high
Targets: 25470 → 25380
🔺 Buy confirmation
✅ 1H close above 25880
retest holds
Targets: 26000 → 26120
Final Conclusion
📌 Bearish trend + bearish triangle = downside continuation is more likely
Your 60:40 bear:bull view is justified.
Apollo Tyres Ltd – Chart Analysis (Daily)Price has respected the ₹495–500 support zone multiple times, indicating strong demand at lower levels.
A bullish pin bar has formed near this support, suggesting rejection of lower prices and potential upside continuation.
Current price is trading above support and near ₹525–530, showing improving momentum.
Immediate resistance: ₹535–540
Trend bias: Neutral to bullish above ₹495; weakness only if support breaks decisively.
Disclaimer:
This chart analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Stock market investments are subject to market risk. Please do your own research or consult a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Nifty Going towards 45000 in 18 monthsTrue "Ferocious" Bull cycles in India come once every two decades. We are currently in the middle of the third great wave of our lifetime.
Wave 1: 1991–1992 (The Liberalization Boom)
Wave 2: 2003–2008 (The Infra/Capex Boom)
Wave 3: 2020–2027 (The Digital/Manufacturing Boom) 🟢 WE ARE HERE.
The Target: If you draw a trendline connecting the highs of the '92 and '08 cycle tops, the trajectory points to a staggering destination:
🎯 Nifty 45,000 by September 2027.
The Blow-off Top: We are currently in the acceleration phase. Secondary bull runs fill the gaps, but the "Ferocious" cycle is where the real generational wealth is minted. But remember—the steeper the climb, the harder the fall.
The Great Reset: Every super-cycle ends in a violent "Reset."
Post-1992: Massive crash. 📉
Post-2008: Massive crash. 📉
Post-2027/28: Expect a 50% to 70% correction. ⚠️
The Strategy: Don’t let the fear of the "Reset" stop you from participating now. We have roughly 18-20 months of fuel left in this tank.
XAUUSD – H2 Technical OutlookXAUUSD – H2 Technical Outlook | Lana ✨
Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish structure, and price action is confirming that the market is still respecting the ascending trend channel on the H2 timeframe.
📈 Market Structure & Trend Context
The overall trend remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows clearly intact.
Price has successfully flipped the 4445–4450 zone from resistance into support, confirming strong buyer commitment.
The impulsive leg toward the current highs suggests we are still in a continuation phase, not a distribution phase.
🔍 Key Technical Zones & Liquidity
Buy resistance flip: 4445–4450
This zone has already shown clean reactions and acts as a structural base for further upside.
POC Buy zone: 4595–4600
This is a high-volume node where price is likely to rebalance liquidity before the next expansion.
Sellside liquidity sits just below current price, making a shallow pullback into value very possible before continuation.
🎯 Bullish Scenarios
Primary plan: Look for BUY setups on pullbacks into 4595–4600 (POC) with bullish confirmation.
Continuation target: If price accepts above current highs, the next upside objective sits around 4747, where higher-timeframe liquidity is resting.
A clean hold above the trendline keeps the bullish thesis valid.
🧠 Notes
Avoid chasing price at highs; wait for pullbacks into value and liquidity zones.
Trade in alignment with trend + structure, not short-term noise.
Patience is key while the market builds liquidity before the next expansion.
✨ Stay disciplined, trade the structure, and let price come to your zone.
Part 8 Trading Master Class With Experts Risk Management in Option Trading
This is the most important part.
1. Never Trade Without a Stop Loss
Options move fast; losses can pile up quickly.
2. Avoid Trading Against Trend
Follow the direction of:
Market structure
Volume profile
Institutional activity
3. Understand Position Sizing
Never risk more than 1–2% of capital.
4. Manage Emotions
Options are volatile; emotional decisions lead to losses.
5. Avoid Blindly Selling Naked Options
Naked selling = unlimited risk.
Tata Steel_Day Time frame Trend & Structure
The chart shows a rounded bottom (cup formation), indicating a shift from a downtrend to a potential bullish reversal.
Price has gradually moved up from the December lows, suggesting accumulation.
Breakout Zone
A key resistance zone around ₹187–189 is visible.
Price has broken above this zone with a strong bullish candle, signaling improving momentum.
If price sustains above this level, the breakout may hold.
Momentum
Recent candles reflect strong buying interest and higher highs–higher lows.
Momentum remains positive as long as price stays above the breakout area.
Key Levels
Support: ₹187–185 (breakout retest zone), then ₹178–180
Resistance / Targets: ₹195 followed by ₹200 (psychological level)
Outlook
Sustaining above ₹187 keeps the bias bullish.
A failure to hold above this level may lead to consolidation or a pullback.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This chart analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or trading advice.
Stock market investments are subject to market risk.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
VEDL Weekly: Cup & Handle Channel BreakoutVEDL executing classic Cup & Handle continuation on weekly timeframe. Clean breakout above handle resistance from tight ascending channel structure.
Pattern breakdown:
• Cup established multi-year accumulation base
• Handle formed orderly pullback within uptrend channel
• Breakout clears channel resistance decisively
• Weekly timeframe confirms major pattern validity
Textbook continuation setup complete.
Join my YouTube for systematic trading:
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts Option Expiry
Every option has an expiration:
Weekly expiry
Monthly expiry
Close to expiry, time decay becomes extremely fast.
Why Expiry Day Is Dangerous?
Huge volatility
Premium collapses quickly
Big risk for inexperienced traders
But for skilled option sellers, expiry day is profitable due to rapid theta decay.
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading How Volatility Impacts Options
Volatility (IV) is one of the biggest influencers.
High Volatility
Premiums become expensive
Good for sellers
Risky for buyers
Low Volatility
Cheap premiums
Good for buyers
Limited premium for sellers
Traders forecast volatility using:
India VIX
Historical price behavior
Events (Budget, Elections, Results)
HDFC Bank: Oversold Opportunity at Critical Demand Zone Bullish (Counter-Trend / Mean Reversion)
HDFC Bank is currently presenting a high-reward entry opportunity, trading near the critical 930-940 demand zone. Following the recent volatility and price adjustment (post-bonus consolidation), the stock has drifted into deeply oversold territory.
Technical Setup: The daily chart confirms a classic mean reversion setup. The price is hugging the Lower Bollinger Band, a signal often preceding a snap-back rally toward the mean. The sharp decline has paused, forming a base around 936, where historical buyers have previously stepped in. Fundamental Catalysts: Valuations have moderated significantly, with the stock trading at attractive Price-to-Book (P/B) multiples relative to its 5-year average. With steady deposit growth (~15% YoY) and the recent 1:1 bonus issue now factored in, the current levels offer a margin of safety for long-term accumulation.
Trade Levels:
I am longing between 925 - 950
Target 1 (Immediate Resistance): 975 (Aligns with the initial gap-fill and mean reversion).
Target 2 (Psychological Level): 1000 (Key round number and structural resistance).
Summary: The risk-reward ratio strongly favors the bulls here. A relief rally toward 975 is the primary expectation, with potential extension to 1000 as sentiment stabilizes.