Alkem Laboratories (D): Bullish (Rounding Bottom Breakout)Timeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear
The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout from a 6-month "Rounding Bottom" recovery pattern. The "Gap Up" above the key resistance of ₹5,850 signals a shift in market sentiment from "Accumulation" to "Markup."
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is fueled by strong operational tailwinds:
> US Business Boom: The 28% growth in US revenue (reported in H1 FY26) has re-rated the stock. Investors are rushing in ahead of Q3 results, expecting this momentum to sustain.
> Sector Rotation: Capital is shifting back to "Defensive Growth" (Pharma) as broader markets turn volatile.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Recovery)
> The Pattern: This structure is a classic Rounding Bottom (Saucer) formation, which indicates a gradual shift of power from bears to bulls.
> The Breakout: The horizontal resistance at ₹5,848 was the "Neckline" of this pattern.
- The Move: Yesterday's test and today's Gap Up opening confirm the breakout. A gap-up at resistance is a sign of aggressive institutional buying.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> Volume: The "Volume Picking Up" recently is crucial. In rounding bottoms, volume typically dries up at the bottom (Feb 2025) and expands on the right side (Jan 2026). This confirms the validity of the move.
> RSI: Rising in all timeframes. Daily RSI entering the "Overbought" zone (>70) during a breakout is actually a sign of strength (momentum lock-in).
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is now chasing its previous peak.
🐂 Bullish Target (The Recovery):
- Target 1: ₹6,440 (The ATH). Since there is no major resistance between ₹5,900 and ₹6,440, the move could be swift.
- Blue Sky: If it clears the ATH, the pattern target projects well towards ₹7,000+ .
🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹5,713 – ₹5,750 .
- Strategy: As long as the stock stays above ₹5,848 , the breakout is valid. A dip to ₹5,800 is a buying opportunity.
Conclusion
This is a High-Probability Setup .
> Refinement: The "Gap Up" is the key. It prevents retail traders from entering easily, which is often a hallmark of a genuine institutional move.
> Action: Hold for ₹6,440 .
Community ideas
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in IFCI
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
$TAO PRICE PREDICTION | IS $3,000 POSSIBLE? | CRYPTOPATELGETTEX:TAO Is Trading At A Key HTF Accumulation Zone On The Weekly Chart After A Deep Correction From The 2024 Highs.
Market Structure Continues To Suggest Smart Money Re-Accumulation At Long-Term Demand.
Weekly Technical Structure:
• Bullish Order Block Holding: $260–$285
• Strong Historical Reactions From This Demand Zone
• Range Compression After Liquidity Sweep
• Key Strength Trigger: Weekly Close Above $440 (S/R Flip)
CryptoPatel Targets:
$1,000 / $1,500 / $3,000+
As Long As TAO/USDT Holds Above $260, The Macro Bullish Bias Remains Intact.
A Clean Break Above The $700–$800 Supply Zone Opens The Door For Price Discovery.
Invalidation: Weekly Close Below $260
TA Only. Not Financial Advice. DYOR.
AUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels for 13th - 14th JAN2026(3.30 am)XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels for 13th - 14th JAN2026(3.30 am)
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading 1. How Option Buyers Earn Money
Option buyers profit when:
Price moves strongly in their direction
Volatility increases
Time to expiry is sufficient
The worst-case scenario is losing 100% of premium.
2. How Option Sellers Earn Money
Option sellers profit when:
Market remains sideways
Time decay reduces premium
Volatility drops
Price stays below (for call) or above (for put) the strike
Option selling is preferred by institutions because:
Premium income is consistent
Probability of profit is higher
Time decay always works in their favour
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves Understanding Market Conditions for Options
A. Trending Market
Best for option buyers (long calls/puts).
B. Sideways Market
Best for option sellers (iron condor, short strangle).
C. High Volatility
Best for straddles/strangles.
D. Low Volatility
Best for spreads and premium selling.
BTCUSD · 15M · SMC UpdateBuy-side liquidity above prior highs has been partially swept.
Rejection from supply shows acceptance failure in premium.
Market is now rotating back toward equilibrium.
LTF Structure
Impulsive move up completed.
Bearish response from supply with follow-through.
Current pullback is corrective, not impulsive.
Bias & Expectation
Favor shorts while price remains below the supply high.
Anticipate continuation lower toward:
Range low / EQ
Prior imbalance
HTF discount zone below
Sensex - Weekly expiry Jan 14The price was falling steadily in a descending channel, and now it is trying to move up by forming an ascending channel.
83500 is an important zone to decide the trend direction when it has a confluence with the channel trend line.
Buy above 83600 with the stop loss of 83480 for the targets 83720, 83860, 83980, 84100 and 83220.
Sell below 83300 with the stop loss of 83460 for the targets 83180, 83060, 82940, 82800 and 82640.
The expected expiry day range is 82900 to 83900.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
NIFTY Analysis for 14th JAN 2026 IntraSwing Spot levelsNIFTY Analysis for 14th JAN 2026 IntraSwing Spot levels
🚀Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels
b]👇🏼Screen shot of Todays (13th Jan 2026) trade
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
📊 Do you agree with this view?
✈️ HIT THE PLANE ICON if this technical observation resonates with you. It will Motivate me.
Nifty Analysis for Jan 13, 2026Wrap up:-
Nifty is heading towards wave c of y of 5. In wave C, Wave 1, 2 and 3 of major wave 1 of c were completed today and wave 4 is expected to be completed by tomorrow morning near 25800. Thereafter, Nifty will head towards wave 5 of major wave 1 of c.
What I’m Watching for Jan 09, 2026 🔍
Buy Nifty near 25800 sl 25700 (15 min. candle closing basis) for a target of 25898-25960-26061.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
"Don't predict the market. Decode them."
XAUUSD 1H – Bearish Pullback From Recent Highs, Momentum WeakeniGold (XAUUSD) remains in a broader short-term uptrend, but price is currently in a corrective phase.
A descending trendline from the recent high is capping price, showing lower highs and loss of bullish momentum.
Current price (~4583) is consolidating below the recent peak near 4635–4640, suggesting distribution rather than continuation.
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14): Around 50, indicating neutral momentum.
Previous bearish divergences near the top warned of the current pullback.
No strong bullish reversal signal yet.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
Histogram has turned red and below zero, confirming bearish momentum in the short term.
MACD (12,26,9):
Bearish crossover completed.
Histogram is negative and expanding → downside pressure still active.
Key Levels
Resistance:
4600–4640 (trendline resistance & recent high)
Immediate Support:
4550–4530
Deeper Support:
4480–4450 (prior structure zone)
Bias & Scenarios
Short-term bias: Bearish / corrective
As long as price stays below the descending trendline, sellers control the market.
A break and close above 4600 would invalidate the bearish correction and reopen upside continuation.
A break below 4530 could accelerate selling toward 4480.
Summary
Gold is showing momentum exhaustion after a strong rally, with multiple indicators aligning bearish on the 1H timeframe. This favors short-term pullbacks or consolidation before the next major directional move. Trend continuation will require a clear bullish breakout; otherwise, downside correction remains the higher-probability scenario.
XAUUSD H1 – Bullish Continuation After Strong Break of StructureMarket Structure Analysis
Trend: Clear bullish market structure on H1.
Structure Signals: Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside confirm trend strength. Prior CHoCH marked the shift from pullback to continuation.
Impulse Move: Strong bullish displacement broke above previous highs, showing institutional participation.
Current Phase: Price is consolidating above a key demand / prior resistance, suggesting acceptance at higher levels.
Key Levels
Immediate Support: ~4,569 (prior structure / demand zone).
Intraday Support: Minor pullback levels within the recent impulse leg (purple lines).
Resistance / Targets:
TP1: ~4,610 – 4,625
TP2: Extension toward 4,650+ if momentum continues.
Bias & Scenarios
Primary Bias (Bullish):
Hold above 4,569 → look for pullback buys into demand with continuation to higher highs.
Alternative (Caution):
Clean break and close below 4,569 → deeper retracement toward lower H1 demand before bullish continuation resumes.
Execution Notes
Prefer buy-on-dip setups after minor retracements.
Watch for liquidity sweep + bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (M5–M15).
Avoid chasing highs; let price come into structure.
SW SOLAR (1H)🔥 Bounce Play from Strong Support | STERLINGANDWILSON (1H)
Clean reaction from demand zone around ₹195–198 after heavy selling pressure. Buyers stepping in with momentum confirmation on RSI.
If price holds above ₹200, we may see continuation towards ₹215+.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 195–198
Resistance: 203 – 210 – 222
RSI showing bullish recovery
Not a recommendation — always wait for confirmation.
Drop your bias 👇
#Stocks #PriceActionTrading #RSI #SupportZone #TradingViewIndia
ETHUSD · 15M · SMC NarrativePrice has rallied cleanly into a premium HTF supply zone, tapping into a pool of resting buy-side liquidity above prior highs.
HTF Context
Previous range high clearly defined and respected.
Liquidity engineered above equal highs.
Current price trading in premium, far from value.
LTF Structure
Strong impulsive move up, low-quality pullbacks.
Final leg shows momentum expansion, typical of a liquidity run.
High probability this move is exit liquidity, not continuation.
Expectation
Brief push or reaction at highs to fully sweep buy-side.
Sharp bearish displacement post sweep.
Price to rotate lower toward:
Internal range low
Prior demand imbalance
HTF discount zone below
Execution Plan
No longs at these levels.
Patience for:
Liquidity sweep above highs
Bearish displacement
LTF MSS confirmation
Shorts favored after confirmation.
Scale partials at internal lows, runners into deep discount.
Policybazaar – Double Top Breakdown & Three Black CrowsPolicybazaar has formed a Double Top near the resistance zone, and price has now broken down below the neckline, confirming a bearish trend reversal. The downside view is further validated by the formation of a Three Black Crows candlestick pattern, which signals strong and sustained selling pressure.
The Three Black Crows reflect aggressive distribution after a failed upside attempt, indicating that bears remain firmly in control and downside continuation is likely.
Technical Highlights:
📌 Double Top confirmed breakdown
📉 Trading below neckline support
🕯️ Three Black Crows = strong bearish continuation
Volume supports selling pressure
Trade Plan :
Sell on pullbacks near the breakdown zone
Target: 🎯 1631
Stop-loss: Above the neckline / high of the Three Black Crows pattern
Bias:
Structure remains bearish unless price reclaims and sustains above the neckline.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Manage risk appropriately.
XAUUSD (H1) – Powell Subpoena ImpactXAUUSD (H1) – Powell Subpoena Shock: Gold enters a high-volatility week, trade liquidity zones
News that the US Department of Justice has issued a criminal subpoena involving Fed Chair Jerome Powell is an extremely rare type of headline. When the market’s confidence in the Fed and US policy stability gets questioned, gold and silver can surge fast — but the price action often comes with violent two-way swings: a sharp push to grab liquidity, a hard pullback, then the real direction shows.
That’s why this week I’m not chasing candles. The best approach is to trade reactions at key liquidity / support-resistance zones and let the market come to your levels.
Macro context: why gold is moving differently right now
Pressure on the Fed (and its independence) can reprice expectations for rates, which directly hits USD and US yields.
If the market starts pricing aggressive cuts, gold tends to stay supported. But if yields whip around, gold can whipsaw too — fast.
So instead of predicting the headline outcome, the priority is simple: wait for price to hit clean technical zones.
Technical view (H1): uptrend structure holds, but price is trading in “premium”
The structure still sits inside an ascending channel. After a strong impulsive leg up, price is consolidating near the top — a common setup before another expansion, but also a zone where liquidity grabs are frequent.
Key zones to focus on
Sell zone (premium): 4655 – 4660
Buy zone (value): 4413 – 4417
Mid-range resistance (chop zone): around the 45xx area
Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1) Primary plan: BUY the pullback into value
If price retraces into the major value support:
Buy: 4413 – 4417
SL: 4403
TP1: 4500 – 4520
TP2: 4655 – 4660
This is the “clean structure” setup: a reset into value, then continuation with the channel.
2) Short-term scalp: SELL the premium reaction
If price pushes into the major supply/liquidity zone:
Sell (scalp): 4655 – 4660 (only with clear rejection on H1/M15)
SL: 4670
TP: 4580 → 4520
This is a reaction sell — a common “profit-taking” area after headline-driven pumps.
3) Continuation setup: BUY after a confirmed hold above mid resistance
If price breaks and holds above the mid resistance (45xx area):
Look for a pullback after breakout to buy
Targets remain towards 4655–4660, then higher along the channel.
Conclusion
This is a headline-risk week, so the key is no FOMO and no entries in the middle of the range. The two zones that matter most:
Buy value: 4413 – 4417
Sell premium (short-term): 4655 – 4660
Which side are you leaning towards — waiting for the dip into 4415 to buy, or hunting a rejection near 4660 to sell?
👉 If this plan helps, follow LiamTradingFX to get the next XAUUSD updates early.
“Bullish Momentum Accelerates → Trendline Support Holding for ?🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Strong Bullish Continuation After Breakout 🚀📈
🔍 Market Structure & Key Observations
Price is respecting a clean upward trendline, confirming a strong bullish structure 📈
Multiple POI (Point of Interest) reactions show consistent buyer absorption → Smart Money accumulation 💼
A clear Breakout + BOS (Break of Structure) has occurred above the previous range ✔️
Price is now holding above the High Pivot Point, which has flipped into support 🟢
Current consolidation above support signals bullish momentum continuation, not exhaustion
🎯 Suitable Target Zones (High Probability)
🎯 Primary Target (TP1)
➤ 4,620 – 4,635 🎯
Aligned with projected bullish leg
Matches upper continuation structure
High probability if price holds above support
🚀 Extended Target (TP2)
➤ 4,660 – 4,680 🚀💰
Channel expansion target
Liquidity resting above recent highs
Valid if momentum accelerates
📌 Bullish Trade Scenario (Optional Setup)
🟢 Buy on Pullback Zone:
➤ 4,565 – 4,585 (trendline + support confluence)
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 4,630 🎯
TP2: 4,675 🚀
📊 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 to 1:3+
🧭 Market Outlook
Factor Bias
Trend Strong Bullish 📈
Momentum Buyers in control 💪
Structure Higher highs & higher lows ✅
Liquidity Target Above highs 💧
Option Trading1. Common Mistakes by Retail Traders
Buying far OTM options
Overtrading
No stop-loss
Ignoring volatility
Selling naked options without hedge
Trading near expiry without plan
Following tips blindly
2. Best Practices for Option Trading
✔ Trade with a system
✔ Check trend (market structure)
✔ Use option Greeks
✔ Focus on liquidity
✔ Avoid gambling with OTM
✔ Use spreads to reduce risk
✔ Journal your trades