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TSLA: Absorption, Not Rejection (Bullish) Looking at the chart, many traders might mistake the recent pause at highs for a reversal. However, context is key. Market Structure: The trend remains clearly Bullish with a sequence of Higher Highs and Higher Lows. The "Trap": We are seeing consolidation near resistance, but without violent rejection candles. This behavior typically indicates Absorption—where buyers are stepping in to soak up supply rather than price collapsing. Outlook: As long as the recent structural low holds, the probability favors a "Coil and Breakout" scenario rather than a reversal.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Thecantillonreport
Possible Bullish Scenario for VEREMPossible Bullish Scenario for VEREM At the current price level around $276, VEREM appears to be positioned in a low-market-cap phase, where relatively small inflows of capital can generate disproportionately large price movements. Given the limited circulating supply and still modest liquidity, a bullish continuation scenario remains plausible. If buying pressure continues and sell-side liquidity remains thin, the price could gradually move toward the $550–$700 range, representing a 200% to 250% upside from current levels. This scenario would likely be driven by a combination of new exchange exposure, increased awareness of the project’s RWA narrative, and speculative accumulation, rather than full fundamental maturity. In such a context, price discovery becomes difficult, as historical resistance levels are either weak or nonexistent. This means that price expansion could occur in sharp impulsive moves, followed by periods of consolidation, which is typical for emerging low-cap crypto assets. However, this upside scenario is highly dependent on sustained demand, improving trading volume, and stable token distribution. Any sudden increase in circulating supply or large sell orders could invalidate the bullish structure quickly. Therefore, while the upside potential is significant, the risk profile remains elevated, and volatility should be expected throughout the move. buy verem
MEXC:VEREMUSDTLong
by HalFinneyNakamoto
Gold at $5k? RSI divergence vs. breakout – which comes first?Gold is just $30 away from the historic $5,000 level, and silver is approaching $100 for the first time ever. But before you chase the breakout, we need to talk about the RSI divergence flashing on multiple timeframes and what it means for the next move. In this video, we analyse the technical setup as gold approaches the most critical resistance level of this bull run. We explain why the "no safe haven" thesis—with the dollar collapsing on Greenland tensions and the yen crashing past 158 after the BOJ decision—is flooding capital into precious metals. But we also map out the warning signs that suggest $5K could trigger heavy profit-taking. Key topics : Measured move complete : The corrective leg projects to 4,930, which we just hit. Similarly, the Elliott Wave net distance (Waves 1-4) also targets the same level—two confluences at resistance. Accelerated channel : Gold is trading in a parabolic, accelerated channel. As long as we hold 4,680 (61.8% Fib on daily) and 4,770 (61.8% Fib on 4H), the bias remains bullish. RSI divergence : Weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts all show bearish divergence. Price is making new highs, but momentum is not confirming—classic topping behaviour. The $5K test : Next upside targets are 5,012, 5,100, and 5,200. But $5K might be where sell orders are stacked. A failure here could trigger a sharp correction to 4,770-4,800. Risky counter-trend Play : For the brave, a short at $5K with a stop at $5,050 and a target at $4,770 (61.8% support). But remember: "The trend is your friend." Are you buying the dip or fading the $5K level? Let us know in the comments! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ThinkMarkets
DeGRAM | EURUSD will return to 1.1715📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD is consolidating inside a narrowing triangle after a strong impulsive rally, with price holding above the rising support line and forming higher lows, indicating sustained bullish pressure. ● Repeated rejections from the descending resistance line suggest compression, while support near 1.1670–1.1680 continues to attract buyers, favoring a breakout toward 1.1730–1.1760 if the structure holds. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● The euro remains supported by easing USD momentum amid expectations of a more cautious Fed stance and stable Eurozone macro data, reducing downside pressure on EUR/USD. ✨ Summary ● Short-term bullish bias within a compression pattern. Key support at 1.1670. Upside targets lie near 1.1730 and 1.1760 while price stays above the rising support line. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EURUSD — FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY Q1 | D23 | W3 | Y26📅 Q1 | D23 | W3 | Y26 📊 EURUSD — FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY DAILY CHART FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: • Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐 • Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price. 💡 My Motto “Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.” A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section. Stay sharp 🧠 Stay consistent 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
23 Jan EURUSD outlook: Momentum lacks convictionEURUSD is holding near recent highs, but mixed Eurozone growth signals and unresolved geopolitical risks are capping follow-through. Eurozone PMIs: - Expansion continues, but momentum slowed more than expected. - Germany outperformed, while France slipped back into contraction, reinforcing uneven growth across the bloc. - This divergence keeps confidence in a sustained euro rally fragile. Ongoing trade uncertainty and Greenland-related geopolitical tensions remain a drag on risk appetite. Temporary restraint on tariff actions has helped stabilise EURUSD, but lacks macro catalysts to extend gains. As long as growth signals stay mixed and external risks persist, upside potential may be limited. From a technical perspective, EURUSD is trading within the H4 demand zone. However, order flow has yet to turn bullish on the lower timeframes, suggesting that the price may remain range bound within the H4 zone. If EURUSD rebounds from the H4 demand zone marked in blue, the price may gain upward momentum toward the buyside liquidity at 1.17689. Conversely, breaking below 1.17015 may prompt a deeper decline toward the next support at 1.16699. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Long
by ChartingGenie
NZDUSD BUY CALLThe pair shows strong bullish conditions, with the highest positive reading of +2.82 on the weekly heatmap. The 4H timeframe is in a clear bullish structure, and the 1H timeframe is aligned with the bullish trend, currently showing a minor pullback, which provides a favorable buy opportunity. The trade is planned as a buy at CMP, with the stop loss placed at (Alligator Jaw price − 2 × ATR), where ATR is used as a volatility buffer. The setup follows a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio, with a recommended risk of 0.5% of account balance per trade. Trade management involves moving the stop loss to breakeven once 80% of the take-profit target is achieved.
Long
by Khizer98
ABNB Demand Zone Holding — Upside Continuation Play🏠💰 THE MARKET PROFIT PLAYBOOK: ABNB SWING TRADE HEIST 🎯 A Bullish Strategic Entry Through Layered Limit Orders 📊 ASSET INTELLIGENCE 📊 Ticker: NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.) Market Cap: 💵 $80.4B | Market Sentiment: Buy-rated (16 analyst Buy vs 3 Sell) Current Price Range: $131.93 - $135.50 (24h) | 52-Week Range: $99.88 - $163.93 Volatility Index: 🎢 4.06% (Moderate-High with Beta: 1.56) Upside Potential: ✨ +8.02% | Analyst Target: $143.23 (Consensus) Next Earnings Catalyst: 📅 February 17, 2026 (After Market Close) 🎭 TRADE SETUP: THE PLAYBOOK 🎭 Strategic Direction: ⬆️ BULLISH MOMENTUM TRADE This is a swing trade setup leveraging pullback entries into key support zones with a structured layering technique. 🔐 ENTRY STRATEGY: THE "THIEF" LAYERING METHOD 🔐 Rather than chasing a single entry point, deploy multiple limit order layers using the thief-style stacking approach: 📍 Layer 1: $131.00 (First accumulation zone) 📍 Layer 2: $132.00 (Secondary entry confirmation) 📍 Layer 3: $133.00 (Breakeven zone) 📍 Layer 4: $134.00 (Aggressive entry near resistance) 💡 Pro Tip: You can add additional limit layers at $130.50, $130.75, etc., based on your risk tolerance and capital allocation. Divide your total position size across all layers for risk management. Why This Method Works: ✅ Reduces emotional FOMO buying at market price ✅ Accumulates shares at multiple entry points ✅ Creates a lower average entry cost ✅ Provides strategic entry during potential dips 🎯 PROFIT TARGET: POLICE BARRICADE RESISTANCE 🎯 Primary Target: 🚀 $140.00 Resistance Context: This level represents a strong resistance barrier that previously acted as a supply zone Market momentum tends to consolidate and exhaust near these overbought extremes Technical trap pattern: Early buyers often look to exit when resistance is reached, creating profit-taking zones Target Rationale: Recent analyst consensus sits at $143.23 (upside from current levels) $140.00 offers a clean risk/reward ratio with a natural resistance confluence Overbought RSI conditions at higher levels suggest profit-taking opportunities 🛑 STOP LOSS: RISK MANAGEMENT ANCHOR 🛑 Hard Stop Loss: ⛔ $130.00 Why This Level: Sits below current support zones shown in price action Provides a clear loss-trigger if bullish thesis breaks down Maintains favorable risk/reward (2:1 or better target-to-stop ratio) 📋 FUNDAMENTAL & MACROECONOMIC BACKDROP 📋 Company Performance - Q3 2025 Highlights: 📈 Revenue: $4.095B (+9.73% YoY) | TTM Revenue: $11.943B (+10.18% YoY) EPS: $2.21 per share (Q3 2025) Adjusted EBITDA: $2B+ (highest quarterly mark with 50% margin) Gross Booking Value: $22.9B (+14% YoY growth) Free Cash Flow: $4.5B (trailing 12 months) Growth Catalysts Ahead: 🌍 ✨ International Expansion: 20%+ first-time booker growth in Japan | 50% growth in India ✨ New Revenue Streams: Services & Experiences launching; Hotel partnerships expanding ✨ AI Integration: Continued investment in AI-powered pricing, search, and personalization ✨ 2026 Growth Target: Operating income projected at $3B (+15% YoY) Macro Headwinds to Monitor: ⚠️ 🔸 U.S. consumer confidence under pressure (discretionary travel spending at risk) 🔸 Regulatory uncertainty in key markets (Mexico City short-term rental framework unresolved) 🔸 Valuation premium at PEG 2.11 leaves minimal margin for error 🔸 Q4 2025 EPS estimate: $0.66 (must beat to sustain momentum) 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH: CORRELATION ANALYSIS 🔗 Watch These Tickers for Market Context: 🏨 NASDAQ:EXPE (Expedia Group) Correlation: Moderate positive (+0.65) | Direct competitor in online travel sector Key Point: If EXPE strengthens, validates travel recovery narrative. ABNB often leads this pair. 🏰 NASDAQ:BKNG (Booking Holdings) Correlation: Moderate positive (+0.60) | Diversified travel platform (hotels, flights, rentals) Key Point: BKNG shows overall travel demand strength; a BKNG rally supports ABNB thesis 🚗 NASDAQ:TRIP (TripAdvisor) Correlation: Weak positive (+0.45) | Review/discovery platform for travel Key Point: User sentiment and travel intent indicator; watch for shifts in booking velocity 💼 NASDAQ:UAL (United Airlines) Correlation: Moderate positive (+0.50) | Air travel proxy for leisure demand Key Point: Rising airfare prices/bookings often precede accommodation demand; watch UAL as leading indicator 📱 NASDAQ:DASH (DoorDash) / NYSE:UBER (Uber) Correlation: Weak (+0.40-0.45) | Broader consumer discretionary spend metric Key Point: If gig-economy leaders soften, consumer pullback may impact ABNB bookings Macro Pair: 🌐 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) Inverse Correlation: (-0.55) | Strong dollar headwinds for international travel bookings Watch Point: Weaker USD supports overseas guests booking ABNB properties globally ⚡ TRADE MANAGEMENT RULES ⚡ 📌 Important Disclaimer on Targets & Stops: This is a stylized swing trade setup presented for educational entertainment purposes only. We do NOT recommend blindly following our target or stop-loss levels. Every trader must assess their own: ✅ Risk tolerance & account size ✅ Entry confirmation using your own technical indicators ✅ Profit-taking strategy based on personal goals ✅ Position sizing rules You have the freedom and responsibility to adjust TP and SL based on real-time price action, volume, and your risk management framework. 📊 TECHNICAL CHECKLIST BEFORE ENTRY 📊 Before deploying your layered limit orders, confirm: ☑️ Price respects support zones around $130-$131 ☑️ Volume dries up on pullbacks (confidence confirmation) ☑️ RSI not in extreme oversold (<30) or overbought (>70) at time of entry ☑️ 4-hour/Daily chart shows bullish structure (higher lows intact) ☑️ Earnings date (Feb 17) factored into volatility expectations 📅 WATCH THESE CATALYSTS �CALENDAR 🔴 Feb 17, 2026 - Q4 2025 Earnings Report (Market Close) 🔴 Consumer Confidence Reports - Check weekly jobless claims & PCE inflation 🔴 Regulatory Headlines - Monitor Mexico City & international STR regulation updates 🔴 Fed Communications - Interest rate policy impacts discretionary travel demand 🎪 PLAYBOOK SUMMARY 🎪 Thesis: Airbnb shows fundamental growth strength with expanding margins, international tailwinds, and a dominant market position. A pullback into the $131-$134 zone offers favorable entry for swing traders betting on a $140+ near-term rally. The thief layering method allows strategic accumulation while managing downside risk at $130. Reward: +$6-$9 per share profit potential Risk: -$1-$4 per share (depending on layer) Timeframe: 2-6 weeks (swing trade, not day trade) ✨ COMMUNITY LOVE REQUEST ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
NASDAQ:ABNB
by The-Thief
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Decision Time at SupportPrice dropped into the immediate support zone, where the MA50 is providing dynamic support. We are now seeing a bounce from this area; however, a break above 4847 is needed to attempt further upside toward 4883, and above that 4928. If price stalls and reverses from here, watch the first immediate support zone. Should selling pressure build, a deeper retracement into the lower support zones may follow, where renewed buying interest is expected. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4847 4883 4928 Support: 4808 4764 4722 4685 4664 4600 👉Let key levels guide your decisions — wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly. 🔍Fundamental focus: Markets are watching US GDP and Core PCE today, key inputs for Fed expectations and USD direction. Alongside macro data, ongoing geopolitical tensions keep volatility elevated, with gold remaining sensitive to both headlines and data.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
7
ＸＰＤ/ＵＳＤ: ＣＡＮ ＴＨＥ ＬＳＭＡ ＨＯＬＤ ＴＨＥ ＴＲＥＮＤ?💎 XPD/USD | Palladium "The Silver-White Bull" – Market Blueprint 🚀 Asset: XPD/USD (Palladium Spot / US Dollar) Trade Type: Day / Swing Trade 📈 Vibe: Professional Technical Analysis meets "Thief" Strategy Precision ⚔️ 📊 The Game Plan: Bullish LSMA Pullback We are tracking a high-conviction Bullish Continuation. The price has shown incredible resilience, staying near 4-week highs around $1,977 - $1,980. Our primary trigger is the LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average). We are looking for a tactical pullback to the LSMA line to confirm the next leg up. The "Thief" is not a gambler—the Thief is a hunter. We don’t chase green candles; we wait for the price to come to our levels. 🏹 🏹 Entry Strategy: The "Thief" Layering Method Instead of one "All-In" entry, we use Multiple Buy Limit Layers. This improves our average entry price and protects us against market noise. Layering Zone (Buy Limits): Layer 1: $1,980 (Immediate Momentum) Layer 2: $1,950 (Support Re-test) Layer 3: $1,930 (LSMA Sweet Spot) Layer 4: $1,900 (Psychological Floor) 💡 Thief Tip: You can increase your limit layers based on your own capital. The goal is to "steal" the best average price as the market dips! 🎯 Targets & Risk Management Main Target (Take Profit): $2,100 🏁 Analysis: There is a major resistance cluster + potential "Trap" zones near $2,100. Don't be greedy. Escape with the loot when we hit the target! Stop Loss (Thief SL): $1,850 🛡️ Invalidation: If the price closes below $1,850, the bullish structure is broken. ⚠️ Note to the Crew (Thief OGs): I am not your financial advisor. Setting these specific TP and SL levels is my plan. It is your choice to follow or adjust. You make the money, you take the risk. 🤝 🌍 Fundamental & Economic Feed (Live Context) Supply Scarcity: 🇷🇺 Russia and 🇿🇦 South Africa (80% of global supply) face ongoing export tensions. Supply deficits are projected to widen in 2026. Geopolitical Chaos: President Trump’s recent moves regarding Greenland and European tariffs have triggered a flight to "Hard Assets." Fed Factor: Uncertainty surrounding the new Fed Chair selection and central bank autonomy is weighing on the USD, making metals like XPD more attractive. 📉 Industrial Demand: 🇨🇳 China's industrial production rose 5.2%, signaling massive demand for catalytic converters and high-tech electronics. ⛓️ Correlations & Related Pairs to Watch Keep these on your secondary screen to confirm the trend: $XAU/USD (Gold): Currently hitting record highs near $4,700-$4,800. If Gold stays strong, XPD usually follows. $XAG/USD (Silver): The "Volatile Cousin." Silver has torn through $93/oz. High Silver volatility often leads to "catch-up" rallies in Palladium. $XPT/USD (Platinum): Closely correlated. If Platinum breaks its resistance, it clears the path for XPD to fly. ✈️ TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse Correlation. Watch for DXY weakness. A falling Dollar is the fuel for our $2,100 target. ⛽ Hit the 👍 LIKE button if you’re riding with the Thief OGs today! Drop a comment below: Are you layering in or waiting for a breakout? 👇 #Palladium #XPDUSD #Commodities #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #PreciousMetals
WHSELFINVEST:PALLADIUM
by The-Thief
EURUSD H1 – Rejection at Resistance, Pullback Toward On the H1 timeframe, EURUSD has completed a clean impulsive leg up from demand, breaking the prior descending structure and confirming a short-term bullish shift. However, price is now stalling directly inside a well-defined resistance zone, where upside momentum has clearly weakened. The recent candles show hesitation and rejection rather than continuation a typical sign of profit-taking and short-term exhaustion, not a full trend reversal. Structurally, this move looks like an impulse → corrective pullback sequence. The market has already delivered the expansion; what’s missing now is rebalancing. With price extended away from the EMA and failing to hold above the mid-level, a controlled pullback toward the 1.1700–1.1695 demand zone becomes the higher-probability scenario. This area also aligns with previous structure and dynamic support, making it the logical zone for buyers to step back in. If price reacts positively at demand and forms a higher low, the bullish structure remains intact and another attempt toward the 1.1760–1.1780 resistance can follow. On the flip side, a clean break and acceptance below the demand zone would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis and open the door for a deeper correction toward the lower range. EURUSD is not breaking down it’s cooling off after an impulse. Until resistance is decisively reclaimed, the market favors a pullback to demand first, with continuation only confirmed by reaction and structure, not prediction.
by HENRY_TraderGold