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EURJPY – At 23-Year Highs | Rejection or Continuation? (VMS WatcEURJPY is trading at 23-year highs and is currently testing the area near the previous swing high. At this point, the market is at a decision level. Two possible outcomes from here: Scenario 1 – Rejection / Double-Top Setup Price shows clear rejection at the prior swing high Momentum, currently around 80, must hook downward Only after rejection and momentum alignment will we look for the volume fingerprint to confirm participation Scenario 2 – Continuation Price pushes through the prior swing high with strength The level is invalidated and the market continues making new highs At the moment, momentum is strong but not turning, so this remains a watchlist setup only. No confirmation = no trade. We are not predicting direction—we are waiting for price, momentum, and volume to align. Not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
by darlwright
1
XAU/USD 21 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis of yesterday where I mentioned price could potentially continue bullish is how price printed. Currently, CHoCH positioning remains the same Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Thereafter price to react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,888.545. Alternative scenario: Price to again continue bullish. Note: The Federal Reserve’s renewed easing cycle, alongside a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions, continues to drive volatility in the gold market. Traders should remain cautious and adjust risk management strategies to navigate sharp price swings. Additionally, gold pricing is highly sensitive to U.S. policy under President Trump, where tariff measures, fiscal uncertainty, and shifting geopolitical strategy amplify market repricing risks and reinforce safe‑haven demand. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to print higher-highs. Price previously printed a bearish CHoCH followed by bullish momentum, however, due to the insignificance of the pullback, I shall apply discretion and not classify as iBOS. This has been marked in red. Price has once again printed a bearish CHoCH. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I shall monitor this with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 or H4 demand zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,888.545. Note: Gold continues to exhibit elevated volatility as markets digest the Federal Reserve’s ongoing dovish tilt and persistent global geopolitical tensions. With uncertainty remaining a dominant theme across global risk assets, traders should prioritise disciplined risk management, as abrupt price swings and liquidity pockets may become increasingly common. Furthermore, recent tariff announcements from President Trump, particularly those directed at China, have added another layer of instability to the macro landscape. These policy developments have the potential to intensify market turbulence, heighten risk‑off flows, and trigger sharp intraday reversals or whipsaw‑like behaviour in gold. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD VALID 4830- 4843-4850 COULD BE NEW SELL ZONE BASED ON THE STRATEGY. ITS A CRAZY MARKET OPEN. WHAT IS GOLD ??? Gold (Au) is a chemical element and dense, malleable transition metal prized for its lustrous yellow hue, exceptional conductivity, and resistance to corrosion. History as Store of Value Gold has served as a store of value for over 6,000 years, from ancient Egyptian tombs (c. 4000 BCE) symbolizing immortality to Lydian coins (600 BCE) enabling standardized trade across empires like Rome (aureus) and Byzantium (solidus, stable 700+ years). The 19th-century gold standard anchored global currencies until 20th-century abandonments, yet gold retains purchasing power Tier 1 Status Clarification Gold classifies as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III banking rules , with 0% risk weighting for physical bullion, equivalent to cash for capital reserves, enhancing bank balance sheets amid fiat volatility. This elevates it from prior Tier 3 status, affirming its role as "money again." #GOLD #XAUUSD
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
BTC at a Decision Point — Relief Bounce or Lower High?On the BTCUSD H1 chart, price remains firmly in a short-term bearish structure following the sharp impulsive sell off from the 95,000 region. The breakdown from the prior consolidation occurred with strong momentum, slicing cleanly below the EMA and confirming a shift from balance to markdown. Since then, Bitcoin has been trading beneath a well-defined resistance zone around 93,200–93,500, where previous support has now flipped into supply a classic bearish market behavior. The recent reaction from the support zone near 88,000–88,500 is technically a relief bounce, not a reversal. Structurally, the bounce is corrective: price is forming overlapping candles and shallow pullbacks, suggesting short covering rather than aggressive new demand. As long as BTC remains capped below 89,900–91,200, the probability favors a lower high forming before sellers reassert control. If buyers can hold above the support zone and reclaim 89,900, a deeper corrective move toward 91,200–91,500 is possible, where the EMA and prior intraday structure align. However, this zone is expected to act as sell side re entry, not a breakout level. Failure to build acceptance above that area would likely trigger another leg down, reopening downside liquidity toward the lower 88,000 region and potentially below if support weakens. Bitcoin is currently in a bearish retracement phase inside a broader intraday downtrend. The support zone is holding for now, but without a strong structural reclaim, upside moves should be treated as corrective pullbacks into resistance. Until BTC decisively breaks and holds above the resistance zone, risk remains skewed to the downside, with sellers still controlling market structure.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
Silver (XAGUSD) Buy Setup LTF Confirmation Price has returned to the gap-fill demand zone and is now showing lower timeframe bullish structure with a clear BOS (Break of Structure) on the M1 chart. Setup Details: Entry: Buy on a pullback into the BOS level / demand zone Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low inside the gap Targets: TP1: $98 Bias: Bullish Confluence: Gap fully filled Strong rejection from demand LTF BOS confirms buyers stepping in Clean R:R structure This supports a continuation move higher from the support zone.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by Skinwah
MSTR High-Risk Setup: Smart Money Bets on a Sharp MoveMSTR Weekly Signal | 2026-01-21 Ticker: MSTR Signal Type: Weekly (2-Day Expiry) Confidence: 60% 🎯 Primary Trade Setup (Bearish Momentum Play) Strategy: BUY PUTS Strike: $160 Expiry: Jan 23, 2026 Entry: ~$4.55 Target 1: $6.83 (+50%) Target 2: $9.10 (+100%) Stop Loss: $2.28 (-50%) 🧠 Why PUTS Weekly Momentum: Bearish (-2.7%) Options Flow: Extremely bearish Put/Call Ratio 2.58 – 3.32 (heavy institutional protection) Price Action: Below VWAP, trading in lower weekly range Macro Sentiment: Bitcoin weakness → negative pressure on MSTR Composite Weekly Score: STRONG BEARISH ➡️ This is a momentum + flow-driven downside continuation trade ⚠️ Major Risk (Important) Katy AI Forecast: Bullish path toward $165–167 Creates model conflict → raises volatility & squeeze risk Short-dated options = fast theta decay 🔄 Alternative Contrarian Play (HIGH RISK) Strategy: BUY CALLS (AI-only thesis) Strike: $160 Entry: ~$0.81 Target: $1.62 – $2.43 Stop: $0.41 ⚠️ KATY CONFLICT EXPLANATION CRITICAL OVERRIDE JUSTIFICATION: The 'Weekly Directional Guidance' composite score of -4.5 strongly recommends BUY PUTS. However, the core directive mandates that the trade direction MUST align with Katy AI's prediction. the AI's forward-looking price prediction is prioritized as the primary directional engine, overriding the composite bearish guidance. This conflict significantly elevates the trade's risk profile.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by quantsignals
GOLD Most Traders Will Buy Gold Here… Smart Money Won’t?OANDA:XAUUSD After a strong impulsive rally, gold often retraces to the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone before deciding direction. If price fails to reclaim the 0.618 level and shows sharp bearish candles, history shows continuation toward range lows / liquidity pools. Gold is notorious for fake pullbacks (bull traps) before the real continuation move. What we see now: Strong bullish leg → Fibonacci drawn. Price rejected near 0.786–1.0 fib (upper resistance). Sharp bearish displacement down → trend shift intraday. Current price is pulling back into a previous support turned resistance (≈4860). This area aligns with: Prior consolidation Fib mid-zone Typical gold sell-the-retest behavior ➡️ Historically, this setup favors selling the pullback, not buying the dip. 🧠 Trade Logic (Why Sell) Bullish momentum is broken Pullback is corrective, not impulsive Sellers previously entered aggressively → likely to defend this zone again Downside liquidity rests near 4836 → 4825 📍 Trade Setup (Bias-Based) 🔴 Bias BEARISH – Sell on Pullback 🎯 Entry Options Primary Sell Entry: 4858 – 4862 Conservative: wait for rejection wick / weak candle Aggressive Sell: 4840 (minor pullback sell) 🛑 Stop Loss Above 4875 – 4885 Invalidates bearish idea if price reclaims highs 🎯 Targets Target 1: 4836 (recent low / liquidity sweep) Target 2: 4825 – 4817 (range low & historical demand) 📊 Risk–Reward Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 High-probability intraday continuation setup
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Amelia007
2
Market Analysis: XAU/USD (GOLD)Gold continues its historic rally. We are currently tracking a clear bullish structure based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC): • Entry Zone: Looking for a retracement to the 15m Order Block (OB) at $4,765. • Confluence: There is a 1H FVG (Fair Value Gap) that price needs to rebalance before continuing its expansion. • Targets: Three Take Profit levels, with a final target at $4,880. • Risk Management: Risk/Reward ratio of 1:3. Stop Loss protected below structural support.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Fonseca87
1
ETH Sweeps Liquidity, Then Dumps — Now the Market Is RebuildingOn the ETHUSD H1 chart, price has completed a classic liquidity grab into the upper range, followed by an aggressive sell-off that decisively broke below the EMA 89, confirming a short-term bearish shift. The impulsive breakdown from the liquidity range shows that the prior upside was distribution-driven, not sustainable demand. Once liquidity above was consumed, sellers stepped in with strength, driving price sharply lower. After the dump, ETH has now stabilized inside a clearly defined support zone, where selling pressure has noticeably slowed. The current price behavior is no longer impulsive candles are overlapping and ranges are tightening, signaling a potential accumulation phase rather than continuation to the downside. This is reinforced by the fact that downside extensions are being rejected quickly, suggesting sell-side liquidity is drying up at this level. From a structural perspective, this is a reset phase. As long as support holds, the market is likely to rotate higher in a corrective structure, first targeting the 3,000–3,010 liquidity pocket, followed by a deeper mean reversion move toward the prior accumulation zone near 3,100–3,140. However, this remains a reaction-based bounce, not a confirmed trend reversal failure to build higher lows here would reopen the door for another breakdown. ETH has completed its liquidity sweep and markdown. The current zone favors base-building and corrective upside, but only sustained acceptance above 3,000+ will shift the bias from relief rally to trend recovery. Until then, this is a technical rebound within a broader bearish structure, not blind bullish continuation.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
BBAI Bullish 200 MAPrice right now is around 5.60. Bull case is simple: hold the 200 MA and break the range. Support and risk 5.62 is your near-term pivot. If price reclaims and holds above it, buyers have control. 5.32 is the key higher-low support. Losing 5.32 puts the whole base in danger. 5.06 is the line in the sand. A clean break below 5.06 means the bullish thesis is wrong and the 200 MA failed. Bull triggers Aggressive trigger: reclaim 5.62 and hold it (especially if it closes above). Safer trigger: breakout over 6.00 to 6.10 (range high area) with volume. Targets TP1 around 6.50 (your first marked resistance zone, also the top of the current range structure). TP2 around 7.00 (next supply zone). TP3 around 8.50 to 8.70 (the bigger overhead supply area marked near the prior peak zone). Why it’s bullish at these levels As long as 5.32 holds, the chart is building higher lows into resistance.
NYSE:BBAILong
by vladislav_xo
NASDAQ (US100) – Trading Plan for Today | Jan 21NASDAQ (US100) – Trading Plan for Today | Jan 21 👉 Price is trading below the key daily level 25,118 as well as below the previous period’s Point of Control, which keeps the bearish daily context intact. After the impulsive sell-off, the market is consolidating below the daily zone, confirming seller control. Primary scenario (bearish continuation) As long as price remains below this area, downside continuation is favored. Primary downside target Daily zone (Day): – 24,901.9 – 24,808.3 This area may trigger a pause or a short-term reaction. Invalidation The bearish scenario is invalidated if price accepts above 25,120.3. If the idea was useful, support it 🚀 and follow. This is not financial advice. Risk management is required.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by SHIFU_
DeGRAM | BTCUSD is below the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC/USD broke below the rising channel and lost the key 90,000 resistance, confirming a bearish structure shift after repeated rejections and a strong impulsive sell-off. ● Price is now trading below former support turned resistance, with descending pressure targeting the demand zone around 86,000–85,500, aligned with prior consolidation lows and channel support. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Bitcoin remains pressured by reduced risk appetite as markets price tighter financial conditions, while profit-taking accelerates after the recent rally and ETF inflows show signs of cooling. ✨ Summary ● Medium-term bearish bias. Resistance: ~90,000. Downside objectives: 87,800 → 85,500, with further weakness likely while price stays below broken structure. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1