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WO2018193819A1 - Procédé pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur et dispositif pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur - Google Patents

Procédé pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur et dispositif pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2018193819A1
WO2018193819A1 PCT/JP2018/014056 JP2018014056W WO2018193819A1 WO 2018193819 A1 WO2018193819 A1 WO 2018193819A1 JP 2018014056 W JP2018014056 W JP 2018014056W WO 2018193819 A1 WO2018193819 A1 WO 2018193819A1
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WIPO (PCT)
Prior art keywords
elevator
user
elevator user
movement prediction
prediction method
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Ceased
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PCT/JP2018/014056
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English (en)
Japanese (ja)
Inventor
正康 藤原
孝道 星野
訓 鳥谷部
貴大 羽鳥
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Hitachi Ltd
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Hitachi Ltd
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Publication date
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Priority to CN201880024496.2A priority Critical patent/CN110520374B/zh
Publication of WO2018193819A1 publication Critical patent/WO2018193819A1/fr
Anticipated expiration legal-status Critical
Ceased legal-status Critical Current

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    • B—PERFORMING OPERATIONS; TRANSPORTING
    • B66—HOISTING; LIFTING; HAULING
    • B66B—ELEVATORS; ESCALATORS OR MOVING WALKWAYS
    • B66B1/00—Control systems of elevators in general
    • B66B1/02—Control systems without regulation, i.e. without retroactive action
    • B66B1/06—Control systems without regulation, i.e. without retroactive action electric
    • B66B1/14—Control systems without regulation, i.e. without retroactive action electric with devices, e.g. push-buttons, for indirect control of movements
    • B66B1/18—Control systems without regulation, i.e. without retroactive action electric with devices, e.g. push-buttons, for indirect control of movements with means for storing pulses controlling the movements of several cars or cages
    • B—PERFORMING OPERATIONS; TRANSPORTING
    • B66—HOISTING; LIFTING; HAULING
    • B66B—ELEVATORS; ESCALATORS OR MOVING WALKWAYS
    • B66B3/00—Applications of devices for indicating or signalling operating conditions of elevators

Definitions

  • the present invention provides an elevator user movement prediction method and an elevator user movement prediction that can accurately predict the movement of the user when there is a user who performs an action different from the action assumed in the elevator system. Providing equipment.
  • an elevator user movement prediction device predicts the movement of an elevator user in an elevator hall, and predicts an elevator operation based on an elevator specification;
  • the elevator user's behavior based on the predicted elevator operation and the behavior of the elevator user accompanying the information input / output related to the elevator operation, and the behavior assumed in advance and the unexpected behavior in the elevator operation.
  • a user behavior parameter setting means for setting a parameter related to the probability of unexpected behavior, and the user motion prediction portion is a behavior that the elevator user does not expect. It is determined according to the set parameter.
  • the elevator user movement prediction apparatus estimates the movement of the elevator user in an elevator hall, Comprising: Elevator operation prediction which estimates elevator operation based on an elevator specification And the user movement prediction unit that estimates the movement of the elevator user based on the behavior of the elevator user according to the elevator operation state, and the reference relating to the criterion for determining the elevator operation state in the elevator operation prediction unit
  • Elevator operation prediction which estimates elevator operation based on an elevator specification
  • the user movement prediction unit that estimates the movement of the elevator user based on the behavior of the elevator user according to the elevator operation state, and the reference relating to the criterion for determining the elevator operation state in the elevator operation prediction unit
  • An elevator operation parameter setting means for setting one parameter
  • a user behavior parameter setting means for setting a second parameter related to a criterion for the elevator user to determine the elevator operation state, and predicting user movement
  • the part of the elevator Or take dynamic, in response to the first parameter and the second parameter set is determined.
  • an arithmetic processing unit such as a microcomputer has each function by executing a predetermined program.
  • Each data is stored in a storage device such as a semiconductor memory. The same applies to other embodiments described later.
  • the elevator user movement prediction device 1 can set user data 10, layout data 20, elevator specification data 30, a user generation unit 101, an elevator operation prediction unit 104, and a destination floor reservation type self-determination rate.
  • the user data 10 has information on the number of users arriving at the elevator hall and the destination floor of the users for each time period.
  • the elevator specification data 30 includes information on the capacity of each elevator and the stop floor (service floor).
  • the elevator specification data 30 may further include specification information such as a rated speed, a door opening / closing speed, and a group management control method.
  • the layout data 20 includes information on the number of elevators and the number of destination floor reservation terminals.
  • the layout data 20 may further include layout information such as an elevator hall layout, an elevator installation position, and a destination floor reservation terminal installation position.
  • the user generation unit 101 generates a user (data) generated in the elevator hall at each time based on the user data 10.
  • the user movement prediction unit 113 predicts the movement of the user up to the elevator boarding and the behavior of the user after getting off the elevator based on the user data 10 and the layout data 20. In the present embodiment, it is determined that the user's behavior used for movement prediction up to the elevator boarding is to act according to the instructions and guidance of the elevator system based on the self-judgment rate set by the user behavior parameter setting means 110. If the destination floor reservation type boarding / alighting prediction unit 123 predicts the movement of the user and it is determined that the user will act based on the user's self-judgement, the destination floor reservation type self-determination boarding / prediction prediction unit 124 predicts the movement of the user Is done.
  • the input operation to the elevator system performed by the user is determined by the user movement prediction unit 113, and the input operation is performed.
  • the operation and response of the elevator system such as the allocation of the numbered cars and the guidance display according to the above are determined by the elevator operation prediction unit 104 described below.
  • the elevator operation prediction unit 104 predicts the elevator operation status at each time based on the user's elevator operation behavior and the elevator specification data 30 predicted by the user movement prediction unit 113.
  • the output unit 105 outputs the prediction results in the elevator operation prediction unit 104 and the user movement prediction unit 113.
  • the data output from the elevator operation prediction unit 104 is, for example, the time interval (driving interval) at which an elevator departs on an arbitrary floor, the number of users transported by the elevator in an arbitrary period (transportation power), and one elevator Is the time interval (one round operation time) that departs from any floor, and the waiting time of the user at any floor.
  • These data may be indicated by an average value, a minimum value, a maximum value, a median value, or the like.
  • the data output from the user movement prediction unit 113 includes, for example, the number of people waiting for the entire elevator hall on any floor at each time, the number of people waiting for each unit, the waiting time until the elevator ride on any floor, and any floor It takes time to move. These data may be indicated by an average value, a minimum value, a maximum value, a median value, or the like.
  • the output unit 105 includes the position and number of passengers predicted by the elevator operation prediction unit 104, the number of passengers arranged for each elevator in the elevator hall predicted by the user movement prediction unit 113, and the destination floor.
  • the prediction result may be animated by computer graphics and output using the number of people who have reserved terminals.
  • the user behavior parameter setting means 110 may set the occurrence probability (self-judgment rate in the first embodiment) by reading a value recorded in a database or the like without using an input form.
  • the report 2000 shows the floor, the number of vehicles, and the capacity to stop as the specification information 2001 of the elevator to be examined, and the elevator hall as the target time zone and user information 20002 and the prediction result 2003.
  • the average waiting time and the maximum number of people waiting to get on the elevator after arriving at is output.
  • occurrence probability values set by the user behavior parameter setting unit 110 (in the first embodiment, “self-judgment rate R 4 %”: see FIG. 7) 2004 and 2005 are also combined. It may be output.
  • the movement of a person depends on the surrounding state, for example, the destination of the person, the presence or absence of another person or an obstacle, and in the known technology, the person moves from one point in time to the next.
  • the surrounding state for example, the destination of the person, the presence or absence of another person or an obstacle, and in the known technology, the person moves from one point in time to the next.
  • the movement of a person in a predetermined space is predicted.
  • the elevator operation state is used as the surrounding state in order to set the movement of the user, and the call
  • the user's actions associated with the output from the elevator system such as the user's input operation to the elevator system, such as registration, and the guidance display regarding the unit assigned to the call are used.
  • the user and elevator are software (data, program) users and elevators unless otherwise described (the same applies to the flowcharts of FIGS. 10 to 14 described later).
  • a user who arrives at the elevator hall operates the destination floor reservation terminal and inputs the destination floor.
  • the user (data including the destination floor) generated by the user generation unit 101 is set in the user movement prediction unit 113. After executing S101, the process proceeds to S102.
  • the user from the destination floor reservation terminal, to get the destination floor information of the moving Unit e i to the user, the Unit e i, and ride to the Unit e. That is Unit e i that assigned by the system with respect to a destination floor of the user which is set in S101 is acquired from the elevator operation prediction unit 104, the acquired Unit e i is set as to the Unit e ride.
  • the process proceeds to S103.
  • the processing flow from S102 branches so that the next processing step (transition destination) in S102 is selected probabilistically according to the self-judgment rate set by the user behavior parameter setting unit 110. . That is, after execution of S102, the process proceeds to S104 with the probability of the self-judgment rate, and the process proceeds to S105 with the remaining probability, that is, the probability of “1-self-judgment rate”.
  • pseudorandom numbers are used in the stochastic branch as in S103.
  • a pseudorandom number r in the range of 0 to 1 is generated. If the generated r is smaller than the self-judgment rate, the process proceeds to S104. If r is greater than the self-judgment rate, the process proceeds to S105.
  • the pseudo-random number is generated using a known pseudo-random number generation method such as the Mersenne Twister method.
  • the selected Unit e i to ride at its discretion of the user, Unit e j to be selected is to be Unit e ride. That is, the number (e i ) acquired in S102 is changed to the number (e i ) selected in S104.
  • the utility function has at least one of the arrival order k of the elevator car from the time of self-determination, the waiting number n, and the movement time t from the user position to the boarding position of the elevator car, as variables. Defined. Then, the elevator machine having the maximum value of the defined utility function is selected.
  • U (n) ⁇ n
  • the machine with the smallest waiting number n has the largest utility function, and is selected by self-judgment. Become the unit.
  • S105 it is estimated that the user waits for arrival in front of the boarding machine e. That is, it is estimated that the user moves to the front of the numbering machine e to get on, and waits until the numbering machine arrives in front of the numbering machine e to get on. After executing S105, the process proceeds to S106.
  • S107 based on the operation data of the boarding machine e acquired from the elevator operation prediction unit 104, it is determined whether or not the boarding machine e can be boarded.
  • the user movement prediction unit 113 ends the prediction process.
  • the process proceeds to S108.
  • the processing flow after the execution of S107 branches probabilistically as in S103. If it is determined in S107 that the user has not been able to board the car (No in S107), the process proceeds to S104 with the probability of the self-judgment rate, and the process proceeds to S101 with the remaining probability, that is, the probability of “1-self-judgement rate” Transition. That is, it is predicted that the user performs an action based on the self-judgment again with the probability of the self-judgment rate, and returns to the operation of the terminal with the probability of “1-self-judgment rate”. In the first embodiment, the same value self-determination rate set by the user behavior parameter setting unit 110 is used in S103 and S108.
  • the user behavior parameter setting unit 110 may set the self-judgment rate in the first action and the re-behavior, and the self-judgment rate set by the user behavior parameter setting unit 110 may be set according to a predetermined rule. It may be changed.
  • S104 is a process for predicting selection of a car to be boarded by the user's self-judgment. Accordingly, S104 is executed by the destination floor reservation type self-determination boarding / advancing prediction unit 124.
  • S102 is a process for predicting that a car to be boarded is determined according to the guidance and instructions of the elevator system. Therefore, S ⁇ b> 102 is executed by the destination floor reservation type getting on / off prediction unit 123.
  • FIGS. 15, 16 and 17 are examples of prediction results according to the first embodiment, and show the state of the user and the elevator in the elevator hall where the destination floor reservation type elevator is installed.
  • reference numeral 3020 denotes a destination floor reservation type terminal
  • 3000, 3001 and 3002 denote machine number e 1 , number machine e 2 and number machine e 3 , respectively.
  • the indicator 3010 corresponding to the unit e 1 indicates that the vehicle stops at the f 2nd floor
  • the indicator 3011 corresponding to the unit e 2 indicates that the vehicle stops at the f 5th floor
  • the indicator 3012 corresponding to the unit e 3 This indicates that the vehicle stops on the f 2 and f 3 floors.
  • the ride to the destination floor f 2 to the Unit e 3 of the user 3101 has been instructed (3111).
  • User 3100 in operation of the terminal is instructed to ride to the relative destination floor f 2 Unit e 1 (3112).
  • the user 3102 moves in front of the machine e 2 and waits for arrival
  • the users 3103, 3104, 3105 and 3106 move in front of the machine e 3 and wait for arrival.
  • the state of the elevator is the same as in FIG.
  • the users 3101 and 3100 are acting according to the directions or guidance of the destination floor machine, the user 3101 moves in front of the machine e 3 and waits for arrival, and the user 3100 moves in front of the machine e 1 Waiting for arrival.
  • the state of the elevator is the same as in FIG.
  • To the destination floor f 2 of the user 3101 can be confirmed from the display device 3010 to be able to move any other two Unit e 1 of the instructions from the elevator system Unit e 3.
  • the number of people waiting for boarding of the machine e 3 is four, whereas the number of people waiting for boarding of the machine e 1 is 0 at the time of FIG. For this reason, the user 3101 determines to get on the elevator e 1 different from the instruction from the elevator system.
  • the behavior expected in the elevator system is determined by determining the user's behavior using the probability that the user will act based on the user's self-judgment regardless of the unit designated by the elevator system. Can accurately predict the movement of a user when there are users performing different actions. Thereby, the accuracy of the elevator operation prediction is improved, and the elevator transportation capacity, waiting time, waiting number, etc. can be accurately evaluated. Therefore, by using the prediction result according to the first embodiment, it is possible to perform an accurate elevator plan and an accurate elevator design according to the elevator demand in the building. Moreover, the transportation efficiency of the person in a building improves by using the prediction result by the present Example 1 for the group management control of an elevator.
  • the elevator user movement prediction device 2 can set user data 10, layout data 20, elevator specification data 30, a user generation unit 90, an elevator operation prediction unit 104, and a destination floor reservation type self-determination rate.
  • the user behavior parameter setting unit 110, the user movement prediction unit 152, the destination floor reservation type boarding / alighting prediction unit 123 and the accompanying boarding / alighting prediction unit 154 included in the user movement prediction unit 152, and the output unit 105 are configured. . These processing units and data are connected to each other, and data or signals are exchanged.
  • the user movement prediction unit 152 predicts the movement of the user who performs the accompanying action by the accompanying passenger getting on and off prediction unit 154, and predicts the movement of the user who does not perform the accompanying action by the destination floor reservation type getting on and off prediction unit 123. To do.
  • S605 the presence or absence of a companion is determined. If there is a companion (Yes in S605), the process proceeds to S606. If there is no companion (No in S605), the series of processing illustrated in FIG. 14 is terminated, and the process proceeds to S103 in FIG.
  • FIG. 3 is a functional block diagram showing a configuration of an elevator user movement prediction apparatus for an up / down button type elevator, which is Embodiment 3 of the present invention.
  • prediction processing executed in the third embodiment will be described as a user movement prediction method.
  • FIG. 10 is a flowchart showing a prediction process executed by the up / down button type boarding / alighting prediction unit 121 and the up / down button type warning light considering boarding / alighting prediction unit 122 in the user movement prediction unit 111 (FIG. 3).
  • S205 the user confirms the arrival of the unit that is the same as the direction of the destination floor, and sets it as the unit e that gets on the unit that has arrived.
  • the arrival of the same machine as the direction of the destination floor is set by the elevator operation prediction unit 104.
  • reference numerals 4001, 4002 and 4003 denote a number machine e 4 , a number machine e 5 and a number machine e 6 , respectively.
  • 4011,4012,4021,4022,4031 and 4032 respectively, the Unit on the direction of the notice lamp of e 4, Unit downward notice lamp of e 4, Unit e upward notice lamp 5, No. e 5 It shows a downward announcement lamps notice lamp and Unit e 6 in the upward downward notice lamp, Unit e 6 in.
  • the prediction result of the movement behavior of the user waiting for the elevator differs depending on whether or not the warning light is turned on. You can expect to get on and off in a short time if the user is waiting at a location close to the arriving unit, but if the user is waiting at a location away from the arriving unit or in front of a different unit, May increase. Therefore, it is possible to accurately evaluate the transportation capacity of the elevator, the waiting time, the waiting number, and the like based on the prediction result in consideration of lighting of the warning light.
  • the third embodiment by predicting the user's behavior using the warning light consideration rate, it is accurate when there is a user who performs a behavior that does not consider the warning light different from the behavior expected in the elevator system. It is possible to predict the movement of the user. Therefore, by using the prediction result according to the third embodiment, an accurate elevator plan and an accurate elevator design can be realized, and the transportation efficiency of the elevator under group management control can be improved.
  • FIG. 4 is a functional block diagram showing the configuration of the elevator user movement prediction apparatus for the up / down button type elevator, which is Embodiment 4 of the present invention.
  • the elevator user movement prediction device 4 is a user who can set user data 10, layout data 20, elevator specification data 30, a user generation unit 101, an elevator operation prediction unit 104, and an up / down button setting rate.
  • the behavior parameter setting unit 110, the user movement prediction unit 142, the up / down button type boarding / alighting prediction unit 121, the up / down button both-side boarding / alighting prediction unit 144, and the output unit 105 are provided. These processing units and data are connected to each other, and data or signals are exchanged.
  • the user behavior parameter setting means 110 sets the upper / lower button setting ratio (see R 2 in FIG. 7 described above).
  • the user movement prediction unit 142 predicts the user's movement by the up / down button both-side setting boarding / exiting prediction unit 144 for a user who presses both the upper and lower buttons as well as the direction of the destination floor when pressing the up / down button.
  • the up / down button type getting-on / off prediction unit 121 predicts the movement of the user.
  • FIG. 13 is a flowchart showing a part of the prediction process executed by the up / down button type boarding / alighting prediction unit 121 and the up / down button both-side boarding / alighting prediction unit 144 in the user movement prediction unit 142 (FIG. 4).
  • the fourth embodiment when there is a user who performs an action of pressing both the up and down buttons different from the action expected in the elevator system by predicting the action of the user by using the setting ratio of both the up and down buttons. It is possible to accurately predict the movement of the user. Therefore, by using the prediction result according to the third embodiment, an accurate elevator plan and an accurate elevator design can be realized, and the transportation efficiency of the elevator under group management control can be improved.
  • the above-mentioned warning light consideration rate is taken into consideration in addition to the upper / lower button setting rate. If only the upper / lower button setting ratio and the upper / lower button setting ratio are considered, only the upper / lower button setting ratio may be set to zero.
  • FIG. 5 is a functional block diagram showing the configuration of an elevator user movement prediction apparatus that is applicable to both the up / down button type elevator and the destination floor reservation type elevator, which is Embodiment 5 of the present invention.
  • the elevator user movement prediction device 5 includes user data 10, layout data 20, elevator specification data 30, a user generation unit 101, an elevator operation prediction unit 104, a user behavior parameter setting unit 110, a usage Person movement prediction unit 114, up / down button type boarding / alighting prediction unit 121 provided in user movement prediction unit 114, up / down button type warning light considering boarding / alighting prediction unit 122, destination floor reservation type boarding / alighting prediction unit 123, destination floor reservation type self-determination boarding / alighting
  • the prediction unit 124 and the output unit 105 are configured. These processing units and data are connected to each other, and data or signals are exchanged.
  • Each data and each processing unit are the same as those described in the first to fourth embodiments.
  • the accompanying boarding / alighting prediction unit 154 and the upper / lower button both-side boarding / alighting prediction unit 144 described in the first to fourth embodiments may be added.
  • the user movement prediction unit 114 when predicting the movement of the user, when the up / down button is installed in the elevator hall to be predicted, the up / down button type getting on / off prediction unit 121 or the up / down button
  • the destination floor reservation terminal is installed in the elevator hall to be predicted using the type warning light considering boarding / exiting prediction unit
  • the destination floor reservation type boarding / prediction prediction unit 123 or the destination floor reservation type self-determination boarding / prediction prediction unit 124 is used.
  • FIG. 11 is a flowchart showing a part of the prediction process executed by the destination floor reservation type boarding / alighting prediction unit 123 and the destination floor reservation type wheelchair button combined boarding / alighting prediction unit 134 in the user movement prediction unit 132 (FIG. 6).
  • FIG. 12 is a flowchart showing a part of the prediction process executed by the up / down button type boarding / alighting prediction unit 121 and the up / down button type wheelchair button combined boarding / alighting prediction unit 133 in the user movement prediction unit 132 (FIG. 6).
  • the destination floor reservation terminal is different from the expected behavior in the destination floor reservation type elevator system by predicting the user's behavior using the wheelchair button combination rate for the destination floor reservation type.
  • the prediction result according to the fifth embodiment it is possible to perform an accurate elevator plan and an accurate elevator design, and to improve the transportation efficiency of an elevator that is group-controlled.
  • the above-described self-judgment rate is considered in addition to the wheelchair button combination rate for the destination floor reservation type.
  • the self-judgment rate may be set to 0 when only the wheelchair button combination rate for the destination floor reservation type is considered.
  • the elevator operation predicting unit 104 determines that the elevator is full based on the number of passengers or the load of the elevator, the elevator operation predicting unit 104 changes the operation control.
  • the number of passengers in the elevator is equal to or higher than the product of the elevator full capacity determination rate and the elevator rated capacity, or the elevator load is equal to or higher than the product of the elevator full capacity determination rate and the elevator rated load capacity, Is considered full.

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  • Engineering & Computer Science (AREA)
  • Automation & Control Theory (AREA)
  • Elevator Control (AREA)
  • Indicating And Signalling Devices For Elevators (AREA)

Abstract

Grâce à la présente invention, le mouvement d'un utilisateur est prédit avec précision lorsqu'un utilisateur est présent et effectue une action différente d'une action prévue dans un système d'ascenseur. L'invention concerne un procédé pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur, pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur dans un trou d'ascenseur, dans lequel le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur est estimé (S105) sur la base d'un état de fonctionnement d'ascenseur (S102, ei) et une action d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur accompagnant la saisie/la sortie (S101) d'informations concernant le fonctionnement d'ascenseur, l'action de l'utilisateur d'ascenseur comprenant une action anticipée dans la commande d'ascenseur et une action imprévue (S104).
PCT/JP2018/014056 2017-04-19 2018-04-02 Procédé pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur et dispositif pour prédire le mouvement d'un utilisateur d'ascenseur Ceased WO2018193819A1 (fr)

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JPH0826605A (ja) * 1994-07-19 1996-01-30 Hitachi Ltd エレベーター群管理システム
JPH09240931A (ja) * 1996-03-08 1997-09-16 Hitachi Ltd エレベータ群管理制御装置
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JP2018177507A (ja) 2018-11-15
CN110520374B (zh) 2021-04-09
CN110520374A (zh) 2019-11-29

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