RU179304U1 - Automated device for assessing the investment attractiveness of projects - Google Patents

Abstract

The utility model relates to specialized computing devices and can be used in the process of making investment decisions to assess the investment attractiveness of projects. The required technical result, which consists in increasing the accuracy of the device and the reliability of the estimates obtained, is achieved in a device containing blocks for the formation and storage of the project goal indicator, process feasibility indicator, resource indicator, competency indicator, indicator of a person’s entrepreneur profile, indicator of the corporate value system and indicator of motivational potential as well as an adder, a unit for calculating an unweighted indicator of investment attractiveness of a project, and a block p calculation of a weighted indicator of the investment attractiveness of the project with the corresponding relationships. Fig. one.

Description

The utility model relates to specialized computing devices and can be used in the process of making investment decisions to assess the investment attractiveness of projects.

The proposed technical solution is a specialized computing device containing elements and connections between them, which are in functional and constructive unity and placed in a limited space in a single case (single board). It is intended for automated assessment of investment attractiveness of projects based on the calculation of the coefficient of investment attractiveness (KIP) used in the process of investment decisions.

A technical solution is known in the form of an automated computing system for the formation and monitoring of investment stock portfolios [RU 2630169, C1, G06Q 40/04, 09/05/2017], characterized in that it contains at least one automated workstation (AWP) of the user, including the data bus AWP, to which the AWP computing unit is connected, containing a request generation module and a module for receiving reports and messages, a control unit, an AWP data storage unit, an information display unit and an AWP communication unit, and a server including a yes bus a data storage unit containing a user registry, a database of user calculation models, a database of criteria for selecting stocks in a portfolio, a database of user portfolios, a database of typical calculation models, a database of report and message templates, a company registry, a database “General Data”, the database “Authorized Capital”, the database “Financial Reporting”, the database “Debt Obligations”, the database “Quotations”, the database “Production Model”, the database “Financial Mo spruce ", the database" Production Activities ", the database" Macroeconomic Indicators ", the database" Industry Indicators ", the database" Exchange Rates ", the database" Cost of Exchange Commodities ", the database" Dividends "and the database" Head and dependent organizations ”, a computing unit containing a user registration module, a request processing module, a financial data collection module, a calculation model generation module, a report (message) generation module, a share price calculation module, a portfolio formation module lei, a module for calculating portfolio returns and a module for monitoring portfolio of shares, and a communication unit connected to communication units of AWP users and sources of financial data.

The disadvantage of this technical solution is the relatively narrow functionality, since it is limited by the possibility of use, mainly for assessing the effectiveness of investment portfolios, and cannot be used without additional improvements for other investment projects.

In addition, a technical solution is known in the form of an econometric analysis system for an investment strategy [RU 2012140927, A, G06Q 40/04, 04/10/2014], characterized in that it contains a processor and a memory that communicates with the processor and in which the instructions given by the processor are stored : receiving a request for analysis of the investment strategy, establishing the aggregation volume of transaction data records on the card for the purpose of analyzing the investment strategy, aggregating transaction data records on the card in order to analyze the investment strategy in according to a given volume, calculating a predictive regression equation using aggregated records of transaction data on a map, computing a forecast of retail spending on a given cost category using a predictive regression equation, generating a business analysis report based on the calculated forecast, and providing an analysis report economic activity in response to the received report on the analysis of investment strategy.

The peculiarity of the system is that, in its memory, commands for generating anonymous transaction data on the card are additionally stored by extracting identification features from aggregated transaction data, commands for setting secrecy marks for transaction data records according to the cost category, corresponding transaction data record, and filtering relevant transaction data records for the purpose of analyzing an investment strategy based on established secrecy stamps of transaction data records; teams generating a business analysis report in accordance with user requirements; initiating an investment decision based on a forecast of retail purchase costs in a given cost category; generating a data source using a forecast of retail purchase costs, and using the generated data source.

The disadvantage of this technical solution is also the relatively narrow functionality, because, although it allows you to evaluate the effectiveness of investments, it does not take into account such important factors inherent in investment projects as the role, place, competence and motivation of management in the process of project implementation, which reduces the accuracy and reliability of the estimates obtained.

The closest in technical essence and the result is a device [RU 63567, U1, G06F 17/10, G06F 19/00, 05/27/2007] containing a controlled part, including a data input device, a device for receiving data about the characteristics of the object, an intermediate storage device and data processing and a data output device, the controlled part is connected to a server containing a unit for describing the process of production and sales of products, a unit for describing the macroeconomic environment of an object, a cost-generating device, a device for describing expenses Features in the sources of financing, a device for describing assets and liabilities, a unit for calculating the cost of manufactured products, a unit for accounting for tax payments and a device for generating reports, while the output of the unit for describing the macroeconomic environment is connected to the inputs of the unit for describing the process of production and sale of products, a device for describing the need for sources of financing , cost-generating devices and reporting devices, the output of the unit for describing the process of production and sale of products is associated with odes of a cost-generating device, a device for describing assets and liabilities of an object, a unit for calculating the cost of production and a tax payment accounting unit, the output of a device for generating costs is associated with the inputs of a device for describing assets and liabilities, a unit for calculating the cost of production, a tax accounting unit and a reporting device , the output of the tax payment accounting unit is connected to the inputs of the unit for calculating the cost of manufactured products and the reporting device, the output of the unit calculating the cost of production is associated with the input of the reporting device, the output of the device describing the need for funding sources is connected with the input of the device describing the need for funding sources and the reporting device.

A feature of this technical solution is that the assets and liabilities generation unit includes at least a current assets accounting unit, a description unit for non-current assets and a short-term liabilities unit, a reporting unit contains blocks for calculating key financial indicators, performance indicators of an object’s functioning , indicators of the main forms of financial statements, settlement and analytical tables, calculation of business value and weighted average cost of capital, unit for determining the need These sources of financing contains a unit for the formation of a consolidated statement of payments on loans, a unit for determining the need for financing, a unit for describing leasing operations, and a unit for generating costs that contains a unit for describing expenses, a unit for calculating salary expenses, and a block for other income and expenses.

The disadvantage of this technical solution is the relatively narrow functionality, because, although it allows you to evaluate the effectiveness of investments, it does not take into account such important factors inherent in investment projects as the role, place, competence and motivation of management in the implementation of the project, which reduces accuracy and reliability of the estimates obtained.

The problem that is solved in the proposed utility model is the creation of an automated device that allows with greater accuracy and reliability to assess the investment attractiveness of projects based on the calculation of the coefficient of investment attractiveness (CIP) used in the process of making investment decisions.

The required technical result is to increase the accuracy of the device and the reliability of the obtained estimates of the attractiveness of investment projects.

The problem is solved, and the required technical result is achieved by the fact that, in the device containing the first unit for generating and storing data and the first unit for calculating, according to the utility model, an adder, second, third, fourth, fifth and sixth units for storing and processing data are introduced and the second calculation unit, while the first, second, third, fourth, fifth and sixth data generation and storage units are the unit for generating and storing the project goals indicator, the unit for generating and storing the validity indicator percent esses, a unit for generating and storing an indicator of resources, a unit for creating and storing an indicator of a personalized profile of an entrepreneur, a unit for creating and storing an indicator for a corporate value system, and a unit for creating and storing an indicator for a motivational potential, respectively, the first calculation unit is a calculation unit unweighted indicator of investment attractiveness of the project, the first, second, third and fourth inputs of which are connected with the output of the unit for the formation and storage of the indicator of the goals of the project, the output of the unit for the formation and storage of the indicator of the validity of the processes, the output of the unit for the formation and storage of the indicator of the resources and the output of the unit for the formation and storage of the indicator of competence, respectively, and the second block of calculation is the unit for calculating the weighted indicator of the investment attractiveness of the project, the first and second input of which are connected, respectively, with the output of the block for calculating an unweighted indicator of investment attractiveness EKTA adder and the first, second and third inputs connected respectively to the outputs of the block formation and storage of a personalized profile indicator entrepreneur forming unit and storing indicator values and the corporate system forming unit and the storage capacity indicator motivational.

The drawing shows a functional diagram of an automated device for assessing the investment attractiveness of projects.

The automated device for assessing the investment attractiveness of projects contains an adder 1, a unit 2 for generating and storing a project goals metric, a unit 3 for generating and storing a process feasibility indicator, a unit 4 for generating and storing a resource metric, a unit 5 for generating and storing a competency metric, a unit 6 for generating and storing an metric personalized entrepreneur profile, block 7 of the formation and storage of the indicator of the corporate value system and block 8 of the formation and storage of the indicator motivational potential.

In addition, the automated device for assessing the investment attractiveness of projects contains a block 9 for calculating an unweighted indicator of the investment attractiveness of the project, the first, second, third and fourth inputs of which are connected to the output of block 2 for the formation and storage of the indicator of the goals of the project, the output of block 3 for the formation and storage of the indicator for the validity of the processes, the output of block 4 of the formation and storage of the indicator of resources and the output of block 5 of the formation and storage of the indicator of competence, respectively.

The automated device for assessing the investment attractiveness of projects also contains a block 10 for calculating a weighted indicator of investment attractiveness of the project, the first and second inputs of which are connected, respectively, with the output of block 9 for calculating the unweighted indicator of investment attractiveness of the project and adder 1, the first, second and third inputs of which are connected, respectively , with the outputs of block 6 of the formation and storage of the indicator of the personified profile of the entrepreneur, block 7 of the formation and storage indicator of corporate value system and the formation of the block 8 and the storage index of the motivational potential.

An automated device for assessing the investment attractiveness of projects works as follows.

The device is based on the principle of multivariate analysis and evaluation of investment projects and, as a result, the balanced principle of making investment decisions. In particular, the principle of the device’s operation is based on the assumption that a project that cannot be represented in the “Goals - Processes - Resources - Competencies” system will be perceived by investors as very risky, even if the external market environment and research on it are very attractive.

As the investment attractiveness of the project in the proposed utility model adopted indicator

,

,

Where:

TPRK - the coefficient of attractiveness of the project based on the assessment of the company's labor resources (unweighted indicator of investment attractiveness of the project);

T - an indicator of the objectives of the project;

P is an indicator of the validity of the processes;

R is an indicator of resources;

C is an indicator of competency.

The use of the CPAC coefficient based on the assessment of the company's labor resources (an unweighted indicator of the investment attractiveness of the project) is based on the assumption that the investment project will then be of interest to the investor and will be highly rated for investment attractiveness, when all four factors expressed through the above indicators are characterized by high values.

Consider how each of these indicators is determined.

Project Goal Indicator T - characterizes an important factor linking the economic indicators of the investor project proposed for consideration by the investor and the entrepreneur’s personal goals. This factor is evaluated according to 2 criteria:

T ₁ - a private indicator characterizing the presence of explicit well-developed and formulated business goals of the project;

T ₂ - a private indicator that characterizes the degree to which the goals of the entrepreneur are connected specifically with the goals of the project.

In the proposed device, it is assumed that T = T ₁ × T ₂ .

It is convenient to make the values of private indicators on a fractional scale from 0 to 1, where “0” means the complete absence of signs according to this criterion (when the borrower-entrepreneur cannot explicitly clearly give answers to the project, and “1” is a full adequate representation.

In the proposed device, the indicator T is formed and stored in the block 2 of the formation and storage of the project goals indicator, according to the private indicators T ₁ and T ₂ supplied to the inputs of the block ₂ .

The process feasibility indicator P reflects the fact that the processes are not executed on their own. In the device, this factor is characterized by the following indicators:

P ₁ - a private indicator characterizing the presence of clearly developed processes necessary for execution by employees

R ₂ - a private indicator characterizing the degree of connectedness of processes with the objectives of the project;

P ₃ is a private indicator that characterizes the degree to which processes are tied to specific employee positions.

The assessment is given in a fractional scale 0 ... 1.

In the proposed device, it is accepted that P = P ₁ × P ₂ × P ₃

In the proposed device, the indicator P is formed and stored in the block 3 of the formation and storage of the indicator of the validity of the processes supplied to the inputs of the block 3 of the private indicators P ₁ , P ₂ and P ₃ .

The resource indicator R characterizes human resources using the following indicators:

R ₁ - a private indicator characterizing the presence of an understandable functional structure for the posts for the project;

R ₂ - a private indicator characterizing the staffing of the organization by employees;

R ₃ - a private indicator that characterizes the understanding of the sources and technologies of attracting employees.

The assessment is given in a fractional scale 0 ... 1. In the proposed device, it is assumed that R = R1 × R2 × R3.

In the proposed device, the indicator R is generated and stored in block 4 of the formation and storage of the resource indicator for the private indicators R ₁ , R ₂ and R ₃ supplied to the inputs of the block 4.

Competency Index C characterizes the competence of employees.

With ₁ - a private indicator characterizing the presence of functional tasks for the positions of employees of the organization;

С ₂ - a private indicator characterizing the presence of competency profiles of the main positions (positions) for a given project;

C ₃ is a private indicator characterizing the degree of discrepancy between job profiles and the profile of employees by candidates; this criterion is inverse, i.e. in represented by the subformula: (1 - C3).

The final formula for calculating the indicator has the form

C = C1 × C2 × (1-C3)

Based on the decomposition of the main formula, it can be seen that the final coefficient is decreasing in the general formula for assessing the attractiveness of the project and is in the range 0 ... 1, where, the smaller the value, the less attractive.

In the proposed device, indicator C is formed and stored in block 5 of the formation and storage of the competency indicator for private indicators C ₁ , C ₂ and C ₃ supplied to the inputs of block 5.

Based on the calculated particular indicators T, P, R, and C, in block 9, an unweighted indicator of the investment attractiveness of the project is calculated, determined by the formula (1) or, in the particular case, by the formula.

.

.

With a more rigorous approach to assessing the attractiveness of a project, one can take into account additional aspects of the “human capital” of the project, which should be taken into account in order to work out the right solution.

Such additional aspects assessed by the relevant indicators are the following:

- “personified profile of the entrepreneur” (PLP), the project executor, which allows assessing his entrepreneurial and leadership potential and predisposition to the extremely difficult and sometimes turbulent role of the borrower-entrepreneur;

- “corporate value system” (CVS), embedded in the corporate culture of the project in the early stages or existing at the current moment, which will greatly affect the synchronization of understanding and assessment of certain events and processes and can aggravate or, conversely, neutralize negative circumstances the external environment;

- “the motivational potential of the management team” (MTR) or the core team, its involvement in a business project, its willingness to move towards the goals of the project.

Therefore, from the point of view of taking these factors into account, the device uses an expansive formula for the coefficient of investment attractiveness - a weighted indicator of investment attractiveness (KIP). Specialists have discrepancies in the “weight” of one or another factor in the overall result. According to the results of expert evaluations, the values of particular indicators (coefficients) characterizing additional aspects of “human capital” lie in the following ranges:

- the coefficient of PLR _exp was the highest in significance: 0.38-0.43;

- MTP _exp coefficient turned out to be the second most important: 0.33-0.41;

- CVS _exp coefficient was the last in importance: 0.25-0.34.

The average values of the coefficients with simple addition directly do not give exactly "1". But the method of normalization can correct the values of the coefficients:

PLP = 0.3785 × PLR _exp (0 ... 1);

MTR = 0.3458 × MTR _exp (0 ... 1);

CVS = 0.2757 × MTP _exp (0 ... 1).

The value of the PLP coefficient is preliminarily entered and stored in block 6 of the formation and storage of the indicator of a personalized profile of the entrepreneur, the MTP coefficient is in block 7 of the formation and storage of the indicator of the corporate value system, and CVS is in block 8 of the formation and storage of the indicator of the motivational potential.

As a result, in block 10 of calculating the weighted indicator of the investment attractiveness of the project, the calculation and final evaluation of the indicator of attractiveness of the project by the weighted indicator using the formula (1)

Instrumentation = CPRC × (PLP + MTP + CVS) / 4.

In the particular case, the use of formula (2) is possible

Instrumentation '= CPRC' × (PLP × MTP × CVS).

Thus, the proposed utility model achieves the required technical result, which consists in increasing the accuracy of the device and the reliability of the obtained estimates of the investment attractiveness of projects, since at least seven factors are taken into account that have a significant impact on the investment attractiveness of projects.

Claims (1)

An automated device for assessing the investment attractiveness of projects, containing the first data generation and storage unit and the first calculation unit, characterized in that an adder, a second, third, fourth, fifth and sixth data storage and processing unit and a second calculation unit are introduced, with the first, second , the third, fourth, fifth and sixth data generation and storage unit are the unit for the formation and storage of the project goals indicator, the formation and storage unit for the process validity indicator, the data generation unit the storage and storage of the resource indicator, the unit for creating and storing the indicator of competency, the unit for creating and storing the indicator for the personalized profile of the entrepreneur, the unit for creating and storing the indicator for the corporate value system and the unit for creating and storing the indicator for the motivational potential, respectively, the first calculation unit is the unit for calculating the unweighted indicator of investment attractiveness of the project , the first, second, third and fourth inputs of which are connected to the output of the form unit the storage and storage of the project goals indicator, the output of the formation and storage block of the process feasibility indicator, the output of the formation and storage of the resource indicator and the output of the formation and storage of the competency indicator, respectively, and the second calculation block is the calculation unit of the weighted indicator of the investment attractiveness of the project, the first and second input which are connected respectively with the output of the block for calculating the unweighted indicator of investment attractiveness of the project and the adder, the first , the second and third inputs of which are connected, respectively, with the outputs of the unit for forming and storing the indicator of a personified profile of the entrepreneur, the block for forming and storing the indicator of the corporate value system and the block for forming and storing the indicator of motivational potential.

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