CN110826813A - Grid optimization method based on differential charging demands of household electric vehicle users - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明涉及一种基于家用电动汽车用户充电差异性需求的电网优化方法,包括:步骤S1:获取家用车出行记录,并获得时间特征数据和空间特征数据;步骤S2:利用用车概率分析方法进行参数拟合,得到各特征数据的概率函数,以及建立各出行时刻的空间转移矩阵;步骤S3:对家用电动汽车进行出行链模拟,并在模拟过程是分析获取耗电信息;步骤S4:将用户分为需求型用户和随机型用户;步骤S5:确定需求型用户的充电模式;步骤S6:得到各随机型用户的充电概率;步骤S7:将不同空间区域内产生的充电需求进行聚合,得到考虑用户充电差异性的充电负荷时空分布图,并以此进行充电负荷特性分析以优化电网。与现有技术相比,本发明具有提高电网安全等优点。
The invention relates to a power grid optimization method based on the differentiated charging demands of household electric vehicle users, comprising: step S1: acquiring travel records of household vehicles, and acquiring temporal feature data and spatial feature data; step S2: using a vehicle use probability analysis method to perform Parameter fitting to obtain the probability function of each characteristic data, and establish the spatial transition matrix of each travel time; Step S3: simulate the travel chain of the household electric vehicle, and analyze and obtain power consumption information in the simulation process; Step S4: Divided into demand users and random users; Step S5: Determine the charging mode of demand users; Step S6: Obtain the charging probability of each random user; Step S7: Aggregate the charging needs generated in different space areas to be considered The spatial and temporal distribution map of charging load of users' charging differences is used to analyze the characteristics of charging load to optimize the power grid. Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the advantages of improving the security of the power grid and the like.
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及一种电网优化方法,尤其是涉及一种基于家用电动汽车用户充电差异性需求的电网优化方法。The invention relates to a power grid optimization method, in particular to a power grid optimization method based on the differential charging demands of household electric vehicle users.
背景技术Background technique
化石燃料的日益紧缺与环境污染问题日渐严重,使得具有高效、清洁等优点的电动汽车具有良好的发展前景。国内外的汽车企业都在大力推动电动汽车的发展,近年来我国新能源汽车产业发展迅猛。The increasing shortage of fossil fuels and the increasingly serious problems of environmental pollution make electric vehicles with the advantages of high efficiency and cleanliness have a good development prospect. Domestic and foreign auto companies are vigorously promoting the development of electric vehicles. In recent years, my country's new energy vehicle industry has developed rapidly.
随着电动汽车的渗透率上升,大规模充电负荷接入对电网的影响也日益明显,大量的家用电动汽车充电负荷在负荷峰值时的叠加效应将给电网的安全运行和优化调度带来困难。由于家用电动汽车数量所占比例较大,而用户的出行和充电行为具有不确定性,使得充电负荷在时间和空间上具有随机性、间歇性和波动性等不稳定特点,家用电动汽车充电会使常规电力负荷峰值叠加,峰谷差增大,若不针对电动汽车充电需求进行电网的优化,可能会导致电网发生安全事故。With the increase in the penetration rate of electric vehicles, the impact of large-scale charging load access on the power grid is becoming more and more obvious. The superposition effect of a large number of household electric vehicle charging loads at peak load will bring difficulties to the safe operation and optimal dispatch of the power grid. Due to the large proportion of household electric vehicles and the uncertainty of users' travel and charging behavior, the charging load has unstable characteristics such as randomness, intermittentness and fluctuation in time and space. The peaks of conventional power loads are superimposed, and the peak-to-valley difference increases. If the power grid is not optimized for the charging demand of electric vehicles, it may lead to safety accidents in the power grid.
发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION
本发明的目的就是为了克服上述现有技术存在的缺陷而提供一种基于家用电动汽车用户充电差异性需求的电网优化方法,针对出行特征研究部分,提出以出行链理论为基础,运用全美家庭出行调查(National Household Travel Survey,NHTS2017)数据对用户的日常出行规律进行研究,并借助蒙特卡洛法模拟得到不同类型的出行链模型。其次,在充电负荷建模阶段,提出一种考虑用户充电差异性的分层充电决策模型,运用模糊推理方法研究计及停车时长充裕度和分时电价的用户随机性充电决策过程;最终得出家用电动汽车的充电需求时空变化趋势。The purpose of the present invention is to provide a power grid optimization method based on the differentiated charging demands of household electric vehicle users in order to overcome the above-mentioned defects in the prior art. For the research part of travel characteristics, it is proposed to use the travel chain theory as the basis, using the national family travel method. The survey (National Household Travel Survey, NHTS2017) data is used to study the daily travel rules of users, and different types of travel chain models are obtained by means of Monte Carlo simulation. Secondly, in the charging load modeling stage, a hierarchical charging decision-making model that considers the difference of users' charging is proposed, and the fuzzy reasoning method is used to study the user's random charging decision-making process considering the parking duration adequacy and time-of-use electricity price; Temporal and spatial trend of charging demand for household electric vehicles.
本发明的目的可以通过以下技术方案来实现:The object of the present invention can be realized through the following technical solutions:
一种基于家用电动汽车用户充电差异性需求的电网优化方法,包括:A grid optimization method based on the differentiated charging demands of household electric vehicle users, including:
步骤S1:获取家用车出行记录,并获得时间特征数据和空间特征数据,其中,所述时间特征数据包括每一次出行的开始行驶时间、结束行驶时间、停留时间和行驶时长,所述空间特征数据包括每一次出行的行驶里程和出行目的;Step S1: Acquire the travel records of the family car, and obtain temporal feature data and spatial feature data, wherein the temporal feature data includes the start travel time, end travel time, stay time and travel length of each trip, and the spatial feature data Include the mileage and purpose of each trip;
步骤S2:基于获取的时间特征数据和空间特征数据,利用用车概率分析方法进行参数拟合,得到各特征数据的概率函数,以及建立各出行时刻的空间转移矩阵;Step S2: Based on the acquired temporal feature data and spatial feature data, use the vehicle-use probability analysis method to perform parameter fitting, obtain a probability function of each feature data, and establish a spatial transition matrix for each travel moment;
步骤S3:基于拟合得到的结果对家用电动汽车进行出行链模拟,并在模拟过程是分析获取耗电信息;Step S3: based on the result obtained from the fitting, simulate the travel chain of the household electric vehicle, and analyze and obtain power consumption information during the simulation process;
步骤S4:根据耗电信息将用户分为确定需要充电的需求型用户和可能需要充电的随机型用户;Step S4: Divide the users into demand-type users who are determined to need charging and random-type users who may need charging according to the power consumption information;
步骤S5:基于停车时长确定需求型用户的充电模式;Step S5: determining the charging mode of the demand-type user based on the parking time;
步骤S6:基于采用模糊推理方法得到各随机型用户的充电概率;Step S6: obtaining the charging probability of each random user based on the fuzzy inference method;
步骤S7:将不同空间区域内产生的充电需求进行聚合,最终可得到考虑用户充电差异性的充电负荷时空分布图,并以此进行充电负荷特性分析以优化电网。Step S7: Aggregate the charging demands generated in different spatial regions, and finally obtain a charging load space-time distribution map considering the charging differences of users, and perform charging load characteristic analysis based on this to optimize the power grid.
所述步骤S2中,所述开始行驶时刻使用广义极值分布进行拟合,所述行驶里程使用对数正态分布进行拟合,所述停车时长使用高斯混合分布和广义极值分布进行拟合。In the step S2, the starting time of driving is fitted with a generalized extreme value distribution, the mileage is fitted with a log-normal distribution, and the parking duration is fitted with a Gaussian mixture distribution and a generalized extreme value distribution. .
所述停车时长的拟合方式具体为:对于工作区域内的停车时长使用高斯混合分布进行拟合,其他区域的停车时长使用广义极值分布进行拟合。The fitting method of the parking duration is as follows: the parking duration in the working area is fitted by using a Gaussian mixture distribution, and the parking duration in other areas is fitted by using a generalized extreme value distribution.
所述步骤S3中,所述在模拟过程是分析获取耗电信息的过程具体为:通过行驶里程以及每公里平均耗电量得到行程中电动汽车的耗电量并更新当前电池的荷电状态。In the step S3, the process of analyzing and obtaining power consumption information in the simulation process is specifically as follows: obtaining the power consumption of the electric vehicle during the trip and updating the current state of charge of the battery through the driving mileage and the average power consumption per kilometer.
所述需求型用户为当前剩余电量不满足下一段行程的电量需求的用户,The demand-based user is a user whose current remaining power does not meet the power demand of the next trip,
所述随机型用户当前剩余电量满足下一段行程的电量需求的用户。The random user is a user whose current remaining power meets the power demand of the next trip.
所述步骤S5具体为:The step S5 is specifically:
当停车时长满足慢速充电所需的充电时长时,确定需求型用户的充电模式为慢速充电,反之确定定需求型用户的充电模式为快速充电速。When the parking time meets the charging time required for slow charging, the charging mode of the demand-type user is determined to be slow charging; otherwise, the charging mode of the demand-type user is determined to be fast charging speed.
所述步骤S6具体包括:The step S6 specifically includes:
步骤S61:计算停车时长内充电可达到的最大饱和值,并转换为停车时长充裕度;Step S61: Calculate the maximum saturation value that can be reached by charging within the parking duration, and convert it into the parking duration margin;
步骤S62:将停车时长充裕度以及分时电价作为输入信号输入随机型用户的充电决策模型,得出用户充电概率大小。Step S62: Input the parking duration adequacy and the time-of-use electricity price as input signals into the charging decision-making model of the random user, and obtain the charging probability of the user.
所述分时电价分为三个等级:谷、平、峰;所述停车时长充裕度分为不充裕、一般充裕和充裕三种等级。The time-of-use electricity price is divided into three grades: valley, flat, and peak; the parking duration adequacy is divided into three grades: not sufficient, general sufficient and sufficient.
与现有技术相比,本发明具有以下有益效果:Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following beneficial effects:
1)结合出行链理论和出行数据进行出行过程的研究时,考虑到时、空特征量之间的相互影响,针对不同运行条件下的特征量根据实际数据的分布情况采用不同的概率函数进行分析,所选用的分析方法具有可靠性。1) When studying the travel process by combining the travel chain theory and travel data, considering the interaction between temporal and spatial feature quantities, different probability functions are used to analyze the feature quantities under different operating conditions according to the distribution of actual data. , the selected analytical method is reliable.
2)根据用户的出行过程分析电动汽车实际的用能情况,并对不同需求条件下用户的充电负荷进行分类研究,提出了一种计及用户差异性充电决策的分层建模方法,分析结果具有科学性和合理性。2) According to the user's travel process, the actual energy consumption of electric vehicles is analyzed, and the user's charging load under different demand conditions is classified and studied. A hierarchical modeling method that takes into account the user's differential charging decision is proposed. scientific and rational.
3)同时考虑到影响用户充电意愿的两大因素:充电成本以及停车充裕度,进行充电负荷建模,提高了电动汽车充电负荷时空分布的准确性。3) At the same time, considering two factors that affect the user's willingness to charge: charging cost and parking adequacy, the charging load modeling is carried out, which improves the accuracy of the spatiotemporal distribution of electric vehicle charging load.
附图说明Description of drawings
图1为本发明方法的主要步骤流程示意图Fig. 1 is the schematic flow chart of the main steps of the method of the present invention
图2为电动汽车出行链时空变化分布图;Figure 2 is a distribution diagram of the spatiotemporal variation of the electric vehicle travel chain;
图3为电动汽车充电需求建模流程图;Figure 3 is a flow chart of the modeling of electric vehicle charging demand;
图4为家用电动汽车充电需求分布曲线图;Figure 4 is a graph showing the distribution of charging demand for household electric vehicles;
图5为简单链模式下的充电负荷曲线;Figure 5 is the charging load curve in the simple chain mode;
图6为复杂链模式下的充电负荷曲线。Figure 6 is the charging load curve in the complex chain mode.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面结合附图和具体实施例对本发明进行详细说明。本实施例以本发明技术方案为前提进行实施,给出了详细的实施方式和具体的操作过程,但本发明的保护范围不限于下述的实施例。The present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments. This embodiment is implemented on the premise of the technical solution of the present invention, and provides a detailed implementation manner and a specific operation process, but the protection scope of the present invention is not limited to the following embodiments.
电动汽车用户的出行特征分析是充电负荷建模的基础研究,不同的研究方法得到的结果差异较大,因此,需要选用适当的方法对用户的出行过程进行分析,提高充电负荷建模结果的准确性。多数研究仅对时间特征量进行独立性分析,忽略了出行过程中的空间分布同时缺少对特征量之间的影响研究。此外,在进行充电负荷建模时多数研究重点考虑由于用户出行而产生的电量需求,简化了对用户充电随机性的研究,实际上用户的充电意愿受很多因素干扰,在具体的分析过程中可以进一步提升。The analysis of the travel characteristics of electric vehicle users is the basic research of charging load modeling. The results obtained by different research methods are quite different. Therefore, it is necessary to select an appropriate method to analyze the travel process of users to improve the accuracy of charging load modeling results. sex. Most studies only conduct independent analysis on temporal feature quantities, ignoring the spatial distribution in the travel process and lack of research on the influence between feature quantities. In addition, when modeling charging load, most studies focus on considering the electricity demand due to user travel, which simplifies the research on the randomness of user charging. In fact, the user's willingness to charge is interfered by many factors. further improvement.
一种基于家用电动汽车用户充电差异性需求的电网优化方法,如图1和图3所示,包括:A grid optimization method based on the differential charging demand of household electric vehicle users, as shown in Figure 1 and Figure 3, includes:
步骤S1:获取家用车出行记录,并获得时间特征数据和空间特征数据,其中,时间特征数据包括每一次出行的开始行驶时间、结束行驶时间、停留时间和行驶时长,空间特征数据包括每一次出行的行驶里程和出行目的;Step S1: Acquire a travel record of the family car, and obtain temporal feature data and spatial feature data, wherein the temporal feature data includes the start travel time, end travel time, stay time and travel length of each trip, and the spatial feature data includes each trip. mileage and purpose of travel;
本发明借助出行链理论研究家用电动汽车的出行特征,出行链中的时空变化分布如图2所示,其中包含以时间特征量组成的时间链和以空间特征量组成的空间链,从时间和空间两个维度分析用户的日常出行规律。用于描述出行链模型的时空特征量包括:The present invention studies the travel characteristics of household electric vehicles by means of the travel chain theory. The time-space variation distribution in the travel chain is shown in Figure 2, which includes a time chain composed of temporal feature quantities and a space chain composed of spatial feature quantities. Two dimensions of space are used to analyze the daily travel patterns of users. The spatiotemporal feature quantities used to describe the travel chain model include:
①出行次数,i;① Number of trips, i;
②第i次出行起点,si;②The starting point of the i-th trip, s i ;
③第i次出行终点,di;③ The end point of the ith trip, d i ;
④开始行驶时刻,t0;④The starting time of driving, t 0 ;
⑤第i次行驶的行驶时长, ⑤ The driving time of the i-th driving,
⑥区域di处的停车时长, ⑥ parking time at area d i ,
⑦第i次行程中的行驶距离, ⑦ The travel distance in the i-th trip,
其中,将出行目的按功能区域将出行目的划分为五类,包含住宅区(Home,H)、工作区(Work,W)、商业区(Commerce,C)、休闲区(Recreation,R)以及涉及其他目的(例如接送他人、上学、外出就医等)的区域(Other,O);出行链模式按停车节点数量可分为简单链和复杂链两种,单一目的的出行模式称为简单链,多目的的出行模式称为复杂链。Among them, the purpose of travel is divided into five categories according to functional areas, including residential area (Home, H), work area (Work, W), commercial area (Commerce, C), leisure area (Recreation, R) and related areas. Area (Other, O) for other purposes (such as picking up others, going to school, going out for medical treatment, etc.); the travel chain mode can be divided into two types: simple chain and complex chain according to the number of parking nodes. The travel patterns of are called complex chains.
步骤S2:基于获取的时间特征数据和空间特征数据,利用用车概率分析方法进行参数拟合,得到各特征数据的概率函数,以及建立各出行时刻的空间转移矩阵,其中,开始行驶时刻使用广义极值分布进行拟合,行驶里程使用对数正态分布进行拟合,停车时长使用高斯混合分布和广义极值分布进行拟合。停车时长的拟合方式具体为:对于工作区域内的停车时长使用高斯混合分布进行拟合,其他区域的停车时长使用广义极值分布进行拟合。Step S2: Based on the acquired temporal feature data and spatial feature data, use the vehicle-use probability analysis method to perform parameter fitting, obtain the probability function of each feature data, and establish the spatial transition matrix of each travel time, wherein the generalized driving time is used for the start time. The extreme value distribution is used for fitting, the log-normal distribution is used for the mileage, and the Gaussian mixture distribution and the generalized extreme value distribution are used for the parking duration. The fitting method of the parking duration is as follows: the parking duration in the working area is fitted by a Gaussian mixture distribution, and the parking duration in other areas is fitted by a generalized extreme value distribution.
具体的,如下:Specifically, as follows:
结合全美出行调查数据(NHTS2017)的分布情况,利用不同的概率函数形式对时空特征量的分布规律进行拟合,分别采用广义极值分布(如式1所示)和对数正态分布(如式2所示)对开始行驶时刻、行驶里程这两个特征量进行参数估计。Combined with the distribution of the National Travel Survey data (NHTS2017), different probability function forms are used to fit the distribution law of spatiotemporal feature quantities, using generalized extreme value distribution (as shown in Equation 1) and lognormal distribution (as shown in Equation 1) respectively. Equation 2) performs parameter estimation on the two characteristic quantities of the starting time of travel and the mileage.
考虑到空间分布对停车时长的影响,在不同区域内的停车时长分布特征不一致,车辆在W区域内的停车时长呈现多峰分布形式,故采用高斯混合分布(如式3所示)进行参数拟合,其他区域内则通过广义极值分布进行拟合。Considering the influence of the spatial distribution on the parking time, the distribution characteristics of the parking time in different areas are inconsistent, and the parking time of the vehicle in the W area presents a multimodal distribution form, so the Gaussian mixture distribution (as shown in Equation 3) is used for parameter fitting. In other regions, the generalized extreme value distribution is used for fitting.
同时,借助非齐次马尔可夫链分析电动汽车空间转移与时间特征之间的耦合关系,建立不同出行时刻的空间转移矩阵。At the same time, the coupling relationship between the spatial transfer and temporal characteristics of electric vehicles is analyzed by means of the inhomogeneous Markov chain, and the spatial transfer matrix of different travel times is established.
步骤S3:基于拟合得到的结果对家用电动汽车进行出行链模拟,并在模拟过程是分析获取耗电信息;Step S3: based on the result obtained from the fitting, simulate the travel chain of the household electric vehicle, and analyze and obtain power consumption information during the simulation process;
步骤S3中,在模拟过程是分析获取耗电信息的过程具体为:通过行驶里程以及每公里平均耗电量得到行程中电动汽车的耗电量并更新当前电池的荷电状态。In step S3, in the simulation process, the process of analyzing and obtaining the power consumption information is specifically: obtaining the power consumption of the electric vehicle during the trip through the mileage and the average power consumption per kilometer and updating the current state of charge of the battery.
忽略外界因素对耗电量的影响,将电动汽车的能量消耗和行驶里程视为线性关系,行程中电量消耗可通过行驶里程以及每公里平均耗电量计算得到。根据式(4)-(6)更新到达目的地di时电池的剩余电量和荷电状态。Ignoring the influence of external factors on power consumption, the energy consumption and mileage of electric vehicles are regarded as a linear relationship, and the power consumption during the trip can be calculated from the mileage and the average power consumption per kilometer. According to equations (4)-(6), the remaining power and state of charge of the battery when reaching the destination d i are updated.
其中,e0表示电动汽车行驶过程中每公里平均耗电量;为完成当前行驶的总耗电量;为到达目的地di时电动汽车的剩余电量;为电动汽车电池的荷电状态;Bev为电动汽车的电池容量。Among them, e 0 represents the average power consumption per kilometer during the driving process of the electric vehicle; To complete the total power consumption of the current driving; is the remaining power of the electric vehicle when it reaches the destination d i ; is the state of charge of the electric vehicle battery; B ev is the battery capacity of the electric vehicle.
步骤S4:根据耗电信息将用户分为确定需要充电的需求型用户和可能需要充电的随机型用户;需求型用户为当前剩余电量不满足下一段行程的电量需求的用户,随机型用户当前剩余电量满足下一段行程的电量需求的用户。Step S4: According to the power consumption information, the users are divided into demand-type users who are determined to need charging and random-type users who may need to be charged; demand-type users are users whose current remaining power does not meet the power demand for the next trip, and random-type users currently have remaining power. Users whose power meets the power requirements for the next trip.
对下一段行程的电量消耗进行预估,基于对电量的预估进行用户分类。若当前剩余电量不满足下一段行程的电量需求时,将此类用户称为需求型用户,为保证其正常出行必须充电;其他用户则称为随机型用户,此类用户具有充电不确定性。设置充电决策系数r作为控制充电行为的决策数,用户分类依据如式(7)所示。Estimate the power consumption of the next trip, and classify users based on the estimated power. If the current remaining power does not meet the power demand for the next trip, such users are called demand users, who must be charged to ensure their normal travel; other users are called random users, and such users have charging uncertainty. The charging decision coefficient r is set as the number of decisions to control charging behavior, and the user classification basis is shown in formula (7).
其中,e0表示电动汽车行驶过程中每公里平均耗电量;为电动汽车电池的荷电状态;Bev为电动汽车的电池容量;为第i+1次行程中的行驶距离。Among them, e 0 represents the average power consumption per kilometer during the driving process of the electric vehicle; is the state of charge of the electric vehicle battery; B ev is the battery capacity of the electric vehicle; is the travel distance in the i+1th trip.
步骤S5:基于停车时长确定需求型用户的充电模式,具体为:Step S5: Determine the charging mode of the demand-based user based on the parking time, specifically:
当停车时长满足慢速充电所需的充电时长时,确定需求型用户的充电模式为慢速充电,反之确定定需求型用户的充电模式为快速充电速。When the parking time meets the charging time required for slow charging, the charging mode of the demand-type user is determined to be slow charging; otherwise, the charging mode of the demand-type user is determined to be fast charging speed.
考虑到停车时长对需求型用户模式选择的影响,当停车时长满足慢速充电所需的充电时长时,为减小对电池寿命的影响,采用慢速充电;若停车时长不足,此时为紧急需求型用户,急需将电量补充至预期状态,需采用快充模式在短时间内满足其电量需求,充电模式选择依据如式(8)所示。Considering the impact of parking time on the selection of demand-based user mode, when the parking time meets the charging time required for slow charging, slow charging is used to reduce the impact on battery life; if the parking time is insufficient, it is an emergency. Demand-oriented users, who urgently need to replenish the power to the expected state, need to use the fast charging mode to meet their power requirements in a short time. The charging mode selection basis is shown in formula (8).
其中,为用户在区域di中选取的充电功率;为区域di中采用慢速充电时需要的充电时长;分别为区域充电站慢充和快充功率。in, is the charging power selected by the user in the area d i ; is the charging time required when slow charging is used in region d i ; They are the slow charging and fast charging power of the regional charging stations, respectively.
步骤S6:基于采用模糊推理方法得到各随机型用户的充电概率;Step S6: obtaining the charging probability of each random user based on the fuzzy inference method;
步骤S6具体包括:Step S6 specifically includes:
步骤S61:计算停车时长内充电可达到的最大饱和值,并转换为停车时长充裕度;Step S61: Calculate the maximum saturation value that can be reached by charging within the parking duration, and convert it into the parking duration margin;
步骤S62:将停车时长充裕度以及分时电价作为输入信号输入随机型用户的充电决策模型,得出用户充电概率大小。Step S62: Input the parking duration adequacy and the time-of-use electricity price as input signals into the charging decision-making model of the random user, and obtain the charging probability of the user.
分时电价分为三个等级:谷、平、峰;停车时长充裕度分为不充裕、一般充裕和充裕三种等级。The time-of-use electricity price is divided into three grades: valley, flat, and peak; the parking duration adequacy is divided into three grades: not sufficient, general sufficient and sufficient.
考虑停车时长充裕度以及分时充电电价对用户充电意愿的影响,建立充电决策模型。借助模糊推理方法对用户的充电心理进行分析,进而判断其充电决策。Considering the impact of parking time adequacy and time-of-use charging electricity price on users' willingness to charge, a charging decision model is established. With the help of fuzzy reasoning method, the user's charging psychology is analyzed, and then the charging decision is judged.
对于随机型用户来说,停车时长对用户的充电意愿有一定的影响,用户更倾向于在停车时间较为充裕的停车区域内将电量充至饱和。按式(9)计算停车时长内充电可达到的最大饱和值SOCPt,并通过停车时段内通过慢充可达到的SOCPt衡量电动汽车在该区域的停车时长充裕度ADPt,如式(10)所示,其中η为充电效率。For random users, the length of parking has a certain impact on the user's willingness to charge, and users are more inclined to charge the battery to full capacity in the parking area with ample parking time. Calculate the maximum saturation value SOC Pt that can be achieved by charging within the parking period according to formula (9), and pass the parking period The SOC Pt that can be achieved by slow charging is used to measure the parking time adequacy AD Pt of the electric vehicle in this area, as shown in Equation (10), where η is the charging efficiency.
利用模糊推理将电价与停车时长充裕度作为输入,建立随机型用户的充电决策模型。对两种输入信号分别进行评价,将分时电价分为三个等级:谷(Ⅰ级)、平(Ⅱ级)、峰(Ⅲ级);停车时长充裕度同样分为不充裕(Ⅰ级)、一般充裕(Ⅱ级)和充裕(Ⅲ级)三种等级;按模糊集由低到高的等级顺序依次选取适合表达偏低型模糊过程的Z型函数、中间型模糊过程的双边高斯型函数和偏高型模糊过程的S型函数作为三种不同等级的隶属度函数,不同等级情况下的隶属度函数如式(11)-(13)所示。Using fuzzy reasoning to take electricity price and parking time adequacy as input, a charging decision model for random users is established. The two input signals are evaluated respectively, and the time-of-use electricity price is divided into three levels: valley (level I), flat (level II), and peak (level III); the parking duration adequacy is also divided into insufficient (level I) , general abundance (level II) and abundant (level III) three levels; according to the fuzzy set from low to high, select the Z-type function suitable for expressing the low-level fuzzy process, and the bilateral Gaussian function for the intermediate-type fuzzy process. And the sigmoid function of the high-level fuzzy process is used as the membership function of three different levels, and the membership functions of different levels are shown in equations (11)-(13).
Ⅰ级情况下的隶属度函数:Membership function in the case of class I:
Ⅱ级情况下的隶属度函数:Membership function in the case of class II:
Ⅲ级情况下的隶属度函数:Membership function in the case of class III:
其中,z1、z2分别为Z型函数中的相关参数;μ、σ为双边高斯型函数中的参数(包含两组);s1、s2分别为S型函数中的相关参数。Among them, z 1 and z 2 are the relevant parameters in the Z-shaped function; μ and σ are the parameters in the bilateral Gaussian function (including two groups); s 1 and s 2 are the relevant parameters in the S-shaped function, respectively.
将模糊推理算法的结果即用户的充电概率(按输入量等级的不同组合方式)分为低(Ⅰ级)、较低(Ⅱ级)、中(Ⅲ级)、较高(Ⅳ级)、高(Ⅴ级)5个等级。并按表1所示制定模糊规则,其中C表示充电电价、AD表示停车时长充裕度、P表示用户的充电概率。The result of the fuzzy inference algorithm, that is, the charging probability of the user (according to different combinations of input levels) is divided into low (level I), low (level II), medium (level III), high (level IV), high (Level V) 5 levels. And formulate fuzzy rules as shown in Table 1, where C represents the charging electricity price, AD represents the parking duration adequacy, and P represents the user's charging probability.
表1模糊推理规则制定方案Table 1 Fuzzy inference rule formulation scheme
针对不同用户的充电决策,计算充电时长,并确定充电时段,最终将充电需求叠加在相应区域的充电负荷分布上。具体的充电需求的计算流程如图3所示。According to the charging decisions of different users, the charging time is calculated, and the charging period is determined, and finally the charging demand is superimposed on the charging load distribution of the corresponding area. The calculation flow of the specific charging demand is shown in Fig. 3 .
本实施例在仿真过程中,电价划分形式如表2所示。将输入量(停车时长和充电电价)以不同组合形式输入模糊逻辑控制器中得到的测试值如表3所示。In the simulation process of this embodiment, the electricity price division form is shown in Table 2. The test values obtained by inputting the input quantities (parking time and charging electricity price) into the fuzzy logic controller in different combinations are shown in Table 3.
表2充电电价划分表Table 2 Charging electricity price division table
表3不同输入量组合时充电概率测试表Table 3 Test table of charging probability when different input quantities are combined
步骤S7:将不同空间区域内产生的充电需求进行聚合,最终可得到考虑用户充电差异性的充电负荷时空分布图,并以此进行充电负荷特性分析以优化电网。Step S7: Aggregate the charging demands generated in different spatial regions, and finally obtain a charging load space-time distribution map considering the charging differences of users, and perform charging load characteristic analysis based on this to optimize the power grid.
对实施例中所设置区域内的电动汽车充电过程进行模拟最终得到家用电动汽车充电负荷的时空分布如图4所示,简单链和复杂链模式下产生的充电负荷分布如图5、图6所示,在图4~图6中,住宅区的充电负荷大于商业区。对最后的仿真结果进行分析,得到不同区域内充电负荷的分布特征的统计量分析结果,如表4所示。The temporal and spatial distribution of the charging load of household electric vehicles is finally obtained by simulating the charging process of the electric vehicle in the area set in the embodiment, as shown in Figure 4, and the distribution of the charging load generated in the simple chain and complex chain modes is shown in Figures 5 and 6. 4 to 6, the charging load in the residential area is larger than that in the commercial area. The final simulation results are analyzed, and the statistical analysis results of the distribution characteristics of the charging load in different regions are obtained, as shown in Table 4.
表4不同区域内的充电需求统计量结果Table 4 Results of charging demand statistics in different regions
上述实施方式仅为例举,不限定本发明的应用范围。这些实施方式还能以其它各种方式来实施,且能在不脱离本发明技术思想的范围内作不同的假设、替换。The above-described embodiments are only examples, and do not limit the scope of application of the present invention. These embodiments can also be implemented in various other ways, and different assumptions and substitutions can be made within the scope of not departing from the technical idea of the present invention.
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Application publication date: 20200221 |