CN114628038B - A SKIR information dissemination method based on online social network - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明公开了一种基于在线社交网络的SKIR信息传播方法,包括以下步骤:步骤1、将用户状态分为未知信息状态S、知情状态K、传播状态I、无感状态R;步骤2、得到不同过程之间的信息传播概率;步骤3、结合经典传播模型和平均场理论,利用步骤2所确定的信息传播概率建立SKIR信息传播模型;步骤4、对步骤3所得的SKIR信息传播模型进行分析,推导系统平衡点;步骤5、对步骤4得出的平衡点进行稳定性分析,得出系统平衡点的稳定性条件。本发明通过模拟真实世界社交网络上信息的传播过程,预测其传播范围和传播速度,能够及时获取影响信息传播导向的因素,有助于对不良信息传播的把控,从而防止社会危机事件的发生,进而保持社交网络的安全与稳定。The invention discloses a SKIR information dissemination method based on an online social network, comprising the following steps: Step 1, divide the user state into unknown information state S, informed state K, propagation state I, and senseless state R; Step 2, obtain Information propagation probability between different processes; Step 3, combine the classical propagation model and mean field theory, use the information propagation probability determined in Step 2 to establish a SKIR information propagation model; Step 4, Analyze the SKIR information propagation model obtained in Step 3 , deduce the equilibrium point of the system; step 5, analyze the stability of the equilibrium point obtained in step 4, and obtain the stability condition of the equilibrium point of the system. By simulating the dissemination process of information on the social network in the real world, the present invention predicts its dissemination range and dissemination speed, and can obtain the factors affecting the information dissemination orientation in time, which helps to control the dissemination of bad information, thereby preventing the occurrence of social crisis events. , thereby maintaining the security and stability of social networks.
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明属于通信技术领域,涉及通信安全技术,特别是一种基于在线社交网络的SKIR 信息传播方法。The invention belongs to the field of communication technology, and relates to communication security technology, in particular to a SKIR information dissemination method based on an online social network.
背景技术Background technique
早期,对传染病的研究过程中,构建传染病传播模型对了解病毒的传播过程与传播机制和对病毒的预防与控制具有理论指导与现实意义。在构建传播模型时,首先将人群分为三种状态:易感状态(S),个体在被感染之前处于健康状态,但是有可能在后续收到病毒感染;感染状态(I),个体已经被感染,并会感染其他健康个体;免疫状态(R),感染的个体被治愈,且不再接受此类病毒感染。In the early stage of research on infectious diseases, the construction of infectious disease transmission models has theoretical guidance and practical significance for understanding the transmission process and transmission mechanism of viruses, as well as for virus prevention and control. When constructing the transmission model, the population is first divided into three states: susceptible state (S), the individual is in a healthy state before being infected, but may be infected with the virus later; infection state (I), the individual has been infected Infected, and will infect other healthy individuals; immune status (R), infected individuals are cured and no longer receive such viral infections.
类似于传染病扩散过程,在信息传播过程中,将系统用户分为以下三个状态:(1)未知状态S:系统用户拥有接收到信息的条件而未接受到信息,(2)传播状态I:用户已经接触到信息,并将信息传播给其他用户;(3)免疫状态R:由于信息时效性或者用户自身因素对信息不再感兴趣并不再继续传播。由于信息传播与传染病扩散有诸多相似之处,如今对社交网络中信息传播模型的研究多基于传染病模型构建的,因此信息传播模型也多基于 SI、SIS和SIR传染病模型构建。Similar to the spread of infectious diseases, in the process of information dissemination, the system users are divided into the following three states: (1) unknown state S: system users have the conditions to receive information but have not received information, (2) dissemination state I : The user has been exposed to the information and spread the information to other users; (3) Immune state R: Due to the timeliness of the information or the user's own factors, the user is no longer interested in the information and will not continue to spread. Due to the many similarities between information dissemination and the spread of infectious diseases, most of the current research on information dissemination models in social networks is based on infectious disease models, so information dissemination models are also based on SI, SIS and SIR infectious disease models.
发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION
本发明的目的在于克服现有技术的不足,提供一种通过模拟真实世界社交网络上信息的传播过程,预测其传播范围和传播速度,能够及时获取影响信息传播导向的因素,有助于政府和相关部门对不良信息传播的把控,从而防止社会危机事件的发生,进而保持社交网络的安全与稳定的基于在线社交网络的SKIR信息传播方法。The purpose of the present invention is to overcome the deficiencies of the prior art, and to provide a method for simulating the dissemination process of information on the social network in the real world, predicting its dissemination range and dissemination speed, so as to obtain the factors affecting the information dissemination orientation in time, which is helpful for the government and the Relevant departments control the dissemination of bad information, so as to prevent the occurrence of social crisis events, and thus maintain the safety and stability of social networks. SKIR information dissemination method based on online social networks.
本发明的目的是通过以下技术方案来实现的:一种基于在线社交网络的SKIR信息传播方法,包括以下步骤:The object of the present invention is to be achieved through the following technical solutions: a SKIR information dissemination method based on an online social network, comprising the following steps:
步骤1、将用户状态分为未知信息状态S、知情状态K、传播状态I、无感状态R,通过状态转移描述信息传播过程;Step 1. Divide the user state into unknown information state S, informed state K, propagation state I, and senseless state R, and describe the information propagation process through state transition;
步骤2、计算不同过程之间的信息传播概率;Step 2. Calculate the probability of information dissemination between different processes;
步骤3、结合经典传播模型和平均场理论,利用步骤2所确定的信息传播概率建立SKIR 信息传播模型;Step 3. Combine the classical propagation model and the mean field theory, and use the information propagation probability determined in Step 2 to establish a SKIR information propagation model;
步骤4、对步骤3所得的SKIR信息传播模型进行分析,推导系统平衡点;Step 4, analyze the SKIR information propagation model obtained in step 3, and derive the system balance point;
步骤5、对步骤4得出的平衡点进行稳定性分析,得出系统平衡点的稳定性条件。Step 5. Carry out stability analysis on the equilibrium point obtained in step 4, and obtain the stability condition of the equilibrium point of the system.
进一步地,所述步骤S1具体实现方法为:将在线社交网络的用户和关注关系分别用节点和连边表示:用N={N1,N2,...,Nnum}表示用户集合,节点之间有连边则表示存在关注关系,存在信息交互的可能;Further, the specific implementation method of the step S1 is as follows: the user and the attention relationship of the online social network are respectively represented by nodes and edges: the user set is represented by N={N 1 , N 2 ,...,N num }, If there are edges between nodes, it means that there is a concern relationship, and there is the possibility of information exchange;
结合真实世界的情况,将用户分为以下四种状态:未知信息状态S表示尚未接触过信息;知情状态K表示已知信息,但没有立即传播,保留了再次参与传播的能力;传播状态 I表示正在传播信息;无感状态R表示已知信息,并且以后不会再传播消息。Combined with the real world situation, users are divided into the following four states: the unknown information state S means that the information has not been contacted; the informed state K means that the information is known, but it has not been spread immediately, and the ability to participate in the spread again is retained; the spread state I means Information is being propagated; the insensitive state R indicates that information is known and will not be propagated in the future.
进一步地,所述步骤2具体实现方法为:Further, the specific implementation method of the step 2 is:
未知节点浏览到信息的概率为α、直接传播概率为β、犹豫知情率为ε,间接传播概率为迁入迁出率为μ、传播无感率为η;The probability of an unknown node browsing information is α, the probability of direct transmission is β, the rate of hesitant knowledge is ε, and the probability of indirect transmission is The immigration rate is μ, and the transmission insensitivity rate is η;
当用户的节点状态变为传播状态I时,邻居节点有α的概率浏览到消息,若未浏览到消息则邻居节点保持未知信息状态S不变,否则邻居节点以概率β变为传播状态I,概率ε变为知情状态K,概率η变为无感状态R;知情状态K和传播状态I的节点都有η的概率变为无感状态R,知情状态k的节点还会有的概率变为传播状态I继续传播信息;本模型假设会有μ的人口迁入率,为了保持模型总人数保持不变,迁出率也设为μ。When the user's node state becomes the propagation state I, the neighbor node has a probability of α to browse the message. If the message is not browsed, the neighbor node keeps the unknown information state S unchanged, otherwise the neighbor node changes to the propagation state I with probability β, The probability ε becomes the informed state K, and the probability η becomes the non-sensing state R; the nodes in the informed state K and the propagating state I have the probability η to become the non-sensing state R, and the nodes in the informed state k will also have The probability of changing to the propagation state I continues to spread information; this model assumes that there will be a population immigration rate of μ, in order to keep the total number of people in the model unchanged, the emigration rate is also set to μ.
进一步地,所述步骤3具体实现方法为:在t时刻,将网络中的未知信息状态S的节点、知情状态K的节点、传播状态I的节点和无感状态R的节点的密度分别用S(t),K(t),I(t),R(t) 表示,其满足Further, the specific implementation method of step 3 is as follows: at time t, the density of the nodes in the unknown information state S, the nodes in the informed state K, the nodes in the propagation state I and the nodes in the non-inductive state R in the network are respectively denoted by S. (t), K(t), I(t), R(t) means that it satisfies
S(t)+K(t)+I(t)+R(t)=1S(t)+K(t)+I(t)+R(t)=1
基本假设和状态转移规则,构建如式所示的状态转移公式:Based on the basic assumptions and state transition rules, construct the state transition formula shown in the formula:
k是网络的平均度。k is the average degree of the network.
进一步地,所述步骤4具体实现方法为:为了求解模型平衡点,令状态转移公式的值为0,得到状态转移方程:Further, the specific implementation method of step 4 is: in order to solve the model equilibrium point, the value of the state transition formula is set to 0, and the state transition equation is obtained:
对方程求解,得到系统的平衡点有两个:一个是无病平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0),另一个是有病平衡点E0 *=(S*,K*,I*,1-S*-K*-I*);其中,Solve the equation and get two equilibrium points of the system: one is the disease-free equilibrium point E 0 =(1,0,0,0), the other is the diseased equilibrium point E 0 * =(S * ,K * , I * ,1-S * -K * -I * ); where,
进一步地,所述步骤5具体实现方法为:状态转移方程中的Jacobian矩阵为:Further, the specific implementation method of step 5 is: the Jacobian matrix in the state transition equation is:
将平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0)带入Jacobian矩阵,得到:Bringing the equilibrium point E 0 =(1,0,0,0) into the Jacobian matrix, we get:
计算其特征值得到:Calculate its eigenvalues to get:
λ1,2=-μλ 1,2 = -μ
λ1=λ2<0且λ3<λ4,因此只需要讨论λ4的符号,当λ4<0成立时,Jacobian矩阵在平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0)处的特征值均有负实部,即当成立时,系统在平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0)处的 Jacobian矩阵的特征值均有负实部,系统的平衡点E0渐进稳定,信息就无法在网络中进行传播。λ 1 =λ 2 < 0 and λ 3 <λ 4 , so only the sign of λ 4 needs to be discussed. When λ 4 <0 holds, the Jacobian matrix has a The eigenvalues all have negative real parts, that is, when When established, the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix at the equilibrium point E 0 =(1,0,0,0) all have negative real parts, the equilibrium point E 0 of the system is asymptotically stable, and information cannot be propagated in the network.
本发明的有益效果是:本发明在改进的SIR模型的基础上,通过定义不同节点间状态转移概率函数,综合考虑影响传播的各项因素,提出了一种新的社交网络信息传播模型,在不同的网络环境中仿真实验,相比于SIR模型,本发明的模型传播节点的比例较SIR有明显的下降,信息传播过程更平缓,在Twitter网中信息传播速度较facebook网更快,信息覆盖面更广,但信息不能覆盖全网络,其符合实际社交网络信息传播规律。通过模拟真实世界社交网络上信息的传播过程,预测其传播范围和传播速度,能够及时获取影响信息传播导向的因素,有助于政府和相关部门对不良信息传播的把控,从而防止社会危机事件的发生,进而保持社交网络的安全与稳定,使其可以更好的服务于用户。The beneficial effects of the present invention are: on the basis of the improved SIR model, the present invention proposes a new social network information dissemination model by defining the state transition probability function between different nodes and comprehensively considering various factors affecting the dissemination. Simulation experiments in different network environments, compared with the SIR model, the proportion of the model propagation nodes of the present invention is significantly lower than that of the SIR model, and the information propagation process is smoother. It is wider, but the information cannot cover the entire network, which conforms to the actual social network information dissemination law. By simulating the dissemination process of information on social networks in the real world, predicting its dissemination range and speed, it is possible to obtain the factors that affect the orientation of information dissemination in time, which is helpful for the government and relevant departments to control the dissemination of bad information, thereby preventing social crisis events The occurrence of social network, and then maintain the security and stability of social network, so that it can better serve users.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面进一步说明本发明的技术方案。The technical solutions of the present invention are further described below.
本发明的一种基于在线社交网络的SKIR信息传播方法,包括以下步骤:A kind of SKIR information dissemination method based on online social network of the present invention, comprises the following steps:
步骤1、将用户状态分为未知信息状态S、知情状态K、传播状态I、无感状态R,通过状态转移描述信息传播过程;具体实现方法为:将在线社交网络的用户和关注关系分别用节点和连边表示:用N={N1,N2,...,Nnum}表示用户集合,节点之间有连边则表示存在关注关系,存在信息交互的可能;Step 1. Divide the user state into unknown information state S, informed state K, propagation state I, and senseless state R, and describe the information dissemination process through state transition; the specific implementation method is as follows: using the user and following relationship of the online social network respectively as Node and edge representation: N={N 1 , N 2 ,...,N num } is used to represent the user set, and if there are edges between nodes, it means that there is a concern relationship, and there is the possibility of information exchange;
结合真实世界的情况,将用户分为以下四种状态:未知信息状态S表示尚未接触过信息;知情状态K表示已知信息,但没有立即传播,保留了再次参与传播的能力;传播状态 I表示正在传播信息;无感状态R表示已知信息,并且以后不会再传播消息。Combined with the real world situation, users are divided into the following four states: the unknown information state S means that the information has not been contacted; the informed state K means that the information is known, but it has not been spread immediately, and the ability to participate in the spread again is retained; the spread state I means Information is being propagated; the insensitive state R indicates that information is known and will not be propagated in the future.
步骤2、计算不同过程之间的信息传播概率;具体实现方法为:Step 2. Calculate the information propagation probability between different processes; the specific implementation method is:
通过人工确定或者通过真实数据拟合的方式得到未知节点浏览到信息的概率为α、直接传播概率为β、犹豫知情率为ε,间接传播概率为迁入迁出率为μ、传播无感率为η;Obtained by manual determination or by real data fitting, the probability of browsing information from unknown nodes is α, the probability of direct transmission is β, the rate of hesitant knowledge is ε, and the probability of indirect transmission is The immigration rate is μ, and the transmission insensitivity rate is η;
当用户的节点状态变为传播状态I时,邻居节点有α的概率浏览到消息,若未浏览到消息则邻居节点保持未知信息状态S不变,否则邻居节点以概率β变为传播状态I,概率ε变为知情状态K,概率η变为无感状态R;知情状态K和传播状态I的节点都有η的概率变为无感状态R,知情状态k的节点还会有的概率变为传播状态I继续传播信息;本模型假设会有μ的人口迁入率,为了保持模型总人数保持不变,迁出率也设为μ。When the user's node state becomes the propagation state I, the neighbor node has a probability of α to browse the message. If the message is not browsed, the neighbor node keeps the unknown information state S unchanged, otherwise the neighbor node changes to the propagation state I with probability β, The probability ε becomes the informed state K, and the probability η becomes the non-sensing state R; the nodes in the informed state K and the propagating state I have the probability η to become the non-sensing state R, and the nodes in the informed state k will also have The probability of changing to the propagation state I continues to spread information; this model assumes that there will be a population immigration rate of μ, in order to keep the total number of people in the model unchanged, the emigration rate is also set to μ.
例如,用户是节点A,他的邻居节点B、C、D的初始状态都是未知信息状态S。A变成传播状态I时,B、C、D都有α的概率浏览到A传播的消息,1-α概率未浏览到消息。假设B未浏览到,则B保持未知信息状态S不变;假设C、D浏览到了,则他们会以β的概率变为传播状态I,ε的概率变为知情状态K,η的概率变为无感状态R。For example, the user is node A, and the initial states of his neighbor nodes B, C, and D are all unknown information states S. When A becomes the propagation state I, B, C, and D all have a probability of α to browse the message propagated by A, and the probability of 1-α is not to browse the message. Assuming that B has not browsed, then B keeps the unknown information state S unchanged; assuming that C and D have browsed, then they will become the propagation state I with the probability of β, the probability of ε becomes the informed state K, and the probability of η becomes Insensitive state R.
步骤3、结合经典传播模型和平均场理论,利用步骤2所确定的信息传播概率建立SKIR 信息传播模型;具体实现方法为:在t时刻,将网络中的未知信息状态S的节点、知情状态 K的节点、传播状态I的节点和无感状态R的节点的密度分别用S(t),K(t),I(t),R(t)表示,其满足Step 3. Combine the classical propagation model and the mean field theory, and use the information propagation probability determined in Step 2 to establish the SKIR information propagation model; the specific implementation method is: at time t, the node of the unknown information state S in the network, the informed state K The densities of the nodes of , the nodes of the propagation state I and the nodes of the non-inductive state R are represented by S(t), K(t), I(t), R(t) respectively, which satisfy
S(t)+K(t)+I(t)+R(t)=1S(t)+K(t)+I(t)+R(t)=1
基本假设和状态转移规则,构建如式所示的状态转移公式:Based on the basic assumptions and state transition rules, construct the state transition formula shown in the formula:
k是网络的平均度。k is the average degree of the network.
步骤4、对步骤3所得的SKIR信息传播模型进行分析,推导系统平衡点;具体实现方法为:为了求解模型平衡点,令状态转移公式的值为0,得到状态转移方程:Step 4, analyze the SKIR information propagation model obtained in step 3, and derive the system equilibrium point; the specific implementation method is: in order to solve the model equilibrium point, the value of the state transition formula is set to 0, and the state transition equation is obtained:
对方程求解,得到系统的平衡点有两个:一个是无病平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0),另一个是有病平衡点E0 *=(S*,K*,I*,1-S*-K*-I*);其中,Solve the equation and get two equilibrium points of the system: one is the disease-free equilibrium point E 0 =(1,0,0,0), the other is the diseased equilibrium point E 0 * =(S * ,K * , I * ,1-S * -K * -I * ); where,
步骤5、对步骤4得出的平衡点进行稳定性分析,得出系统平衡点的稳定性条件;具体实现方法为:状态转移方程中的Jacobian矩阵为:Step 5. Perform stability analysis on the equilibrium point obtained in step 4, and obtain the stability condition of the equilibrium point of the system; the specific implementation method is: the Jacobian matrix in the state transition equation is:
将平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0)带入Jacobian矩阵,得到:Bringing the equilibrium point E 0 =(1,0,0,0) into the Jacobian matrix, we get:
计算其特征值得到:Calculate its eigenvalues to get:
λ1=λ2=-μλ 1 =λ 2 =-μ
λ1=λ2<0且λ3<λ4,因此只需要讨论λ4的符号,当λ4<0成立时,Jacobian矩阵在平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0)处的特征值均有负实部,即当成立时,系统在平衡点E0=(1,0,0,0)处的 Jacobian矩阵的特征值均有负实部,系统的平衡点E0渐进稳定,信息就无法在网络中进行传播。因此,可以通过相应的舆论控制手段来调整未知节点浏览到信息的概率为α、直接传播概率为β、犹豫知情率为ε,间接传播概率为迁入迁出率为μ、传播无感率为η这些参数,使得上式成立,阻止不良信息传播。λ 1 =λ 2 < 0 and λ 3 <λ 4 , so only the sign of λ 4 needs to be discussed. When λ 4 <0 holds, the Jacobian matrix has a The eigenvalues all have negative real parts, that is, when When established, the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix at the equilibrium point E 0 =(1,0,0,0) all have negative real parts, the equilibrium point E 0 of the system is asymptotically stable, and information cannot be propagated in the network. Therefore, it is possible to adjust the probability that unknown nodes browse to information as α, the probability of direct transmission as β, the hesitant to know rate as ε, and the probability of indirect transmission as ε through corresponding public opinion control methods. The immigration rate μ and the transmission insensitivity rate η make the above formula valid and prevent the spread of bad information.
本领域的普通技术人员将会意识到,这里所述的实施例是为了帮助读者理解本发明的原理,应被理解为本发明的保护范围并不局限于这样的特别陈述和实施例。本领域的普通技术人员可以根据本发明公开的这些技术启示做出各种不脱离本发明实质的其它各种具体变形和组合,这些变形和组合仍然在本发明的保护范围内。Those of ordinary skill in the art will appreciate that the embodiments described herein are intended to assist readers in understanding the principles of the present invention, and it should be understood that the scope of protection of the present invention is not limited to such specific statements and embodiments. Those skilled in the art can make various other specific modifications and combinations without departing from the essence of the present invention according to the technical teaching disclosed in the present invention, and these modifications and combinations still fall within the protection scope of the present invention.
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