CN109002936A - Consider the hydropower station Optimization Scheduling of flexibility - Google Patents
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Abstract
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明属于水库调度领域,具体涉及一种考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法。The invention belongs to the field of reservoir dispatching, and in particular relates to a method for optimal dispatching of reservoir power generation considering flexibility.
技术背景technical background
发展水力发电是缓解未来能源危机,改善能源结构的一个重要举措。水库优化调度是是根据水库的调蓄能力,利用优化调度理论对出库径流过程进行调节,从而实现防洪、发电、灌溉、航运等综合效益的最大化。但是水库实际调度过程中使用的入库流量是由预报得到的,因此在水库优化调度是应考虑入库径流过程的不确定性。水库调度的灵活性(柔性)是指水库应对不确定因素(入库径流不确定性等)的适应能力,提高调度过程的灵活性可以大大降低不确定性因素对水库运行的影响。在水库优化调度中兼顾灵活性和发电效益具有重要现实意义。The development of hydropower is an important measure to alleviate the future energy crisis and improve the energy structure. Reservoir optimal dispatching is based on the regulation and storage capacity of the reservoir, using the optimal dispatching theory to adjust the process of runoff out of the reservoir, so as to maximize the comprehensive benefits of flood control, power generation, irrigation, and shipping. However, the inflow flow used in the actual operation of the reservoir is obtained from the forecast, so the uncertainty of the inflow runoff process should be considered in the optimal operation of the reservoir. The flexibility (flexibility) of reservoir dispatching refers to the adaptability of the reservoir to deal with uncertain factors (inflow runoff uncertainty, etc.). Improving the flexibility of the dispatching process can greatly reduce the impact of uncertain factors on reservoir operation. It is of great practical significance to balance flexibility and power generation efficiency in reservoir optimal dispatching.
传统的确定性优化调度模型未能充分考虑入库径流的不确定性,而随机优化模型过度依赖于对不确定因素分布类型及分布函数的假设。然而由于气候变化和人类活动的影响,入库径流的分布类型和分布函数将越来越难以预测。因此,如何在入库流量不确定的情况下提高水库发电量和灵活性是一个需要解决的问题。The traditional deterministic optimization scheduling model fails to fully consider the uncertainty of inflow runoff, while the stochastic optimization model relies too much on the assumption of the distribution type and distribution function of uncertain factors. However, due to the influence of climate change and human activities, the distribution type and distribution function of inflow runoff will become increasingly difficult to predict. Therefore, how to increase the power generation and flexibility of the reservoir under the condition of uncertain inflow flow is a problem that needs to be solved.
发明内容Contents of the invention
本发明是为了解决上述问题而进行的,目的在于提供一种考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法,能够在水库优化调度过程中兼顾发电效益和灵活性。The present invention is made to solve the above problems, and the purpose is to provide a flexible reservoir power generation optimization scheduling method, which can take into account both power generation efficiency and flexibility in the reservoir optimal scheduling process.
本发明为了实现上述目的,采用了以下方案:In order to achieve the above object, the present invention adopts the following scheme:
本发明提供了一种考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法,其特征在于,包括以下步骤:The present invention provides a method for optimal dispatching of reservoir power generation considering flexibility, which is characterized in that it comprises the following steps:
步骤一.使用柔性指数表示入库径流的不确定性,将入库径流表示为一个区间形式;Step 1. Use the flexibility index to represent the uncertainty of the inflow runoff, and express the inflow runoff as an interval form;
入库径流表达式为:The expression of inflow runoff is:
式中:T为水库调度时段数;It为时段t的入库流量;为时段t的入库流量预测值;和为最大偏移量;μ为柔性指数;In the formula: T is the number of reservoir scheduling periods; I t is the inflow flow in period t; is the predicted value of inbound flow in time period t; and is the maximum offset; μ is the flexibility index;
步骤二.建立兼顾发电效益与灵活性的双目标优化模型;Step 2. Establish a dual-objective optimization model that takes into account both power generation efficiency and flexibility;
发电效益目标为调度期内入流最劣情况下总发电量最大,计算式为:The power generation benefit target is the maximum total power generation under the worst case of inflow during the dispatch period, and the calculation formula is:
灵活性目标为柔性指数最大,表达式为:The flexibility target is the maximum flexibility index, and the expression is:
max μmax μ
式中,Nt为时段t的出力;Δt为时段长度;In the formula, N t is the output of time period t; Δt is the length of time period;
约束条件为:The constraints are:
式中,vt+1和vt分别为时段t+1和时段t开始时库容;qt为时段t出库流量;vmax和vmin分别为允许的最大和最小库容;qmax和qmin分别为允许的最大和最小出库流量;Nmax和Nmin分别为最大和最小出力;In the formula, v t+1 and v t are the storage capacity at period t+1 and the beginning of period t respectively; q t is the outbound flow of period t; v max and v min are the maximum and minimum storage capacity allowed respectively; q max and q min is the allowable maximum and minimum discharge flow; N max and N min are the maximum and minimum output;
步骤三.求解双目标优化模型,使用约束法将灵活性目标转化为约束条件,然后使用动态规划方法求解;或者使用多目标智能算法求非劣解集。Step 3. Solve the dual-objective optimization model, use the constraint method to convert the flexibility objective into constraint conditions, and then use the dynamic programming method to solve; or use the multi-objective intelligent algorithm to find the non-inferior solution set.
本发明提供的考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法,还可以具有以下特征:在步骤一中:首先,采用数理统计模型或者物理模型预测未来的入库径流过程然后,设置入库流量的最大偏移量和最后,利用柔性系数μ(0≤μ≤1)将入库流量表达为区间形式。The flexible reservoir power generation optimization scheduling method provided by the present invention may also have the following characteristics: In step one: first, use a mathematical statistical model or a physical model to predict the future runoff process of entering the reservoir Then, set the maximum offset for inbound traffic and Finally, the inbound flow is expressed in interval form by using the flexibility coefficient μ (0≤μ≤1).
本发明提供的考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法,还可以具有以下特征:在步骤二中:The flexible reservoir power generation optimization scheduling method provided by the present invention may also have the following characteristics: in step 2:
Nt=min(Nc,Ne)N t =min(N c ,N e )
Ne=fNh(ht)N e =f Nh (h t )
Zd(q)=a·qb+cZ d (q)=a·q b +c
Zu(v)=fzv(v)Z u (v) = f zv (v)
式中:Nc计算所得时段t的出力;Ne为限制出力;ht为时段t的水头;Zu和Zd分别为时段t的上游和下游水位;hl为时段t的水头损失;qemax为最大发电流量;a,b,c和k为常数。In the formula: N c calculates the output of time period t; Ne is the limited output; h t is the water head of time period t; Z u and Z d are the upstream and downstream water levels of time period t; hl is the head loss of time period t; q emax is the maximum power generation flow; a, b, c and k are constants.
本发明提供的考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法,还可以具有以下特征:在步骤三中:首先,将多目标问题转换为单目标问题,具体方法为将柔性指数转化为约束:0≤μ≤1,离散形式为:μ=0,0.1,...,1;然后,简化最大发电量目标函数,具体方法为对出力关于出流求导数:The method for optimal dispatching of reservoir power generation considering flexibility provided by the present invention may also have the following features: In Step 3: First, convert the multi-objective problem into a single-objective problem, and the specific method is to convert the flexibility index into a constraint: 0≤μ ≤1, the discrete form is: μ=0,0.1,...,1; then, the objective function of the maximum power generation is simplified, and the specific method is to calculate the derivative of the output with respect to the outflow:
Ne=fNh(ht)=m·ht+n=m·(Zu-Zd(q)-hl)+nN e = f Nh (h t ) = m·h t +n=m·(Z u -Z d (q)-hl)+n
N′e=-m·a·b·qb-1<0N′ e =-m·a·b·q b-1 <0
当上游水位确定时,时段出力随出流增加呈现出先增后减的规律,由于时段出流和入流存在线性关系:When the upstream water level is determined, the time-period output increases first and then decreases with the increase of the outflow, because there is a linear relationship between the outflow and inflow during the time period:
qt=It+(vt-vt+1)/Δtq t =I t +(v t -v t+1 )/Δt
时段出力随入流增加呈现出先增后减的规律,此时目标函数可简化为:The time-period output increases first and then decreases with the increase of the inflow. At this time, the objective function can be simplified as:
式中:Im为时段t入流区间边界;In the formula: I m is the boundary of the inflow interval in time period t;
最后,采用动态规划进行优化调度时,两阶段递推方程为:Finally, when dynamic programming is used for optimal scheduling, the two-stage recursive equation is:
Ft(vt)=max[ft(qt)+Ft+1(vt+1)]F t (v t )=max[f t (q t )+F t+1 (v t+1 )]
式中:ft()为时段t水库的效用函数,Ft()为时段T到t的最大累积效用函数。In the formula: f t () is the utility function of the reservoir in period t, and F t () is the maximum cumulative utility function from period T to t.
发明的作用与效果Function and Effect of Invention
本发明充分考虑了入库流量的不确定性特征,能够在入库流量预测不准的情况下,依然能提供一种灵活、稳定的水库调度过程用于指导水库的发电和实际运行。The invention fully considers the uncertainty characteristics of the inflow flow, and can still provide a flexible and stable reservoir dispatching process for guiding the power generation and actual operation of the reservoir when the inflow flow prediction is inaccurate.
附图说明Description of drawings
图1为本发明实施例中所涉及的考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法的流程图。Fig. 1 is a flow chart of a method for optimal dispatching of reservoir power generation considering flexibility involved in an embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
以下结合附图对本发明涉及的考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法进行详细地说明。The flexible reservoir power generation optimization scheduling method involved in the present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.
<实施例><Example>
如图1所示,本实施例所提供的考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法包括以下步骤:As shown in Fig. 1, the method for optimal scheduling of reservoir power generation considering flexibility provided in this embodiment includes the following steps:
步骤一.采用柔性系数将入库径流表示为区间形式:Step 1. Use the flexibility coefficient to express the inflow runoff as an interval form:
首先,采用数理统计模型或者物理模型预测未来的入库径流过程 First, use mathematical statistical models or physical models to predict the future inflow runoff process
然后,设置入库流量的最大偏移量和 Then, set the maximum offset for inbound traffic and
最后,采用柔性系数μ(0≤μ≤1)表示入库径流的不确定性,将入库流量表达为区间形式,表达式为:Finally, the uncertainty of the inflow runoff is represented by the flexibility coefficient μ (0≤μ≤1), and the inflow flow is expressed in interval form, the expression is:
式中:T为水库调度时段数;It为时段t的入库流量;为时段t的入库流量预测值;和为最大偏移量;μ为柔性指数。In the formula: T is the number of reservoir scheduling periods; I t is the inflow flow in period t; is the predicted value of inbound flow in time period t; and is the maximum offset; μ is the flexibility index.
步骤二.建立兼顾发电效益与灵活性的双目标优化模型:Step 2. Establish a dual-objective optimization model that takes into account power generation efficiency and flexibility:
发电效益目标为调度期内入流最劣情况下总发电量最大,计算式为:The power generation benefit target is the maximum total power generation under the worst case of inflow during the dispatch period, and the calculation formula is:
灵活性目标为柔性指数最大,表达式为:The flexibility target is the maximum flexibility index, and the expression is:
max μmax μ
式中,Nt为时段t的出力;Δt为时段长度。In the formula, N t is the output of time period t; Δt is the length of time period.
所建立的双目标优化模型考虑的约束条件有:水量平衡约束,库容约束,出库流量约束,出力约束,最大发电流量约束等,相应表达式如下:The constraints considered by the established dual-objective optimization model include: water balance constraints, storage capacity constraints, outflow flow constraints, output constraints, maximum power generation flow constraints, etc. The corresponding expressions are as follows:
式中,vt+1和vt分别为时段t+1和时段t开始时库容;qt为时段t出库流量;vmax和vmin分别为允许的最大和最小库容;qmax和qmin分别为允许的最大和最小出库流量;Nmax和Nmin分别为最大和最小出力。In the formula, v t+1 and v t are the storage capacity at period t+1 and the beginning of period t respectively; q t is the outbound flow of period t; v max and v min are the maximum and minimum storage capacity allowed respectively; q max and q min is the allowable maximum and minimum discharge flow; N max and N min are the maximum and minimum output respectively.
其中,水电站实际出力计算式为:Among them, the actual output of the hydropower station is calculated as:
Nt=min(Nc,Ne)N t =min(N c ,N e )
Ne=fNh(ht)N e =f Nh (h t )
Zd(q)=a·qb+cZ d (q)=a·q b +c
Zu(v)=fzv(v)Z u (v) = f zv (v)
式中:Nc计算所得时段t的出力;Ne为限制出力;ht为时段t的水头;Zu和Zd分别为时段t的上游和下游水位;hl为时段t的水头损失;qemax为最大发电流量;a,b,c和k为常数。In the formula: N c calculates the output of time period t; Ne is the limited output; h t is the water head of time period t; Z u and Z d are the upstream and downstream water levels of time period t; hl is the head loss of time period t; q emax is the maximum power generation flow; a, b, c and k are constants.
步骤三.求解双目标优化模型:使用约束法将灵活性目标转化为约束条件,然后使用动态规划方法求解;或者使用多目标智能算法求非劣解集。Step 3. Solve the dual-objective optimization model: use the constraint method to convert the flexibility objective into constraint conditions, and then use the dynamic programming method to solve; or use the multi-objective intelligent algorithm to find the non-inferior solution set.
首先,将多目标问题转换为单目标问题,具体方法为将柔性指数转化为约束:0≤μ≤1,离散形式为:μ=0,0.1,...,1;First, convert the multi-objective problem into a single-objective problem by converting the flexibility index into a constraint: 0≤μ≤1, and the discrete form is: μ=0,0.1,...,1;
然后,简化最大发电量目标函数,具体方法为验证当水库上游水位不变时,发电量随入流增加呈现出先增后减的规律,此时目标函数可简化为:Then, the objective function of maximum power generation is simplified. The specific method is to verify that when the upstream water level of the reservoir is constant, the power generation increases first and then decreases with the increase of inflow. At this time, the objective function can be simplified as:
式中:Im为时段t入流区间边界;In the formula: I m is the boundary of the inflow interval in time period t;
最后,采用动态规划进行优化调度,两阶段递推方程为:Finally, dynamic programming is used for optimal scheduling, and the two-stage recursive equation is:
Ft(vt)=max[ft(qt)+Ft+1(vt+1)]F t (v t )=max[f t (q t )+F t+1 (v t+1 )]
式中:ft()为时段t水库的效用函数,Ft()为时段T到t的最大累积效用函数。In the formula: f t () is the utility function of the reservoir in period t, and F t () is the maximum cumulative utility function from period T to t.
以上实施例仅仅是对本发明技术方案所做的举例说明。本发明所涉及的考虑灵活性的水库发电优化调度方法并不仅仅限定于在以上实施例中所描述的内容,而是以权利要求所限定的范围为准。本发明所属领域技术人员在该实施例的基础上所做的任何修改或补充或等效替换,都在本发明的权利要求所要求保护的范围内。The above embodiments are merely illustrations for the technical solution of the present invention. The flexible reservoir power generation optimization scheduling method involved in the present invention is not limited to the content described in the above embodiments, but is subject to the scope defined in the claims. Any modifications, supplements or equivalent replacements made by those skilled in the art of the present invention on the basis of the embodiments are within the protection scope of the claims of the present invention.
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Cited By (2)
| Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CN115659602A (en) * | 2022-09-28 | 2023-01-31 | 中国长江三峡集团有限公司 | Inbound runoff correction and optimization method and device |
| CN115659602B (en) * | 2022-09-28 | 2024-11-08 | 中国长江三峡集团有限公司 | Warehouse-in runoff correction optimization method and device |
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