CN104408916B - Based on section speed, the road traffic running status appraisal procedure of data on flows - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明公开了一种基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法,首先获取待评估路段各对比时期的车检器速度流量数据,利用速度流量关系曲线,确定积分的上下限;并且将积分总区间划分为多个小区间段进行处理,同时以各区间段数据量占总数量的占比作为各区间积分值的权重,获得各自的交通运行状态表征值,最后通过对比分析表征值来判断相对优劣,并获得定量分析结果。实现对交通运行状态定性及定量的对比分析,从交通运行状态的整体平均效果来综合反映路段同比时期的运行效率。利用参与对比分析的各条速度—流量关系曲线的上下位置关系及其各自的变化趋势来直观地定性反映各自交通运行状态的相对优劣;实际可操作性强,简单易行,容易理解。
The invention discloses a road traffic operation state evaluation method based on road section speed and flow data. Firstly, the speed and flow data of the vehicle detector in each comparison period of the road section to be evaluated are obtained, and the upper and lower limits of the integral are determined by using the speed and flow relationship curve; and The total interval of the integral is divided into multiple sub-sections for processing, and at the same time, the proportion of the data volume of each interval to the total number is used as the weight of the integral value of each interval to obtain the respective traffic operation status characterization values, and finally through comparative analysis of the characterization values. Judge relative advantages and disadvantages and obtain quantitative analysis results. Realize the qualitative and quantitative comparative analysis of the traffic operation status, and comprehensively reflect the operation efficiency of the road section in the same period of time from the overall average effect of the traffic operation status. Use the upper and lower positions of each speed-flow relationship curve involved in the comparative analysis and their respective change trends to intuitively and qualitatively reflect the relative advantages and disadvantages of their respective traffic operation states; it is practical, simple and easy to understand.
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及交通运行状态分析领域,特别涉及一种道路交通运行状态评估方法。The invention relates to the field of traffic running state analysis, in particular to a road traffic running state evaluation method.
背景技术Background technique
随着经济的飞速发展,城市交通和高速公路的运行规模越来越大,交通的运行状况对于城市整体运行效率的影响程度也日益突出,但当前交通存在很多问题,如交通拥堵情况越来越严重,交通环境日益恶化,交通道路利用不合理等,这需要在积极发展交通运行状态监控系统的同时,建立交通运行状况分析评价方法,此外,路段交通运行状况的分析评价是有效管理和运营道路、充分发挥其潜力的关键,科学有效的评价交通运行状况可为运营管理部门提供分析、管理、决策的方法和依据,有助于提高路段运营管理水平和服务水平。With the rapid development of the economy, the operation scale of urban traffic and expressways is getting larger and larger, and the impact of traffic operation on the overall operation efficiency of the city is becoming more and more prominent. However, there are many problems in the current traffic, such as the increasing traffic congestion. severe, the traffic environment is deteriorating, and the use of traffic roads is unreasonable. This requires the establishment of an analysis and evaluation method for the traffic operation status while actively developing the traffic operation status monitoring system. In addition, the analysis and evaluation of the traffic operation status of the road section is an , The key to giving full play to its potential, scientific and effective evaluation of traffic operation status can provide the operation management department with methods and basis for analysis, management, and decision-making, and help to improve the level of road section operation management and service level.
当前对道路交通运行状况的评价,均是基于反映道路交通运行效率的多个方面设计评价指标来表征运行状况,常用的评价指标如:交通量、饱和度、瞬时速度、平均行驶速度、平均行程速度、交通密度、车头时距和车头间距、占有率、平均行程时间、平均行程延误、路段拥挤系数或者拥挤度等。并且,多数研究是通过单个指标值或基于综合评价方法的多指标综合评价,来对比分析路段不同时期的交通运行状况。但这样相对繁琐,而且略显不够直观。The current evaluation of road traffic operation status is based on the design of evaluation indicators to represent the operation status based on multiple aspects reflecting the efficiency of road traffic operation. Commonly used evaluation indicators are: traffic volume, saturation, instantaneous speed, average driving speed, average journey Speed, traffic density, headway and headway distance, occupancy rate, average travel time, average travel delay, congestion coefficient or congestion degree of road sections, etc. Moreover, most studies use a single index value or a multi-index comprehensive evaluation based on a comprehensive evaluation method to compare and analyze the traffic operation status of road sections in different periods. But this is relatively cumbersome and slightly unintuitive.
因此需要一种能综合反映路段同比时期的运行效率的状态评估方法。Therefore, there is a need for a state assessment method that can comprehensively reflect the operating efficiency of road sections in the same period.
发明内容Contents of the invention
有鉴于此,本发明所要解决的技术问题是提供一种基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法。In view of this, the technical problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a road traffic operation state evaluation method based on road section speed and flow data.
本发明的目的是这样实现的:The purpose of the present invention is achieved like this:
本发明提供的基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法,包括以下步骤:The road traffic operating state evaluation method based on road section speed and flow data provided by the present invention comprises the following steps:
S1:获取待评估路段各对比时期的车检器数据,并将数据规范性地存储于数据表中,所述数据表中的数据项包括各车道的速度、流量;S1: Obtain the vehicle detector data of each comparison period of the road section to be evaluated, and store the data in a data table in a standardized manner. The data items in the data table include the speed and flow of each lane;
S2:对获取的车检器进行数据预处理,并对各车道数据分别处理,同时将处理后的数据规范性地存储于数据表中;所述数据预处理包括两大部分:将车检器车流量转换为标准车车流量,以及剔除异常数据;S2: Carry out data preprocessing on the obtained vehicle detector, and process the data of each lane separately, and store the processed data in the data table in a standardized manner; the data preprocessing includes two parts: the vehicle detector Convert traffic flow to standard traffic flow, and remove abnormal data;
S3:利用经过数据预处理后的路段实际车检器速度和流量数据,实施待评估路段不同时期速度—流量关系曲线的拟合;采用如下二次曲线的形式来拟合路段的实际速度—流量关系:S3: Use the actual vehicle detector speed and flow data of the road section after data preprocessing to implement the fitting of the speed-flow relationship curve of the road section to be evaluated in different periods; use the following quadratic curve to fit the actual speed-flow rate of the road section relation:
V=AQ2+BQ+CV=AQ 2 +BQ+C
式中:V表示速度;Q表示流量;A、B、C为回归系数;In the formula: V represents speed; Q represents flow; A, B, C are regression coefficients;
S4:确定对道路交通运行状态评估的分析方式,如果进行定性分析,则可根据曲线的位置关系及其各自的变化趋势给出定性分析结果,并结束道路交通运行状态评估过程;如果进行定量分析,转至步骤S5实施定量分析;S4: Determine the analysis method for the evaluation of road traffic operation status. If qualitative analysis is performed, the qualitative analysis results can be given according to the position relationship of the curves and their respective change trends, and the evaluation process of road traffic operation status will be ended; if quantitative analysis is performed , go to step S5 to implement quantitative analysis;
S5:所述定量分析利用获得的速度—流量关系曲线,根据有效的数据范围,确定积分的上下限;并且将整个流量积分总区间划分为多个小区间段进行处理,采用积分运算获得定量分析结果。S5: The quantitative analysis uses the obtained speed-flow relationship curve to determine the upper and lower limits of the integral according to the effective data range; and divides the entire flow integration total interval into multiple sub-sections for processing, and obtains quantitative analysis by integral operation result.
进一步,所述步骤S5中的定量分析具体步骤如下:Further, the specific steps of the quantitative analysis in the step S5 are as follows:
S51:根据路段的设计时速及车检器的检测性能确定整个流量区间内的积分总区间;S51: Determine the total integral interval in the entire flow interval according to the design speed per hour of the road section and the detection performance of the vehicle detector;
S52:按一定的组距将积分总区间划分为多个小区间段,获得多个积分区间段,并以各区间的起止点作为各自的积分上下限值;S52: Divide the total integral interval into multiple small intervals according to a certain group distance, obtain multiple integral intervals, and use the start and end points of each interval as the upper and lower limits of the respective integrals;
S53:对各曲线的数据样本进行统计分析,确定各自每个分区间段内数据量占样本总数的比例pi,并以比例pi作为各区间段积分值的权重;S53: Perform statistical analysis on the data samples of each curve, determine the proportion p i of the data volume in each sub-interval to the total number of samples, and use the proportion p i as the weight of the integral value of each interval;
S54:针对路段不同时期的曲线,对上述划分的多个区间段沿曲线分别实施积分运算,获得各区间段内的交通运行状态表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值,按以下公式定义两个指标来表征:S54: Aiming at the curves in different periods of the road section, perform integral calculations on the above-mentioned multiple intervals along the curves, and obtain the traffic operation state characterization value in each interval section or the relative traffic operation state characterization value between each other, which is defined according to the following formula Two indicators to characterize:
(1)交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS=S2-S1;(1) Significant value of difference in traffic operation state ΔS=S 2 -S 1 ;
(2)交通运行状态相对差异比率 (2) Relative difference ratio of traffic operation status
其中,S1、S2分别表示各曲线在一定流量区间内对应的交通运行状态表征值;采用在一定流量区间内沿曲线对流量进行积分实施定量测算,其定量测算采用以下公式:Among them, S 1 and S 2 respectively represent the characteristic values of the traffic operation status corresponding to each curve within a certain flow interval; the quantitative calculation is carried out by integrating the flow along the curve within a certain flow interval, and the quantitative calculation adopts the following formula:
式中,Qb1表示对比时期1在一定流量区间内的积分上限值;Qa1表示对比时期1在一定流量区间内的积分下限值;A1表示对比时期1的速度—流量关系式二次项系数;B1表示对比时期1的速度—流量关系式一次项系数;C1表示对比时期1的速度—流量关系式常数项;Qb2表示对比时期2在一定流量区间内的积分上限值;Qa2表示对比时期2在一定流量区间内的积分下限值;A2表示对比时期2的速度—流量关系式二次项系数;B2表示对比时期2的速度—流量关系式一次项系数;C2表示对比时期2的速度—流量关系式常数项;In the formula, Q b1 represents the integral upper limit value in the comparison period 1 within a certain flow range; Q a1 represents the integral lower limit value in the comparison period 1 within a certain flow range; A 1 represents the speed-flow relationship in the comparison period 1 Sub-term coefficient; B 1 represents the coefficient of the primary term of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 1; C 1 represents the constant term of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 1; Q b2 represents the integral upper limit of the comparison period 2 within a certain flow range value; Q a2 represents the integral lower limit value in a certain flow range in the comparison period 2; A 2 represents the quadratic term coefficient of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 2; B 2 represents the first-order term of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 2 Coefficient; C 2 represents the constant term of the speed-flow relationship in the comparison period 2;
S55:对路段不同时期的曲线,利用各自的比例pi对各区间段的交通运行状态相关定量表征值加权计算,获得待评估路段不同时期各自速度—流量关系曲线对应的交通运行状态相关表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值(S1、S2、ΔS、ΔO);按以下方式给出定量分析结果:S55: For the curves of the road section in different periods, use the respective proportions p i to weight the quantitative characterization values related to the traffic operation state of each section, and obtain the relevant characterization values of the traffic operation state corresponding to the respective speed-flow relationship curves of the road sections to be evaluated in different periods Or the relative characterization values (S1, S2, ΔS, ΔO ) of the traffic operation state between each other; the quantitative analysis results are given in the following way:
(1)根据积分算式和比例pi计算得到各曲线对应的交通运行状态相关表征值,所述交通运行状态相关表征值包括不同时期的交通运行状态表征值S1、S2、交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS以及交通运行状态相对差异比率ΔO;( 1 ) According to the integral formula and the ratio p i , the corresponding characteristic values of the traffic operation state corresponding to each curve are calculated. Characteristic value ΔS and relative difference ratio ΔO of traffic operation state;
(2)根据ΔS或ΔO与“0”的关系,判别路段不同时期交通运行状态的相对好坏,并给出定量分析结果;(2) According to the relationship between ΔS or ΔO and "0", judge the relative quality of the traffic operation status of the road section in different periods, and give the quantitative analysis results;
(3)若选择了多个车道对比分析,则按上述步骤完成各车道的定量分析后,求取各车道定量分析结果ΔS或ΔO的均值。(3) If multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, after the quantitative analysis of each lane is completed according to the above steps, the mean value of the quantitative analysis results ΔS or ΔO of each lane is calculated.
进一步,所述步骤S2中的车检器车流量转换为标准车车流量按以下公式进行:Further, the traffic flow of the vehicle detector in the step S2 is converted into the standard vehicle traffic flow according to the following formula:
式中,Q为换算后的标准车车流量;qi为第i种车型的流量值;wi为第i种车型的换算系数;m为车型数量。In the formula, Q is the converted standard vehicle flow; q i is the flow value of the i-th type of vehicle; w i is the conversion coefficient of the i-th type of vehicle; m is the number of vehicle types.
进一步,所述步骤S2中的剔除异常数据按以下步骤进行:Further, the removal of abnormal data in the step S2 is carried out in the following steps:
S21:根据速度、流量的实际有效性按以下方式剔除明显错误的数据,具体如下:S21: According to the actual effectiveness of the speed and flow rate, eliminate the data with obvious errors in the following way, specifically as follows:
对以下几类情况的数据进行剔除:The following types of data are excluded:
剔除速度大于0,但流量等于0的数据;Eliminate data whose speed is greater than 0 but whose flow rate is equal to 0;
剔除速度等于0,但流量大于0的数据;Eliminate data whose speed is equal to 0 but whose flow rate is greater than 0;
S22:利用车检器速度数据的均值和标准差来做异常数据的剔除处理,具体规则如下:S22: Use the mean value and standard deviation of the speed data of the vehicle detector to eliminate abnormal data. The specific rules are as follows:
1)如果存在则为有效数据,不予剔除;1) if exists is valid data and will not be excluded;
2)如果存在或者则判定vi所对应的该条数据为异常数据,应予剔除;其中,3σ为筛选标准,表示获取实测的路段车检器数据中的速度正态分布三倍均方差;为待分析时段内的车检器速度数据均值,标准差为σv,实际车检器速度值为vi。2) If exists or Then it is determined that the piece of data corresponding to v i is abnormal data and should be eliminated; among them, 3σ is the screening standard, which means that the speed normal distribution in the measured road section vehicle detector data is obtained three times the mean square error; is the mean value of the speed data of the vehicle detector in the period to be analyzed, the standard deviation is σ v , and the actual speed value of the vehicle detector is v i .
进一步,所述步骤S51中的积分总区间按以下步骤来确定:Further, the total integration interval in the step S51 is determined according to the following steps:
S511:确定积分总区间的上限,对用于拟合各曲线的样本数据分别进行统计分析,获取流量最大值,作为整个流量区间的上限值;S511: Determine the upper limit of the total integral interval, perform statistical analysis on the sample data used to fit each curve, obtain the maximum flow rate, and use it as the upper limit value of the entire flow interval;
S512:确定积分总区间的下限,具体如下:S512: Determine the lower limit of the total integral interval, specifically as follows:
记路段最高限速为V0,速度为纵轴,从纵轴上的最高限速V0处,作直线V=V0;利用最高限速来辅助确定积分下限;Note that the maximum speed limit of the road section is V0, and the speed is the vertical axis. From the maximum speed limit V0 on the vertical axis, make a straight line V=V0; use the maximum speed limit to assist in determining the lower limit of the integral;
当直线V=V0与待分析的两条曲线在低流量区域均相交时,则积分总区间的下限为最高限速V0;When the straight line V=V0 intersects the two curves to be analyzed in the low flow area, the lower limit of the total integral interval is the maximum speed limit V0;
当直线V=V0在待分析的两条曲线的上方时,则积分下限值按以下方式设定:获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;When the straight line V=V0 is above the two curves to be analyzed, then the integral lower limit is set in the following manner: obtain the vehicle detector detection performance requirement unit detection time traffic flow value Q0, make the straight line Q=Q0 ; Respectively intersect with the two curves, as the lower limit of integration corresponding to each curve;
当直线V=V0与两条曲线均相交,若曲线上的相交点处于低流量处,则取各自的交点所对应的流量值作为积分下限值;若所设定的下限值欠合理,则获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;When the straight line V=V0 intersects the two curves, if the intersection point on the curve is at a low flow rate, then take the flow value corresponding to the respective intersection point as the lower limit value of the integration; if the set lower limit value is unreasonable, Then obtain the vehicle detector detection performance requirement unit detection time traffic flow value Q0, make a straight line Q=Q0; respectively intersect with the two curves, as the lower limit of the integral corresponding to each curve;
当直线V=V0在低流量区域只与某一条曲线相交,则取该点流量值与Q0的均值作为积分下限值;When the straight line V=V0 only intersects with a certain curve in the low flow area, take the average value of the flow value at this point and Q0 as the integral lower limit;
当直线V=V0在低流量区域位于两条曲线下方或均未相交时,则获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;When the straight line V=V0 is located below the two curves in the low-flow area or does not intersect, then the vehicle flow rate value per unit detection time is required to obtain the detection performance of the vehicle detector, and the straight line Q=Q0 is made; respectively with the two curves The intersection point is used as the lower limit of the integral corresponding to each curve;
当按上述方法确定的积分下限值处没有实际数据点,则判断该积分下限值是否大于Q0,若判断结果为“大于”,则取经预处理后的数据样本中的流量最小值作为积分下限值;When there is no actual data point at the integral lower limit determined by the above method, judge whether the integral lower limit is greater than Q0, if the judgment result is "greater than", then take the minimum flow rate in the preprocessed data sample as the integral lower limit;
否则获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;若积分下限值为Q0时也没有实际数据点,则取经预处理后的数据样本中的流量最小值作为积分下限值。Otherwise, to obtain the detection performance of the vehicle detector, the vehicle flow rate value per unit detection time is Q0, and the straight line Q=Q0 is made; the intersection points with the two curves are used as the lower limit of the integral corresponding to each curve; if the lower limit of the integral is Q0, it is also If there are no actual data points, the minimum flow rate in the preprocessed data samples is taken as the lower limit of integration.
进一步,所述在不同的时期各自速度—流量关系曲线对应的积分总区间采用将整个流量区间分段处理的方式进行计算,具体如下:Further, the total integral interval corresponding to the respective speed-flow relationship curves in different periods is calculated by processing the entire flow interval in sections, as follows:
1)若不需要保障每一个分区间段均在同等流量下进行对比,则各对比时期曲线积分的总区间不同,根据步骤S51中所述方法求取各曲线的积分总区间。1) If it is not necessary to ensure that each sub-section is compared under the same flow rate, then the total interval of the curve integration in each comparison period is different, and the total integration interval of each curve is obtained according to the method described in step S51.
[Qa(i),Qb(i)];[Q a(i) ,Q b(i) ];
其中,i=1、2…,表示不同时期的曲线积分总区间,即对比时期i的曲线积分区间。Wherein, i=1, 2..., represents the total interval of curve integration in different periods, that is, the interval of curve integration in comparison period i.
2)若需要保障每一个分区间段均在同等流量下进行对比,即各对比时期曲线积分取同一积分总区间。获得各曲线对应的区间,选择各区间较小下限值作为积分总区间的下限,选择较大上限值作为积分总区间的上限,将各曲线的积分总区间取为同一积分总区间,所述同一积分总区间[Qa,Qb]的确定规则为:2) If it is necessary to ensure that each sub-interval is compared under the same flow rate, that is, the curve integral of each comparison period takes the same integral total interval. Obtain the interval corresponding to each curve, select the smaller lower limit value of each interval as the lower limit of the total integral interval, select the larger upper limit value as the upper limit of the total integral interval, and take the total integral interval of each curve as the same total integral interval, so The determination rules for the total interval [Q a , Q b ] of the same integral are as follows:
A.若Qa1≥Qa2,且有Qa1≤Qa2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa2,Qb2];A. If Q a1 ≥ Q a2 , and there is Q a1 ≤ Q a2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a2 , Q b2 ];
B.若Qa1>Qa2,且有Qb1>Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa2,Qb1];B. If Q a1 > Q a2 , and there is Q b1 > Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a2 , Q b1 ];
C.若Qa1<Qa2,且有Qb1<Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa1,Qb2];C. If Q a1 < Q a2 , and there is Q b1 < Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a1 , Q b2 ];
D.若Qa1≤Qa2,且有Qb1≥Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa1,Qb1]。D. If Q a1 ≤ Q a2 , and there is Q b1 ≥ Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a1 , Q b1 ].
进一步,所述积分总区间[Qa(i),Qb(i)](或[Qa,Qb])按以下步骤进行确定分区间的上下限:Further, the total integral interval [Q a(i) , Q b(i) ] (or [Q a , Q b ]) is determined by the following steps to determine the upper and lower limits of the interval:
按一定的组距m将各曲线积分总区间[Qa(i),Qb(i)](或同一积分总区间[Qa,Qb])划分为n个小分区间段,每一个小分区间段以各区间的起止点作为各自的积分上下限值,具体如下:Divide the total interval of each curve integral [Q a(i) , Q b(i) ] (or the same integral interval [Q a , Q b ]) into n small intervals according to a certain group distance m, and each For small intervals, the starting and ending points of each interval are used as the upper and lower limits of the respective integrals, as follows:
1)若各曲线积分总区间不是取同一区间,则各自划分的分积分区间如下:1) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is not taken from the same interval, the sub-integral intervals divided by each are as follows:
[Qa(i),Qa(i)+m];[Q a(i) ,Q a(i) +m];
[Qa(i)+m,Qa(i)+2m];[Q a(i) +m,Q a(i) +2m];
[Qa(i)+2m,Qa(i)+3m];[Q a(i) +2m,Q a(i) +3m];
……;...;
[Qa(i)+(n-2)m,Qa(i)+(n-1)m];[Q a(i) +(n-2)m,Q a(i) +(n-1)m];
[Qa(i)+(n-1)m,Qb(i)]。[Q a(i) + (n-1)m, Q b(i) ].
其中,i=1、2…,表示上述所分区间对应不同时期的曲线i,即上述所分区间为对比时期i曲线积分的各分积分区间段。Wherein, i=1, 2..., which means that the above-mentioned intervals correspond to the curve i in different periods, that is, the above-mentioned intervals are the sub-integration intervals of the curve integration of the comparison period i.
2)若各曲线积分总区间取用同一区间[Qa,Qb],则划分的分积分区间如下:2) If the same interval [Q a , Q b ] is used for the total interval of the integral of each curve, the sub-integral intervals are divided as follows:
[Qa,Qa+m];[Q a , Q a +m];
[Qa+m,Qa+2m];[Q a +m,Q a +2m];
[Qa+2m,Qa+3m];[Q a +2m, Q a +3m];
……;...;
[Qa+(n-2)m,Qa+(n-1)m];[Q a +(n-2)m,Q a +(n-1)m];
[Qa+(n-1)m,Qb]。[Q a + (n-1) m, Q b ].
本发明的有益效果在于:本发明采用了一种基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法,利用基于路段车检器数据(速度、流量)获取的速度—流量实际关系曲线来综合分析交通运行状态,实现对交通运行状态定性及定量的对比分析,从交通运行状态的整体平均效果来综合反映路段同比时期的运行效率。基于路段车检器数据获取的速度—流量实际关系曲线,实现了对交通运行状态定性及定量的对比分析。利用参与对比分析的各条速度—流量关系曲线的上下位置关系及其各自的变化趋势来直观地定性反映各自交通运行状态的相对优劣;对于定量分析,根据各曲线在速度—流量坐标平面内按一定规则(数据的有效范围)截取的一定区域来对比分析,首先对曲线在一定的有效数据范围内(流量区间)划分为多个区间段,并分段沿曲线对流量进行积分,同时以各区间段数据量占总数量的占比作为各区间积分值的权重,再对各分段积分值加权计算获得各自的交通运行状态表征值,最后通过对比分析表征值来判断相对优劣,并获得定量分析结果。分析结果可以辅助说明其他评估方式(如利用评价指标评价)评估结果的有效性,也可以辅助道路交通运管人员对道路的运行状态、历史管控措施进行评价,为日常管理、养护计划和规划建设提供参考,进而指导管理决策,制定或优化管控措施,促进运营管理水平和服务水平的提高。The beneficial effect of the present invention is that: the present invention has adopted a kind of road traffic running state evaluation method based on road section speed, flow data, utilizes the speed-flow actual relation curve that obtains based on road section vehicle detector data (speed, flow) to comprehensively analyze The traffic operation state realizes the qualitative and quantitative comparative analysis of the traffic operation state, and comprehensively reflects the operation efficiency of the road section in the same period from the overall average effect of the traffic operation state. Based on the speed-flow actual relationship curve obtained from the vehicle detector data of the road section, the qualitative and quantitative comparative analysis of the traffic operation status is realized. Use the upper and lower positions of each speed-flow relationship curve participating in the comparative analysis and their respective change trends to intuitively and qualitatively reflect the relative advantages and disadvantages of their respective traffic operation states; for quantitative analysis, according to the speed-flow coordinate plane of each curve According to a certain rule (valid range of data) to compare and analyze a certain area intercepted, first divide the curve into multiple intervals within a certain valid data range (flow range), and integrate the flow along the curve in sections, and at the same time use The proportion of the data volume in each interval to the total amount is used as the weight of the integral value of each interval, and then the weighted calculation of the integral value of each segment is carried out to obtain the respective traffic operation status characterization value, and finally the relative pros and cons are judged by comparing and analyzing the characterization value, and Get quantitative analysis results. The analysis results can help explain the effectiveness of other evaluation methods (such as evaluation using evaluation indicators), and can also assist road traffic management personnel to evaluate the road's operating status and historical control measures. Provide references to guide management decisions, formulate or optimize control measures, and promote the improvement of operational management and service levels.
利用基于路段车检器速度、流量数据获取的速度—流量关系曲线来评估分析路段不同时期的交通运行状态,能更为直观地从整体上反映交通运行状态,而不用分析多项评价指标,并可辅助说明其他评估方式(如利用评价指标评价)评估结果的有效性,此外,实际可操作性强,简单易行,容易理解。Using the speed-flow relationship curve obtained based on the speed and flow data of the road section vehicle detector to evaluate and analyze the traffic operation status of the road section in different periods can more intuitively reflect the traffic operation status as a whole without analyzing multiple evaluation indicators, and It can help explain the validity of the evaluation results of other evaluation methods (such as evaluation using evaluation indicators). In addition, it is practical, simple, and easy to understand.
附图说明Description of drawings
为了使本发明的目的、技术方案和优点更加清楚,下面将结合附图对本发明作进一步的详细描述,其中:In order to make the purpose, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention clearer, the present invention will be described in further detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, wherein:
图1为本发明实施例提供的基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法实施流程图;Fig. 1 is the implementation flowchart of the method for evaluating the road traffic running state based on road section speed and flow data provided by the embodiment of the present invention;
图2为本发明实施例提供的基于路段速度、流量数据的速度—流量实际关系曲线(来自重庆高速公路渝武路下行);Fig. 2 provides for the speed-flow actual relationship curve (from Chongqing Expressway Yuwu Road descending) based on road section speed, flow data provided by the embodiment of the present invention;
图3为本发明实施例提供的路段速度—流量关系曲线分析示意图。Fig. 3 is a schematic diagram of the analysis of the speed-flow relationship curve of the road section provided by the embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式detailed description
以下将参照附图,对本发明的优选实施例进行详细的描述。应当理解,优选实施例仅为了说明本发明,而不是为了限制本发明的保护范围。Hereinafter, preferred embodiments of the present invention will be described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings. It should be understood that the preferred embodiments are only for illustrating the present invention, but not for limiting the protection scope of the present invention.
实施例1Example 1
如图1-图3所示,本发明提供的基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法,包括以下步骤:As shown in Fig. 1-Fig. 3, the road traffic operating state assessment method based on road section speed and flow data provided by the present invention comprises the following steps:
S1:获取待评估路段各对比时期的车检器数据,并将数据规范性地存储于数据表中,所述数据表中的数据项包括各车道的速度、流量;S1: Obtain the vehicle detector data of each comparison period of the road section to be evaluated, and store the data in a data table in a standardized manner. The data items in the data table include the speed and flow of each lane;
S2:对获取的车检器进行数据预处理,并对各车道数据分别处理,同时将处理后的数据规范性地存储于数据表中;所述数据预处理包括两大部分:将车检器车流量转换为标准车车流量,以及剔除异常数据;S2: Carry out data preprocessing on the obtained vehicle detector, and process the data of each lane separately, and store the processed data in the data table in a standardized manner; the data preprocessing includes two parts: the vehicle detector Convert traffic flow to standard traffic flow, and remove abnormal data;
S3:利用经过数据预处理后的路段实际车检器速度和流量数据,实施待评估路段不同时期速度—流量关系曲线的拟合;采用如下二次曲线的形式来拟合路段的实际速度—流量关系:S3: Use the actual vehicle detector speed and flow data of the road section after data preprocessing to implement the fitting of the speed-flow relationship curve of the road section to be evaluated in different periods; use the following quadratic curve to fit the actual speed-flow rate of the road section relation:
V=AQ2+BQ+CV=AQ 2 +BQ+C
式中:V表示速度;Q表示流量;A、B、C为回归系数;In the formula: V represents speed; Q represents flow; A, B, C are regression coefficients;
S4:确定对道路交通运行状态评估的分析方式,如果进行定性分析,则可根据曲线的位置关系及其各自的变化趋势给出定性分析结果,并结束道路交通运行状态评估过程;如果进行定量分析,转至步骤S5实施定量分析;S4: Determine the analysis method for the evaluation of road traffic operation status. If qualitative analysis is performed, the qualitative analysis results can be given according to the position relationship of the curves and their respective change trends, and the evaluation process of road traffic operation status will be ended; if quantitative analysis is performed , go to step S5 to implement quantitative analysis;
S5:所述定量分析利用获得的速度—流量关系曲线,根据有效的数据范围,确定积分的上下限;并且将整个流量积分总区间划分为多个小区间段进行处理,采用积分运算获得定量分析结果。S5: The quantitative analysis uses the obtained speed-flow relationship curve to determine the upper and lower limits of the integral according to the effective data range; and divides the entire flow integration total interval into multiple sub-sections for processing, and obtains quantitative analysis by integral operation result.
所述步骤S5中的定量分析具体步骤如下:The specific steps of the quantitative analysis in the step S5 are as follows:
S51:根据路段的设计时速及车检器的检测性能确定整个流量区间内的积分总区间;S51: Determine the total integral interval in the entire flow interval according to the design speed per hour of the road section and the detection performance of the vehicle detector;
S52:按一定的组距将积分总区间划分为多个小区间段,获得多个积分区间段,并以各区间的起止点作为各自的积分上下限值;S52: Divide the total integral interval into multiple small intervals according to a certain group distance, obtain multiple integral intervals, and use the start and end points of each interval as the upper and lower limits of the respective integrals;
S53:对各曲线的数据样本进行统计分析,确定各自每个分区间段内数据量占样本总数的比例pi,并以比例pi作为各区间段积分值的权重;S53: Perform statistical analysis on the data samples of each curve, determine the proportion p i of the data volume in each sub-interval to the total number of samples, and use the proportion p i as the weight of the integral value of each interval;
S54:针对路段不同时期的曲线,对上述划分的多个区间段沿曲线分别实施积分运算,获得各区间段内的交通运行状态表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值,按以下公式定义两个指标来表征:S54: Aiming at the curves in different periods of the road section, perform integral calculations on the above-mentioned multiple intervals along the curves, and obtain the traffic operation state characterization value in each interval section or the relative traffic operation state characterization value between each other, which is defined according to the following formula Two indicators to characterize:
(1)交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS=S2-S1;(1) Significant value of difference in traffic operation state ΔS=S 2 -S 1 ;
(2)交通运行状态相对差异比率 (2) Relative difference ratio of traffic operation status
其中,S1、S2分别表示各曲线在一定流量区间内对应的交通运行状态表征值;采用在一定流量区间内沿曲线对流量进行积分实施定量测算,其定量测算采用以下公式:Among them, S 1 and S 2 respectively represent the characteristic values of the traffic operation status corresponding to each curve within a certain flow interval; the quantitative calculation is carried out by integrating the flow along the curve within a certain flow interval, and the quantitative calculation adopts the following formula:
式中,Qb1表示对比时期1在一定流量区间内的积分上限值;Qa1表示对比时期1在一定流量区间内的积分下限值;A1表示对比时期1的速度—流量关系式二次项系数;B1表示对比时期1的速度—流量关系式一次项系数;C1表示对比时期1的速度—流量关系式常数项;Qb2表示对比时期2在一定流量区间内的积分上限值;Qa2表示对比时期2在一定流量区间内的积分下限值;A2表示对比时期2的速度—流量关系式二次项系数;B2表示对比时期2的速度—流量关系式一次项系数;C2表示对比时期2的速度—流量关系式常数项;In the formula, Q b1 represents the integral upper limit value in the comparison period 1 within a certain flow range; Q a1 represents the integral lower limit value in the comparison period 1 within a certain flow range; A 1 represents the speed-flow relationship in the comparison period 1 Sub-term coefficient; B 1 represents the coefficient of the primary term of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 1; C 1 represents the constant term of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 1; Q b2 represents the integral upper limit of the comparison period 2 within a certain flow range value; Q a2 represents the integral lower limit value in a certain flow range in the comparison period 2; A 2 represents the quadratic term coefficient of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 2; B 2 represents the first-order term of the speed-flow relational expression in the comparison period 2 Coefficient; C 2 represents the constant term of the speed-flow relationship in the comparison period 2;
此处利用两个对比时期的曲线仅为了说明本方法。The curves for the two comparative periods are used here only to illustrate the method.
S55:对路段不同时期的曲线,利用各自的比例pi对各区间段的交通运行状态相关定量表征值加权计算,获得待评估路段不同时期各自速度—流量关系曲线对应的交通运行状态相关表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值(S1、S2、ΔS、ΔO);按以下方式给出定量分析结果:S55: For the curves of the road section in different periods, use the respective proportions p i to weight the quantitative characterization values related to the traffic operation state of each section, and obtain the relevant characterization values of the traffic operation state corresponding to the respective speed-flow relationship curves of the road sections to be evaluated in different periods Or the relative characterization values (S1, S2, ΔS, ΔO ) of the traffic operation state between each other; the quantitative analysis results are given in the following way:
(1)根据积分算式和比例pi计算得到各曲线对应的交通运行状态相关表征值,所述交通运行状态相关表征值包括不同时期的交通运行状态表征值S1、S2、交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS以及交通运行状态相对差异比率ΔO;交通运行状态相关表征值S1、S2、ΔS和ΔO按如下方式计算:( 1 ) According to the integral formula and the ratio p i , the corresponding characteristic values of the traffic operation state corresponding to each curve are calculated. The characteristic value ΔS and the relative difference ratio Δ O of the traffic operation state; the characteristic values S 1 , S 2 , ΔS and Δ O related to the traffic operation state are calculated as follows:
1)若各曲线的积分总区间不同,即有各分区间段不相同,则不可直接求取ΔSi和ΔOi(即各分区间内的交通运行状态差异表征值、相对差异比率),需要先求取各曲线各分区间段的S1(i)和S2(i),再利用各曲线各分区间段的S1(i)和S2(i)求取ΔS和ΔO;1) If the total intervals of the integrals of each curve are different, that is, the intervals of each subdivision are different, then ΔS i and ΔOi (that is, the representative value of the difference in traffic operation state and the relative difference ratio in each subdivision) cannot be obtained directly. First obtain S 1(i) and S 2(i) of each sub-section of each curve, and then use S 1(i) and S 2(i) of each sub-section of each curve to obtain ΔS and ΔO ;
式中:Qb1(i)、Qa1(i)、p1(i)分别表示对比时期1曲线第i个分区间的积分上限值、积分下限值、样本数据量占比;Qb2(i)、Qa2(i)、p2(i)分别表示对比时期2曲线第i个分区间的积分上限值、积分下限值、样本数据量占比;S1(i)和S2(i)分别表示各对比时期曲线第i个分区间段的交通运行状态表征值;n1表示对比时期1曲线积分总区间包含的分区间段数量;n2表示对比时期2曲线积分总区间包含的分区间段数量;In the formula: Q b1(i) , Q a1(i) and p 1(i) represent the upper limit of integration, the lower limit of integration, and the proportion of sample data in the i-th partition of the comparison period 1 curve respectively; Q b2 (i) , Q a2(i) and p 2(i) represent the integral upper limit value, integral lower limit value, and sample data volume proportion of the i-th partition of the curve in the comparison period 2 respectively; S 1(i) and S 2(i) represent the traffic operation status characterization values of the i-th sub-section of the curve in each comparison period; n 1 indicates the number of sub-sections included in the total curve integral interval of the comparison period 1; n 2 indicates the total curve integration interval of the comparison period 2 The number of sub-intervals included;
说明:此处利用两个对比时期的曲线仅为了说明方法。Note: The curves for the two comparative periods are used here only to illustrate the methodology.
2)若各曲线的积分总区间相同,即有各分区间段相同,则有:2) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is the same, that is, the intervals of each subdivision are the same, then:
式中,ΔSi表示各分区间内的交通运行状态差异表征值;ΔOi表示各分区间内的交通运行状态相对差异比率;n表示各曲线的积分总区间包含的分区间段数量,此时各曲线的分区间段数相同;其他参数含义类似上述。In the formula, ΔS i represents the characteristic value of the traffic operation state difference in each sub-interval; ΔOi represents the relative difference ratio of the traffic operation state in each sub-interval; n represents the number of sub-intervals contained in the total integral interval of each curve. The number of intervals of each curve is the same; the meanings of other parameters are similar to the above.
(2)根据ΔS或ΔO与“0”的关系,判别路段不同时期交通运行状态的相对好坏,并给出定量分析结果(ΔS或ΔO);判别方法如下:(2) According to the relationship between ΔS or ΔO and "0", judge the relative quality of the traffic operation status of the road section in different periods, and give the quantitative analysis results (ΔS or ΔO ); the discrimination method is as follows:
A.若ΔS>0或ΔO>0,则表示路段在时期2的交通运行状态优于时期1,且提升值为ΔS或相对提升ΔO;A. If ΔS>0 or ΔO >0, it means that the traffic operation status of the road section in period 2 is better than that in period 1, and the improvement value is ΔS or relative increase ΔO ;
B.若ΔS<0或ΔO<0,则表示路段在时期2的交通运行状态差于时期1,且负提升值为ΔS或相对提升ΔO;B. If ΔS<0 or ΔO <0, it means that the traffic operation status of the road section in period 2 is worse than that in period 1, and the negative improvement value is ΔS or relative improvement ΔO ;
C.若ΔS=0或ΔO=0,则表示路段在时期2的交通运行状态与时期1基本相当。此时,需要进一步做定性判别,若曲线基本完全重合,则说明对比的两个时期的交通运行状态基本相当;若曲线不完全重合,而存在交叉且不能区分哪条曲线更多地位于上方时,则通过曲线的平缓程度来判断,曲线更平缓,表示在流量增加时速度降低更缓,该时期的交通运行更平稳,即交通运行状态相对略好。C. If ΔS=0 or Δ O =0, it means that the traffic operation state of the link in period 2 is basically the same as that in period 1. At this point, further qualitative judgment is required. If the curves are basically completely overlapped, it means that the traffic operation status of the two periods of comparison is basically the same; , then it can be judged by the flatness of the curve. A flatter curve means that the speed decreases more slowly when the flow increases, and the traffic operation in this period is more stable, that is, the traffic operation state is relatively slightly better.
(3)若选择了多个车道对比分析,则按上述步骤完成各车道的定量分析后,求取各车道定量分析结果ΔS或ΔO的均值。(3) If multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, after the quantitative analysis of each lane is completed according to the above steps, the mean value of the quantitative analysis results ΔS or ΔO of each lane is calculated.
所述步骤S2中的车检器车流量转换为标准车车流量按以下公式进行:The traffic flow of the vehicle detector in the step S2 is converted into the standard vehicle traffic flow according to the following formula:
式中,Q为换算后的标准车车流量;qi为第i种车型的流量值;wi为第i种车型的换算系数;m为车型数量。In the formula, Q is the converted standard vehicle flow; q i is the flow value of the i-th type of vehicle; w i is the conversion coefficient of the i-th type of vehicle; m is the number of vehicle types.
所述步骤S2中的剔除异常数据按以下公式进行:The removal of abnormal data in the step S2 is carried out according to the following formula:
S21:根据速度、流量的实际有效性按以下方式剔除明显错误的数据,具体如下:S21: According to the actual effectiveness of the speed and flow rate, eliminate the data with obvious errors in the following way, specifically as follows:
对以下几类情况的数据进行剔除:The following types of data are excluded:
剔除速度大于0,但流量等于0的数据;Eliminate data whose speed is greater than 0 but whose flow rate is equal to 0;
剔除速度等于0,但流量大于0的数据;Eliminate data whose speed is equal to 0 but whose flow rate is greater than 0;
S22:利用车检器速度数据的均值和标准差来做异常数据的剔除处理,具体规则如下:S22: Use the mean value and standard deviation of the speed data of the vehicle detector to eliminate abnormal data. The specific rules are as follows:
1)如果存在则为有效数据,不予剔除;1) if exists is valid data and will not be excluded;
2)如果存在或者则判定vi所对应的该条数据为异常数据,应予剔除;其中,3σ为筛选标准,表示获取实测的路段车检器数据中的速度正态分布三倍均方差;为待分析时段内的车检器速度数据均值,标准差为σv,实际车检器速度值为vi。2) If exists or Then it is determined that the piece of data corresponding to v i is abnormal data and should be eliminated; among them, 3σ is the screening standard, which means that the speed normal distribution in the measured road section vehicle detector data is obtained three times the mean square error; is the mean value of the speed data of the vehicle detector in the period to be analyzed, the standard deviation is σ v , and the actual speed value of the vehicle detector is v i .
所述步骤S51中的积分总区间按以下步骤来确定:The total integration interval in the step S51 is determined according to the following steps:
S511:确定积分总区间的上限,对用于拟合各曲线的样本数据分别进行统计分析,获取流量最大值,作为整个流量区间的上限值;S511: Determine the upper limit of the total integral interval, perform statistical analysis on the sample data used to fit each curve, obtain the maximum flow rate, and use it as the upper limit value of the entire flow interval;
S512:确定积分总区间的下限,具体如下:S512: Determine the lower limit of the total integral interval, specifically as follows:
记路段最高限速为V0,速度为纵轴,从纵轴上的最高限速V0处,作直线V=V0;利用最高限速来辅助确定积分下限;Note that the maximum speed limit of the road section is V0, and the speed is the vertical axis. From the maximum speed limit V0 on the vertical axis, make a straight line V=V0; use the maximum speed limit to assist in determining the lower limit of the integral;
当直线V=V0与待分析的两条曲线在低流量区域均相交时,则积分总区间的下限为最高限速V0;When the straight line V=V0 intersects the two curves to be analyzed in the low flow area, the lower limit of the total integral interval is the maximum speed limit V0;
当直线V=V0在待分析的两条曲线的上方时,则积分下限值按以下方式设定:获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;When the straight line V=V0 is above the two curves to be analyzed, then the integral lower limit is set in the following manner: obtain the vehicle detector detection performance requirement unit detection time traffic flow value Q0, make the straight line Q=Q0 ; Respectively intersect with the two curves, as the lower limit of integration corresponding to each curve;
当直线V=V0与两条曲线均相交,若曲线上的相交点处于低流量处,则取各自的交点所对应的流量值作为积分下限值;若所设定的下限值欠合理,则获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;When the straight line V=V0 intersects the two curves, if the intersection point on the curve is at a low flow rate, then take the flow value corresponding to the respective intersection point as the lower limit value of the integration; if the set lower limit value is unreasonable, Then obtain the vehicle detector detection performance requirement unit detection time traffic flow value Q0, make a straight line Q=Q0; respectively intersect with the two curves, as the lower limit of the integral corresponding to each curve;
当直线V=V0在低流量区域只与某一条曲线相交,则取该点流量值与Q0的均值作为积分下限值;When the straight line V=V0 only intersects with a certain curve in the low flow area, take the average value of the flow value at this point and Q0 as the integral lower limit;
当直线V=V0在低流量区域位于两条曲线下方或均未相交时,则获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;When the straight line V=V0 is located below the two curves in the low-flow area or does not intersect, then the vehicle flow rate value per unit detection time is required to obtain the detection performance of the vehicle detector, and the straight line Q=Q0 is made; respectively with the two curves The intersection point is used as the lower limit of the integral corresponding to each curve;
当按上述方法确定的积分下限值处没有实际数据点,则判断该积分下限值是否大于Q0,若判断结果为“大于”,则取经预处理后的数据样本中的流量最小值作为积分下限值;When there is no actual data point at the integral lower limit determined by the above method, judge whether the integral lower limit is greater than Q0, if the judgment result is "greater than", then take the minimum flow rate in the preprocessed data sample as the integral lower limit;
否则获取设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内车流量值为Q0,作直线Q=Q0;分别与两条曲线相交点,作为各曲线对应的积分下限;若积分下限值为Q0时也没有实际数据点,则取经预处理后的数据样本中的流量最小值作为积分下限值。Otherwise, to obtain the detection performance of the vehicle detector, the vehicle flow rate value per unit detection time is Q0, and the straight line Q=Q0 is made; the intersection points with the two curves are used as the lower limit of the integral corresponding to each curve; if the lower limit of the integral is Q0, it is also If there are no actual data points, the minimum flow rate in the preprocessed data samples is taken as the lower limit of integration.
所述在不同的时期各自速度—流量关系曲线对应的积分总区间采用将整个流量区间分段处理的方式进行计算,具体如下:The total integral interval corresponding to the respective speed-flow relationship curves in different periods is calculated by processing the entire flow interval in sections, as follows:
1)若不需要保障每一个分区间段均在同等流量下进行对比,则各对比时期曲线积分的总区间不同,根据步骤S51中所述方法求取各曲线的积分总区间。1) If it is not necessary to ensure that each sub-section is compared under the same flow rate, then the total interval of the curve integration in each comparison period is different, and the total integration interval of each curve is obtained according to the method described in step S51.
[Qa(i),Qb(i)];[Q a(i) ,Q b(i) ];
其中,i=1、2…,表示不同时期的曲线积分总区间,即对比时期i的曲线积分区间。Wherein, i=1, 2..., represents the total interval of curve integration in different periods, that is, the interval of curve integration in comparison period i.
2)若需要保障每一个分区间段均在同等流量下进行对比,即各对比时期曲线积分取同一积分总区间。获得各曲线对应的区间,选择各区间较小下限值作为积分总区间的下限,选择较大上限值作为积分总区间的上限,将各曲线的积分总区间取为同一积分总区间,所述同一积分总区间[Qa,Qb]的确定规则为:2) If it is necessary to ensure that each sub-interval is compared under the same flow rate, that is, the curve integral of each comparison period takes the same integral total interval. Obtain the interval corresponding to each curve, select the smaller lower limit value of each interval as the lower limit of the total integral interval, select the larger upper limit value as the upper limit of the total integral interval, and take the total integral interval of each curve as the same total integral interval, so The determination rules for the total interval [Q a , Q b ] of the same integral are as follows:
A.若Qa1≥Qa2,且有Qa1≤Qa2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa2,Qb2];A. If Q a1 ≥ Q a2 , and there is Q a1 ≤ Q a2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a2 , Q b2 ];
B.若Qa1>Qa2,且有Qb1>Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa2,Qb1];B. If Q a1 > Q a2 , and there is Q b1 > Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a2 , Q b1 ];
C.若Qa1<Qa2,且有Qb1<Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa1,Qb2];C. If Q a1 < Q a2 , and there is Q b1 < Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a1 , Q b2 ];
D.若Qa1≤Qa2,且有Qb1≥Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa1,Qb1]。D. If Q a1 ≤ Q a2 , and there is Q b1 ≥ Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a1 , Q b1 ].
所述积分总区间[Qa(i),Qb(i)](或[Qa,Qb])按以下步骤进行确定分区间的上下限:The total integral interval [Q a(i) , Q b(i) ] (or [Q a , Q b ]) is determined by the following steps to determine the upper and lower limits of the interval:
按一定的组距m各曲线积分总区间[Qa(i),Qb(i)](或[Qa,Qb])划分为n个小分区间段,每一个小分区间段以各区间的起止点作为各自的积分上下限值,具体如下:According to a certain group distance m, the total interval [Q a(i) , Q b(i) ] (or [Q a , Q b ]) of the integral of each curve is divided into n small intervals, and each small interval is The start and end points of each interval are used as the upper and lower limits of the respective integrals, as follows:
1)若各曲线积分总区间不是取同一区间,则各自划分的分积分区间如下:1) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is not taken from the same interval, the sub-integral intervals divided by each are as follows:
[Qa(i),Qa(i)+m];[Q a(i) ,Q a(i) +m];
[Qa(i)+m,Qa(i)+2m];[Q a(i) +m,Q a(i) +2m];
[Qa(i)+2m,Qa(i)+3m];[Q a(i) +2m,Q a(i) +3m];
……;...;
[Qa(i)+(n-2)m,Qa(i)+(n-1)m];[Q a(i) +(n-2)m,Q a(i) +(n-1)m];
[Qa(i)+(n-1)m,Qb(i)]。[Q a(i) + (n-1)m, Q b(i) ].
其中,i=1、2…,表示上述所分区间对应不同时期的曲线i,即上述所分区间为对比时期i曲线积分的各分积分区间段。Wherein, i=1, 2..., which means that the above-mentioned intervals correspond to the curve i in different periods, that is, the above-mentioned intervals are the sub-integration intervals of the curve integration of the comparison period i.
2)若各曲线积分总区间取用同一区间[Qa,Qb],则划分的分积分区间如下:2) If the same interval [Q a , Q b ] is used for the total interval of the integral of each curve, the sub-integral intervals are divided as follows:
[Qa,Qa+m];[Q a , Q a +m];
[Qa+m,Qa+2m];[Q a +m,Q a +2m];
[Qa+2m,Qa+3m];[Q a +2m, Q a +3m];
……;...;
[Qa+(n-2)m,Qa+(n-1)m];[Q a +(n-2)m,Q a +(n-1)m];
[Qa+(n-1)m,Qb]。[Q a + (n-1) m, Q b ].
实施例2Example 2
本实施例与实施例1的区别仅在于:The difference between this embodiment and embodiment 1 is only:
本实施例提供了一种基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法,利用基于路段车检器数据(速度、流量)获取的速度—流量实际关系曲线来综合分析交通运行状态,从交通运行状态的整体平均效果来综合反映路段同比时期的运行效率。基于路段车检器数据获取的速度—流量实际关系曲线,可以实现对交通运行状态定性及定量的对比分析。分析结果可以辅助说明其他评估方式(如利用评价指标评价)评估结果的有效性,也可以辅助道路交通运管人员对道路的运行状态、历史管控措施进行评价,为日常管理、养护计划和规划建设提供参考,进而指导管理决策,制定或优化管控措施,促进运营管理水平和服务水平的提高。The present embodiment provides a method for assessing the road traffic operating state based on road section speed and flow data, using the speed-flow actual relationship curve obtained based on the road section vehicle detector data (speed, flow) to comprehensively analyze the traffic operating state, from the traffic The overall average effect of the operating status is used to comprehensively reflect the operating efficiency of the road section in the same period of time. Based on the speed-flow actual relationship curve obtained from the vehicle detector data of the road section, the qualitative and quantitative comparative analysis of the traffic operation status can be realized. The analysis results can help explain the effectiveness of other evaluation methods (such as evaluation using evaluation indicators), and can also assist road traffic management personnel to evaluate the road's operating status and historical control measures. Provide references to guide management decisions, formulate or optimize control measures, and promote the improvement of operational management and service levels.
本发明通过以下技术手段解决上述技术问题:The present invention solves the above technical problems by the following technical means:
基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法,包括如下步骤:The road traffic operation state evaluation method based on road section speed and flow data includes the following steps:
步骤1:获取待评估路段各对比时期的车检器数据,并将数据规范性地存储于数据表中。车检器数据选择5分钟(或3分钟)数据,数据项必须包括各车道的速度、流量,并且选用的数据来自于路段上流量较大的一个或多个车检器。Step 1: Obtain the vehicle detector data of each comparison period of the road section to be evaluated, and store the data in a data table in a standardized manner. 5 minutes (or 3 minutes) data is selected for the vehicle detector data, and the data items must include the speed and flow of each lane, and the selected data comes from one or more vehicle detectors with relatively large traffic on the road section.
在国内外对速度流量关系模型研究中,通常认为15分钟和5分钟是分析交通流统计分析模型的统计间隔,并且《道路通行能力手册HCM2000》也如此推荐。根据相关统计分析研究,采用3分钟、5分钟的统计间隔而获得的分析效果与15分钟的分析效果相当甚至更优,此外,采用的统计间隔越短,得到拟合曲线的有效范围越大,因此更加倾向于使用较短的统计间隔。利用具有大流量的车检器数据更能表征路段的实际交通运行状态。In the research on the speed-flow relationship model at home and abroad, it is generally considered that 15 minutes and 5 minutes are the statistical intervals for analyzing the statistical analysis model of traffic flow, and the "Road Capacity Handbook HCM2000" also recommends this. According to relevant statistical analysis research, the analysis effect obtained by using the statistical interval of 3 minutes and 5 minutes is equivalent to or even better than the analysis effect of 15 minutes. In addition, the shorter the statistical interval used, the larger the effective range of the fitted curve. Therefore, it is more inclined to use shorter statistical intervals. Using the vehicle detector data with a large flow rate can better characterize the actual traffic operation status of the road section.
步骤2:对获取的车检器数据进行预处理,并对各车道数据分别处理,同时将处理后的数据规范性地存储于数据表中。数据预处理主要包括两大部分:将车检器车流量转换为标准车车流量,以及剔除异常数据。Step 2: Preprocess the acquired vehicle detector data, process the data of each lane separately, and store the processed data in the data table in a standardized manner. Data preprocessing mainly includes two parts: converting the traffic flow of the vehicle detector into standard vehicle traffic, and eliminating abnormal data.
(1)将车检器流量数据转换为标准车车流量值(1) Convert the flow data of the vehicle detector to the standard vehicle flow value
不同类型的车辆对交通运行状态的影响程度不同,需要将其都转换为标准车流量,以反映出不同车型的影响。通常利用车型换算系数将不同车型流量值转换为标准车流量。Different types of vehicles have different influences on the traffic operation status, and all of them need to be converted into standard traffic volumes to reflect the impact of different types of vehicles. Usually, the vehicle type conversion coefficient is used to convert the flow rate values of different types of vehicles into standard vehicle flow rates.
根据相关技术手册如《道路通行能力手册》、《公路通行能力手册》等,并结合车检器设备检测车型的划分,以每5分钟为一个数据单元,对不同车型的流量值用车型换算系数加权求和,以获取每5分钟的标准车流量值。处理方法见下式。According to relevant technical manuals such as "Road Traffic Capacity Manual", "Highway Traffic Capacity Manual", etc., combined with the vehicle inspection equipment to detect the division of vehicle models, take every 5 minutes as a data unit, and use the model conversion coefficient for the flow value of different models Weighted summation to obtain the standard traffic flow value every 5 minutes. See below for the treatment method.
式中,Q为换算后的标准车车流量;qi为第i种车型的流量值;wi为第i种车型的换算系数;m为车型数量。In the formula, Q is the converted standard vehicle flow; q i is the flow value of the i-th type of vehicle; w i is the conversion coefficient of the i-th type of vehicle; m is the number of vehicle types.
(2)剔除异常数据(2) Eliminate abnormal data
在检测过程中,由于车检器设备本身原因以及其他因素的影响,可能会存在部分检测数据为异常数据,而异常数据不能反映实际的交通运行状态,并且对速度—流量关系曲线的拟合效果影响较大,必须对其进行剔除。此处,分两步来完成异常数据的剔除:During the detection process, due to the influence of the vehicle detector equipment itself and other factors, some detection data may be abnormal data, and the abnormal data cannot reflect the actual traffic operation status, and the fitting effect of the speed-flow relationship curve have a large impact and must be eliminated. Here, the elimination of abnormal data is completed in two steps:
1)首先,根据速度、流量的实际有效性剔除明显错误的数据;1) First, eliminate obviously wrong data according to the actual effectiveness of speed and flow;
2)再利用车检器速度数据的均值和标准差来做异常数据的剔除处理。2) Use the mean value and standard deviation of the speed data of the vehicle detector to eliminate abnormal data.
步骤3:利用经过数据预处理后的路段实际车检器速度和流量数据,实施待评估路段不同时期速度—流量关系曲线的拟合。分析用的数据一般选择流量大的车道上的数据或对各车道数据分别处理分析,并且根据相关研究,采用二次曲线的形式来表征路段的实际速度—流量关系。Step 3: Using the actual vehicle detector speed and flow data of the road section after data preprocessing, implement the fitting of the speed-flow relationship curve in different periods of the road section to be evaluated. The data used for analysis generally selects the data on the lanes with heavy traffic or processes and analyzes the data of each lane separately, and according to relevant research, the form of a quadratic curve is used to represent the actual speed-flow relationship of the road section.
对于某些路段,其实际速度—流量关系曲线用一次曲线形式或二次曲线形式均能较好地反映实际的交通运行状态,但是根据对基于路段车检器数据(速度、流量)获取的速度—流量实际关系曲线的拟合分析,采用二次曲线形式的拟合效果要优于一次曲线形式,即能更好地反映道路的实际交通运行状态。此外,《公路通行能力手册》推荐各计算速度下的交通流特征曲线采用二次曲线的形式(具体论述请参见该手册)。为此,用以下数学模型来描述速度—流量关系。For some road sections, the actual speed-flow relationship curve can better reflect the actual traffic operation state in the form of a linear curve or a quadratic curve. —The fitting analysis of the actual flow relationship curve, the fitting effect of the quadratic curve is better than that of the primary curve, that is, it can better reflect the actual traffic operation state of the road. In addition, the "Handbook of Highway Capacity" recommends that the traffic flow characteristic curve at each calculation speed be in the form of a quadratic curve (for details, please refer to the handbook). To this end, the following mathematical model is used to describe the velocity-flow relationship.
V=AQ2+BQ+CV=AQ 2 +BQ+C
式中:V表示速度;Q表示流量;A、B、C为回归系数。In the formula: V represents speed; Q represents flow; A, B, C are regression coefficients.
对曲线的拟合可以借助MATLAB或其他分析软件实现。The fitting of the curve can be realized with the help of MATLAB or other analysis software.
步骤4:确定定性分析或定量分析方式。如果只需要定性分析,则可根据曲线的位置关系及其各自的变化趋势给出分析结果,并分析结束。否则,可直接实施定量分析,此外,若采用定性分析不能很好地判断路段各对比时期交通运行状态的好坏时,则实施定量分析,转至步骤5。当选择多个车道对比分析时,需区分车道,即将对比时期里路段各车道的速度—流量关系曲线分别进行对比分析。Step 4: Determine the qualitative analysis or quantitative analysis method. If only qualitative analysis is required, the analysis results can be given according to the positional relationship of the curves and their respective changing trends, and the analysis ends. Otherwise, quantitative analysis can be carried out directly. In addition, if qualitative analysis cannot be used to judge the quality of traffic operation status in each comparison period of the road section, quantitative analysis should be carried out and go to step 5. When multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, it is necessary to distinguish the lanes, that is, to conduct comparative analysis on the speed-flow relationship curves of each lane in the comparison period.
步骤5:基于获得的速度—流量关系曲线,根据有效的数据范围,确定积分的上下限。在定量分析中,采用积分运算获得定量分析结果,并且将整个流量区间(积分总区间)划分为多个小区间段进行处理,因此,首要的是确定积分区间。确定积分区间的步骤主要包括以下几个部分:Step 5: Based on the obtained speed-flow relationship curve, determine the upper and lower limits of the integral according to the valid data range. In the quantitative analysis, the integral operation is used to obtain the quantitative analysis results, and the entire flow interval (integral total interval) is divided into multiple small intervals for processing. Therefore, the first thing is to determine the integral interval. The steps to determine the integral interval mainly include the following parts:
(1)首先,根据路段的设计时速及车检器的检测性能确定一个合理区间(在整个流量区间内的积分总区间);(1) First, determine a reasonable interval (the total integral interval in the entire flow interval) according to the design speed per hour of the road section and the detection performance of the vehicle detector;
(2)其次,按一定的组距(如以10pcu/ln/5min为组距)将上一步所得的区间划分为多个小区间段,获得多个积分区间段,并以各区间的起止点作为各自的积分上下限值。(2) Secondly, divide the interval obtained in the previous step into multiple small intervals according to a certain group interval (for example, 10pcu/ln/5min as the group interval), obtain multiple integral intervals, and use the starting and ending points of each interval as the upper and lower limits of their respective integrals.
由于一定时期内路段的实际流量是存在上下限值的,在实施定量分析中的积分运算时,积分区间不能选择[0,+∞)。此外,在整个流量区间内,不能将所有的数据笼统地都用于积分,需要选择能够集中整体反映实际交通运行状态的数据点,并且,不同流量对路段整体交通运行状态的影响程度不同,在不同的流量区间内,表征交通运行状态的数据量不同,其对交通运行状态的反应程度也有所差异,需要区别处理,否则会对结果产生影响。为此,需要将整个流量区间划分为多个小区间段区别处理,进而确定合理的积分区间,以提高计算的可靠度。Since there are upper and lower limits on the actual flow of road sections within a certain period of time, when performing integral operations in quantitative analysis, the integral interval cannot be selected as [0,+∞). In addition, in the entire flow range, all the data cannot be used for integrals in general, and it is necessary to select data points that can reflect the actual traffic operation status in a centralized manner, and different flow rates have different influences on the overall traffic operation status of the road section. In different traffic intervals, the amount of data representing the traffic operation state is different, and the degree of response to the traffic operation state is also different, which needs to be treated differently, otherwise it will affect the results. For this reason, it is necessary to divide the entire flow interval into multiple sub-sections for different processing, and then determine a reasonable integral interval to improve the reliability of the calculation.
步骤6:对各曲线的数据样本进行统计分析,确定各自每个分区间段内数据量或其占样本总数的比例pi(频率),并以pi作为各区间段积分值的权重。Step 6: Statistically analyze the data samples of each curve, determine the amount of data in each interval or its proportion p i (frequency) to the total number of samples, and use p i as the weight of the integral value of each interval.
不同流量对路段整体交通运行状态的影响程度不同,需反映出各自的差异性。虽然在大流量区间段内的数据点很少,但仍然反映了道路在某些时间里的实际交通运行状态,并且道路交通运行状态整体的好坏受大流量时的影响也较大,需要合理考虑,但不宜直接对整个大流量分区间段进行积分。为此,利用各区间数据量占样本总数的比例作为各区间段积分值的权重,以反映不同流量下交通运行状态的差异性。Different flow rates have different influences on the overall traffic operation status of road sections, and their differences need to be reflected. Although there are few data points in the high-flow interval, it still reflects the actual traffic operation status of the road at certain times, and the overall quality of the road traffic operation status is also greatly affected by the high flow, so it needs to be reasonable consideration, but it is not suitable to directly integrate the entire large flow sub-section. For this reason, the proportion of the data volume in each interval to the total number of samples is used as the weight of the integral value of each interval to reflect the difference in traffic operation status under different flow rates.
步骤7:针对路段不同时期的曲线,对上述划分的多个区间段沿曲线分别实施积分运算,获得各区间段内的交通运行状态表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值。并定义两个指标来表征:Step 7: For the curves in different periods of the road section, perform integral calculations on the above-mentioned multiple intervals along the curves to obtain the representative value of the traffic operation state in each interval or the relative representation value of the traffic operation state between each interval. And define two indicators to characterize:
(1)交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS=S2-S1;(1) Significant value of difference in traffic operation state ΔS=S 2 -S 1 ;
(2)交通运行状态相对差异比率 (2) Relative difference ratio of traffic operation status
其中,S1、S2分别表示各曲线(路段两个不同时期)在一定流量区间内对应的交通运行状态表征值。采用在一定流量区间内沿曲线对流量进行积分实施定量测算,其定量测算方法为:Among them, S1 and S2 respectively represent the characteristic values of the traffic operation state corresponding to each curve (two different periods of the road section) in a certain flow interval. Quantitative calculation is carried out by integrating the flow along the curve within a certain flow range, and the quantitative calculation method is:
当选择了多个车道对比分析时,需区分车道,即将对比时期里路段各车道的速度—流量关系曲线分别进行分段积分处理。When multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, lanes need to be differentiated, that is, the speed-flow relationship curves of each lane in the comparison period are separately processed by segmental integration.
步骤8:针对路段不同时期的曲线,利用各自的pi对各区间段的交通运行状态相关定量表征值加权计算,获得待评估路段不同时期各自速度—流量关系曲线对应的交通运行状态相关表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值(S1、S2、ΔS、ΔO)。继而实施定量分析,并给出定量分析结果。当选择了多个车道对比分析时,需区分车道,即将对比时期里路段各车道的速度—流量关系曲线分别进行对比分析,最终可进一步给出各车道定量结果的均值来表征路段交通运行的整体状况。实施步骤主要包括以下几个部分:Step 8: For the curves in different periods of the road section, use the respective p i to weight the quantitative representation value of the traffic operation state in each section, and obtain the traffic operation state correlation representation value corresponding to the respective speed-flow relationship curves of the road section to be evaluated in different periods Or the relative characteristic values (S1, S2, ΔS, Δ O ) of the traffic operation state between each other. Then carry out quantitative analysis, and give the quantitative analysis results. When multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, it is necessary to distinguish the lanes, that is, to conduct comparative analysis of the speed-flow relationship curves of each lane in the comparison period, and finally give the mean value of the quantitative results of each lane to represent the overall traffic operation of the road section situation. The implementation steps mainly include the following parts:
(1)根据积分算式和pi计算得到各曲线对应的交通运行状态相关表征值:不同时期的交通运行状态表征值(如:S1、S2)、交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS以及交通运行状态相对差异比率ΔO。(1) According to the integral formula and p i , the corresponding representative values of the traffic operation state corresponding to each curve are obtained: the representative value of the traffic operation state in different periods (such as: S 1 , S 2 ), the representative value of the difference of the traffic operation state ΔS, and the traffic operation state State relative difference ratio Δ O .
(2)根据ΔS或ΔO与“0”的关系,判别路段不同时期交通运行状态的相对好坏,并给出定量分析结果。(2) According to the relationship between ΔS or ΔO and "0", judge the relative quality of the traffic operation status of the road section in different periods, and give the quantitative analysis results.
(3)若选择了多个车道对比分析,则按上述步骤完成各车道的定量分析后,可进一步求取各车道定量分析结果ΔS或ΔO的均值。(3) If multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, after the quantitative analysis of each lane is completed according to the above steps, the mean value of the quantitative analysis results ΔS or ΔO of each lane can be further obtained.
本发明简单易行,容易理解,并且在道路交通运行数据中,车检器数据相对较丰富,实际情况下该方法容易实现。基于路段车检器数据(速度、流量)获取的速度—流量实际关系曲线来对比分析同一条路段不同时期的交通运行状态,可以应用于道路运行状态的评估分析中,分析结果可以辅助运管部门较准确地从整体上把握道路交通运行状态,也可辅助说明其他评估方式(如利用评价指标评价)评估结果的有效性。The present invention is simple, easy to implement, easy to understand, and in the road traffic operation data, the data of the vehicle detector is relatively abundant, and the method is easy to realize in actual conditions. Based on the speed-flow actual relationship curve obtained by the vehicle detector data (speed, flow) of the road section to compare and analyze the traffic operation status of the same road section in different periods, it can be applied to the evaluation and analysis of the road operation status, and the analysis results can assist the transportation management department A more accurate overall grasp of the road traffic operation status can also assist in explaining the validity of the evaluation results of other evaluation methods (such as evaluation using evaluation indicators).
实施例3Example 3
本实施例与实施例1的区别仅在于:The difference between this embodiment and embodiment 1 is only:
参见图1,基于路段速度、流量数据的道路交通运行状态评估方法,包括如下步骤:Referring to Fig. 1, the road traffic operation state evaluation method based on road section speed and flow data includes the following steps:
步骤1:获取待评估路段各对比时期的车检器数据,并将数据规范性地存储于数据表中。车检器数据选择5分钟(或3分钟)数据,数据项必须包括各车道的速度、流量,并且选用的数据来自于路段上流量较大的一个或多个车检器。Step 1: Obtain the vehicle detector data of each comparison period of the road section to be evaluated, and store the data in a data table in a standardized manner. 5 minutes (or 3 minutes) data is selected for the vehicle detector data, and the data items must include the speed and flow of each lane, and the selected data comes from one or more vehicle detectors with relatively large traffic on the road section.
在国内外对速度流量关系模型研究中,通常认为15和5分钟是分析交通流统计分析模型的统计间隔,并且《道路通行能力手册HCM2000》也如此推荐。根据相关统计分析研究,采用3分钟、5分钟的统计间隔而获得的分析效果与15分钟的分析效果相当甚至更优,此外,采用的统计间隔越短,得到拟合曲线的有效范围越大,因此更加倾向于使用较短的统计间隔。利用具有大流量的车检器数据更能表征路段的实际交通运行状态。In the research on the speed-flow relationship model at home and abroad, it is generally considered that 15 and 5 minutes are the statistical intervals for analyzing the statistical analysis model of traffic flow, and the "Road Capacity Handbook HCM2000" also recommends this. According to relevant statistical analysis research, the analysis effect obtained by using the statistical interval of 3 minutes and 5 minutes is equivalent to or even better than the analysis effect of 15 minutes. In addition, the shorter the statistical interval used, the larger the effective range of the fitted curve. Therefore, it is more inclined to use shorter statistical intervals. Using the vehicle detector data with a large flow rate can better characterize the actual traffic operation status of the road section.
步骤2:对获取的车检器数据进行预处理,,并对各车道数据分别处理,同时将处理后的数据规范性地存储于数据表中。数据预处理主要包括两大部分:将车检器车流量转换为标准车车流量,以及剔除异常数据。Step 2: Preprocess the acquired vehicle detector data, process the data of each lane separately, and store the processed data in the data table in a standardized manner. Data preprocessing mainly includes two parts: converting the traffic flow of the vehicle detector into standard vehicle traffic, and eliminating abnormal data.
(1)将车检器流量数据转换为标准车车流量值(1) Convert the flow data of the vehicle detector to the standard vehicle flow value
不同类型的车辆对交通运行状态的影响程度不同,需要将其都转换为标准车流量,以反映出不同车型的影响。通常利用车型换算系数将不同车型流量值转换为标准车流量。Different types of vehicles have different influences on the traffic operation status, and all of them need to be converted into standard traffic volumes to reflect the impact of different types of vehicles. Usually, the vehicle type conversion coefficient is used to convert the flow rate values of different types of vehicles into standard vehicle flow rates.
根据相关技术手册如《道路通行能力手册》、《公路通行能力手册》等,并结合车检器设备检测车型的划分,以每5分钟为一个数据单元,对不同车型的流量值用车型换算系数加权求和,以获取每5分钟的标准车流量值。处理方法见下式。According to relevant technical manuals such as "Road Traffic Capacity Manual", "Highway Traffic Capacity Manual", etc., combined with the vehicle inspection equipment to detect the division of vehicle models, take every 5 minutes as a data unit, and use the model conversion coefficient for the flow value of different models Weighted summation to obtain the standard traffic flow value every 5 minutes. See below for the treatment method.
式中,Q为换算后的标准车车流量;qi为第i种车型的流量值;wi为第i种车型的换算系数;m为车型数量。In the formula, Q is the converted standard vehicle flow; q i is the flow value of the i-th type of vehicle; w i is the conversion coefficient of the i-th type of vehicle; m is the number of vehicle types.
(2)剔除异常数据(2) Eliminate abnormal data
在检测过程中,由于车检器设备本身原因以及其他因素的影响,可能会存在部分检测数据为异常数据,而异常数据不能反映实际的交通运行状态,并且对速度—流量关系曲线的拟合效果影响较大,必须对其进行剔除。此处,分两步来完成异常数据的剔除,首先,根据速度、流量的实际有效性剔除明显错误的数据,再利用车检器速度数据的均值和标准差来做异常数据的剔除处理。During the detection process, due to the influence of the vehicle detector equipment itself and other factors, some detection data may be abnormal data, and the abnormal data cannot reflect the actual traffic operation status, and the fitting effect of the speed-flow relationship curve have a large impact and must be eliminated. Here, the elimination of abnormal data is completed in two steps. First, the obviously wrong data is eliminated according to the actual effectiveness of speed and flow, and then the mean value and standard deviation of the speed data of the vehicle detector are used to eliminate abnormal data.
首先,对以下几类情况的数据进行剔除:First, the data in the following categories are excluded:
1)速度大于0,但流量等于0;1) The speed is greater than 0, but the flow rate is equal to 0;
2)速度等于0,但流量大于0。2) The speed is equal to 0, but the flow is greater than 0.
其次,做进一步数据处理。根据相关统计分析研究,实测的路段车检器数据中的速度值服从正态分布,并由概率论的知识,正态总体的样本出现偏差大于两倍均方差(2σ)和三倍均方差(3σ)的可能性分别小于5%和0.3%,是一个小概率事件。如果离群值的偏差大于2σ或3σ,则有理由将之判定为异常值并剔除。为此,选3σ作为筛选标准,并设待分析时段内的车检器速度数据均值为标准差为σv,实际车检器速度值为vi,则异常数据的剔除规则为:Second, do further data processing. According to relevant statistical analysis and research, the speed values in the measured road section vehicle detector data obey the normal distribution, and from the knowledge of probability theory, the sample deviation of the normal population is greater than twice the mean square error (2σ) and three times the mean square error ( 3σ) are less than 5% and 0.3% respectively, which is a small probability event. If the deviation of the outlier is greater than 2σ or 3σ, it is reasonable to judge it as an outlier and remove it. For this reason, 3σ is selected as the screening standard, and the average speed data of the vehicle detector in the period to be analyzed is set to be The standard deviation is σ v , and the actual speed value of the vehicle detector is v i , then the rule of removing abnormal data is:
1)如果存在则认为该条数据是有效数据,不予剔除;1) if exists Then the data is considered to be valid data and will not be excluded;
2)如果存在或者则判定vi所对应的该条数据为异常数据,应予以剔除。2) If exists or Then it is determined that the piece of data corresponding to v i is abnormal data and should be eliminated.
步骤3:利用经过数据预处理后的路段实际车检器速度和流量数据,实施待评估路段不同时期速度—流量关系曲线的拟合。分析用的数据一般选择流量大的车道上的数据或对各车道数据分别处理分析,并且根据相关研究,采用二次曲线的形式来表征路段的实际速度—流量关系。Step 3: Using the actual vehicle detector speed and flow data of the road section after data preprocessing, implement the fitting of the speed-flow relationship curve in different periods of the road section to be evaluated. The data used for analysis generally selects the data on the lanes with heavy traffic or processes and analyzes the data of each lane separately, and according to relevant research, the form of a quadratic curve is used to represent the actual speed-flow relationship of the road section.
对于某些路段,其实际速度—流量关系曲线用一次曲线形式或二次曲线形式均能较好地反映实际的交通运行状态,但是根据对路段实际速度—流量关系曲线的拟合分析,采用二次曲线形式的拟合效果要优于一次曲线形式,即能更好地反映道路的实际交通运行状态。此外,《公路通行能力手册》推荐各计算速度下的交通流特征曲线采用二次曲线的形式(具体论述请参见该手册)。为此,用以下数学模型来描述速度—流量关系。For some road sections, the actual speed-flow relationship curve can better reflect the actual traffic operation state in the form of a linear curve or a quadratic curve, but according to the fitting analysis of the actual speed-flow relationship curve of the road section, the two-dimensional curve is adopted The fitting effect of the secondary curve form is better than that of the primary curve form, that is, it can better reflect the actual traffic operation state of the road. In addition, the "Handbook of Highway Capacity" recommends that the traffic flow characteristic curve at each calculation speed be in the form of a quadratic curve (for details, please refer to the handbook). For this reason, the following mathematical model is used to describe the velocity-flow relationship.
V=AQ2+BQ+CV=AQ 2 +BQ+C
式中:V表示速度;Q表示流量;A、B、C为回归系数。In the formula: V represents speed; Q represents flow; A, B, C are regression coefficients.
对曲线的拟合可以借助MATLAB或其他分析软件实现。基于路段车检器数据(速度、流量)拟合的路段实际速度—流量关系曲线示意参见图2—重庆高速公路渝武路(下行)两个对比时期的速度—流量关系曲线。The fitting of the curve can be realized with the help of MATLAB or other analysis software. The actual speed-flow relationship curve of the road section based on the vehicle detector data (speed, flow) fitting of the road section is shown in Figure 2—the speed-flow relationship curve of Chongqing Expressway Yuwu Road (downlink) in two comparison periods.
步骤4:确定定性分析或定量分析方式。如果只需要定性分析,则可根据曲线的位置关系及其各自的变化趋势给出分析结果,并分析结束。否则,可直接实施定量分析。当选择多个车道对比分析时,需区分车道,即将对比时期里路段各车道的速度—流量关系曲线分别进行对比分析。Step 4: Determine the qualitative analysis or quantitative analysis method. If only qualitative analysis is required, the analysis results can be given according to the positional relationship of the curves and their respective changing trends, and the analysis ends. Otherwise, quantitative analysis can be performed directly. When multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, it is necessary to distinguish the lanes, that is, to conduct comparative analysis on the speed-flow relationship curves of each lane in the comparison period.
若当前选择实施定性分析,则分析方法如下:If qualitative analysis is currently selected, the analysis method is as follows:
根据各曲线的上下位置关系来判断待对比评估路段对比时期交通运行状态的优劣,判断规则如下:According to the relationship between the upper and lower positions of each curve, the quality of the traffic operation status of the road section to be compared and evaluated during the comparison period is judged. The judgment rules are as follows:
1)若参与对比的速度—流量关系曲线差异较大,明显存在一条曲线大部分区域位于另一条曲线的上方,则可以认为位于上方的曲线所表征的交通运行状态在整体上要优于下方曲线所表征的交通运行状态。参见图2,时期2的曲线全部或大部分在时期1的曲线上方,可以定性地认为路段在时期2的运行状态整体上优于时期1;1) If the speed-flow relationship curves involved in the comparison are quite different, and it is obvious that most of the area of one curve is above the other curve, it can be considered that the traffic operation state represented by the upper curve is better than the lower curve on the whole The represented traffic operation state. Referring to Figure 2, all or most of the curves in period 2 are above the curves in period 1, and it can be qualitatively considered that the operating status of road sections in period 2 is generally better than that in period 1;
2)若两条曲线基本完全重合,则可定性地认为对比时期的交通运行状态基本相当;2) If the two curves are basically completely coincident, it can be qualitatively considered that the traffic operation status during the comparison period is basically the same;
3)若曲线不完全重合,而存在交叉且不能区分哪条曲线更多地位于上方时,若某曲线更平缓,表示在流量增加时速度降低更缓,该时期的交通运行更平稳更好;3) If the curves do not completely overlap, but there is an intersection and it is impossible to distinguish which curve is more at the top, if a certain curve is gentler, it means that the speed decreases more slowly when the flow increases, and the traffic operation in this period is more stable and better;
4)若采用定性分析不能很好地判断路段各对比时期交通运行状态的好坏或当前无需只做定性分析,则实施定量分析,转至步骤5。4) If the qualitative analysis cannot well judge the quality of the traffic operation status in each comparison period of the road section or there is no need to do only qualitative analysis at present, perform quantitative analysis and go to step 5.
步骤5:基于获得的速度—流量关系曲线,根据有效的数据范围,确定积分的上下限。在定量分析中,采用积分运算获得分析结果,并且将整个流量区间(积分总区间)划分为多个小区间段进行处理,因此,首要的是确定积分区间。首先,根据路段的设计时速及车检器的检测性能确定一个合理区间(在整个流量区间内的积分总区间);其次,按一定的组距(如以10pcu/ln/5min为组距)将上一步所得的区间划分为多个小区间段,获得多个积分区间段,并以各区间的起止点作为各自的积分上下限值。Step 5: Based on the obtained speed-flow relationship curve, determine the upper and lower limits of the integral according to the valid data range. In quantitative analysis, the integral operation is used to obtain the analysis results, and the entire flow interval (integral total interval) is divided into multiple small intervals for processing. Therefore, the first thing is to determine the integral interval. Firstly, according to the design speed per hour of the road section and the detection performance of the vehicle detector, a reasonable interval (the total interval of the integral in the entire flow interval) is determined; secondly, according to a certain group distance (such as 10pcu/ln/5min as the group distance) the The interval obtained in the previous step is divided into multiple small intervals to obtain multiple integral intervals, and the start and end points of each interval are used as the upper and lower limits of the respective integrals.
由于一定时期内路段的实际流量是存在上下限值的,在实施定量分析中的积分运算时,积分区间不能选择[0,+∞)。此外,在整个流量区间内,不能将所有的数据笼统地都用于积分,需要选择能够集中整体反映实际交通运行状态的数据点,并且,不同流量对路段整体交通运行状态的影响程度不同,在不同的流量区间内,表征交通运行状态的数据量不同,其对交通运行状态的反应程度也有所差异,需要区别处理,否则会对结果产生影响。为此,需要将整个流量区间划分为多个小区间段区别处理,进而确定合理的积分区间,以提高计算的可靠度。Since there are upper and lower limits on the actual flow of road sections within a certain period of time, when performing integral operations in quantitative analysis, the integral interval cannot be selected as [0,+∞). In addition, in the entire flow range, all the data cannot be used for integrals in general, and it is necessary to select data points that can reflect the actual traffic operation status in a centralized manner, and different flow rates have different influences on the overall traffic operation status of the road section. In different traffic intervals, the amount of data representing the traffic operation state is different, and the degree of response to the traffic operation state is also different, which needs to be treated differently, otherwise it will affect the results. For this reason, it is necessary to divide the entire flow interval into multiple sub-sections for different processing, and then determine a reasonable integral interval to improve the reliability of the calculation.
参见图3,设某路段两个对比时期对应的曲线如图所示,其中,图中阴影部分即表示某路段两个对比时期交通运行状态之间的差异。同时,用V来表示速度,用Q来表示流量。Referring to Figure 3, assume that the curves corresponding to two comparison periods of a road section are as shown in the figure, wherein the shaded part in the figure represents the difference between the traffic operation status of a certain road section during the two comparison periods. At the same time, V is used to represent the speed, and Q is used to represent the flow rate.
设路段在时期1速度—流量关系曲线对应的回归系数为A1、B1、C1,曲线对应的数学表达式为:Assume that the regression coefficients corresponding to the speed-flow relationship curve of the road section in period 1 are A 1 , B 1 , and C 1 , and the mathematical expression corresponding to the curve is:
V=A1Q2+B1Q+C1 V=A 1 Q 2 +B 1 Q+C 1
路段在时期2速度—流量关系曲线对应的回归系数为A2、B2、C2,曲线对应的数学表达式为:The regression coefficients corresponding to the speed-flow relationship curve of the road section in period 2 are A 2 , B 2 , and C 2 , and the mathematical expression corresponding to the curve is:
V=A2Q2+B2Q+C2 V=A 2 Q 2 +B 2 Q+C 2
确定积分上下限的步骤具体如下:The steps to determine the upper and lower limits of the integral are as follows:
(1)根据路段的设计时速及车检器的检测性能确定合理的数据范围,以确定积分的整个合理区间。(1) Determine a reasonable data range according to the design speed of the road section and the detection performance of the vehicle detector, so as to determine the entire reasonable range of the integral.
A.积分区间总上限的确定。对用于拟合各曲线的样本数据分别进行统计分析,获取流量最大值,以此作为整个流量区间的上限值,如图中的Qb,亦即作直线Q=Qb,分别与两条曲线相交,以此确定各曲线积分所对应的合理区间上限值。A. Determination of the total upper limit of the integral interval. Statistically analyze the sample data used to fit each curve, obtain the maximum flow rate, and use it as the upper limit of the entire flow range, as shown in the figure, Qb, that is, make a straight line Q=Qb, which is connected to the two curves respectively Intersect to determine the upper limit of the reasonable interval corresponding to the integral of each curve.
B.积分区间总下限的确定。记路段设计时速(或最高限速)为V0,从纵轴(速度轴)上的V0作直线V=V0。利用设计时速(或最高限速)来辅助确定积分下限,当直线V=V0与待分析的两条曲线在低流量区域均相交时,可以使得积分区间内包含大部分的有效数据。B. Determination of the total lower limit of the integral interval. Record the design speed per hour (or maximum speed limit) of the road section as V0, and draw a straight line V=V0 from V0 on the vertical axis (speed axis). Use design speed (or maximum speed limit) to help determine the lower limit of integration. When the straight line V=V0 intersects the two curves to be analyzed in the low flow area, most of the valid data can be included in the integration interval.
若该直线在两条曲线的上方,此时,积分下限值会被设定为“0”,根据实际情况分析这是欠合理的,因此,不能直接以此划定积分下限。设车检器检测性能要求单位检测时间内(如5分钟),当车流量低于一定值,记为Q0,检测的准确度较低,此时,利用该值划定积分下限,如图中的Qa=Q0。作直线Q=Qa,分别与两条曲线相交,以直线Qa确定各曲线对应的积分下限;If the straight line is above the two curves, then the lower limit of the integral will be set to "0", which is unreasonable according to the analysis of the actual situation, therefore, the lower limit of the integral cannot be directly delineated by this. Assuming that the detection performance of the vehicle detector requires a unit detection time (such as 5 minutes), when the traffic flow is lower than a certain value, it is recorded as Q0, and the detection accuracy is low. At this time, use this value to delineate the lower limit of the integral, as shown in the figure Qa = Q0. Make a straight line Q=Qa, intersect with the two curves respectively, and determine the lower limit of integration corresponding to each curve with the straight line Qa;
当该直线V=V0与两条曲线均相交,若曲线上的相交点处于低流量处,即处于合理范围(交点对应的流量值位于Q0附近),可以取各自的交点所对应的流量值作为积分下限值,也可以取两者的二分之一位置点。若所设定的下限值欠合理,则再结合Q0按上述方式重新设定积分下限。When the straight line V=V0 intersects the two curves, if the intersection point on the curve is at a low flow rate, that is, it is within a reasonable range (the flow value corresponding to the intersection point is located near Q0), and the flow value corresponding to each intersection point can be taken as The integral lower limit value can also take half of the two points. If the set lower limit value is unreasonable, then combined with Q0, reset the integral lower limit in the above way.
当直线V=V0在低流量区域只与某一条曲线相交,则取该点流量值与Q0的均值作为积分下限值,以尽可能保证积分下限处有实际数据点。When the straight line V=V0 only intersects with a certain curve in the low flow area, the average value of the flow value at this point and Q0 is taken as the lower limit of the integration to ensure that there are actual data points at the lower limit of the integration as much as possible.
当直线V=V0在低流量区域位于两条曲线下方或均未相交时,可直接结合Q0来划定积分下限值,取为Qa=Q0。When the straight line V=V0 is located below the two curves in the low flow area or neither of them intersects, the lower limit of the integral can be directly combined with Q0, which is taken as Qa=Q0.
此外,如果按上述方法确定的积分下限值处没有实际数据点,则判断该积分下限值是否大于Q0,若判断结果为“大于”,可直接取经预处理后的数据样本中的流量最小值作为积分下限值,否则取Q0。但若积分下限值为Q0时也没有实际数据点,则也取经预处理后的数据样本中的流量最小值作为积分下限值。In addition, if there is no actual data point at the integral lower limit value determined by the above method, then judge whether the integral lower limit value is greater than Q0, if the judgment result is "greater than", you can directly take the minimum flow rate in the preprocessed data sample The value is taken as the integral lower limit, otherwise Q0 is taken. However, if there is no actual data point when the lower limit of integration is Q0, then the minimum flow rate in the preprocessed data sample is also taken as the lower limit of integration.
由此获得各曲线对应的积分总区间。设两个时期进行对比,各自速度—流量关系曲线对应的积分总区间分别为:[Qa1,Qb1]和[Qa2,Qb2]。若对多个时期对比,则各时期曲线积分总区间为[Qa(i),Qb(i)],其中,i=1、2…,表示不同时期的曲线积分总区间,即对比时期i的曲线积分区间。In this way, the total integral interval corresponding to each curve is obtained. Assuming that two periods are compared, the total integral intervals corresponding to the respective velocity-flow relationship curves are: [Q a1 , Q b1 ] and [Q a2 , Q b2 ]. If multiple periods are compared, the total interval of curve integrals in each period is [Q a(i) , Q b(i) ], where i=1, 2..., indicating the total interval of curve integrals in different periods, that is, the comparison period The curve integration interval of i.
由于在定量计算时,采用将整个流量区间分段处理的方式进行计算,若需要保障每一个分区间段均在同等流量下进行对比,可以在获得各曲线对应的合理区间后,选择各区间较小下限值作为积分总区间的下限,选择较大上限值作为积分总区间的上限,即将各曲线的积分总区间取为同一个,这样可使得各曲线划分的区间段相同。但这样得到的部分乃至各曲线的积分总区间会略大于实际区间,存在一定的误差,由于被扩大的区间分布于曲线的两端(主要位于大流量区),数据量相对很少,存在的误差也很小,如此处理也是合理的。为此,同一积分总区间[Qa,Qb]的确定规则为:Since in the quantitative calculation, the entire flow range is processed in sections, if it is necessary to ensure that each sub-section is compared under the same flow rate, after obtaining the reasonable interval corresponding to each curve, select each interval to compare. The small lower limit value is used as the lower limit of the total integral interval, and the larger upper limit value is selected as the upper limit of the total integral interval, that is, the total integral interval of each curve is taken as the same, so that the interval segments divided by each curve are the same. However, the part obtained in this way and the total integral interval of each curve will be slightly larger than the actual interval, and there is a certain error. Since the expanded interval is distributed at both ends of the curve (mainly located in the large flow area), the amount of data is relatively small, and the existing The error is also very small, so it is reasonable to deal with it. For this reason, the determination rule for the same integral total interval [Q a , Q b ] is:
A.若Qa1≥Qa2,且有Qa1≤Qa2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa2,Qb2];A. If Q a1 ≥ Q a2 , and there is Q a1 ≤ Q a2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a2 , Q b2 ];
B.若Qa1>Qa2,且有Qb1>Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa2,Qb1];B. If Q a1 > Q a2 , and there is Q b1 > Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a2 , Q b1 ];
C.若Qa1<Qa2,且有Qb1<Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa1,Qb2];C. If Q a1 < Q a2 , and there is Q b1 < Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a1 , Q b2 ];
D.若Qa1≤Qa2,且有Qb1≥Qb2,则取积分总区间为:[Qa1,Qb1]。D. If Q a1 ≤ Q a2 , and there is Q b1 ≥ Q b2 , then the total interval of the integral is: [Q a1 , Q b1 ].
(2)按一定的组距m(如以m=10pcu/ln/5min为组距,)将上一步所得的区间[Qa(i),Qb(i)](或[Qa,Qb])划分为多个小区间段n,获得多个积分区间段,并以各区间的起止点作为各自的积分上下限值。由此获得的各分区间的积分上下限分别为:(2) According to a certain group distance m (such as m=10pcu/ln/5min as the group distance,) the interval obtained in the previous step [Q a(i) , Q b(i) ] (or [Q a , Q b ]) is divided into multiple small intervals n, and multiple integral intervals are obtained, and the start and end points of each interval are used as the upper and lower limits of the respective integrals. The upper and lower limits of the integration of each division thus obtained are:
1)若各曲线积分总区间不是取同一区间,则各自划分的分积分区间如下:1) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is not taken from the same interval, the sub-integral intervals divided by each are as follows:
[Qa(i),Qa(i)+m];[Q a(i) ,Q a(i) +m];
[Qa(i)+m,Qa(i)+2m];[Q a(i) +m,Q a(i) +2m];
[Qa(i)+2m,Qa(i)+3m];[Q a(i) +2m,Q a(i) +3m];
……;...;
[Qa(i)+(n-2)m,Qa(i)+(n-1)m];[Q a(i) +(n-2)m,Q a(i) +(n-1)m];
[Qa(i)+(n-1)m,Qb(i)]。[Q a(i) + (n-1)m, Q b(i) ].
其中,i=1、2…,表示上述所分区间对应不同时期的曲线i,即上述所分区间为对比时期i曲线积分的各分积分区间段。Wherein, i=1, 2..., which means that the above-mentioned intervals correspond to the curve i in different periods, that is, the above-mentioned intervals are the sub-integration intervals of the curve integration of the comparison period i.
2)若各曲线积分总区间取用同一区间[Qa,Qb],将不做区分,则划分的分积分区间如下:2) If the same interval [Q a , Q b ] is used for the total interval of each curve integral, no distinction will be made, and the sub-integral intervals divided are as follows:
[Qa,Qa+m];[Q a , Q a +m];
[Qa+m,Qa+2m];[Q a +m,Q a +2m];
[Qa+2m,Qa+3m];[Q a +2m, Q a +3m];
……;...;
[Qa+(n-2)m,Qa+(n-1)m];[Q a +(n-2)m,Q a +(n-1)m];
[Qa+(n-1)m,Qb]。[Q a + (n-1) m, Q b ].
步骤6:对各曲线的数据样本进行统计分析,确定各自每个分区间段内数据量或其占样本总数的比例pi(频率),并以pi作为各区间段积分值的权重。Step 6: Statistically analyze the data samples of each curve, determine the amount of data in each interval or its proportion p i (frequency) to the total number of samples, and use p i as the weight of the integral value of each interval.
不同流量对路段整体交通运行状态的影响程度不同,需反映出各自的差异性。虽然在大流量区间段内的数据点很少,但仍然反映了道路在某些时间里的实际交通运行状态,并且道路交通运行状态整体的好坏受大流量时的影响也较大,需要合理考虑,但不宜直接对整个大流量分区间段进行积分。为此,利用各区间数据量占样本总数的比例作为各区间段积分值的权重,以反映不同流量下交通运行状态的差异性。Different flow rates have different influences on the overall traffic operation status of road sections, and their differences need to be reflected. Although there are few data points in the high-flow interval, it still reflects the actual traffic operation status of the road at certain times, and the overall quality of the road traffic operation status is also greatly affected by the high flow, so it needs to be reasonable consideration, but it is not suitable to directly integrate the entire large flow sub-section. For this reason, the proportion of the data volume in each interval to the total number of samples is used as the weight of the integral value of each interval to reflect the difference in traffic operation status under different flow rates.
步骤7:针对路段不同时期的曲线,对上述划分的多个区间段沿曲线分别实施积分运算,获得各区间段内的交通运行状态表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值。并定义两个指标来表征:交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS、交通运行状态相对差异比率ΔO;当选择了多个车道对比分析时,需区分车道,即将对比时期里路段各车道的速度—流量关系曲线分别进行分段积分处理。Step 7: For the curves in different periods of the road section, perform integral calculations on the above-mentioned multiple intervals along the curves to obtain the representative value of the traffic operation state in each interval or the relative representation value of the traffic operation state between each interval. And define two indicators to characterize: the characteristic value of traffic operation state difference ΔS, the relative difference ratio of traffic operation state ΔO ; when multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, it is necessary to distinguish the lanes, that is, the speed-flow rate of each lane in the comparison period The relationship curves are processed by piecewise integration respectively.
(1)定义定量指标,并给出定量测算方法(1) Define quantitative indicators and give quantitative calculation methods
A.交通运行状态差异表征值ΔS。表示不同对比分析对象间的交通运行状态差异,由各自表征值之差来定量表征,即定量测算公式为:ΔS=S2-S1;A. The characteristic value ΔS of the difference in traffic operation state. Indicates the difference in traffic operation status between different comparative analysis objects, which is quantitatively characterized by the difference of their respective characterization values, that is, the quantitative calculation formula is: ΔS=S 2 -S 1 ;
B.交通运行状态相对差异比率ΔO。表示不同对比分析对象间交通运行状态的相对差异,由各自表征值的差值与对比时期表征值的百分比来定量表征,即定量测算公式为:B. Relative difference ratio Δ O of traffic operation status. Indicates the relative difference in the traffic operation status among different comparative analysis objects, which is quantitatively represented by the difference between the respective characteristic values and the percentage of the characteristic values in the comparison period, that is, the quantitative measurement formula is:
根据如下积分算式计算得到各曲线在一定流量区间内对应的交通运行状态表征值S1、S2和ΔS以及ΔO。According to the following integral formula, the characteristic values S1, S2, ΔS and ΔO corresponding to the traffic operation state of each curve in a certain flow range are obtained.
若各曲线所对应的积分上下限相同,即设各积分区间均为[Qa,Qb],则有:If the upper and lower limits of the integral corresponding to each curve are the same, that is, if each integral interval is [Qa,Qb], then:
上式即是将同等流量下速度相对提升值在整个流量区间内进行平均,表征了路段不同时期间交通运行状态的平均相对差异性。The above formula is to average the relative speed increase value in the entire flow range under the same flow rate, which represents the average relative difference of the traffic operation status of the road section at different times.
(2)对各区间段实施定量测算(2) Quantitative calculation of each section
1)若各曲线的积分总区间不同,即有各分区间段不相同,则不可直接求取ΔSi和ΔOi,需要先求取各曲线各分区间段的S1(i)和S2(i)。1) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is different, that is, the intervals of each subdivision are different, then ΔS i and Δ Oi cannot be obtained directly, and S 1(i) and S 2 of each subdivision of each curve need to be obtained first (i) .
2)若各曲线的积分总区间相同,即有各分区间段相同,则有:2) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is the same, that is, the intervals of each subdivision are the same, then:
步骤8:针对路段不同时期的曲线,利用各自的pi对各区间段的交通运行状态相关定量表征值加权计算,获得待评估路段不同时期各自速度—流量关系曲线对应的交通运行状态相关表征值或相互间的交通运行状态相对表征值(S1、S2、ΔS、ΔO)。继而实施定量分析,并给出定量分析结果。当选择了多个车道对比分析时,需区分车道,即将对比时期里路段各车道的速度—流量关系曲线分别进行对比分析,最终可进一步给出各车道定量结果的均值来表征路段交通运行的整体状况。实施步骤主要包括以下几个部分:Step 8: For the curves in different periods of the road section, use the respective p i to weight the quantitative representation value of the traffic operation state in each section, and obtain the traffic operation state correlation representation value corresponding to the respective speed-flow relationship curves of the road section to be evaluated in different periods Or the relative characteristic values (S1, S2, ΔS, Δ O ) of the traffic operation state between each other. Then carry out quantitative analysis, and give the quantitative analysis results. When multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, it is necessary to distinguish the lanes, that is, to conduct comparative analysis of the speed-flow relationship curves of each lane in the comparison period, and finally give the mean value of the quantitative results of each lane to represent the overall traffic operation of the road section situation. The implementation steps mainly include the following parts:
(1)利用pi对各区间段的交通运行状态表征值加权计算,以获得交通运行状态对比分析的相关表征值。(1) Use pi to weight the traffic operation state characterization values of each section to obtain the relevant characterization values for the comparative analysis of the traffic operation state.
1)若各曲线的积分总区间不同,即有各分区间段不相同,由于未直接求取ΔSi和ΔOi,需要利用各曲线各分区间段的S1(i)和S2(i)求取。1) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is different, that is, the intervals of each partition are different, since ΔS i and Δ Oi are not directly calculated, it is necessary to use S 1(i) and S 2(i ) to obtain.
2)若各曲线的积分总区间相同,即有各分区间段相同,则有:2) If the total interval of the integral of each curve is the same, that is, the intervals of each subdivision are the same, then:
(2)根据ΔS或ΔO进行判别和给出定量分析结果。(2) Discriminate and give quantitative analysis results according to ΔS or ΔO .
A.若ΔS>0或ΔO>0,则表示路段在时期2的交通运行状态优于时期1,且提升值为ΔS或相对提升ΔO;A. If ΔS>0 or ΔO >0, it means that the traffic operation status of the road section in period 2 is better than that in period 1, and the improvement value is ΔS or relative increase ΔO ;
B.若ΔS<0或ΔO<0,则表示路段在时期2的交通运行状态差于时期1,且负提升值为ΔS或相对提升ΔO;B. If ΔS<0 or ΔO <0, it means that the traffic operation status of the road section in period 2 is worse than that in period 1, and the negative improvement value is ΔS or relative improvement ΔO ;
C.若ΔS=0或ΔO=0,则表示路段在时期2的交通运行状态与时期1基本相当。此时,需要进一步做定性判别,若曲线基本完全重合,则说明对比的两个时期的交通运行状态基本相当;若曲线不完全重合,而存在交叉且不能区分哪条曲线更多地位于上方时,则通过曲线的平缓程度来判断,曲线更平缓,表示在流量增加时速度降低更缓,该时期的交通运行更平稳,即交通运行状态相对略好。C. If ΔS=0 or Δ O =0, it means that the traffic operation state of the link in period 2 is basically the same as that in period 1. At this point, further qualitative judgment is required. If the curves are basically completely overlapped, it means that the traffic operation status of the two periods of comparison is basically the same; , then it can be judged by the flatness of the curve. A flatter curve means that the speed decreases more slowly when the flow increases, and the traffic operation in this period is more stable, that is, the traffic operation state is relatively slightly better.
(3)若选择了多个车道对比分析,则按上述步骤完成各车道的定量分析后,可进一步求取各车道定量分析结果ΔS或ΔO的均值。(3) If multiple lanes are selected for comparative analysis, after the quantitative analysis of each lane is completed according to the above steps, the mean value of the quantitative analysis results ΔS or ΔO of each lane can be further obtained.
最后说明的是,以上实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案而非限制,尽管通过参照本发明的优选实施例已经对本发明进行了描述,但本领域的普通技术人员应当理解,可以在形式上和细节上对其作出各种各样的改变,而不偏离本发明所限定的精神和范围。Finally, it is noted that the above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention and not to limit them. Although the present invention has been described with reference to the preferred embodiments of the present invention, those skilled in the art should understand that it can be described in the form Various changes may be made in matter and details thereof without departing from the spirit and scope of the invention as defined.
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