[go: up one dir, main page]

Ap Gwilym, 2001 - Google Patents

Forecasting volatility for options pricing for the UK stock market

Ap Gwilym, 2001

Document ID
3403409074760725540
Author
Ap Gwilym O
Publication year
Publication venue
Journal of Financial Management & Analysis

External Links

Snippet

This paper investigates the relative forecast performance of simple historical volatility, GARCH models and implied volatility in the context of pricing FTSE 100 options, and also considers the orthogonality of different forecast methods. The results show that the best …
Continue reading at search.proquest.com (other versions)

Classifications

    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/06—Investment, e.g. financial instruments, portfolio management or fund management
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management, e.g. organising, planning, scheduling or allocating time, human or machine resources; Enterprise planning; Organisational models
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research or analysis
    • G06Q10/0639—Performance analysis
    • G06Q10/06393—Score-carding, benchmarking or key performance indicator [KPI] analysis
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/02—Banking, e.g. interest calculation, credit approval, mortgages, home banking or on-line banking
    • G06Q40/025—Credit processing or loan processing, e.g. risk analysis for mortgages
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management, e.g. organising, planning, scheduling or allocating time, human or machine resources; Enterprise planning; Organisational models
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research or analysis
    • G06Q10/0635—Risk analysis
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/04—Exchange, e.g. stocks, commodities, derivatives or currency exchange
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce, e.g. shopping or e-commerce
    • G06Q30/02—Marketing, e.g. market research and analysis, surveying, promotions, advertising, buyer profiling, customer management or rewards; Price estimation or determination
    • G06Q30/0202—Market predictions or demand forecasting
    • G06Q30/0204—Market segmentation
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce, e.g. shopping or e-commerce
    • G06Q30/02—Marketing, e.g. market research and analysis, surveying, promotions, advertising, buyer profiling, customer management or rewards; Price estimation or determination
    • G06Q30/0201—Market data gathering, market analysis or market modelling
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/08—Insurance, e.g. risk analysis or pensions
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce, e.g. shopping or e-commerce
    • G06Q30/02—Marketing, e.g. market research and analysis, surveying, promotions, advertising, buyer profiling, customer management or rewards; Price estimation or determination
    • G06Q30/0202—Market predictions or demand forecasting
    • G06Q30/0206—Price or cost determination based on market factors
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management, e.g. organising, planning, scheduling or allocating time, human or machine resources; Enterprise planning; Organisational models
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research or analysis
    • G06Q10/0637—Strategic management or analysis
    • G06Q10/06375—Prediction of business process outcome or impact based on a proposed change
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce, e.g. shopping or e-commerce
    • G06Q30/02—Marketing, e.g. market research and analysis, surveying, promotions, advertising, buyer profiling, customer management or rewards; Price estimation or determination
    • G06Q30/0278—Product appraisal
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/10—Tax strategies
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/10—Office automation, e.g. computer aided management of electronic mail or groupware; Time management, e.g. calendars, reminders, meetings or time accounting
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/04—Forecasting or optimisation, e.g. linear programming, "travelling salesman problem" or "cutting stock problem"
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
    • G06Q40/12—Accounting
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce, e.g. shopping or e-commerce
    • G06Q30/01—Customer relationship, e.g. warranty
    • G06Q30/018—Business or product certification or verification
    • G06Q30/0185—Product, service or business identity fraud
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce, e.g. shopping or e-commerce
    • G06Q30/01—Customer relationship, e.g. warranty
    • G06Q30/012—Product or service warranty
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q30/00—Commerce, e.g. shopping or e-commerce
    • G06Q30/06—Buying, selling or leasing transactions
    • G06Q30/08—Auctions, matching or brokerage
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING; COUNTING
    • G06Q—DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q99/00—Subject matter not provided for in other groups of this subclass

Similar Documents

Publication Publication Date Title
Bradshaw How do analysts use their earnings forecasts in generating stock recommendations?
Liu et al. Forecasting stock market volatility: The role of technical variables
Carroll et al. The reliability of fair value versus historical cost information: Evidence from closed-end mutual funds
Locke et al. Do professional traders exhibit loss realization aversion
Krivin et al. Determination of the appropriate event window length in individual stock event studies
Liu et al. How banks' value-at-risk disclosures predict their total and priced risk: Effects of bank technical sophistication and learning over time
Beck Do country fundamentals explain emerging market bond spreads?
Glascock et al. The riskiness of REITs surrounding the October 1997 stock market decline
Gwilym et al. Volatility forecasting in the framework of the option expiry cycle
Erenburg et al. Trading around macroeconomic announcements: Are all traders created equal?
Ap Gwilym Forecasting volatility for options pricing for the UK stock market
Salehi et al. A study of the relationship between liquidity and stock returns of companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange
Anderson et al. Measuring the added value of stock recommendations
Ammann et al. Pricing and hedging mandatory convertible bonds
Alswalmeh et al. The effects of accounting and market indicators towards stock return of Amman Stock Exchange index constituents
Lee et al. A comprehensive look at the efficacy of technical trading rules applied to cross-rates
Brands et al. Active investment manager portfolios and preferences for stock characteristics
Charoenwong et al. Who knows more about future currency volatility?
Coakley et al. The role of long memory in hedging effectiveness
Almomani et al. The Impact of Liquidity, Solvency, and Operating Cash Flows on Earnings Persistence: The Evidence of Listed Manufacturing Firms at ASE
Frino et al. Large trades and intraday futures price behavior
Ederington et al. Higher order greeks
Ramcharran Estimating the impact of risks on emerging equity market performance: Further evidence on data from rating agencies
Reiter Pension Obligation and the Determination of Bond Risk Premiums: Evidence from the Electric Industry.
Guo On the risk measures of real estate assets