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  • Anarchitect@lemmy.zipM
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    7 months ago

    Money is more than banknotes and coins. If you have a bank account, you can use what’s in it to buy things, typically with a debit card. Because you can buy things with your bank account, we think of this as money even though it’s not cash. Therefore, if you borrow £100 from the bank, and it credits your account with the amount, ‘new money’ has been created. It didn’t exist until it was credited to your account. This also means as you pay off the loan, the electronic money your bank created is ‘deleted’ — it no longer exists. You haven’t got richer or poorer. You might have less money in your bank account but your debts have gone down too. So essentially, banks create money, not wealth. Banks create around 80% of money in the economy as electronic deposits in this way. In comparison, banknotes and coins only make up 3%.”

    this is missing the much bigger more important macro picture right now which is we entered a fiscal dominance. Now regardless of monetary credit expansion from banks poofing money into existence, government outlays are being printed and its in a runaway . This source of inflation would run even if interest rates were 20%. in fact high interest rates are paying bond holders from printed money which is inflationary. A lot of people havent noticed this phase change. its one of the reasons golds going crazy right now, along with the dying of the dollar as reserve currency .

    USA is backed itself into corner . austerity is politically unacceptable and the only path forward is inflating away nominal debt.

    Im glad i planned for this because i would be epically more fucked if i hadnt.

    Land prices are out of control too, used to be major regional differences but thats mostly been arbitraged out and now even places in oklahoma and arkansas are overpriced. People listing good farmland has slowed so much, they just hold it now.

    https://www.lynalden.com/full-steam-ahead-all-aboard-fiscal-dominance/

    • Psychedelic_Rebel@lemmy.zip
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      7 months ago

      I think America is eventually headed for a major crisis probably touched off by the bond markets as was the case in the early 1980s. It will get skittish once we have the dynamic of the Fed easing short term rates again in the face of high inflation. But rates shooting to the moon won’t make the situation better unless they spark a deep, deflationary recession.

      America’s fiscal situation is abominable. One of the things I’ve been tracking is CMS (Medicare/Medicaid), and to say that’s unsustainable is very polite. It was fairly recently only 20% funded and since this summer, judging from the MTS, it’s at about 13% now. The medical-industrial complex is collapsing because of these absurd cost increases and it has hardly been noticed in the mainstream.

      Damn, the next 10 years give me an uneasy feeling. There’s going to be such a temptation to take us to war to distract from hard times here. And a lot of people are in a warlike mood too…