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“The future ain’t what it used to be.”

-Yogi Berra

  • 380 Posts
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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 29th, 2023

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  • … would you like me to bring up polling on non-negotiable Zionist voting requirements for a candidate? Or does it only count when they’re abstaining currently, rather than voting currently?

    I’d love to recenter this conversation on the numbers, which are at least material hypotheticals, rather than pure hypotheticals. And because I do want to get better at modeling these things. If you can provide the polling data or links to polls you want to use, I’ll happily work up some numbers and graphics, and maybe we can use it to think about where things are going or what could have been.

    And I totally agree with you that its not an all-or-none thing, but there is a brain-worm that has utterly corrupted a portion of Democrats who have effectively become an “against the left” coalition within the party, and for which I think BlueMAGA is an appropriate and illustrative term. That brain-worm was operating in full-force in the 2024 election cycle and worked directly to the detriment of Democratic performance, and while it took around a 15 month hiatus, it seems to have reared its ugly little worm head in the previous two weeks based on “centrist” Democrats like Booker and Jefferies and Schumer deciding they no longer want to coalition with the left flank of the party.

    They are objectively careening towards some of the weakest possible positions going into the mid-terms and the next presidential cycle, where Democrats as a brand are at their least popular moment in history, yet we have some of the strongest left-wing upsets in history also occurring. The politics within the Democratic party is extremely divided, but that was also true in 2024. Its not clear to me the Democrats can survive as a coalition if they keep catering to the extremist positions of party loyalists.