The two-week temporary ceasefire has done little to quell GOP fears about the war in Iran costing the party seats in November.
Republicans are relieved over Trump’s steps toward reconciliation in Iran — but they worry the measures are too little, too late to save them from a brutal midterm election cycle.
Behind the public celebration by many Republicans of the temporary two-week ceasefire announcement, longtime party operatives continue to warn of a bleak political reality as the cost-of-living concerns around the war including spiking gas prices that are likely to continue for weeks if not longer even if the fragile ceasefire holds.
A person close to the White House, granted anonymity to speak candidly, put it bluntly.
“This war in Iran almost cements the fact that we lose the midterms in November — the Senate and House,” the person said.
It should. There should be no question about it. But the loyalists will still vote for the world to burn.
It gets much worse in coming months.
2027 budget cuts 10% from non-military, requests $600B more permanent military. Adds $200B special funding to rebuild from Iran fiasco.
Getting a peace deal with Iran with just nuclear and SoH demands will need $100B in commitments to pay Iran.
No peace deal, just leave, will put GCC allies in Iran/China camp instead of US. Zionazi congress, led by GOP, will push for more Israel gifts. Controlled DNC opposition, Schumer, will get primaried and lose their zionazi purpose.
Asian colonies will need to get closer to China to have access to oil.
Giving Europe colonies freedom (NATO exit threats), will worsen US economic perfromance. World in general will move away from oil/NG use, that the US is all in on.
Best chance for GOP is to impeach Trump/Hegseth.
You don’t amass 6 bankruptcies by not going all in on a pair of 2s very often.
I’ve been seeing these type of headlines of Republican “fear” of losing elections due to the horrible shit they do when they are in power. The money behind Republicans don’t care. It’s built into the plan. Republicans just hunker down, switch to obstructionsm to limit undoing the damage they caused and wait for the voters to get fed up with the lack of change and blame the party in power (not the party that created the situation and is preventing it from changing). Then they find themselves back in power and continue burning the world and push for every more oppression.
They won’t attempt to stop doing the things the country hates, however…
Democrats will take office on Jan 2nd and announce the need to compromise with Moderate Republicans about three days later. They’ll pass enormous bailouts for the tech industry, a marginally increased spending package for ICE and the Pentagon, a massive tax cut plan for middle class people with over $40k in auto loans, the Joe Manchin Memorial Coal Energy Independence Act, and then advance the “Act to Declare Donald Trump a Naughty Boy” which… gosh darnit… we just can’t get it out of committee because we don’t have the votes!
Nonetheless, Democrats will declare that they outsmarted Trump, by tricking him into signing the “Make Israel Great Again” Act. And we’ll hit a bipartisan consensus on adding antisemites to the concentration camps. Also, Elon Musk will be given a trillion dollars, in a bag, out the back of the Capital Building. Please don’t ask how or why.
I will be called a Russian bot for predicting this.
Can we just stop doing this? It’s exhausting. I just want healthcare. My money to stop blowing people up across the world. And stop fucking with other countries.
I don’t give a shit what the midterms news is. Go vote. And keep people voting.
The magas I know are ecstatic about the war with Iran. They’re also the most vocal about the gas prices. Completely unable to link the two together.
Don’t believe it for a second. This is just like all those articles of people walking out of Trump rallies during the end of the last election.
MAGA goons are still chugging that Kool-Aid.
It’s from Politico… so…
It amazes me how many of them are in hard bubbles. I work with tradesmen, some of them are just the worst fucking people. I had one tell me yesterday that at least Hegseth is assertive unlike ‘that black guy that went awol for heart surgery’. I’m convinced absolutely nothing will sway about 25% of the population. It’s psychopathic.
Thankfully a decent portion of those imbeciles don’t vote
WTF? Of course they vote, they vote HARD! The Conservative Propaganda Machine is constantly hyping them up to vote against the Liberals and their Woke. That’s why they control all three branches of government. How do you think that happened if they don’t vote?
Claiming they don’t vote is one of the dumbest things I’ve ever read.
Worked with plenty of anti woke guys who never voted in their entire life, and never would, just cuz they live in a major city in Cali. Obviously not applicable everywhere
He should just do his mail in voting in advance then offer to take the muppets for a beer on election day.
There is no way they are making it to the polling stations.
Worry about their seat and not about the war crimes
That’s a bit unfair - those schoolgirls lived a very long way from America, and they didn’t even speak English!
“Oh no!!! All these evil things im doing are costing me my job! If only there was a way for me to not have that happen! But I love evil things!”
If democrats ran on a hard stance of “We will prosecute the fuck out of everyone involved in the current administration”, they’d sweep the midterms. Then if they actually followed through on it, they’d also sweep in 2028, but we all know they won’t do either.
I don’t have much faith in the Democrats. I’m reading Howard Zinn’s A People’s History of the United States. It’s a great book, and everyone should give it a read. It basically sums up the entire history of America from a Liberal law professor’s point of view.
… regardless. In terms of taxes, Democrats are largely responsible for increasing taxes on the poor and subsidizing the rich. They at the same time give weak concessions to the lower class, but these are flimsy enough to be overturned the minute Republicans are in charge.
He summed it up in one sentence:
In a two-party system, if both parties ignore public opinion, there is no place voters can turn.
If they ran on that, I wouldn’t be surprised if the regime arrested them for sedition and thus proved their point even more.
It’s not like they can do that overnight.
Also, don’t pretend that the Democrats oppose this war on moral grounds. The only criticisms most national Democrats have been able to muster are either that the trump admin has failed to follow appropriate procedure (i.e. not informing Congress, which is a whole tangent alone), or that they are incompetent in their execution of the war, which…
Also, don’t pretend that the Democrats oppose this war on moral grounds.
They generally oppose it on economic grounds at least. I’ll take the outcome of “no war” even if I disagree with the reason we get there.
Yep. Democrats are pretty right wing
Trump is already trying to cheat and misuse the DoJ all he can. It is not like going easy on these criminals will save Democrats.
“We will do everything in our power to make sure that the rule of law is upheld and justice is done.”
Even that would get them retaliated against – just look at Senator Mark Kelly.
Not saying they shouldn’t do it anyway; just highlighting how absolutely evil the regime actually is.
If Democrats were capable of that sort of backbone, Donald Trump would never have become president. At least, not for a second term.
Ah yes, the classic blame Democrats for Trump. Because Trump voters don’t have agency.
Correct: We blame democrats for ignoring their own constituents and embracing the status quo and therefore being able to lose to a stupid dipshit like Trump. The truth hurts, sometimes.
You’re missing the big picture and blaming the right when the problem isn’t right OR left. It’s UP. As in, the rich. Notice how neither side’s elected representatives really seem to give a shit about you?
Notice how neither side’s elected representatives really seem to give a shit about you?
THIS!!! Yet, Lemmys keep on mistakenly thinking that the Dem’s have their backs. lol
Democrats
Taking a hard stance
Pick ONE.
bUt MuH dEcOrUm
but we all know they won’t do either.
Which is why I’ll keep voting third party. I’m not gonna support a party with no spine.
You do you, it’s your vote obviously. I hope you’re in a safely blue state, though; know that any time the republicans win your state / county / town / whatever, you contributed to that outcome.
Never gonna hold my nose to vote. Never gonna vote for “lesser” evil. I vote for who I want to win, regardless of odds. As is my American right.
Sure. Not arguing against the fact that it’s your right to vote for whomever you want. However, if we look at the most recent US election, there were a lot of principled people holding that same belief either abstaining or declining to vote strategically, and now we have Trump. If you were one of those people, thinking you are not in small part responsible for the current administration is refusal to take responsibility for your own actions. Just like it would have been in small part my responsibility if Harris had won and decided to do what Trump is doing now.
there were a lot of principled people holding that same belief either abstaining or declining to vote strategically, and now we have Trump.
I guess the Democrats should have a good enough candidate to offset that.
If you were one of those people, thinking you are not in small part responsible for the current administration is refusal to take responsibility for your own actions.
I guess the Democrats should have a good enough candidate to offset that. I proudly voted third party and will do again in upcoming elections unless the Dems choose AOC to run for president.
Again, that’s fine - you’ve got every right to do that. Is Trump closer to what you want in a president than Harris would have been, do you imagine?
I didn’t vote for either one and they are both equally bad. Yes, let me say that again so you don’t have to try a “gotcha” moment and try to repeat my words back to me. Yes, they are both equally bad. Yes, I think Harris would have done just as badly. Yes, I think both sides suck and in fact, I think they are practically the same.
The Democratic party lost to Trump, twice. Twice. That’s on you all, not me. Maybe the party should come up with a better candidate this time around.
It’s up the Dem party to inspire people to vote for them. the whole “but, but, but it’s not Trump!” strategy didn’t work. Either time. So are they gonna do better this time? Or are they just gonna write some harshly-worded press releases again?
If the Dem party nominates AOC, I’ll vote for them. If not, I’m voting third party. No amount of “gotcha” or “what if” scenarios that you are thinking of throwing at me will change my mind. You can throw all the hitler-nazi-fascist-emperor-pedo-king-wwIII-civilwar shit at me all you want. I don’t like either party and they both suck.
AOC or third party. Yep, I’m black and white that way. No, you aren’t going to change my mind. And that’s ok.
I’m right there with you but until there’s an alternative voting system (like RCV, STV, or STAR or something), a vote for a 3rd party is as good as a vote for the opposition party. It sucks but that’s the price of a ridiculous divided 2 party system. Well, there’s many prices to pay for that actually but that’s one of them…
But if people keep thinking and what you are saying, then it never happens. Trust me, if everyone would suddenly vote for a third party, shit would. The duopoly wants you to keep being afraid to vote for at third party. Which is why I’ll keep voting third party.
I mean yeah of course. But look at how many people in the country actually are 3rd party. Like I said if the country wasn’t very clearly and decisively divided into 2 parties it would be different. But the fact is people in the US now are typically either pretty far left or pretty far right. The amount of people in the middle (like truly in the middle) is absolutely miniscule - less than 3% last I checked. If 100% of the 3rd party people voted 3rd party, it wouldn’t amount to much sadly. I would absolutely love for that to change but we are wedged so far into these two parties that it will be a loooong time before that happens.
Your opposition party would be absolutely thrilled if you voted 3rd party. There is no conspiracy to stop you from doing so. I’d argue the bigger conspiracy is against changing how we vote and how a winner gets chosen as that would make it much easier for a 3rd party candidate to make headway. As it stands, the more people they can get to throw their votes away instead of voting for someone that actually has a chance of winning (unless it’s their party of course) the happier they’ll be.
I would be so happy to be wrong here but over the years this has only gotten worse and worse, exacerbating the problem and pushing us farther into this hellhole of diametrically opposed political theatre. But at least we are HOT HOT HOT as a country now right?! 🔥🚒 🔥
But the fact is people in the US now are typically either pretty far left or pretty far right.
This is interesting. From the outside it looks like you have a lot of far right groups - the Republicans being the biggest example of an organised political presence. The Democrats are centre-right at best, but presumably you’re talking about the people, not the political parties? In which case, surely it’s on the Democrats to move left to meet the people? And if as many people are as far left as you say, that should be simple…
Like I said if the country wasn’t very clearly and decisively divided into 2 parties it would be different.
Because people like you keep repeating it and people get scared and don’t wanna take the chance.
Your opposition party would be absolutely thrilled if you voted 3rd party.
Even if every single person who voted for 3rd party in 2024 voted for Harris, she still would have lost. That’s how big her margin of loss was. Look it up.
It wasn’t 3rd party voters that destroyed her chances, it was non-voters.
As it stands, the more people they can get to throw their votes away instead of voting for someone that actually has a chance of winning (unless it’s their party of course) the happier they’ll be.
Again, because people like you keep saying that and scaring people. Let me piggback on your conspiracy theory: Both major parties actively work to keep third-party candidates from having a real shot.
And one of the clearest examples is how they teamed up in 1987 to create the Commission on Presidential Debates. They set strict rules that have excluded virtually every third-party candidate from the national stage ever since.
It’s one of the rare things they publicly agree on: maintaining the two-party lock on the biggest platform in politics.
Add every time you vote for them, you support them doing that. I refuse.
The midterms will be decided by no mail-in voting and ICE at every polling place. Red Wave.
They are gonnna rig the elections. It’s pretty clear. But that will only happen if they have elections in the first place; something far from granted.
I’m equally worried about the republican voter base. So many of these people will hammer down and vote republican no matter what happens.
Many of them still think Trump is the greatest leader to ever walk this earth. They see everything terrible he is doing and still praise his actions. It’s insanity
Counterpoint: they haven’t been so far this year
Yeah, but the pedo GOP have completely lost the independents, a larger cohort than either the GOP or democrats.
Shall we count our unhatched chickens?
It wasn’t Iran. They’ve lost literally every special election since Rump took office. Including all the solid red Rump counties and states.
Well, that’s mostly right, but MAGA douche Clay Fuller just won in the Greene replacement special election by an 11 point margin, in a district that Trump last won by 35 points.
So a swing of 24 points away from the GOP, but some districts are beyond reason and influence.
Exactly. Dems haven’t won EVERY election, although they won a lot, including many flips in Trump districts.
But there have been several races that Dems lost, but they lost by a much slimmer margin than Trump’s win. That means there are a almost certainly a lot of districts out there that are MAGA districts right now, but will flip on November. Any district that Trump won with less than a 10% margin is in serious danger of flipping.
On 2016, 45 Republican seats were won by 10% or less, in 2020, 34 Republican seats were won by less than 10%, and in 2024, 28 seats won by less than 10%.
So there is a chance that Dems could flip as many as 28 seats in the House.
“This war in Iran almost cements the fact that we lose the midterms in November — the Senate and House,” the person said.
No shit, Dipshit. Everybody already knew it was going to be a bloodbath, now it’s going to be even worse. Also, now the states are on guard against any election interference, even Red states. MAGA is going to be heavily screwed after the Midterms.
Impeach EVERYBODY!