X Factors in the Age of Trump |
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As November 3rd nears, Spry Strategies would like to highlight some of the “X-Factors” in response to our clients, friends, and elected officials who are in need of the truth during this election cycle.
A common definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over expecting different results. You would think that the “top national pollsters”, politicians, political operatives and the media would have learned a lesson from the historically short-sighted, inaccurate polling of the 2016 Presidential Election. Whether it be the media’s echo chamber, #TrumpDerangementSyndrome, or ineptitude among the nation’s “top-pollsters” - déjà vu, it is happening all over again!
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Let’s start with the most obvious factor: The electorate being polled by most pollsters contains samples with individuals registered, yet unlikely to vote. According to Pew Research, an average of 25% of registered voters did not vote in 2012 and 2016. These registered voters who are unlikely to vote are predominately registered or inferred Democrats (African-American or Hispanic) and are extremely likely to answer blue from top to bottom on surveys. |
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The BLM/Antifa/Riot Effect |
It’s no secret women (especially suburban white women) are the key to this election. The Democrats are busy defunding police, praising BLM and Antifa, and defending the violent riots in Portland, Seattle, Los Angles, Minnesota, and Atlanta, to name a few. Trump, on the other hand, is attacking anti-American BLM & Antifa-led riots, praising law enforcement and offering to send troops to help liberal cities whose politicians are watching their cities burn. Are these women going to vote against a personality they do not care for or vote for law and order? |
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According to Fox Business, gun sales in both red and blue states are soaring in the United States – an 145% increase since June amid violent protests. Will all the Independents and moderate Democrats vote for Biden and his anti-Gun Czar Beto O’Rourke, who declared he will be confiscating your guns? I think not! |
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Fear, Newly Registered Domination & #REALNEWS |
The liberal media has instilled fear in millions of Americans to admit they support Trump and violence against #MAGA is rampant across the US. The RNC is dominating voter registration in all battlegrounds by hundreds of thousands of newly registered Republican voters. Tucker Carlson, Sean Hannity and Laura Ingram rule the television ratings, conservative authors are dominating the New York Times bestseller list and Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, and Glenn Beck are leading the ratings for political commentators. |
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Spry Strategies, LLC is a Knoxville, TN-based consulting firm specializing in polling, hybrid-method research data, live dialing, cell phone communications data modeling and consulting for business, governments, political campaigns, public affairs firms, lobbyists and trade associations. |
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